Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for KENNETH-19
in , Mozambique, Comoros
24 Apr 2019 06 UTC
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  • GDACS JTWC
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

    Tropical Cyclone KENNETH-19 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

    Meteorological source GDACS
    Exposed countries , Mozambique, Comoros
    Exposed population 260 thousand in Category 1 or higher
    Maximum wind speed 231 km/h
    Maximum storm surge 0.7 m (25 Apr 17:00 UTC)
    Vulnerability --

    GDACS Score

    GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
    For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
      Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
    Current 194 km/h 0.7 m n.a. 1.5
    Overall 231 km/h 0.7 m n.a. 1.5

    Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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    Wind

      194 km/h Current Max.

      Up to 280000 people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

      Impact Timeline

        Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
        Tropical Storm or higher        		 Population in
        Cat 1. or higher        		 Countries
        Orange 1 23 Apr 2019 00:00 130 2.5 million 420 thousand Comoros, Mozambique
        Orange 2 23 Apr 2019 06:00 167 3.8 million 310 thousand Comoros, Mozambique
        Orange 3 23 Apr 2019 12:00 148 2.4 million 260 thousand Comoros, Mozambique
        Red 4 23 Apr 2019 18:00 194 1.6 million 130 thousand Comoros, Mozambique
        Orange 5 24 Apr 2019 00:00 167 2.7 million 280 thousand Comoros, Mozambique
        Orange 6 24 Apr 2019 06:00 194 2.6 million 280 thousand Comoros, Mozambique

        Bulletin Timeline

          Alert N° Date (UTC) Category
          (SSHS)           		Max winds
          (km/h)           		Population in
          Cat.1 or higher           		Population in
          Tropical Storm
          or higher           		Location (lat, lon) Countries
          GREEN
          		 1 23 Apr 2019 00:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people -10, 50.7
          GREEN
          		 2 23 Apr 2019 06:00 Tropical storm 65 no people <1000 people -10.3, 49.9 Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands
          GREEN
          		 3 23 Apr 2019 12:00 Tropical storm 83 no people 5700 people -10.6, 48.8 Madagascar
          GREEN
          		 4 23 Apr 2019 18:00 Tropical storm 111 no people 190000 people -10.7, 47.8 Comoros
          GREEN
          		 5 24 Apr 2019 00:00 Category 1 120 no people 980000 people -10.7, 46.6 Comoros
          ORANGE
          		 6 24 Apr 2019 06:00 Category 1 130 93000 people 840000 people -10.9, 45.7 Comoros
          ORANGE
          		 6 24 Apr 2019 18:00 Category 2 167 150000 people 1.1 million people -11.2, 43.6 Comoros
          ORANGE
          		 6 25 Apr 2019 06:00 Category 3 194 68000 people 1.2 million people -11.5, 41.6 Mozambique
          ORANGE
          		 6 25 Apr 2019 18:00 Category 1 148 130000 people 1.6 million people -11.8, 40.4 Mozambique
          GREEN
          		 6 26 Apr 2019 06:00 Tropical storm 83 no people 1.5 million people -12.3, 39.7 Mozambique
          GREEN
          		 6 27 Apr 2019 06:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people -12.9, 39.2 Mozambique
          Actual track of the current bulletin
          The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
          Download:



          Exposed population - AoIs

          Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

          Countries

          Country
          Comoros
          Mozambique

          Provinces

          Region Province Country
          Comoros Comoros
          Cabo Delgado Mozambique

          Critical infrastructure

          Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

          Airports

          Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
          Moroni Hahaia HAH 27 Civ. Paved Yes 9500
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          Rainfall

          Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

          ...

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          StormSurge

          0.7 m

          The maximum Storm surge height is  0.7m in Quiterajo, Mozambique. This height is estimated for 25 Apr 2019 17:00 UTC .

          The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

          Locations affected by Storm surge (38 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 6 of 24 Apr 2019 06:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

          Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
          25 Apr 2019 17:00 Quiterajo Mozambique  0.7
          25 Apr 2019 19:00 Pangane Mozambique  0.5
          26 Apr 2019 01:00 Ibo Mozambique  0.4
          25 Apr 2019 16:00 Lucete Mozambique  0.3
          25 Apr 2019 17:00 Marere Mozambique  0.3
          24 Apr 2019 19:00 Chezani Comoros  0.3
          26 Apr 2019 00:00 Tavari Mozambique  0.2
          25 Apr 2019 16:00 Ingoane Mozambique  0.2
          25 Apr 2019 15:00 Vila de Mocimboa da Praia Mozambique  0.2
          25 Apr 2019 15:00 Meronvi Mozambique  0.2
          24 Apr 2019 19:00 Ifoundihe Comoros  0.2
          23 Apr 2019 08:00 Voloina Madagascar  0.2
          23 Apr 2019 08:00 Manambia Madagascar  0.2
          23 Apr 2019 08:00 Anantoraka Madagascar  0.2
          24 Apr 2019 20:00 Domoni Comoros  0.2
          23 Apr 2019 08:00 Maroantsetra Madagascar  0.2
          25 Apr 2019 14:00 Quissengue Mozambique  0.2
          23 Apr 2019 08:00 Andranofotsy Madagascar  0.2
          23 Apr 2019 08:00 Rantabe Madagascar  0.1
          23 Apr 2019 08:00 Mahalevona Madagascar  0.1
          25 Apr 2019 16:00 Mucojo Mozambique  0.1
          23 Apr 2019 08:00 Maintimbato Madagascar  0.1
          24 Apr 2019 20:00 Mitsamiouli Comoros  0.1
          24 Apr 2019 21:00 Combani Comoros  0.1
          23 Apr 2019 08:00 Ambanizana Madagascar  0.1
          23 Apr 2019 08:00 Antalavia Madagascar  0.1
          24 Apr 2019 20:00 Vanamboini Comoros  0.1
          26 Apr 2019 04:00 Metuge Mozambique  0.1
          26 Apr 2019 04:00 Porto Amelia Mozambique  0.1
          23 Apr 2019 08:00 Tampolo Madagascar  0.1
          23 Apr 2019 08:00 Benjana Madagascar  0.1
          23 Apr 2019 08:00 Anoromby Madagascar  0.1
          23 Apr 2019 08:00 Fananehana Madagascar  0.1
          23 Apr 2019 08:00 Rantranavona Madagascar  0.1
          25 Apr 2019 11:00 Libambai Mozambique  0.1
          23 Apr 2019 08:00 Manambolosy Madagascar  0.1
          23 Apr 2019 08:00 Fahambahy Madagascar  0.1
          23 Apr 2019 08:00 Tampolo Madagascar  0.1