Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for HIKAA-19
in Oman, Saudi Arabia
23 Sep 2019 18 UTC
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  • GDACS JTWC
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

    Tropical Cyclone HIKAA-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

    Meteorological source GDACS
    Exposed countries Oman, Saudi Arabia
    Exposed population 2 thousand in Category 1 or higher
    Maximum wind speed 157 km/h
    Maximum storm surge 0.7 m (24 Sep 16:00 UTC)
    Vulnerability Medium (Oman)

    GDACS Score

    GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
    For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
      Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
    Current 130 km/h 0.7 m n.a. 0.5
    Overall 157 km/h 0.7 m n.a. 0.5

    Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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    Wind

      130 km/h Current Max.

      Up to <1000 people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

      Impact Timeline

        Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
        Tropical Storm or higher        		 Population in
        Cat 1. or higher        		 Countries
        Green 1 22 Sep 2019 18:00 74 30 thousand No people Oman, Saudi Arabia
        Green 2 23 Sep 2019 00:00 83 40 thousand No people Oman, Saudi Arabia
        Green 3 23 Sep 2019 06:00 120 40 thousand No people Oman
        Green 4 23 Sep 2019 12:00 120 40 thousand Few people Oman
        Green 5 23 Sep 2019 18:00 130 30 thousand Few people Oman

        Bulletin Timeline

          Alert N° Date (UTC) Category
          (SSHS)           		Max winds
          (km/h)           		Population in
          Cat.1 or higher           		Population in
          Tropical Storm
          or higher           		Location (lat, lon) Countries
          GREEN
          		 1 22 Sep 2019 18:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 20.5, 67.2
          GREEN
          		 2 23 Sep 2019 00:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 20.3, 65.9
          GREEN
          		 3 23 Sep 2019 06:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 20.2, 64.6
          GREEN
          		 4 23 Sep 2019 12:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people 20.2, 63.5
          GREEN
          		 5 23 Sep 2019 18:00 Category 1 130 no people no people 20.2, 62.3
          GREEN
          		 5 24 Sep 2019 06:00 Category 1 120 <1000 people 15000 people 20.1, 59.8 Oman
          GREEN
          		 5 24 Sep 2019 18:00 Tropical storm 93 no people 20000 people 19.9, 57.4 Oman
          GREEN
          		 5 25 Sep 2019 06:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 19.5, 54.7 Oman
          Actual track of the current bulletin
          The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
          Download:



          Exposed population - AoIs

          Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

          Countries

          Country
          Oman

          Provinces

          Region Province Country
          Al Wusta Oman

          Critical infrastructure

          Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

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          Rainfall

          Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

          ...

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          StormSurge

          0.7 m

          The maximum Storm surge height is  0.7m in As Sirab, Oman. This height is estimated for 24 Sep 2019 16:00 UTC .

          The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

          Locations affected by Storm surge (20 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 5 of 23 Sep 2019 18:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

          Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
          24 Sep 2019 16:00 As Sirab Oman  0.7
          24 Sep 2019 17:00 Al Khaluf Oman  0.5
          24 Sep 2019 18:00 Filim Oman  0.5
          24 Sep 2019 11:00 Al Kalban Oman  0.2
          24 Sep 2019 17:00 Nafun Oman  0.2
          24 Sep 2019 11:00 'Urf Oman  0.2
          24 Sep 2019 17:00 Sur Masirah Oman  0.2
          24 Sep 2019 17:00 Mursays Oman  0.2
          24 Sep 2019 10:00 Shiinzi Oman  0.1
          24 Sep 2019 11:00 Dawwah Oman  0.1
          24 Sep 2019 11:00 Dafiyat Oman  0.1
          24 Sep 2019 11:00 Dhuwwah Oman  0.1
          24 Sep 2019 11:00 Hiql Oman  0.1
          24 Sep 2019 18:00 Duqm Oman  0.1
          23 Sep 2019 06:00 Asarsa India  0.1
          23 Sep 2019 06:00 Tankari India  0.1
          24 Sep 2019 18:00 Maghilah Oman  0.1
          23 Sep 2019 06:00 Kambhat India  0.1
          23 Sep 2019 06:00 Kavi India  0.1
          23 Sep 2019 06:00 Sarod India  0.1