Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for MARIA-18
in China, Japan
04 Jul 2018 18 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
  • GDACS JTWC
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

    Tropical Cyclone MARIA-18 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

    Meteorological source GDACS
    Glide number: TC-2018-000110-CHN
    Exposed countries China, Japan
    Exposed population 25.4 million in Category 1 or higher
    Maximum wind speed 250 km/h
    Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (04 Jul 20:00 UTC)
    Vulnerability Medium (China)

    GDACS Score

    GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
    For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
      Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
    Current 250 km/h 0.2 m n.a. 0.5
    Overall 250 km/h 0.2 m n.a. 0.5

    Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

    TOP

    Wind

      250 km/h Current Max.

      Up to 2100 people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

      Impact Timeline

        Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
        Tropical Storm or higher        		 Population in
        Cat 1. or higher        		 Countries
        Green 1 02 Jul 2018 18:00 176 160 thousand No people Guam
        Green 2 03 Jul 2018 00:00 194 160 thousand No people Guam
        Green 3 03 Jul 2018 06:00 185 210 thousand No people Guam, Northern Mariana Islands
        Green 4 03 Jul 2018 12:00 176 210 thousand No people Guam, Northern Mariana Islands
        Green 5 03 Jul 2018 18:00 176 200 thousand No people Guam, Northern Mariana Islands
        Green 6 04 Jul 2018 00:00 176 210 thousand No people Guam, Northern Mariana Islands
        Green 7 04 Jul 2018 06:00 176 210 thousand No people Guam, Northern Mariana Islands
        Green 8 04 Jul 2018 12:00 185 170 thousand No people Guam
        Green 9 04 Jul 2018 18:00 250 210 thousand 2 thousand Guam, Northern Mariana Islands

        Bulletin Timeline

          Alert N° Date (UTC) Category
          (SSHS)           		Max winds
          (km/h)           		Population in
          Cat.1 or higher           		Population in
          Tropical Storm
          or higher           		Location (lat, lon) Countries
          GREEN
          		 1 02 Jul 2018 18:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 9.9, 146
          GREEN
          		 2 03 Jul 2018 00:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 10.4, 145.8
          GREEN
          		 3 03 Jul 2018 06:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 11.1, 148.5
          GREEN
          		 4 03 Jul 2018 12:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 11.8, 147.3
          GREEN
          		 5 03 Jul 2018 18:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 11.4, 146.5
          GREEN
          		 6 04 Jul 2018 00:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 11.7, 146.3
          GREEN
          		 7 04 Jul 2018 06:00 Tropical depression 56 no people 210000 people 12.4, 146.1 Northern Mariana Islands
          GREEN
          		 8 04 Jul 2018 12:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 160000 people 12.6, 145.2 Guam
          GREEN
          		 9 04 Jul 2018 18:00 Tropical storm 102 <1000 people 210000 people 13.6, 144.9 Guam
          GREEN
          		 9 05 Jul 2018 06:00 Category 1 130 no people 210000 people 14.8, 144 Northern Mariana Islands
          GREEN
          		 9 05 Jul 2018 18:00 Category 2 167 no people no people 15.9, 143.1
          GREEN
          		 9 06 Jul 2018 06:00 Category 3 204 no people no people 16.9, 142.4
          GREEN
          		 9 06 Jul 2018 18:00 Category 4 231 no people no people 17.9, 141.8
          GREEN
          		 9 07 Jul 2018 18:00 Category 4 250 no people no people 20.1, 139.9
          GREEN
          		 9 08 Jul 2018 18:00 Category 4 231 2100 people 2100 people 22.6, 136.6
          GREEN
          		 9 09 Jul 2018 18:00 Category 4 213 no people no people 25.1, 131.5
          Actual track of the current bulletin
          The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
          Download:



          Exposed population - AoIs

          Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

          Critical infrastructure

          Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

          Airports

          Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
          Minami Daito MMD 4 Civ. Paved Yes 4900
          Kitadaito KTD 24 Civ. Paved Yes 4900

          Ports

          Name LOCODE Country
          Okino Japan
          Kita Japan
          TOP

          Rainfall

          Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

          ...

          TOP

          StormSurge

          0.2 m

          The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Harmon Village, Guam. This height is estimated for 04 Jul 2018 20:00 UTC .

          The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

          Locations affected by Storm surge (36 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 9 of 04 Jul 2018 18:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 6 minute resolution)

          Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
          04 Jul 2018 20:00 Harmon Village Guam  0.2
          04 Jul 2018 20:00 Oceanview Guam  0.2
          04 Jul 2018 20:00 Dededo Guam  0.2
          04 Jul 2018 20:00 South Acres Guam  0.2
          04 Jul 2018 20:00 Ipapao Guam  0.2
          04 Jul 2018 20:00 Potts Junction Guam  0.2
          04 Jul 2018 20:00 Perez Acres Guam  0.2
          04 Jul 2018 20:00 Spring Hill Subdivision Guam  0.2
          04 Jul 2018 20:00 Upi Guam  0.2
          04 Jul 2018 20:00 Gayinero Guam  0.2
          04 Jul 2018 20:00 Asatdas Guam  0.2
          04 Jul 2018 20:00 Lupog Guam  0.2
          04 Jul 2018 20:00 Camp Quezon Guam  0.2
          04 Jul 2018 20:00 Asbeco Guam  0.2
          04 Jul 2018 20:00 Adacao Guam  0.2
          04 Jul 2018 20:00 Lockwood Terrace Guam  0.2
          04 Jul 2018 20:00 Camp Bright Guam  0.2
          04 Jul 2018 20:00 Piti Guam  0.2
          04 Jul 2018 20:00 Asan Guam  0.2
          04 Jul 2018 20:00 Hagatna Guam  0.2
          04 Jul 2018 20:00 Sinajana Guam  0.2
          04 Jul 2018 20:00 Mongmong Guam  0.2
          04 Jul 2018 20:00 Yona Guam  0.2
          04 Jul 2018 20:00 Tamuning Guam  0.2
          04 Jul 2018 20:00 Barrigada Guam  0.2
          04 Jul 2018 19:00 Agat Guam  0.2
          04 Jul 2018 19:00 Santa Rita Guam  0.2
          04 Jul 2018 19:00 Talofofo Guam  0.2
          04 Jul 2018 19:00 Ylig Guam  0.2
          04 Jul 2018 17:00 Inarajan Guam  0.2
          04 Jul 2018 17:00 Umatac Guam  0.2
          04 Jul 2018 17:00 Merizo Guam  0.2
          04 Jul 2018 20:00 Songsong Northern Mariana Islands  0.1
          04 Jul 2018 20:00 Teteto Northern Mariana Islands  0.1
          04 Jul 2018 20:00 Rota Northern Mariana Islands  0.1
          04 Jul 2018 20:00 Sinapalo Northern Mariana Islands  0.1