Overall Red Tropical Cyclone for BAVI-26
in Guam, Northern Mariana Islands, Japan, Taiwan, China

Event summary

Tropical Cyclone BAVI-26 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed, exposed population and vulnerability.

GDACS ID TC 1001279
Name BAVI-26
Glide number: TC-2026-000099-GUM
From - To 01 Jul - 07 Jul
Exposed countries Guam, Northern Mariana Islands, Japan, Taiwan, China
Exposed population 36.8 million in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 287 km/h Category 5
Maximum storm surge
Vulnerability Medium (China)

GDACS Score

For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GDACS JTWC 287 km/h 0 m n.a. 2.5
Single TC: maximum expected impact (wind, storm surge, rainfall)
HWRF 277 km/h 1 m 875 mm 2.5
GFS 230 km/h 0.9 m 804 mm 2.5
ECMWF 223 km/h n.a. 547 mm 0.5
Maximum expected impact (wind, storm surge and rainfall) using different data sources.
Virtual OSOCC
Meteo assessment
Satellite products
Analytical products
BAVI-26 - EC/ECHO daily mapTue, 07 Jul 2026 18:28

A new EC/ECHO daily map is now available
Detailed event map. European Union, 2026. Map produced by EC-JRC.
The boundaries and the names shown on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the European Union.

Updates on volcanic activity (Smithsonian)

Latest media headlines

Super Typhoon Bavi may enter PAR Tuesday, to be named ''Inday'' 7/7/2026 1:02:00 AM.

MANILA, Philippines Super Typhoon BAVI slightly accelerated as it continued moving west-northwestward over the Philippine Sea and is expected to enter the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) between Tuesday evening and early Wednesday.
...(more)

Estimated casualties (PAGER)

USGS estimates the number of casualties for each earthquake for the Prompt Assessment of Global Earthquakes for Response (PAGER) product.
The graph shows the current fatalities estimate.

Exposed population

Data, images, links, services and documents

For this events, GDACS has links to information from the following sources: EC-JRC (40), WMO (1), INFORM (2), (1),