Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for LINCOLN-24
in Australia

Event summary

Tropical Cyclone LINCOLN-24 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed, exposed population and vulnerability.

GDACS ID TC 1001050
Name LINCOLN-24
From - To 15 Feb - 24 Feb
Exposed countries Australia
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 74 km/h Tropical storm
Maximum storm surge 0.8 m (24 Feb 05:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Low (Australia)

GDACS Score

For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GDACS JTWC 56 km/h 1 m n.a. 0.5
Single TC: maximum expected impact (wind, storm surge, rainfall)
HWRF 90 km/h 0.9 m 392 mm 0.5
GFS 97 km/h 1.2 m 427 mm 0.5
ECMWF 68 km/h 1.3 m 727 mm 0.5
Maximum expected impact (wind, storm surge and rainfall) using different data sources.
Virtual OSOCC
Meteo assessment
Satellite products
Analytical products
Australia - Tropical cyclone FOURTEEN (ECHO 16 Feb 2024)Fri, 16 Feb 2024 11:24

  • A new tropical cyclone named FOURTEEN (Lincoln in Australia) is crossing the southern Gulf of Carpentaria coast between Port McArthur and the Northern Territory and Queensland border. On 16 February at 6.00 UTC, its centre was located on the north-eastern coast of Northern Territory State 105 km east of Borroloola Town, with maximum sustained winds of 100 km/h (tropical storm).
  • Tropical Cyclone FOURTEEN will continue to move inland after it crosses the coast and it is forecast to weaken during 16 February. FOURTEEN will then move west across the central Northern Territory during the 17-18 February.
  • For the next 48 hours, heavy rainfall, strong winds and storm surge are expected across the southern Gulf of Carpentaria, the Districts of Carpentaria and Barkly (Northern Territory) and the north-western areas of Queensland close to the border with the Northern Territory. Severe weather warnings are in effect over the aforementioned areas.
Australia - Tropical storm LINCOLN, update (ECHO 19 Feb 2024)Mon, 19 Feb 2024 11:32

  • Tropical storm LINCOLN formed over the Gulf of Carpentaria in the afternoon (UTC) on 15 February and passed over the north-eastern Northern Territory, Australia on 16 February and it dissipated on 17 February. On 19 February around 0.00 (UTC) its remnants were located inland over the eastern Kimberley region, eastern Western Australia central-western Queensland.
  • Its passage caused heavy rainfall and floods across western Queensland and Northern Territory, that have resulted in casualties and damage. Media report, as of 19 February, one fatality in the Duchess Town, western Queensland due to flash flood and more than 60 evacuated people across eastern Northern Territory and the neighbouring western Queensland.
  • The remnants of LINCOLN are forecast to continue westward over the Kimberley region and the northern Pilbara region on 20-21 February.
  • Over the next 48 hours, heavy rainfall with locally very heavy rainfall is forecast for northern Queensland, north Northern Territory and northern Western Australia.
Australia - Tropical storm LINCOLN, update (ECHO 22 Feb 2024)Thu, 22 Feb 2024 10:45

  • After the passage of its remnants over the Kimberley region, northern Western Australia on 19-21 February, LINCOLN continued westward, strenghtening and reforming over the Indian Ocean. On 22 February at 6.00 UTC its centre was located over the Ocean approximately 410 km north of the coastal town of Port Hedland, western Pilbara region, with maximum sustained winds of 63 km/h (tropical storm).
  • LINCOLN is expected to continue south-west over the Ocean, further strenghtening and it is forecast to make landfall over Exmouth Town, northern Gascoyne region, Western Australia on 24 February very early in the morning (UTC), with maximum sustained winds of 93 km/h (tropical storm).
  • Heavy rainfall, strong winds and storm surges are forecast over western Pilbara and Gascoyne regions on 23-25 February. The Bureau of Meteorology (BOM) has issued a warning for gales over the area.
Australia - Tropical storm LINCOLN, update (ECHO 23 Feb 2024)Fri, 23 Feb 2024 11:24

  • On 22 February, tropical storm LINCOLN continued southwestward along the coast of western Pilbara region, Western Australia. On 23 February at 6.00 UTC its centre was located over the Ocean approximately 355 km north of the coastal town of Exmounth, northern Gascoyne region, Western Australia, with maximum sustained winds of 63 km/h (tropical storm).
  • LINCOLN is expected to strenghten and to pass very close over the area of Exmounth Town in the very early morning (UTC) on 24 February, with maximum sustained winds of 83 km/h.
  • Over the next 48 hours, heavy rainfall, strong winds and storm surges are forecast over western Pilbara and northern Gascoyne regions. The Bureau of Meteorology (BOM) has issued a warning for gales over this latter region.
Detailed event map. European Union, 2024. Map produced by EC-JRC.
The boundaries and the names shown on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the European Union.

Updates on volcanic activity (Smithsonian)

Latest media headlines

Australia weather: Heatwave to hit Melbourne, Sydney as Victoria battl.. 2/27/2024 10:16:00 PM.

Parts of Australia are expected to be in sweltering heat this week as a heatwave moves through the southeast, with one state already battling serious bushfires. Melbourne could reach temperatures as high as 37C on Wednesday, while Adelaide
...(more)
Record number of Channel migrants reach UK on single day in February 2/26/2024 10:09:00 PM.

A record 290 migrants crossed the Channel in small boats on Sunday – the highest recorded number for a single day in February. Home Office figures, published on Monday, showed that the 290 people had crossed in five boats, an average of 58
...(more)
Rain for WA wheatbelt as Lincoln heads south 2/25/2024 12:02:00 PM.

Now a tropical low, Ex-Tropical Cyclone Lincoln is bringing much-needed rain to the WA wheatbelt. Photo: AAP. Ex-Tropical Cyclone Lincoln is dumping what could be welcome rain for farmers in Western Australia’s wheat belt, while most flo
...(more)
Drought-breaking for some, heart-breaking for others: Tropical low hit.. 2/25/2024 7:32:00 AM.

In short: Ex-Tropical Cyclone Lincoln crossed the coast at Carnarvon, bringing heavy rain to the region after a long drought. The rain is largely welcome, but one local grower has been left with damage costing tens of thousands. What's next
...(more)

View more news

Estimated casualties (PAGER)

USGS estimates the number of casualties for each earthquake for the Prompt Assessment of Global Earthquakes for Response (PAGER) product.
The graph shows the current fatalities estimate.

Exposed population

Data, images, links, services and documents

For this events, GDACS has links to information from the following sources: EC-JRC (40), (2), WMO (1), INFORM (2),