Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for GELENA-19
in , Mauritius
06 Feb 2019 18 UTC
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  • GDACS JTWC
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

    Tropical Cyclone GELENA-19 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

    Meteorological source GDACS
    Exposed countries , Mauritius
    Exposed population 40 thousand in Category 1 or higher
    Maximum wind speed 222 km/h
    Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (06 Feb 03:00 UTC)
    Vulnerability --

    GDACS Score

    GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
    For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
      Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
    Current 204 km/h 0.3 m n.a. 0.5
    Overall 222 km/h 0.3 m n.a. 0.5

    Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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    Wind

      204 km/h Current Max.

      Up to no people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

      Impact Timeline

        Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
        Tropical Storm or higher        		 Population in
        Cat 1. or higher        		 Countries
        Green 1 06 Feb 2019 00:00 148 40 thousand 40 thousand Mauritius
        Green 2 06 Feb 2019 06:00 139 40 thousand 40 thousand Mauritius
        Green 3 06 Feb 2019 12:00 148 40 thousand No people Mauritius
        Green 4 06 Feb 2019 18:00 204 40 thousand No people Mauritius

        Bulletin Timeline

          Alert N° Date (UTC) Category
          (SSHS)           		Max winds
          (km/h)           		Population in
          Cat.1 or higher           		Population in
          Tropical Storm
          or higher           		Location (lat, lon) Countries
          GREEN
          		 1 06 Feb 2019 00:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people -12.4, 53.7
          GREEN
          		 2 06 Feb 2019 06:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people -12.1, 53.4
          GREEN
          		 3 06 Feb 2019 12:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people -12.3, 53.4
          GREEN
          		 4 06 Feb 2019 18:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people -12.4, 53.1
          GREEN
          		 4 07 Feb 2019 06:00 Category 1 120 no people no people -12.9, 53.4
          GREEN
          		 4 07 Feb 2019 18:00 Category 1 148 no people no people -13.9, 54.1
          GREEN
          		 4 08 Feb 2019 06:00 Category 2 176 no people no people -15.3, 55.3
          GREEN
          		 4 08 Feb 2019 18:00 Category 3 204 no people 44000 people -17.1, 57.4 Mauritius
          GREEN
          		 4 09 Feb 2019 18:00 Category 3 185 no people 44000 people -20.8, 63.3 Mauritius
          GREEN
          		 4 10 Feb 2019 18:00 Category 1 139 no people no people -23.8, 69.2
          GREEN
          		 4 11 Feb 2019 18:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people -26.9, 74.8
          Actual track of the current bulletin
          The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
          Download:



          Exposed population - AoIs

          Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

          Critical infrastructure

          Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

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          Rainfall

          Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

          ...

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          StormSurge

          0.3 m

          The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Manambia, Madagascar. This height is estimated for 06 Feb 2019 03:00 UTC .

          The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

          Locations affected by Storm surge (40 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 4 of 06 Feb 2019 18:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

          Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
          06 Feb 2019 03:00 Manambia Madagascar  0.3
          06 Feb 2019 03:00 Anantoraka Madagascar  0.3
          06 Feb 2019 03:00 Maroantsetra Madagascar  0.3
          06 Feb 2019 03:00 Andranofotsy Madagascar  0.3
          06 Feb 2019 03:00 Voloina Madagascar  0.3
          06 Feb 2019 03:00 Mahalevona Madagascar  0.3
          06 Feb 2019 03:00 Rantabe Madagascar  0.2
          06 Feb 2019 03:00 Ambanizana Madagascar  0.2
          06 Feb 2019 03:00 Benjana Madagascar  0.2
          06 Feb 2019 03:00 Maintimbato Madagascar  0.2
          06 Feb 2019 03:00 Tampolo Madagascar  0.2
          06 Feb 2019 03:00 Anoromby Madagascar  0.2
          06 Feb 2019 03:00 Fananehana Madagascar  0.2
          06 Feb 2019 03:00 Antalavia Madagascar  0.2
          06 Feb 2019 01:00 Ankazomalemy Madagascar  0.2
          06 Feb 2019 03:00 Andohonko Madagascar  0.2
          06 Feb 2019 03:00 Manambolosy Madagascar  0.1
          06 Feb 2019 03:00 Rantranavona Madagascar  0.1
          06 Feb 2019 03:00 Fahambahy Madagascar  0.1
          06 Feb 2019 03:00 Tampolo Madagascar  0.1
          06 Feb 2019 03:00 Andilamboahangy Madagascar  0.1
          06 Feb 2019 03:00 Fampotabe Madagascar  0.1
          06 Feb 2019 03:00 Ilomotro Madagascar  0.1
          06 Feb 2019 03:00 Mananara Madagascar  0.1
          06 Feb 2019 03:00 Ivontaka Madagascar  0.1
          06 Feb 2019 03:00 Ambatoharana Madagascar  0.1
          06 Feb 2019 03:00 Vinanivao Madagascar  0.1
          06 Feb 2019 03:00 Anaovandrano Madagascar  0.1
          06 Feb 2019 03:00 Anjanozana Madagascar  0.1
          06 Feb 2019 01:00 Fadrina Madagascar  0.1
          06 Feb 2019 04:00 Soanierana Ivongo Madagascar  0.1
          06 Feb 2019 04:00 Andrangazaha Madagascar  0.1
          06 Feb 2019 04:00 Manompana Madagascar  0.1
          06 Feb 2019 03:00 Ambatofitarafana Madagascar  0.1
          06 Feb 2019 03:00 Seranambe Madagascar  0.1
          06 Feb 2019 06:00 Anse Volbert Village Seychelles  0.1
          06 Feb 2019 06:00 La Reunion Seychelles  0.1
          06 Feb 2019 04:00 Antanambe Madagascar  0.1
          06 Feb 2019 07:00 Ratsianarana Madagascar  0.1
          06 Feb 2019 07:00 Ambodivato Madagascar  0.1