Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for BERYL-18
in Guadeloupe, Dominica, Martinique

Impact

Tropical Cyclone BERYL-18 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS (NOAA)
Exposed countries Guadeloupe, Dominica, Martinique
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 157 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.1 m (09 Jul 05:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Low (Guadeloupe)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GDACS Current 102 km/h 0.1 m n.a. 0.5
GDACS Overall 157 km/h 0.1 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

102 km/h Current

Up to 6.2 million people in Tropical storm (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm
Population in
Cat. 1 or higher
Countries
Green 1 05 Jul 2018 15:00 65 No people No people
Green 2 05 Jul 2018 21:00 120 No people No people
Green 3 06 Jul 2018 03:00 120 No people No people
Green 4 06 Jul 2018 09:00 139 590 thousand No people Martinique, Dominica, Guadeloupe
Green 5 06 Jul 2018 15:00 157 10.7 million 70 thousand Dominica
Green 6 06 Jul 2018 21:00 148 5.8 million 390 thousand Martinique
Green 7 07 Jul 2018 03:00 139 4.9 million 370 thousand Martinique
Green 8 07 Jul 2018 09:00 120 560 thousand No people Saint Lucia, Martinique, Dominica
Green 9 07 Jul 2018 15:00 102 6.2 million No people Martinique, Dominica, Guadeloupe, Dominican Republic, Haiti

Bulletin Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Category Max winds
(km/h)
Population in
Tropical Storm
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Location (lat, lon) Countries
GREEN
1 05 Jul 2018 15:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 10.2, -41.4
GREEN
2 05 Jul 2018 21:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 10.3, -42.8
GREEN
3 06 Jul 2018 03:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 10.4, -44
GREEN
4 06 Jul 2018 09:00 Category 1 120 no people no people 10.6, -45.1
GREEN
5 06 Jul 2018 15:00 Category 1 130 no people no people 10.7, -46.5
GREEN
6 06 Jul 2018 21:00 Category 1 130 no people no people 10.6, -47.8
GREEN
7 07 Jul 2018 03:00 Category 1 130 no people no people 10.9, -48.9
GREEN
8 07 Jul 2018 09:00 Category 1 120 no people no people 11.1, -49.8
GREEN
9 07 Jul 2018 15:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 12.1, -51.1
GREEN
9 08 Jul 2018 00:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 12.6, -52.9
GREEN
9 08 Jul 2018 12:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 13.6, -56
GREEN
9 09 Jul 2018 00:00 Tropical storm 93 530000 people no people 14.8, -59.6 Dominica
GREEN
9 09 Jul 2018 12:00 Tropical storm 83 5.7 million people no people 15.9, -63.6 Haiti
GREEN
9 10 Jul 2018 12:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 18.3, -71.7 Haiti
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.



Exposed population

Countries

Country
Martinique
Dominica
Guadeloupe
Dominican Republic
Haiti

Provinces

Region Province Country Population
Martinique Martinique 370000 people
Dominica Dominica 70000 people
Guadeloupe Guadeloupe 410000 people
Distrito Nacional Dominican Republic 2.7 million people
Santo Domingo Dominican Republic 1.5 million people
San Cristobal Dominican Republic 160000 people
Peravia Dominican Republic 200000 people
Azua Dominican Republic 210000 people
La Vega Dominican Republic 310000 people
Barahona Dominican Republic 160000 people
San Juan Dominican Republic 280000 people
Baoruco Dominican Republic 94000 people
Pedernales Dominican Republic 20000 people
Independencia Dominican Republic 46000 people
La Estrelleta Dominican Republic 65000 people
Sud-Est Haiti 440000 people
Ouest Haiti 2.2 million people
Centre Haiti 460000 people

Populated places

Name Region Province Country City class Population
Fort-de-France Martinique Capital 88000 people
Roseau Saint George Dominica Capital 16000 people
Saint-Claude Guadeloupe City 10000 people
Basse-Terre Guadeloupe Capital 11000 people
Bajos de Haina San Cristóbal Dominican Republic City 66000 people
San Cristóbal San Cristóbal Dominican Republic City 110000 people
Baní Peravia Dominican Republic City 57000 people
San José de Ocoa San José de Ocoa Dominican Republic City -
Azua Azua Dominican Republic City 59000 people
Barahona Barahona Dominican Republic City 76000 people
Cabral Barahona Dominican Republic City 12000 people
Vicente Noble Barahona Dominican Republic City 10000 people
San Juan San Juan Dominican Republic City -
Neiba Baoruco Dominican Republic City -
Duvergé Independencia Dominican Republic City 9800 people
Pétionville Ouest Haiti City 90000 people
Port-au-Prince Ouest Haiti Capital 1.2 million people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
Le Lamentin FDF 5 Civ. Paved Yes 10800
Melville Hall DOM 24 Civ. Paved Yes 4800
Dominica Cane DCF unknown 0
Canefield 4 Civ. Paved No 2500
Marie Galante GBJ 5 Civ. Paved Yes 4000
Terre de Haut LSS unknown 0
Terre-de-Bas HTB unknown 0
Herrera HEX 66 Civ. Paved Yes 4100
Barahona Habanero BRX 23 Civ. Paved Yes 9800
San Juan de la M. SJM unknown 0
Cabo Rojo CBJ 11 Civ. Paved No 4900
Mais Gate PAP 33 Civ. Paved Yes 9900
Bowen 32 0

Ports

Name LOCODE Country
Le Marin Martinique
Le Robert Martinique
La Trinite Martinique
Fort de France MQFDF Martinique
Saint Pierre Martinique
Roseau DMRSU Dominica
Grand Bourg Guadeloupe
Saint Louis Guadeloupe
Portsmouth DMPOR Dominica
Bourg Des Saintes Guadeloupe
Basse Terre GPBBR Guadeloupe
Rio Haina DOHAI Dominican Republic
Palenque DOPAL Dominican Republic
Las Calderas Dominican Republic
Puerto Viejo de Azua DOPVA Dominican Republic
Azua DOPVA Dominican Republic
Puerto Viejo de Azua Dominican Republic
Barahona DOBRX Dominican Republic
Cabo Rojo DOCBJ Dominican Republic
Port-au-Prince HTPAP Haiti

Dams

Reservoir Dam Name River Year
Saint Pierre la Manzo Manche 1978
Las Barias Nizao -99
Valdesia Nizao 1975
Jiguey Nizao 1992
Sabana Yegua Yaque del Sur 1978

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

StormSurge

0.1 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.1m in La Plaine, Dominica. This height is estimated for 09 Jul 2018 05:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (15 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 9 of 07 Jul 2018 15:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
09 Jul 2018 05:00 La Plaine Dominica  0.1
10 Jul 2018 10:00 Los Negros Dominican Republic  0.1
09 Jul 2018 05:00 Castle Bruce Dominica  0.1
10 Jul 2018 09:00 Las Calderas Dominican Republic  0.1
09 Jul 2018 06:00 Roseau Dominica  0.1
09 Jul 2018 05:00 Scotts Head Dominica  0.1
09 Jul 2018 05:00 Dubuc Dominica  0.1
09 Jul 2018 06:00 Portsmouth Dominica  0.1
09 Jul 2018 06:00 Baroui Dominica  0.1
09 Jul 2018 06:00 Marigot Dominica  0.1
10 Jul 2018 09:00 Agua Clara Dominican Republic  0.1
10 Jul 2018 10:00 El Curro Dominican Republic  0.1
10 Jul 2018 10:00 Barahona Dominican Republic  0.1
10 Jul 2018 10:00 La Cienaga Dominican Republic  0.1
09 Jul 2018 04:00 Basse-Pointe Martinique  0.1