Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for PAUL-24 Off-shore from 10 Apr 2024 18:00 UTC to 11 Apr 2024 12:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for PAUL-24

Off-shore

11 Apr 2024 12 UTC

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Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone PAUL-24 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GDACS
Exposed countries
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	93 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.3 m (12 Apr 01:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	--

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	83 km/h	0.3 m	n.a.	0.5
Overall	93 km/h	0.3 m	n.a.	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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Wind

83 km/h Current Max.

Up to no people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher	Countries
1	10 Apr 2024 18:00	74	9 thousand	No people	Australia
2	11 Apr 2024 00:00	83	No people	No people
3	11 Apr 2024 06:00	102	No people	No people
4	11 Apr 2024 12:00	83	No people	No people

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)
1	10 Apr 2024 18:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	-13.8, 154.2
2	11 Apr 2024 00:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	-14.2, 154.8
3	11 Apr 2024 06:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	no people	-14.5, 155.7
4	11 Apr 2024 12:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	-14.8, 156
4	12 Apr 2024 00:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	-14.9, 155.6
4	12 Apr 2024 12:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	-14.5, 154.5
4	13 Apr 2024 00:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	-14, 153.1

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

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Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.3m in Losuia, Papua New Guinea. This height is estimated for 12 Apr 2024 01:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (130 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 4 of 11 Apr 2024 12:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	12 Apr 2024 01:00	Losuia	Papua New Guinea	0.3
	12 Apr 2024 07:00	Tais	Papua New Guinea	0.3
	12 Apr 2024 04:00	Anansai	Indonesia	0.3
	12 Apr 2024 04:00	Wendu	Indonesia	0.3
	12 Apr 2024 04:00	Matara	Indonesia	0.3
	12 Apr 2024 04:00	Urum	Indonesia	0.3
	12 Apr 2024 04:00	Merauke	Indonesia	0.3
	12 Apr 2024 05:00	Bula	Papua New Guinea	0.3
	12 Apr 2024 06:00	Jara	Papua New Guinea	0.3
	12 Apr 2024 04:00	Sarire	Indonesia	0.3
	12 Apr 2024 04:00	Tamarike	Indonesia	0.3
	12 Apr 2024 04:00	Kumbe	Indonesia	0.3
	12 Apr 2024 04:00	Onggalie	Indonesia	0.3
	12 Apr 2024 04:00	Kotad	Indonesia	0.3
	12 Apr 2024 04:00	Dumande	Indonesia	0.3
	12 Apr 2024 04:00	Alakoe	Indonesia	0.2
	12 Apr 2024 08:00	Sidabadu	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	12 Apr 2024 05:00	Birab	Indonesia	0.2
	12 Apr 2024 04:00	Moegaigare	Indonesia	0.2
	12 Apr 2024 04:00	Alatepi	Indonesia	0.2
	12 Apr 2024 05:00	Amborip	Indonesia	0.2
	12 Apr 2024 05:00	Taroea Anim	Indonesia	0.2
	12 Apr 2024 05:00	Biwarlaut	Indonesia	0.2
	12 Apr 2024 05:00	Jow	Indonesia	0.2
	12 Apr 2024 05:00	Otsjanep	Indonesia	0.2
	12 Apr 2024 04:00	Okaba	Indonesia	0.2
	12 Apr 2024 10:00	Te Kowai	Australia	0.2
	12 Apr 2024 10:00	Taffy Islet	Australia	0.2
	12 Apr 2024 04:00	Jofar	Indonesia	0.2
	12 Apr 2024 04:00	Per	Indonesia	0.2
	12 Apr 2024 04:00	Agats	Indonesia	0.2
	12 Apr 2024 04:00	Kobiem	Indonesia	0.2
	12 Apr 2024 10:00	Lethebrook	Australia	0.2
	12 Apr 2024 12:00	Midgeton	Australia	0.2
	12 Apr 2024 07:00	Badu	Australia	0.2
	12 Apr 2024 11:00	Cannonvale	Australia	0.2
	12 Apr 2024 11:00	Airlie	Australia	0.2
	12 Apr 2024 12:00	Banana Pocket	Australia	0.2
	12 Apr 2024 04:00	Welab	Indonesia	0.2
	12 Apr 2024 10:00	Carmila	Australia	0.2
	12 Apr 2024 10:00	Flaggy Rock	Australia	0.2
	12 Apr 2024 01:00	Hekampan	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	12 Apr 2024 11:00	Slade Point	Australia	0.2
	12 Apr 2024 11:00	Amhurst	Australia	0.2
	12 Apr 2024 11:00	Etowri	Australia	0.2
	12 Apr 2024 11:00	Nindaroo	Australia	0.2
	12 Apr 2024 11:00	Glenella	Australia	0.2
	12 Apr 2024 11:00	Bucasia	Australia	0.2
	12 Apr 2024 11:00	Eimeo	Australia	0.2
	12 Apr 2024 11:00	North Mackay	Australia	0.2
	12 Apr 2024 11:00	Mackay	Australia	0.2
	12 Apr 2024 11:00	Andergrove	Australia	0.2
	12 Apr 2024 11:00	Cremorne	Australia	0.2
	12 Apr 2024 11:00	Blacks Beach	Australia	0.2
	12 Apr 2024 03:00	Waidoro	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	12 Apr 2024 01:00	Tagula	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	12 Apr 2024 04:00	Papisote	Indonesia	0.2
	12 Apr 2024 06:00	Port Kennedy	Australia	0.2
	12 Apr 2024 04:00	Gelib	Indonesia	0.2
	12 Apr 2024 11:00	Bakers Creek	Australia	0.2
	12 Apr 2024 08:00	Mabaduan	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	12 Apr 2024 07:00	Lahimoina	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	12 Apr 2024 07:00	Leileiafa	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	12 Apr 2024 07:00	Hammond I	Australia	0.2
	12 Apr 2024 11:00	Rosella	Australia	0.2
	12 Apr 2024 11:00	Chelona	Australia	0.2
	12 Apr 2024 11:00	Hay Point	Australia	0.2
	12 Apr 2024 04:00	Wamal	Indonesia	0.2
	12 Apr 2024 01:00	Madaua	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	12 Apr 2024 01:00	Mirimairau	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	12 Apr 2024 01:00	Kamaua	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	12 Apr 2024 11:00	Alligator Creek	Australia	0.1
	12 Apr 2024 03:00	Boze	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	12 Apr 2024 03:00	Ume	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	12 Apr 2024 01:00	Griffin Point	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	12 Apr 2024 06:00	Amamapare	Indonesia	0.1
	12 Apr 2024 01:00	Dombo	Indonesia	0.1
	12 Apr 2024 03:00	Ture Ture	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	12 Apr 2024 18:00	Alva	Australia	0.1
	12 Apr 2024 11:00	Elalie	Australia	0.1
	12 Apr 2024 01:00	Pantava	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	12 Apr 2024 02:00	Mira	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	12 Apr 2024 06:00	Ndapurutiri	Indonesia	0.1
	12 Apr 2024 05:00	Komoran	Indonesia	0.1
	12 Apr 2024 11:00	Seaforth	Australia	0.1
	12 Apr 2024 01:00	Rewe	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	12 Apr 2024 04:00	Sui	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	12 Apr 2024 04:00	Mibu	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	12 Apr 2024 06:00	Timuka	Indonesia	0.1
	12 Apr 2024 07:00	Amar	Indonesia	0.1
	12 Apr 2024 01:00	Paparoe	Indonesia	0.1
	12 Apr 2024 01:00	Rori	Indonesia	0.1
	12 Apr 2024 01:00	Koeroedoe	Indonesia	0.1
	12 Apr 2024 07:00	Dolatanden	Indonesia	0.1
	12 Apr 2024 18:00	Carstairs	Australia	0.1
	12 Apr 2024 18:00	Jarvisfield	Australia	0.1
	12 Apr 2024 18:00	Rita Island	Australia	0.1
	12 Apr 2024 12:00	Kalarka	Australia	0.1
	12 Apr 2024 12:00	Clairview	Australia	0.1
	12 Apr 2024 04:00	Gadaisu	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	12 Apr 2024 06:00	Keppel Sands	Australia	0.1
	12 Apr 2024 07:00	Apeawa	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	12 Apr 2024 07:00	Babai	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	12 Apr 2024 07:00	Avioua	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	12 Apr 2024 07:00	Veraibari	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	12 Apr 2024 07:00	Tovai	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	12 Apr 2024 07:00	Uramu I	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	12 Apr 2024 07:00	Kaivu	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	12 Apr 2024 07:00	Mairipepea	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	12 Apr 2024 07:00	Moravamu	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	12 Apr 2024 06:00	Ipirawea	Indonesia	0.1
	12 Apr 2024 06:00	Mimako	Indonesia	0.1
	12 Apr 2024 06:00	Keawkwa	Indonesia	0.1
	12 Apr 2024 07:00	Uta	Indonesia	0.1
	12 Apr 2024 07:00	Umuk	Indonesia	0.1
	12 Apr 2024 07:00	Wakia	Indonesia	0.1
	12 Apr 2024 09:00	Hamlet of Togo	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	12 Apr 2024 03:00	Kadawa	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	12 Apr 2024 16:00	Inveroona	Australia	0.1
	12 Apr 2024 16:00	Queens Beach	Australia	0.1
	12 Apr 2024 16:00	Merinda	Australia	0.1
	12 Apr 2024 16:00	Delta	Australia	0.1
	12 Apr 2024 16:00	Bootooloo	Australia	0.1
	12 Apr 2024 16:00	Bowen	Australia	0.1
	12 Apr 2024 16:00	Yumbabullo	Australia	0.1
	12 Apr 2024 05:00	Konerau	Indonesia	0.1
	12 Apr 2024 05:00	Selemit	Indonesia	0.1
	12 Apr 2024 06:00	Southend	Australia	0.1
	12 Apr 2024 19:00	Cassady	Australia	0.1
	12 Apr 2024 19:00	Lucinda	Australia	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.