Overall Green Tropical Cyclone for MAILA-26
in Solomon Islands, Papua New Guinea

Event summary

Tropical Cyclone MAILA-26 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed, exposed population and vulnerability.

GDACS ID TC 1001268
Name MAILA-26
From - To 04 Apr - 10 Apr
Exposed countries Solomon Islands, Papua New Guinea
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 231 km/h Category 4
Maximum storm surge n.a.
Vulnerability High (Papua New Guinea)

GDACS Score

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Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GDACS JTWC 231 km/h n.a. n.a. 0.5
Single TC: maximum expected impact (wind, storm surge, rainfall)
HWRF 223 km/h 0.7 m 2043 mm 0.5
GFS 241 km/h 0.6 m 2260 mm 0.5
ECMWF 140 km/h 0.4 m 1902 mm 0.5
Maximum expected impact (wind, storm surge and rainfall) using different data sources.
Virtual OSOCC
Meteo assessment
Satellite products
Analytical products
Papua New Guinea, Solomon Islands, Australia - Tropical cyclone MAILA, update (ECHO 10 Apr 2026)Tue, 07 Apr 2026 09:31

  • On 6 April, tropical cyclone MAILA continued moving very slowly over the Solomon Sea, with maximum sustained winds up to 176 km/h. On 7 April at 0.00 UTC, its centre was located offshore, approximately 545 km east of far south-eastern Papua New Guinea, with maximum sustained winds of 167 km/h (equivalent to cat. 2 hurricane in the Saffir-Simpson scale).
  • On the forecast track, MAILA is expected to continue moving south-west, passing very close to the coast of far south-eastern Papua New Guinea on 10 April in the morning (UTC), with maximum sustained winds up to 165 km/h. After that, it is forecast to continue moving toward the Cape York Peninsula (far northern Queensland, north-eastern Australia) after 12 April.
  • Over the next 72 hours, heavy rainfall, strong winds and storm surges are forecast over the Solomon Islands. Same conditions are forecast over southern and eastern Papua New Guinea starting from 9 April.
Papua New Guinea, Solomon Islands - Tropical cyclone MAILA, update (ECHO 10 Apr 2026)Fri, 10 Apr 2026 10:15

  • On 9 April, tropical cyclone MAILA continued moving very slowly over the Solomon Sea, with maximum sustained winds up to 185 km/h, weakening. On 10 April at 0.00 UTC, its centre was located offshore, approximately 215 km north-east of the Muyua Island (far eastern Papua New Guinea), with maximum sustained winds of 130 km/h.
  • According to media, its passage over the Solomon Sea caused heavy rainfall and consequent floods and landslides across Bougainville Island (eastern Papua New Guinea), resulting in two fatalities.
  • MAILA is expected to make landfall over the southern Muyua Island on 12 April very early in the morning, with maximum sustained winds up to 65 km/h (tropical storm). After that, it is forecast to make landfall over Fergusson Island (far south-eastern Papua New Guinea) on 13 April in the morning as a tropical storm.
  • Over the next 96 hours, very heavy rainfall, strong winds and storm surges are forecast over eastern and far south-eastern Papua New Guinea. The Papua New Guinea National Weather Service has issued a special gale-force wind warning over the eastern islands of the country. Heavy rainfall is also forecast over the Solomon Islands for the next 48 hours.
Detailed event map. European Union, 2026. Map produced by EC-JRC.
The boundaries and the names shown on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the European Union.

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Estimated casualties (PAGER)

USGS estimates the number of casualties for each earthquake for the Prompt Assessment of Global Earthquakes for Response (PAGER) product.
The graph shows the current fatalities estimate.

Exposed population

Data, images, links, services and documents

For this events, GDACS has links to information from the following sources: EC-JRC (40), WMO (1), INFORM (2), (1),