Overall Orange Tropical Cyclone alert for FILIPO-24 in Mozambique, South Africa, Eswatini, Zimbabwe, Malawi from 03 Mar 2024 06:00 UTC to 11 Mar 2024 18:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for FILIPO-24

in Mozambique, South Africa, Eswatini, Zimbabwe, Malawi

11 Mar 2024 18 UTC

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Meteorological source:

WMO-RSMC La Réunion
Primary source
GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone FILIPO-24 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GDACS
Glide number:	TC-2024-000032-MOZ
Exposed countries	Mozambique
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	111 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.9 m (12 Mar 01:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	High (Mozambique)
Landfall	between 11 Mar 2024 18:00 - 12 Mar 2024 06:00 in Mozambique

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	111 km/h	0.9 m	n.a.	0.5
Overall	111 km/h	0.9 m	n.a.	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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Wind

111 km/h Current Max.

Up to 6.2 million people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher	Countries
1	10 Mar 2024 18:00	102	3.5 million	No people	Mozambique
2	11 Mar 2024 06:00	102	4.4 million	No people	Mozambique
3	11 Mar 2024 18:00	111	6.2 million	No people	Mozambique

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)	Countries
1	10 Mar 2024 18:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	81000 people	-19.8, 38.5
2	11 Mar 2024 06:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	14000 people	-20.3, 37.3
3	11 Mar 2024 18:00	Tropical storm	111	no people	1.8 million people	-20.6, 35.8
3	12 Mar 2024 06:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	1.4 million people	-21.6, 34.6	Mozambique
3	12 Mar 2024 18:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	4.2 million people	-23.1, 34	Mozambique
3	13 Mar 2024 06:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	3.6 million people	-25.1, 34	Mozambique
3	13 Mar 2024 18:00	Tropical storm	111	no people	no people	-27.5, 35.5
3	14 Mar 2024 18:00	Tropical storm	111	no people	no people	-32.9, 44.2
3	15 Mar 2024 18:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	no people	-37, 55.4

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

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Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country	Population in Tropical Storm or higher strength
Mozambique	6.1 million people

Provinces

Region Province	Country	Population in Tropical Storm or higher strength
Sofala	Mozambique	1.2 million people
Inhambane	Mozambique	1.5 million people
Manica	Mozambique	150000 people
Zambezia	Mozambique	<1000 people
Gaza	Mozambique	1.4 million people
Maputo	Mozambique	1.8 million people

Populated places

Name	Region Province	Country	City class	Population
Beira	Sofala	Mozambique	Major city	520000 people
Maxixe		Mozambique	City	120000 people
Xai-Xai	Gaza	Mozambique	City	130000 people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name	IATA Code	Elevation (m)	Usage	Runway type	IFR	Runway Length (ft)
Beira	BEW	10	Civ.	Paved	Yes	7800
Vila Franca Do Save		30				0
Vilanculos	VNX	14	Civ.	Paved	Yes	4800
Inhambane	INH	9	Civ.	Paved	Yes	4900
Xai Xai	VJB	unknown				0
Chokwe	TGS	unknown				0

Ports

Name	LOCODE	Country
Nova Mambone		Mozambique
Bartolomeo Diaz		Mozambique
Bazaruto Island		Mozambique
Beira	MZBEW	Mozambique
Vilanculas		Mozambique
Inhambane	MZINH	Mozambique
Bela Vista		Mozambique

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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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StormSurge

0.9 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.9m in Bartolomeu Dias, Mozambique. This height is estimated for 12 Mar 2024 01:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (69 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 3 of 11 Mar 2024 18:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	12 Mar 2024 01:00	Bartolomeu Dias	Mozambique	0.9
	12 Mar 2024 01:00	Jo	Mozambique	0.7
	12 Mar 2024 01:00	Dinguiduane	Mozambique	0.7
	12 Mar 2024 01:00	Laisse	Mozambique	0.7
	12 Mar 2024 02:00	Natalia	Mozambique	0.6
	12 Mar 2024 02:00	Inhassoro	Mozambique	0.5
	12 Mar 2024 08:00	Mahoa	Mozambique	0.4
	12 Mar 2024 03:00	Caulino	Mozambique	0.4
	12 Mar 2024 03:00	Castigo	Mozambique	0.4
	12 Mar 2024 08:00	China	Mozambique	0.4
	12 Mar 2024 04:00	Vilanculos	Mozambique	0.4
	12 Mar 2024 07:00	Xetoquica	Mozambique	0.4
	12 Mar 2024 03:00	Asneira	Mozambique	0.4
	12 Mar 2024 09:00	Fabiao	Mozambique	0.4
	12 Mar 2024 09:00	Uetela	Mozambique	0.4
	12 Mar 2024 04:00	Mariano	Mozambique	0.3
	12 Mar 2024 08:00	Afonso	Mozambique	0.3
	12 Mar 2024 02:00	Catine	Mozambique	0.3
	11 Mar 2024 22:00	Chiloane	Mozambique	0.3
	12 Mar 2024 23:00	Mabsil	Mozambique	0.3
	12 Mar 2024 23:00	Beula	Mozambique	0.3
	12 Mar 2024 23:00	Chicoque	Mozambique	0.3
	12 Mar 2024 23:00	Guilande	Mozambique	0.3
	12 Mar 2024 23:00	Banga	Mozambique	0.3
	10 Mar 2024 23:00	Maconharumo	Mozambique	0.2
	10 Mar 2024 23:00	Amado	Mozambique	0.2
	11 Mar 2024 09:00	Damiao	Mozambique	0.2
	11 Mar 2024 09:00	Nhangau	Mozambique	0.2
	11 Mar 2024 09:00	Chamba	Mozambique	0.2
	11 Mar 2024 09:00	Beira	Mozambique	0.2
	12 Mar 2024 17:00	Maxixe	Mozambique	0.2
	12 Mar 2024 17:00	Inhambane	Mozambique	0.2
	13 Mar 2024 06:00	Linchica	Mozambique	0.2
	11 Mar 2024 00:00	Manica	Mozambique	0.2
	13 Mar 2024 08:00	Gueima	Mozambique	0.2
	10 Mar 2024 23:00	Chimuaza	Mozambique	0.2
	11 Mar 2024 00:00	Nova Sofala	Mozambique	0.2
	13 Mar 2024 05:00	Chavanine	Mozambique	0.2
	11 Mar 2024 00:00	Chofandicho	Mozambique	0.2
	11 Mar 2024 00:00	Panaca	Mozambique	0.2
	11 Mar 2024 09:00	Tama	Mozambique	0.2
	11 Mar 2024 09:00	Jonja	Mozambique	0.2
	13 Mar 2024 05:00	Inhampsi	Mozambique	0.2
	13 Mar 2024 06:00	Contra Costa	Mozambique	0.2
	12 Mar 2024 13:00	Marivate	Mozambique	0.2
	12 Mar 2024 19:00	D'lhelo	Mozambique	0.2
	10 Mar 2024 23:00	Bingue	Mozambique	0.2
	13 Mar 2024 00:00	Praia do Tofo	Mozambique	0.2
	13 Mar 2024 06:00	Jacob	Mozambique	0.2
	12 Mar 2024 13:00	Morrumbene	Mozambique	0.1
	12 Mar 2024 20:00	Guiducua	Mozambique	0.1
	10 Mar 2024 22:00	Rupia	Mozambique	0.1
	11 Mar 2024 09:00	Machesse	Mozambique	0.1
	13 Mar 2024 04:00	Ingale	Mozambique	0.1
	12 Mar 2024 23:00	Miramar	Mozambique	0.1
	10 Mar 2024 22:00	Ocone	Mozambique	0.1
	13 Mar 2024 07:00	Mahupe	Mozambique	0.1
	11 Mar 2024 00:00	Vila do Chinde	Mozambique	0.1
	10 Mar 2024 22:00	Nhamatamanga	Mozambique	0.1
	11 Mar 2024 00:00	Mulia	Mozambique	0.1
	11 Mar 2024 00:00	Barra	Mozambique	0.1
	13 Mar 2024 15:00	Nangalete	Mozambique	0.1
	10 Mar 2024 22:00	Quelimane do Sal	Mozambique	0.1
	10 Mar 2024 22:00	Inhangulue	Mozambique	0.1
	10 Mar 2024 22:00	Mendozo	Mozambique	0.1
	10 Mar 2024 22:00	Magromane	Mozambique	0.1
	13 Mar 2024 15:00	Gafaria	Mozambique	0.1
	13 Mar 2024 22:00	Induna	Mozambique	0.1
	13 Mar 2024 07:00	Canhamba	Mozambique	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.