Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for DINEO-17
in Mozambique
GDACS
Impact Single TC
HWRF
ECMWF
GFS
Impact all weather systems in the area
.

Impact

Tropical Cyclone DINEO-17 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS (JTWC)
Exposed countries Mozambique
Exposed population 510 thousand in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 139 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.9 m (15 Feb 17:00 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Mozambique)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GDACS Current 120 km/h 0.5 m n.a. 0.5
GDACS Overall 139 km/h 0.9 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

120 km/h Current

Up to no people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm
Population in
Cat. 1 or higher
Countries
Green 1 13 Feb 2017 12:00 120 1.6 million No people Mozambique, Zimbabwe, South Africa

Bulletin Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Category Max winds
(km/h)
Population in
Tropical Storm
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Location (lat, lon) Countries
GREEN
1 13 Feb 2017 12:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people -21.5, 39.8
GREEN
1 14 Feb 2017 00:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people -21.7, 39.5
GREEN
1 14 Feb 2017 12:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people -22.1, 38.8
GREEN
1 15 Feb 2017 00:00 Category 1 120 460000 people no people -22.5, 37.8 Mozambique
GREEN
1 15 Feb 2017 12:00 Tropical storm 111 1.2 million people no people -23, 36.5 Mozambique
GREEN
1 16 Feb 2017 12:00 Tropical storm 83 690000 people no people -23.3, 34 Mozambique
GREEN
1 17 Feb 2017 12:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people -22.9, 31.5 Mozambique
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.



Exposed population

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

StormSurge

0.9 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.9m in Marivate, Mozambique. This height is estimated for 15 Feb 2017 17:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (62 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 6 of 16 Feb 2017 00:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
15 Feb 2017 17:00 Marivate Mozambique  0.9
15 Feb 2017 18:00 Morrumbene Mozambique  0.9
15 Feb 2017 18:00 Maxixe Mozambique  0.8
15 Feb 2017 18:00 Inhambane Mozambique  0.8
15 Feb 2017 16:00 Mabsil Mozambique  0.6
15 Feb 2017 16:00 Beula Mozambique  0.6
15 Feb 2017 19:00 Chicoque Mozambique  0.6
15 Feb 2017 19:00 Banga Mozambique  0.6
15 Feb 2017 16:00 Guiducua Mozambique  0.5
15 Feb 2017 18:00 Praia do Tofo Mozambique  0.4
15 Feb 2017 18:00 Miramar Mozambique  0.4
15 Feb 2017 22:00 Mahoa Mozambique  0.3
15 Feb 2017 22:00 Fabiao Mozambique  0.3
15 Feb 2017 22:00 Uetela Mozambique  0.3
15 Feb 2017 15:00 Ingale Mozambique  0.3
15 Feb 2017 23:00 China Mozambique  0.2
15 Feb 2017 19:00 Macashale Mozambique  0.2
15 Feb 2017 19:00 Macanzele Mozambique  0.2
15 Feb 2017 16:00 Guinjala Mozambique  0.2
15 Feb 2017 22:00 Afonso Mozambique  0.2
15 Feb 2017 22:00 Caulino Mozambique  0.2
15 Feb 2017 20:00 Guilande Mozambique  0.2
16 Feb 2017 00:00 Xetoquica Mozambique  0.2
14 Feb 2017 12:00 Maconharumo Mozambique  0.2
14 Feb 2017 12:00 Amado Mozambique  0.2
15 Feb 2017 16:00 Siane Mozambique  0.2
16 Feb 2017 00:00 Inhampsi Mozambique  0.2
16 Feb 2017 00:00 Jacob Mozambique  0.2
15 Feb 2017 22:00 Asneira Mozambique  0.2
15 Feb 2017 20:00 Bambe Mozambique  0.2
16 Feb 2017 00:00 Vilanculos Mozambique  0.2
15 Feb 2017 17:00 Induna Mozambique  0.2
15 Feb 2017 16:00 Camo Mozambique  0.2
15 Feb 2017 23:00 Mariano Mozambique  0.1
15 Feb 2017 19:00 Nangalete Mozambique  0.1
14 Feb 2017 14:00 Chimuaza Mozambique  0.1
15 Feb 2017 23:00 Inhassoro Mozambique  0.1
15 Feb 2017 23:00 Catine Mozambique  0.1
15 Feb 2017 21:00 Maguemba Mozambique  0.1
15 Feb 2017 19:00 Gafaria Mozambique  0.1
15 Feb 2017 17:00 Mahupe Mozambique  0.1
14 Feb 2017 13:00 Ankirijibe Madagascar  0.1
14 Feb 2017 12:00 Manometimay Madagascar  0.1
14 Feb 2017 12:00 Ankirijibe Madagascar  0.1
14 Feb 2017 12:00 Kivalo Est Madagascar  0.1
16 Feb 2017 01:00 Bartolomeu Dias Mozambique  0.1
16 Feb 2017 01:00 Natalia Mozambique  0.1
16 Feb 2017 00:00 Linchica Mozambique  0.1
14 Feb 2017 13:00 Morondava Madagascar  0.1
14 Feb 2017 13:00 Antserananbondro Madagascar  0.1
16 Feb 2017 02:00 Castigo Mozambique  0.1
14 Feb 2017 12:00 Belo-sur-Mer Madagascar  0.1
16 Feb 2017 00:00 D'lhelo Mozambique  0.1
14 Feb 2017 13:00 Antsamaka Madagascar  0.1
14 Feb 2017 16:00 Barra Mozambique  0.1
14 Feb 2017 16:00 Ocone Mozambique  0.1
15 Feb 2017 09:00 Afo Mozambique  0.1
15 Feb 2017 22:00 Contra Costa Mozambique  0.1
15 Feb 2017 23:00 Chavanine Mozambique  0.1
14 Feb 2017 13:00 Ampanihy Madagascar  0.1
14 Feb 2017 03:00 Jonja Mozambique  0.1
15 Feb 2017 20:00 Gueima Mozambique  0.1