Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for FERNAND-19
in Mexico
03 Sep 2019 09 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
  • GDACS NOAA
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

    Tropical Cyclone FERNAND-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

    Meteorological source GDACS
    Exposed countries Mexico
    Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
    Maximum wind speed 102 km/h
    Maximum storm surge 0.5 m (04 Sep 22:00 UTC)
    Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

    GDACS Score

    GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
    For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
      Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
    Current 74 km/h 0.5 m n.a. 0.5
    Overall 102 km/h 0.5 m n.a. 0.5

    Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

    TOP

    Wind

      74 km/h Current Max.

      Up to 110000 people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

      Impact Timeline

        Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
        Tropical Storm or higher        		 Population in
        Cat 1. or higher        		 Countries
        Green 1 03 Sep 2019 09:00 74 110 thousand No people Mexico

        Bulletin Timeline

          Alert N° Date (UTC) Category
          (SSHS)           		Max winds
          (km/h)           		Population in
          Cat.1 or higher           		Population in
          Tropical Storm
          or higher           		Location (lat, lon) Countries
          GREEN
          		 1 03 Sep 2019 09:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 23.5, -94.3
          GREEN
          		 1 03 Sep 2019 18:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 23.4, -95.2
          GREEN
          		 1 04 Sep 2019 06:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 25000 people 23.4, -96.3 Mexico
          GREEN
          		 1 04 Sep 2019 18:00 Tropical storm 74 no people 110000 people 23.7, -97.1 Mexico
          GREEN
          		 1 05 Sep 2019 06:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 24.3, -98.2 Mexico
          Actual track of the current bulletin
          The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
          Download:



          Exposed population - AoIs

          Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

          Countries

          Country
          Mexico

          Provinces

          Region Province Country
          Tamaulipas Mexico

          Populated places

          Name Region Province Country City class Population
          Abasolo Tamaulipas Mexico City 6700 people

          Critical infrastructure

          Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

          Airports

          Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
          La Pesca 5 0
          Carvajal 7 0
          Rancho Marina Vieja 30 0
          San Fernando 49 0
          Nuevo Dolores 146 0
          La Retama Southwest 608 0

          Dams

          Reservoir Dam Name River Year
          Adjuntas Vincente Guerrero Soto la Marina 1971
          TOP

          Rainfall

          Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

          ...

          TOP

          StormSurge

          0.5 m

          The maximum Storm surge height is  0.5m in Port O'Connor, United States. This height is estimated for 04 Sep 2019 22:00 UTC .

          The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

          Locations affected by Storm surge (107 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 1 of 03 Sep 2019 09:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

          Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
          04 Sep 2019 22:00 Port O'Connor United States  0.5
          04 Sep 2019 22:00 Palacios United States  0.5
          05 Sep 2019 00:00 Nadeau United States  0.5
          05 Sep 2019 00:00 Texas City Junction United States  0.5
          05 Sep 2019 00:00 Bayou Vista United States  0.5
          05 Sep 2019 00:00 Texas City United States  0.5
          05 Sep 2019 00:00 Anderson Ways United States  0.5
          05 Sep 2019 00:00 Virginia Point United States  0.5
          05 Sep 2019 00:00 Port Bolivar United States  0.5
          05 Sep 2019 00:00 Fort Travis United States  0.5
          05 Sep 2019 01:00 Flake United States  0.5
          05 Sep 2019 01:00 Elmgrove United States  0.5
          05 Sep 2019 01:00 Crystal Beach United States  0.5
          05 Sep 2019 00:00 Bolivar Peninsula United States  0.5
          05 Sep 2019 01:00 San Jose de los Leones Mexico  0.4
          05 Sep 2019 01:00 El Porvenir Mexico  0.4
          05 Sep 2019 02:00 Spanish Village United States  0.4
          04 Sep 2019 23:00 High Island United States  0.4
          05 Sep 2019 02:00 Hoskins United States  0.4
          05 Sep 2019 02:00 Valasco Heights United States  0.4
          05 Sep 2019 02:00 Freeport United States  0.4
          05 Sep 2019 02:00 Mims United States  0.4
          05 Sep 2019 02:00 Hoskins United States  0.4
          05 Sep 2019 02:00 Port Morris United States  0.4
          04 Sep 2019 23:00 Patton United States  0.4
          05 Sep 2019 00:00 Los Ebanos Mexico  0.4
          05 Sep 2019 02:00 Quintana United States  0.4
          05 Sep 2019 02:00 Surfside United States  0.4
          05 Sep 2019 02:00 Surfside Beach United States  0.4
          04 Sep 2019 23:00 Caplen United States  0.4
          04 Sep 2019 23:00 Gilchrist United States  0.4
          04 Sep 2019 23:00 Johnson's Bayou United States  0.4
          04 Sep 2019 23:00 Constance Beach United States  0.4
          04 Sep 2019 23:00 Peveto Beach United States  0.4
          04 Sep 2019 23:00 Holly Beach United States  0.4
          05 Sep 2019 02:00 Red Fish Cove United States  0.4
          05 Sep 2019 02:00 Jamaica Beach United States  0.4
          04 Sep 2019 23:00 Cameron United States  0.4
          05 Sep 2019 02:00 Flour Bluff United States  0.3
          05 Sep 2019 02:00 Kenney Lane West Colonia United States  0.3
          05 Sep 2019 02:00 Port Ingleside United States  0.3
          05 Sep 2019 02:00 Indian Trails Lane Colonia United States  0.3
          05 Sep 2019 02:00 Country Acres Colonia United States  0.3
          05 Sep 2019 02:00 Country Estates Colonia United States  0.3
          05 Sep 2019 02:00 Aransas Pass United States  0.3
          05 Sep 2019 02:00 Estes United States  0.3
          05 Sep 2019 02:00 Shell Ridge United States  0.3
          05 Sep 2019 02:00 Matagorda United States  0.3
          05 Sep 2019 02:00 Chinquapin United States  0.3
          05 Sep 2019 02:00 Gulf Park United States  0.3
          05 Sep 2019 02:00 Bay Harbor United States  0.3
          05 Sep 2019 02:00 Sea Isle United States  0.3
          04 Sep 2019 22:00 La Pesca Mexico  0.3
          05 Sep 2019 01:00 Mustang Beach United States  0.3
          05 Sep 2019 01:00 Port Aransas United States  0.3
          05 Sep 2019 02:00 Rockport United States  0.3
          05 Sep 2019 02:00 Copano Village United States  0.3
          05 Sep 2019 02:00 Fulton United States  0.3
          04 Sep 2019 23:00 Galveston United States  0.3
          05 Sep 2019 02:00 Bryan Beach United States  0.3
          04 Sep 2019 23:00 Oak Grove United States  0.3
          04 Sep 2019 19:00 Holly Beach United States  0.3
          04 Sep 2019 19:00 Laguna Vista United States  0.3
          04 Sep 2019 19:00 Laguna Heights United States  0.3
          04 Sep 2019 19:00 Port Isabel United States  0.3
          04 Sep 2019 23:00 Grand Chenier United States  0.3
          05 Sep 2019 02:00 Yarborough United States  0.3
          04 Sep 2019 23:00 El Mezquital Mexico  0.3
          04 Sep 2019 19:00 South Padre Island United States  0.2
          05 Sep 2019 01:00 Cheniere Au Tigre United States  0.2
          04 Sep 2019 21:00 Kopernik Shores United States  0.2
          05 Sep 2019 03:00 Balantanche Mexico  0.2
          04 Sep 2019 21:00 Boca Chica United States  0.2
          04 Sep 2019 19:00 Fraccionamiento Nuevo Leon Mexico  0.2
          04 Sep 2019 21:00 Gulf Park Estates United States  0.2
          05 Sep 2019 02:00 Seybaplaya Mexico  0.2
          05 Sep 2019 02:00 Haltunchen Mexico  0.2
          05 Sep 2019 02:00 Champoton Mexico  0.2
          05 Sep 2019 02:00 Celestum Mexico  0.2
          04 Sep 2019 17:00 Rancho Nuevo Mexico  0.2
          04 Sep 2019 20:00 Los Pericos Mexico  0.2
          04 Sep 2019 20:00 San Francisco del Mar Mexico  0.2
          04 Sep 2019 18:00 San Pedro Mexico  0.2
          04 Sep 2019 21:00 Tepeguahe Mexico  0.2
          05 Sep 2019 02:00 Sisal Mexico  0.2
          04 Sep 2019 21:00 Hilda United States  0.2
          04 Sep 2019 21:00 Gautier United States  0.2
          04 Sep 2019 23:00 Leeville United States  0.2
          04 Sep 2019 23:00 Port Fourchon United States  0.2
          05 Sep 2019 02:00 Hoquel Mexico  0.2
          04 Sep 2019 19:00 Rancho de Piedra Mexico  0.1
          04 Sep 2019 21:00 Pascagoula United States  0.1
          04 Sep 2019 23:00 Cheniere Caminada United States  0.1
          04 Sep 2019 23:00 Grand Isle United States  0.1
          04 Sep 2019 19:00 El Tular Mexico  0.1
          04 Sep 2019 19:00 El Roble Mexico  0.1
          04 Sep 2019 19:00 Arista Mexico  0.1
          05 Sep 2019 03:00 Porfirio Diaz Mexico  0.1
          05 Sep 2019 03:00 Chenkan Mexico  0.1
          05 Sep 2019 03:00 Noham Mexico  0.1
          04 Sep 2019 19:00 Huajapan Mexico  0.1
          05 Sep 2019 04:00 Sabancuy Mexico  0.1
          04 Sep 2019 19:00 Cachimba Mexico  0.1
          05 Sep 2019 01:00 Calderas Mexico  0.1
          05 Sep 2019 01:00 Majahual Mexico  0.1
          04 Sep 2019 22:00 Ostrica United States  0.1
          04 Sep 2019 22:00 Neptune United States  0.1