Overall Red Tropical Cyclone for BAVI-26 in Northern Mariana Islands, Guam from 01 Jul 2026 00:00 UTC to 03 Jul 2026 12:00 UTC

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Overall Red Tropical Cyclone for BAVI-26

in Northern Mariana Islands, Guam

Event summary

Tropical Cyclone BAVI-26 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed, exposed population and vulnerability.

GDACS ID	TC 1001279
Name	BAVI-26
From - To	01 Jul - 03 Jul
Exposed countries	Northern Mariana Islands, Guam
Exposed population	50 thousand in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	278 km/h Category 5
Maximum storm surge
Vulnerability	Medium (Guam)

GDACS Score

For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
GDACS JTWC	278 km/h	0 m	n.a.	2.5
Single TC: maximum expected impact (wind, storm surge, rainfall)
HWRF	248 km/h	0.3 m	873 mm	2.5
GFS	230 km/h	0.9 m	655 mm	2.5
ECMWF	220 km/h	0.3 m	442 mm	2.5

Maximum expected impact (wind, storm surge and rainfall) using different data sources.

Virtual OSOCC

Meteo assessment

Satellite products

Analytical products

Detailed event map. European Union, 2026. Map produced by EC-JRC.
The boundaries and the names shown on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the European Union.

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Estimated casualties (PAGER)

USGS estimates the number of casualties for each earthquake for the Prompt Assessment of Global Earthquakes for Response (PAGER) product.
The graph shows the current fatalities estimate.

Exposed population

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Data, images, links, services and documents

For this events, GDACS has links to information from the following sources: EC-JRC (40), INFORM (2), (1),

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