Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for TEDDY-20
in Canada, Bermuda,

Impact

Tropical Cyclone TEDDY-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS
Exposed countries Canada, Bermuda,
Exposed population 780 thousand in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 222 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (15 Sep 03:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Low (Canada)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
Current 194 km/h 0.2 m n.a. 0.5
Overall 222 km/h 0.2 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

Wind

194 km/h Current Max.

Up to 71000 people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm or higher
Population in
Cat 1. or higher
Countries
Green 1 12 Sep 2020 21:00 148 No people No people
Green 2 13 Sep 2020 03:00 167 No people No people
Green 3 13 Sep 2020 09:00 167 No people No people
Green 4 13 Sep 2020 15:00 176 No people No people
Green 5 13 Sep 2020 21:00 185 No people No people
Green 6 14 Sep 2020 03:00 185 No people No people
Green 7 14 Sep 2020 09:00 185 No people No people
Green 8 14 Sep 2020 15:00 185 No people No people
Green 9 14 Sep 2020 21:00 194 No people No people
Green 10 15 Sep 2020 03:00 194 No people No people
Green 11 15 Sep 2020 09:00 204 No people No people
Green 12 15 Sep 2020 15:00 204 No people No people
Green 13 15 Sep 2020 21:00 194 No people No people
Green 14 16 Sep 2020 03:00 185 No people No people
Green 15 16 Sep 2020 07:00 194 No people No people
Green 16 16 Sep 2020 09:00 213 70 thousand No people Bermuda
Green 17 16 Sep 2020 15:00 213 70 thousand No people Bermuda
Green 18 16 Sep 2020 21:00 194 70 thousand 70 thousand Bermuda

Bulletin Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Category
(SSHS)
Max winds
(km/h)
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Population in
Tropical Storm
or higher
Location (lat, lon) Countries
GREEN
1 12 Sep 2020 21:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 11.4, -33.5
GREEN
2 13 Sep 2020 03:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 11.9, -34.6
GREEN
3 13 Sep 2020 09:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 12.2, -35.5
GREEN
4 13 Sep 2020 15:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 12.3, -36.4
GREEN
5 13 Sep 2020 21:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 12.7, -37.6
GREEN
6 14 Sep 2020 03:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 13, -39
GREEN
7 14 Sep 2020 09:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 13.4, -40.4
GREEN
8 14 Sep 2020 15:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 12.8, -42.8
GREEN
9 14 Sep 2020 21:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 13, -44
GREEN
10 15 Sep 2020 03:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 13.2, -45
GREEN
11 15 Sep 2020 09:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 13.7, -46
GREEN
12 15 Sep 2020 15:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 14, -47
GREEN
13 15 Sep 2020 21:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 14.6, -47.9
GREEN
14 16 Sep 2020 03:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people 15, -48.3
GREEN
15 16 Sep 2020 07:00 Category 1 148 no people no people 15.5, -48.7
GREEN
16 16 Sep 2020 09:00 Category 2 157 no people no people 15.8, -49
GREEN
17 16 Sep 2020 15:00 Category 2 157 no people no people 16.5, -49.7
GREEN
18 16 Sep 2020 21:00 Category 2 157 no people no people 17.5, -50.8
GREEN
18 17 Sep 2020 06:00 Category 2 167 no people no people 18.6, -52
GREEN
18 17 Sep 2020 18:00 Category 3 185 no people no people 20, -53.4
GREEN
18 18 Sep 2020 06:00 Category 3 194 no people no people 21.5, -54.9
GREEN
18 18 Sep 2020 18:00 Category 3 194 no people no people 23, -56.3
GREEN
18 19 Sep 2020 06:00 Category 3 185 no people no people 24.8, -58
GREEN
18 19 Sep 2020 18:00 Category 3 185 no people no people 26.5, -60.2
GREEN
18 20 Sep 2020 18:00 Category 2 167 71000 people 71000 people 29.5, -63.6
GREEN
18 21 Sep 2020 18:00 Category 2 157 no people no people 33.3, -64.6
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
Download:



Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country
Bermuda

Provinces

Region Province Country
Bermuda Bermuda

Populated places

Name Region Province Country City class Population
Hamilton Bermuda Capital <1000 people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
Bermuda International BDA 4 Mil. Paved Yes 9700

Ports

Name LOCODE Country
Saint George BMSGE Bermuda
Bermuda Bermuda
Hamilton BMBDA Bermuda
Somerset Bermuda

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Burnside, Suriname. This height is estimated for 15 Sep 2020 03:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (6 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 18 of 16 Sep 2020 21:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
15 Sep 2020 03:00 Burnside Suriname  0.2
15 Sep 2020 03:00 Totness Suriname  0.2
15 Sep 2020 05:00 Nieuw Amsterdam Suriname  0.2
15 Sep 2020 03:00 Nieuw Nickerie Suriname  0.1
15 Sep 2020 05:00 Organabo French Guiana  0.1
15 Sep 2020 05:00 Hamilton Suriname  0.1