Overall Orange Tropical Cyclone alert for FILIPO-24 in Mozambique, South Africa, Eswatini, Zimbabwe, Malawi from 03 Mar 2024 06:00 UTC to 13 Mar 2024 06:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for FILIPO-24

in Mozambique, South Africa, Eswatini, Zimbabwe, Malawi

13 Mar 2024 06 UTC

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Meteorological source:

WMO-RSMC La Réunion
Primary source
GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone FILIPO-24 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GDACS
Glide number:	TC-2024-000032-MOZ
Exposed countries	Mozambique, South Africa, Eswatini, Zimbabwe
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	120 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.6 m (12 Mar 02:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	High (Mozambique)
Landfall	between 11 Mar 2024 18:00 - 12 Mar 2024 06:00 in Mozambique

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	120 km/h	0.2 m	n.a.	0.5
Overall	120 km/h	0.6 m	n.a.	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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Wind

120 km/h Current Max.

Up to no people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher	Countries
1	10 Mar 2024 18:00	102	3.5 million	No people	Mozambique
2	11 Mar 2024 06:00	102	4.4 million	No people	Mozambique
3	11 Mar 2024 18:00	111	6.2 million	No people	Mozambique
4	12 Mar 2024 06:00	120	8.5 million	No people	Mozambique, Zimbabwe, South Africa
5	12 Mar 2024 18:00	120	8.7 million	No people	Mozambique, Eswatini, South Africa, Zimbabwe
6	13 Mar 2024 06:00	120	9.3 million	No people	Mozambique, South Africa, Eswatini, Zimbabwe

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)	Countries
1	10 Mar 2024 18:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	81000 people	-19.8, 38.5
2	11 Mar 2024 06:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	14000 people	-20.3, 37.3
3	11 Mar 2024 18:00	Tropical storm	111	no people	1.8 million people	-20.6, 35.8
4	12 Mar 2024 06:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	4.4 million people	-21.5, 34.9	Mozambique
5	12 Mar 2024 18:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	5.7 million people	-24.5, 33.8	Mozambique
6	13 Mar 2024 06:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	5.2 million people	-26, 33.1	Mozambique
6	13 Mar 2024 18:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	no people	-28.2, 34.9
6	14 Mar 2024 06:00	Category 1	120	no people	no people	-30.9, 38.6
6	14 Mar 2024 18:00	Tropical storm	111	no people	no people	-33.9, 43.9
6	15 Mar 2024 06:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	no people	-36.5, 49.7
6	16 Mar 2024 06:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	-40.3, 62.1

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

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Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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StormSurge

0.6 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.6m in Bartolomeu Dias, Mozambique. This height is estimated for 12 Mar 2024 02:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (81 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 6 of 13 Mar 2024 06:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	12 Mar 2024 02:00	Bartolomeu Dias	Mozambique	0.6
	12 Mar 2024 08:00	China	Mozambique	0.6
	12 Mar 2024 08:00	Mahoa	Mozambique	0.6
	12 Mar 2024 04:00	Jo	Mozambique	0.6
	12 Mar 2024 04:00	Natalia	Mozambique	0.6
	12 Mar 2024 04:00	Dinguiduane	Mozambique	0.6
	12 Mar 2024 04:00	Laisse	Mozambique	0.6
	12 Mar 2024 04:00	Inhassoro	Mozambique	0.6
	12 Mar 2024 08:00	Xetoquica	Mozambique	0.5
	12 Mar 2024 06:00	Caulino	Mozambique	0.5
	12 Mar 2024 05:00	Castigo	Mozambique	0.5
	12 Mar 2024 07:00	Vilanculos	Mozambique	0.5
	12 Mar 2024 05:00	Asneira	Mozambique	0.5
	12 Mar 2024 07:00	Mariano	Mozambique	0.4
	12 Mar 2024 08:00	Afonso	Mozambique	0.4
	12 Mar 2024 04:00	Catine	Mozambique	0.3
	13 Mar 2024 00:00	Inhampsi	Mozambique	0.3
	12 Mar 2024 13:00	Maxixe	Mozambique	0.3
	12 Mar 2024 13:00	Inhambane	Mozambique	0.3
	12 Mar 2024 19:00	Fabiao	Mozambique	0.2
	12 Mar 2024 19:00	Uetela	Mozambique	0.2
	12 Mar 2024 19:00	Beula	Mozambique	0.2
	12 Mar 2024 19:00	Chicoque	Mozambique	0.2
	12 Mar 2024 19:00	Guilande	Mozambique	0.2
	12 Mar 2024 19:00	Banga	Mozambique	0.2
	13 Mar 2024 02:00	Linchica	Mozambique	0.2
	10 Mar 2024 23:00	Maconharumo	Mozambique	0.2
	10 Mar 2024 23:00	Amado	Mozambique	0.2
	13 Mar 2024 00:00	Gueima	Mozambique	0.2
	11 Mar 2024 00:00	Damiao	Mozambique	0.2
	11 Mar 2024 00:00	Nhangau	Mozambique	0.2
	11 Mar 2024 00:00	Chamba	Mozambique	0.2
	11 Mar 2024 00:00	Beira	Mozambique	0.2
	11 Mar 2024 00:00	Manica	Mozambique	0.2
	12 Mar 2024 23:00	Contra Costa	Mozambique	0.2
	11 Mar 2024 23:00	Chiloane	Mozambique	0.2
	10 Mar 2024 23:00	Chimuaza	Mozambique	0.2
	12 Mar 2024 11:00	Marivate	Mozambique	0.2
	11 Mar 2024 00:00	Nova Sofala	Mozambique	0.2
	13 Mar 2024 06:00	Canhamba	Mozambique	0.2
	11 Mar 2024 00:00	Chofandicho	Mozambique	0.2
	11 Mar 2024 00:00	Panaca	Mozambique	0.2
	13 Mar 2024 00:00	D'lhelo	Mozambique	0.2
	12 Mar 2024 06:00	Morrumbene	Mozambique	0.2
	11 Mar 2024 00:00	Jonja	Mozambique	0.2
	12 Mar 2024 23:00	Jacob	Mozambique	0.2
	13 Mar 2024 07:00	Aiai	Mozambique	0.2
	10 Mar 2024 23:00	Tama	Mozambique	0.2
	10 Mar 2024 23:00	Bingue	Mozambique	0.2
	10 Mar 2024 23:00	Rupia	Mozambique	0.2
	12 Mar 2024 21:00	Chavanine	Mozambique	0.2
	13 Mar 2024 06:00	Cimbene	Mozambique	0.2
	10 Mar 2024 22:00	Machesse	Mozambique	0.1
	13 Mar 2024 08:00	Machavene	Mozambique	0.1
	10 Mar 2024 22:00	Ocone	Mozambique	0.1
	12 Mar 2024 22:00	Ingale	Mozambique	0.1
	12 Mar 2024 19:00	Praia do Tofo	Mozambique	0.1
	13 Mar 2024 20:00	Mtunzini	South Africa	0.1
	12 Mar 2024 16:00	Mahupe	Mozambique	0.1
	11 Mar 2024 00:00	Vila do Chinde	Mozambique	0.1
	10 Mar 2024 22:00	Nhamatamanga	Mozambique	0.1
	11 Mar 2024 00:00	Mulia	Mozambique	0.1
	11 Mar 2024 00:00	Barra	Mozambique	0.1
	12 Mar 2024 19:00	Miramar	Mozambique	0.1
	13 Mar 2024 16:00	Highfield	South Africa	0.1
	13 Mar 2024 09:00	David	Mozambique	0.1
	13 Mar 2024 13:00	Enkovukeni	South Africa	0.1
	12 Mar 2024 10:00	Maguemba	Mozambique	0.1
	12 Mar 2024 10:00	Macashale	Mozambique	0.1
	10 Mar 2024 22:00	Quelimane do Sal	Mozambique	0.1
	10 Mar 2024 22:00	Inhangulue	Mozambique	0.1
	10 Mar 2024 22:00	Mendozo	Mozambique	0.1
	10 Mar 2024 22:00	Magromane	Mozambique	0.1
	12 Mar 2024 12:00	Mabsil	Mozambique	0.1
	11 Mar 2024 23:00	Guiducua	Mozambique	0.1
	13 Mar 2024 18:00	Dokodweni	South Africa	0.1
	13 Mar 2024 16:00	Mabibi	South Africa	0.1
	13 Mar 2024 17:00	Mapelana	South Africa	0.1
	12 Mar 2024 02:00	Afo	Mozambique	0.1
	13 Mar 2024 21:00	Induna	Mozambique	0.1
	12 Mar 2024 16:00	Nangalete	Mozambique	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.