Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for XAVIER-18
in Mexico
06 Nov 2018 00 UTC
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  • GDACS JTWC
Impact Single TC
  • GFS
  • HWRF
  • ECMWF
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

    Tropical Cyclone XAVIER-18 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

    Meteorological source GDACS
    Exposed countries Mexico
    Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
    Maximum wind speed 93 km/h
    Maximum storm surge
    Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

    GDACS Score

    GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
    For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
      Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
    Current 74 km/h 0.0 m n.a. 0.5
    Overall 93 km/h 0.0 m n.a. 0.5

    Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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    Wind

      74 km/h Current Max.

      Up to 960000 people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

      Impact Timeline

        Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
        Tropical Storm or higher        		 Population in
        Cat 1. or higher        		 Countries
        Green 14 06 Nov 2018 00:00 74 960 thousand No people Mexico

        Bulletin Timeline

          Alert N° Date (UTC) Category
          (SSHS)           		Max winds
          (km/h)           		Population in
          Cat.1 or higher           		Population in
          Tropical Storm
          or higher           		Location (lat, lon) Countries
          GREEN
          		 1 02 Nov 2018 18:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 14.3, -109.2
          GREEN
          		 2 03 Nov 2018 00:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 14.4, -108.5
          GREEN
          		 3 03 Nov 2018 06:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 14.5, -107.9
          GREEN
          		 4 03 Nov 2018 12:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 15.1, -107.2
          GREEN
          		 5 03 Nov 2018 18:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 15.3, -106.3
          GREEN
          		 6 04 Nov 2018 00:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 15.8, -105.9
          GREEN
          		 7 04 Nov 2018 06:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 16.3, -105.8
          GREEN
          		 8 04 Nov 2018 12:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 17.4, -105.3
          GREEN
          		 9 04 Nov 2018 18:00 Tropical storm 83 no people 920000 people 17.9, -105.4 Mexico
          GREEN
          		 10 05 Nov 2018 00:00 Tropical storm 83 no people 670000 people 18.3, -105.6 Mexico
          GREEN
          		 11 05 Nov 2018 06:00 Tropical storm 93 no people 240000 people 18.3, -105.8 Mexico
          GREEN
          		 12 05 Nov 2018 12:00 Tropical storm 93 no people 88000 people 18.4, -106 Mexico
          GREEN
          		 13 05 Nov 2018 18:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 18.8, -106.5
          GREEN
          		 14 06 Nov 2018 00:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 19, -107.2
          GREEN
          		 14 06 Nov 2018 12:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 19.2, -108.5
          GREEN
          		 14 07 Nov 2018 00:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 19.3, -109.7
          GREEN
          		 14 07 Nov 2018 12:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 19.2, -110.9 Mexico
          GREEN
          		 14 08 Nov 2018 00:00 Tropical depression 37 no people no people 19.1, -112
          GREEN
          		 14 09 Nov 2018 00:00 Tropical depression 28 no people no people 18.8, -113.4
          Actual track of the current bulletin
          The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
          Download:



          Exposed population - AoIs

          Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

          Countries

          Country
          Mexico

          Provinces

          Region Province Country
          Jalisco Mexico
          Colima Mexico
          Michoacan Mexico

          Populated places

          Name Region Province Country City class Population
          Manzanillo Colima Mexico City 110000 people
          Autlán Jalisco Mexico City 40000 people
          Armería Colima Mexico City 16000 people
          Tecomán Colima Mexico City 75000 people
          Colima Colima Mexico Major city 130000 people

          Critical infrastructure

          Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

          Airports

          Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
          La Gloria 34 0
          Playa de Oro International ZLO 8 Civ. Paved Yes 7200
          Autlan 884 0
          Coahuayana 61 0

          Ports

          Name LOCODE Country
          Ipala Mexico
          El Tabaco Mexico
          Chamela Mexico
          Manzanillo MXZLO Mexico

          Dams

          Reservoir Dam Name River Year
          Cajon de Peda Tomatlan 1976
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          Rainfall

          Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

          ...

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          StormSurge

          0 m

          The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

          Locations affected by Storm surge (0 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 14 of 06 Nov 2018 00:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

          Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)