Overall Orange Tropical Cyclone alert for FILIPO-24 in Mozambique, South Africa, Eswatini, Zimbabwe, Malawi from 03 Mar 2024 06:00 UTC to 11 Mar 2024 18:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for FILIPO-24

in Mozambique, South Africa, Eswatini, Zimbabwe, Malawi

Meteorological source:

WMO-RSMC La Réunion
Primary source
GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone FILIPO-24 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	WMO/RSMC La Réunion - Meteo France
Glide number:	TC-2024-000032-MOZ
Exposed countries	Mozambique, South Africa, Eswatini, Zimbabwe, Malawi
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	158 km/h
Maximum storm surge	n.a.
Vulnerability	High (Mozambique)
Landfall	between 11 Mar 2024 18:00 - 12 Mar 2024 06:00 in Mozambique

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	95 km/h	n.a.	n.a.	1.5
Overall	158 km/h	0.0 m	n.a.	1.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on WMO/RSMC La Réunion - Meteo France impact

Joint Pilot Activity: EC-JRC,WMO/RSMC La Réunion-Meteo France

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Wind

95 km/h Current Max.

Up to 18.7 million people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher	Countries
1	03 Mar 2024 06:00	63	No people	No people
2	03 Mar 2024 12:00	116	3 million	No people	Madagascar
3	10 Mar 2024 06:00	63	No people	No people
4	10 Mar 2024 12:00	63	10.7 million	No people	Mozambique, Malawi
5	10 Mar 2024 18:00	127	14 million	No people	Mozambique, Zimbabwe, South Africa, Eswatini
6	11 Mar 2024 00:00	137	15 million	No people	Mozambique, Zimbabwe, South Africa, Eswatini
7	11 Mar 2024 06:00	116	19 million	No people	Mozambique, Zimbabwe, South Africa, Eswatini
8	11 Mar 2024 12:00	74	17.1 million	No people	Mozambique, Zimbabwe, South Africa, Eswatini
9	11 Mar 2024 18:00	95	18.7 million	No people	Mozambique, Zimbabwe, South Africa, Eswatini

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Category (WMO/RSMC) **	Max winds (km/h) (WMO/RSMC)	Location (lat, lon)	Countries
1	03 Mar 2024 06:00	Tropical storm	63	no people	no people	Tropical Depression	56	-11.8, 51.6
2	03 Mar 2024 12:00	Tropical storm	63	no people	no people	Tropical Depression	56	-12.3, 50.8
3	10 Mar 2024 06:00	Tropical storm	63	no people	no people	Tropical Depression	56	-20.3, 39.7
4	10 Mar 2024 12:00	Tropical storm	63	no people	10.7 million people	Tropical Depression	56	-20.1, 39.1
5	10 Mar 2024 18:00	Tropical storm	84	no people	4.4 million people	Moderate Tropical Storm	74	-20.1, 38.4
6	11 Mar 2024 00:00	Tropical storm	84	no people	4.6 million people	Moderate Tropical Storm	74	-20.1, 37.7
7	11 Mar 2024 06:00	Tropical storm	84	no people	8.1 million people	Moderate Tropical Storm	74	-20.4, 37
8	11 Mar 2024 12:00	Tropical storm	95	no people	4 million people	Moderate Tropical Storm	83	-20.5, 36.5
9	11 Mar 2024 18:00	Tropical storm	116	no people	7.7 million people	Severe Tropical Storm	102	-20.8, 35.9
9	12 Mar 2024 06:00	Tropical storm	95	no people	12.2 million people	Moderate Tropical Storm	83	-21.8, 34.7	Mozambique
9	12 Mar 2024 18:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	11.9 million people	Moderate Tropical Storm	65	-23.6, 33.8	Mozambique
9	13 Mar 2024 06:00	Tropical storm	84	no people	10.3 million people	Moderate Tropical Storm	74	-25.8, 33.7
9	13 Mar 2024 18:00	Tropical storm	106	no people	340000 people	Severe Tropical Storm	93	-28.1, 35.5
9	14 Mar 2024 06:00	Category 1	127	no people	no people	Severe Tropical Storm	111	-30.8, 38.8
9	14 Mar 2024 18:00	Category 1	137	no people	no people	Tropical Cyclone	120	-34, 44.2
9	15 Mar 2024 06:00	Category 1	127	no people	no people	Severe Tropical Storm	111	-36.7, 50
9	15 Mar 2024 18:00	Tropical storm	116	no people	no people	Severe Tropical Storm	102	-38.8, 55.7
9	16 Mar 2024 06:00	Tropical storm	95	no people	no people	Moderate Tropical Storm	83	-40.5, 62
9	16 Mar 2024 18:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	Moderate Tropical Storm	65	-42, 70.4

Tropical disturbance/Weak low pressure area/Remnant low (Vmax < 51 km/h), see WMO

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

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Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country	Population in Tropical Storm or higher strength
Mozambique	12.7 million people
Zimbabwe	890000 people
South Africa	3.8 million people
Eswatini	1.2 million people

Provinces

Region Province	Country	Population in Tropical Storm or higher strength
Sofala	Mozambique	2.2 million people
Inhambane	Mozambique	1.5 million people
Manica	Mozambique	1.8 million people
Zambezia	Mozambique	1.8 million people
Gaza	Mozambique	1.5 million people
Manicaland	Zimbabwe	640000 people
Tete	Mozambique	95000 people
Masvingo	Zimbabwe	240000 people
Northern	South Africa	1.2 million people
Maputo	Mozambique	3.7 million people
Matabeleland South	Zimbabwe	1900 people
Mpumalanga	South Africa	1.6 million people
Lubombo	Eswatini	230000 people
Hhohho	Eswatini	330000 people
Manzini	Eswatini	380000 people
KwaZulu/Natal	South Africa	1.1 million people
Shiselweni	Eswatini	230000 people

Populated places

Name	Region Province	Country	City class	Population
Beira	Sofala	Mozambique	Major city	520000 people
Chimoio	Manica	Mozambique	City	260000 people
Quelimane	Zambezia	Mozambique	City	190000 people
Maxixe		Mozambique	City	120000 people
Xai-Xai	Gaza	Mozambique	City	130000 people
Maputo	Maputo	Mozambique	Capital	1.2 million people
Matola	Maputo	Mozambique	City	540000 people
Nelspruit	Mpumalanga	South Africa	City	110000 people
Barberton	Mpumalanga	South Africa	City	68000 people
Mbabane	Hhohho	Swaziland	Capital	76000 people
Manzini	Manzini	Swaziland	City	110000 people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name	IATA Code	Elevation (m)	Usage	Runway type	IFR	Runway Length (ft)
Vila Franca Do Save		30				0
Vilanculos	VNX	14	Civ.	Paved	Yes	4800
Beira	BEW	10	Civ.	Paved	Yes	7800
Chinde	INE	unknown				0
Luabo	LBM	unknown				0
Inhaminga	IMG	unknown				0
Chimoio	VPY	686	Civ.	Paved	No	7800
Quelimane	UEL	11	Civ.	Paved	Yes	5900
Inhambane	INH	9	Civ.	Paved	Yes	4900
Chipinge	CHJ	unknown				0
Hippo Valley		433				0
Bajone	BJN	unknown				0
Pebane	PEB	unknown				0
Xai Xai	VJB	unknown				0
Matshakatini		381				0
Punda Milia		436				0
Chokwe	TGS	unknown				0
Hendrik Van Eck	PHW	435	Priv.	Paved	Yes	4500
Giyani	GIY	480	Priv.	Paved	Yes	5500
Nederland		427				0
Khoka Moya	KHO	unknown				0
Tanda Tula	TDT	unknown				0
Malamala	AAM	341	Priv.	Unpaved	No	3700
Malamala West		381				0
Hoedspruit AB		527	Mil.	Paved	No	12100
Skukuza	SZK	311	Priv.	Paved	Yes	5000
Inyati	INY	unknown				0
Komatipoort	KOF	152	Civ.	Paved	No	4300
Maputo	MPM	40	Civ.	Paved	Yes	12000
Riverside		274				0
Malelane	LLE	351	Priv.	Paved	Yes	3300
Pilgrims Rest		1224	Priv.	Unpaved	No	3900
Kruger Mpumalanga International		859				0
Sabi Sabi	GSS	unknown				0
Simunye		205	Priv.	Unpaved	No	3600
Nelspruit	NLP	853	Priv.	Unpaved	Yes	3000
Manzini Matsapa	MTS	632	Civ.	Paved	Yes	8500
Mkuze	MZQ	122	Civ.	Paved	No	3900
Phinda Zulu Inyal	PZL	unknown				0
Hluhluwe	HLW	76	Priv.	Unpaved	No	3900
Mtubatuba		64				0
Richards Bay	RCB	33	Civ.	Paved	Yes	4200

Ports

Name	LOCODE	Country
Nova Mambone		Mozambique
Bartolomeo Diaz		Mozambique
Bazaruto Island		Mozambique
Vilanculas		Mozambique
Beira	MZBEW	Mozambique
Chinde	MZINE	Mozambique
Vila Do Chinde		Mozambique
Porto de Quelimane	MZUEL	Mozambique
Inhambane	MZINH	Mozambique
Porto Belo	MZPBE	Mozambique
Pebane	MZPEB	Mozambique
Maputo	MZMPM	Mozambique
Bela Vista		Mozambique
Bela Vista	MZBEL	Mozambique

Dams

Reservoir	Dam Name	River	Year
	Bue Maria	Pungoe	n/a
	Bangazaan	Buzi	1987
	Ratelshoek	Chibudzana	1985
Revue	Chicamba Real	Revue	1959
Massinger Barragen	Massingir	Elefantes	1976
	Nsami	Nsama	n/a
	Nandoni	Levuvuhu	1998
	Phalaborwa Barrage	Olifants	1974
	Corumana	Sabie	1988
	Jan Wassenaar	Klaserie	1979
	Blyderivierspoort	Blyde	1979
	Injaka	Marite	2002
	Tankerton	Crocodile	1950
	Dagama	Witwaters	1979
	Pequenos Libombos	Umbeluzi	1987
	Klipkopjes	Wit	1979
	Longmere	Wit	1979
	Ohrigstad	Ohrigstad	1979
	Primkop	Wit	1979
	Witklip	Sand	1979
	Sand River	Komati	1966
	Friedenheim	Crocodile	1960
	Shiyalongubo	Ugutugulo	1939
	Mnjoli	Black Umbeluzi	1980
	Maguga	Komati	2001
	Nyetane	Nyetane	1970
	Sivunga	Nyetane	1974
	Van Eck	Great Usutu	1971
	Hawane	Mbuluzi	1984
	Mhlatuzane	Mhlatuzane	2008
	Luphphlo	Lusutshwana	1984
	Pongolapoort	Pongola	1984
	Hluhluwe	Hluhluwe	1984

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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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StormSurge

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.