Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for LUBAN-18
in Yemen
12 Oct 2018 18 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
  • GDACS JTWC
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

    Tropical Cyclone LUBAN-18 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

    Meteorological source GDACS
    Exposed countries Yemen
    Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
    Maximum wind speed 139 km/h
    Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (14 Oct 13:00 UTC)
    Vulnerability High (Yemen)

    GDACS Score

    GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
    For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
      Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
    Current 102 km/h 0.3 m n.a. 0.5
    Overall 139 km/h 0.3 m n.a. 0.5

    Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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    Wind

      102 km/h Current Max.

      Up to 1.3 million people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

      Impact Timeline

        Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
        Tropical Storm or higher        		 Population in
        Cat 1. or higher        		 Countries
        Green 1 08 Oct 2018 00:00 120 350 thousand No people Oman, Yemen
        Green 2 08 Oct 2018 06:00 130 90 thousand 20 thousand Yemen
        Green 3 08 Oct 2018 12:00 139 150 thousand No people Yemen
        Green 4 08 Oct 2018 18:00 120 120 thousand No people Yemen
        Green 5 09 Oct 2018 00:00 130 620 thousand No people Yemen, Somalia
        Green 6 09 Oct 2018 06:00 130 1.3 million No people Yemen
        Green 7 09 Oct 2018 12:00 120 1.5 million No people Yemen
        Orange 8 09 Oct 2018 18:00 139 720 thousand 210 thousand Yemen
        Orange 9 10 Oct 2018 00:00 139 1.5 million 310 thousand Yemen
        Green 10 10 Oct 2018 06:00 139 1.5 million 40 thousand Yemen
        Green 11 10 Oct 2018 12:00 139 950 thousand 40 thousand Yemen
        Green 12 10 Oct 2018 18:00 139 1.1 million 70 thousand Yemen
        Green 13 11 Oct 2018 00:00 139 1.3 million No people Oman, Yemen, Saudi Arabia
        Green 14 11 Oct 2018 06:00 130 920 thousand No people Oman, Yemen, Saudi Arabia
        Green 15 11 Oct 2018 12:00 120 1.2 million No people Oman, Yemen, Saudi Arabia
        Green 16 11 Oct 2018 18:00 120 1.5 million No people Oman, Yemen, Saudi Arabia
        Green 17 12 Oct 2018 00:00 111 1.3 million No people Oman, Yemen, Saudi Arabia
        Green 18 12 Oct 2018 06:00 111 1.5 million No people Oman, Yemen, Saudi Arabia
        Green 19 12 Oct 2018 12:00 111 1.3 million No people Oman, Yemen, Saudi Arabia
        Green 20 12 Oct 2018 18:00 102 1.3 million No people Yemen

        Bulletin Timeline

          Alert N° Date (UTC) Category
          (SSHS)           		Max winds
          (km/h)           		Population in
          Cat.1 or higher           		Population in
          Tropical Storm
          or higher           		Location (lat, lon) Countries
          GREEN
          		 1 08 Oct 2018 00:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 12.4, 62.3
          GREEN
          		 2 08 Oct 2018 06:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 12.3, 61.6
          GREEN
          		 3 08 Oct 2018 12:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 12.2, 61.6
          GREEN
          		 4 08 Oct 2018 18:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 12.5, 61.2
          GREEN
          		 5 09 Oct 2018 00:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 12.9, 60.6
          GREEN
          		 6 09 Oct 2018 06:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 13.2, 60.1
          GREEN
          		 7 09 Oct 2018 12:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 13.4, 59.7
          GREEN
          		 8 09 Oct 2018 18:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people 14.1, 59.9
          GREEN
          		 9 10 Oct 2018 00:00 Category 1 120 no people no people 14.1, 59.1
          GREEN
          		 10 10 Oct 2018 06:00 Category 1 139 no people no people 14.2, 58.9
          GREEN
          		 11 10 Oct 2018 12:00 Category 1 139 no people no people 14.4, 58.5
          GREEN
          		 12 10 Oct 2018 18:00 Category 1 139 no people no people 14.5, 58.5
          GREEN
          		 13 11 Oct 2018 00:00 Category 1 139 no people no people 14.5, 58.1
          GREEN
          		 14 11 Oct 2018 06:00 Category 1 130 no people no people 14.5, 58.1
          GREEN
          		 15 11 Oct 2018 12:00 Category 1 120 no people no people 14.5, 57.9
          GREEN
          		 16 11 Oct 2018 18:00 Category 1 120 no people no people 14.5, 57.8
          GREEN
          		 17 12 Oct 2018 00:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 14.6, 57.6
          GREEN
          		 18 12 Oct 2018 06:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 14.6, 57.4
          GREEN
          		 19 12 Oct 2018 12:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 14.6, 57.1
          GREEN
          		 20 12 Oct 2018 18:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 14.6, 56.4
          GREEN
          		 20 13 Oct 2018 06:00 Tropical storm 74 no people 15000 people 14.5, 55.1 Yemen
          GREEN
          		 20 13 Oct 2018 18:00 Tropical storm 83 no people 260000 people 14.6, 53.5 Yemen
          GREEN
          		 20 14 Oct 2018 06:00 Tropical storm 102 no people 850000 people 14.7, 51.5 Yemen
          GREEN
          		 20 14 Oct 2018 18:00 Tropical storm 102 no people 1.2 million people 15.1, 49.9 Yemen
          GREEN
          		 20 15 Oct 2018 18:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 16, 48 Yemen
          Actual track of the current bulletin
          The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
          Download:



          Exposed population - AoIs

          Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

          Countries

          Country
          Yemen

          Provinces

          Region Province Country
          Al Mahrah Yemen
          Hadhramaut Yemen
          'Ataq Yemen

          Populated places

          Name Region Province Country City class Population
          Ghayl Ba Wazir Yemen City -
          Al Mukalla Yemen City -

          Critical infrastructure

          Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

          Airports

          Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
          Al Gaidah AAY 30 Civ. Paved No 8800
          Qishn IHN 30 Civ. Unpaved No 3200
          Riyan RIY 16 Civ. Paved Yes 9800
          Mukalla MKX unknown 0
          Canoxy 1003 0
          Sayun GXF 640 Civ. Unpaved No 9800

          Ports

          Name LOCODE Country
          Ras Fartak Yemen
          Nishtun YENIS Yemen
          Sayhut Yemen
          Ash Shihr Yemen
          Mukalla YEMKX Yemen
          TOP

          Rainfall

          Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

          ...

          TOP

          StormSurge

          0.3 m

          The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Musaina'a, Yemen. This height is estimated for 14 Oct 2018 13:00 UTC .

          The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

          Locations affected by Storm surge (63 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 20 of 12 Oct 2018 18:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

          Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
          14 Oct 2018 13:00 Musaina'a Yemen  0.3
          13 Oct 2018 12:00 Qaysad Oman  0.3
          14 Oct 2018 12:00 Tamnum Yemen  0.3
          13 Oct 2018 00:00 Duqm Oman  0.2
          14 Oct 2018 14:00 Raida Yemen  0.2
          14 Oct 2018 14:00 Hasana Yemen  0.2
          13 Oct 2018 12:00 Lakabi Oman  0.2
          14 Oct 2018 14:00 Sarar Yemen  0.2
          13 Oct 2018 12:00 Sawqirah Oman  0.2
          14 Oct 2018 11:00 Sharkhat Yemen  0.2
          14 Oct 2018 15:00 Qusayir Yemen  0.2
          13 Oct 2018 00:00 Nafun Oman  0.2
          13 Oct 2018 07:00 As Sirab Oman  0.2
          14 Oct 2018 08:00 Qishn Yemen  0.2
          14 Oct 2018 09:00 Itab Yemen  0.2
          13 Oct 2018 18:00 Salwa Saudi Arabia  0.2
          13 Oct 2018 18:00 As Salwa Saudi Arabia  0.2
          12 Oct 2018 23:00 Shuwayr Oman  0.2
          13 Oct 2018 19:00 Qasasil Qatar  0.2
          13 Oct 2018 19:00 Umm Bab Qatar  0.2
          13 Oct 2018 18:00 Al Uqayr Saudi Arabia  0.2
          13 Oct 2018 12:00 Lakba Oman  0.2
          13 Oct 2018 18:00 Ra's Munaysif Saudi Arabia  0.2
          14 Oct 2018 09:00 Al Qumrah Yemen  0.2
          13 Oct 2018 19:00 Dukhan Qatar  0.1
          13 Oct 2018 19:00 Al Aziziyah Saudi Arabia  0.1
          13 Oct 2018 19:00 Az Zallaq Bahrain  0.1
          13 Oct 2018 19:00 Ar Rumaythah Bahrain  0.1
          13 Oct 2018 19:00 Ad Dur Bahrain  0.1
          13 Oct 2018 19:00 Jaww Bahrain  0.1
          13 Oct 2018 08:00 Umm Said Qatar  0.1
          13 Oct 2018 19:00 Al Qurayyah Bahrain  0.1
          13 Oct 2018 20:00 Hamad Town Bahrain  0.1
          13 Oct 2018 20:00 Salmbad Bahrain  0.1
          13 Oct 2018 20:00 'Isa Town Bahrain  0.1
          13 Oct 2018 20:00 Ar Rifa Bahrain  0.1
          13 Oct 2018 20:00 Ar Rifa' ash Sharqi Bahrain  0.1
          13 Oct 2018 20:00 Karranah Bahrain  0.1
          13 Oct 2018 20:00 Al Seef Bahrain  0.1
          13 Oct 2018 20:00 Jidd Hafs Bahrain  0.1
          13 Oct 2018 20:00 Al Manamah Bahrain  0.1
          14 Oct 2018 16:00 Dhafghan Yemen  0.1
          13 Oct 2018 13:00 Al Khaluf Oman  0.1
          13 Oct 2018 09:00 Dasah United Arab Emirates  0.1
          13 Oct 2018 18:00 Al Khubar Saudi Arabia  0.1
          12 Oct 2018 13:00 Tabut Yemen  0.1
          12 Oct 2018 13:00 Hayrut Yemen  0.1
          13 Oct 2018 08:00 Quwayrah Oman  0.1
          13 Oct 2018 09:00 Zahr United Arab Emirates  0.1
          13 Oct 2018 09:00 Ar Ruways United Arab Emirates  0.1
          12 Oct 2018 13:00 Nishtun Yemen  0.1
          13 Oct 2018 18:00 Filim Oman  0.1
          13 Oct 2018 18:00 Ar Rakah Saudi Arabia  0.1
          13 Oct 2018 16:00 Fararah Oman  0.1
          13 Oct 2018 16:00 Miji Oman  0.1
          13 Oct 2018 06:00 Ad Dawhah Qatar  0.1
          13 Oct 2018 06:00 Al Wakrah Qatar  0.1
          12 Oct 2018 14:00 Dhuwwah Oman  0.1
          13 Oct 2018 18:00 Rehayto Eritrea  0.1
          14 Oct 2018 05:00 Saqr Yemen  0.1
          13 Oct 2018 18:00 Alela Eritrea  0.1
          13 Oct 2018 18:00 Aseb Eritrea  0.1
          13 Oct 2018 18:00 Aylu Eritrea  0.1