Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for MARIO-19
in Mexico,
21 Sep 2019 00 UTC
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  • GDACS JTWC
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

    Tropical Cyclone MARIO-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

    Meteorological source GDACS
    Exposed countries Mexico,
    Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
    Maximum wind speed 139 km/h
    Maximum storm surge n.a.
    Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

    GDACS Score

    GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
    For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
      Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
    Current 102 km/h n.a. n.a. 0.5
    Overall 139 km/h 0.0 m n.a. 0.5

    Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

    TOP

    Wind

      102 km/h Current Max.

      Up to <1000 people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

      Impact Timeline

        Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
        Tropical Storm or higher        		 Population in
        Cat 1. or higher        		 Countries
        Green 1 17 Sep 2019 12:00 139 Few people No people
        Green 2 17 Sep 2019 18:00 130 Few people No people
        Green 3 18 Sep 2019 00:00 120 Few people No people
        Green 4 18 Sep 2019 06:00 120 Few people No people
        Green 5 18 Sep 2019 12:00 130 No people No people
        Green 6 18 Sep 2019 18:00 130 Few people No people
        Green 7 19 Sep 2019 00:00 130 Few people No people Mexico
        Green 8 19 Sep 2019 06:00 130 Few people No people Mexico
        Green 9 19 Sep 2019 12:00 111 Few people No people Mexico
        Green 10 19 Sep 2019 18:00 93 Few people No people
        Green 11 20 Sep 2019 00:00 111 Few people No people Mexico
        Green 12 20 Sep 2019 00:00 111 Few people No people Mexico
        Green 13 20 Sep 2019 12:00 111 Few people No people Mexico
        Green 14 20 Sep 2019 18:00 102 Few people No people Mexico
        Green 15 21 Sep 2019 00:00 102 Few people No people Mexico

        Bulletin Timeline

          Alert N° Date (UTC) Category
          (SSHS)           		Max winds
          (km/h)           		Population in
          Cat.1 or higher           		Population in
          Tropical Storm
          or higher           		Location (lat, lon) Countries
          GREEN
          		 1 17 Sep 2019 12:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 11.5, -108
          GREEN
          		 2 17 Sep 2019 18:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 12, -108.5
          GREEN
          		 3 18 Sep 2019 00:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 12.9, -108.9
          GREEN
          		 4 18 Sep 2019 06:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 13.4, -109.6
          GREEN
          		 5 18 Sep 2019 12:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 14.2, -110.7
          GREEN
          		 6 18 Sep 2019 18:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 14.6, -111.5
          GREEN
          		 7 19 Sep 2019 00:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 15.1, -112.1
          GREEN
          		 8 19 Sep 2019 06:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 15.6, -111.9
          GREEN
          		 9 19 Sep 2019 12:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 16.2, -111.9
          GREEN
          		 10 19 Sep 2019 18:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 16.7, -110.8
          GREEN
          		 11 20 Sep 2019 00:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 17.3, -110.4
          GREEN
          		 12 20 Sep 2019 00:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 17.3, -110.4
          GREEN
          		 13 20 Sep 2019 12:00 Tropical storm 102 no people <1000 people 17.7, -110.1 Mexico
          GREEN
          		 14 20 Sep 2019 18:00 Tropical storm 102 no people <1000 people 17.8, -110.1 Mexico
          GREEN
          		 15 21 Sep 2019 00:00 Tropical storm 102 no people <1000 people 18.2, -110.1 Mexico
          GREEN
          		 15 21 Sep 2019 12:00 Tropical storm 93 no people <1000 people 19.1, -110.4 Mexico
          GREEN
          		 15 22 Sep 2019 00:00 Tropical storm 83 no people <1000 people 20.3, -111
          GREEN
          		 15 22 Sep 2019 12:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 21.8, -111.9
          GREEN
          		 15 23 Sep 2019 00:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 23.3, -112.9
          GREEN
          		 15 24 Sep 2019 00:00 Tropical depression 37 no people no people 26, -115
          Actual track of the current bulletin
          The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
          Download:



          Exposed population - AoIs

          Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

          Countries

          Country
          Mexico

          Provinces

          Region Province Country
          Baja California Sur Mexico

          Critical infrastructure

          Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

          Airports

          Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
          Isla Socorro 100 0

          Ports

          Name LOCODE Country
          Socorro Island Mexico
          TOP

          Rainfall

          Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

          ...

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          StormSurge

          The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.