Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for BERYL-18 in Guadeloupe, Dominica, Martinique from 05 Jul 2018 15:00 UTC to 07 Jul 2018 03:00 UTC

07 Jul 2018 03 UTC

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Meteorological source:

GDACS NOAA

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone BERYL-18 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GDACS
Exposed countries	Guadeloupe, Dominica, Martinique
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	157 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.5 m (09 Jul 01:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	Low (Guadeloupe)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	139 km/h	0.5 m	n.a.	0.5
Overall	157 km/h	0.5 m	n.a.	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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Wind

139 km/h Current Max.

Up to 370000 people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher	Countries
1	05 Jul 2018 15:00	65	No people	No people
2	05 Jul 2018 21:00	120	No people	No people
3	06 Jul 2018 03:00	120	No people	No people
4	06 Jul 2018 09:00	139	590 thousand	No people	Martinique, Dominica, Guadeloupe
5	06 Jul 2018 15:00	157	10.7 million	70 thousand	Dominica
6	06 Jul 2018 21:00	148	5.8 million	390 thousand	Martinique
7	07 Jul 2018 03:00	139	4.9 million	370 thousand	Martinique

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)	Countries
1	05 Jul 2018 15:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	10.2, -41.4
2	05 Jul 2018 21:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	10.3, -42.8
3	06 Jul 2018 03:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	no people	10.4, -44
4	06 Jul 2018 09:00	Category 1	120	no people	no people	10.6, -45.1
5	06 Jul 2018 15:00	Category 1	130	no people	no people	10.7, -46.5
6	06 Jul 2018 21:00	Category 1	130	no people	no people	10.6, -47.8
7	07 Jul 2018 03:00	Category 1	130	no people	no people	10.9, -48.9
7	07 Jul 2018 12:00	Category 1	139	no people	no people	11.3, -50.6
7	08 Jul 2018 00:00	Category 1	139	no people	no people	12.3, -53.5
7	08 Jul 2018 12:00	Category 1	139	4400 people	590000 people	13.3, -56.8	Martinique
7	09 Jul 2018 00:00	Category 1	130	370000 people	620000 people	14.4, -60.6	Martinique
7	10 Jul 2018 00:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	4.2 million people	16.5, -68.5	Haiti
7	11 Jul 2018 00:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	19.5, -76.5	Cuba

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

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Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country
Martinique

Provinces

Region Province	Country
Martinique	Martinique

Populated places

Name	Region Province	Country	City class	Population
Fort-de-France		Martinique	Capital	89000 people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name	IATA Code	Elevation (m)	Usage	Runway type	IFR	Runway Length (ft)
Le Lamentin	FDF	5	Civ.	Paved	Yes	10800

Ports

Name	LOCODE	Country
Le Marin		Martinique
Le Robert		Martinique
La Trinite		Martinique
Fort de France	MQFDF	Martinique
Saint Pierre		Martinique

Dams

Reservoir	Dam Name	River	Year
	Saint Pierre la Manzo	Manche	1978

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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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StormSurge

0.5 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.5m in Hyacinthe, Martinique. This height is estimated for 09 Jul 2018 01:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (24 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 7 of 07 Jul 2018 03:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	09 Jul 2018 01:00	Hyacinthe	Martinique	0.5
	09 Jul 2018 01:00	Le Vauclin	Martinique	0.2
	09 Jul 2018 02:00	Fonds Panier	Martinique	0.2
	09 Jul 2018 01:00	Sainte-Anne	Martinique	0.2
	09 Jul 2018 01:00	Lero	Martinique	0.2
	09 Jul 2018 02:00	Fort-de-France	Martinique	0.2
	10 Jul 2018 16:00	Mathon	Haiti	0.1
	09 Jul 2018 03:00	Sainte Pierre	Martinique	0.1
	09 Jul 2018 02:00	Basse-Pointe	Martinique	0.1
	09 Jul 2018 01:00	Les Anses dArlets	Martinique	0.1
	10 Jul 2018 16:00	Aquin	Haiti	0.1
	09 Jul 2018 01:00	Castries	St. Lucia	0.1
	09 Jul 2018 01:00	Cap Estate	St. Lucia	0.1
	10 Jul 2018 10:00	Cabo Rojo	Dominican Republic	0.1
	10 Jul 2018 11:00	Anse a Cochon	Haiti	0.1
	10 Jul 2018 12:00	Carrefour Raymond	Haiti	0.1
	10 Jul 2018 12:00	Marigot	Haiti	0.1
	10 Jul 2018 12:00	Adieu au Monde	Haiti	0.1
	10 Jul 2018 12:00	Ca Malor	Haiti	0.1
	10 Jul 2018 12:00	Jacmel	Haiti	0.1
	10 Jul 2018 13:00	Bainet	Haiti	0.1
	10 Jul 2018 14:00	Laborieux	Haiti	0.1
	10 Jul 2018 14:00	Coquille	Haiti	0.1
	10 Jul 2018 15:00	Baraderes	Haiti	0.1