Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for JERRY-19
in Bermuda,Anguilla, Antigua and Barbuda, Anguilla
17 Sep 2019 15 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
  • GDACS NOAA
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

    Tropical Cyclone JERRY-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

    Meteorological source GDACS
    Exposed countries Bermuda,Anguilla, Antigua and Barbuda, Anguilla
    Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
    Maximum wind speed 167 km/h
    Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (21 Sep 12:00 UTC)
    Vulnerability Low (Bermuda)

    GDACS Score

    GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
    For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
      Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
    Current 148 km/h 0.2 m n.a. 0.5
    Overall 167 km/h 0.2 m n.a. 0.5

    Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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    Wind

      Impact Timeline

        Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
        Tropical Storm or higher        		 Population in
        Cat 1. or higher        		 Countries
        Green 1 17 Sep 2019 15:00 148 4 thousand No people Anguilla

        Bulletin Timeline

          Alert N° Date (UTC) Category
          (SSHS)           		Max winds
          (km/h)           		Population in
          Cat.1 or higher           		Population in
          Tropical Storm
          or higher           		Location (lat, lon) Countries
          GREEN
          		 1 17 Sep 2019 15:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 12.9, -44.9
          GREEN
          		 1 18 Sep 2019 00:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 13.8, -46.1
          GREEN
          		 1 18 Sep 2019 12:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 14.7, -47.9
          GREEN
          		 1 19 Sep 2019 00:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 15.5, -50.2
          GREEN
          		 1 19 Sep 2019 12:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 16.3, -52.9
          GREEN
          		 1 20 Sep 2019 12:00 Category 1 120 no people 4800 people 18.2, -59.2 Anguilla
          GREEN
          		 1 21 Sep 2019 12:00 Category 1 139 no people no people 20.2, -64.7
          GREEN
          		 1 22 Sep 2019 12:00 Category 1 148 no people no people 22.5, -69
          Actual track of the current bulletin
          The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
          Download:



          Exposed population - AoIs

          Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

          Critical infrastructure

          Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

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          Rainfall

          Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

          ...

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          StormSurge

          0.2 m

          The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in The Settlement, British Virgin Islands. This height is estimated for 21 Sep 2019 12:00 UTC .

          The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

          Locations affected by Storm surge (3 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 1 of 17 Sep 2019 15:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

          Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
          21 Sep 2019 12:00 The Settlement British Virgin Islands  0.2
          21 Sep 2019 11:00 Pacham Town British Virgin Islands  0.1
          21 Sep 2019 08:00 Spanish Town British Virgin Islands  0.1