Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for IDAI-19
in Mozambique, Zimbabwe, Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands
09 Mar 2019 18 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
  • GDACS JTWC
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

    Tropical Cyclone IDAI-19 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

    Meteorological source GDACS
    Exposed countries Mozambique, Zimbabwe, Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands
    Exposed population 1.9 million in Category 1 or higher
    Maximum wind speed 194 km/h
    Maximum storm surge 0.5 m (13 Mar 18:00 UTC)
    Vulnerability High (Mozambique)

    GDACS Score

    GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
    For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
      Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
    Current 204 km/h 0.5 m n.a. 1.5
    Overall 194 km/h 0.5 m n.a. 1.5

    Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

    TOP

    Wind

      204 km/h Current Max.

      Up to 250000 people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

      Impact Timeline

        Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
        Tropical Storm or higher        		 Population in
        Cat 1. or higher        		 Countries
        Orange 1 09 Mar 2019 06:00 213 6.6 million 870 thousand Mozambique
        Orange 2 09 Mar 2019 12:00 213 5.6 million 550 thousand Mozambique
        Orange 3 09 Mar 2019 18:00 204 2.9 million 250 thousand Mozambique

        Bulletin Timeline

          Alert N° Date (UTC) Category
          (SSHS)           		Max winds
          (km/h)           		Population in
          Cat.1 or higher           		Population in
          Tropical Storm
          or higher           		Location (lat, lon) Countries
          GREEN
          		 1 09 Mar 2019 06:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 110000 people -17, 40.2 Mozambique
          GREEN
          		 2 09 Mar 2019 12:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people -17, 41.3 Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands
          GREEN
          		 3 09 Mar 2019 18:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 1200 people -16.9, 42 Madagascar
          GREEN
          		 3 10 Mar 2019 06:00 Tropical storm 83 no people 37000 people -17, 42.7 Madagascar
          GREEN
          		 3 10 Mar 2019 18:00 Tropical storm 102 no people 150000 people -17.1, 42.8 Madagascar
          GREEN
          		 3 11 Mar 2019 06:00 Category 1 139 no people 150000 people -17.5, 42.7 Madagascar
          GREEN
          		 3 11 Mar 2019 18:00 Category 2 167 no people no people -17.8, 42 Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands
          GREEN
          		 3 12 Mar 2019 18:00 Category 3 194 no people 1.3 million people -18.5, 40.1 Mozambique
          ORANGE
          		 3 13 Mar 2019 18:00 Category 3 204 250000 people 2.4 million people -19.1, 37.6 Mozambique
          GREEN
          		 3 14 Mar 2019 18:00 Category 2 157 no people no people -18.9, 35.8 Mozambique
          Actual track of the current bulletin
          The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
          Download:



          Exposed population - AoIs

          Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

          Countries

          Country
          Mozambique

          Provinces

          Region Province Country
          Zambezia Mozambique
          Sofala Mozambique

          Critical infrastructure

          Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

          Airports

          Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
          Chinde INE unknown 0
          Luabo LBM unknown 0

          Ports

          Name LOCODE Country
          Vila Do Chinde Mozambique
          Chinde MZINE Mozambique
          TOP

          Rainfall

          Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

          ...

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          StormSurge

          0.5 m

          The maximum Storm surge height is  0.5m in Maconharumo, Mozambique. This height is estimated for 13 Mar 2019 18:00 UTC .

          The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

          Locations affected by Storm surge (123 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 3 of 09 Mar 2019 18:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

          Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
          13 Mar 2019 18:00 Maconharumo Mozambique  0.5
          13 Mar 2019 18:00 Amado Mozambique  0.5
          13 Mar 2019 18:00 Chimuaza Mozambique  0.4
          13 Mar 2019 16:00 Mulia Mozambique  0.4
          09 Mar 2019 08:00 Boanamary Madagascar  0.4
          09 Mar 2019 18:00 Damiao Mozambique  0.3
          09 Mar 2019 18:00 Nhangau Mozambique  0.3
          09 Mar 2019 18:00 Chamba Mozambique  0.3
          09 Mar 2019 18:00 Beira Mozambique  0.3
          09 Mar 2019 16:00 Ocone Mozambique  0.3
          09 Mar 2019 11:00 Manica Mozambique  0.3
          09 Mar 2019 08:00 Katsepy Madagascar  0.3
          09 Mar 2019 09:00 Jonja Mozambique  0.3
          09 Mar 2019 09:00 Rupia Mozambique  0.3
          09 Mar 2019 09:00 Machesse Mozambique  0.3
          09 Mar 2019 10:00 Chofandicho Mozambique  0.3
          09 Mar 2019 10:00 Panaca Mozambique  0.3
          09 Mar 2019 09:00 Tama Mozambique  0.3
          09 Mar 2019 09:00 Bingue Mozambique  0.3
          09 Mar 2019 15:00 Vila do Chinde Mozambique  0.3
          09 Mar 2019 09:00 Nhamatamanga Mozambique  0.3
          13 Mar 2019 16:00 Barra Mozambique  0.3
          09 Mar 2019 14:00 Quelimane do Sal Mozambique  0.3
          09 Mar 2019 14:00 Inhangulue Mozambique  0.3
          09 Mar 2019 14:00 Magromane Mozambique  0.3
          09 Mar 2019 07:00 Kamendriky Madagascar  0.3
          09 Mar 2019 08:00 Majunga Madagascar  0.3
          09 Mar 2019 11:00 Nova Sofala Mozambique  0.3
          09 Mar 2019 18:00 Raraga Mozambique  0.3
          09 Mar 2019 18:00 Metapa Mozambique  0.3
          11 Mar 2019 03:00 Ankazobe Madagascar  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 17:00 Mutiba Mozambique  0.2
          11 Mar 2019 03:00 Manampea Madagascar  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 20:00 Manehoko Madagascar  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 19:00 Anjiajia Madagascar  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 10:00 Anjiabe Madagascar  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 20:00 Antonibe Madagascar  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 08:00 Mendozo Mozambique  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 17:00 Tomodo Mozambique  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 18:00 Morrua Mozambique  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 18:00 Pebane Mozambique  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 17:00 Ambato Madagascar  0.2
          11 Mar 2019 03:00 Onara Madagascar  0.2
          11 Mar 2019 03:00 Marovazha Madagascar  0.2
          11 Mar 2019 03:00 Belavenoka Madagascar  0.2
          11 Mar 2019 03:00 Ankerefo Madagascar  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 20:00 Ankinganomby Madagascar  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 18:00 Caliua Mozambique  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 17:00 Chululu Mozambique  0.2
          11 Mar 2019 05:00 Tambohorano Madagascar  0.2
          11 Mar 2019 05:00 Ambatomilahy Madagascar  0.2
          11 Mar 2019 05:00 Ankirijibe Madagascar  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 16:00 Antanimandry Madagascar  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 16:00 Ambodibonara Madagascar  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 16:00 Tanambao Madagascar  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 16:00 Anjabe Madagascar  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 16:00 Andranomena Madagascar  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 16:00 Antanamazava Madagascar  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 16:00 Ambatomainty Madagascar  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 20:00 Carramali Mozambique  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 10:00 Caramaca Mozambique  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 07:00 Tsilambana Madagascar  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 15:00 Ampombilava Madagascar  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 15:00 Andriana Madagascar  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 20:00 Ambodibonara Madagascar  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 20:00 Tsaratanana Madagascar  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 19:00 Amboaboaka Madagascar  0.2
          10 Mar 2019 00:00 Mahabo Madagascar  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 10:00 Murrumuana Mozambique  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 10:00 Ambatoxavavy Madagascar  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 15:00 Ambaramidada Madagascar  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 15:00 Andranofotsy Madagascar  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 20:00 Ambalatsingy Madagascar  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 19:00 Matahibory Madagascar  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 19:00 Moebase Mozambique  0.2
          11 Mar 2019 07:00 Belailay Madagascar  0.2
          11 Mar 2019 07:00 Andemba Madagascar  0.2
          11 Mar 2019 07:00 Reharaka Madagascar  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 08:00 Ankerefo Madagascar  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 08:00 Ambalabao Madagascar  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 08:00 Bevatry Madagascar  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 17:00 Nosy Faly Madagascar  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 19:00 Mutadua Mozambique  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 10:00 Andrafia Madagascar  0.2
          11 Mar 2019 03:00 Antsafy Madagascar  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 12:00 Ampapamena Madagascar  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 12:00 Masokoamena Madagascar  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 19:00 Ambondrombe Madagascar  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 20:00 Bajone Mozambique  0.2
          11 Mar 2019 03:00 Ankoakala Madagascar  0.2
          11 Mar 2019 03:00 Ambato Madagascar  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 16:00 Natiquinde Mozambique  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 18:00 Analalava Madagascar  0.2
          11 Mar 2019 11:00 Manomba Madagascar  0.2
          11 Mar 2019 06:00 Ankatrafay Madagascar  0.2
          11 Mar 2019 06:00 Antandrokomby Madagascar  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 11:00 Chiloane Mozambique  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 10:00 Napito Mozambique  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 10:00 Namorre Mozambique  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 20:00 Ampasindava Madagascar  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 19:00 Mailakapasy Madagascar  0.2
          11 Mar 2019 11:00 Maintirano Madagascar  0.1
          11 Mar 2019 17:00 Ampanihy Madagascar  0.1
          09 Mar 2019 18:00 Ampitilova Madagascar  0.1
          09 Mar 2019 08:00 Andranovoribe Madagascar  0.1
          09 Mar 2019 10:00 Larde Mozambique  0.1
          10 Mar 2019 07:00 Ampasitsilavitra Madagascar  0.1
          09 Mar 2019 20:00 Antaribao Madagascar  0.1
          09 Mar 2019 09:00 Ankinganifahatelo Madagascar  0.1
          09 Mar 2019 19:00 Antsahampano Madagascar  0.1
          09 Mar 2019 10:00 Mocareja Mozambique  0.1
          09 Mar 2019 18:00 Antsianitia Madagascar  0.1
          09 Mar 2019 09:00 Bobasakoa Madagascar  0.1
          09 Mar 2019 10:00 Coropoa Mozambique  0.1
          09 Mar 2019 19:00 Antetikireja Madagascar  0.1
          11 Mar 2019 03:00 Marofototra Madagascar  0.1
          11 Mar 2019 03:00 Voalavo Madagascar  0.1
          09 Mar 2019 15:00 Fadrina Madagascar  0.1
          09 Mar 2019 19:00 Andranira Madagascar  0.1
          09 Mar 2019 13:00 Mahabo Madagascar  0.1
          09 Mar 2019 23:00 Tsianinkiro Madagascar  0.1
          09 Mar 2019 18:00 Marovato Madagascar  0.1
          09 Mar 2019 18:00 Ampasibe Madagascar  0.1