Overall Green Tropical Cyclone for URMIL-26 in Vanuatu from 26 Feb 2026 18:00 UTC to 28 Feb 2026 18:00 UTC

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Overall Green Tropical Cyclone for URMIL-26

in Vanuatu

Event summary

Tropical Cyclone URMIL-26 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed, exposed population and vulnerability.

GDACS ID	TC 1001259
Name	URMIL-26
From - To	26 Feb - 28 Feb
Exposed countries	Vanuatu
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	120 km/h Category 1
Maximum storm surge	n.a.
Vulnerability	Medium (Vanuatu)

GDACS Score

For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
GDACS JTWC	120 km/h	n.a.	n.a.	0.5
Single TC: maximum expected impact (wind, storm surge, rainfall)
HWRF	155 km/h	0.6 m	709 mm	0.5
GFS	144 km/h	0.7 m	532 mm	0.5
ECMWF	112 km/h	0.6 m	593 mm	0.5

Maximum expected impact (wind, storm surge and rainfall) using different data sources.

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Vanuatu - Tropical storm URMIL (ECHO 28 Feb 2026)Fri, 27 Feb 2026 10:51

A new tropical storm named URMIL formed over the South Pacific Ocean (north-east of Vanuatu) on 24 February and started moving south-west toward northern Vanuatu as a tropical depression. It passed over the Pentecost, Ambrym and Malekula islands (northern Vanuatu) on 25 February as a tropical depression. On 27 February at 0.00 UTC, its centre was located offshore approximately 160 km north-west of the island of Tanna (southern Vanuatu), with maximum sustained winds of 83 km/h (tropical storm).
URMIL is forecast to make landfall over the north-western Tanna island on 27 February in the afternoon (UTC), with maximum sustained winds up to 111 km/h (tropical storm).
Over the next 48 hours, heavy rainfall, strong winds and storm surge are forecast over the whole of Vanuatu. Very heavy rainfall is forecast over southern Vanuatu for the same period.

Detailed event map. European Union, 2026. Map produced by EC-JRC.
The boundaries and the names shown on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the European Union.

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Estimated casualties (PAGER)

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Exposed population

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For this events, GDACS has links to information from the following sources: EC-JRC (40), DesInventar (1), WMO (1), INFORM (2), (1),

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