Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for OLIVIA-18 in United States from 01 Sep 2018 03:00 UTC to 12 Sep 2018 18:00 UTC

12 Sep 2018 18 UTC

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Meteorological source:

GDACS

Impact Single TC

HWRF

ECMWF

GFS

Impact all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone OLIVIA-18 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GDACS
Exposed countries	United States
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	213 km/h
Maximum storm surge
Vulnerability	Low (United States)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
GDACS Current	74 km/h	n.a.	n.a.	0.5
GDACS Overall	213 km/h	0.0 m	n.a.	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

74 km/h Current Max.

Up to 1.2 million people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher	Countries
1	01 Sep 2018 03:00	176	Few people	No people
2	01 Sep 2018 09:00	167	No people	No people
3	01 Sep 2018 15:00	176	No people	No people
4	01 Sep 2018 21:00	176	No people	No people
5	02 Sep 2018 03:00	157	No people	No people
6	02 Sep 2018 09:00	157	Few people	No people
7	02 Sep 2018 15:00	157	Few people	No people
8	02 Sep 2018 21:00	139	Few people	No people
9	03 Sep 2018 03:00	120	Few people	No people
10	03 Sep 2018 09:00	102	Few people	No people
11	03 Sep 2018 15:00	130	Few people	No people
12	03 Sep 2018 21:00	148	Few people	No people
13	04 Sep 2018 03:00	157	Few people	No people
14	04 Sep 2018 09:00	157	Few people	No people
15	04 Sep 2018 15:00	185	Few people	No people
16	04 Sep 2018 21:00	204	Few people	No people
17	05 Sep 2018 03:00	204	Few people	No people
18	05 Sep 2018 09:00	185	Few people	No people
19	05 Sep 2018 15:00	176	Few people	No people
20	05 Sep 2018 21:00	157	Few people	No people
21	06 Sep 2018 03:00	157	Few people	No people
22	06 Sep 2018 09:00	167	Few people	No people
23	06 Sep 2018 12:00	204	Few people	No people
24	06 Sep 2018 15:00	204	Few people	No people
25	06 Sep 2018 21:00	204	Few people	No people
26	07 Sep 2018 03:00	213	Few people	No people
27	07 Sep 2018 09:00	204	Few people	No people
28	07 Sep 2018 15:00	185	20 thousand	No people	United States
29	07 Sep 2018 21:00	176	300 thousand	No people	United States
30	08 Sep 2018 03:00	157	230 thousand	No people	United States
31	08 Sep 2018 09:00	148	320 thousand	No people	United States
32	08 Sep 2018 15:00	139	350 thousand	No people	United States
33	08 Sep 2018 18:00	139	1 million	No people	United States
34	09 Sep 2018 00:00	130	1.2 million	No people	United States
35	09 Sep 2018 06:00	130	840 thousand	No people	United States
36	09 Sep 2018 12:00	130	360 thousand	7 thousand	United States
37	09 Sep 2018 18:00	120	1.3 million	No people	United States
38	10 Sep 2018 00:00	120	1.3 million	No people	United States
39	10 Sep 2018 06:00	139	1.4 million	No people	United States
40	10 Sep 2018 12:00	139	1.3 million	1 thousand	United States
41	10 Sep 2018 18:00	120	1.3 million	No people	United States
42	11 Sep 2018 00:00	111	1.2 million	No people	United States
43	11 Sep 2018 06:00	111	1.3 million	No people	United States
44	11 Sep 2018 12:00	102	1.1 million	No people	United States
45	11 Sep 2018 18:00	93	1.2 million	No people	United States
46	12 Sep 2018 00:00	83	1.2 million	No people	United States
47	12 Sep 2018 06:00	74	420 thousand	No people	United States
48	12 Sep 2018 12:00	74	1.3 million	No people	United States
49	12 Sep 2018 18:00	74	1.3 million	No people	United States

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Location (lat, lon)	Countries
1	01 Sep 2018 00:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	14.2, -108.2
2	01 Sep 2018 06:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	14.5, -109
3	01 Sep 2018 12:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	14.8, -109.6
5	01 Sep 2018 18:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	14.8, -110.6
6	02 Sep 2018 06:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	15.8, -111.9
7	02 Sep 2018 12:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	16.9, -112.2
8	02 Sep 2018 18:00	Tropical storm	74	<1000 people	no people	16.9, -113.1
9	03 Sep 2018 00:00	Tropical storm	74	<1000 people	no people	17, -113.4
10	03 Sep 2018 06:00	Tropical storm	74	<1000 people	no people	17, -113.9
11	03 Sep 2018 12:00	Tropical storm	93	<1000 people	no people	16.5, -114.3
12	03 Sep 2018 18:00	Tropical storm	111	<1000 people	no people	16.6, -114.9
13	04 Sep 2018 00:00	Category 1	120	<1000 people	no people	16.8, -115.5
14	04 Sep 2018 06:00	Category 1	130	no people	no people	16.9, -116.7
15	04 Sep 2018 12:00	Category 2	167	no people	no people	17, -117.7
16	04 Sep 2018 18:00	Category 3	185	no people	no people	16.9, -118.7
17	05 Sep 2018 00:00	Category 3	204	no people	no people	16.7, -119.6
18	05 Sep 2018 06:00	Category 3	185	no people	no people	16.8, -120.7
19	05 Sep 2018 12:00	Category 2	176	no people	no people	17, -121.8
20	05 Sep 2018 18:00	Category 2	157	no people	no people	17.3, -122.9
21	06 Sep 2018 00:00	Category 2	157	no people	no people	17.5, -124
22	06 Sep 2018 06:00	Category 2	167	no people	no people	17.9, -125.2
24	06 Sep 2018 12:00	Category 3	194	no people	no people	18.2, -126.6
25	06 Sep 2018 18:00	Category 3	204	no people	no people	18.4, -127.9
26	07 Sep 2018 00:00	Category 4	213	no people	no people	18.9, -129.1
27	07 Sep 2018 06:00	Category 3	204	no people	no people	19.4, -130.5
28	07 Sep 2018 12:00	Category 3	185	no people	no people	19.9, -131.8
29	07 Sep 2018 18:00	Category 2	176	no people	no people	20.3, -133.2
30	08 Sep 2018 00:00	Category 2	157	no people	no people	20.7, -134.5
31	08 Sep 2018 06:00	Category 1	148	no people	no people	21.1, -135.9
32	08 Sep 2018 12:00	Category 1	139	no people	no people	21.3, -137.3
33	08 Sep 2018 18:00	Category 1	139	no people	no people	21.6, -138.7
34	09 Sep 2018 00:00	Category 1	130	no people	no people	21.8, -140.3
35	09 Sep 2018 06:00	Category 1	130	no people	no people	21.8, -141.8
36	09 Sep 2018 12:00	Category 1	120	no people	no people	21.8, -143.2
37	09 Sep 2018 18:00	Category 1	120	no people	no people	21.7, -144.5
38	10 Sep 2018 00:00	Category 1	120	no people	no people	21.7, -145.6
39	10 Sep 2018 06:00	Category 1	139	no people	no people	21.7, -146.5
40	10 Sep 2018 12:00	Category 1	139	no people	no people	21.7, -147.5
41	10 Sep 2018 18:00	Category 1	120	no people	no people	21.7, -148.2
42	11 Sep 2018 00:00	Tropical storm	111	no people	no people	21.9, -149.2
43	11 Sep 2018 06:00	Tropical storm	111	no people	no people	21.9, -149.7
44	11 Sep 2018 12:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	no people	21.9, -150.7
45	11 Sep 2018 18:00	Tropical storm	93	120000 people	no people	21.6, -152	United States
46	12 Sep 2018 00:00	Tropical storm	83	350000 people	no people	21.2, -153.9	United States
47	12 Sep 2018 06:00	Tropical storm	74	350000 people	no people	20.9, -154.3	United States
48	12 Sep 2018 12:00	Tropical storm	74	1.2 million people	no people	21, -155.1	United States
49	12 Sep 2018 18:00	Tropical storm	74	1.1 million people	no people	21.1, -156.2	United States
49	13 Sep 2018 06:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	20.6, -159
49	13 Sep 2018 18:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	20.1, -161.7
49	14 Sep 2018 06:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	19.9, -164.5
49	14 Sep 2018 18:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	20, -167.1
49	15 Sep 2018 18:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	21.2, -172.2
49	16 Sep 2018 18:00	Tropical depression	46	no people	no people	22.5, -176.8

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

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Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country
United States

Provinces

Region Province	Country	Population
Hawaii	United States	1.1 million people

Populated places

Name	Region Province	Country	City class	Population
Kahului	Hawaii	United States	City	20000 people
Puunene	Hawaii	United States	City	-
Wailuku	Hawaii	United States	City	12000 people
Lahaina	Hawaii	United States	City	9100 people
Kaneohe	Hawaii	United States	City	34000 people
Honolulu	Hawaii	United States	Major city	370000 people
Aiea	Hawaii	United States	City	9000 people
Pearl City	Hawaii	United States	City	30000 people
Waipahu	Hawaii	United States	City	33000 people
Hilo	Hawaii	United States	City	40000 people
Ewa	Hawaii	United States	City	-
Wahiawa	Hawaii	United States	City	16000 people
Nanakuli	Hawaii	United States	City	10000 people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name	IATA Code	Elevation (m)	Usage	Runway type	IFR	Runway Length (ft)
Kahului	OGG	16	Civ.	Paved	Yes	7000
Hana	HNM	23	Civ.	Paved	No	3600
Kapalua West Maui	JHM	78				0
Kalaupapa	LUP	7				0
Lanai	LNY	399	Civ.	Paved	Yes	5000
Molokai	MKK	138	Civ.	Paved	Yes	4400
Upolu	UPP	29	Civ.	Paved	No	3800
Panda		76				0
Kamuela	MUE	814	Civ.	Paved	No	5100
Honokaa Airstrip		439				0
Waikoloa		33				0
Kaupulehu		13				0
Upper Paauilo Airstrip		463				0
Lucy Henriques Medical Center		853				0
Puu Waa Waa Ranch		686				0
Waimanalo Bellows	BLW	unknown				0
Bradshaw AAF	BSF	1886	Civ.	Paved	No	3600
Kaneohe Bay Mcas		5	Mil.	Paved	Yes	7700
Peleau		332				0
The Queen's Medical Center		31				0
Kualoa Ranch		38				0
Moanalua Medical Center		5				0
Pepeekeo Airstrip		206				0
Honolulu International	HNL	4	Civ.	Paved	Yes	12300
Mauna Kea-Honolii		427				0
Ford Island Alf		5				0
Hilo Hospital		148				0
Kahuku Hospital		12				0
Hilo International	ITO	12	Civ.	Paved	Yes	9800
Wheeler AFB	HHI	255	Mil.	Paved	Yes	5600
Kalaeloa (John Rodgers Field)	JRF	10	Civ.	Paved	Yes	8400
Turtle Bay Hilton		4				0
Dillingham	HDH	5	Mil.	Paved	No	9000

Ports

Name	LOCODE	Country
Kahului		Wake Island
Hana		Wake Island
Lahaina		Wake Island
Pukoo		Wake Island
Kamalo		Wake Island
Kaunakakai		Wake Island
Kaumalapau Harbor		Wake Island
Mahukona		Wake Island
Kawaihae	USKWH	Wake Island
Honokaa		Wake Island
Kiholo		Wake Island
Honolulu	USHNL	Wake Island
Hilo	USITO	Wake Island
Clarion Island		Mexico

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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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StormSurge

No locations affected by storm surge > 10 cm

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (0 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 3 of 01 Sep 2018 12:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 6 minute resolution)

Alert

Date (UTC)

Name

Country

Storm surge height (m)

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.