Overall Orange Tropical Cyclone alert for FILIPO-24 in Mozambique, South Africa, Eswatini, Zimbabwe, Malawi from 03 Mar 2024 06:00 UTC to 11 Mar 2024 06:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for FILIPO-24

in Mozambique, South Africa, Eswatini, Zimbabwe, Malawi

11 Mar 2024 06 UTC

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Meteorological source:

WMO-RSMC La Réunion
Primary source
GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone FILIPO-24 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GDACS
Glide number:	TC-2024-000032-MOZ
Exposed countries	Mozambique
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	102 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.5 m (12 Mar 04:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	High (Mozambique)
Landfall	between 11 Mar 2024 18:00 - 12 Mar 2024 06:00 in Mozambique

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	102 km/h	0.5 m	n.a.	0.5
Overall	102 km/h	0.5 m	n.a.	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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Wind

102 km/h Current Max.

Up to 4.4 million people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Alert	N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher	Countries
	1	10 Mar 2024 18:00	102	3.5 million	No people	Mozambique
	2	11 Mar 2024 06:00	102	4.4 million	No people	Mozambique

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)	Countries
1	10 Mar 2024 18:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	81000 people	-19.8, 38.5
2	11 Mar 2024 06:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	14000 people	-20.3, 37.3
2	11 Mar 2024 18:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	360000 people	-20.8, 36.1
2	12 Mar 2024 06:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	490000 people	-21.7, 34.9	Mozambique
2	12 Mar 2024 18:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	4 million people	-23.2, 34.2	Mozambique
2	13 Mar 2024 06:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	3.8 million people	-25.1, 34.2	Mozambique
2	14 Mar 2024 06:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	no people	-29.6, 38.7
2	15 Mar 2024 06:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	no people	-34.9, 48.6

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

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Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country	Population in Tropical Storm or higher strength
Mozambique	4.3 million people

Provinces

Region Province	Country	Population in Tropical Storm or higher strength
Sofala	Mozambique	45000 people
Inhambane	Mozambique	1.3 million people
Manica	Mozambique	<1000 people
Gaza	Mozambique	1.4 million people
Maputo	Mozambique	1.6 million people

Populated places

Name	Region Province	Country	City class	Population
Maxixe		Mozambique	City	120000 people
Xai-Xai	Gaza	Mozambique	City	130000 people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name	IATA Code	Elevation (m)	Usage	Runway type	IFR	Runway Length (ft)
Vilanculos	VNX	14	Civ.	Paved	Yes	4800
Vila Franca Do Save		30				0
Inhambane	INH	9	Civ.	Paved	Yes	4900
Xai Xai	VJB	unknown				0

Ports

Name	LOCODE	Country
Bazaruto Island		Mozambique
Nova Mambone		Mozambique
Bartolomeo Diaz		Mozambique
Vilanculas		Mozambique
Inhambane	MZINH	Mozambique

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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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StormSurge

0.5 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.5m in Caulino, Mozambique. This height is estimated for 12 Mar 2024 04:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (72 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 2 of 11 Mar 2024 06:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	12 Mar 2024 04:00	Caulino	Mozambique	0.5
	12 Mar 2024 04:00	Castigo	Mozambique	0.4
	12 Mar 2024 05:00	Vilanculos	Mozambique	0.4
	12 Mar 2024 05:00	China	Mozambique	0.4
	12 Mar 2024 05:00	Xetoquica	Mozambique	0.4
	12 Mar 2024 04:00	Asneira	Mozambique	0.4
	12 Mar 2024 08:00	Mahoa	Mozambique	0.4
	12 Mar 2024 05:00	Mariano	Mozambique	0.3
	12 Mar 2024 08:00	Fabiao	Mozambique	0.3
	12 Mar 2024 08:00	Uetela	Mozambique	0.3
	12 Mar 2024 02:00	Natalia	Mozambique	0.3
	12 Mar 2024 02:00	Inhassoro	Mozambique	0.3
	12 Mar 2024 02:00	Catine	Mozambique	0.3
	12 Mar 2024 02:00	Dinguiduane	Mozambique	0.3
	12 Mar 2024 02:00	Laisse	Mozambique	0.3
	11 Mar 2024 01:00	Damiao	Mozambique	0.3
	11 Mar 2024 01:00	Nhangau	Mozambique	0.3
	11 Mar 2024 01:00	Chamba	Mozambique	0.3
	11 Mar 2024 01:00	Beira	Mozambique	0.3
	12 Mar 2024 03:00	Afonso	Mozambique	0.3
	12 Mar 2024 03:00	Jo	Mozambique	0.3
	13 Mar 2024 19:00	Induna	Mozambique	0.2
	10 Mar 2024 23:00	Maconharumo	Mozambique	0.2
	10 Mar 2024 23:00	Amado	Mozambique	0.2
	13 Mar 2024 00:00	Mabsil	Mozambique	0.2
	13 Mar 2024 00:00	Beula	Mozambique	0.2
	13 Mar 2024 00:00	Chicoque	Mozambique	0.2
	13 Mar 2024 00:00	Guilande	Mozambique	0.2
	13 Mar 2024 00:00	Banga	Mozambique	0.2
	11 Mar 2024 00:00	Chofandicho	Mozambique	0.2
	13 Mar 2024 00:00	Praia do Tofo	Mozambique	0.2
	13 Mar 2024 00:00	Miramar	Mozambique	0.2
	10 Mar 2024 23:00	Chimuaza	Mozambique	0.2
	11 Mar 2024 00:00	Manica	Mozambique	0.2
	13 Mar 2024 06:00	Linchica	Mozambique	0.2
	13 Mar 2024 11:00	Gueima	Mozambique	0.2
	11 Mar 2024 00:00	Panaca	Mozambique	0.2
	11 Mar 2024 00:00	Tama	Mozambique	0.2
	11 Mar 2024 00:00	Jonja	Mozambique	0.2
	11 Mar 2024 00:00	Nova Sofala	Mozambique	0.2
	12 Mar 2024 23:00	Inhambane	Mozambique	0.2
	13 Mar 2024 06:00	Chavanine	Mozambique	0.2
	13 Mar 2024 19:00	Gafaria	Mozambique	0.2
	13 Mar 2024 19:00	Nangalete	Mozambique	0.2
	12 Mar 2024 21:00	Maxixe	Mozambique	0.2
	13 Mar 2024 06:00	Jacob	Mozambique	0.2
	10 Mar 2024 23:00	Machesse	Mozambique	0.2
	13 Mar 2024 06:00	Inhampsi	Mozambique	0.2
	13 Mar 2024 06:00	Contra Costa	Mozambique	0.2
	13 Mar 2024 19:00	Mahupe	Mozambique	0.2
	10 Mar 2024 23:00	Bingue	Mozambique	0.1
	10 Mar 2024 22:00	Rupia	Mozambique	0.1
	13 Mar 2024 05:00	D'lhelo	Mozambique	0.1
	11 Mar 2024 00:00	Mulia	Mozambique	0.1
	12 Mar 2024 10:00	Morrumbene	Mozambique	0.1
	12 Mar 2024 07:00	Marivate	Mozambique	0.1
	13 Mar 2024 07:00	Ingale	Mozambique	0.1
	11 Mar 2024 00:00	Chiloane	Mozambique	0.1
	11 Mar 2024 00:00	Vila do Chinde	Mozambique	0.1
	10 Mar 2024 22:00	Nhamatamanga	Mozambique	0.1
	13 Mar 2024 15:00	Mtunzini	South Africa	0.1
	11 Mar 2024 00:00	Barra	Mozambique	0.1
	11 Mar 2024 00:00	Ocone	Mozambique	0.1
	10 Mar 2024 22:00	Quelimane do Sal	Mozambique	0.1
	10 Mar 2024 22:00	Inhangulue	Mozambique	0.1
	10 Mar 2024 22:00	Mendozo	Mozambique	0.1
	10 Mar 2024 22:00	Magromane	Mozambique	0.1
	11 Mar 2024 20:00	Bartolomeu Dias	Mozambique	0.1
	14 Mar 2024 00:00	Siane	Mozambique	0.1
	12 Mar 2024 02:00	Afo	Mozambique	0.1
	13 Mar 2024 18:00	Canhamba	Mozambique	0.1
	13 Mar 2024 15:00	Highfield	South Africa	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.