Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for BERYL-18
in Guadeloupe, Dominica, Martinique
06 Jul 2018 15 UTC
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  • GDACS NOAA
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

    Tropical Cyclone BERYL-18 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

    Meteorological source GDACS
    Exposed countries Guadeloupe, Dominica, Martinique
    Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
    Maximum wind speed 157 km/h
    Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (09 Jul 02:00 UTC)
    Vulnerability Low (Guadeloupe)

    GDACS Score

    GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
    For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
      Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
    Current 157 km/h 0.3 m n.a. 0.5
    Overall 157 km/h 0.3 m n.a. 0.5

    Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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    Wind

      157 km/h Current Max.

      Up to 71000 people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

      Impact Timeline

        Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
        Tropical Storm or higher        		 Population in
        Cat 1. or higher        		 Countries
        Green 1 05 Jul 2018 15:00 65 No people No people
        Green 2 05 Jul 2018 21:00 120 No people No people
        Green 3 06 Jul 2018 03:00 120 No people No people
        Green 4 06 Jul 2018 09:00 139 590 thousand No people Martinique, Dominica, Guadeloupe
        Green 5 06 Jul 2018 15:00 157 10.7 million 70 thousand Dominica

        Bulletin Timeline

          Alert N° Date (UTC) Category
          (SSHS)           		Max winds
          (km/h)           		Population in
          Cat.1 or higher           		Population in
          Tropical Storm
          or higher           		Location (lat, lon) Countries
          GREEN
          		 1 05 Jul 2018 15:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 10.2, -41.4
          GREEN
          		 2 05 Jul 2018 21:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 10.3, -42.8
          GREEN
          		 3 06 Jul 2018 03:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 10.4, -44
          GREEN
          		 4 06 Jul 2018 09:00 Category 1 120 no people no people 10.6, -45.1
          GREEN
          		 5 06 Jul 2018 15:00 Category 1 130 no people no people 10.7, -46.5
          GREEN
          		 5 07 Jul 2018 00:00 Category 1 139 no people no people 11.3, -47.9
          GREEN
          		 5 07 Jul 2018 12:00 Category 1 148 no people no people 12.2, -50.1
          GREEN
          		 5 08 Jul 2018 00:00 Category 2 157 no people no people 13.3, -53
          GREEN
          		 5 08 Jul 2018 12:00 Category 2 157 71000 people 880000 people 14.2, -56.6 Dominica
          GREEN
          		 5 09 Jul 2018 12:00 Tropical storm 111 no people 9.8 million people 16.2, -64.6 Haiti
          GREEN
          		 5 10 Jul 2018 12:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 18.5, -72 Haiti
          Actual track of the current bulletin
          The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
          Download:



          Exposed population - AoIs

          Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

          Countries

          Country
          Dominica

          Provinces

          Region Province Country
          Dominica Dominica

          Populated places

          Name Region Province Country City class Population
          Roseau Saint George Dominica Capital 17000 people

          Critical infrastructure

          Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

          Airports

          Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
          Melville Hall DOM 24 Civ. Paved Yes 4800
          Dominica Cane DCF unknown 0
          Canefield 4 Civ. Paved No 2500

          Ports

          Name LOCODE Country
          Roseau DMRSU Dominica
          Portsmouth DMPOR Dominica
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          Rainfall

          Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

          ...

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          StormSurge

          0.3 m

          The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in La Plaine, Dominica. This height is estimated for 09 Jul 2018 02:00 UTC .

          The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

          Locations affected by Storm surge (21 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 5 of 06 Jul 2018 15:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

          Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
          09 Jul 2018 02:00 La Plaine Dominica  0.3
          09 Jul 2018 02:00 Castle Bruce Dominica  0.3
          10 Jul 2018 09:00 Los Negros Dominican Republic  0.2
          09 Jul 2018 02:00 Dubuc Dominica  0.2
          09 Jul 2018 02:00 Marigot Dominica  0.2
          10 Jul 2018 08:00 Las Calderas Dominican Republic  0.2
          09 Jul 2018 03:00 Baroui Dominica  0.1
          09 Jul 2018 05:00 Basse-Terre Guadeloupe  0.1
          09 Jul 2018 03:00 Portsmouth Dominica  0.1
          09 Jul 2018 05:00 Saint-Claude Guadeloupe  0.1
          10 Jul 2018 07:00 La Playa Dominican Republic  0.1
          10 Jul 2018 07:00 Agua Clara Dominican Republic  0.1
          09 Jul 2018 03:00 Grand-Bourg Guadeloupe  0.1
          09 Jul 2018 03:00 Capesterre Guadeloupe  0.1
          10 Jul 2018 09:00 El Curro Dominican Republic  0.1
          09 Jul 2018 01:00 Basse-Pointe Martinique  0.1
          09 Jul 2018 03:00 Roseau Dominica  0.1
          09 Jul 2018 02:00 Scotts Head Dominica  0.1
          09 Jul 2018 04:00 Le Bourg Guadeloupe  0.1
          10 Jul 2018 09:00 Barahona Dominican Republic  0.1
          09 Jul 2018 04:00 Pointe-a-Pitre Guadeloupe  0.1