Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for ESTHER-20
in Australia
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone ESTHER-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS
Exposed countries Australia
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 93 km/h
Maximum storm surge 1.6 m (25 Feb 06:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Low (Australia)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
Current 102 km/h 1.6 m n.a. 0.5
Overall 93 km/h 1.6 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

Wind

102 km/h Current Max.

Up to 7400 people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm or higher
Population in
Cat 1. or higher
Countries
Green 1 23 Feb 2020 12:00 102 6 thousand No people Australia
Green 2 23 Feb 2020 18:00 102 7 thousand No people Australia

Bulletin Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Category
(SSHS)
Max winds
(km/h)
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Population in
Tropical Storm
or higher
Location (lat, lon) Countries
GREEN
1 23 Feb 2020 12:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 3100 people -15.5, 139.5 Australia
GREEN
2 23 Feb 2020 18:00 Tropical storm 74 no people 3200 people -16.1, 139.1 Australia
GREEN
2 24 Feb 2020 06:00 Tropical storm 102 no people 4300 people -16.9, 138 Australia
GREEN
2 24 Feb 2020 18:00 Tropical storm 83 no people 2000 people -17.1, 136.5 Australia
GREEN
2 25 Feb 2020 06:00 Tropical storm 74 no people 1600 people -17.2, 134.8 Australia
GREEN
2 25 Feb 2020 18:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 2300 people -17.1, 133.4 Australia
GREEN
2 26 Feb 2020 18:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people -16.2, 130.2 Australia
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
Download:



Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country
Australia

Provinces

Region Province Country
Queensland Australia
Northern Territory Australia

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
Mornington Island ONG 10 Civ. Unpaved Yes 4900
Wollogorang WLL unknown 0
Burketown BUC 15 Civ. Paved Yes 4500
Doomafgee DMD 47 Civ. Unpaved No 5400
Robinson River RRV unknown 0
Borroloola BOX 16 Civ. Paved Yes 4000
McArthur River Mine 40 Priv. Paved Yes 4900
Cresswell Downs CSD unknown 0
Anthony Lagoon AYL unknown 0
Eva Downs EVD unknown 0
Daly Waters DYW unknown 0
Delamere 223 0
Camfield CFI unknown 0
Wave Hill WAV 201 Civ. Unpaved Yes 3000
Victoria R. Downs VCD unknown 0
Coolibah COB unknown 0
Humbert River HUB unknown 0
Mt. Sandford MTD unknown 0
Timber Creek TBK unknown 0
Auvergne AVG unknown 0
Newry NRY unknown 0

Ports

Name LOCODE Country
Mornington Island Coral Sea Islands
Bentinck Island Coral Sea Islands

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

StormSurge

1.6 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  1.6m in Karumba, Australia. This height is estimated for 25 Feb 2020 06:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (127 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 2 of 23 Feb 2020 18:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
25 Feb 2020 06:00 Karumba Australia  1.6
25 Feb 2020 07:00 Kowanyama Australia  1.0
23 Feb 2020 19:00 Mapoon Australia  1.0
23 Feb 2020 19:00 Taroea Anim Indonesia  1.0
25 Feb 2020 18:00 Alyangula Australia  0.9
25 Feb 2020 10:00 Kulinchin Australia  0.9
25 Feb 2020 07:00 Weipa Australia  0.8
25 Feb 2020 07:00 Weipa South Australia  0.8
25 Feb 2020 18:00 Numbulwar Australia  0.8
24 Feb 2020 19:00 Port Kennedy Australia  0.8
23 Feb 2020 19:00 Birab Indonesia  0.8
23 Feb 2020 21:00 Cape York Australia  0.8
25 Feb 2020 20:00 Nhulunbuy Australia  0.8
25 Feb 2020 19:00 Caburinga Village Australia  0.7
25 Feb 2020 20:00 Gove Australia  0.7
25 Feb 2020 20:00 Yirrkala Mission Australia  0.7
25 Feb 2020 20:00 Yirrkala Australia  0.7
24 Feb 2020 19:00 Badu Australia  0.7
23 Feb 2020 19:00 Dolatanden Indonesia  0.7
24 Feb 2020 19:00 Hammond I Australia  0.7
24 Feb 2020 00:00 Sarire Indonesia  0.7
25 Feb 2020 20:00 Jara Papua New Guinea  0.7
23 Feb 2020 23:00 Kumbe Indonesia  0.7
23 Feb 2020 19:00 Otsjanep Indonesia  0.7
25 Feb 2020 20:00 Bula Papua New Guinea  0.7
24 Feb 2020 20:00 Seisia Australia  0.7
24 Feb 2020 00:00 Merauke Indonesia  0.7
23 Feb 2020 20:00 Per Indonesia  0.6
23 Feb 2020 20:00 Jow Indonesia  0.6
23 Feb 2020 20:00 Amborip Indonesia  0.6
23 Feb 2020 20:00 Biwarlaut Indonesia  0.6
24 Feb 2020 00:00 Anansai Indonesia  0.6
24 Feb 2020 00:00 Wendu Indonesia  0.6
24 Feb 2020 00:00 Matara Indonesia  0.6
24 Feb 2020 00:00 Urum Indonesia  0.6
25 Feb 2020 18:00 Onggalie Indonesia  0.6
24 Feb 2020 23:00 Kladar Indonesia  0.6
24 Feb 2020 23:00 Sabon Indonesia  0.6
24 Feb 2020 23:00 Tor Indonesia  0.6
25 Feb 2020 18:00 Kotad Indonesia  0.6
25 Feb 2020 18:00 Dumande Indonesia  0.6
23 Feb 2020 20:00 Agats Indonesia  0.6
25 Feb 2020 18:00 Papisote Indonesia  0.6
25 Feb 2020 18:00 Welab Indonesia  0.6
25 Feb 2020 19:00 Alakoe Indonesia  0.6
25 Feb 2020 19:00 Alatepi Indonesia  0.6
25 Feb 2020 18:00 Kobiem Indonesia  0.6
25 Feb 2020 19:00 Okaba Indonesia  0.6
25 Feb 2020 19:00 Moegaigare Indonesia  0.6
23 Feb 2020 21:00 Jofar Indonesia  0.6
25 Feb 2020 18:00 Wamal Indonesia  0.6
25 Feb 2020 18:00 Gelib Indonesia  0.6
25 Feb 2020 18:00 Komoran Indonesia  0.5
23 Feb 2020 16:00 Running Creek Australia  0.5
25 Feb 2020 18:00 Pasirputih Indonesia  0.5
25 Feb 2020 18:00 Selemit Indonesia  0.5
25 Feb 2020 18:00 Konerau Indonesia  0.5
25 Feb 2020 18:00 Wan Indonesia  0.4
23 Feb 2020 16:00 Aloszville Australia  0.4
23 Feb 2020 16:00 Coolbie Australia  0.3
23 Feb 2020 16:00 Halifax Australia  0.3
23 Feb 2020 16:00 Mutarnee Australia  0.3
23 Feb 2020 16:00 Moongobulla Australia  0.3
25 Feb 2020 08:00 Nightcliff Australia  0.3
25 Feb 2020 08:00 Leanyer Australia  0.3
23 Feb 2020 16:00 Rollingstone Australia  0.3
23 Feb 2020 16:00 Kinduro Australia  0.3
23 Feb 2020 15:00 Lower Tully Australia  0.3
23 Feb 2020 15:00 South Mission Beach Australia  0.3
23 Feb 2020 16:00 Cassady Australia  0.3
23 Feb 2020 16:00 Lucinda Australia  0.2
23 Feb 2020 16:00 Oolbun Australia  0.2
26 Feb 2020 01:00 Sidabadu Papua New Guinea  0.2
26 Feb 2020 01:00 Saibai Australia  0.2
26 Feb 2020 01:00 Hamlet of Togo Papua New Guinea  0.2
26 Feb 2020 01:00 Mabaduan Papua New Guinea  0.2
26 Feb 2020 08:00 Minjilang Australia  0.2
24 Feb 2020 23:00 Longar Indonesia  0.2
24 Feb 2020 23:00 Baimoeh Indonesia  0.2
24 Feb 2020 23:00 Gomo Gomo Indonesia  0.2
24 Feb 2020 23:00 Masian Indonesia  0.2
23 Feb 2020 16:00 Alva Australia  0.2
24 Feb 2020 23:00 Krai Indonesia  0.2
23 Feb 2020 16:00 Carstairs Australia  0.2
23 Feb 2020 16:00 Jarvisfield Australia  0.2
23 Feb 2020 16:00 Rita Island Australia  0.2
24 Feb 2020 22:00 Oud Krai Indonesia  0.2
24 Feb 2020 22:00 Krei-lama Indonesia  0.2
24 Feb 2020 22:00 Diommon Indonesia  0.2
24 Feb 2020 22:00 Doka Indonesia  0.2
23 Feb 2020 14:00 Mossman Australia  0.2
23 Feb 2020 14:00 Miallo Australia  0.2
23 Feb 2020 14:00 Wonga Australia  0.2
23 Feb 2020 14:00 Port Douglas Australia  0.2
23 Feb 2020 14:00 Hockley Australia  0.2
23 Feb 2020 18:00 Cooktown Australia  0.1
24 Feb 2020 22:00 Wadjin Indonesia  0.1
24 Feb 2020 23:00 Djamboeai Indonesia  0.1
24 Feb 2020 23:00 Barakan Indonesia  0.1
23 Feb 2020 16:00 Elim Australia  0.1
23 Feb 2020 14:00 Trinity Beach Australia  0.1
23 Feb 2020 19:00 Carmila Australia  0.1
23 Feb 2020 19:00 Flaggy Rock Australia  0.1
23 Feb 2020 19:00 Elalie Australia  0.1
23 Feb 2020 19:00 Kalarka Australia  0.1
23 Feb 2020 19:00 Clairview Australia  0.1
23 Feb 2020 19:00 Saint Lawrence Australia  0.1
24 Feb 2020 22:00 Ngaibor Indonesia  0.1
25 Feb 2020 22:00 Ok Village Australia  0.1
24 Feb 2020 22:00 Kobadangar Indonesia  0.1
25 Feb 2020 23:00 Rabal Indonesia  0.1
23 Feb 2020 14:00 Ayton Australia  0.1
23 Feb 2020 14:00 Barron Falls Australia  0.1
23 Feb 2020 14:00 Freshwater Australia  0.1
23 Feb 2020 14:00 Yorkeys Knob Australia  0.1
23 Feb 2020 14:00 Stratford Australia  0.1
24 Feb 2020 22:00 Djoering Indonesia  0.1
24 Feb 2020 22:00 Pono Indonesia  0.1
25 Feb 2020 23:00 Kangoerma Indonesia  0.1
23 Feb 2020 15:00 Innisfail Australia  0.1
26 Feb 2020 02:00 Basada Indonesia  0.1
26 Feb 2020 02:00 Karwai Indonesia  0.1
26 Feb 2020 02:00 Kobroor Indonesia  0.1
26 Feb 2020 02:00 Kedjabi Indonesia  0.1
26 Feb 2020 02:00 Keojabi Indonesia  0.1
25 Feb 2020 23:00 Fatural Indonesia  0.1
25 Feb 2020 23:00 Jerdera Indonesia  0.1