Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for PAUL-24 Off-shore from 10 Apr 2024 18:00 UTC to 11 Apr 2024 06:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for PAUL-24

Off-shore

11 Apr 2024 06 UTC

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Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone PAUL-24 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GDACS
Exposed countries
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	93 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.2 m (12 Apr 19:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	--

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	102 km/h	0.2 m	n.a.	0.5
Overall	93 km/h	0.2 m	n.a.	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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Wind

102 km/h Current Max.

Up to no people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher	Countries
1	10 Apr 2024 18:00	74	9 thousand	No people	Australia
2	11 Apr 2024 00:00	83	No people	No people
3	11 Apr 2024 06:00	102	No people	No people

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)
1	10 Apr 2024 18:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	-13.8, 154.2
2	11 Apr 2024 00:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	-14.2, 154.8
3	11 Apr 2024 06:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	no people	-14.5, 155.7
3	11 Apr 2024 18:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	no people	-14.9, 155.9
3	12 Apr 2024 06:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	no people	-14.7, 155
3	12 Apr 2024 18:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	-14.1, 153.6
3	13 Apr 2024 06:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	-13.3, 151.8

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

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Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.2m in Losuia, Papua New Guinea. This height is estimated for 12 Apr 2024 19:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (32 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 3 of 11 Apr 2024 06:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	12 Apr 2024 19:00	Losuia	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	13 Apr 2024 00:00	Tais	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	12 Apr 2024 23:00	Jara	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	12 Apr 2024 23:00	Bula	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	12 Apr 2024 21:00	Anansai	Indonesia	0.1
	12 Apr 2024 21:00	Wendu	Indonesia	0.1
	12 Apr 2024 21:00	Matara	Indonesia	0.1
	12 Apr 2024 22:00	Urum	Indonesia	0.1
	12 Apr 2024 22:00	Merauke	Indonesia	0.1
	12 Apr 2024 23:00	Lahimoina	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	12 Apr 2024 23:00	Leileiafa	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	12 Apr 2024 22:00	Sarire	Indonesia	0.1
	12 Apr 2024 22:00	Tamarike	Indonesia	0.1
	12 Apr 2024 21:00	Onggalie	Indonesia	0.1
	12 Apr 2024 21:00	Kumbe	Indonesia	0.1
	12 Apr 2024 19:00	Pantava	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	13 Apr 2024 00:00	Sidabadu	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	12 Apr 2024 22:00	Kotad	Indonesia	0.1
	12 Apr 2024 22:00	Dumande	Indonesia	0.1
	12 Apr 2024 19:00	Rewe	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	12 Apr 2024 17:00	Hekampan	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	12 Apr 2024 22:00	Alakoe	Indonesia	0.1
	12 Apr 2024 22:00	Alatepi	Indonesia	0.1
	12 Apr 2024 19:00	Tagula	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	12 Apr 2024 22:00	Okaba	Indonesia	0.1
	12 Apr 2024 22:00	Moegaigare	Indonesia	0.1
	13 Apr 2024 01:00	Midgeton	Australia	0.1
	12 Apr 2024 18:00	Madaua	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	13 Apr 2024 01:00	Banana Pocket	Australia	0.1
	13 Apr 2024 01:00	Lethebrook	Australia	0.1
	12 Apr 2024 21:00	Auneri	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	13 Apr 2024 00:00	Badu	Australia	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.