Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for MARIA-18
in China, Japan
03 Jul 2018 06 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
  • GDACS JTWC
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

    Tropical Cyclone MARIA-18 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

    Meteorological source GDACS
    Glide number: TC-2018-000110-CHN
    Exposed countries China, Japan
    Exposed population 25.4 million in Category 1 or higher
    Maximum wind speed 250 km/h
    Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (05 Jul 03:00 UTC)
    Vulnerability Medium (China)

    GDACS Score

    GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
    For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
      Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
    Current 185 km/h 0.2 m n.a. 0.5
    Overall 250 km/h 0.2 m n.a. 0.5

    Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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    Wind

      185 km/h Current Max.

      Up to no people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

      Impact Timeline

        Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
        Tropical Storm or higher        		 Population in
        Cat 1. or higher        		 Countries
        Green 1 02 Jul 2018 18:00 176 160 thousand No people Guam
        Green 2 03 Jul 2018 00:00 194 160 thousand No people Guam
        Green 3 03 Jul 2018 06:00 185 210 thousand No people Guam, Northern Mariana Islands

        Bulletin Timeline

          Alert N° Date (UTC) Category
          (SSHS)           		Max winds
          (km/h)           		Population in
          Cat.1 or higher           		Population in
          Tropical Storm
          or higher           		Location (lat, lon) Countries
          GREEN
          		 1 02 Jul 2018 18:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 9.9, 146
          GREEN
          		 2 03 Jul 2018 00:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 10.4, 145.8
          GREEN
          		 3 03 Jul 2018 06:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 11.1, 148.5
          GREEN
          		 3 03 Jul 2018 18:00 Tropical depression 56 no people 200000 people 11.9, 148 Northern Mariana Islands
          GREEN
          		 3 04 Jul 2018 06:00 Tropical storm 74 no people 210000 people 13, 147.3 Northern Mariana Islands
          GREEN
          		 3 04 Jul 2018 18:00 Tropical storm 93 3000 people 210000 people 14, 146.2 Northern Mariana Islands
          GREEN
          		 3 05 Jul 2018 06:00 Category 1 120 no people 210000 people 15.1, 145.2 Guam
          GREEN
          		 3 06 Jul 2018 06:00 Category 1 148 no people no people 17.3, 143.8
          GREEN
          		 3 07 Jul 2018 06:00 Category 2 167 no people <1000 people 19.7, 142.9
          GREEN
          		 3 08 Jul 2018 06:00 Category 3 185 no people no people 22.3, 140.2
          Actual track of the current bulletin
          The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
          Download:



          Exposed population - AoIs

          Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

          Critical infrastructure

          Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

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          Rainfall

          Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

          ...

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          StormSurge

          0.2 m

          The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Kagman, Northern Mariana Islands. This height is estimated for 05 Jul 2018 03:00 UTC .

          The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

          Locations affected by Storm surge (16 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 3 of 03 Jul 2018 06:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

          Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
          05 Jul 2018 03:00 Kagman Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
          05 Jul 2018 03:00 Sunharon Roads Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
          05 Jul 2018 04:00 Tanapag Northern Mariana Islands  0.1
          05 Jul 2018 04:00 San Roque Northern Mariana Islands  0.1
          05 Jul 2018 03:00 Aslito Northern Mariana Islands  0.1
          05 Jul 2018 00:00 Rota Northern Mariana Islands  0.1
          05 Jul 2018 00:00 Sinapalo Northern Mariana Islands  0.1
          05 Jul 2018 03:00 Chalan Kanoa Northern Mariana Islands  0.1
          05 Jul 2018 00:00 Songsong Northern Mariana Islands  0.1
          05 Jul 2018 00:00 Teteto Northern Mariana Islands  0.1
          05 Jul 2018 04:00 Afetna Northern Mariana Islands  0.1
          05 Jul 2018 04:00 Susupi Northern Mariana Islands  0.1
          05 Jul 2018 04:00 Laolao Northern Mariana Islands  0.1
          05 Jul 2018 04:00 Saipan Northern Mariana Islands  0.1
          05 Jul 2018 04:00 Garapan Northern Mariana Islands  0.1
          05 Jul 2018 04:00 Mutcho Northern Mariana Islands  0.1