Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for GONI-20
in Philippines
28 Oct 2020 18 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
  • GDACS JTWC
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

    Tropical Cyclone GONI-20 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

    Meteorological source GDACS
    Exposed countries Philippines
    Exposed population 24.4 million in Category 1 or higher
    Maximum wind speed 315 km/h
    Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (01 Nov 15:00 UTC)
    Vulnerability Medium (Philippines)
    Landfall between
    31 Oct 2020 18:00 - 01 Nov 2020 18:00
    in Philippines

    GDACS Score

    GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
    For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
      Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
    Current 194 km/h 0.4 m n.a. 2.5
    Overall 315 km/h 0.4 m n.a. 2.5

    Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

    TOP

    Wind

      194 km/h Current Max.

      Up to 2.2 million people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

      Impact Timeline

        Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
        Tropical Storm or higher        		 Population in
        Cat 1. or higher        		 Countries
        Orange 1 28 Oct 2020 00:00 167 53.6 million 24 million Philippines
        Red 2 28 Oct 2020 06:00 194 50.1 million 25.8 million Philippines
        Orange 3 28 Oct 2020 12:00 148 50.4 million 2.3 million Philippines
        Red 4 28 Oct 2020 18:00 194 51.2 million 2.2 million Philippines

        Bulletin Timeline

          Alert N° Date (UTC) Category
          (SSHS)           		Max winds
          (km/h)           		Population in
          Cat.1 or higher           		Population in
          Tropical Storm
          or higher           		Location (lat, lon) Countries
          GREEN
          		 1 28 Oct 2020 00:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 16.6, 140.1
          GREEN
          		 2 28 Oct 2020 06:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 16.6, 139.5
          GREEN
          		 3 28 Oct 2020 12:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 16.6, 138.7
          GREEN
          		 4 28 Oct 2020 18:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 16.6, 137.5
          GREEN
          		 4 29 Oct 2020 06:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 16.6, 135.3
          GREEN
          		 4 29 Oct 2020 18:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 16.4, 133.1
          GREEN
          		 4 30 Oct 2020 06:00 Category 1 120 no people no people 16.1, 131.3
          GREEN
          		 4 30 Oct 2020 18:00 Category 1 148 no people 460000 people 15.5, 129.5
          RED
          		 4 31 Oct 2020 18:00 Category 3 194 1.3 million people 51 million people 14.6, 125.4
          ORANGE
          		 4 01 Nov 2020 18:00 Category 1 148 1.7 million people 45.1 million people 15.3, 120.8 Philippines
          GREEN
          		 4 02 Nov 2020 18:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 16.5, 116.5
          Actual track of the current bulletin
          The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
          Download:



          Exposed population - AoIs

          Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

          Countries

          Country
          Philippines

          Provinces

          Region Province Country
          Southern Tagalog Philippines
          Central Luzon Philippines
          Ilocos Philippines

          Populated places

          Name Region Province Country City class Population
          San Miguel Central Luzon Philippines City 66000 people
          Tarlac Central Luzon Philippines City 180000 people

          Critical infrastructure

          Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

          Airports

          Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
          Fort Magsaysay 57 Mil. Paved No 6300

          Ports

          Name LOCODE Country
          Masinloc PHMSC Philippines
          TOP

          Rainfall

          Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

          ...

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          StormSurge

          0.4 m

          The maximum Storm surge height is  0.4m in Cabog, Philippines. This height is estimated for 01 Nov 2020 15:00 UTC .

          The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

          Locations affected by Storm surge (78 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 4 of 28 Oct 2020 18:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

          Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
          01 Nov 2020 15:00 Cabog Philippines  0.4
          01 Nov 2020 12:00 Magdalo Philippines  0.4
          01 Nov 2020 18:00 Manila Philippines  0.3
          01 Nov 2020 13:00 Libjo Philippines  0.3
          01 Nov 2020 18:00 Meycauayan Philippines  0.3
          01 Nov 2020 18:00 Tanza Philippines  0.3
          01 Nov 2020 18:00 Tinajeros Philippines  0.3
          01 Nov 2020 18:00 Caloocan Philippines  0.3
          01 Nov 2020 18:00 Pamarauan Philippines  0.3
          01 Nov 2020 09:00 Jomalig Philippines  0.3
          01 Nov 2020 15:00 Dingalan Philippines  0.3
          01 Nov 2020 12:00 Ngalan Philippines  0.3
          01 Nov 2020 14:00 Kinasakitan Philippines  0.3
          01 Nov 2020 17:00 Imus Philippines  0.2
          01 Nov 2020 18:00 Abucay Philippines  0.2
          01 Nov 2020 18:00 Samal Philippines  0.2
          01 Nov 2020 18:00 Balanga Philippines  0.2
          01 Nov 2020 18:00 Pilar Philippines  0.2
          01 Nov 2020 18:00 Orion Philippines  0.2
          01 Nov 2020 18:00 Limay Philippines  0.2
          01 Nov 2020 18:00 Hermosa Philippines  0.2
          01 Nov 2020 18:00 Orani Philippines  0.2
          01 Nov 2020 11:00 Calutcot Philippines  0.2
          01 Nov 2020 13:00 Panukulan Philippines  0.2
          01 Nov 2020 18:00 Cavite Philippines  0.2
          01 Nov 2020 11:00 Polillo Philippines  0.2
          01 Nov 2020 13:00 Abucay Philippines  0.2
          01 Nov 2020 18:00 Tehero Philippines  0.2
          01 Nov 2020 18:00 Tanza Philippines  0.2
          01 Nov 2020 18:00 Binakayan Philippines  0.2
          01 Nov 2020 18:00 Amaya Philippines  0.2
          31 Oct 2020 22:00 Bikal Philippines  0.2
          01 Nov 2020 12:00 Binibitinan Philippines  0.2
          01 Nov 2020 12:00 Cabungalunan Philippines  0.2
          31 Oct 2020 23:00 Bagas Philippines  0.2
          01 Nov 2020 01:00 Balaton Philippines  0.2
          01 Nov 2020 13:00 Baler Philippines  0.2
          01 Nov 2020 18:00 General Trias Philippines  0.2
          01 Nov 2020 18:00 Cabcaben Philippines  0.2
          01 Nov 2020 01:00 Panganiban Philippines  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 02:00 San Vicente Philippines  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 01:00 Bitaogan Philippines  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 01:00 Caramoan Philippines  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 13:00 Patnanongan Philippines  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 12:00 Infanta Philippines  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 03:00 Miguel Philippines  0.1
          31 Oct 2020 23:00 Calolbon Philippines  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 01:00 Pandan Philippines  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 02:00 Tandoc Philippines  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 18:00 Lingayen Philippines  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 18:00 Labangan Philippines  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 18:00 Damaloguen Philippines  0.1
          31 Oct 2020 22:00 Garchitorena Philippines  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 18:00 Naic Philippines  0.1
          31 Oct 2020 23:00 Barceloneta Philippines  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 01:00 Mapid Philippines  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 18:00 Binmale Philippines  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 18:00 Canaoalan Philippines  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 18:00 Carael Philippines  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 18:00 Dagupan Philippines  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 18:00 Bateng Philippines  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 18:00 Maniboc Philippines  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 18:00 Capantolan Philippines  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 18:00 Mangas Philippines  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 01:00 Guijalo Philippines  0.1
          31 Oct 2020 22:00 Pandanan Philippines  0.1
          31 Oct 2020 22:00 Colongcogong Philippines  0.1
          31 Oct 2020 23:00 Sialat Philippines  0.1
          31 Oct 2020 23:00 Manambrag Philippines  0.1
          31 Oct 2020 22:00 Gitoma Philippines  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 00:00 Adiagnao Philippines  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 13:00 Bisliang Philippines  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 13:00 Real Philippines  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 18:00 Maragondon Philippines  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 01:00 Gongonan Philippines  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 07:00 Banacboc Philippines  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 12:00 Calamias Philippines  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 14:00 Buenavista Philippines  0.1