Overall Red Tropical Cyclone alert for GONI-20 in Philippines from 28 Oct 2020 00:00 UTC to 31 Oct 2020 00:00 UTC

31 Oct 2020 00 UTC

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Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone GONI-20 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GDACS
Exposed countries	Philippines
Exposed population	24.4 million in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	315 km/h
Maximum storm surge	1.4 m (01 Nov 14:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	Medium (Philippines)
Landfall	between 31 Oct 2020 12:00 - 01 Nov 2020 00:00 in Philippines

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	278 km/h	1.5 m	n.a.	2.5
Overall	315 km/h	1.4 m	n.a.	2.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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Wind

278 km/h Current Max.

Up to 26.4 million people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher	Countries
1	28 Oct 2020 00:00	167	53.6 million	24 million	Philippines
2	28 Oct 2020 06:00	194	50.1 million	25.8 million	Philippines
3	28 Oct 2020 12:00	148	50.4 million	2.3 million	Philippines
4	28 Oct 2020 18:00	194	51.2 million	2.2 million	Philippines
5	29 Oct 2020 00:00	222	49.7 million	6.5 million	Philippines
6	29 Oct 2020 06:00	231	53.2 million	6.5 million	Philippines
7	29 Oct 2020 12:00	213	48.2 million	6.1 million	Philippines
8	29 Oct 2020 18:00	231	51.4 million	6.1 million	Philippines
9	30 Oct 2020 00:00	231	51 million	6.2 million	Philippines
10	30 Oct 2020 06:00	222	54 million	3.5 million	Philippines
11	30 Oct 2020 12:00	231	55.7 million	6.8 million	Philippines
12	30 Oct 2020 18:00	259	61.7 million	21.9 million	Philippines
13	31 Oct 2020 00:00	278	58.9 million	26.4 million	Philippines

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)	Countries
1	28 Oct 2020 00:00	Tropical depression	46	no people	no people	16.6, 140.1
2	28 Oct 2020 06:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	16.6, 139.5
3	28 Oct 2020 12:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	16.6, 138.7
4	28 Oct 2020 18:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	16.6, 137.5
5	29 Oct 2020 00:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	no people	16.5, 136.6
6	29 Oct 2020 06:00	Category 1	130	no people	no people	16.8, 135.8
7	29 Oct 2020 12:00	Category 1	148	no people	no people	16.7, 134.6
8	29 Oct 2020 18:00	Category 4	222	no people	no people	16.3, 133.4
9	30 Oct 2020 00:00	Category 4	231	no people	no people	16.3, 132.7
10	30 Oct 2020 06:00	Category 5	278	no people	no people	16.3, 131.6
11	30 Oct 2020 12:00	Category 5	287	no people	no people	16.1, 130.9
12	30 Oct 2020 18:00	Category 5	287	no people	no people	15.8, 129.9
13	31 Oct 2020 00:00	Category 5	296	no people	120000 people	15.3, 128.8
13	31 Oct 2020 12:00	Category 5	278	110000 people	11.2 million people	14.5, 126.3
13	01 Nov 2020 00:00	Category 4	250	25.4 million people	50.4 million people	14.2, 123.4	Philippines
13	01 Nov 2020 12:00	Category 2	157	20.9 million people	44 million people	14.6, 120.8	Philippines
13	02 Nov 2020 00:00	Category 1	139	no people	no people	14.9, 118
13	03 Nov 2020 00:00	Tropical storm	111	no people	440000 people	15, 113.8
13	04 Nov 2020 00:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	7.8 million people	14.9, 110.3
13	05 Nov 2020 00:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	no people	14.8, 107.4	Laos, Viet Nam, Cambodia

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

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Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country
Philippines

Provinces

Region Province	Country
Bicol	Philippines
Southern Tagalog	Philippines
Central Luzon	Philippines
National Capital Region	Philippines

Populated places

Name	Region Province	Country	City class	Population
Santa Cruz	Southern Tagalog	Philippines	City	110000 people
Binangonan	Southern Tagalog	Philippines	City	220000 people
Antipolo	Southern Tagalog	Philippines	City	540000 people
San Mateo	Southern Tagalog	Philippines	City	130000 people
Taytay	Southern Tagalog	Philippines	City	230000 people
Calamba	Southern Tagalog	Philippines	City	310000 people
Quezon City	National Capital Region	Philippines	Major city	1.7 million people
Santa Rosa	Southern Tagalog	Philippines	City	2700 people
Binãn	Southern Tagalog	Philippines	City	200000 people
Manila	National Capital Region	Philippines	Capital	10.2 million people
Meycauayan	Central Luzon	Philippines	City	180000 people
Imus	Southern Tagalog	Philippines	City	210000 people
Cavite	Cavite City	Philippines	City	120000 people
Pulilan	Central Luzon	Philippines	City	76000 people
Malolos	Central Luzon	Philippines	City	200000 people
Naic	Southern Tagalog	Philippines	City	55000 people
Hagonoy	Central Luzon	Philippines	City	120000 people
Olongapo	Central Luzon	Philippines	City	220000 people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name	IATA Code	Elevation (m)	Usage	Runway type	IFR	Runway Length (ft)
Daet	DTE	3	Civ.	Paved	No	3700
Larap		5				0
Ninoy Aquino International	MNL	23	Civ.	Paved	Yes	12200
Sangley Point AB	SGL	2	Mil.	Paved	No	8600
Subic Bay International Airpt	SFS	17	Civ.	Paved	Yes	9000

Ports

Name	LOCODE	Country
Tandoc	PHTDC	Philippines
Mercedes		Philippines
Paracale		Philippines
Jose Panganiban	PHJPM	Philippines
Dahikan		Philippines
Polillo Island		Philippines
Mauban		Philippines
Puerto Real		Philippines
Manila	PHMNL	Philippines
Navotas		Philippines
Cavite	PHCVE	Philippines
Bataan	PHBTN	Philippines
Mariveles		Philippines
Subic Bay	PHSFS	Philippines

Dams

Reservoir	Dam Name	River	Year
Caliraya	Caliraya	Caliraya	1949

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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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StormSurge

1.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 1.5m in Abucay, Philippines. This height is estimated for 01 Nov 2020 14:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (224 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 13 of 31 Oct 2020 00:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	01 Nov 2020 14:00	Abucay	Philippines	1.5
	01 Nov 2020 14:00	Balanga	Philippines	1.5
	01 Nov 2020 13:00	Pilar	Philippines	1.2
	01 Nov 2020 13:00	Orion	Philippines	1.1
	01 Nov 2020 01:00	Union	Philippines	1.0
	01 Nov 2020 01:00	Tinambac	Philippines	1.0
	01 Nov 2020 01:00	Magtang	Philippines	1.0
	01 Nov 2020 01:00	Lamon	Philippines	1.0
	01 Nov 2020 14:00	Pamarauan	Philippines	1.0
	01 Nov 2020 14:00	Hermosa	Philippines	1.0
	01 Nov 2020 14:00	Orani	Philippines	1.0
	01 Nov 2020 14:00	Samal	Philippines	1.0
	01 Nov 2020 03:00	Jose Panganiban	Philippines	1.0
	01 Nov 2020 04:00	Capalonga	Philippines	0.9
	01 Nov 2020 01:00	Miguel	Philippines	0.9
	01 Nov 2020 04:00	Mactang	Philippines	0.9
	01 Nov 2020 01:00	San Vicente	Philippines	0.8
	01 Nov 2020 02:00	Vinzons	Philippines	0.8
	01 Nov 2020 00:00	Tandoc	Philippines	0.8
	01 Nov 2020 03:00	Paracale	Philippines	0.8
	01 Nov 2020 05:00	Apad Lutao	Philippines	0.8
	01 Nov 2020 04:00	Binauangan	Philippines	0.8
	01 Nov 2020 03:00	Alayao	Philippines	0.8
	01 Nov 2020 05:00	Calaguikhik	Philippines	0.8
	01 Nov 2020 04:00	Talingting	Philippines	0.8
	01 Nov 2020 06:00	Caluekan	Philippines	0.8
	01 Nov 2020 04:00	Pangas	Philippines	0.7
	01 Nov 2020 15:00	Meycauayan	Philippines	0.7
	01 Nov 2020 05:00	Buenavista	Philippines	0.7
	01 Nov 2020 05:00	Amontay	Philippines	0.7
	01 Nov 2020 15:00	Tanza	Philippines	0.7
	01 Nov 2020 15:00	Tinajeros	Philippines	0.7
	01 Nov 2020 01:00	Tagontong	Philippines	0.7
	01 Nov 2020 01:00	Mambongalon	Philippines	0.7
	01 Nov 2020 13:00	Limay	Philippines	0.7
	01 Nov 2020 02:00	Talaga	Philippines	0.6
	01 Nov 2020 02:00	Banacboc	Philippines	0.6
	01 Nov 2020 08:00	Labayat	Philippines	0.6
	01 Nov 2020 15:00	Caloocan	Philippines	0.6
	01 Nov 2020 15:00	Manila	Philippines	0.6
	01 Nov 2020 15:00	Imus	Philippines	0.5
	31 Oct 2020 23:00	Balaton	Philippines	0.5
	01 Nov 2020 01:00	Daet	Philippines	0.5
	01 Nov 2020 05:00	Cabag	Philippines	0.5
	01 Nov 2020 05:00	Lopez	Philippines	0.5
	01 Nov 2020 05:00	Calauag	Philippines	0.5
	01 Nov 2020 01:00	Barceloneta	Philippines	0.5
	01 Nov 2020 05:00	Argosino	Philippines	0.5
	01 Nov 2020 07:00	Calamias	Philippines	0.5
	01 Nov 2020 05:00	Apad	Philippines	0.5
	01 Nov 2020 15:00	Cavite	Philippines	0.5
	01 Nov 2020 06:00	Alabat	Philippines	0.4
	01 Nov 2020 15:00	Tanza	Philippines	0.4
	01 Nov 2020 15:00	Binakayan	Philippines	0.4
	01 Nov 2020 05:00	Mascarina	Philippines	0.4
	01 Nov 2020 05:00	Gumaca	Philippines	0.4
	01 Nov 2020 15:00	Cabcaben	Philippines	0.4
	31 Oct 2020 22:00	Bagas	Philippines	0.4
	01 Nov 2020 01:00	Mandao	Philippines	0.4
	01 Nov 2020 01:00	Barana	Philippines	0.4
	01 Nov 2020 15:00	General Trias	Philippines	0.4
	01 Nov 2020 14:00	Bagac	Philippines	0.4
	01 Nov 2020 07:00	Perez	Philippines	0.4
	01 Nov 2020 06:00	Cavilla	Philippines	0.4
	01 Nov 2020 05:00	Concepcion	Philippines	0.4
	01 Nov 2020 07:00	Bisliang	Philippines	0.4
	01 Nov 2020 15:00	Amaya	Philippines	0.4
	01 Nov 2020 15:00	Tehero	Philippines	0.4
	31 Oct 2020 22:00	Bikal	Philippines	0.4
	31 Oct 2020 23:00	Gongonan	Philippines	0.4
	31 Oct 2020 23:00	Mapid	Philippines	0.4
	01 Nov 2020 14:00	Morong	Philippines	0.4
	01 Nov 2020 05:00	Atimonan	Philippines	0.4
	01 Nov 2020 08:00	Abucay	Philippines	0.4
	31 Oct 2020 22:00	Bitaogan	Philippines	0.3
	31 Oct 2020 21:00	Pandan	Philippines	0.3
	01 Nov 2020 05:00	Jomalig	Philippines	0.3
	01 Nov 2020 08:00	Cabungalunan	Philippines	0.3
	01 Nov 2020 15:00	Silanguin	Philippines	0.3
	01 Nov 2020 06:00	Patnanongan	Philippines	0.3
	01 Nov 2020 08:00	Real	Philippines	0.3
	01 Nov 2020 14:00	Paysawan	Philippines	0.3
	01 Nov 2020 05:00	San Jose	Philippines	0.3
	01 Nov 2020 05:00	Mauban	Philippines	0.3
	01 Nov 2020 15:00	Naic	Philippines	0.3
	31 Oct 2020 22:00	Garchitorena	Philippines	0.3
	31 Oct 2020 22:00	Adiagnao	Philippines	0.3
	31 Oct 2020 22:00	Calolbon	Philippines	0.3
	01 Nov 2020 14:00	Mariveles	Philippines	0.3
	01 Nov 2020 08:00	Infanta	Philippines	0.2
	01 Nov 2020 14:00	Maragondon	Philippines	0.2
	01 Nov 2020 06:00	Polillo	Philippines	0.2
	04 Nov 2020 00:00	Tuyet iem	Vietnam	0.2
	04 Nov 2020 00:00	Thanh Thuy	Vietnam	0.2
	04 Nov 2020 00:00	An Hai	Vietnam	0.2
	04 Nov 2020 00:00	Dien Truong	Vietnam	0.2
	31 Oct 2020 21:00	Gitoma	Philippines	0.2
	04 Nov 2020 00:00	Phu Xuan Ha	Vietnam	0.2
	31 Oct 2020 22:00	Guijalo	Philippines	0.2
	31 Oct 2020 21:00	Pandanan	Philippines	0.2
	31 Oct 2020 21:00	Manambrag	Philippines	0.2
	01 Nov 2020 08:00	Panukulan	Philippines	0.2
	04 Nov 2020 00:00	Da Nang	Vietnam	0.2
	04 Nov 2020 00:00	Tam Quan	Vietnam	0.2
	04 Nov 2020 00:00	Ap Quan Nam	Vietnam	0.2
	01 Nov 2020 15:00	Subic	Philippines	0.2
	01 Nov 2020 15:00	Olongapo	Philippines	0.2
	31 Oct 2020 21:00	Colongcogong	Philippines	0.2
	01 Nov 2020 08:00	Ngalan	Philippines	0.2
	01 Nov 2020 16:00	San Felipe	Philippines	0.2
	04 Nov 2020 00:00	Phu Bai	Vietnam	0.2
	04 Nov 2020 00:00	Ky Tan	Vietnam	0.2
	04 Nov 2020 00:00	Duc Pho	Vietnam	0.2
	31 Oct 2020 21:00	Sialat	Philippines	0.2
	03 Nov 2020 11:00	Jinhe	China	0.2
	03 Nov 2020 11:00	Wai-lo	China	0.2
	04 Nov 2020 00:00	Hoi An	Vietnam	0.2
	04 Nov 2020 00:00	An Thach	Vietnam	0.2
	04 Nov 2020 00:00	An Cu	Vietnam	0.2
	04 Nov 2020 00:00	An Lac	Vietnam	0.2
	03 Nov 2020 12:00	Tung-li	China	0.2
	31 Oct 2020 21:00	Caramoan	Philippines	0.2
	31 Oct 2020 20:00	Bagalay	Philippines	0.2
	03 Nov 2020 14:00	Huangwu	China	0.2
	03 Nov 2020 14:00	Bengtang	China	0.2
	03 Nov 2020 14:00	Houhai	China	0.2
	03 Nov 2020 14:00	Baisha	China	0.2
	03 Nov 2020 14:00	Shaoyao	China	0.2
	03 Nov 2020 14:00	Xingyou	China	0.2
	03 Nov 2020 14:00	Huangpo	China	0.2
	03 Nov 2020 14:00	Chiu-wu-ch'uan	China	0.2
	04 Nov 2020 00:00	Phung Chinh	Vietnam	0.2
	04 Nov 2020 00:00	Thon Phu An	Vietnam	0.2
	03 Nov 2020 11:00	Longtang	China	0.2
	04 Nov 2020 00:00	Chanh Giao	Vietnam	0.2
	03 Nov 2020 12:00	Xianmai	China	0.2
	03 Nov 2020 13:00	Dongjian	China	0.2
	03 Nov 2020 12:00	Dongli	China	0.2
	01 Nov 2020 08:00	Kinasakitan	Philippines	0.1
	01 Nov 2020 08:00	Magdalo	Philippines	0.1
	03 Nov 2020 11:00	Houhu	China	0.1
	03 Nov 2020 11:00	Nayan	China	0.1
	03 Nov 2020 11:00	Doulongcun	China	0.1
	03 Nov 2020 11:00	Meilu	China	0.1
	03 Nov 2020 11:00	Hai-lu	China	0.1
	04 Nov 2020 00:00	Xom Da Me	Vietnam	0.1
	04 Nov 2020 00:00	Thai Duong Thuong	Vietnam	0.1
	04 Nov 2020 00:00	Thon Thai Duong Ha	Vietnam	0.1
	04 Nov 2020 00:00	Thon My Khanh	Vietnam	0.1
	04 Nov 2020 00:00	Mui Chon Dong	Vietnam	0.1
	04 Nov 2020 00:00	An Thuan	Vietnam	0.1
	04 Nov 2020 00:00	Thon My Thuy	Vietnam	0.1
	04 Nov 2020 00:00	Ca Cong	Vietnam	0.1
	04 Nov 2020 00:00	Vinh Hoi	Vietnam	0.1
	03 Nov 2020 13:00	Longshe	China	0.1
	03 Nov 2020 13:00	Taiping	China	0.1
	01 Nov 2020 16:00	San Antonio	Philippines	0.1
	04 Nov 2020 00:00	Mui Da Nang	Vietnam	0.1
	03 Nov 2020 11:00	Qianshan	China	0.1
	04 Nov 2020 00:00	The Chi Tay	Vietnam	0.1
	04 Nov 2020 00:00	Giem Ha Trung	Vietnam	0.1
	04 Nov 2020 00:00	Dong Ha	Vietnam	0.1
	04 Nov 2020 00:00	Kin-hon	Vietnam	0.1
	03 Nov 2020 14:00	Hele	China	0.1
	04 Nov 2020 00:00	Ha Tru	Vietnam	0.1
	04 Nov 2020 00:00	Phu Loc	Vietnam	0.1
	04 Nov 2020 00:00	Cat Son Phuong	Vietnam	0.1
	04 Nov 2020 00:00	Mui Lay	Vietnam	0.1
	04 Nov 2020 00:00	Ly Nhon Thon	Vietnam	0.1
	04 Nov 2020 00:00	Dong Hoi	Vietnam	0.1
	01 Nov 2020 05:00	Catabanga	Philippines	0.1
	03 Nov 2020 14:00	Boao	China	0.1
	31 Oct 2020 20:00	Panganiban	Philippines	0.1
	01 Nov 2020 06:00	Calutcot	Philippines	0.1
	01 Nov 2020 08:00	Libjo	Philippines	0.1
	01 Nov 2020 06:00	Capuluan	Philippines	0.1
	01 Nov 2020 16:00	Cabangan	Philippines	0.1
	01 Nov 2020 16:00	Maloma	Philippines	0.1
	03 Nov 2020 12:00	Ch'i-ching	China	0.1
	03 Nov 2020 12:00	Dianbai	China	0.1
	03 Nov 2020 12:00	Danchang	China	0.1
	03 Nov 2020 12:00	Magang	China	0.1
	03 Nov 2020 12:00	Diancheng	China	0.1
	03 Nov 2020 12:00	Shuidong	China	0.1
	04 Nov 2020 00:00	La Son	Vietnam	0.1
	04 Nov 2020 00:00	Xom Lap	Vietnam	0.1
	04 Nov 2020 00:00	Ba Don	Vietnam	0.1
	04 Nov 2020 00:00	Tho Ngoa	Vietnam	0.1
	01 Nov 2020 06:00	Hiwasayan	Philippines	0.1
	03 Nov 2020 13:00	Chen Lan	China	0.1
	03 Nov 2020 13:00	Qinglan	China	0.1
	04 Nov 2020 00:00	Hau Con	Vietnam	0.1
	04 Nov 2020 00:00	Con Soi	Vietnam	0.1
	01 Nov 2020 04:00	Liboro	Philippines	0.1
	31 Oct 2020 22:00	Magnesia	Philippines	0.1
	01 Nov 2020 07:00	Pag-aguasan	Philippines	0.1
	01 Nov 2020 08:00	Binibitinan	Philippines	0.1
	01 Nov 2020 14:00	Looc	Philippines	0.1
	01 Nov 2020 15:00	Pundaquit	Philippines	0.1
	01 Nov 2020 15:00	San Narciso	Philippines	0.1
	03 Nov 2020 11:00	Rudong	China	0.1
	03 Nov 2020 11:00	Shangyang	China	0.1
	03 Nov 2020 11:00	Santouzui	China	0.1
	03 Nov 2020 11:00	Hsi-t'ou	China	0.1
	03 Nov 2020 10:00	Lengzilin	China	0.1
	03 Nov 2020 10:00	Baipu	China	0.1
	03 Nov 2020 10:00	Pinggang	China	0.1
	04 Nov 2020 00:00	Cua Thon	Vietnam	0.1
	04 Nov 2020 00:00	Song Cau	Vietnam	0.1
	04 Nov 2020 00:00	Tuo Nham	Vietnam	0.1
	04 Nov 2020 00:00	Dan Phu	Vietnam	0.1
	04 Nov 2020 00:00	Vinh Ang	Vietnam	0.1
	04 Nov 2020 00:00	Kiem Long	Vietnam	0.1
	04 Nov 2020 00:00	Lang Loi	Vietnam	0.1
	04 Nov 2020 00:00	Vinh Son	Vietnam	0.1
	01 Nov 2020 09:00	Lucena	Philippines	0.1
	01 Nov 2020 13:00	Nasugbu	Philippines	0.1
	01 Nov 2020 13:00	Lian	Philippines	0.1
	03 Nov 2020 04:00	Dalangwan	China	0.1
	03 Nov 2020 14:00	Yandun	China	0.1
	03 Nov 2020 14:00	Huiwen	China	0.1
	03 Nov 2020 12:00	Chengcun	China	0.1
	03 Nov 2020 23:00	Linwang	China	0.1
	04 Nov 2020 00:00	Trung Nghia	Vietnam	0.1