Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for FRANCISCO-19
in , Japan, Korea, Republic of, Democratic People's Republic of, Russian Federation
02 Aug 2019 06 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
  • GDACS JTWC
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

    Tropical Cyclone FRANCISCO-19 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

    Meteorological source GDACS
    Exposed countries , Japan, Korea, Republic of, Democratic People's Republic of, Russian Federation
    Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
    Maximum wind speed 139 km/h
    Maximum storm surge 0.5 m (06 Aug 06:00 UTC)
    Vulnerability --

    GDACS Score

    GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
    For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
      Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
    Current 157 km/h 0.5 m n.a. 0.5
    Overall 139 km/h 0.5 m n.a. 0.5

    Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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    Wind

      157 km/h Current Max.

      Up to 2.4 million people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

      Impact Timeline

        Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
        Tropical Storm or higher        		 Population in
        Cat 1. or higher        		 Countries
        Green 1 01 Aug 2019 18:00 130 27.3 million 2.7 million Japan
        Green 2 02 Aug 2019 00:00 157 34.1 million 2.9 million Japan
        Green 3 02 Aug 2019 06:00 157 34.4 million 2.4 million Japan, Korea, Republic of

        Bulletin Timeline

          Alert N° Date (UTC) Category
          (SSHS)           		Max winds
          (km/h)           		Population in
          Cat.1 or higher           		Population in
          Tropical Storm
          or higher           		Location (lat, lon) Countries
          GREEN
          		 1 01 Aug 2019 18:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 19.5, 153.3
          GREEN
          		 2 02 Aug 2019 00:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 20, 152.7
          GREEN
          		 3 02 Aug 2019 06:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 20.9, 151.9
          GREEN
          		 3 02 Aug 2019 18:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 22.5, 150.3
          GREEN
          		 3 03 Aug 2019 06:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 24.1, 148.2
          GREEN
          		 3 03 Aug 2019 18:00 Tropical storm 93 no people 2300 people 25.5, 145.6
          GREEN
          		 3 04 Aug 2019 06:00 Tropical storm 111 <1000 people 2300 people 26.8, 142.7
          GREEN
          		 3 05 Aug 2019 06:00 Category 2 157 180000 people 6.2 million people 29.2, 136.9 Japan
          GREEN
          		 3 06 Aug 2019 06:00 Category 1 139 2.4 million people 34.4 million people 31.6, 131.6 Korea, Republic of
          GREEN
          		 3 07 Aug 2019 06:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 34.3, 127.2 Korea, Republic of
          Actual track of the current bulletin
          The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
          Download:



          Exposed population - AoIs

          Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

          Countries

          Country
          Japan
          South Korea

          Provinces

          Region Province Country
          Kyushu Japan
          Cholla-namdo Korea, Republic of

          Populated places

          Name Region Province Country City class Population
          Jogasaki Miyazaki Japan City -
          Miyazaki Miyazaki Japan Major city 310000 people
          Tsuma Miyazaki Japan City -
          Takaoka Miyazaki Japan City -
          Miyakonojo Miyazaki Japan City 130000 people
          Sueyoshi Kagoshima Japan City 20000 people
          Kokubu Kagoshima Japan City 58000 people
          Naka-harada Miyazaki Japan City -
          Hitoyoshi Kumamoto Japan City 38000 people
          Yatsushiro Kumamoto Japan City 100000 people
          Omura Nagasaki Japan City 75000 people
          Nagasaki Nagasaki Japan Major city 410000 people
          Nomo Nagasaki Japan City -

          Critical infrastructure

          Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

          Airports

          Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
          Miyazaki KMI 6 Civ. Paved Yes 8200
          Nyutabaru 79 Mil. Paved Yes 8800
          Kagoshima KOJ 276 Civ. Paved Yes 9800
          Amakusa 103 0
          Nagasaki NGS 5 Civ. Paved Yes 9800

          Ports

          Name LOCODE Country
          Aburatsu JPABU Japan
          Uchiumi Japan
          Miyazaki JPKMI Japan
          Yatsushiro Japan
          Minamata JPMIN Japan
          Kojiro Japan
          Misumi JPMIS Japan
          Naga Island Japan
          Ushibuka Japan
          Kuchinotsu JPKUC Japan
          Mogi Japan
          Nagasaki JPNGS Japan
          Ha Shima Japan
          Matsushima JPMAT Japan
          Sakito JPSTO Japan
          Aokata Japan
          Goto Island Japan

          Dams

          Reservoir Dam Name River Year
          Sakataniko Nichinan Sakatanigawa 1984
          Oyodogawadaini Oyodogawadaini Oyodogawa 1932
          Tachibana Tachibana Jarogawa 1963
          Oyodogawadaiichi Oyodogawadaiichi Oyodogawa 1961
          Nojiriko Iwase Iwasegawa 1967
          Onoko Ayaminami Honjogawa 1958
          Ichifusa Ichifusa Kumagawa 1959
          Takeyama Takeyama Usonokigawa 1986
          Otsuruko Tsuruda Sendaigawa 1965
          Uchitani Uchitani Itsukiogawa 1975
          Kogawa Kogawa Kogawa 1973
          Kyoragi Kyoragi Iwaiguchigawa 1975
          Oshidorinoike Bessho Chijiwagawa 1968
          Ogakura Ogakura Ogakuragawa 1974
          Urakamisuigenchi Urakami Oidegawa 2001
          Narumi Narumi Futamatagawa 1991
          Konoura Konoura Konouragawa 1969
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          Rainfall

          Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

          ...

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          StormSurge

          0.5 m

          The maximum Storm surge height is  0.5m in Oryuzako, Japan. This height is estimated for 06 Aug 2019 06:00 UTC .

          The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

          Locations affected by Storm surge (78 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 3 of 02 Aug 2019 06:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

          Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
          06 Aug 2019 06:00 Oryuzako Japan  0.5
          06 Aug 2019 06:00 Kisaki Japan  0.4
          06 Aug 2019 06:00 Miyazaki Japan  0.4
          06 Aug 2019 06:00 Udo Japan  0.4
          06 Aug 2019 06:00 Niinauri Japan  0.4
          06 Aug 2019 06:00 Tachibandori Japan  0.4
          06 Aug 2019 06:00 Haruguchi Japan  0.4
          06 Aug 2019 06:00 Aburatsu Japan  0.3
          06 Aug 2019 06:00 Meitsu Japan  0.3
          04 Aug 2019 08:00 Omura Japan  0.3
          04 Aug 2019 08:00 Ogigaura Japan  0.3
          04 Aug 2019 08:00 Sakaiura Japan  0.3
          06 Aug 2019 06:00 Takanabe Japan  0.3
          06 Aug 2019 06:00 Uwae Japan  0.3
          06 Aug 2019 06:00 Shimo-Tashima Japan  0.3
          06 Aug 2019 06:00 Kanda Japan  0.2
          06 Aug 2019 06:00 Yukuhashi Japan  0.2
          06 Aug 2019 06:00 Tsuno Japan  0.2
          06 Aug 2019 06:00 Tsunemi Japan  0.2
          06 Aug 2019 06:00 Mimitsu Japan  0.2
          04 Aug 2019 07:00 Oki Japan  0.2
          04 Aug 2019 07:00 Hyogidaira Japan  0.2
          06 Aug 2019 06:00 Buzen Japan  0.2
          06 Aug 2019 06:00 Nakatsu Japan  0.2
          06 Aug 2019 06:00 Higashiyoshitomi Japan  0.2
          06 Aug 2019 06:00 Imazu Japan  0.2
          06 Aug 2019 06:00 Shimonoseki Japan  0.2
          06 Aug 2019 06:00 Shiida Japan  0.2
          06 Aug 2019 06:00 Miyanoura Japan  0.2
          06 Aug 2019 06:00 Moji Japan  0.2
          06 Aug 2019 06:00 Taina Japan  0.2
          06 Aug 2019 06:00 Nagasu Japan  0.2
          06 Aug 2019 06:00 Hashitsu Japan  0.2
          06 Aug 2019 06:00 Takedatsu Japan  0.2
          06 Aug 2019 06:00 Taketazu Japan  0.2
          06 Aug 2019 06:00 Yasuoka Japan  0.2
          06 Aug 2019 06:00 Chofu Japan  0.2
          06 Aug 2019 06:00 Habu Japan  0.2
          06 Aug 2019 06:00 Shimogo Japan  0.2
          06 Aug 2019 06:00 Nobeoka Japan  0.2
          06 Aug 2019 06:00 Honjo Japan  0.1
          06 Aug 2019 06:00 Ogori Japan  0.1
          06 Aug 2019 06:00 Aioura Japan  0.1
          06 Aug 2019 06:00 Daido Japan  0.1
          06 Aug 2019 06:00 Kadogawa Japan  0.1
          06 Aug 2019 06:00 Ube Japan  0.1
          06 Aug 2019 06:00 Kagawa Japan  0.1
          06 Aug 2019 06:00 Miyanoura Japan  0.1
          06 Aug 2019 06:00 Takada Japan  0.1
          06 Aug 2019 06:00 Bungo-Takada Japan  0.1
          06 Aug 2019 06:00 Tokonami Japan  0.1
          06 Aug 2019 06:00 Kurosaki Japan  0.1
          06 Aug 2019 06:00 Hofu Japan  0.1
          06 Aug 2019 06:00 Toiyaguchi Japan  0.1
          06 Aug 2019 04:00 Kamezu-Shinden Japan  0.1
          06 Aug 2019 04:00 Matsukage Japan  0.1
          06 Aug 2019 04:00 Sakai Japan  0.1
          06 Aug 2019 06:00 Kitsuki Japan  0.1
          06 Aug 2019 06:00 Tsurusaki Japan  0.1
          06 Aug 2019 06:00 Tabe Japan  0.1
          06 Aug 2019 06:00 Shibushi Japan  0.1
          06 Aug 2019 06:00 Imi Japan  0.1
          06 Aug 2019 06:00 Beppu Japan  0.1
          06 Aug 2019 06:00 Oita Japan  0.1
          06 Aug 2019 06:00 Tayooka Japan  0.1
          06 Aug 2019 06:00 Aki Japan  0.1
          06 Aug 2019 06:00 Kaseda Japan  0.1
          06 Aug 2019 06:00 Ajisu Japan  0.1
          06 Aug 2019 06:00 Tomiku Japan  0.1
          06 Aug 2019 06:00 Tsurukawa Japan  0.1
          06 Aug 2019 04:00 Itsuki Japan  0.1
          06 Aug 2019 06:00 Igatan Japan  0.1
          05 Aug 2019 23:00 Shiratsuka Japan  0.1
          05 Aug 2019 23:00 Ueno Japan  0.1
          05 Aug 2019 23:00 Shiroko Japan  0.1
          06 Aug 2019 06:00 Kamae Japan  0.1
          06 Aug 2019 06:00 Saiki Japan  0.1
          06 Aug 2019 06:00 Okora Japan  0.1