Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for GONI-20
in Philippines

Impact

Tropical Cyclone GONI-20 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS
Exposed countries Philippines
Exposed population 24.4 million in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 315 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.8 m (01 Nov 05:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Philippines)
Landfall between
31 Oct 2020 06:00 - 01 Nov 2020 06:00

in Philippines

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
Current 194 km/h 0.8 m n.a. 2.5
Overall 315 km/h 0.8 m n.a. 2.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

Wind

194 km/h Current Max.

Up to 25.8 million people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm or higher
Population in
Cat 1. or higher
Countries
Orange 1 28 Oct 2020 00:00 167 53.6 million 24 million Philippines
Red 2 28 Oct 2020 06:00 194 50.1 million 25.8 million Philippines

Bulletin Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Category
(SSHS)
Max winds
(km/h)
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Population in
Tropical Storm
or higher
Location (lat, lon) Countries
GREEN
1 28 Oct 2020 00:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 16.6, 140.1
GREEN
2 28 Oct 2020 06:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 16.6, 139.5
GREEN
2 28 Oct 2020 18:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 16.6, 137.5
GREEN
2 29 Oct 2020 06:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 16.5, 135.4
GREEN
2 29 Oct 2020 18:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people 16.1, 133.2
GREEN
2 30 Oct 2020 06:00 Category 1 139 no people no people 15.5, 131.4
RED
2 31 Oct 2020 06:00 Category 3 194 580000 people 8.1 million people 14.1, 127.4
ORANGE
2 01 Nov 2020 06:00 Category 1 148 25.7 million people 49.6 million people 14.2, 123.1 Philippines
GREEN
2 02 Nov 2020 06:00 Category 1 120 no people no people 15.7, 118
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
Download:



Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country
Philippines

Provinces

Region Province Country
Bicol Philippines
Southern Tagalog Philippines
Central Luzon Philippines
National Capital Region Philippines

Populated places

Name Region Province Country City class Population
Binangonan Southern Tagalog Philippines City 220000 people
Antipolo Southern Tagalog Philippines City 540000 people
San Mateo Southern Tagalog Philippines City 130000 people
Taytay Southern Tagalog Philippines City 230000 people
Quezon City National Capital Region Philippines Major city 1.7 million people
San Miguel Central Luzon Philippines City 66000 people
Manila National Capital Region Philippines Capital 10.2 million people
Baliuag Central Luzon Philippines City 130000 people
Meycauayan Central Luzon Philippines City 180000 people
Imus Southern Tagalog Philippines City 210000 people
Pulilan Central Luzon Philippines City 76000 people
Cavite Cavite City Philippines City 120000 people
Malolos Central Luzon Philippines City 200000 people
San Fernando Central Luzon Philippines City 250000 people
Hagonoy Central Luzon Philippines City 120000 people
Guagua Central Luzon Philippines City 9300 people
Angeles Central Luzon Philippines City 290000 people
Olongapo Central Luzon Philippines City 220000 people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
Daet DTE 3 Civ. Paved No 3700
Larap 5 0
Ninoy Aquino International MNL 23 Civ. Paved Yes 12200
Sangley Point AB SGL 2 Mil. Paved No 8600
Clark AB CRK 146 Civ. Paved Yes 10400
Basa AB 46 Mil. Paved No 8300
Subic Bay International Airpt SFS 17 Civ. Paved Yes 9000
Iba 3 Civ. Paved No 3200

Ports

Name LOCODE Country
Tandoc PHTDC Philippines
Mercedes Philippines
Paracale Philippines
Jose Panganiban PHJPM Philippines
Dahikan Philippines
Polillo Island Philippines
Puerto Real Philippines
Manila PHMNL Philippines
Navotas Philippines
Cavite PHCVE Philippines
Subic Bay PHSFS Philippines
Masinloc PHMSC Philippines
Iba Philippines

Dams

Reservoir Dam Name River Year
Caliraya Caliraya Caliraya 1949
Angat Angat 1968

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

StormSurge

0.8 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.8m in Magtang, Philippines. This height is estimated for 01 Nov 2020 05:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (91 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 2 of 28 Oct 2020 06:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
01 Nov 2020 05:00 Magtang Philippines  0.8
01 Nov 2020 05:00 Lamon Philippines  0.8
01 Nov 2020 05:00 Union Philippines  0.8
01 Nov 2020 05:00 Tinambac Philippines  0.8
01 Nov 2020 05:00 San Vicente Philippines  0.6
01 Nov 2020 05:00 Miguel Philippines  0.6
01 Nov 2020 05:00 Tandoc Philippines  0.6
01 Nov 2020 06:00 Tagontong Philippines  0.5
01 Nov 2020 06:00 Mambongalon Philippines  0.5
01 Nov 2020 06:00 Daet Philippines  0.5
01 Nov 2020 06:00 Vinzons Philippines  0.5
01 Nov 2020 06:00 Talaga Philippines  0.5
01 Nov 2020 01:00 Bikal Philippines  0.4
01 Nov 2020 01:00 Bagas Philippines  0.4
01 Nov 2020 03:00 Balaton Philippines  0.4
01 Nov 2020 00:00 Pandan Philippines  0.4
01 Nov 2020 04:00 Barceloneta Philippines  0.4
01 Nov 2020 06:00 Paracale Philippines  0.4
01 Nov 2020 02:00 Mapid Philippines  0.4
01 Nov 2020 05:00 Barana Philippines  0.3
01 Nov 2020 06:00 Banacboc Philippines  0.3
01 Nov 2020 01:00 Garchitorena Philippines  0.3
01 Nov 2020 05:00 Mandao Philippines  0.3
01 Nov 2020 03:00 Gongonan Philippines  0.3
01 Nov 2020 06:00 Jose Panganiban Philippines  0.3
01 Nov 2020 00:00 Calolbon Philippines  0.3
01 Nov 2020 06:00 Alayao Philippines  0.3
01 Nov 2020 01:00 Adiagnao Philippines  0.3
01 Nov 2020 06:00 Talingting Philippines  0.3
01 Nov 2020 00:00 Pandanan Philippines  0.3
01 Nov 2020 00:00 Manambrag Philippines  0.3
01 Nov 2020 00:00 Gitoma Philippines  0.3
01 Nov 2020 06:00 Calaguikhik Philippines  0.3
01 Nov 2020 06:00 Apad Lutao Philippines  0.3
01 Nov 2020 06:00 Pangas Philippines  0.3
01 Nov 2020 00:00 Caramoan Philippines  0.2
01 Nov 2020 00:00 Colongcogong Philippines  0.2
01 Nov 2020 06:00 Calauag Philippines  0.2
01 Nov 2020 00:00 Sialat Philippines  0.2
01 Nov 2020 06:00 Binauangan Philippines  0.2
01 Nov 2020 06:00 Mactang Philippines  0.2
01 Nov 2020 06:00 Capalonga Philippines  0.2
01 Nov 2020 06:00 Lopez Philippines  0.2
01 Nov 2020 06:00 Pag-aguasan Philippines  0.2
01 Nov 2020 06:00 Cabag Philippines  0.2
31 Oct 2020 22:00 Panganiban Philippines  0.2
01 Nov 2020 06:00 Gumaca Philippines  0.2
01 Nov 2020 06:00 Argosino Philippines  0.2
01 Nov 2020 06:00 Apad Philippines  0.2
01 Nov 2020 06:00 Concepcion Philippines  0.2
01 Nov 2020 06:00 Mascarina Philippines  0.2
01 Nov 2020 06:00 Atimonan Philippines  0.1
01 Nov 2020 06:00 Alabat Philippines  0.1
31 Oct 2020 22:00 Bagalay Philippines  0.1
01 Nov 2020 01:00 Magnesia Philippines  0.1
01 Nov 2020 06:00 Perez Philippines  0.1
01 Nov 2020 06:00 Cavilla Philippines  0.1
01 Nov 2020 06:00 Caluekan Philippines  0.1
01 Nov 2020 06:00 Patnanongan Philippines  0.1
31 Oct 2020 22:00 Wright Philippines  0.1
31 Oct 2020 21:00 Pequit Philippines  0.1
31 Oct 2020 21:00 Pabanong Philippines  0.1
31 Oct 2020 21:00 Hinabangan Philippines  0.1
01 Nov 2020 06:00 Mauban Philippines  0.1
01 Nov 2020 06:00 San Jose Philippines  0.1
01 Nov 2020 06:00 Labayat Philippines  0.1
01 Nov 2020 05:00 Labigan Philippines  0.1
01 Nov 2020 06:00 Guiom Philippines  0.1
01 Nov 2020 06:00 Calumpang Philippines  0.1
01 Nov 2020 05:00 Cavayan Philippines  0.1
01 Nov 2020 05:00 Malbug Philippines  0.1
01 Nov 2020 06:00 Borongan Philippines  0.1
01 Nov 2020 01:00 Guijalo Philippines  0.1
01 Nov 2020 06:00 Calamias Philippines  0.1
01 Nov 2020 06:00 Jomalig Philippines  0.1
01 Nov 2020 06:00 Calutcot Philippines  0.1
31 Oct 2020 21:00 Bangon Philippines  0.1
01 Nov 2020 06:00 Bahao Philippines  0.1
01 Nov 2020 06:00 Binobon Philippines  0.1
01 Nov 2020 06:00 Binahian Philippines  0.1
01 Nov 2020 01:00 Bitaogan Philippines  0.1
31 Oct 2020 22:00 Abihao Philippines  0.1
01 Nov 2020 06:00 Bisliang Philippines  0.1
01 Nov 2020 06:00 Real Philippines  0.1
01 Nov 2020 06:00 Infanta Philippines  0.1
01 Nov 2020 06:00 Polillo Philippines  0.1
01 Nov 2020 06:00 Abucay Philippines  0.1
31 Oct 2020 21:00 Mualbual Philippines  0.1
31 Oct 2020 21:00 Catbalogan Philippines  0.1
01 Nov 2020 06:00 Manolib Philippines  0.1
01 Nov 2020 06:00 Bangad Philippines  0.1