Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for SERGIO-18
in Mexico

Impact

Tropical Cyclone SERGIO-18 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS (NOAA)
Exposed countries Mexico
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 222 km/h
Maximum storm surge
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GDACS Current 185 km/h 0.0 m n.a. 0.5
GDACS Overall 222 km/h 0.0 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

185 km/h Current

Up to no people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm
Population in
Cat. 1 or higher
Countries
Green 1 29 Sep 2018 15:30 176 No people No people
Green 2 29 Sep 2018 21:00 176 No people No people
Green 3 30 Sep 2018 03:00 185 No people No people

Bulletin Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Category Max winds
(km/h)
Population in
Tropical Storm
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Location (lat, lon) Countries
GREEN
1 29 Sep 2018 15:30 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 12.4, -102.1
GREEN
2 29 Sep 2018 21:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 12.1, -102.8
GREEN
3 30 Sep 2018 03:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 12.3, -103.3
GREEN
3 30 Sep 2018 12:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 12.4, -104.7
GREEN
3 01 Oct 2018 00:00 Category 1 120 no people no people 12.3, -106.9
GREEN
3 01 Oct 2018 12:00 Category 1 139 no people no people 12, -109.1
GREEN
3 02 Oct 2018 00:00 Category 2 167 no people no people 11.8, -111.1
GREEN
3 03 Oct 2018 00:00 Category 3 185 no people no people 12.9, -114.8
GREEN
3 04 Oct 2018 00:00 Category 3 185 no people no people 15, -117.8
GREEN
3 05 Oct 2018 00:00 Category 2 176 no people no people 17, -120
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.



Exposed population

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

StormSurge

0 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.6m in Boca del Melgoita, Mexico. This height is estimated for 12 Oct 2018 11:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (78 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 53 of 12 Oct 2018 15:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
12 Oct 2018 11:30 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.6
12 Oct 2018 11:30 San Juanico Mexico  0.5
12 Oct 2018 11:30 Buenaventura Mexico  0.5
12 Oct 2018 11:30 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.4
12 Oct 2018 11:30 La Playa Mexico  0.4
12 Oct 2018 14:30 Aguaje Mexico  0.4
12 Oct 2018 16:30 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.4
12 Oct 2018 18:30 Guasimas Mexico  0.3
12 Oct 2018 11:30 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.3
12 Oct 2018 15:30 El Castillo Mexico  0.3
12 Oct 2018 12:30 Adolfo Lopez Mateos Mexico  0.3
12 Oct 2018 18:30 Liliba Mexico  0.3
12 Oct 2018 17:30 San Carlos Mexico  0.3
12 Oct 2018 11:30 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.3
12 Oct 2018 16:30 San Jose Mexico  0.3
12 Oct 2018 17:30 El Paredoncito Mexico  0.3
12 Oct 2018 12:30 Queretaro Mexico  0.3
12 Oct 2018 17:30 Empalme Mexico  0.3
12 Oct 2018 16:30 Atanacio Mexico  0.3
12 Oct 2018 11:30 Puerto Magdalena Mexico  0.2
12 Oct 2018 11:30 Madero Amarillo Mexico  0.2
12 Oct 2018 17:30 Guaymas Mexico  0.2
12 Oct 2018 15:30 Cachoana Mexico  0.2
12 Oct 2018 12:30 La Florida Mexico  0.2
12 Oct 2018 16:30 Borabampo Mexico  0.2
12 Oct 2018 15:30 Altata Mexico  0.2
12 Oct 2018 15:30 El Aquajito Mexico  0.2
12 Oct 2018 14:30 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.2
12 Oct 2018 14:30 El Guatamota Mexico  0.2
12 Oct 2018 15:30 Boca del Rio Mexico  0.2
12 Oct 2018 10:30 Estero la Bocana Mexico  0.2
12 Oct 2018 14:30 Puerto Venustiano Carranza Mexico  0.2
12 Oct 2018 13:30 San Bruno Mexico  0.2
12 Oct 2018 14:30 San Felipe Mexico  0.2
12 Oct 2018 15:30 La Playa Colorada Mexico  0.2
12 Oct 2018 14:30 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.2
12 Oct 2018 15:30 Tastiota Mexico  0.2
12 Oct 2018 12:30 San Carlos Mexico  0.2
12 Oct 2018 16:30 Topolobampo Mexico  0.2
12 Oct 2018 15:30 La Boca Mexico  0.2
12 Oct 2018 15:30 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.2
12 Oct 2018 14:30 Los Dolores Mexico  0.1
12 Oct 2018 16:30 Las Bocas Mexico  0.1
12 Oct 2018 16:30 Camahuiroa Mexico  0.1
12 Oct 2018 14:30 San Ignacio Mexico  0.1
12 Oct 2018 16:30 La Palmita Mexico  0.1
12 Oct 2018 16:30 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.1
12 Oct 2018 14:30 Isla Natividad Mexico  0.1
12 Oct 2018 14:30 Cedros Mexico  0.1
12 Oct 2018 15:30 El Barril Mexico  0.1
12 Oct 2018 15:30 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.1
12 Oct 2018 15:30 Agua de las Flores Mexico  0.1
12 Oct 2018 15:30 San Juanico Mexico  0.1
12 Oct 2018 16:30 Caimanero Mexico  0.1
12 Oct 2018 16:30 Novillero Mexico  0.1
12 Oct 2018 16:30 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
12 Oct 2018 16:30 El Nuevo Mexico  0.1
12 Oct 2018 15:30 Puertecitos Mexico  0.1
12 Oct 2018 15:30 San Rafael Mexico  0.1
12 Oct 2018 15:30 San Bruno Mexico  0.1
12 Oct 2018 15:30 Dimas Mexico  0.1
12 Oct 2018 16:30 Cuantla Mexico  0.1
12 Oct 2018 16:30 Cuamecate Mexico  0.1
12 Oct 2018 15:30 Quinones Mexico  0.1
12 Oct 2018 13:30 Mulege Mexico  0.1
12 Oct 2018 16:30 Molino Lacy Mexico  0.1
12 Oct 2018 09:30 Playa Oceano Pacifico Mexico  0.1
12 Oct 2018 16:30 Tecomate Mexico  0.1
12 Oct 2018 15:30 Bahia Kino Mexico  0.1
12 Oct 2018 16:30 Loreto Mexico  0.1
12 Oct 2018 16:30 Cabo Tepoca Mexico  0.1
12 Oct 2018 16:30 Ligui Mexico  0.1
12 Oct 2018 15:30 Perihuete Mexico  0.1
12 Oct 2018 16:30 Jarilla Mexico  0.1
12 Oct 2018 16:30 La Puerta Mexico  0.1
12 Oct 2018 15:30 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.1
12 Oct 2018 16:30 Molino Mexico  0.1
12 Oct 2018 08:30 Bahia Asuncion Mexico  0.1