Overall Orange Tropical Cyclone alert for FILIPO-24 in Mozambique, South Africa, Eswatini, Zimbabwe, Malawi from 03 Mar 2024 06:00 UTC to 14 Mar 2024 00:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for FILIPO-24

in Mozambique, South Africa, Eswatini, Zimbabwe, Malawi

Meteorological source:

WMO-RSMC La Réunion
Primary source
GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone FILIPO-24 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	WMO/RSMC La Réunion - Meteo France
Glide number:	TC-2024-000032-MOZ
Exposed countries	Mozambique, South Africa, Eswatini, Zimbabwe, Malawi
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	158 km/h
Maximum storm surge	n.a.
Vulnerability	High (Mozambique)
Landfall	between 12 Mar 2024 00:00 - 12 Mar 2024 06:00 in Mozambique

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	84 km/h	n.a.	n.a.	1.5
Overall	158 km/h	0.0 m	n.a.	1.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on WMO/RSMC La Réunion - Meteo France impact

Joint Pilot Activity: EC-JRC,WMO/RSMC La Réunion-Meteo France

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Wind

84 km/h Current Max.

Up to 34.9 million people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher	Countries
1	03 Mar 2024 06:00	63	No people	No people
2	03 Mar 2024 12:00	116	3 million	No people	Madagascar
3	10 Mar 2024 06:00	63	No people	No people
4	10 Mar 2024 12:00	63	10.7 million	No people	Mozambique, Malawi
5	10 Mar 2024 18:00	127	14 million	No people	Mozambique, Zimbabwe, South Africa, Eswatini
6	11 Mar 2024 00:00	137	15 million	No people	Mozambique, Zimbabwe, South Africa, Eswatini
7	11 Mar 2024 06:00	116	19 million	No people	Mozambique, Zimbabwe, South Africa, Eswatini
8	11 Mar 2024 12:00	74	17.1 million	No people	Mozambique, Zimbabwe, South Africa, Eswatini
9	11 Mar 2024 18:00	95	18.7 million	No people	Mozambique, Zimbabwe, South Africa, Eswatini
10	12 Mar 2024 00:00	148	18.8 million	No people	Mozambique, Zimbabwe, Malawi, South Africa, Eswatini
11	12 Mar 2024 06:00	148	18.4 million	No people	Mozambique, Zimbabwe, South Africa, Malawi, Eswatini
12	12 Mar 2024 12:00	158	17.4 million	No people	Mozambique, Zimbabwe, South Africa, Eswatini, Malawi
13	12 Mar 2024 18:00	74	20.6 million	No people	Mozambique, South Africa, Eswatini, Zimbabwe, Malawi
14	13 Mar 2024 00:00	74	29.2 million	No people	Mozambique, South Africa, Eswatini, Zimbabwe, Malawi
15	13 Mar 2024 06:00	74	28.9 million	No people	Mozambique, South Africa, Eswatini, Zimbabwe, Malawi
16	13 Mar 2024 12:00	74	29.5 million	No people	Mozambique, South Africa, Eswatini, Zimbabwe, Malawi
17	13 Mar 2024 18:00	127	29 million	No people	Mozambique, South Africa, Eswatini, Zimbabwe, Malawi
18	14 Mar 2024 00:00	84	34.9 million	No people	Mozambique, South Africa, Eswatini, Zimbabwe, Malawi

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Category (WMO/RSMC) **	Max winds (km/h) (WMO/RSMC)	Location (lat, lon)	Countries
1	03 Mar 2024 06:00	Tropical storm	63	no people	no people	Tropical Depression	56	-11.8, 51.6
2	03 Mar 2024 12:00	Tropical storm	63	no people	no people	Tropical Depression	56	-12.3, 50.8
3	10 Mar 2024 06:00	Tropical storm	63	no people	no people	Tropical Depression	56	-20.3, 39.7
4	10 Mar 2024 12:00	Tropical storm	63	no people	10.7 million people	Tropical Depression	56	-20.1, 39.1
5	10 Mar 2024 18:00	Tropical storm	84	no people	4.4 million people	Moderate Tropical Storm	74	-20.1, 38.4
6	11 Mar 2024 00:00	Tropical storm	84	no people	4.6 million people	Moderate Tropical Storm	74	-20.1, 37.7
7	11 Mar 2024 06:00	Tropical storm	84	no people	8.1 million people	Moderate Tropical Storm	74	-20.4, 37
8	11 Mar 2024 12:00	Tropical storm	95	no people	4 million people	Moderate Tropical Storm	83	-20.4, 36.5
9	11 Mar 2024 18:00	Tropical storm	116	no people	7.7 million people	Severe Tropical Storm	102	-20.5, 36.1
10	12 Mar 2024 00:00	Tropical storm	116	no people	9.7 million people	Severe Tropical Storm	102	-21, 35.4
11	12 Mar 2024 06:00	Tropical storm	95	no people	4.6 million people	Moderate Tropical Storm	83	-21.7, 34.9	Mozambique
12	12 Mar 2024 12:00	Tropical storm	84	no people	7.9 million people	Moderate Tropical Storm	74	-23, 34.1	Mozambique
13	12 Mar 2024 18:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	11.5 million people	Moderate Tropical Storm	65	-23.9, 33.6	Mozambique
14	13 Mar 2024 00:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	20.2 million people	Moderate Tropical Storm	65	-25.1, 33.2	Mozambique
15	13 Mar 2024 06:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	12.1 million people	Moderate Tropical Storm	65	-26.1, 33	Mozambique
16	13 Mar 2024 12:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	13.2 million people	Moderate Tropical Storm	65	-26.4, 34.2
17	13 Mar 2024 18:00	Tropical storm	84	no people	1.4 million people	Moderate Tropical Storm	74	-28.5, 35.3
18	14 Mar 2024 00:00	Tropical storm	84	no people	12.8 million people	Moderate Tropical Storm	74	-29.8, 36.5
18	14 Mar 2024 12:00	Category 1	127	no people	no people	Severe Tropical Storm	111	-32.6, 41.2
18	15 Mar 2024 00:00	Tropical storm	116	no people	no people	Severe Tropical Storm	102	-35.9, 47.3
18	15 Mar 2024 12:00	Tropical storm	106	no people	no people	Severe Tropical Storm	93	-37.4, 52.8
18	16 Mar 2024 00:00	Tropical storm	95	no people	no people	Moderate Tropical Storm	83	-38.9, 58.4
18	16 Mar 2024 12:00	Tropical storm	84	no people	no people	Moderate Tropical Storm	74	-40.4, 64.3

Tropical disturbance/Weak low pressure area/Remnant low (Vmax < 51 km/h), see WMO

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

Download:

Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country	Population in Tropical Storm or higher strength
South Africa	17.7 million people
Mozambique	13.6 million people
Eswatini	1.2 million people
Zimbabwe	2.1 million people
Malawi	110000 people

Provinces

Region Province	Country	Population in Tropical Storm or higher strength
KwaZulu/Natal	South Africa	8.8 million people
Maputo	Mozambique	3.7 million people
Shiselweni	Eswatini	230000 people
Lubombo	Eswatini	230000 people
Gaza	Mozambique	1.5 million people
Inhambane	Mozambique	1.5 million people
Mpumalanga	South Africa	3.8 million people
Manzini	Eswatini	380000 people
Hhohho	Eswatini	330000 people
Free State	South Africa	<1000 people
Northern	South Africa	5 million people
Gauteng	South Africa	63000 people
Sofala	Mozambique	2.4 million people
Manica	Mozambique	2.1 million people
Masvingo	Zimbabwe	560000 people
Matabeleland South	Zimbabwe	25000 people
Manicaland	Zimbabwe	1.5 million people
Zambezia	Mozambique	2.2 million people
Tete	Mozambique	210000 people
Southern	Malawi	110000 people

Populated places

Name	Region Province	Country	City class	Population
Durban	KwaZulu Natal	South Africa	Major city	3.1 million people
Isipingo	KwaZulu Natal	South Africa	City	-
Umlazi	KwaZulu Natal	South Africa	City	-
Shalcross	KwaZulu Natal	South Africa	City	-
Mariannhill	KwaZulu Natal	South Africa	City	-
Amanzimtoti	KwaZulu Natal	South Africa	City	-
Pinetown	KwaZulu Natal	South Africa	City	-
Park Rynie	KwaZulu Natal	South Africa	City	-
Umzinto	KwaZulu Natal	South Africa	City	-
Maputo	Maputo	Mozambique	Capital	1.2 million people
Matola	Maputo	Mozambique	City	540000 people
Port Shepstone	KwaZulu Natal	South Africa	City	52000 people
Pietermaritzburg	KwaZulu Natal	South Africa	City	740000 people
Xai-Xai	Gaza	Mozambique	City	130000 people
Vryheid	KwaZulu Natal	South Africa	City	150000 people
Manzini	Manzini	Swaziland	City	110000 people
Mbabane	Hhohho	Swaziland	Capital	76000 people
Maxixe		Mozambique	City	120000 people
Barberton	Mpumalanga	South Africa	City	68000 people
Nelspruit	Mpumalanga	South Africa	City	110000 people
Ermelo	Mpumalanga	South Africa	City	40000 people
Bethal	Mpumalanga	South Africa	City	100000 people
Middelburg	Mpumalanga	South Africa	City	150000 people
Witbank	Mpumalanga	South Africa	City	260000 people
Polokwane	Limpopo	South Africa	City	100000 people
Potgietersrus	Limpopo	South Africa	City	100000 people
Louis Trichardt	Limpopo	South Africa	City	86000 people
Beira	Sofala	Mozambique	Major city	520000 people
Chimoio	Manica	Mozambique	City	260000 people
Mutare	Manicaland	Zimbabwe	City	180000 people
Quelimane	Zambezia	Mozambique	City	190000 people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name	IATA Code	Elevation (m)	Usage	Runway type	IFR	Runway Length (ft)
Mtubatuba		64				0
Richards Bay	RCB	33	Civ.	Paved	Yes	4200
Hluhluwe	HLW	76	Priv.	Unpaved	No	3900
Phinda Zulu Inyal	PZL	unknown				0
Empangeni	EMG	unknown				0
Mkuze	MZQ	122	Civ.	Paved	No	3900
Ulundi	ULD	520	Civ.	Paved	Yes	5300
Virginia	VIR	6	Civ.	Paved	No	3000
Louis Botha	DUR	8	Civ.	Paved	Yes	8000
Maputo	MPM	40	Civ.	Paved	Yes	12000
Greytown		1073				0
Pietermaritzburg	PZB	739	Civ.	Paved	Yes	5100
Xai Xai	VJB	unknown				0
Simunye		205	Priv.	Unpaved	No	3600
Vryheid	VYD	1158	Civ.	Paved	No	3700
Manzini Matsapa	MTS	632	Civ.	Paved	Yes	8500
Piet Retief		1347	Civ.	Unpaved	No	4400
Komatipoort	KOF	152	Civ.	Paved	No	4300
Inhambane	INH	9	Civ.	Paved	Yes	4900
Newcastle	NCS	1251	Civ.	Paved	Yes	4900
Amsterdam West		1341				0
Malelane	LLE	351	Priv.	Paved	Yes	3300
Riverside		274				0
Chokwe	TGS	unknown				0
Holbank		1676				0
Skukuza	SZK	311	Priv.	Paved	Yes	5000
Kruger Mpumalanga International		859				0
Majuba Power Station		1707				0
Nelspruit	NLP	853	Priv.	Unpaved	Yes	3000
Malamala	AAM	341	Priv.	Unpaved	No	3700
Ermelo		1737	Civ.	Paved	No	4200
Malamala West		381				0
Sappi		945				0
Inyati	INY	unknown				0
Carolina		1654	Civ.	Unpaved	No	3100
Sabi Sabi	GSS	unknown				0
Khoka Moya	KHO	unknown				0
Tanda Tula	TDT	unknown				0
Tutuka Power Station		1631	Priv.	Paved	Yes	4900
Arnot Power Station		1700	Priv.	Paved	No	3800
Pilgrims Rest		1224	Priv.	Unpaved	No	3900
Lydenburg		1487	Civ.	Unpaved	Yes	4400
Nederland		427				0
Hendrina Power Station		1576				0
Hendrina		1576	Priv.	Paved	Yes	4900
Komati Power Station		1609	Priv.	Paved	No	2900
Secunda	ZEC	1600	Civ.	Paved	Yes	3600
Hoedspruit AB		527	Mil.	Paved	No	12100
Kriel		1602	Priv.	Paved	No	3500
Blesbokfontein		1600				0
Middelburg		1490	Civ.	Unpaved	No	5900
Sace		1569	Civ.	Paved	No	4300
Hendrik Van Eck	PHW	435	Priv.	Paved	Yes	4500
Witbank		1548	Priv.	Paved	No	4100
Vilanculos	VNX	14	Civ.	Paved	Yes	4800
Marble Hall		908	Civ.	Paved	No	3200
Tzaneen	LTA	583	Priv.	Paved	Yes	4600
Giyani	GIY	480	Priv.	Paved	Yes	5500
Punda Milia		436				0
Pietersburg Municipal	PTG	1327	Civ.	Paved	No	7200
Pietersburg		1242	Civ.	Paved	Yes	8400
P R Mphephu		615	Civ.	Paved	No	5900
Potgietersrus		1067	Civ.	Unpaved	No	5900
Vila Franca Do Save		30				0
Matshakatini		381				0
Louis Trichardt	LCD	922	Civ.	Paved	No	3900
Louis Trichardt Southwest		945				0
Dendron		1036	Priv.	Unpaved	No	3600
Tshipise	TSD	unknown				0
Hippo Valley		433				0
Buffalo Range	BFO	433	Civ.	Paved	Yes	5100
Beira	BEW	10	Civ.	Paved	Yes	7800
Chipinge	CHJ	unknown				0
Chimoio	VPY	686	Civ.	Paved	No	7800
Chinde	INE	unknown				0
Luabo	LBM	unknown				0
Mutare	UTA	1041	Priv.	Paved	No	3100
Mutare Grand Reef		1019	Mil.	Paved	No	4100
Inhaminga	IMG	unknown				0
Quelimane	UEL	11	Civ.	Paved	Yes	5900
Mutarara		48				0
Pebane	PEB	unknown				0
Bajone	BJN	unknown				0

Ports

Name	LOCODE	Country
Richards Bay	ZARCB	South Africa
Durban	ZADUR	South Africa
Bela Vista	MZBEL	Mozambique
Bela Vista		Mozambique
Maputo	MZMPM	Mozambique
Port Shepstone		South Africa
Inhambane	MZINH	Mozambique
Vilanculas		Mozambique
Bazaruto Island		Mozambique
Bartolomeo Diaz		Mozambique
Nova Mambone		Mozambique
Beira	MZBEW	Mozambique
Chinde	MZINE	Mozambique
Vila Do Chinde		Mozambique
Porto de Quelimane	MZUEL	Mozambique
Porto Belo	MZPBE	Mozambique
Pebane	MZPEB	Mozambique

Dams

Reservoir	Dam Name	River	Year
	Hluhluwe	Hluhluwe	1984
	Goedertrouw	Mhlatuze	1984
	Pongolapoort	Pongola	1984
	Hazelmere	Mdloti	1979
	Van Eck	Great Usutu	1971
	Ntshongweni	Mlazi	1927
	Sivunga	Nyetane	1974
	Nyetane	Nyetane	1970
	Nagle	Mgeni	1950
	Mhlatuzane	Mhlatuzane	2008
	Merthley	Keizers	1954
	Pequenos Libombos	Umbeluzi	1987
	Paris	Bivane	2000
	Albert Falls	Umgeni	1983
	Klipfontein	White Umfolozi	1984
	Mnjoli	Black Umbeluzi	1980
	Sand River	Komati	1966
	Luphphlo	Lusutshwana	1984
	Maguga	Komati	2001
	Hawane	Mbuluzi	1984
	Heyshope	Assegaai	1985
	Corumana	Sabie	1988
	Morgenstond	Ngwempisi	1980
	Shiyalongubo	Ugutugulo	1939
	Westoe	Usutu	1980
	Tankerton	Crocodile	1950
	Jericho	Mpama	1983
	Amersfoort	Schulpspruit	1983
	Vygeboom	Komati	1983
	Primkop	Wit	1979
	Friedenheim	Crocodile	1960
	Longmere	Wit	1979
	Vlakfontein	Vaal	1936
	Klipkopjes	Wit	1979
	Douglas	Klein-Kafferspruit	n/a
	Willem Brummer	Klein-Kafferspruit	n/a
	Dagama	Witwaters	1979
	Witklip	Sand	1979
	Nooitgedacht	Komati	1983
	Injaka	Marite	2002
	Sterkspruit	Crocodile	1982
	Bethal	Blesbokspruit	1951
Massinger Barragen	Massingir	Elefantes	1976
	Ohrigstad	Ohrigstad	1979
	Jan Wassenaar	Klaserie	1979
	Blyderivierspoort	Blyde	1979
	Buffelskloof	Waterval	1972
	Middelburg	Klein Olifants	1983
	Pienaar	Vaalbank Spruit	1938
	Van Dyksdrif	Great Olifants	1948
	Phalaborwa Barrage	Olifants	1974
	Phoenix Colliery	Olifants	1960
	Withbank	Olifants	1983
	Doornpoort	Olifants	1951
	Rooikraal	Bloed	1983
	Roodepoort	Selons	1968
	Loskop	Olifants	1978
	Tours	Ngwabitsi	n/a
	Arabie	Olifants	n/a
	Rhenosterkop	Elands	1984
	Fanie Botha	Great Letaba	1976
	Ebenezer	Groot Letaba	1958
Stanford Lake	Stanford	Helpmekaar	1935
	Modjadji	Molototosi	n/a
	Magoebaskloof	Politsi	1970
	Nsami	Nsama	n/a
	Hans Mensky	Ramadiepa	1935
	Dap Naude	Broederstroom	1961
	Altenzur	Koedoes	1957
	Donkerval	Koedoes	1969
	Neldoret	Koedoes	1964
	Lower Gompies	Gompies	1922
	Jachtpad	Koedoes	n/a
	Upper Gompies	Gompies	1935
	Heuningsplaas	Middel Letaba	n/a
	Middle Letaba	Middle Letaba	1943
	Lorna Dawn	Middle Letaba	1971
	Nandoni	Levuvuhu	1998
	Vondo	Mutshindudi	n/a
	Albasini	Luvuvhu	1975
	Mutshedzi	Mutshedzi	n/a
	Luphephe	Luphephe	1979
	Nwanedzi	Nwanedzi	1979
	Cross	Nwanedzi	1979
	Nzhelele	Nzhelele	1979
	Dangadzivha	Njelele	n/a
	Bangazaan	Buzi	1987
	Ratelshoek	Chibudzana	1985
Lake McDougal	Manjirenji	Chiredzi	1967
	Siya	Turgwe	1976
	Bue Maria	Pungoe	n/a
Revue	Chicamba Real	Revue	1959
Odzani Lake	Odzani	Odzani	1966
	Smallbridge	Odzani	1985

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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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StormSurge

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.