Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for FANI-19
in India

Global Telecommunication Service

GTS (Global Telecommunication Service) is the official Warning and Alerting channel by the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) adopted by several Warning Organizations. As soon as a new GTS message regarding Tropical Cyclones(WT) or Tsunami(WE) the messages are processed and possibly assigned to the specific event. When a new GTS message is present an new tab in the specific event report page is present.The presence of a GTS message is shown in the homepage with a dedicated icon.

Click on the messages list to visualize on the right the detailed text.

2019-05-03 14:03

WTIO51 PGTW 031500 RRA
WARNING ATCG MIL 01B NIO 190503124235
2019050312 01B FANI 027 01 020 12 SATL 020
T000 213N 0862E 070 R064 035 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 000 NW QD R050
070 NE QD 075 SE QD 060 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 125 NE QD 140 SE QD
115 SW QD 085 NW QD
T012 232N 0876E 040
T024 252N 0897E 030
AMP 000HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
012HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
024HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 027
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 027
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
031200Z --- NEAR 21.3N 86.2E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 020 DEGREES AT 12 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

>

2019-05-03 14:03

WTIO31 PGTW 031500 RRA
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 027//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 027
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
031200Z --- NEAR 21.3N 86.2E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 020 DEGREES AT 12 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 21.3N 86.2E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
040000Z --- 23.2N 87.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 14 KTS
---

>

2019-05-03 13:59

WTIO51 PGTW 031500
WARNING ATCG MIL 01B NIO 190503124235
2019050312 01B FANI 027 01 020 12 SATL 020
T000 213N 0862E 070 R064 035 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 070 NE QD 075 SE QD 060 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 125 NE QD 140 SE QD 115 SW QD 085 NW QD
T012 232N 0876E 040
T024 252N 0897E 030
AMP 000HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
012HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
024HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 027
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 027
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
031200Z --- NEAR 21.3N 86.2E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 020 DEGREES AT 12 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 21.3N 86.2E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
040000Z --- 23.2N 87.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
041200Z --- 25.2N 89.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
031500Z POSITION NEAR 21.8N 86.6E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 01B (FANI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 145 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF KOLKATA, INDIA, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 12 KNOTS (KTS) OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.//
0119042518 21N 905E 25
0119042600 26N 905E 25
0119042606 30N 905E 30
0119042612 34N 905E 30
0119042618 39N 903E 30
0119042700 45N 900E 35
0119042706 54N 898E 45
0119042712 62N 893E 45
0119042718 67N 887E 45
0119042800 71N 882E 50
0119042800 71N 882E 50
0119042806 73N 883E 50
0119042806 73N 883E 50
0119042812 75N 883E 45
0119042818 81N 881E 45
0119042900 88N 878E 45
0119042906 96N 873E 50
0119042906 96N 873E 50
0119042912 103N 871E 55
0119042912 103N 871E 55
0119042918 110N 868E 65
0119042918 110N 868E 65
0119042918 110N 868E 65
0119043000 119N 865E 85
0119043000 119N 865E 85
0119043000 119N 865E 85
0119043006 127N 858E 90
0119043006 127N 858E 90
0119043006 127N 858E 90
0119043012 132N 848E 95
0119043012 132N 848E 95
0119043012 132N 848E 95
0119043018 135N 843E 105
0119043018 135N 843E 105
0119043018 135N 843E 105
0119050100 139N 841E 105
0119050100 139N 841E 105
0119050100 139N 841E 105
0119050106 142N 841E 105
0119050106 142N 841E 105
0119050106 142N 841E 105
0119050112 149N 842E 105
0119050112 149N 842E 105
0119050112 149N 842E 105
0119050118 153N 842E 105
0119050118 153N 842E 105
0119050118 153N 842E 105
0119050200 158N 846E 110
0119050200 158N 846E 110
0119050200 158N 846E 110
0119050206 167N 849E 115
0119050206 167N 849E 115
0119050206 167N 849E 115
0119050212 176N 848E 135
0119050212 176N 848E 135
0119050212 176N 848E 135
0119050218 182N 850E 135
0119050218 182N 850E 135
0119050218 182N 850E 135
0119050300 190N 855E 130
0119050300 190N 855E 130
0119050300 190N 855E 130
0119050306 202N 858E 115
0119050306 202N 858E 115
0119050306 202N 858E 115
0119050312 213N 862E 70
0119050312 213N 862E 70
0119050312 213N 862E 70
NNNN

>

2019-05-03 13:57

WTIO31 PGTW 031500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 027//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 027
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
031200Z --- NEAR 21.3N 86.2E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 020 DEGREES AT 12 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 21.3N 86.2E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
040000Z --- 23.2N 87.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
041200Z --- 25.2N 89.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
031500Z POSITION NEAR 21.8N 86.6E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 01B (FANI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 145 NM WEST-
SOUTHWEST OF KOLKATA, INDIA, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 12
KNOTS (KTS) OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THERE IS FAIR CONFIDENCE IN THE
INITIAL POSITION BASED ON ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE
IMAGERY WHICH SHOWS WARMING CLOUD TOPS AND SIGNIFICANTLY REDUCED
DEEP CONVECTION. THE INITIAL INTENSITY OF 70 KTS IS BASED ON THE
DEGRADED CLOUD STRUCTURE. THE SYSTEM IS WEAKENING DUE TO LAND
INTERACTION DESPITE OTHERWISE FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS (5-
10 KTS OF VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND GOOD RADIAL OUTFLOW). TC 01B IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE GENERALLY TRACKING NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE
PERIPHERY OF A SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE SOUTHEAST UNTIL DISSIPATING
BY TAU 24. NUMERICAL MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN EXCELLENT AGREEMENT,
LENDING TO HIGH CONFIDENCE IN THE JTWC TRACK FORECAST. THIS IS THE
FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL
HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF
REGENERATION.//
NNNN

>

2019-05-03 08:53

WTIO51 PGTW 030900 RRA
WARNING ATCG MIL 01B NIO 190503072351
2019050306 01B FANI 026 01 015 12 SATL 015
T000 202N 0858E 115 R064 040 NE QD 045 SE QD 035 SW QD 025 NW QD R050
065 NE QD 065 SE QD 055 SW QD 045 NW QD R034 135 NE QD 145 SE QD
120 SW QD 090 NW QD
T012 223N 0871E 070 R064 000 NE QD 010 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R050
010 NE QD 040 SE QD 010 SW QD 000 NW QD R034 090 NE QD 130 SE QD
105 SW QD 040 NW QD
T024 240N 0886E 050
T036 257N 0907E 030
AMP 000HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
012HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
024HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
036HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 026
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 026
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
030600Z --- NEAR 20.2N 85.8E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 015 DEGREES AT 12 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 015 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

>

2019-05-03 08:53

WTIO31 PGTW 030900 RRA
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 026//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 026
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
030600Z --- NEAR 20.2N 85.8E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 015 DEGREES AT 12 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 015 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
145 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 20.2N 85.8E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
031800Z --- 22.3N 87.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

>

2019-05-03 08:07

WTIO51 PGTW 030900
WARNING ATCG MIL 01B NIO 190503072351
2019050306 01B FANI 026 01 015 12 SATL 015
T000 202N 0858E 115 R064 040 NE QD 045 SE QD 035 SW QD 025 NW QD R050 065 NE QD 065 SE QD 055 SW QD 045 NW QD R034 135 NE QD 145 SE QD 120 SW QD 090 NW QD
T012 223N 0871E 070 R064 000 NE QD 010 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 010 NE QD 040 SE QD 010 SW QD 000 NW QD R034 090 NE QD 130 SE QD 105 SW QD 040 NW QD
T024 240N 0886E 050
T036 257N 0907E 030
AMP 000HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
012HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
024HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
036HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 026
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 026
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
030600Z --- NEAR 20.2N 85.8E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 015 DEGREES AT 12 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 015 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
145 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 20.2N 85.8E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
031800Z --- 22.3N 87.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
040600Z --- 24.0N 88.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
041800Z --- 25.7N 90.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
030900Z POSITION NEAR 20.7N 86.1E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 01B (FANI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 205 NM SOUTHWEST OF KOLKATA, INDIA, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 12 KNOTS (KTS) OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. NEXT WARNINGS AT 031500Z, 032100Z, 040300Z AND 040900Z.//
0119042518 21N 905E 25
0119042600 26N 905E 25
0119042606 30N 905E 30
0119042612 34N 905E 30
0119042618 39N 903E 30
0119042700 45N 900E 35
0119042706 54N 898E 45
0119042712 62N 893E 45
0119042718 67N 887E 45
0119042800 71N 882E 50
0119042800 71N 882E 50
0119042806 73N 883E 50
0119042806 73N 883E 50
0119042812 75N 883E 45
0119042818 81N 881E 45
0119042900 88N 878E 45
0119042906 96N 873E 50
0119042906 96N 873E 50
0119042912 103N 871E 55
0119042912 103N 871E 55
0119042918 110N 868E 65
0119042918 110N 868E 65
0119042918 110N 868E 65
0119043000 119N 865E 85
0119043000 119N 865E 85
0119043000 119N 865E 85
0119043006 127N 858E 90
0119043006 127N 858E 90
0119043006 127N 858E 90
0119043012 132N 848E 95
0119043012 132N 848E 95
0119043012 132N 848E 95
0119043018 135N 843E 105
0119043018 135N 843E 105
0119043018 135N 843E 105
0119050100 139N 841E 105
0119050100 139N 841E 105
0119050100 139N 841E 105
0119050106 142N 841E 105
0119050106 142N 841E 105
0119050106 142N 841E 105
0119050112 149N 842E 105
0119050112 149N 842E 105
0119050112 149N 842E 105
0119050118 153N 842E 105
0119050118 153N 842E 105
0119050118 153N 842E 105
0119050200 158N 846E 110
0119050200 158N 846E 110
0119050200 158N 846E 110
0119050206 167N 849E 115
0119050206 167N 849E 115
0119050206 167N 849E 115
0119050212 176N 848E 135
0119050212 176N 848E 135
0119050212 176N 848E 135
0119050218 182N 850E 135
0119050218 182N 850E 135
0119050218 182N 850E 135
0119050300 190N 855E 130
0119050300 190N 855E 130
0119050300 190N 855E 130
0119050306 202N 858E 115
0119050306 202N 858E 115
0119050306 202N 858E 115
NNNN

>

2019-05-03 08:07

WTIO31 PGTW 030900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 026//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 026
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
030600Z --- NEAR 20.2N 85.8E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 015 DEGREES AT 12 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 015 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
145 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 20.2N 85.8E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
031800Z --- 22.3N 87.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
040600Z --- 24.0N 88.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
041800Z --- 25.7N 90.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
030900Z POSITION NEAR 20.7N 86.1E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 01B (FANI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 205 NM
SOUTHWEST OF KOLKATA, INDIA, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 12
KNOTS (KTS) OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE
IMAGERY (MSI) AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEAL
SIGNIFICANT DECAY IN THE CLOUD SIGNATURE SINCE MAKING LANDFALL. THE
INITIAL POSITION IS BASED ON A DIMPLE THAT APPEARS TO BE THE PARTIALLY
CLOUD-FILLED, REMNANT EYE IN THE MSI AND IS SUPPORTED BY EXTRAPOLATION
FROM AN EYE FEATURE IN A 030347Z MHS 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE. THE
INITIAL INTENSITY OF 115 KTS IS ESTIMATED BASED ON THE WEAKENED CLOUD
SIGNATURE. ASIDE FROM BEING LOCATED OVER LAND, THE ENVIRONMENT IS
FAVORABLE WITH LOW (5-10 KT) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND GOOD RADIAL
OUTFLOW. WHILE TRACKING ALONG THE NORTHWEST PERIPHERY OF A
SUBTROPICAL RIDGE, THE CYCLONE WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN RAPIDLY UNTIL
FULLY DISSIPATING BY TAU 36. THE TRACK WILL REMAIN FAIRLY CLOSE TO
SHORE FOR THE NEXT 6 HOURS. BECAUSE IT MAY BRIEFLY PASS BACK OVER
WATER, THIS IS NOT THE FINAL WARNING ON THE SYSTEM. DYNAMIC MODEL
GUIDANCE IS IN TIGHT AGREEMENT UNTIL THE SYSTEM WEAKENS SUFFICIENTLY
FOR THE MODEL TRACKERS TO HAVE DIFFICULTY FOLLOWING THE CIRCULATION.
BASED ON THE SHORT DURATION AND GOOD AGREEMENT IN THE MODELS, THERE
IS HIGH CONFIDENCE IN THE JTWC TRACK FORECAST. NEXT WARNINGS AT
031500Z, 032100Z, 040300Z AND 040900Z.//
NNNN

>

2019-05-03 03:00

WTIO51 PGTW 030300 RRA
WARNING ATCG MIL 01B NIO 190503014733
2019050300 01B FANI 025 01 030 09 SATL RADR 020
T000 190N 0855E 130 R064 060 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW QD 045 NW QD R050
115 NE QD 115 SE QD 095 SW QD 085 NW QD R034 195 NE QD 195 SE QD
165 SW QD 150 NW QD
T012 206N 0865E 105 R064 000 NE QD 010 SE QD 010 SW QD 000 NW QD R050
010 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 000 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 150 SE QD
120 SW QD 040 NW QD
T024 225N 0879E 065 R050 020 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 010 NW QD R034
080 NE QD 130 SE QD 090 SW QD 030 NW QD
T036 246N 0897E 045
T048 259N 0920E 030
AMP
036HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
048HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 025
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 025
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
030000Z --- NEAR 19.0N 85.5E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 030 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND RADAR
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

>

2019-05-03 03:00

WTIO31 PGTW 030300 RRA
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 025//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 025
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
030000Z --- NEAR 19.0N 85.5E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 030 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND RADAR
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 195 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
195 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
165 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 19.0N 85.5E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
031200Z --- 20.6N 86.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

>

2019-05-03 02:41

WTIO51 PGTW 030300
WARNING ATCG MIL 01B NIO 190503014733
2019050300 01B FANI 025 01 030 09 SATL RADR 020
T000 190N 0855E 130 R064 060 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW QD 045 NW QD R050 115 NE QD 115 SE QD 095 SW QD 085 NW QD R034 195 NE QD 195 SE QD 165 SW QD 150 NW QD
T012 206N 0865E 105 R064 000 NE QD 010 SE QD 010 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 010 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 000 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 150 SE QD 120 SW QD 040 NW QD
T024 225N 0879E 065 R050 020 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 130 SE QD 090 SW QD 030 NW QD
T036 246N 0897E 045
T048 259N 0920E 030
AMP
036HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
048HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 025
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 025
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
030000Z --- NEAR 19.0N 85.5E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 030 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND RADAR
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 195 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
195 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
165 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 19.0N 85.5E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
031200Z --- 20.6N 86.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
040000Z --- 22.5N 87.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
041200Z --- 24.6N 89.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
050000Z --- 25.9N 92.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
030300Z POSITION NEAR 19.4N 85.8E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 270 NM
SOUTHWEST OF KOLKATA, INDIA, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT
09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT TC FANI HAS SLIGHTLY WEAKENED FROM ITS PEAK ABOUT EIGHT HOURS AGO, WITH THE WELL-DEFINED EYE BECOMING SLIGHTLY MORE RAGGED AND CLOUD FILLED OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE INITIAL POSITION IS PLACED WITH HIGH CONFIDENCE BASED ON THE PGTW FIX LOCATION, SUPPORTED BY ANALYSIS OF INDIAN RADAR DATA DEPICTING THE WELL DEFINED EYE. A 022231Z GMI 37GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE SUPPORTED THE ASSESSMENT OF AN OVERALL WEAKENING, WITH THE CONVECTIVE SIGNATURE BECOMING LESS DISTINCT AND SYMMETRICAL, LIKELY PRIMARILY DUE TO LAND INTERACTION AS THE OUTER PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL CORE INTERACT WITH LAND. THE INITIAL INTENSITY HAS BEEN LOWERED SLIGHTLY TO 130 KNOTS BASED ON AN OVERALL ASSESSMENT OF MULTI-AGENCY DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF T6.0 (115 KNOTS), HEDGED HIGHER IN LIGHT OF AN ADVANCED DVORAK TECHNIQUE ESTIMATE OF T6.7 (137 KNOTS) AND A SATELLITE CONSENSUS ESTIMATE OF 140 KNOTS. BASED ON A REANALYSIS OF A 021518Z ASCAT PASS, THE WIND RADII HAVE BEEN EXPANDED IN ALL QUADRANTS AND THIS IS ALSO SUPPORTED BY SURFACE OBSERVATIONS SHOWING 35 AND 50 KNOT WINDS ALREADY EXTENDING FAR INLAND. TC FANI LIES IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH LOW (10-15 KNOTS) VWS, HIGH SSTS (30 DEG CELSIUS) AND STRONG, NEARLY RADIAL OUTFLOW PROVIDED BY AN UPPER-LEVEL ANTICYCLONE IN CLOSE PROXIMITY. TC FANI IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TRACKING NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST, UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF A DEEP STR CENTERED OVER THAILAND. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL NEAR PURI, INDIA WITHIN THE NEXT SIX TO EIGHT HOURS. THE SYSTEM MAY MAKE ANOTHER APPEARANCE OVER WATER TO THE EAST OF BALASORE, INDIA BUT OVERALL, AFTER INITIAL LANDFALL, IT IS EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY WEAKEN WHILE TRACKING NORTHEAST NEAR CALCUTTA, THEN ACROSS NORTHERN BANGLADESH, EVENTUALLY DISSIPATING BY TAU 48. NUMERICAL MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN STRONG AGREEMENT THROUGH THE ENTIRE FORECAST, LEADING TO HIGH CONFIDENCE IN THE JTWC FORECAST TRACK. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 030000Z IS 45 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 030900Z, 031500Z, 032100Z AND 040300Z.//
0119042518 21N 905E 25
0119042600 26N 905E 25
0119042606 30N 905E 30
0119042612 34N 905E 30
0119042618 39N 903E 30
0119042700 45N 900E 35
0119042706 54N 898E 45
0119042712 62N 893E 45
0119042718 67N 887E 45
0119042800 71N 882E 50
0119042800 71N 882E 50
0119042806 73N 883E 50
0119042806 73N 883E 50
0119042812 75N 883E 45
0119042818 81N 881E 45
0119042900 88N 878E 45
0119042906 96N 873E 50
0119042906 96N 873E 50
0119042912 103N 871E 55
0119042912 103N 871E 55
0119042918 110N 868E 65
0119042918 110N 868E 65
0119042918 110N 868E 65
0119043000 119N 865E 85
0119043000 119N 865E 85
0119043000 119N 865E 85
0119043006 127N 858E 90
0119043006 127N 858E 90
0119043006 127N 858E 90
0119043012 132N 848E 95
0119043012 132N 848E 95
0119043012 132N 848E 95
0119043018 135N 843E 105
0119043018 135N 843E 105
0119043018 135N 843E 105
0119050100 139N 841E 105
0119050100 139N 841E 105
0119050100 139N 841E 105
0119050106 142N 841E 105
0119050106 142N 841E 105
0119050106 142N 841E 105
0119050112 149N 842E 105
0119050112 149N 842E 105
0119050112 149N 842E 105
0119050118 153N 842E 105
0119050118 153N 842E 105
0119050118 153N 842E 105
0119050200 158N 846E 110
0119050200 158N 846E 110
0119050200 158N 846E 110
0119050206 167N 849E 115
0119050206 167N 849E 115
0119050206 167N 849E 115
0119050212 176N 848E 135
0119050212 176N 848E 135
0119050212 176N 848E 135
0119050218 182N 850E 135
0119050218 182N 850E 135
0119050218 182N 850E 135
0119050300 190N 855E 130
0119050300 190N 855E 130
0119050300 190N 855E 130
NNNN

>

2019-05-03 02:41

WTIO31 PGTW 030300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 025//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 025
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
030000Z --- NEAR 19.0N 85.5E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 030 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND RADAR
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 195 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
195 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
165 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 19.0N 85.5E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
031200Z --- 20.6N 86.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
040000Z --- 22.5N 87.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
041200Z --- 24.6N 89.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
050000Z --- 25.9N 92.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
030300Z POSITION NEAR 19.4N 85.8E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 270 NM
SOUTHWEST OF KOLKATA, INDIA, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT
09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED
SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT TC FANI HAS SLIGHTLY WEAKENED FROM ITS
PEAK ABOUT EIGHT HOURS AGO, WITH THE WELL-DEFINED EYE BECOMING
SLIGHTLY MORE RAGGED AND CLOUD FILLED OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE
INITIAL POSITION IS PLACED WITH HIGH CONFIDENCE BASED ON THE PGTW
FIX LOCATION, SUPPORTED BY ANALYSIS OF INDIAN RADAR DATA DEPICTING
THE WELL DEFINED EYE. A 022231Z GMI 37GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE SUPPORTED
THE ASSESSMENT OF AN OVERALL WEAKENING, WITH THE CONVECTIVE
SIGNATURE BECOMING LESS DISTINCT AND SYMMETRICAL, LIKELY PRIMARILY
DUE TO LAND INTERACTION AS THE OUTER PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL CORE
INTERACT WITH LAND. THE INITIAL INTENSITY HAS BEEN LOWERED SLIGHTLY
TO 130 KNOTS BASED ON AN OVERALL ASSESSMENT OF MULTI-AGENCY DVORAK
INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF T6.0 (115 KNOTS), HEDGED HIGHER IN LIGHT OF
AN ADVANCED DVORAK TECHNIQUE ESTIMATE OF T6.7 (137 KNOTS) AND A
SATELLITE CONSENSUS ESTIMATE OF 140 KNOTS. BASED ON A REANALYSIS OF
A 021518Z ASCAT PASS, THE WIND RADII HAVE BEEN EXPANDED IN ALL
QUADRANTS AND THIS IS ALSO SUPPORTED BY SURFACE OBSERVATIONS SHOWING
35 AND 50 KNOT WINDS ALREADY EXTENDING FAR INLAND. TC FANI LIES IN A
FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH LOW (10-15 KNOTS) VWS, HIGH SSTS (30 DEG
CELSIUS) AND STRONG, NEARLY RADIAL OUTFLOW PROVIDED BY AN UPPER-
LEVEL ANTICYCLONE IN CLOSE PROXIMITY. TC FANI IS FORECAST TO
CONTINUE TRACKING NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE
FORECAST, UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF A DEEP STR CENTERED OVER
THAILAND. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL NEAR PURI, INDIA
WITHIN THE NEXT FEW HOURS. THE SYSTEM MAY MAKE ANOTHER APPEARANCE
OVER WATER TO THE EAST OF BALASORE, INDIA BUT OVERALL, AFTER INITIAL
LANDFALL, IT IS EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY WEAKEN WHILE TRACKING NORTHEAST
NEAR CALCUTTA, THEN ACROSS NORTHERN BANGLADESH, EVENTUALLY
DISSIPATING BY TAU 48. NUMERICAL MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN STRONG
AGREEMENT THROUGH THE ENTIRE FORECAST, LEADING TO HIGH CONFIDENCE IN
THE JTWC FORECAST TRACK. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 030000Z
IS 45 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 030900Z, 031500Z, 032100Z AND 040300Z.//
NNNN

>

2019-05-02 20:27

WTIO51 PGTW 022100 RRA
WARNING ATCG MIL 01B NIO 190502190542
2019050218 01B FANI 024 01 015 07 SATL 015
T000 183N 0850E 135 R064 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 035 SW QD 030 NW QD R050
060 NE QD 065 SE QD 065 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 110 SE QD
080 SW QD 065 NW QD
T012 199N 0856E 110 R064 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 010 NW QD R050
040 NE QD 060 SE QD 040 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 110 NE QD 150 SE QD
110 SW QD 050 NW QD
T024 218N 0868E 065 R050 020 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 010 NW QD R034
090 NE QD 140 SE QD 090 SW QD 040 NW QD
T036 237N 0886E 045 R034 080 NE QD 100 SE QD 050 SW QD 030 NW QD
T048 256N 0910E 030
AMP
036HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
048HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 024
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 024
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
021800Z --- NEAR 18.3N 85.0E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 015 DEGREES AT 07 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 015 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

>

2019-05-02 20:26

WTIO31 PGTW 022100 RRA
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 024//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 024
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
021800Z --- NEAR 18.3N 85.0E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 015 DEGREES AT 07 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 015 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 18.3N 85.0E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
030600Z --- 19.9N 85.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

>

2019-05-02 20:23

WTIO51 PGTW 022100
WARNING ATCG MIL 01B NIO 190502190542
2019050218 01B FANI 024 01 015 07 SATL 015
T000 183N 0850E 135 R064 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 035 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 065 SE QD 065 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 110 SE QD 080 SW QD 065 NW QD
T012 199N 0856E 110 R064 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 060 SE QD 040 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 110 NE QD 150 SE QD 110 SW QD 050 NW QD
T024 218N 0868E 065 R050 020 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 090 NE QD 140 SE QD 090 SW QD 040 NW QD
T036 237N 0886E 045 R034 080 NE QD 100 SE QD 050 SW QD 030 NW QD
T048 256N 0910E 030
AMP
036HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
048HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 024
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 024
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
021800Z --- NEAR 18.3N 85.0E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 015 DEGREES AT 07 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 015 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 18.3N 85.0E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
030600Z --- 19.9N 85.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
031800Z --- 21.8N 86.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
040600Z --- 23.7N 88.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
041800Z --- 25.6N 91.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
022100Z POSITION NEAR 18.7N 85.1E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 01B (FANI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 95 NM
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF PURI, INDIA, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT
07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 021800Z IS 48 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 030300Z, 030900Z, 031500Z AND 032100Z.
//
0119042518 21N 905E 25
0119042600 26N 905E 25
0119042606 30N 905E 30
0119042612 34N 905E 30
0119042618 39N 903E 30
0119042700 45N 900E 35
0119042706 54N 898E 45
0119042712 62N 893E 45
0119042718 67N 887E 45
0119042800 71N 882E 50
0119042800 71N 882E 50
0119042806 73N 883E 50
0119042806 73N 883E 50
0119042812 75N 883E 45
0119042818 81N 881E 45
0119042900 88N 878E 45
0119042906 96N 873E 50
0119042906 96N 873E 50
0119042912 103N 871E 55
0119042912 103N 871E 55
0119042918 110N 868E 65
0119042918 110N 868E 65
0119042918 110N 868E 65
0119043000 119N 865E 85
0119043000 119N 865E 85
0119043000 119N 865E 85
0119043006 127N 858E 90
0119043006 127N 858E 90
0119043006 127N 858E 90
0119043012 132N 848E 95
0119043012 132N 848E 95
0119043012 132N 848E 95
0119043018 135N 843E 105
0119043018 135N 843E 105
0119043018 135N 843E 105
0119050100 139N 841E 105
0119050100 139N 841E 105
0119050100 139N 841E 105
0119050106 142N 841E 105
0119050106 142N 841E 105
0119050106 142N 841E 105
0119050112 149N 842E 105
0119050112 149N 842E 105
0119050112 149N 842E 105
0119050118 153N 842E 105
0119050118 153N 842E 105
0119050118 153N 842E 105
0119050200 158N 846E 110
0119050200 158N 846E 110
0119050200 158N 846E 110
0119050206 167N 849E 115
0119050206 167N 849E 115
0119050206 167N 849E 115
0119050212 176N 848E 135
0119050212 176N 848E 135
0119050212 176N 848E 135
0119050218 183N 850E 135
0119050218 183N 850E 135
0119050218 183N 850E 135
NNNN

>

2019-05-02 20:23

WTIO31 PGTW 022100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 024//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 024
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
021800Z --- NEAR 18.3N 85.0E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 015 DEGREES AT 07 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 015 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 18.3N 85.0E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
030600Z --- 19.9N 85.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
031800Z --- 21.8N 86.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
040600Z --- 23.7N 88.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
041800Z --- 25.6N 91.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
022100Z POSITION NEAR 18.7N 85.1E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 01B (FANI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 95 NM
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF PURI, INDIA, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 07
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE
IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS MAINTAINED A SUPER-DEEP, COMPACT,
SYMMETRIC CONVECTIVE SIGNATURE AND A SHARPLY-OUTLINED 15-NM EYE. THE
INITIAL POSITION IS BASED ON THE EYE, SLIGHTLY ADJUSTED FOR TILT AND
LINED UP WITH A TIGHT NEAR-OCEAN CIRCULATION FEATURE IN THE 021544Z
25-KM RESOLUTION ASCAT BULLS EYE PASS WITH HIGH CONFIDENCE. THE
INITIAL INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK ESTIMATES OF T6.7 TO T7.0 FROM
SATCON AND PGTW. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS INDICATES TC 01B IS IN AN AREA
OF MODERATE (15-20 KNOT) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS) OFFSET BY EXCELLENT
POLEWARD AND EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW. ADDITIONALLY, ALONG-TRACK SEA
SURFACE TEMPERATURES IN THE BAY OF BENGAL ARE VERY CONDUCIVE AT 30-31
CELSIUS. TC FANI IS EXPECTED TO TRACK MORE NORTHEASTWARD ON THE
POLEWARD SIDE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE ANCHORED TO THE EAST, MAKING
LANDFALL NEAR PURI AROUND TAU 10. AFTERWARD, IT WILL ACCELERATE
NORTHEASTWARD PASSING WEST OF KOLKATA AND INTO BANGLADESH. DESPITE
THE HIGHLY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT, TC FANI WILL NOW BEGIN TO WEAKEN AS
IT BEGINS TO INTERACT WITH THE INDIAN COAST. AFTER LANDFALL, EVEN
MORE RAPID DETERIORATION IS EXPECTED DUE TO INTERACTION WITH THE
RUGGED TERRAIN AND INCREASING VWS, LEADING TO DISSIPATION BY TAU 48
AFTER IT TRACKS OVER BANGLADESH. THE NUMERICAL MODELS REMAIN
IN TIGHT AGREEMENT, LEADING TO HIGH CONFIDENCE IN THE JTWC TRACK
FORECAST. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 021800Z IS 48 FEET.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 030300Z, 030900Z, 031500Z AND 032100Z.//
NNNN

>

2019-05-02 14:20

WTIO51 PGTW 021500 RRA
WARNING ATCG MIL 01B NIO 190502130105
2019050212 01B FANI 023 01 355 09 SATL 010
T000 176N 0848E 135 R064 050 NE QD 055 SE QD 045 SW QD 040 NW QD R050
080 NE QD 085 SE QD 075 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 155 NE QD 160 SE QD
130 SW QD 125 NW QD
T012 192N 0853E 130 R064 020 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 020 NW QD R050
030 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 160 SE QD
120 SW QD 080 NW QD
T024 210N 0861E 095 R064 000 NE QD 010 SE QD 010 SW QD 000 NW QD R050
000 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 000 NW QD R034 110 NE QD 150 SE QD
110 SW QD 040 NW QD
T036 228N 0875E 065 R064 000 NE QD 010 SE QD 005 SW QD 000 NW QD R050
005 NE QD 015 SE QD 015 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 060 NE QD 140 SE QD
080 SW QD 030 NW QD
T048 247N 0892E 040
T072 265N 0930E 025
AMP
024HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
036HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
048HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
072HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 023
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 023
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
021200Z --- NEAR 17.6N 84.8E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 355 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 010 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

>

2019-05-02 14:20

WTIO31 PGTW 021500 RRA
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 023//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 023
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
021200Z --- NEAR 17.6N 84.8E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 355 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 010 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 17.6N 84.8E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
030000Z --- 19.2N 85.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

>

2019-05-02 13:59

WTIO51 PGTW 021500
WARNING ATCG MIL 01B NIO 190502130105
2019050212 01B FANI 023 01 355 09 SATL 010
T000 176N 0848E 135 R064 050 NE QD 055 SE QD 045 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 080 NE QD 085 SE QD 075 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 155 NE QD 160 SE QD 130 SW QD 125 NW QD
T012 192N 0853E 130 R064 020 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 030 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 160 SE QD 120 SW QD 080 NW QD
T024 210N 0861E 095 R064 000 NE QD 010 SE QD 010 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 000 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 000 NW QD R034 110 NE QD 150 SE QD 110 SW QD 040 NW QD
T036 228N 0875E 065 R064 000 NE QD 010 SE QD 005 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 005 NE QD 015 SE QD 015 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 060 NE QD 140 SE QD 080 SW QD 030 NW QD
T048 247N 0892E 040
T072 265N 0930E 025
AMP
024HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
036HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
048HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
072HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 023
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 023
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
021200Z --- NEAR 17.6N 84.8E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 355 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 010 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 17.6N 84.8E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
030000Z --- 19.2N 85.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
031200Z --- 21.0N 86.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
040000Z --- 22.8N 87.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
005 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 005 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
041200Z --- 24.7N 89.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
051200Z --- 26.5N 93.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
021500Z POSITION NEAR 18.0N 84.9E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 01B (FANI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 99 NM EAST OF VISAKHAPATNAM, INDIA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 09 KNOTS (KTS) OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 021200Z IS 48 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 022100Z, 030300Z, 030900Z AND 031500Z.//
0119042518 21N 905E 25
0119042600 26N 905E 25
0119042606 30N 905E 30
0119042612 34N 905E 30
0119042618 39N 903E 30
0119042700 45N 900E 35
0119042706 54N 898E 45
0119042712 62N 893E 45
0119042718 67N 887E 45
0119042800 71N 882E 50
0119042800 71N 882E 50
0119042806 73N 883E 50
0119042806 73N 883E 50
0119042812 75N 883E 45
0119042818 81N 881E 45
0119042900 88N 878E 45
0119042906 96N 873E 50
0119042906 96N 873E 50
0119042912 103N 871E 55
0119042912 103N 871E 55
0119042918 110N 868E 65
0119042918 110N 868E 65
0119042918 110N 868E 65
0119043000 119N 865E 85
0119043000 119N 865E 85
0119043000 119N 865E 85
0119043006 127N 858E 90
0119043006 127N 858E 90
0119043006 127N 858E 90
0119043012 132N 848E 95
0119043012 132N 848E 95
0119043012 132N 848E 95
0119043018 135N 843E 105
0119043018 135N 843E 105
0119043018 135N 843E 105
0119050100 139N 841E 105
0119050100 139N 841E 105
0119050100 139N 841E 105
0119050106 142N 841E 105
0119050106 142N 841E 105
0119050106 142N 841E 105
0119050112 149N 842E 105
0119050112 149N 842E 105
0119050112 149N 842E 105
0119050118 153N 842E 105
0119050118 153N 842E 105
0119050118 153N 842E 105
0119050200 158N 846E 110
0119050200 158N 846E 110
0119050200 158N 846E 110
0119050206 167N 849E 115
0119050206 167N 849E 115
0119050206 167N 849E 115
0119050212 176N 848E 135
0119050212 176N 848E 135
0119050212 176N 848E 135
NNNN

>

2019-05-02 13:48

WTIO31 PGTW 021500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 023//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 023
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
021200Z --- NEAR 17.6N 84.8E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 355 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 010 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 17.6N 84.8E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
030000Z --- 19.2N 85.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
031200Z --- 21.0N 86.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
040000Z --- 22.8N 87.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
005 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 005 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
041200Z --- 24.7N 89.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
051200Z --- 26.5N 93.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
021500Z POSITION NEAR 18.0N 84.9E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 01B (FANI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 87 NM EAST
OF VISAKHAPATNAM, INDIA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 09 KNOTS (KTS)
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE
IMAGERY REVEALS THE SYSTEM HAS INTENSIFIED CONSIDERABLY IN THE LAST
SIX HOURS. THERE IS NOW A 16 NM WIDE ROUND, SYMMETRICAL EYE
SURROUNDED BY DEEP CONVECTION, WITH ROBUST RADIAL OUTFLOW. BASED ON
THE EYE, THERE IS HIGH CONFIDENCE IN THE INITIAL POSITION.
ADDITIONALLY, THIS POSITION IS SUPPORTED BY AN EYE FEATURE IN A
021137Z SSMIS 91 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE. THE INITIAL INTENSITY OF 135
KTS IS BETWEEN DVORAK VALUES OF T6.5-7.0 (127-140 KTS) FROM KNES AND
PGTW, REFLECTING THE SIGNIFICANT IMPROVEMENT IN THE ORGANIZATION OF
THE SYSTEM. INTENSIFICATION IS SUPPORTED BY A FAVORABLE
ENVIRONMENTAL WITH LOW (10-15 KT) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, ROBUST
POLEWARD OUTFLOW, AND WARM (30-31 CELSIUS) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE.
TC 01B IS TRACKING AROUND THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF A SUBTROPICAL
RIDGE (STR) AXIS. AS IT CONTINUES TO ROUND THE STR AXIS, THE SYSTEM
WILL TURN NORTHEASTWARD. SHORTLY AFTER TAU 12, THE SYSTEM WILL MAKE
LANDFALL AND BEGIN WEAKENING RAPIDLY UNTIL DISSIPATING BETWEEN TAU
48 AND TAU 72. DYNAMIC MODEL GUIDANCE IS TIGHTLY CLUSTERED ABOUT THE
JTWC TRACK FORECAST, WHICH IS PLACED NEAR THE CONSENSUS TRACK. BASED
ON THE TIGHT CLUSTER IN THE GUIDANCE, THERE IS HIGH CONFIDENCE IN
THE JTWC TRACK FORECAST. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 021200Z
IS 48 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 022100Z, 030300Z, 030900Z AND 031500Z.//
NNNN

>

2019-05-02 08:39

WTIO51 PGTW 020900 RRA
WARNING ATCG MIL 01B NIO 190502072222
2019050206 01B FANI 022 01 020 09 SATL 010
T000 167N 0849E 115 R064 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R050
060 NE QD 065 SE QD 060 SW QD 045 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 145 SE QD
115 SW QD 105 NW QD
T012 182N 0852E 115 R064 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R050
050 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 135 NE QD 155 SE QD
120 SW QD 080 NW QD
T024 199N 0858E 105 R064 010 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 000 NW QD R050
040 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 160 SE QD
130 SW QD 050 NW QD
T036 217N 0869E 080 R064 000 NE QD 010 SE QD 005 SW QD 000 NW QD R050
005 NE QD 015 SE QD 015 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 150 SE QD
090 SW QD 030 NW QD
T048 240N 0886E 040
T072 267N 0928E 025
AMP
036HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
048HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
072HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 022
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 022
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
020600Z --- NEAR 16.7N 84.9E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 020 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 010 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

>

2019-05-02 08:39

WTIO31 PGTW 020900 RRA
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 022//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 022
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
020600Z --- NEAR 16.7N 84.9E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 020 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 010 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
145 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 16.7N 84.9E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
021800Z --- 18.2N 85.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

>

2019-05-02 08:33

WTIO51 PGTW 020900
WARNING ATCG MIL 01B NIO 190502072222
2019050206 01B FANI 022 01 020 09 SATL 010
T000 167N 0849E 115 R064 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 065 SE QD 060 SW QD 045 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 145 SE QD 115 SW QD 105 NW QD
T012 182N 0852E 115 R064 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 135 NE QD 155 SE QD 120 SW QD 080 NW QD
T024 199N 0858E 105 R064 010 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 160 SE QD 130 SW QD 050 NW QD
T036 217N 0869E 080 R064 000 NE QD 010 SE QD 005 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 005 NE QD 015 SE QD 015 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 150 SE QD 090 SW QD 030 NW QD
T048 240N 0886E 040
T072 267N 0928E 025
AMP
036HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
048HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
072HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 022
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 022
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
020600Z --- NEAR 16.7N 84.9E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 020 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 010 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
145 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 16.7N 84.9E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
021800Z --- 18.2N 85.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
155 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
030600Z --- 19.9N 85.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
031800Z --- 21.7N 86.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
005 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 005 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
040600Z --- 24.0N 88.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
050600Z --- 26.7N 92.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
020900Z POSITION NEAR 17.1N 85.0E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 01B (FANI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 108 NM SOUTHEAST OF VISAKHAPATNAM, INDIA, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 09 KNOTS (KTS) OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 020600Z IS 38 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 021500Z, 022100Z, 030300Z AND 030900Z.//
0119042518 21N 905E 25
0119042600 26N 905E 25
0119042606 30N 905E 30
0119042612 34N 905E 30
0119042618 39N 903E 30
0119042700 45N 900E 35
0119042706 54N 898E 45
0119042712 62N 893E 45
0119042718 67N 887E 45
0119042800 71N 882E 50
0119042800 71N 882E 50
0119042806 73N 883E 50
0119042806 73N 883E 50
0119042812 75N 883E 45
0119042818 81N 881E 45
0119042900 88N 878E 45
0119042906 96N 873E 50
0119042906 96N 873E 50
0119042912 103N 871E 55
0119042912 103N 871E 55
0119042918 110N 868E 65
0119042918 110N 868E 65
0119042918 110N 868E 65
0119043000 119N 865E 85
0119043000 119N 865E 85
0119043000 119N 865E 85
0119043006 127N 858E 90
0119043006 127N 858E 90
0119043006 127N 858E 90
0119043012 132N 848E 95
0119043012 132N 848E 95
0119043012 132N 848E 95
0119043018 135N 843E 105
0119043018 135N 843E 105
0119043018 135N 843E 105
0119050100 139N 841E 105
0119050100 139N 841E 105
0119050100 139N 841E 105
0119050106 142N 841E 105
0119050106 142N 841E 105
0119050106 142N 841E 105
0119050112 149N 842E 105
0119050112 149N 842E 105
0119050112 149N 842E 105
0119050118 153N 842E 105
0119050118 153N 842E 105
0119050118 153N 842E 105
0119050200 158N 846E 110
0119050200 158N 846E 110
0119050200 158N 846E 110
0119050206 167N 849E 115
0119050206 167N 849E 115
0119050206 167N 849E 115
NNNN

>

2019-05-02 08:33

WTIO31 PGTW 020900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 022//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 022
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
020600Z --- NEAR 16.7N 84.9E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 020 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 010 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
145 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 16.7N 84.9E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
021800Z --- 18.2N 85.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
155 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
030600Z --- 19.9N 85.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
031800Z --- 21.7N 86.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
005 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 005 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
040600Z --- 24.0N 88.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
050600Z --- 26.7N 92.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
020900Z POSITION NEAR 17.1N 85.0E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 01B (FANI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 108 NM
SOUTHEAST OF VISAKHAPATNAM, INDIA, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD
AT 09 KNOTS (KTS) OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THERE IS HIGH CONFIDENCE
IN THE INITIAL POSITION BASED OFF A 13 NM WIDE EYE IN ANIMATED
MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI). THE MSI ALSO SUGGESTS THE
SYSTEM HAS INTENSIFIED IN THE PAST SIX HOURS, BECOMING INCREASINGLY
SYMMETRICAL AND HAVING IMPROVED OUTFLOW. THE INITIAL INTENSITY OF
115 KTS REFLECTS THE IMPROVED CONVECTIVE SIGNATURE AND ALIGNS WITH
THE PGTW DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF T6.0 (115 KTS). THE
ENVIRONMENT, WITH LOW (10-15 KT) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, EXCELLENT
OUTFLOW, AND WARM (30-31 CELSIUS) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE, IS
SUPPORTIVE. TC 01B IS TRACKING ALONG THE NORTHWESTERN PERIPHERY OF A
SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. THIS TRACK WILL CONTINUE FOR THE DURATION OF THE
FORECAST. PRIOR TO TAU 24, THE SYSTEM WILL MAKE LANDFALL. BETWEEN
TAU 48 AND 72, DISSIPATION WILL OCCUR AS IT MOVES FARTHER INLAND.
THE INTENSITY IS EXPECTED TO MAINTAIN ITSELF UNTIL LANDFALL THEN
WEAKEN RAPIDLY DUE TO LAND INTERACTION. DYNAMIC MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN
EXCELLENT AGREEMENT, LENDING TO HIGH CONFIDENCE IN THE JTWC TRACK
FORECAST. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 020600Z IS 38 FEET.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 021500Z, 022100Z, 030300Z AND 030900Z.//
NNNN

>

2019-05-02 02:44

WTIO51 PGTW 020300 RRA
WARNING ATCG MIL 01B NIO 190502012613
2019050200 01B FANI 021 01 020 05 SATL 010
T000 159N 0845E 110 R064 050 NE QD 050 SE QD 035 SW QD 030 NW QD R050
095 NE QD 095 SE QD 070 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 170 NE QD 170 SE QD
130 SW QD 115 NW QD
T012 172N 0849E 110 R064 020 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 030 NW QD R050
040 NE QD 060 SE QD 060 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 150 NE QD 160 SE QD
140 SW QD 070 NW QD
T024 188N 0854E 100 R064 010 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 010 NW QD R050
030 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 150 NE QD 150 SE QD
130 SW QD 050 NW QD
T036 205N 0864E 075 R064 010 NE QD 015 SE QD 005 SW QD 000 NW QD R050
020 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 000 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 150 SE QD
100 SW QD 030 NW QD
T048 223N 0874E 050 R050 000 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 000 NW QD R034
070 NE QD 120 SE QD 070 SW QD 020 NW QD
T072 256N 0910E 030
AMP
048HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
072HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 021
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 021
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
020000Z --- NEAR 15.9N 84.5E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 020 DEGREES AT 05 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 010 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

>

2019-05-02 02:44

WTIO31 PGTW 020300 RRA
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 021//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 021
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
020000Z --- NEAR 15.9N 84.5E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 020 DEGREES AT 05 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 010 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 15.9N 84.5E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
021200Z --- 17.2N 84.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

>

2019-05-02 02:36

WTIO51 PGTW 020300
WARNING ATCG MIL 01B NIO 190502012613
2019050200 01B FANI 021 01 020 05 SATL 010
T000 159N 0845E 110 R064 050 NE QD 050 SE QD 035 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 095 NE QD 095 SE QD 070 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 170 NE QD 170 SE QD 130 SW QD 115 NW QD
T012 172N 0849E 110 R064 020 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 060 SE QD 060 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 150 NE QD 160 SE QD 140 SW QD 070 NW QD
T024 188N 0854E 100 R064 010 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 150 NE QD 150 SE QD 130 SW QD 050 NW QD
T036 205N 0864E 075 R064 010 NE QD 015 SE QD 005 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 000 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 150 SE QD 100 SW QD 030 NW QD
T048 223N 0874E 050 R050 000 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 000 NW QD R034 070 NE QD 120 SE QD 070 SW QD 020 NW QD
T072 256N 0910E 030
AMP
048HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
072HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 021
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 021
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
020000Z --- NEAR 15.9N 84.5E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 020 DEGREES AT 05 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 010 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 15.9N 84.5E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
021200Z --- 17.2N 84.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
030000Z --- 18.8N 85.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
031200Z --- 20.5N 86.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
005 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
040000Z --- 22.3N 87.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
050000Z --- 25.6N 91.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
020300Z POSITION NEAR 16.2N 84.6E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 01B (FANI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 279 NM SOUTH-
SOUTHWEST OF BHUBANESWAR, INDIA, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT
05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 020000Z IS 34 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 020900Z, 021500Z, 022100Z AND 030300Z.
//
0119042518 21N 905E 25
0119042600 26N 905E 25
0119042606 30N 905E 30
0119042612 34N 905E 30
0119042618 39N 903E 30
0119042700 45N 900E 35
0119042706 54N 898E 45
0119042712 62N 893E 45
0119042718 67N 887E 45
0119042800 71N 882E 50
0119042800 71N 882E 50
0119042806 73N 883E 50
0119042806 73N 883E 50
0119042812 75N 883E 45
0119042818 81N 881E 45
0119042900 88N 878E 45
0119042906 96N 873E 50
0119042906 96N 873E 50
0119042912 103N 871E 55
0119042912 103N 871E 55
0119042918 110N 868E 65
0119042918 110N 868E 65
0119042918 110N 868E 65
0119043000 119N 865E 85
0119043000 119N 865E 85
0119043000 119N 865E 85
0119043006 127N 858E 90
0119043006 127N 858E 90
0119043006 127N 858E 90
0119043012 132N 848E 95
0119043012 132N 848E 95
0119043012 132N 848E 95
0119043018 135N 843E 105
0119043018 135N 843E 105
0119043018 135N 843E 105
0119050100 139N 841E 105
0119050100 139N 841E 105
0119050100 139N 841E 105
0119050106 142N 841E 105
0119050106 142N 841E 105
0119050106 142N 841E 105
0119050112 149N 842E 105
0119050112 149N 842E 105
0119050112 149N 842E 105
0119050118 154N 843E 105
0119050118 154N 843E 105
0119050118 154N 843E 105
0119050200 159N 845E 110
0119050200 159N 845E 110
0119050200 159N 845E 110
NNNN

>

2019-05-02 02:36

WTIO31 PGTW 020300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 021//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 021
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
020000Z --- NEAR 15.9N 84.5E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 020 DEGREES AT 05 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 010 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 15.9N 84.5E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
021200Z --- 17.2N 84.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
030000Z --- 18.8N 85.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
031200Z --- 20.5N 86.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
005 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
040000Z --- 22.3N 87.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
050000Z --- 25.6N 91.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
020300Z POSITION NEAR 16.2N 84.6E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 01B (FANI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 279 NM SOUTH-
SOUTHWEST OF BHUBANESWAR, INDIA, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT
05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED
SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS SLIGHTLY IMPROVED WITH
DEEPENED CENTRAL CONVECTION AND A MORE SYMMETRIC 12-NM PINHOLE EYE.
THE INITIAL POSITION IS BASED ON THE PINHOLE EYE, SLIGHTLY ADJUSTED
FOR WESTWARD TILT, WITH HIGH CONFIDENCE. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS
HELD SLIGHTLY HIGHER THAN DVORAK ESTIMATES OF T5.5/105KTS FROM PGTW,
KNES, AND SATCON TO REFLECT THE SLIGHT INTENSIFICATION. ENVIRONMENTAL
ANALYSIS INDICATES TC 01B IS IN AN AREA OF MODERATE (15-20 KNOT)
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS); HOWEVER, A ROBUST WESTWARD AND POLEWARD
OUTFLOW AND VERY WARM (32C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE ARE TEMPORARILY
OFFSETTING THE VWS. TC FANI IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ON A
NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD TRACK, MAKING LANDFALL NEAR BHUBANESWAR AROUND
TAU 30. AFTERWARD, IT WILL ACCELERATE NORTHEASTWARD, PASSING WEST OF
KOLKATA AND INTO BANGLADESH. THE OVERALL FAVORABLE, ALBEIT MOMENTARY,
ENVIRONMENT CONDITIONS WILL MAINTAIN THE CURRENT INTENSITY UP TO TAU
12. AFTERWARD, INCREASING VWS, THEN LAND INTERACTION WILL RAPIDLY
ERODE THE CYCLONE, LEADING TO DISSIPATION BY TAU 72. THE NUMERICAL
MODELS ARE IN TIGHT AGREEMENT, LEADING TO HIGH CONFIDENCE IN THE JTWC
TRACK FORECAST. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 020000Z IS 34
FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 020900Z, 021500Z, 022100Z AND 030300Z.//
NNNN

>

2019-05-01 20:14

WTIO51 PGTW 012100 RRA
WARNING ATCG MIL 01B NIO 190501192157
2019050118 01B FANI 020 01 010 05 SATL 010
T000 154N 0843E 105 R064 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 035 SW QD 035 NW QD R050
075 NE QD 075 SE QD 065 SW QD 065 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 135 SE QD
120 SW QD 125 NW QD
T012 166N 0846E 110 R064 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 030 NW QD R050
050 NE QD 060 SE QD 060 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 170 SE QD
120 SW QD 080 NW QD
T024 180N 0850E 105 R064 020 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 020 NW QD R050
050 NE QD 050 SE QD 050 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 150 NE QD 160 SE QD
120 SW QD 060 NW QD
T036 197N 0858E 095 R064 010 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 000 NW QD R050
030 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 170 SE QD
120 SW QD 040 NW QD
T048 216N 0870E 065 R064 000 NE QD 015 SE QD 005 SW QD 000 NW QD R050
000 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 000 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 160 SE QD
110 SW QD 030 NW QD
T072 253N 0903E 030
AMP
048HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
072HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 020
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 020
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
011800Z --- NEAR 15.4N 84.3E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 010 DEGREES AT 05 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 010 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

>

2019-05-01 20:14

WTIO31 PGTW 012100 RRA
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 020//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 020
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
011800Z --- NEAR 15.4N 84.3E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 010 DEGREES AT 05 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 010 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 15.4N 84.3E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
020600Z --- 16.6N 84.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

>

2019-05-01 20:05

WTIO51 PGTW 012100
WARNING ATCG MIL 01B NIO 190501192157
2019050118 01B FANI 020 01 010 05 SATL 010
T000 154N 0843E 105 R064 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 035 SW QD 035 NW QD R050 075 NE QD 075 SE QD 065 SW QD 065 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 135 SE QD 120 SW QD 125 NW QD
T012 166N 0846E 110 R064 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 060 SE QD 060 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 170 SE QD 120 SW QD 080 NW QD
T024 180N 0850E 105 R064 020 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 050 SE QD 050 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 150 NE QD 160 SE QD 120 SW QD 060 NW QD
T036 197N 0858E 095 R064 010 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 170 SE QD 120 SW QD 040 NW QD
T048 216N 0870E 065 R064 000 NE QD 015 SE QD 005 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 000 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 000 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 160 SE QD 110 SW QD 030 NW QD
T072 253N 0903E 030
AMP
048HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
072HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 020
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 020
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
011800Z --- NEAR 15.4N 84.3E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 010 DEGREES AT 05 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 010 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 15.4N 84.3E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
020600Z --- 16.6N 84.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
021800Z --- 18.0N 85.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
030600Z --- 19.7N 85.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
031800Z --- 21.6N 87.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
005 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
041800Z --- 25.3N 90.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
012100Z POSITION NEAR 15.7N 84.4E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 01B (FANI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 306 NM SOUTH-
SOUTHWEST OF BHUBANESWAR, INDIA, HAS TRACKED AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE
PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 011800Z IS 34 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 020300Z, 020900Z, 021500Z AND 022100Z.
//
0119042518 21N 905E 25
0119042600 26N 905E 25
0119042606 30N 905E 30
0119042612 34N 905E 30
0119042618 39N 903E 30
0119042700 45N 900E 35
0119042706 54N 898E 45
0119042712 62N 893E 45
0119042718 67N 887E 45
0119042800 71N 882E 50
0119042800 71N 882E 50
0119042806 73N 883E 50
0119042806 73N 883E 50
0119042812 75N 883E 45
0119042818 81N 881E 45
0119042900 88N 878E 45
0119042906 96N 873E 50
0119042906 96N 873E 50
0119042912 103N 871E 55
0119042912 103N 871E 55
0119042918 110N 868E 65
0119042918 110N 868E 65
0119042918 110N 868E 65
0119043000 119N 865E 85
0119043000 119N 865E 85
0119043000 119N 865E 85
0119043006 127N 858E 90
0119043006 127N 858E 90
0119043006 127N 858E 90
0119043012 132N 848E 95
0119043012 132N 848E 95
0119043012 132N 848E 95
0119043018 135N 843E 105
0119043018 135N 843E 105
0119043018 135N 843E 105
0119050100 139N 841E 105
0119050100 139N 841E 105
0119050100 139N 841E 105
0119050106 142N 841E 105
0119050106 142N 841E 105
0119050106 142N 841E 105
0119050112 149N 842E 105
0119050112 149N 842E 105
0119050112 149N 842E 105
0119050118 154N 843E 105
0119050118 154N 843E 105
0119050118 154N 843E 105
NNNN

>

2019-05-01 20:05

WTIO31 PGTW 012100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 020//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 020
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
011800Z --- NEAR 15.4N 84.3E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 010 DEGREES AT 05 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 010 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 15.4N 84.3E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
020600Z --- 16.6N 84.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
021800Z --- 18.0N 85.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
030600Z --- 19.7N 85.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
031800Z --- 21.6N 87.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
005 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
041800Z --- 25.3N 90.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
012100Z POSITION NEAR 15.7N 84.4E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 01B (FANI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 306 NM SOUTH-
SOUTHWEST OF BHUBANESWAR, INDIA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 05 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY
SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS MAINTAINED AN OVERALL DEEP, COMPACT, AND
SYMMETRIC CONVECTIVE SIGNATURE AND A RAGGED 10-NM PINHOLE EYE. THE
INITIAL POSITION IS BASED ON THE PINHOLE EYE, SLIGHTLY ADJUSTED FOR
WESTWARD TILT, WITH HIGH CONFIDENCE. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS BASED
ON DVORAK ESTIMATES OF T5.5/105KTS FROM PGTW, KNES, AND SATCON.
ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS INDICATES TC 01B HAS DRIFTED IN AN AREA OF
INCREASING (15-20 KNOTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS); HOWEVER, A ROBUST
WESTWARD AND POLEWARD OUTFLOW AND VERY WARM (32C) SEA SURFACE
TEMPERATURE ARE OFFSETTING THE VWS. TC FANI IS EXPECTED TO TRACK MORE
NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD, MAKING LANDFALL NEAR BHUBANESWAR AROUND TAU 36.
AFTERWARD, IT WILL ACCELERATE NORTHEASTWARD PASSING WEST OF KOLKATA
AND INTO BANGLADESH. THE OVERALL FAVORABLE, ALBEIT MOMENTARY,
ENVIRONMENT CONDITIONS WILL PROMOTE SLIGHT INTENSIFICATION TO A PEAK
OF 110 KNOTS BY TAU 12. AFTERWARD, INCREASING VWS, THEN LAND
INTERACTION WILL RAPIDLY ERODE THE CYCLONE, LEADING TO DISSIPATION BY
TAU 72. THE NUMERICAL MODELS ARE IN TIGHT AGREEMENT, LEADING TO HIGH
CONFIDENCE IN THE JTWC TRACK FORECAST. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE
HEIGHT AT 011800Z IS 34 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 020300Z, 020900Z,
021500Z AND 022100Z.//
NNNN

>

2019-05-01 13:46

WTIO51 PGTW 011500 RRA
WARNING ATCG MIL 01B NIO 190501125723
2019050112 01B FANI 019 01 010 07 SATL 010
T000 149N 0842E 105 R064 025 NE QD 035 SE QD 035 SW QD 025 NW QD R050
045 NE QD 065 SE QD 065 SW QD 045 NW QD R034 095 NE QD 115 SE QD
110 SW QD 100 NW QD
T012 159N 0845E 110 R064 010 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 010 NW QD R050
050 NE QD 060 SE QD 060 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 170 SE QD
120 SW QD 100 NW QD
T024 172N 0849E 105 R064 010 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 010 NW QD R050
040 NE QD 050 SE QD 050 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 180 SE QD
120 SW QD 090 NW QD
T036 188N 0856E 100 R064 010 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 010 NW QD R050
040 NE QD 050 SE QD 050 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 170 SE QD
130 SW QD 060 NW QD
T048 206N 0866E 090 R064 000 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 000 NW QD R050
020 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 160 SE QD
130 SW QD 040 NW QD
T072 241N 0892E 055
T096 274N 0938E 025
AMP
072HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
096HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 019
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 019
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
011200Z --- NEAR 14.9N 84.2E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 010 DEGREES AT 07 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 010 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

>

2019-05-01 13:46

WTIO31 PGTW 011500 RRA
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 019//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 019
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
011200Z --- NEAR 14.9N 84.2E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 010 DEGREES AT 07 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 010 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 14.9N 84.2E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
020000Z --- 15.9N 84.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

>

2019-05-01 13:42

WTIO51 PGTW 011500
WARNING ATCG MIL 01B NIO 190501125723
2019050112 01B FANI 019 01 010 07 SATL 010
T000 149N 0842E 105 R064 025 NE QD 035 SE QD 035 SW QD 025 NW QD R050 045 NE QD 065 SE QD 065 SW QD 045 NW QD R034 095 NE QD 115 SE QD 110 SW QD 100 NW QD
T012 159N 0845E 110 R064 010 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 060 SE QD 060 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 170 SE QD 120 SW QD 100 NW QD
T024 172N 0849E 105 R064 010 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 050 SE QD 050 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 180 SE QD 120 SW QD 090 NW QD
T036 188N 0856E 100 R064 010 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 050 SE QD 050 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 170 SE QD 130 SW QD 060 NW QD
T048 206N 0866E 090 R064 000 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 020 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 160 SE QD 130 SW QD 040 NW QD
T072 241N 0892E 055
T096 274N 0938E 025
AMP
072HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
096HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 019
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 019
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
011200Z --- NEAR 14.9N 84.2E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 010 DEGREES AT 07 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 010 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 14.9N 84.2E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
020000Z --- 15.9N 84.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
021200Z --- 17.2N 84.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
030000Z --- 18.8N 85.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
031200Z --- 20.6N 86.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
041200Z --- 24.1N 89.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
051200Z --- 27.4N 93.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
011500Z POSITION NEAR 15.2N 84.3E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 01B (FANI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 520 NM SOUTH-
SOUTHWEST OF KOLKATA, INDIA, HAS TRACKED AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE
PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 011200Z IS 30 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 012100Z, 020300Z, 020900Z AND 021500Z.//
0119042518 21N 905E 25
0119042600 26N 905E 25
0119042606 30N 905E 30
0119042612 34N 905E 30
0119042618 39N 903E 30
0119042700 45N 900E 35
0119042706 54N 898E 45
0119042712 62N 893E 45
0119042718 67N 887E 45
0119042800 71N 882E 50
0119042800 71N 882E 50
0119042806 73N 883E 50
0119042806 73N 883E 50
0119042812 75N 883E 45
0119042818 81N 881E 45
0119042900 88N 878E 45
0119042906 96N 873E 50
0119042906 96N 873E 50
0119042912 103N 871E 55
0119042912 103N 871E 55
0119042918 110N 868E 65
0119042918 110N 868E 65
0119042918 110N 868E 65
0119043000 119N 865E 85
0119043000 119N 865E 85
0119043000 119N 865E 85
0119043006 127N 858E 90
0119043006 127N 858E 90
0119043006 127N 858E 90
0119043012 132N 848E 95
0119043012 132N 848E 95
0119043012 132N 848E 95
0119043018 135N 843E 105
0119043018 135N 843E 105
0119043018 135N 843E 105
0119050100 139N 841E 105
0119050100 139N 841E 105
0119050100 139N 841E 105
0119050106 142N 841E 105
0119050106 142N 841E 105
0119050106 142N 841E 105
0119050112 149N 842E 105
0119050112 149N 842E 105
0119050112 149N 842E 105
NNNN

>

2019-05-01 13:40

WTIO31 PGTW 011500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 019//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 019
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
011200Z --- NEAR 14.9N 84.2E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 010 DEGREES AT 07 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 010 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 14.9N 84.2E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
020000Z --- 15.9N 84.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
021200Z --- 17.2N 84.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
030000Z --- 18.8N 85.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
031200Z --- 20.6N 86.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
041200Z --- 24.1N 89.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
051200Z --- 27.4N 93.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
011500Z POSITION NEAR 15.2N 84.3E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 01B (FANI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 520 NM SOUTH-
SOUTHWEST OF KOLKATA, INDIA, HAS TRACKED AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST
SIX HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES A
SLIGHT IMPROVEMENT IN CONVECTIVE STRUCTURE WITH A SMALL RAGGED EYE
AND A MORE SYMMETRIC CONVECTIVE CORE. A 011156Z GMI MICROWAVE IMAGE
SHOWS TIGHTLY-CURVED SPIRAL BANDING WRAPPING INTO A 12NM MICROWAVE
EYE FEATURE, WHICH SUPPORTS THE CURRENT POSITION WITH HIGH
CONFIDENCE. THE INITIAL INTENSITY REMAINS ASSESSED AT 105 KNOTS
BASED ON A PGTW DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 5.5 (102 KNOTS) AND A
011145Z CIMSS SATCON ESTIMATE OF 105 KNOTS. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS
INDICATES GENERALLY FAVORABLE CONDITIONS WITH MODERATE VWS OFFSET BY
NEAR-RADIAL OUTFLOW. ADDITIONALLY, SSTS (30-31C) AND OCEAN HEAT
CONTENT VALUES REMAIN HIGHLY CONDUCIVE FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. TC
FANI IS FORECAST TO TRACK POLEWARD THROUGH TAU 48 ALONG THE WESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A NORTH-SOUTH ORIENTED SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. DUE TO THE
FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT AND DECREASING VWS OVER THE NEXT DAY, THE
SYSTEM SHOULD INTENSIFY SLIGHTLY TO A PEAK INTENSITY OF 110 KNOTS BY
TAU 12. AFTER TAU 24, TC 01B WILL WEAKEN GRADUALLY DUE TO INCREASING
VWS AND INTERACTION WITH LAND. AFTER TAU 72, TC 01B WILL ENCOUNTER
INCREASING VWS ASSOCIATED WITH A DEEP MIDLATITUDE SHORTWAVE TROUGH
FORECAST TO DEEPEN OVER NORTHEAST INDIA AND WILL WEAKEN RAPIDLY AS
IT ACCELERATES NORTHEASTWARD. OVERALL, THERE IS MODERATE CONFIDENCE
IN THE JTWC FORECAST TRACK WITH A MODEL SPREAD OF 155NM AT TAU 72
AND A GREATER SPREAD IN THE EXTENDED PERIOD OVER LAND. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 011200Z IS 30 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
012100Z, 020300Z, 020900Z AND 021500Z.//
NNNN

>

2019-05-01 08:51

WTIO51 PGTW 010900 RRA
WARNING ATCG MIL 01B NIO 190501072226
2019050106 01B FANI 018 01 340 03 SATL 045
T000 142N 0840E 105 R064 025 NE QD 035 SE QD 035 SW QD 025 NW QD R050
045 NE QD 065 SE QD 065 SW QD 045 NW QD R034 095 NE QD 115 SE QD
110 SW QD 100 NW QD
T012 150N 0842E 110 R064 010 NE QD 030 SE QD 040 SW QD 020 NW QD R050
060 NE QD 060 SE QD 060 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 150 NE QD 150 SE QD
120 SW QD 100 NW QD
T024 161N 0846E 105 R064 010 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 010 NW QD R050
050 NE QD 050 SE QD 060 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 150 NE QD 160 SE QD
120 SW QD 090 NW QD
T036 176N 0852E 100 R064 010 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 010 NW QD R050
040 NE QD 050 SE QD 060 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 160 SE QD
120 SW QD 080 NW QD
T048 193N 0861E 090 R064 010 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 010 NW QD R050
040 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 160 SE QD
120 SW QD 060 NW QD
T072 229N 0884E 055 R050 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 020 NW QD R034
070 NE QD 110 SE QD 070 SW QD 030 NW QD
T096 263N 0927E 030
AMP
072HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
096HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 018
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 018
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
010600Z --- NEAR 14.2N 84.0E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 340 DEGREES AT 03 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE

>

2019-05-01 08:51

WTIO31 PGTW 010900 RRA
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 018//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 018
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
010600Z --- NEAR 14.2N 84.0E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 340 DEGREES AT 03 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 14.2N 84.0E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
011800Z --- 15.0N 84.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

>

2019-05-01 08:34

WTIO51 PGTW 010900
WARNING ATCG MIL 01B NIO 190501072226
2019050106 01B FANI 018 01 340 03 SATL 045
T000 142N 0840E 105 R064 025 NE QD 035 SE QD 035 SW QD 025 NW QD R050 045 NE QD 065 SE QD 065 SW QD 045 NW QD R034 095 NE QD 115 SE QD 110 SW QD 100 NW QD
T012 150N 0842E 110 R064 010 NE QD 030 SE QD 040 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 060 SE QD 060 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 150 NE QD 150 SE QD 120 SW QD 100 NW QD
T024 161N 0846E 105 R064 010 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 050 SE QD 060 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 150 NE QD 160 SE QD 120 SW QD 090 NW QD
T036 176N 0852E 100 R064 010 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 050 SE QD 060 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 160 SE QD 120 SW QD 080 NW QD
T048 193N 0861E 090 R064 010 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 160 SE QD 120 SW QD 060 NW QD
T072 229N 0884E 055 R050 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 070 NE QD 110 SE QD 070 SW QD 030 NW QD
T096 263N 0927E 030
AMP
072HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
096HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 018
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 018
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
010600Z --- NEAR 14.2N 84.0E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 340 DEGREES AT 03 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 14.2N 84.0E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
011800Z --- 15.0N 84.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
020600Z --- 16.1N 84.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
021800Z --- 17.6N 85.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
030600Z --- 19.3N 86.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
040600Z --- 22.9N 88.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
050600Z --- 26.3N 92.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
010900Z POSITION NEAR 14.4N 84.0E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 01B (FANI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 563 NM SOUTH-
SOUTHWEST OF KOLKATA, INDIA, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT
03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 010600Z IS 30 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 011500Z, 012100Z, 020300Z AND 020900Z.//
0119042518 21N 905E 25
0119042600 26N 905E 25
0119042606 30N 905E 30
0119042612 34N 905E 30
0119042618 39N 903E 30
0119042700 45N 900E 35
0119042706 54N 898E 45
0119042712 62N 893E 45
0119042718 67N 887E 45
0119042800 71N 882E 50
0119042800 71N 882E 50
0119042806 73N 883E 50
0119042806 73N 883E 50
0119042812 75N 883E 45
0119042818 81N 881E 45
0119042900 88N 878E 45
0119042906 96N 873E 50
0119042906 96N 873E 50
0119042912 103N 871E 55
0119042912 103N 871E 55
0119042918 110N 868E 65
0119042918 110N 868E 65
0119042918 110N 868E 65
0119043000 119N 865E 85
0119043000 119N 865E 85
0119043000 119N 865E 85
0119043006 127N 858E 90
0119043006 127N 858E 90
0119043006 127N 858E 90
0119043012 132N 848E 95
0119043012 132N 848E 95
0119043012 132N 848E 95
0119043018 135N 843E 105
0119043018 135N 843E 105
0119043018 135N 843E 105
0119050100 139N 841E 105
0119050100 139N 841E 105
0119050100 139N 841E 105
0119050106 142N 840E 105
0119050106 142N 840E 105
0119050106 142N 840E 105
NNNN

>

2019-05-01 08:34

WTIO31 PGTW 010900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 018//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 018
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
010600Z --- NEAR 14.2N 84.0E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 340 DEGREES AT 03 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 14.2N 84.0E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
011800Z --- 15.0N 84.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
020600Z --- 16.1N 84.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
021800Z --- 17.6N 85.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
030600Z --- 19.3N 86.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
040600Z --- 22.9N 88.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
050600Z --- 26.3N 92.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
010900Z POSITION NEAR 14.4N 84.0E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 01B (FANI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 563 NM SOUTH-
SOUTHWEST OF KOLKATA, INDIA, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT
03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED (EIR)
SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES AN OBLONG EYEWALL SURROUNDING A RAGGED,
FORMATIVE EYE, WHICH SUPPORTS THE CURRENT POSITION WITH GOOD
CONFIDENCE. EIR IMAGERY AND A 010430Z MHS 89GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE,
HOWEVER, DEPICT THE BULK OF THE DEEP CONVECTION IS DISPLACED OVER
THE WESTERN SEMICIRCLE DUE TO MODERATE NORTHEASTERLY VERTICAL WIND
SHEAR (VWS). THE INITIAL INTENSITY REMAINS ASSESSED AT 105 KNOTS
BASED ON A PGTW DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 5.5 (102 KNOTS)
AND A 010545Z CIMSS SATCON ESTIMATE OF 108 KNOTS. UPPER-LEVEL
ANALYSIS INDICATES GENERALLY FAVORABLE CONDITIONS WITH MODERATE VWS
OFFSET BY NEAR-RADIAL OUTFLOW. ADDITIONALLY, SSTS (30-31C) AND OCEAN
HEAT CONTENT VALUES REMAIN HIGHLY CONDUCIVE FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT.
TC FANI IS FORECAST TO TRACK POLEWARD THROUGH TAU 48 ALONG THE
WESTERN PERIPHERY OF A NORTH-SOUTH ORIENTED SUBTROPICAL RIDGE (STR).
DUE TO THE FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT AND DECREASING VWS OVER THE NEXT
DAY, THE SYSTEM SHOULD INTENSIFY SLIGHTLY TO A PEAK INTENSITY OF 110
KNOTS BY TAU 12. AFTER TAU 24, TC 01B WILL WEAKEN GRADUALLY DUE TO
INCREASING VWS AND INTERACTION WITH LAND. AFTER TAU 72, TC 01B WILL
ENCOUNTER INCREASING VWS ASSOCIATED WITH A DEEP MIDLATITUDE
SHORTWAVE TROUGH FORECAST TO DEEPEN OVER NORTHEAST INDIA AND WILL
WEAKEN RAPIDLY AS IT ACCELERATES NORTHEASTWARD. OVERALL, THERE IS
MODERATE CONFIDENCE IN THE JTWC FORECAST TRACK WITH A MODEL SPREAD
OF 150NM AT TAU 72 AND A GREATER SPREAD IN THE EXTENDED PERIOD OVER
LAND. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 010600Z IS 30 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 011500Z, 012100Z, 020300Z AND 020900Z.//
NNNN

>

2019-05-01 03:32

WTIO51 PGTW 010300 RRA
WARNING ATCG MIL 01B NIO 190501013747
2019050100 01B FANI 017 01 315 06 SATL 030
T000 139N 0839E 105 R064 035 NE QD 030 SE QD 025 SW QD 030 NW QD R050
070 NE QD 060 SE QD 045 SW QD 055 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 115 SE QD
090 SW QD 110 NW QD
T012 145N 0838E 105 R064 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R050
050 NE QD 060 SE QD 060 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 150 SE QD
120 SW QD 090 NW QD
T024 154N 0842E 105 R064 020 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R050
050 NE QD 060 SE QD 060 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 160 SE QD
130 SW QD 100 NW QD
T036 168N 0848E 095 R064 020 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 020 NW QD R050
050 NE QD 060 SE QD 060 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 160 SE QD
120 SW QD 100 NW QD
T048 184N 0853E 085 R064 020 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 010 NW QD R050
050 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 170 SE QD
120 SW QD 080 NW QD
T072 220N 0870E 040 R034 100 NE QD 130 SE QD 080 SW QD 050 NW QD
T096 256N 0903E 015
AMP
072HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
096HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 017
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 017
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
010000Z --- NEAR 13.9N 83.9E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 06 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT

>

2019-05-01 02:54

WTIO31 PGTW 010300 RRA
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 017//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 017
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
010000Z --- NEAR 13.9N 83.9E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 06 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 13.9N 83.9E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
011200Z --- 14.5N 83.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

>

2019-05-01 02:52

WTIO51 PGTW 010300
WARNING ATCG MIL 01B NIO 190501013747
2019050100 01B FANI 017 01 315 06 SATL 030
T000 139N 0839E 105 R064 035 NE QD 030 SE QD 025 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 070 NE QD 060 SE QD 045 SW QD 055 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 115 SE QD 090 SW QD 110 NW QD
T012 145N 0838E 105 R064 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 060 SE QD 060 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 150 SE QD 120 SW QD 090 NW QD
T024 154N 0842E 105 R064 020 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 060 SE QD 060 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 160 SE QD 130 SW QD 100 NW QD
T036 168N 0848E 095 R064 020 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 060 SE QD 060 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 160 SE QD 120 SW QD 100 NW QD
T048 184N 0853E 085 R064 020 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 170 SE QD 120 SW QD 080 NW QD
T072 220N 0870E 040 R034 100 NE QD 130 SE QD 080 SW QD 050 NW QD
T096 256N 0903E 015
AMP
072HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
096HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 017
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 017
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
010000Z --- NEAR 13.9N 83.9E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 06 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 13.9N 83.9E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
011200Z --- 14.5N 83.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
020000Z --- 15.4N 84.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
021200Z --- 16.8N 84.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
030000Z --- 18.4N 85.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
040000Z --- 22.0N 87.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
050000Z --- 25.6N 90.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 015 KT, GUSTS 025 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
010300Z POSITION NEAR 14.1N 83.9E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 581 NM SOUTH-
SOUTHWEST OF CALCUTTA, INDIA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 06
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 010000Z IS 29 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 010900Z, 011500Z, 012100Z AND 020300Z.
//
0119042518 21N 905E 25
0119042600 26N 905E 25
0119042606 30N 905E 30
0119042612 34N 905E 30
0119042618 39N 903E 30
0119042700 45N 900E 35
0119042706 54N 898E 45
0119042712 62N 893E 45
0119042718 67N 887E 45
0119042800 71N 882E 50
0119042800 71N 882E 50
0119042806 73N 883E 50
0119042806 73N 883E 50
0119042812 75N 883E 45
0119042818 81N 881E 45
0119042900 88N 878E 45
0119042906 96N 873E 50
0119042906 96N 873E 50
0119042912 103N 871E 55
0119042912 103N 871E 55
0119042918 110N 868E 65
0119042918 110N 868E 65
0119042918 110N 868E 65
0119043000 119N 865E 85
0119043000 119N 865E 85
0119043000 119N 865E 85
0119043006 127N 858E 90
0119043006 127N 858E 90
0119043006 127N 858E 90
0119043012 132N 848E 95
0119043012 132N 848E 95
0119043012 132N 848E 95
0119043018 135N 843E 105
0119043018 135N 843E 105
0119043018 135N 843E 105
0119050100 139N 839E 105
0119050100 139N 839E 105
0119050100 139N 839E 105
NNNN

>

2019-05-01 02:51

WTIO31 PGTW 010300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 017//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 017
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
010000Z --- NEAR 13.9N 83.9E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 06 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 13.9N 83.9E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
011200Z --- 14.5N 83.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
020000Z --- 15.4N 84.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
021200Z --- 16.8N 84.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
030000Z --- 18.4N 85.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
040000Z --- 22.0N 87.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
050000Z --- 25.6N 90.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 015 KT, GUSTS 025 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
010300Z POSITION NEAR 14.1N 83.9E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 01B (FANI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 581 NM
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF KOLKATA, INDIA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 06
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY
INDICATES THAT TC 01B HAS MAINTAINED ITS CORE CONVECTION AROUND A
SMALL, RAGGED MICROWAVE EYE. A 302158Z SSMIS 91GHZ IMAGE DEPICTS A
DEEP CONVECTIVE STRUCTURE SHEARED TO THE SOUTHWEST WRAPPING INTO A
SMALL MICROWAVE EYE. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS ASSESSED AT 105 KNOTS
BASED ON A DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF T5.0-T6.0 (90-115 KNOTS)
FROM PGTW AND KNES, RESPECTIVELY. A 302332Z SATCON ESTIMATE OF 110
KNOTS ALSO SUPPORTS THE INITIAL INTENSITY ESTIMATE. ENVIRONMENTAL
ANALYSIS INDICATES AN OVERALL FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH MODERATE
(20-25 KNOTS) VWS, HIGH SSTS (30-31 CELSIUS), HIGH OCEAN HEAT
CONTENT VALUES, AND GOOD EQUATORWARD AND POLEWARD OUTFLOW. TC 01B
HAS BEGUN TO TURN NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AND IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE
TURNING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AFTER TAU 12 AS THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE
(STR) OVER BANGLADESH CONTINUES TO ERODE DUE TO AN APPROACHING
SHORTWAVE TROUGH. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY TO A PEAK OF
110 KNOTS BY TAU 12 UNDER FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS. NEAR
TAU 48, TC 01B WILL SIGNIFICANTLY WEAKEN AS IT BEGINS TO INTERACT
WITH LAND AND THE MIDLATITUDE WESTERLIES WITH DISSIPATION EXPECTED
BY TAU 96. NUMERICAL MODEL GUIDANCE HAS BEEN PULLED EAST, FOLLOWING
THE EARLIER TRENDS OF ECMWF AND NAVGEM, INDICATING A QUICKLY
WEAKENING STR TO THE EAST OF TC 01B. THEREFORE, THERE IS MODERATE
CONFIDENCE IN THE JTWC FORECAST TRACK. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE
HEIGHT AT 010000Z IS 29 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 010900Z, 011500Z,
012100Z AND 020300Z.//
NNNN

>

2019-04-30 21:20

WTIO51 PGTW 302100 RRA
WARNING ATCG MIL 01B NIO 190430200811
2019043018 01B FANI 016 01 300 06 SATL 030
T000 135N 0843E 105 R064 040 NE QD 035 SE QD 020 SW QD 025 NW QD R050
060 NE QD 065 SE QD 040 SW QD 045 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 110 SE QD
085 SW QD 095 NW QD
T012 142N 0838E 115 R064 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R050
060 NE QD 070 SE QD 070 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 160 SE QD
140 SW QD 120 NW QD
T024 151N 0839E 115 R064 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R050
050 NE QD 070 SE QD 080 SW QD 070 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 160 SE QD
140 SW QD 130 NW QD
T036 162N 0843E 105 R064 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R050
050 NE QD 070 SE QD 070 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 150 NE QD 170 SE QD
130 SW QD 110 NW QD
T048 176N 0848E 095 R064 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R050
050 NE QD 060 SE QD 060 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 150 NE QD 160 SE QD
130 SW QD 100 NW QD
T072 212N 0864E 065 R064 000 NE QD 000 SE QD 030 SW QD 000 NW QD R050
030 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 110 NE QD 150 SE QD
100 SW QD 050 NW QD
T096 248N 0894E 040
T120 267N 0936E 020
AMP
072HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
096HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
120HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 016
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 016
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
301800Z --- NEAR 13.5N 84.3E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 06 KTS

>

2019-04-30 21:20

WTIO31 PGTW 302100 RRA
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 016//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 016
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
301800Z --- NEAR 13.5N 84.3E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 06 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 13.5N 84.3E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
010600Z --- 14.2N 83.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

>

2019-04-30 21:08

WTIO51 PGTW 302100
WARNING ATCG MIL 01B NIO 190430200811
2019043018 01B FANI 016 01 300 06 SATL 030
T000 135N 0843E 105 R064 040 NE QD 035 SE QD 020 SW QD 025 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 065 SE QD 040 SW QD 045 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 110 SE QD 085 SW QD 095 NW QD
T012 142N 0838E 115 R064 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 070 SE QD 070 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 160 SE QD 140 SW QD 120 NW QD
T024 151N 0839E 115 R064 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 070 SE QD 080 SW QD 070 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 160 SE QD 140 SW QD 130 NW QD
T036 162N 0843E 105 R064 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 070 SE QD 070 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 150 NE QD 170 SE QD 130 SW QD 110 NW QD
T048 176N 0848E 095 R064 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 060 SE QD 060 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 150 NE QD 160 SE QD 130 SW QD 100 NW QD
T072 212N 0864E 065 R064 000 NE QD 000 SE QD 030 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 110 NE QD 150 SE QD 100 SW QD 050 NW QD
T096 248N 0894E 040
T120 267N 0936E 020
AMP
072HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
096HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
120HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 016
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 016
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
301800Z --- NEAR 13.5N 84.3E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 06 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 13.5N 84.3E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
010600Z --- 14.2N 83.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
011800Z --- 15.1N 83.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
020600Z --- 16.2N 84.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
021800Z --- 17.6N 84.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
031800Z --- 21.2N 86.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
041800Z --- 24.8N 89.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
051800Z --- 26.7N 93.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
302100Z POSITION NEAR 13.7N 84.2E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 594 NM SOUTH-
SOUTHWEST OF CALCUTTA, INDIA, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT
06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 301800Z IS 30 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 010300Z, 010900Z, 011500Z AND 012100Z.
//
0119042518 21N 905E 25
0119042600 26N 905E 25
0119042606 30N 905E 30
0119042612 34N 905E 30
0119042618 39N 903E 30
0119042700 45N 900E 35
0119042706 54N 898E 45
0119042712 62N 893E 45
0119042718 67N 887E 45
0119042800 71N 882E 50
0119042800 71N 882E 50
0119042806 73N 883E 50
0119042806 73N 883E 50
0119042812 75N 883E 45
0119042818 81N 881E 45
0119042900 88N 878E 45
0119042906 96N 873E 50
0119042906 96N 873E 50
0119042912 103N 871E 55
0119042912 103N 871E 55
0119042918 110N 868E 65
0119042918 110N 868E 65
0119042918 110N 868E 65
0119043000 119N 865E 85
0119043000 119N 865E 85
0119043000 119N 865E 85
0119043006 127N 858E 90
0119043006 127N 858E 90
0119043006 127N 858E 90
0119043012 132N 848E 95
0119043012 132N 848E 95
0119043012 132N 848E 95
0119043018 135N 843E 105
0119043018 135N 843E 105
0119043018 135N 843E 105
NNNN

>

2019-04-30 21:07

WTIO31 PGTW 302100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 016//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 016
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
301800Z --- NEAR 13.5N 84.3E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 06 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 13.5N 84.3E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
010600Z --- 14.2N 83.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
011800Z --- 15.1N 83.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
020600Z --- 16.2N 84.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
021800Z --- 17.6N 84.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
031800Z --- 21.2N 86.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
041800Z --- 24.8N 89.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
051800Z --- 26.7N 93.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
302100Z POSITION NEAR 13.7N 84.2E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 594 NM SOUTH-
SOUTHWEST OF CALCUTTA, INDIA, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT
06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED
SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT TC 01B HAS CONTINUED TO STRENGTHEN
WITH IMPROVED CORE CONVECTION SURROUNDING A SMALL, RAGGED EYE. A
301557Z METOP-B 89GHZ IMAGE DEPICTS TIGHTLY-CURVED SPIRAL BANDING
WRAPPING INTO THE EYE. A PARTIAL 301559Z METOP-B ASCAT PASS SUPPORTS
THE INITIAL POSITION WITH HIGH CONFIDENCE. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS
ASSESSED AT 105 KNOTS BASED ON A DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF T5.5
(102 KNOTS) FROM PGTW AND KNES. A 301556Z SATCON ESTIMATE OF 110
KNOTS ALSO SUPPORTS THE INITIAL INTENSITY ESTIMATE. ENVIRONMENTAL
ANALYSIS INDICATES AN OVERALL FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH MODERATE
(20-25 KNOTS) VWS, HIGH SSTS (30-31 CELSIUS), HIGH OCEAN HEAT
CONTENT VALUES, AND GOOD OUTFLOW TO THE WEST. TC FANI IS FORECAST TO
TURN NORTHWARD TO NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AFTER TAU 12 AS AN EXTENSION
OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE (STR) OVER BANGLADESH ERODES DUE TO AN
APPROACHING SHORTWAVE TROUGH. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY TO
A PEAK OF 115 KNOTS BY TAU 12 UNDER FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENTAL
CONDITIONS. NEAR TAU 72, TC 01B WILL SIGNIFICANTLY WEAKEN AS IT
MAKES LANDFALL AND INTERACTS WITH THE MIDLATITUDE WESTERLIES WITH
DISSIPATION EXPECTED BY TAU 120. NUMERICAL MODEL GUIDANCE HAS BEGUN
TO SPREAD APART, WITH A 100NM SPREAD BY TAU 48. ECMWF HAS
SIGNIFICANTLY SWUNG TO THE EAST OF CONSENSUS AS THE STR TO ITS EAST
IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN FASTER THAN ANTICIPATED. THEREFORE, THERE IS
LOW CONFIDENCE IN THE JTWC FORECAST TRACK. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE
HEIGHT AT 301800Z IS 30 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 010300Z, 010900Z,
011500Z AND 012100Z.//
NNNN

>

2019-04-30 14:49

WTIO51 PGTW 301500 RRA
WARNING ATCG MIL 01B NIO 190430132616
2019043012 01B FANI 015 01 295 11 SATL 015
T000 132N 0848E 095 R064 030 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 025 NW QD R050
055 NE QD 045 SE QD 035 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 110 NE QD 090 SE QD
080 SW QD 100 NW QD
T012 140N 0841E 100 R064 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R050
060 NE QD 070 SE QD 070 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 160 SE QD
140 SW QD 120 NW QD
T024 148N 0838E 105 R064 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R050
050 NE QD 070 SE QD 080 SW QD 070 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 160 SE QD
140 SW QD 130 NW QD
T036 158N 0840E 115 R064 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R050
050 NE QD 070 SE QD 070 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 150 NE QD 170 SE QD
130 SW QD 110 NW QD
T048 171N 0843E 115 R064 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R050
050 NE QD 060 SE QD 060 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 150 NE QD 160 SE QD
130 SW QD 100 NW QD
T072 204N 0856E 085 R064 000 NE QD 000 SE QD 030 SW QD 000 NW QD R050
030 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 110 NE QD 150 SE QD
100 SW QD 050 NW QD
T096 243N 0886E 055
T120 277N 0923E 030
AMP
096HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
120HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 015
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 015
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
301200Z --- NEAR 13.2N 84.8E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 015 NM

>

2019-04-30 14:49

WTIO31 PGTW 301500 RRA
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 015//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 015
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
301200Z --- NEAR 13.2N 84.8E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 015 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 13.2N 84.8E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
010000Z --- 14.0N 84.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

>

2019-04-30 14:44

WTIO51 PGTW 301500
WARNING ATCG MIL 01B NIO 190430132616
2019043012 01B FANI 015 01 295 11 SATL 015
T000 132N 0848E 095 R064 030 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 025 NW QD R050 055 NE QD 045 SE QD 035 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 110 NE QD 090 SE QD 080 SW QD 100 NW QD
T012 140N 0841E 100 R064 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 070 SE QD 070 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 160 SE QD 140 SW QD 120 NW QD
T024 148N 0838E 105 R064 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 070 SE QD 080 SW QD 070 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 160 SE QD 140 SW QD 130 NW QD
T036 158N 0840E 115 R064 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 070 SE QD 070 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 150 NE QD 170 SE QD 130 SW QD 110 NW QD
T048 171N 0843E 115 R064 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 060 SE QD 060 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 150 NE QD 160 SE QD 130 SW QD 100 NW QD
T072 204N 0856E 085 R064 000 NE QD 000 SE QD 030 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 110 NE QD 150 SE QD 100 SW QD 050 NW QD
T096 243N 0886E 055
T120 277N 0923E 030
AMP
096HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
120HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 015
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 015
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
301200Z --- NEAR 13.2N 84.8E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 015 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 13.2N 84.8E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
010000Z --- 14.0N 84.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
011200Z --- 14.8N 83.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
020000Z --- 15.8N 84.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
021200Z --- 17.1N 84.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
031200Z --- 20.4N 85.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
041200Z --- 24.3N 88.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
051200Z --- 27.7N 92.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
301500Z POSITION NEAR 13.4N 84.6E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 01B (FANI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 600 NM SOUTH-
SOUTHWEST OF KOLKATA, INDIA, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT
11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 301200Z IS 29 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 302100Z, 010300Z, 010900Z AND 011500Z.//
0119042518 21N 905E 25
0119042600 26N 905E 25
0119042606 30N 905E 30
0119042612 34N 905E 30
0119042618 39N 903E 30
0119042700 45N 900E 35
0119042706 54N 898E 45
0119042712 62N 893E 45
0119042718 67N 887E 45
0119042800 71N 882E 50
0119042800 71N 882E 50
0119042806 73N 883E 50
0119042806 73N 883E 50
0119042812 75N 883E 45
0119042818 81N 881E 45
0119042900 88N 878E 45
0119042906 96N 873E 50
0119042906 96N 873E 50
0119042912 103N 871E 55
0119042912 103N 871E 55
0119042918 110N 868E 65
0119042918 110N 868E 65
0119042918 110N 868E 65
0119043000 119N 865E 85
0119043000 119N 865E 85
0119043000 119N 865E 85
0119043006 127N 858E 90
0119043006 127N 858E 90
0119043006 127N 858E 90
0119043012 132N 848E 95
0119043012 132N 848E 95
0119043012 132N 848E 95
NNNN

>

2019-04-30 14:44

WTIO31 PGTW 301500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 015//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 015
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
301200Z --- NEAR 13.2N 84.8E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 015 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 13.2N 84.8E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
010000Z --- 14.0N 84.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
011200Z --- 14.8N 83.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
020000Z --- 15.8N 84.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
021200Z --- 17.1N 84.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
031200Z --- 20.4N 85.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
041200Z --- 24.3N 88.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
051200Z --- 27.7N 92.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
301500Z POSITION NEAR 13.4N 84.6E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 01B (FANI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 600 NM SOUTH-
SOUTHWEST OF KOLKATA, INDIA, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 11
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE
IMAGERY INDICATES THAT TC 01B HAS CONTINUED TO STRENGTHEN WITH
IMPROVED CORE CONVECTION SURROUNDING A WEAK, FORMATIVE EYE. A
301200Z SSMIS 91GHZ IMAGE DEPICTS TIGHTLY-CURVED SPIRAL BANDING
WRAPPING INTO THE EYEWALL, AND ALSO SHOWS A SMALL MICROWAVE EYE
FEATURE, WHICH SUPPORTS THE INITIAL POSITION WITH HIGH CONFIDENCE.
THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS ASSESSED AT 95 KNOTS BASED ON AN AVERAGE OF
DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES RANGING FROM T5.0 TO T5.5 (90 TO 102
KNOTS). A 301055Z SATCON ESTIMATE OF 100 KNOTS ALSO SUPPORTS THE
INITIAL INTENSITY ESTIMATE. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS INDICATES A
FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH LOW (15 KNOTS) VWS, HIGH SSTS (30-31
CELSIUS), HIGH OCEAN HEAT CONTENT VALUES, AND ROBUST POLEWARD AND
EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW. TC FANI IS FORECAST TO TURN NORTHWARD TO NORTH-
NORTHEASTWARD AFTER TAU 24 AS AN EXTENSION OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE
(STR) OVER BANGLADESH ERODES DUE TO AN APPROACHING SHORTWAVE TROUGH.
THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY TO A PEAK OF 115 KNOTS BY TAU 36
UNDER FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS. NEAR TAU 72, TC 01B WILL
WEAKEN AS IT MAKES LANDFALL AND INTERACTS WITH THE MIDLATITUDE
WESTERLIES. AFTER TAU 72, TC 01B WILL RECURVE POLEWARD OF THE STR
AND WILL WEAKEN RAPIDLY OVER LAND WITH DISSIPATION EXPECTED BY TAU
120. WITH THE EXCEPTION OF NAVGEM, NUMERICAL MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN
TIGHT AGREEMENT, THEREFORE, THERE IS HIGH CONFIDENCE IN THE JTWC
FORECAST TRACK. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 301200Z IS 29
FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 302100Z, 010300Z, 010900Z AND 011500Z.//
NNNN

>

2019-04-30 07:58

WTIO51 PGTW 300900 RRA
WARNING ATCG MIL 01B NIO 190430071455
2019043006 01B FANI 014 01 320 11 SATL 040
T000 127N 0858E 090 R064 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 025 NW QD R050
060 NE QD 060 SE QD 045 SW QD 045 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 115 SE QD
090 SW QD 095 NW QD
T012 136N 0846E 100 R064 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R050
040 NE QD 070 SE QD 060 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 150 NE QD 160 SE QD
130 SW QD 100 NW QD
T024 143N 0843E 110 R064 020 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R050
040 NE QD 060 SE QD 070 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 170 SE QD
150 SW QD 100 NW QD
T036 152N 0844E 115 R064 020 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 020 NW QD R050
040 NE QD 060 SE QD 070 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 150 NE QD 190 SE QD
140 SW QD 120 NW QD
T048 164N 0847E 115 R064 020 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 030 NW QD R050
040 NE QD 070 SE QD 070 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 160 NE QD 190 SE QD
130 SW QD 100 NW QD
T072 195N 0860E 105 R064 010 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 000 NW QD R050
030 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 150 NE QD 160 SE QD
120 SW QD 040 NW QD
T096 233N 0882E 070 R034 000 NE QD 120 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD
T120 272N 0914E 030
AMP
096HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
120HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 014
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 014
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
300600Z --- NEAR 12.7N 85.8E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 320 DEGREES AT 11 KTS

>

2019-04-30 07:58

WTIO31 PGTW 300900 RRA
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 014//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 014
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
300000Z --- NEAR 11.8N 86.5E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 320 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 11.8N 86.5E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
301200Z --- 13.1N 85.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

>

2019-04-30 07:55

WTIO51 PGTW 300900
WARNING ATCG MIL 01B NIO 190430071455
2019043006 01B FANI 014 01 320 11 SATL 040
T000 127N 0858E 090 R064 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 025 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 060 SE QD 045 SW QD 045 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 115 SE QD 090 SW QD 095 NW QD
T012 136N 0846E 100 R064 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 070 SE QD 060 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 150 NE QD 160 SE QD 130 SW QD 100 NW QD
T024 143N 0843E 110 R064 020 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 060 SE QD 070 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 170 SE QD 150 SW QD 100 NW QD
T036 152N 0844E 115 R064 020 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 060 SE QD 070 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 150 NE QD 190 SE QD 140 SW QD 120 NW QD
T048 164N 0847E 115 R064 020 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 070 SE QD 070 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 160 NE QD 190 SE QD 130 SW QD 100 NW QD
T072 195N 0860E 105 R064 010 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 150 NE QD 160 SE QD 120 SW QD 040 NW QD
T096 233N 0882E 070 R034 000 NE QD 120 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD
T120 272N 0914E 030
AMP
096HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
120HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 014
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 014
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
300600Z --- NEAR 12.7N 85.8E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 320 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 12.7N 85.8E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
301800Z --- 13.6N 84.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
010600Z --- 14.3N 84.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
011800Z --- 15.2N 84.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
020600Z --- 16.4N 84.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
030600Z --- 19.5N 86.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
040600Z --- 23.3N 88.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
050600Z --- 27.2N 91.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
300900Z POSITION NEAR 12.9N 85.5E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 612 NM SOUTH-
SOUTHWEST OF CALCUTTA, INDIA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 11
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED HIGH-RESOLUTION VISIBLE AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICT A CONSOLIDATION OF THE OVERALL CONVECTIVE STRUCTURE AND HINTS AT A DEVELOPING EYE FEATURE IN THE VISIBLE IMAGERY. THE INITIAL POSITION IS PLACED WITH MODERATE CONFIDENCE BASED ON A DIMPLE FEATURE IN THE HIGH RESOLUTION VISIBLE IMAGERY. A 300337Z AMSU-B 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE DEPICTING THE BROAD CIRCULATION WITH A BAND OF ROBUST CONVECTION WRAPPING INTO A SMALL, BUT WELL-DEFINED LLCC. THE INITIAL INTENSITY OF 90 KNOTS IS CONSISTENT WITH THE PGTW DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF T5.0 (90 KNOTS), SUPPORTED BY AN ADVANCED DVORAK TECHNIQUE (ADT) ESTIMATE OF T4.7 (84 KNOTS). ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS INIDICATES TC FANI LIES IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH LOW (15 KNOTS) VWS, HIGH SSTS (30-31 CELSIUS) AND A ROBUST POLEWARD AND EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW. THE TRACK OF TC FANI HAS SHIFTED SLIGHTLY MORE WESTWARD OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS, AS THE STR AS AN EXTENSION OF A NER HAS NOSED UP TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM OVER TH NORTHERN BAY OF BENGAL. TC 01B IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TRACKING NORTHWESTWARD THROUGH TAU 24 BEFORE TURNING NORTH THEN NORTHEASTWARD AS THE PRIMARY STEERING MECHANISM SHIFTS TO A DEVELOPING STR OVER NORTHERN THAILAND. AFTER MAKING THE NORHTEASTWARD TURN, THE SYSTEM WILL ACCELERATE, SKIRTING THE EAST INDIAN COASTLINE BEFORE MAKING LANDFALL SOUTHWEST OF CALCUTTA AROUND TAU 84. TC FANI IS EXPECTED TO FURTHER INTENSIFY THROUGH TAU 48 UNDER FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS. THEREAFTER THE SYSTEM WILL RAPIDLY WEAKEN DUE TO LAND INTERACTION, WHILE CONTINUING NORTHEAST. AVAILABLE MODEL GUIDANCE IS RELATIVELY STRONG AGREEMTN THROUGH TAU 72, WITH NAVGEM BEING THE SOLE OUTLIER TO THE EAST AND FASTER THAN THE REST OF THE GUIDANCE PACKAGE. THERE IS HIGH CONFIDENCE IN THE JTWC FORECAST TRACK, WHICH LIES CLOSE TO THE MULTI-MODEL CONSENSUS, HEDGED SLIGHTLY TOWARDS THE ECMWF SOLUTION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 300600Z IS 28 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 301500Z, 302100Z, 010300Z AND 010900Z.//
0119042518 21N 905E 25
0119042600 26N 905E 25
0119042606 30N 905E 30
0119042612 34N 905E 30
0119042618 39N 903E 30
0119042700 45N 900E 35
0119042706 54N 898E 45
0119042712 62N 893E 45
0119042718 67N 887E 45
0119042800 71N 882E 50
0119042800 71N 882E 50
0119042806 73N 883E 50
0119042806 73N 883E 50
0119042812 75N 883E 45
0119042818 81N 881E 45
0119042900 88N 878E 45
0119042906 96N 873E 50
0119042906 96N 873E 50
0119042912 103N 871E 55
0119042912 103N 871E 55
0119042918 110N 868E 65
0119042918 110N 868E 65
0119042918 110N 868E 65
0119043000 119N 865E 85
0119043000 119N 865E 85
0119043000 119N 865E 85
0119043006 127N 858E 90
0119043006 127N 858E 90
0119043006 127N 858E 90
NNNN

>

2019-04-30 07:55

WTIO31 PGTW 300900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 014//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 014
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
300000Z --- NEAR 11.8N 86.5E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 320 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 11.8N 86.5E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
301200Z --- 13.1N 85.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
010000Z --- 14.0N 84.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
011200Z --- 14.6N 84.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
020000Z --- 15.4N 84.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
030000Z --- 18.4N 86.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
040000Z --- 22.2N 87.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
050000Z --- 26.1N 91.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
300300Z POSITION NEAR 12.1N 86.2E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 657 NM SOUTH
OF CALCUTTA, INDIA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER
THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY
SHOWS THAT THE CONVECTIVE STRUCTURE OF THE SYSTEM HAS DEEPENED AND
HAS BECOME MORE SYMMETRICAL. THERE IS HIGH CONFIDENCE IN THE INITIAL
POSITION BASED ON THE COMPACT RAIN BANDS WRAPPING TIGHTLY INTO THE
MICROWAVE EYE SEEN IN A 292336Z GMI 89GHZ IMAGE. THE INITIAL
INTENSITY OF 85 KTS IS CONSISTENT WITH THE DVORAK INTENSITY
ESTIMATES OF T4.5-5.0 (77-90 KTS) AND A 291958Z SATCON ESTIMATE OF
82 KTS. LOW (10-15 KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS), WARM (30-31
CELSIUS) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE, AND GOOD EQUATORWARD AND POLEWARD
OUTFLOW CHANNELS ARE FAVORABLE FOR FURTHER INTENSIFICATION. TC 01B
IS TRACKING ALONG THE SOUTHWEST PERIPHERY OF A SUBTROPICAL RIDGE
(STR). AROUND TAU 24, THE CYCLONE WILL ROUND THE STR AXIS AND TURN
NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD. LANDFALL ALONG THE NORTHEAST COAST OF INDIA IS
EXPECTED AROUND TAU 96. THERE IS POOR AGREEMENT IN THE INTENSITY
GUIDANCE THROUGH TAU 72 AS THE SYSTEM BEGINS TO RECURVE AROUND THE
AFOREMENTIONED STR. THE TRACK GUIDANCE IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH
LANDFALL, WITH THE EXCEPTION OF NAVGEM DISMISSED 150NM TO THE EAST
OF CONSENSUS AT TAU 72. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 300000Z
IS 28 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 300900Z, 301500Z, 302100Z AND 010300Z.//
NNNN

>

2019-04-30 03:03

WTIO51 PGTW 300300 RRA
WARNING ATCG MIL 01B NIO 190430012747
2019043000 01B FANI 013 01 320 09 SATL 030
T000 118N 0865E 085 R064 015 NE QD 015 SE QD 015 SW QD 015 NW QD R050
050 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 105 NE QD 100 SE QD
090 SW QD 085 NW QD
T012 131N 0854E 105 R064 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R050
040 NE QD 050 SE QD 050 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 160 SE QD
120 SW QD 090 NW QD
T024 140N 0847E 110 R064 020 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R050
040 NE QD 060 SE QD 060 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 160 SE QD
130 SW QD 090 NW QD
T036 146N 0847E 110 R064 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R050
040 NE QD 060 SE QD 070 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 170 SE QD
140 SW QD 120 NW QD
T048 154N 0849E 115 R064 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R050
040 NE QD 060 SE QD 080 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 150 NE QD 190 SE QD
150 SW QD 110 NW QD
T072 184N 0860E 105 R064 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 020 NW QD R050
050 NE QD 070 SE QD 060 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 150 NE QD 180 SE QD
140 SW QD 070 NW QD
T096 222N 0879E 080 R064 000 NE QD 020 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R050
010 NE QD 040 SE QD 020 SW QD 000 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 160 SE QD
100 SW QD 060 NW QD
T120 261N 0911E 040
AMP
096HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
120HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 013
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 013
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

>

2019-04-30 03:03

WTIO31 PGTW 300300 RRA
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 013//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 013
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
300000Z --- NEAR 11.8N 86.5E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 320 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 11.8N 86.5E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
301200Z --- 13.1N 85.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

>

2019-04-30 02:41

WTIO51 PGTW 300300
WARNING ATCG MIL 01B NIO 190430012747
2019043000 01B FANI 013 01 320 09 SATL 030
T000 118N 0865E 085 R064 015 NE QD 015 SE QD 015 SW QD 015 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 105 NE QD 100 SE QD 090 SW QD 085 NW QD
T012 131N 0854E 105 R064 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 050 SE QD 050 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 160 SE QD 120 SW QD 090 NW QD
T024 140N 0847E 110 R064 020 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 060 SE QD 060 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 160 SE QD 130 SW QD 090 NW QD
T036 146N 0847E 110 R064 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 060 SE QD 070 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 170 SE QD 140 SW QD 120 NW QD
T048 154N 0849E 115 R064 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 060 SE QD 080 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 150 NE QD 190 SE QD 150 SW QD 110 NW QD
T072 184N 0860E 105 R064 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 070 SE QD 060 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 150 NE QD 180 SE QD 140 SW QD 070 NW QD
T096 222N 0879E 080 R064 000 NE QD 020 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 010 NE QD 040 SE QD 020 SW QD 000 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 160 SE QD 100 SW QD 060 NW QD
T120 261N 0911E 040
AMP
096HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
120HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 013
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 013
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
300000Z --- NEAR 11.8N 86.5E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 320 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 11.8N 86.5E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
301200Z --- 13.1N 85.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
010000Z --- 14.0N 84.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
011200Z --- 14.6N 84.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
020000Z --- 15.4N 84.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
030000Z --- 18.4N 86.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
040000Z --- 22.2N 87.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
050000Z --- 26.1N 91.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
300300Z POSITION NEAR 12.1N 86.2E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 657 NM SOUTH
OF CALCUTTA, INDIA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER
THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 300000Z IS 28 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 300900Z, 301500Z, 302100Z AND 010300Z.
//
0119042518 21N 905E 25
0119042600 26N 905E 25
0119042606 30N 905E 30
0119042612 34N 905E 30
0119042618 39N 903E 30
0119042700 45N 900E 35
0119042706 54N 898E 45
0119042712 62N 893E 45
0119042718 67N 887E 45
0119042800 71N 882E 50
0119042800 71N 882E 50
0119042806 73N 883E 50
0119042806 73N 883E 50
0119042812 75N 883E 45
0119042818 81N 881E 45
0119042900 88N 878E 45
0119042906 96N 873E 50
0119042906 96N 873E 50
0119042912 103N 871E 55
0119042912 103N 871E 55
0119042918 111N 871E 65
0119042918 111N 871E 65
0119042918 111N 871E 65
0119043000 118N 865E 85
0119043000 118N 865E 85
0119043000 118N 865E 85
NNNN

>

2019-04-30 02:41

WTIO31 PGTW 300300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 013//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 013
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
300000Z --- NEAR 11.8N 86.5E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 320 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 11.8N 86.5E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
301200Z --- 13.1N 85.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
010000Z --- 14.0N 84.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
011200Z --- 14.6N 84.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
020000Z --- 15.4N 84.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
030000Z --- 18.4N 86.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
040000Z --- 22.2N 87.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
050000Z --- 26.1N 91.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
300300Z POSITION NEAR 12.1N 86.2E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 657 NM SOUTH
OF CALCUTTA, INDIA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER
THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY
SHOWS THAT THE CONVECTIVE STRUCTURE OF THE SYSTEM HAS DEEPENED AND
HAS BECOME MORE SYMMETRICAL. THERE IS HIGH CONFIDENCE IN THE INITIAL
POSITION BASED ON THE COMPACT RAIN BANDS WRAPPING TIGHTLY INTO THE
MICROWAVE EYE SEEN IN A 292336Z GMI 89GHZ IMAGE. THE INITIAL
INTENSITY OF 85 KTS IS CONSISTENT WITH THE DVORAK INTENSITY
ESTIMATES OF T4.5-5.0 (77-90 KTS) AND A 291958Z SATCON ESTIMATE OF
82 KTS. LOW (10-15 KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS), WARM (30-31
CELSIUS) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE, AND GOOD EQUATORWARD AND POLEWARD
OUTFLOW CHANNELS ARE FAVORABLE FOR FURTHER INTENSIFICATION. TC 01B
IS TRACKING ALONG THE SOUTHWEST PERIPHERY OF A SUBTROPICAL RIDGE
(STR). AROUND TAU 24, THE CYCLONE WILL ROUND THE STR AXIS AND TURN
NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD. LANDFALL ALONG THE NORTHEAST COAST OF INDIA IS
EXPECTED AROUND TAU 96. THERE IS POOR AGREEMENT IN THE INTENSITY
GUIDANCE THROUGH TAU 72 AS THE SYSTEM BEGINS TO RECURVE AROUND THE
AFOREMENTIONED STR. THE TRACK GUIDANCE IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH
LANDFALL, WITH THE EXCEPTION OF NAVGEM DISMISSED 150NM TO THE EAST
OF CONSENSUS AT TAU 72. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 300000Z
IS 28 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 300900Z, 301500Z, 302100Z AND 010300Z.//
NNNN

>

2019-04-29 21:19

WTIO31 PGTW 292100 RRA
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 012//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 012
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
291800Z --- NEAR 11.1N 87.1E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 050 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 11.1N 87.1E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
300600Z --- 12.5N 86.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

>

2019-04-29 21:10

WTIO31 PGTW 292100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 012//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 012
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
291800Z --- NEAR 11.1N 87.1E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 050 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 11.1N 87.1E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
300600Z --- 12.5N 86.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
301800Z --- 13.6N 85.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
010600Z --- 14.4N 84.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
011800Z --- 14.9N 84.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
021800Z --- 17.6N 85.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
031800Z --- 20.7N 86.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
041800Z --- 24.0N 89.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
292100Z POSITION NEAR 11.4N 86.9E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 694 NM SOUTH
OF CALCUTTA, INDIA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE
PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS
SIGNIFICANT CONSOLIDATION IN THE CONVECTIVE STRUCTURE. THERE IS
MODERATE CONFIDENCE IN THE INITIAL POSITION BASED ON THE LOW LEVEL
CIRCULATION SEEN IN A 291504Z AMSU 89GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE. THE
INITIAL INTENSITY OF 65 KTS IS CONSISTENT WITH THE PGTW DVORAK
ESTIMATE OF T4.0 (65 KTS) AND A 292015Z ADT ESTIMATE OF 59 KTS. LOW
(10-15 KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS), WARM (30-31 CELSIUS) SEA
SURFACE TEMPERATURE, AND GOOD EQUATORWARD AND POLEWARD OUTFLOW
CHANNELS ARE FAVORABLE FOR INTENSIFICATION. TC 01B IS TRACKING ALONG
THE SOUTHWEST PERIPHERY OF A SUBTROPICAL RIDGE (STR). AROUND TAU 36,
THE CYCLONE WILL ROUND THE STR AXIS AND TURN NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD.
LANDFALL ALONG THE NORTHEAST COAST OF INDIA IS EXPECTED AROUND TAU
96. FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS WILL ALLOW FOR CONTINUED
INTENSIFICATION UNTIL LANDFALL. TRACK GUIDANCE IS IN GOOD CONFIDENCE
THROUGH TAU 24 WITH INDICATION OF RAPID INTENSIFICATION IN THE NEXT
24 HOURS AND CONTINUED INTENSIFICATION THROUGH TAU 96. HOWEVER, PAST
TAU 24, HWRF AND DSHA SHOW A MOMENTARY DROP IN INTENSITY AS BOTH
MEMBERS DECOUPLE FROM ICNW. PAST TAU 72, THERE IS GOOD AGREEMENT IN
THE INTENSITY GUIDANCE. THE TRACK GUIDANCE IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT
THROUGH TAU 48, WITH FAIR CONFIDENCE THROUGH LANDFALL. THE JTWC
TRACK FORECAST IS SHIFTED WEST OF CONSENSUS TO OFFSET THE INFLUENCE
OF NAVGEM. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 291800Z IS 25 FEET.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 300300Z, 300900Z, 301500Z AND 302100Z.//
NNNN

>

2019-04-29 14:05

WTIO51 PGTW 291500 RRA
WARNING ATCG MIL 01B NIO 190429132300
2019042912 01B FANI 011 01 320 08 SATL 025
T000 102N 0868E 055 R050 045 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R034
125 NE QD 105 SE QD 085 SW QD 100 NW QD
T012 115N 0859E 060 R050 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 020 NW QD R034
100 NE QD 120 SE QD 140 SW QD 080 NW QD
T024 128N 0849E 065 R064 000 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 000 NW QD R050
010 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 090 NE QD 130 SE QD
170 SW QD 070 NW QD
T036 137N 0841E 070 R064 010 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 010 NW QD R050
020 NE QD 030 SE QD 040 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 130 SE QD
160 SW QD 080 NW QD
T048 144N 0839E 080 R064 000 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 000 NW QD R050
020 NE QD 030 SE QD 050 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 140 SE QD
130 SW QD 110 NW QD
T072 165N 0844E 100 R064 010 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 020 NW QD R050
040 NE QD 050 SE QD 050 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 150 SE QD
120 SW QD 100 NW QD
T096 195N 0854E 110 R064 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 010 NW QD R050
050 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 160 SE QD
110 SW QD 060 NW QD
T120 228N 0875E 060 R050 020 NE QD 025 SE QD 020 SW QD 000 NW QD R034
080 NE QD 120 SE QD 080 SW QD 020 NW QD
AMP
120HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 011
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 011
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
291200Z --- NEAR 10.2N 86.8E

>

2019-04-29 14:05

WTIO31 PGTW 291500 RRA
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 011//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 011
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
291200Z --- NEAR 10.2N 86.8E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 320 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 10.2N 86.8E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
300000Z --- 11.5N 85.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

>

2019-04-29 13:58

WTIO51 PGTW 291500
WARNING ATCG MIL 01B NIO 190429132300
2019042912 01B FANI 011 01 320 08 SATL 025
T000 102N 0868E 055 R050 045 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 125 NE QD 105 SE QD 085 SW QD 100 NW QD
T012 115N 0859E 060 R050 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 120 SE QD 140 SW QD 080 NW QD
T024 128N 0849E 065 R064 000 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 010 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 090 NE QD 130 SE QD 170 SW QD 070 NW QD
T036 137N 0841E 070 R064 010 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 020 NE QD 030 SE QD 040 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 130 SE QD 160 SW QD 080 NW QD
T048 144N 0839E 080 R064 000 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 020 NE QD 030 SE QD 050 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 140 SE QD 130 SW QD 110 NW QD
T072 165N 0844E 100 R064 010 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 050 SE QD 050 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 150 SE QD 120 SW QD 100 NW QD
T096 195N 0854E 110 R064 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 160 SE QD 110 SW QD 060 NW QD
T120 228N 0875E 060 R050 020 NE QD 025 SE QD 020 SW QD 000 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 120 SE QD 080 SW QD 020 NW QD
AMP
120HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 011
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 011
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
291200Z --- NEAR 10.2N 86.8E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 320 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 10.2N 86.8E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
300000Z --- 11.5N 85.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
301200Z --- 12.8N 84.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
010000Z --- 13.7N 84.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
011200Z --- 14.4N 83.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
021200Z --- 16.5N 84.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
031200Z --- 19.5N 85.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
041200Z --- 22.8N 87.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
291500Z POSITION NEAR 10.5N 86.6E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 01B (FANI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 420 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF CHENNAI, INDIA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS (KTS) OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 291200Z IS 23 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 292100Z, 300300Z, 300900Z AND 301500Z.//
0119042518 21N 905E 25
0119042600 26N 905E 25
0119042606 30N 905E 30
0119042612 34N 905E 30
0119042618 39N 903E 30
0119042700 45N 900E 35
0119042706 54N 898E 45
0119042712 62N 893E 45
0119042718 67N 887E 45
0119042800 71N 882E 50
0119042800 71N 882E 50
0119042806 73N 883E 50
0119042806 73N 883E 50
0119042812 75N 883E 45
0119042818 81N 881E 45
0119042900 88N 878E 45
0119042906 96N 873E 50
0119042906 96N 873E 50
0119042912 102N 868E 55
0119042912 102N 868E 55
NNNN

>

2019-04-29 13:58

WTIO51 PGTW 291400
WARNING ATCG MIL 01B NIO 190429132300
2019042912 01B FANI 011 01 320 08 SATL 025
T000 102N 0868E 055 R050 045 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 125 NE QD 105 SE QD 085 SW QD 100 NW QD
T012 115N 0859E 060 R050 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 120 SE QD 140 SW QD 080 NW QD
T024 128N 0849E 065 R064 000 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 010 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 090 NE QD 130 SE QD 170 SW QD 070 NW QD
T036 137N 0841E 070 R064 010 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 020 NE QD 030 SE QD 040 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 130 SE QD 160 SW QD 080 NW QD
T048 144N 0839E 080 R064 000 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 020 NE QD 030 SE QD 050 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 140 SE QD 130 SW QD 110 NW QD
T072 165N 0844E 100 R064 010 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 050 SE QD 050 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 150 SE QD 120 SW QD 100 NW QD
T096 195N 0854E 110 R064 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 160 SE QD 110 SW QD 060 NW QD
T120 228N 0875E 060 R050 020 NE QD 025 SE QD 020 SW QD 000 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 120 SE QD 080 SW QD 020 NW QD
AMP
120HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 011
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 011
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
291200Z --- NEAR 10.2N 86.8E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 320 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 10.2N 86.8E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
300000Z --- 11.5N 85.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
301200Z --- 12.8N 84.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
010000Z --- 13.7N 84.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
011200Z --- 14.4N 83.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
021200Z --- 16.5N 84.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
031200Z --- 19.5N 85.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
041200Z --- 22.8N 87.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
291500Z POSITION NEAR 10.5N 86.6E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 01B (FANI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 420 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF CHENNAI, INDIA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS (KTS) OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 291200Z IS 23 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 292100Z, 300300Z, 300900Z AND 301500Z.//
0119042518 21N 905E 25
0119042600 26N 905E 25
0119042606 30N 905E 30
0119042612 34N 905E 30
0119042618 39N 903E 30
0119042700 45N 900E 35
0119042706 54N 898E 45
0119042712 62N 893E 45
0119042718 67N 887E 45
0119042800 71N 882E 50
0119042800 71N 882E 50
0119042806 73N 883E 50
0119042806 73N 883E 50
0119042812 75N 883E 45
0119042818 81N 881E 45
0119042900 88N 878E 45
0119042906 96N 873E 50
0119042906 96N 873E 50
0119042912 102N 868E 55
0119042912 102N 868E 55
NNNN

>

2019-04-29 13:58

WTIO31 PGTW 291500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 011//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 011
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
291200Z --- NEAR 10.2N 86.8E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 320 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 10.2N 86.8E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
300000Z --- 11.5N 85.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
301200Z --- 12.8N 84.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
010000Z --- 13.7N 84.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
011200Z --- 14.4N 83.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
021200Z --- 16.5N 84.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
031200Z --- 19.5N 85.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
041200Z --- 22.8N 87.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
291500Z POSITION NEAR 10.5N 86.6E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 01B (FANI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 420 NM EAST-
SOUTHEAST OF CHENNAI, INDIA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS
(KTS) OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE
IMAGERY REVEALS SIGNIFICANT CONSOLIDATION IN THE CONVECTIVE
STRUCTURE AND A BETTER IDEA OF THE LOCATION OF THE LOW LEVEL
CIRCULATION CENTER. THERE IS HIGH CONFIDENCE IN THE INITIAL POSITION
BASED ON AN EYE FEATURE IN A 291206Z GMI 37 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE. THE
INITIAL INTENSITY OF 55 KTS IS CONSISTENT WITH THE PGTW DVORAK
ESTIMATE OF T3.5 (55 KTS). LOW (10-15 KT) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS),
WARM (30-31 CELSIUS) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE, AND GOOD EQUATORWARD
AND POLEWARD OUTFLOW CHANNELS ARE FAVORABLE FOR INTENSIFICATION. TC
01B IS TRACKING ALONG THE SOUTHWEST PERIPHERY OF A SUBTROPICAL RIDGE
(STR). AROUND TAU 36, THE CYCLONE WILL ROUND THE STR AXIS AND TURN
NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD. LANDFALL ALONG THE COAST OF NORTHEAST INDIA IS
EXPECTED AROUND TAU 96. FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS WILL
ALLOW FOR CONTINUED INTENSIFICATION UNTIL LANDFALL. THE MESOSCALE
MODEL GUIDANCE IS SPLIT ON HOW INTENSE 01B WILL BECOME. THE JTWC
TRACK FORECAST MORE CLOSELY FOLLOWS HWRF TO A PEAK OF 110 KTS AS IT
MAKES LANDFALL (TAU 96). THE TRACK GUIDANCE IS IN FAIR AGREEMENT,
PARTICULARLY AFTER ROUNDING THE STR AXIS. THE ONLY EXCEPTION IS
NAVGEM WHICH LIES EAST OF THE OTHER MEMBERS. THERE IS FAIR
CONFIDENCE IN THE JTWC TRACK FORECAST WHICH IS SHIFTED WEST OF
CONSENSUS TO OFFSET THE INFLUENCE OF NAVGEM. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT
WAVE HEIGHT AT 291200Z IS 23 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 292100Z,
300300Z, 300900Z AND 301500Z.//
NNNN

>

2019-04-29 13:58

WTIO31 PGTW 291400
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 011//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 011
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
291200Z --- NEAR 10.2N 86.8E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 320 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 10.2N 86.8E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
300000Z --- 11.5N 85.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
301200Z --- 12.8N 84.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
010000Z --- 13.7N 84.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
011200Z --- 14.4N 83.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
021200Z --- 16.5N 84.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
031200Z --- 19.5N 85.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
041200Z --- 22.8N 87.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
291500Z POSITION NEAR 10.5N 86.6E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 01B (FANI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 420 NM EAST-
SOUTHEAST OF CHENNAI, INDIA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS
(KTS) OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE
IMAGERY REVEALS SIGNIFICANT CONSOLIDATION IN THE CONVECTIVE
STRUCTURE AND A BETTER IDEA OF THE LOCATION OF THE LOW LEVEL
CIRCULATION CENTER. THERE IS HIGH CONFIDENCE IN THE INITIAL POSITION
BASED ON AN EYE FEATURE IN A 291206Z GMI 37 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE. THE
INITIAL INTENSITY OF 55 KTS IS CONSISTENT WITH THE PGTW DVORAK
ESTIMATE OF T3.5 (55 KTS). LOW (10-15 KT) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS),
WARM (30-31 CELSIUS) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE, AND GOOD EQUATORWARD
AND POLEWARD OUTFLOW CHANNELS ARE FAVORABLE FOR INTENSIFICATION. TC
01B IS TRACKING ALONG THE SOUTHWEST PERIPHERY OF A SUBTROPICAL RIDGE
(STR). AROUND TAU 36, THE CYCLONE WILL ROUND THE STR AXIS AND TURN
NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD. LANDFALL ALONG THE COAST OF NORTHEAST INDIA IS
EXPECTED AROUND TAU 96. FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS WILL
ALLOW FOR CONTINUED INTENSIFICATION UNTIL LANDFALL. THE MESOSCALE
MODEL GUIDANCE IS SPLIT ON HOW INTENSE 01B WILL BECOME. THE JTWC
TRACK FORECAST MORE CLOSELY FOLLOWS HWRF TO A PEAK OF 110 KTS AS IT
MAKES LANDFALL (TAU 96). THE TRACK GUIDANCE IS IN FAIR AGREEMENT,
PARTICULARLY AFTER ROUNDING THE STR AXIS. THE ONLY EXCEPTION IS
NAVGEM WHICH LIES EAST OF THE OTHER MEMBERS. THERE IS FAIR
CONFIDENCE IN THE JTWC TRACK FORECAST WHICH IS SHIFTED WEST OF
CONSENSUS TO OFFSET THE INFLUENCE OF NAVGEM. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT
WAVE HEIGHT AT 291200Z IS 23 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 292100Z,
300300Z, 300900Z AND 301500Z.//
NNNN

>

2019-04-29 08:25

WTIO51 PGTW 290900 RRA
WARNING ATCG MIL 01B NIO 190429075007
2019042906 01B FANI 010 01 315 10 SATL 045
T000 095N 0871E 045 R034 090 NE QD 075 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD
T012 107N 0863E 050 R050 010 NE QD 010 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R034
110 NE QD 120 SE QD 070 SW QD 050 NW QD
T024 118N 0854E 055 R050 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 000 NW QD R034
110 NE QD 140 SE QD 140 SW QD 070 NW QD
T036 130N 0844E 065 R064 000 NE QD 010 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R050
020 NE QD 020 SE QD 030 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 140 SE QD
140 SW QD 080 NW QD
T048 138N 0841E 070 R064 000 NE QD 000 SE QD 010 SW QD 000 NW QD R050
020 NE QD 030 SE QD 040 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 140 SE QD
140 SW QD 090 NW QD
T072 156N 0845E 095 R064 010 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 010 NW QD R050
030 NE QD 050 SE QD 050 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 130 SE QD
120 SW QD 100 NW QD
T096 185N 0854E 110 R064 020 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 020 NW QD R050
050 NE QD 070 SE QD 050 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 150 SE QD
100 SW QD 060 NW QD
T120 216N 0871E 080 R064 010 NE QD 020 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R050
020 NE QD 060 SE QD 030 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 090 NE QD 130 SE QD
110 SW QD 070 NW QD
AMP
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 010
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 010
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
290600Z --- NEAR 9.5N 87.1E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE

>

2019-04-29 08:25

WTIO31 PGTW 290900 RRA
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 010//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 010
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
290600Z --- NEAR 9.5N 87.1E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 9.5N 87.1E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
291800Z --- 10.7N 86.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
300600Z --- 11.8N 85.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

>

2019-04-29 08:17

WTIO51 PGTW 290900
WARNING ATCG MIL 01B NIO 190429075007
2019042906 01B FANI 010 01 315 10 SATL 045
T000 095N 0871E 045 R034 090 NE QD 075 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD
T012 107N 0863E 050 R050 010 NE QD 010 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R034 110 NE QD 120 SE QD 070 SW QD 050 NW QD
T024 118N 0854E 055 R050 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 000 NW QD R034 110 NE QD 140 SE QD 140 SW QD 070 NW QD
T036 130N 0844E 065 R064 000 NE QD 010 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 030 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 140 SE QD 140 SW QD 080 NW QD
T048 138N 0841E 070 R064 000 NE QD 000 SE QD 010 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 020 NE QD 030 SE QD 040 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 140 SE QD 140 SW QD 090 NW QD
T072 156N 0845E 095 R064 010 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 030 NE QD 050 SE QD 050 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 130 SE QD 120 SW QD 100 NW QD
T096 185N 0854E 110 R064 020 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 070 SE QD 050 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 150 SE QD 100 SW QD 060 NW QD
T120 216N 0871E 080 R064 010 NE QD 020 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 020 NE QD 060 SE QD 030 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 090 NE QD 130 SE QD 110 SW QD 070 NW QD
AMP
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 010
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 010
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
290600Z --- NEAR 9.5N 87.1E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 9.5N 87.1E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
291800Z --- 10.7N 86.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
300600Z --- 11.8N 85.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
301800Z --- 13.0N 84.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
010600Z --- 13.8N 84.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
020600Z --- 15.6N 84.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
030600Z --- 18.5N 85.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
040600Z --- 21.6N 87.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
290900Z POSITION NEAR 9.8N 86.9E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 01B (FANI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 450 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF CHENNAI, INDIA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS (KTS) OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 290600Z IS 18 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 291500Z, 292100Z, 300300Z AND 300900Z.//
0119042518 21N 905E 25
0119042600 26N 905E 25
0119042606 30N 905E 30
0119042612 34N 905E 30
0119042618 39N 903E 30
0119042700 45N 900E 35
0119042706 54N 898E 45
0119042712 62N 893E 45
0119042718 67N 887E 45
0119042800 71N 882E 50
0119042800 71N 882E 50
0119042806 73N 883E 50
0119042806 73N 883E 50
0119042812 75N 883E 45
0119042818 81N 881E 45
0119042900 88N 878E 45
0119042906 95N 871E 45
NNNN

>

2019-04-29 08:17

WTIO31 PGTW 290900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 010//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 010
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
290600Z --- NEAR 9.5N 87.1E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 9.5N 87.1E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
291800Z --- 10.7N 86.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
300600Z --- 11.8N 85.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
301800Z --- 13.0N 84.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
010600Z --- 13.8N 84.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
020600Z --- 15.6N 84.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
030600Z --- 18.5N 85.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
040600Z --- 21.6N 87.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
290900Z POSITION NEAR 9.8N 86.9E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 01B (FANI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 450 NM EAST-
SOUTHEAST OF CHENNAI, INDIA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS
(KTS) OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE
IMAGERY REVEALS ISOLATED DEEP CONVECTION SOUTH OF THE LOW LEVEL
CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) AND SPIRAL RAIN BANDS PRIMARILY TO THE
NORTH. THERE IS LOW CONFIDENCE IN THE INITIAL POSITION BECAUSE THE
LLCC IS NOT CLEARLY DEFINED, AS EVIDENCED IN A 290359Z MHS 89 GHZ
MICROWAVE IMAGE. THE INITIAL INTENSITY OF 45 KTS IS CONSISTENT WITH
THE PGTW AND KNES DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF T3.0 (45
KTS). THE ENVIRONMENT IS SUPPORTIVE OVERALL WITH MODERATE (15-20 KT)
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, GOOD OUTFLOW TO THE WEST AND NORTH, AND WARM
(30-31 CELSIUS) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE. TC 01B IS TRACKING ALONG
THE SOUTHWEST PERIPHERY OF A SUBTROPICAL RIDGE (STR). AROUND TAU 36-
48, TC 01B WILL ROUND THE STR AXIS AND BEGIN TRACKING NORTH-
NORTHEASTWARD. AROUND TAU 120, THE CYCLONE SHOULD MAKE LANDFALL IN
NORTHERN INDIA. THE ENVIRONMENT WILL REMAIN SUPPORTIVE, AND THE
CURRENT FORECAST CALLS FOR STEADY INTENSIFICATION TO 110 KTS BY TAU
96. THE SPREAD IN THE INTENSITY GUIDANCE IS FAIRLY SUBSTANTIAL. THE
JTWC INTENSITY FORECAST SPLITS THE DIFFERENCE BETWEEN THE MESOSCALE
MODELS THROUGH TAU 72-96. AT THAT POINT, THE INTENSITY GUIDANCE
TRACKERS MAKE LANDFALL AND DISSIPATE THE SYSTEM MORE QUICKLY THAN
THE JTWC FORECAST. THE GLOBAL MODEL TRACKERS ARE IN GOOD GENERAL
AGREEMENT WITH THE JTWC TRACK FORECAST BUT THERE IS LOW CONFIDENCE
IN THE JTWC FORECAST BECAUSE OF HIGH UNCERTAINTY IN THE INITIAL
POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 290600Z IS 18 FEET.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 291500Z, 292100Z, 300300Z AND 300900Z.//
NNNN

>

2019-04-29 02:46

WTIO51 PGTW 290300 RRA
WARNING ATCG MIL 01B NIO 190429011901
2019042900 01B FANI 009 01 295 08 SATL 025
T000 083N 0874E 045 R034 070 NE QD 075 SE QD 075 SW QD 060 NW QD
T012 095N 0867E 055 R050 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 010 NW QD R034
090 NE QD 090 SE QD 090 SW QD 090 NW QD
T024 108N 0857E 065 R064 010 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 000 NW QD R050
020 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 090 NE QD 110 SE QD
100 SW QD 090 NW QD
T036 117N 0849E 075 R064 020 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 010 NW QD R050
030 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 090 NE QD 130 SE QD
120 SW QD 090 NW QD
T048 123N 0844E 080 R064 020 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 010 NW QD R050
030 NE QD 040 SE QD 050 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 090 NE QD 130 SE QD
130 SW QD 080 NW QD
T072 138N 0845E 095 R064 020 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 020 NW QD R050
040 NE QD 050 SE QD 050 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 140 SE QD
140 SW QD 100 NW QD
T096 160N 0854E 110 R064 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 030 NW QD R050
050 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 140 SE QD
110 SW QD 090 NW QD
T120 187N 0865E 085 R064 020 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 020 NW QD R050
040 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 140 SE QD
110 SW QD 060 NW QD
AMP
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 009
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 007
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
281200Z --- NEAR 8.5N 86.9E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 320 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM

>

2019-04-29 02:46

WTIO31 PGTW 290300 RRA
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 009//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 009
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
290000Z --- NEAR 8.3N 87.4E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 8.3N 87.4E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
291200Z --- 9.5N 86.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
300000Z --- 10.8N 85.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

>

2019-04-29 02:30

WTIO51 PGTW 290300
WARNING ATCG MIL 01B NIO 190429011901
2019042900 01B FANI 009 01 295 08 SATL 025
T000 083N 0874E 045 R034 070 NE QD 075 SE QD 075 SW QD 060 NW QD
T012 095N 0867E 055 R050 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 090 NE QD 090 SE QD 090 SW QD 090 NW QD
T024 108N 0857E 065 R064 010 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 020 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 090 NE QD 110 SE QD 100 SW QD 090 NW QD
T036 117N 0849E 075 R064 020 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 090 NE QD 130 SE QD 120 SW QD 090 NW QD
T048 123N 0844E 080 R064 020 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 050 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 090 NE QD 130 SE QD 130 SW QD 080 NW QD
T072 138N 0845E 095 R064 020 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 050 SE QD 050 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 140 SE QD 140 SW QD 100 NW QD
T096 160N 0854E 110 R064 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 140 SE QD 110 SW QD 090 NW QD
T120 187N 0865E 085 R064 020 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 140 SE QD 110 SW QD 060 NW QD
AMP
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 009
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 007
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
281200Z --- NEAR 8.5N 86.9E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 320 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 8.5N 86.9E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
290000Z --- 9.5N 86.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
291200Z --- 10.8N 85.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
300000Z --- 11.9N 84.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
301200Z --- 13.0N 83.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
011200Z --- 14.3N 83.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
021200Z --- 15.9N 83.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
031200Z --- 18.6N 84.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
281500Z POSITION NEAR 8.8N 86.7E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 01B (FANI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 475 NM SOUTHEAST OF CHENNAI, INDIA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS (KTS) OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 281200Z IS 19 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 282100Z, 290300Z, 290900Z AND 291500Z.//
0119042518 21N 905E 25
0119042600 26N 905E 25
0119042606 30N 905E 30
0119042612 34N 905E 30
0119042618 39N 903E 30
0119042700 45N 900E 35
0119042706 54N 898E 45
0119042712 62N 893E 45
0119042718 67N 887E 45
0119042800 70N 882E 50
0119042800 70N 882E 50
0119042806 77N 876E 50
0119042806 77N 876E 50
0119042812 85N 869E 45
NNNN

>

2019-04-29 02:30

WTIO31 PGTW 290300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 009//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 009
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
290000Z --- NEAR 8.3N 87.4E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 8.3N 87.4E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
291200Z --- 9.5N 86.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
300000Z --- 10.8N 85.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
301200Z --- 11.7N 84.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
010000Z --- 12.3N 84.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
020000Z --- 13.8N 84.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
030000Z --- 16.0N 85.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
040000Z --- 18.7N 86.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
290300Z POSITION NEAR 8.6N 87.2E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 01B (FANI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 506 NM EAST-
SOUTHEAST OF CHENNAI, INDIA, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE
IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO STRUGGLE AS THE MAIN CONVECTION
IS SHEARED WESTWARD OF AN OBSCURED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION (LLC). THE
INITIAL POSITION IS PLACED WITH FAIR CONFIDENCE BASED ON A RAGGED BUT
DEFINED LLC IN THE 282323Z SSMIS 37GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE. THE INITIAL
INTENSITY IS BASED ON THE DVORAK ESTIMATES OF T3.0/45KTS FROM PGTW
AND KNES. THE SYSTEM IS IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH MODERATE
(15-20 KNOT) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS), EXCELLENT POLEWARD AND
WESTWARD OUTFLOW, AND WARM (31C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. THE
CYCLONE IS TRACKING ALONG THE SOUTHWEST PERIPHERY OF A SUBTROPICAL
RIDGE (STR) TO THE NORTHEAST AND WILL BE ITS PRIMARY STEERING
MECHANISM THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST. AFTER TAU 48, IT WILL BEGIN TO
ROUND THE STR AXIS AND TURN NORTHEASTWARD. THE VWS IS EXPECTED TO
WEAKEN, AND ALONG WITH THE OTHER FAVORABLE DYNAMICS, WILL PROMOTE A
STEADY, POSSIBLY RAPID, INTENSIFICATION TO A PEAK OF 110 KNOTS BY TAU
96. AFTERWARD, INCREASING VWS WILL TRIGGER A WEAKENING PHASE. THE
AVAILABLE NUMERICAL MODELS SPREAD OUT TO JUST OVER 140 NM AT TAU 72
BUT ARE IN OVERALL GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE TRACK. HOWEVER, GIVEN THE
FORMATIVE NATURE OF THE CYCLONE AND THE RECENT ERRATIC STORM MOTION,
THERE IS LOW CONFIDENCE IN THE JTWC TRACK FORECAST. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 290000Z IS 19 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
290900Z, 291500Z, 292100Z AND 300300Z.//
NNNN

>

2019-04-28 20:40

WTIO51 PGTW 282100 RRA
WARNING ATCG MIL 01B NIO 190428193958
2019042818 01B FANI 008A 01 340 05 SATL 020
T000 080N 0881E 045 R034 085 NE QD 070 SE QD 045 SW QD 075 NW QD
T012 091N 0875E 055 R050 010 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 000 NW QD R034
070 NE QD 110 SE QD 110 SW QD 060 NW QD
T024 102N 0866E 065 R064 000 NE QD 010 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R050
010 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 130 SE QD
110 SW QD 080 NW QD
T036 113N 0857E 075 R064 010 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 000 NW QD R050
020 NE QD 030 SE QD 040 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 110 NE QD 130 SE QD
100 SW QD 100 NW QD
T048 120N 0851E 085 R064 010 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 000 NW QD R050
030 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 160 SE QD
110 SW QD 110 NW QD
T072 131N 0846E 100 R064 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R050
030 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 140 SE QD
130 SW QD 090 NW QD
T096 148N 0852E 115 R064 020 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 020 NW QD R050
050 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 140 SE QD
110 SW QD 090 NW QD
T120 171N 0862E 105 R064 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 000 NW QD R050
060 NE QD 070 SE QD 050 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 160 SE QD
100 SW QD 070 NW QD
AMP
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 008A RELOCATED
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 007
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
281200Z --- NEAR 8.5N 86.9E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 320 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM

>

2019-04-28 20:40

WTIO31 PGTW 282100 RRA
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 008A RELOCATED//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 008A RELOCATED
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
281800Z --- NEAR 8.0N 88.1E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 340 DEGREES AT 05 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 8.0N 88.1E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
290600Z --- 9.1N 87.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
291800Z --- 10.2N 86.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT

>

2019-04-28 20:33

WTIO51 PGTW 282100
WARNING ATCG MIL 01B NIO 190428193958
2019042818 01B FANI 008A 01 340 05 SATL 020
T000 080N 0881E 045 R034 085 NE QD 070 SE QD 045 SW QD 075 NW QD
T012 091N 0875E 055 R050 010 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 000 NW QD R034 070 NE QD 110 SE QD 110 SW QD 060 NW QD
T024 102N 0866E 065 R064 000 NE QD 010 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 010 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 130 SE QD 110 SW QD 080 NW QD
T036 113N 0857E 075 R064 010 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 020 NE QD 030 SE QD 040 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 110 NE QD 130 SE QD 100 SW QD 100 NW QD
T048 120N 0851E 085 R064 010 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 160 SE QD 110 SW QD 110 NW QD
T072 131N 0846E 100 R064 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 140 SE QD 130 SW QD 090 NW QD
T096 148N 0852E 115 R064 020 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 140 SE QD 110 SW QD 090 NW QD
T120 171N 0862E 105 R064 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 070 SE QD 050 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 160 SE QD 100 SW QD 070 NW QD
AMP
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 008A RELOCATED
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 007
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
281200Z --- NEAR 8.5N 86.9E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 320 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 8.5N 86.9E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
290000Z --- 9.5N 86.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
291200Z --- 10.8N 85.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
300000Z --- 11.9N 84.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
301200Z --- 13.0N 83.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
011200Z --- 14.3N 83.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
021200Z --- 15.9N 83.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
031200Z --- 18.6N 84.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
281500Z POSITION NEAR 8.8N 86.7E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 01B (FANI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 475 NM SOUTHEAST OF CHENNAI, INDIA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS (KTS) OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 281200Z IS 19 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 282100Z, 290300Z, 290900Z AND 291500Z.//
0119042518 21N 905E 25
0119042600 26N 905E 25
0119042606 30N 905E 30
0119042612 34N 905E 30
0119042618 39N 903E 30
0119042700 45N 900E 35
0119042706 54N 898E 45
0119042712 62N 893E 45
0119042718 67N 887E 45
0119042800 70N 882E 50
0119042800 70N 882E 50
0119042806 77N 876E 50
0119042806 77N 876E 50
0119042812 85N 869E 45
NNNN

>

2019-04-28 20:33

WTIO31 PGTW 282100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 008A RELOCATED//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 008A RELOCATED
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
281800Z --- NEAR 8.0N 88.1E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 340 DEGREES AT 05 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 8.0N 88.1E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
290600Z --- 9.1N 87.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
291800Z --- 10.2N 86.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
300600Z --- 11.3N 85.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
301800Z --- 12.0N 85.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
011800Z --- 13.1N 84.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
021800Z --- 14.8N 85.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
031800Z --- 17.1N 86.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
282100Z POSITION NEAR 8.3N 88.0E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 01B (FANI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 492 NM EAST
OF COLOMBO, SRI LANKA, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY
SHOWS THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO STRUGGLE TO CONSOLIDATE AS THE CENTRAL
CONVECTION IS SHEARED WESTWARD OF A FLARING CENTRAL CONVECTION THAT
CONTINUES TO OBSCURE THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION (LLC). THE INITIAL
POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE EXTRAPOLATED WITH HIGH CONFIDENCE FROM A
DEFINED LLC IN THE 280525Z BULLSEYE ASCAT PASS AND SUPPORTED BY THE
DVORAK ESTIMATES OF T3.0/45KTS FROM PGTW AND KNES. THE SYSTEM IS IN A
FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS), EXCELLENT
POLEWARD AND WESTWARD OUTFLOW, AND WARM (31C) SEA SURFACE
TEMPERATURES. THE CYCLONE IS TRACKING ALONG THE SOUTHWEST PERIPHERY
OF A SUBTROPICAL RIDGE (STR) TO THE NORTHEAST AND WILL BE ITS PRIMARY
STEERING MECHANISM THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST. BEFORE TAU 72, IT WILL
BEGIN TO ROUND THE STR AXIS AND TURN NORTHEASTWARD. THE FAVORABLE
ENVIRONMENT WILL PREVAIL FOR THE NEXT FOUR DAYS AND PROMOTE A STEADY,
POSSIBLY RAPID, INTENSIFICATION TO A PEAK OF 115 KNOTS BY TAU 96.
AFTERWARD, INCREASING VWS WILL TRIGGER A WEAKENING PHASE. THE
AVAILABLE NUMERICAL MODELS SPREAD OUT TO JUST OVER 150 NM AT TAU 72
BUT ARE IN OVERALL GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE TRACK. HOWEVER, GIVEN THE
FORMATIVE NATURE OF THE CYCLONE AND THE RECENT ERRATIC STORM MOTION,
THERE IS LOW CONFIDENCE IN THE JTWC TRACK FORECAST. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 281800Z IS 19 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
290300Z, 290900Z, 291500Z AND 292100Z.//
NNNN

>

2019-04-28 14:07

WTIO51 PGTW 281500 RRA
WARNING ATCG MIL 01B NIO 190428133333
2019042812 01B FANI 007 01 320 11 SATL 030
T000 085N 0869E 045 R034 080 NE QD 080 SE QD 070 SW QD 085 NW QD
T012 095N 0862E 050 R050 010 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 000 NW QD R034
085 NE QD 110 SE QD 100 SW QD 080 NW QD
T024 108N 0856E 060 R050 010 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 000 NW QD R034
090 NE QD 130 SE QD 120 SW QD 080 NW QD
T036 119N 0847E 070 R064 000 NE QD 010 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R050
020 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 140 SE QD
120 SW QD 100 NW QD
T048 130N 0838E 080 R064 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 010 NW QD R050
030 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 110 NE QD 150 SE QD
120 SW QD 110 NW QD
T072 143N 0831E 100 R064 010 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R050
040 NE QD 050 SE QD 050 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 150 SE QD
140 SW QD 110 NW QD
T096 159N 0836E 115 R064 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 020 NW QD R050
060 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 150 SE QD
120 SW QD 090 NW QD
T120 186N 0845E 095 R064 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 000 NW QD R050
040 NE QD 050 SE QD 050 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 150 SE QD
100 SW QD 060 NW QD
AMP
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 007
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 007
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
281200Z --- NEAR 8.5N 86.9E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 320 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE

>

2019-04-28 14:06

WTIO31 PGTW 281500 RRA
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 007//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 007
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
281200Z --- NEAR 8.5N 86.9E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 320 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 8.5N 86.9E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
290000Z --- 9.5N 86.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
291200Z --- 10.8N 85.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

>

2019-04-28 14:03

WTIO51 PGTW 281500
WARNING ATCG MIL 01B NIO 190428133333
2019042812 01B FANI 007 01 320 11 SATL 030
T000 085N 0869E 045 R034 080 NE QD 080 SE QD 070 SW QD 085 NW QD
T012 095N 0862E 050 R050 010 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 000 NW QD R034 085 NE QD 110 SE QD 100 SW QD 080 NW QD
T024 108N 0856E 060 R050 010 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 000 NW QD R034 090 NE QD 130 SE QD 120 SW QD 080 NW QD
T036 119N 0847E 070 R064 000 NE QD 010 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 020 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 140 SE QD 120 SW QD 100 NW QD
T048 130N 0838E 080 R064 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 030 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 110 NE QD 150 SE QD 120 SW QD 110 NW QD
T072 143N 0831E 100 R064 010 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 050 SE QD 050 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 150 SE QD 140 SW QD 110 NW QD
T096 159N 0836E 115 R064 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 150 SE QD 120 SW QD 090 NW QD
T120 186N 0845E 095 R064 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 050 SE QD 050 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 150 SE QD 100 SW QD 060 NW QD
AMP
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 007
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 007
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
281200Z --- NEAR 8.5N 86.9E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 320 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 8.5N 86.9E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
290000Z --- 9.5N 86.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
291200Z --- 10.8N 85.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
300000Z --- 11.9N 84.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
301200Z --- 13.0N 83.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
011200Z --- 14.3N 83.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
021200Z --- 15.9N 83.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
031200Z --- 18.6N 84.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
281500Z POSITION NEAR 8.8N 86.7E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 01B (FANI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 475 NM SOUTHEAST OF CHENNAI, INDIA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS (KTS) OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 281200Z IS 19 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 282100Z, 290300Z, 290900Z AND 291500Z.//
0119042518 21N 905E 25
0119042600 26N 905E 25
0119042606 30N 905E 30
0119042612 34N 905E 30
0119042618 39N 903E 30
0119042700 45N 900E 35
0119042706 54N 898E 45
0119042712 62N 893E 45
0119042718 67N 887E 45
0119042800 70N 882E 50
0119042800 70N 882E 50
0119042806 77N 876E 50
0119042806 77N 876E 50
0119042812 85N 869E 45
NNNN

>

2019-04-28 14:01

WTIO31 PGTW 281500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 007//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 007
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
281200Z --- NEAR 8.5N 86.9E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 320 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 8.5N 86.9E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
290000Z --- 9.5N 86.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
291200Z --- 10.8N 85.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
300000Z --- 11.9N 84.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
301200Z --- 13.0N 83.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
011200Z --- 14.3N 83.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
021200Z --- 15.9N 83.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
031200Z --- 18.6N 84.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
281500Z POSITION NEAR 8.8N 86.7E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 01B (FANI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 475 NM
SOUTHEAST OF CHENNAI, INDIA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS
(KTS) OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE
IMAGERY REVEALS SIGNIFICANT DECAY IN THE CONVECTIVE STRUCTURE OVER
THE PAST SIX HOURS. THERE IS ONLY ISOLATED DEEP CONVECTION NEAR THE
LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER BUT IT IS LARGELY OBSCURING THE CENTER.
THE INITIAL POSITION IS PLACED WITH FAIR CONFIDENCE BY EXTRAPOLATION
FROM SPIRAL BANDING IN A 280946Z SSMIS 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE. THE
INITIAL INTENSITY OF 45 KTS IS CONSISTENT WITH THE PGTW AND KNES
DVORAK ESTIMATES OF T3.0 (45 KTS). INTENSIFICATION IS BEING
INHIBITED BY MODERATE (20-25 KT) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS) DESPITE
EXCELLENT OUTFLOW TO THE WEST AND WARM (30-31 CELSIUS) SEA SURFACE
TEMPERATURE. TC 01B IS TRACKING ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN PERIPHERY OF
A SUBTROPICAL RIDGE (STR). BY TAU 72, THE SYSTEM WILL BEGIN ROUNDING
THE STR AXIS AND GRADUALLY TURN NORTHEASTWARD. VWS IS EXPECTED TO
DROP OFF IN THE NEXT 6-12 HOURS ALLOWING THE SYSTEM TO INTENSIFY TO
115 KTS BY TAU 96. AFTER TAU 96, VWS SHOULD INCREASE AGAIN, CAUSING
THE INTENSITY TO DROP OFF AS TC 01B APPROACHES INDIA. UNCERTAINTY IN
THE MODEL GUIDANCE IS HIGH WITH THE SPREAD BETWEEN UKMET AND NAVGEM
EXCEEDING 375 NM BY TAU 120. THE JTWC TRACK FORECAST IS HEDGED JUST
EAST OF CONSENSUS TO OFFSET THE WESTERN OUTLIER (UKMET) WITH LOW
CONFIDENCE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 281200Z IS 19 FEET.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 282100Z, 290300Z, 290900Z AND 291500Z.//
NNNN

>

2019-04-28 08:32

WTIO51 PGTW 280900 RRA
WARNING ATCG MIL 01B NIO 190428075646
2019042806 01B FANI 006 01 310 08 SATL 030
T000 075N 0876E 050 R050 045 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R034
075 NE QD 085 SE QD 070 SW QD 075 NW QD
T012 085N 0868E 055 R050 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 000 NW QD R034
080 NE QD 090 SE QD 080 SW QD 070 NW QD
T024 096N 0861E 060 R050 010 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 000 NW QD R034
100 NE QD 100 SE QD 090 SW QD 070 NW QD
T036 105N 0855E 070 R064 010 NE QD 000 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R050
010 NE QD 030 SE QD 010 SW QD 000 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 120 SE QD
110 SW QD 070 NW QD
T048 116N 0848E 080 R064 010 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 000 NW QD R050
030 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 130 SE QD
110 SW QD 070 NW QD
T072 132N 0838E 100 R064 020 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R050
040 NE QD 050 SE QD 050 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 150 SE QD
130 SW QD 100 NW QD
T096 145N 0841E 115 R064 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 020 NW QD R050
050 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 160 SE QD
110 SW QD 090 NW QD
T120 170N 0851E 100 R064 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 020 NW QD R050
060 NE QD 070 SE QD 050 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 160 SE QD
140 SW QD 060 NW QD
AMP
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 006
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 006
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
280600Z --- NEAR 7.5N 87.6E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM

>

2019-04-28 08:25

WTIO31 PGTW 280900 RRA
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 006//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 006
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
280600Z --- NEAR 7.5N 87.6E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 7.5N 87.6E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
281800Z --- 8.5N 86.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

>

2019-04-28 08:23

WTIO51 PGTW 280900
WARNING ATCG MIL 01B NIO 190428075646
2019042806 01B FANI 006 01 310 08 SATL 030
T000 075N 0876E 050 R050 045 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 075 NE QD 085 SE QD 070 SW QD 075 NW QD
T012 085N 0868E 055 R050 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 000 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 090 SE QD 080 SW QD 070 NW QD
T024 096N 0861E 060 R050 010 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 000 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 100 SE QD 090 SW QD 070 NW QD
T036 105N 0855E 070 R064 010 NE QD 000 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 010 NE QD 030 SE QD 010 SW QD 000 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 120 SE QD 110 SW QD 070 NW QD
T048 116N 0848E 080 R064 010 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 130 SE QD 110 SW QD 070 NW QD
T072 132N 0838E 100 R064 020 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 050 SE QD 050 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 150 SE QD 130 SW QD 100 NW QD
T096 145N 0841E 115 R064 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 160 SE QD 110 SW QD 090 NW QD
T120 170N 0851E 100 R064 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 070 SE QD 050 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 160 SE QD 140 SW QD 060 NW QD
AMP
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 006
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 006
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
280600Z --- NEAR 7.5N 87.6E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 7.5N 87.6E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
281800Z --- 8.5N 86.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
290600Z --- 9.6N 86.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
291800Z --- 10.5N 85.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
300600Z --- 11.6N 84.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
010600Z --- 13.2N 83.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
020600Z --- 14.5N 84.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
030600Z --- 17.0N 85.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
280900Z POSITION NEAR 7.8N 87.4E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 01B (FANI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 548 NM SOUTHEAST OF CHENNAI, INDIA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS (KTS) OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 280600Z IS 19 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 281500Z, 282100Z, 290300Z AND 290900Z.//
0119042518 21N 905E 25
0119042600 26N 905E 25
0119042606 30N 905E 30
0119042612 34N 905E 30
0119042618 39N 903E 30
0119042700 45N 900E 35
0119042706 54N 898E 45
0119042712 62N 893E 45
0119042718 67N 887E 45
0119042800 70N 882E 50
0119042800 70N 882E 50
0119042806 75N 876E 50
0119042806 75N 876E 50
NNNN

>

2019-04-28 08:20

WTIO31 PGTW 280900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 006//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 006
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
280600Z --- NEAR 7.5N 87.6E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 7.5N 87.6E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
281800Z --- 8.5N 86.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
290600Z --- 9.6N 86.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
291800Z --- 10.5N 85.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
300600Z --- 11.6N 84.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
010600Z --- 13.2N 83.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
020600Z --- 14.5N 84.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
030600Z --- 17.0N 85.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
280900Z POSITION NEAR 7.8N 87.4E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 01B (FANI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 548 NM
SOUTHEAST OF CHENNAI, INDIA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS
(KTS) OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE
IMAGERY SHOWS SUSTAINED CENTRAL CONVECTION THAT IS OBSCURING THE LOW
LEVEL CIRCULATION. THERE IS FAIR CONFIDENCE IN THE INITIAL POSITION
BASED ON A 280353Z MHS 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE WHICH SHOWS A
DEVELOPING MICROWAVE EYE. THE INITIAL INTENSITY OF 50 KTS IS HEDGED
BETWEEN PGTW AND KNES DVORAK ESTIMATES OF T3.0-T3.5 (45-55 KTS),
RESPECTIVELY. THE ENVIRONMENT, WITH GOOD OUTFLOW, MODERATE-TO-STRONG
(15-25 KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS), AND WARM (30-31 CELSIUS) SEA
SURFACE TEMPERATURE, IS MARGINALLY SUPPORTIVE OF INTENSIFICATION. TC
01B IS TRACKING TOWARD A BREAK IN A SUBTROPICAL RIDGE (STR) TO THE
NORTH. BETWEEN TAU 72 AND 96, THE CYCLONE IS EXPECTED TO ROUND THE
STR AXIS AND BEGIN TRACKING NORTHEASTWARD. AS THE SYSTEM TRACK
POLEWARD, THE VWS IS EXPECTED TO RELAX SOMEWHAT, ALLOWING FOR STEADY
INTENSIFICATION TO A PEAK OF 115 KTS AT TAU 96. BY TAU 120, HIGH VWS
IS EXPECTED TO CAUSE SOME WEAKENING. THERE IS HIGH SPREAD IN THE
MODEL GUIDANCE. GALWEM AND UKMET ARE WELL TO THE WEST OF THE
CONSENSUS TRACK, WHILE THE ECMWF ENSEMBLE MEAN IS WELL TO THE EAST.
THE JTWC TRACK FORECAST IS HEDGED JUST EAST OF THE CONSENSUS TRACK
TO OFFSET THE INFLUENCE OF THE OUTLIERS WITH LOW CONFIDENCE. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 280600Z IS 19 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
281500Z, 282100Z, 290300Z AND 290900Z.//
NNNN

>

2019-04-28 03:09

WTIO51 PGTW 280300 RRA
WARNING ATCG MIL 01B NIO 190428022855
2019042800 01B FANI 005 01 295 08 SATL 025
T000 071N 0881E 050 R050 030 NE QD 020 SE QD 015 SW QD 020 NW QD R034
095 NE QD 065 SE QD 065 SW QD 085 NW QD
T012 082N 0872E 055 R050 000 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 000 NW QD R034
060 NE QD 080 SE QD 090 SW QD 070 NW QD
T024 092N 0866E 060 R050 010 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 000 NW QD R034
090 NE QD 100 SE QD 100 SW QD 070 NW QD
T036 102N 0858E 070 R064 010 NE QD 000 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R050
020 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 000 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 130 SE QD
120 SW QD 070 NW QD
T048 112N 0853E 080 R064 010 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 000 NW QD R050
020 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 140 SE QD
110 SW QD 090 NW QD
T072 127N 0844E 090 R064 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R050
050 NE QD 050 SE QD 050 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 140 SE QD
150 SW QD 100 NW QD
T096 135N 0842E 105 R064 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 020 NW QD R050
050 NE QD 070 SE QD 050 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 160 SE QD
140 SW QD 100 NW QD
T120 154N 0852E 100 R064 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 030 NW QD R050
060 NE QD 060 SE QD 060 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 160 SE QD
130 SW QD 090 NW QD
AMP
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 005
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 003
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
271200Z --- NEAR 6.4N 89.5E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 345 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM

>

2019-04-28 03:09

WTIO31 PGTW 280300 RRA
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 005//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 005
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
280000Z --- NEAR 7.1N 88.1E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 7.1N 88.1E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
281200Z --- 8.2N 87.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

>

2019-04-28 02:47

WTIO51 PGTW 280300
WARNING ATCG MIL 01B NIO 190428022855
2019042800 01B FANI 005 01 295 08 SATL 025
T000 071N 0881E 050 R050 030 NE QD 020 SE QD 015 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 095 NE QD 065 SE QD 065 SW QD 085 NW QD
T012 082N 0872E 055 R050 000 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 000 NW QD R034 060 NE QD 080 SE QD 090 SW QD 070 NW QD
T024 092N 0866E 060 R050 010 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 000 NW QD R034 090 NE QD 100 SE QD 100 SW QD 070 NW QD
T036 102N 0858E 070 R064 010 NE QD 000 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 000 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 130 SE QD 120 SW QD 070 NW QD
T048 112N 0853E 080 R064 010 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 020 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 140 SE QD 110 SW QD 090 NW QD
T072 127N 0844E 090 R064 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 050 SE QD 050 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 140 SE QD 150 SW QD 100 NW QD
T096 135N 0842E 105 R064 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 070 SE QD 050 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 160 SE QD 140 SW QD 100 NW QD
T120 154N 0852E 100 R064 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 060 SE QD 060 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 160 SE QD 130 SW QD 090 NW QD
AMP
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 005
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 003
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
271200Z --- NEAR 6.4N 89.5E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 345 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 6.4N 89.5E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
280000Z --- 7.7N 88.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
281200Z --- 9.0N 88.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
290000Z --- 10.3N 87.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
291200Z --- 11.3N 86.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
301200Z --- 12.6N 84.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
011200Z --- 13.7N 83.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
021200Z --- 15.1N 84.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
271500Z POSITION NEAR 6.7N 89.3E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 01B (FANI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 575 NM EAST OF COLOMBO, SRI LANKA, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS (KTS) OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 271200Z IS 16 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 272100Z, 280300Z, 280900Z AND 281500Z.//
0119042518 21N 905E 25
0119042600 24N 901E 25
0119042606 30N 898E 30
0119042612 35N 900E 30
0119042618 39N 903E 30
0119042700 45N 900E 35
0119042706 54N 898E 45
0119042712 64N 895E 45
NNNN

>

2019-04-28 02:46

WTIO31 PGTW 280300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 005//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 005
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
280000Z --- NEAR 7.1N 88.1E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 7.1N 88.1E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
281200Z --- 8.2N 87.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
290000Z --- 9.2N 86.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
291200Z --- 10.2N 85.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
300000Z --- 11.2N 85.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
010000Z --- 12.7N 84.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 02 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
020000Z --- 13.5N 84.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
030000Z --- 15.4N 85.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
280300Z POSITION NEAR 7.4N 87.9E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 01B (FANI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 483 NM EAST
OF COLOMBO, SRI LANKA, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY
SHOWS THE STORM HAS SLIGHTLY CONSOLIDATED AS RAIN BANDS, ALBEIT STILL
FRAGMENTED, WRAPPED TIGHTER INTO A FLARING CENTRAL CONVECTION THAT
CONTINUES TO OBSCURE THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION (LLC). THE INITIAL
POSITION IS PLACED WITH HIGH CONFIDENCE BASED ON DEFINED LLC IN THE
272359Z 37GHZ CORIOLIS MICROWAVE IMAGE. THE INITIAL INTENSITY OF 50
KNOTS IS AVERAGED FROM THE DVORAK ESTIMATES OF T3.0/45KTS AND
T3.5/55KTS FROM PGTW AND KNES, RESPECTIVELY, AND REFLECTS THE SLIGHT
IMPROVEMENT. THE SYSTEM IS IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH LOW
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS), EXCELLENT POLEWARD AND WESTWARD OUTFLOW,
AND WARM (31C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. THE CYCLONE IS TRACKING
ALONG THE SOUTHWEST PERIPHERY OF A SUBTROPICAL RIDGE (STR) TO THE
NORTHEAST AND WILL BE ITS PRIMARY STEERING MECHANISM THROUGHOUT THE
FORECAST. AFTER TAU 72, IT WILL BEGIN TO ROUND THE STR AXIS AND TURN
NORTHEASTWARD. THE FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WILL PREVAIL FOR THE NEXT
FOUR DAYS AND PROMOTE A STEADY, POSSIBLY RAPID, INTENSIFICATION TO A
PEAK OF 105 KNOTS BY TAU 96. AFTERWARD, INCREASING VWS WILL TRIGGER A
WEAKENING PHASE. THE AVAILABLE NUMERICAL MODELS SPREAD OUT TO OVER
220 NM AT TAU 72 BUT ARE IN OVERALL GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE TRACK.
HOWEVER, GIVEN THE FORMATIVE NATURE OF THE CYCLONE AND THE
SIGNIFICANT SPREAD IN THE MODELS, THERE IS LOW CONFIDENCE IN THE JTWC
TRACK FORECAST. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 280000Z IS 17
FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 280900Z, 281500Z, 282100Z AND 290300Z.//
NNNN

>

2019-04-27 20:40

WTIO51 PGTW 272100 RRA
WARNING ATCG MIL 01B NIO 190427202910
2019042718 01B FANI 004 01 330 13 SATL 030
T000 075N 0889E 045 R034 090 NE QD 075 SE QD 065 SW QD 045 NW QD
T012 088N 0879E 055 R050 000 NE QD 010 SE QD 010 SW QD 000 NW QD R034
070 NE QD 080 SE QD 080 SW QD 070 NW QD
T024 098N 0872E 060 R050 000 NE QD 010 SE QD 020 SW QD 000 NW QD R034
040 NE QD 090 SE QD 080 SW QD 080 NW QD
T036 109N 0864E 065 R064 010 NE QD 000 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R050
020 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 000 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 120 SE QD
100 SW QD 090 NW QD
T048 118N 0858E 075 R064 000 NE QD 020 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R050
000 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 000 NW QD R034 110 NE QD 120 SE QD
110 SW QD 080 NW QD
T072 133N 0848E 085 R064 010 NE QD 020 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R050
030 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 120 SE QD
110 SW QD 090 NW QD
T096 145N 0843E 105 R064 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R050
040 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 140 SE QD
120 SW QD 100 NW QD
T120 163N 0851E 100 R064 020 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R050
050 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 140 SE QD
110 SW QD 080 NW QD
AMP
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 004
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 003
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
271200Z --- NEAR 6.4N 89.5E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 345 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE

>

2019-04-27 20:40

WTIO31 PGTW 272100 RRA
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 004//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 004
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
271800Z --- NEAR 7.5N 88.9E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 330 DEGREES AT 13 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 7.5N 88.9E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
280600Z --- 8.8N 87.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
281800Z --- 9.8N 87.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

>

2019-04-27 20:36

WTIO51 PGTW 272100
WARNING ATCG MIL 01B NIO 190427202910
2019042718 01B FANI 004 01 330 13 SATL 030
T000 075N 0889E 045 R034 090 NE QD 075 SE QD 065 SW QD 045 NW QD
T012 088N 0879E 055 R050 000 NE QD 010 SE QD 010 SW QD 000 NW QD R034 070 NE QD 080 SE QD 080 SW QD 070 NW QD
T024 098N 0872E 060 R050 000 NE QD 010 SE QD 020 SW QD 000 NW QD R034 040 NE QD 090 SE QD 080 SW QD 080 NW QD
T036 109N 0864E 065 R064 010 NE QD 000 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 000 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 120 SE QD 100 SW QD 090 NW QD
T048 118N 0858E 075 R064 000 NE QD 020 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 000 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 000 NW QD R034 110 NE QD 120 SE QD 110 SW QD 080 NW QD
T072 133N 0848E 085 R064 010 NE QD 020 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 120 SE QD 110 SW QD 090 NW QD
T096 145N 0843E 105 R064 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 140 SE QD 120 SW QD 100 NW QD
T120 163N 0851E 100 R064 020 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 140 SE QD 110 SW QD 080 NW QD
AMP
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 004
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 003
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
271200Z --- NEAR 6.4N 89.5E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 345 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 6.4N 89.5E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
280000Z --- 7.7N 88.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
281200Z --- 9.0N 88.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
290000Z --- 10.3N 87.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
291200Z --- 11.3N 86.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
301200Z --- 12.6N 84.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
011200Z --- 13.7N 83.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
021200Z --- 15.1N 84.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
271500Z POSITION NEAR 6.7N 89.3E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 01B (FANI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 575 NM EAST OF COLOMBO, SRI LANKA, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS (KTS) OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 271200Z IS 16 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 272100Z, 280300Z, 280900Z AND 281500Z.//
0119042518 21N 905E 25
0119042600 24N 901E 25
0119042606 30N 898E 30
0119042612 35N 900E 30
0119042618 39N 903E 30
0119042700 45N 900E 35
0119042706 54N 898E 45
0119042712 64N 895E 45
NNNN

>

2019-04-27 20:36

WTIO31 PGTW 272100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 004//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 004
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
271800Z --- NEAR 7.5N 88.9E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 330 DEGREES AT 13 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 7.5N 88.9E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
280600Z --- 8.8N 87.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
281800Z --- 9.8N 87.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
290600Z --- 10.9N 86.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
291800Z --- 11.8N 85.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
301800Z --- 13.3N 84.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
011800Z --- 14.5N 84.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
021800Z --- 16.3N 85.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
272100Z POSITION NEAR 7.8N 88.6E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 01B (FANI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 86 NM EAST
OF COLOMBO, SRI LANKA, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY
SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS MAINTAINED OVERALL CONVECTIVE SIGNATURE EVEN AS
THE FLARING CENTRAL CONVECTION CONTINUES TO OBSCURE THE LOW LEVEL
CIRCULATION. THE INITIAL POSITION IS PLACED WITH FAIR CONFIDENCE BY
TRACING THE FORMATIVE RAIN BANDS UNDER THE CENTRAL CONVECTION AND
LINING UP WITH NOTCH FEATURES IN THE 271517Z AMSU MICROWAVE IMAGE AND
THE 271800Z ENHANCED IRBD IMAGE. THE INITIAL INTENSITY OF 45 KNOTS IS
BASED ON THE DVORAK ESTIMATE OF T3.0/55KTS FROM PGTW. THE SYSTEM IS
IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS),
EXCELLENT POLEWARD AND WESTWARD OUTFLOW, AND WARM (31C) SEA SURFACE
TEMPERATURES. THE CYCLONE IS TRACKING ALONG THE SOUTHWEST PERIPHERY
OF A SUBTROPICAL RIDGE (STR) TO THE NORTHEAST AND WILL BE ITS PRIMARY
STEERING MECHANISM THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST. BY TAU 96, IT WILL BEGIN
TO ROUND THE STR AXIS AND TURN NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD. THE FAVORABLE
ENVIRONMENT WILL PREVAIL FOR THE NEXT FOUR DAYS AND PROMOTE A STEADY,
POSSIBLY RAPID, INTENSIFICATION TO A PEAK OF 105 KNOTS BY TAU 96.
AFTERWARD, INCREASING VWS WILL TRIGGER A WEAKENING PHASE. THE
AVAILABLE NUMERICAL MODELS SPREAD OUT TO OVER 250 NM AT TAU 72 BUT
ARE IN OVERALL GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE TRACK. HOWEVER, GIVEN THE
FORMATIVE NATURE OF THE CYCLONE AND THE UNCERTAINTY IN THE INITIAL
POSITION, THERE IS LOW CONFIDENCE IN THE JTWC TRACK FORECAST. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 271800Z IS 17 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
280300Z, 280900Z, 281500Z AND 282100Z.//
NNNN

>

2019-04-27 14:32

WTIO51 PGTW 271500 RRA
WARNING ATCG MIL 01B NIO 190427133759
2019042712 01B FANI 003 01 345 10 SATL 030
T000 064N 0895E 045 R034 110 NE QD 085 SE QD 075 SW QD 085 NW QD
T012 077N 0888E 055 R050 020 NE QD 030 SE QD 010 SW QD 020 NW QD R034
110 NE QD 075 SE QD 070 SW QD 085 NW QD
T024 090N 0880E 060 R050 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R034
100 NE QD 070 SE QD 070 SW QD 080 NW QD
T036 103N 0870E 065 R064 010 NE QD 000 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R050
030 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 090 SE QD
080 SW QD 070 NW QD
T048 113N 0860E 070 R064 010 NE QD 020 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R050
030 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 110 NE QD 110 SE QD
090 SW QD 080 NW QD
T072 126N 0846E 085 R064 020 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 010 NW QD R050
040 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 110 NE QD 130 SE QD
110 SW QD 100 NW QD
T096 137N 0839E 105 R064 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 020 NW QD R050
050 NE QD 060 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 130 SE QD
110 SW QD 100 NW QD
T120 151N 0845E 100 R064 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R050
060 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 160 SE QD
120 SW QD 110 NW QD
AMP
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 003
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 003
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
271200Z --- NEAR 6.4N 89.5E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 345 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE

>

2019-04-27 14:32

WTIO31 PGTW 271500 RRA
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 003//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 003
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
271200Z --- NEAR 6.4N 89.5E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 345 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 6.4N 89.5E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
280000Z --- 7.7N 88.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
281200Z --- 9.0N 88.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

>

2019-04-27 14:15

WTIO51 PGTW 271500
WARNING ATCG MIL 01B NIO 190427133759
2019042712 01B FANI 003 01 345 10 SATL 030
T000 064N 0895E 045 R034 110 NE QD 085 SE QD 075 SW QD 085 NW QD
T012 077N 0888E 055 R050 020 NE QD 030 SE QD 010 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 110 NE QD 075 SE QD 070 SW QD 085 NW QD
T024 090N 0880E 060 R050 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 070 SE QD 070 SW QD 080 NW QD
T036 103N 0870E 065 R064 010 NE QD 000 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 090 SE QD 080 SW QD 070 NW QD
T048 113N 0860E 070 R064 010 NE QD 020 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 110 NE QD 110 SE QD 090 SW QD 080 NW QD
T072 126N 0846E 085 R064 020 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 110 NE QD 130 SE QD 110 SW QD 100 NW QD
T096 137N 0839E 105 R064 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 060 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 130 SE QD 110 SW QD 100 NW QD
T120 151N 0845E 100 R064 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 160 SE QD 120 SW QD 110 NW QD
AMP
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 003
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 003
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
271200Z --- NEAR 6.4N 89.5E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 345 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 6.4N 89.5E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
280000Z --- 7.7N 88.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
281200Z --- 9.0N 88.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
290000Z --- 10.3N 87.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
291200Z --- 11.3N 86.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
301200Z --- 12.6N 84.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
011200Z --- 13.7N 83.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
021200Z --- 15.1N 84.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
271500Z POSITION NEAR 6.7N 89.3E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 01B (FANI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 575 NM EAST OF COLOMBO, SRI LANKA, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS (KTS) OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 271200Z IS 16 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 272100Z, 280300Z, 280900Z AND 281500Z.//
0119042518 21N 905E 25
0119042600 24N 901E 25
0119042606 30N 898E 30
0119042612 35N 900E 30
0119042618 39N 903E 30
0119042700 45N 900E 35
0119042706 54N 898E 45
0119042712 64N 895E 45
NNNN

>

2019-04-27 14:11

WTIO31 PGTW 271500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 003//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI) WARNING NR 003
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
271200Z --- NEAR 6.4N 89.5E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 345 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 6.4N 89.5E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
280000Z --- 7.7N 88.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
281200Z --- 9.0N 88.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
290000Z --- 10.3N 87.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
291200Z --- 11.3N 86.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
301200Z --- 12.6N 84.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
011200Z --- 13.7N 83.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
021200Z --- 15.1N 84.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
271500Z POSITION NEAR 6.7N 89.3E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 01B (FANI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 575 NM EAST
OF COLOMBO, SRI LANKA, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS
(KTS) OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE
IMAGERY REVEALS DEEP CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR THE LOW LEVEL
CIRCULATION CENTER. THERE IS GOOD CONFIDENCE IN THE INITIAL POSITION
BASED ON SPIRAL BANDING IN A 271216Z GMI 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE. THE
INITIAL INTENSITY OF 45 KTS IS CONSISTENT WITH MULTI-AGENCY DVORAK
ESTIMATES OF T3.0 (45 KTS), SLIGHTLY BELOW THE CIMSS SATCON TREND TO
55 KTS. MODERATE (15-20 KT) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS), GOOD
EQUATORWARD AND POLEWARD OUTFLOW CHANNELS, AND WARM (29-30 CELSIUS)
SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE ARE SUPPORTIVE OF INTENSIFICATION. TC 01B IS
TRACKING POLEWARD TOWARDS A BREAK IN A SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE
NORTH. THE CYCLONE IS EXPECTED TO FOLLOW THIS TRACK UNTIL AROUND TAU
96 WHEN IT ROUNDS THE STR AXIS AND BEGINS RECURVING TO THE
NORTHEAST. THE ENVIRONMENT WILL SUPPORT CONTINUED INTENSIFICATION.
HOWEVER, THERE IS SIGNIFICANT UNCERTAINTY IN THE INTENSITY GUIDANCE
WITH SEVERAL RAPID INTENSITY INDICATORS TRIGGERING, COAMPS-GFS
CALLING FOR RAPID INTENSIFICATION (RI) AFTER TAU 72, AND HWRF
CALLING FOR SLOW, GRADUAL INTENSIFICATION. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS
HEDGED BETWEEN THE RI INDICATORS AND COAMPS-GFS, SHOWING A PEAK OF
105 KTS BY TAU 96, WITH LOW CONFIDENCE. SPREAD IN THE DYNAMIC MODEL
TRACK GUIDANCE HAS INCREASED SUBSTANTIALLY THIS CYCLE, WITH THE BULK
OF THE GUIDANCE BETWEEN GALWEM AND UKMET ON THE WEST AND THE ECMWF
ENSEMBLE MEAN ON THE EAST. THE JTWC TRACK FORECAST IS PLACED CLOSE
TO THE CONSENSUS TRACK WITH LOW CONFIDENCE BASED ON THE HIGH
UNCERTAINTY IN THE GUIDANCE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT
271200Z IS 16 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 272100Z, 280300Z, 280900Z AND
281500Z.//
NNNN

>

2019-04-27 08:47

WTIO51 PGTW 270900 RRA
WARNING ATCG MIL 01B NIO 190427075405
2019042706 01B ONE 002 01 340 06 SATL 045
T000 051N 0898E 045 R034 080 NE QD 060 SE QD 070 SW QD 040 NW QD
T012 063N 0891E 050 R050 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R034
090 NE QD 065 SE QD 075 SW QD 050 NW QD
T024 077N 0883E 055 R050 020 NE QD 025 SE QD 020 SW QD 000 NW QD R034
100 NE QD 070 SE QD 080 SW QD 060 NW QD
T036 089N 0876E 060 R050 015 NE QD 025 SE QD 030 SW QD 015 NW QD R034
120 NE QD 070 SE QD 070 SW QD 050 NW QD
T048 103N 0864E 070 R064 000 NE QD 010 SE QD 010 SW QD 000 NW QD R050
010 NE QD 030 SE QD 040 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 090 SE QD
070 SW QD 060 NW QD
T072 117N 0847E 085 R064 000 NE QD 010 SE QD 010 SW QD 000 NW QD R050
020 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 130 SE QD
120 SW QD 110 NW QD
T096 125N 0841E 110 R064 000 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 010 NW QD R050
030 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 110 NE QD 120 SE QD
120 SW QD 100 NW QD
T120 136N 0844E 095 R064 000 NE QD 000 SE QD 030 SW QD 000 NW QD R050
060 NE QD 050 SE QD 050 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 170 SE QD
150 SW QD 090 NW QD
AMP
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (ONE) WARNING NR 002
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (ONE) WARNING NR 002
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
270600Z --- NEAR 5.1N 89.8E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 340 DEGREES AT 06 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:

>

2019-04-27 08:47

WTIO31 PGTW 270900 RRA
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (ONE) WARNING NR 002//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (ONE) WARNING NR 002
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
270600Z --- NEAR 5.1N 89.8E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 340 DEGREES AT 06 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 5.1N 89.8E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
271800Z --- 6.3N 89.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
280600Z --- 7.7N 88.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

>

2019-04-27 08:29

WTIO51 PGTW 270900
WARNING ATCG MIL 01B NIO 190427075405
2019042706 01B ONE 002 01 340 06 SATL 045
T000 051N 0898E 045 R034 080 NE QD 060 SE QD 070 SW QD 040 NW QD
T012 063N 0891E 050 R050 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R034 090 NE QD 065 SE QD 075 SW QD 050 NW QD
T024 077N 0883E 055 R050 020 NE QD 025 SE QD 020 SW QD 000 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 070 SE QD 080 SW QD 060 NW QD
T036 089N 0876E 060 R050 015 NE QD 025 SE QD 030 SW QD 015 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 070 SE QD 070 SW QD 050 NW QD
T048 103N 0864E 070 R064 000 NE QD 010 SE QD 010 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 010 NE QD 030 SE QD 040 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 090 SE QD 070 SW QD 060 NW QD
T072 117N 0847E 085 R064 000 NE QD 010 SE QD 010 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 130 SE QD 120 SW QD 110 NW QD
T096 125N 0841E 110 R064 000 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 110 NE QD 120 SE QD 120 SW QD 100 NW QD
T120 136N 0844E 095 R064 000 NE QD 000 SE QD 030 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 050 SE QD 050 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 170 SE QD 150 SW QD 090 NW QD
AMP
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (ONE) WARNING NR 002
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (ONE) WARNING NR 002
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
270600Z --- NEAR 5.1N 89.8E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 340 DEGREES AT 06 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 5.1N 89.8E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
271800Z --- 6.3N 89.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
280600Z --- 7.7N 88.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
281800Z --- 8.9N 87.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
290600Z --- 10.3N 86.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
300600Z --- 11.7N 84.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 02 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
010600Z --- 12.5N 84.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
020600Z --- 13.6N 84.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
270900Z POSITION NEAR 5.4N 89.6E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 01B (ONE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 600 NM EAST OF COLOMBO, SRI LANKA, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS (KTS) OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 270600Z IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 271500Z, 272100Z, 280300Z AND 280900Z.//
0119042518 21N 905E 25
0119042600 24N 901E 25
0119042606 30N 898E 30
0119042612 35N 900E 30
0119042618 39N 903E 30
0119042700 45N 900E 35
0119042706 51N 898E 45
NNNN

>

2019-04-27 08:28

WTIO31 PGTW 270900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (ONE) WARNING NR 002//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (ONE) WARNING NR 002
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
270600Z --- NEAR 5.1N 89.8E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 340 DEGREES AT 06 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 5.1N 89.8E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
271800Z --- 6.3N 89.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
280600Z --- 7.7N 88.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
281800Z --- 8.9N 87.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
290600Z --- 10.3N 86.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
300600Z --- 11.7N 84.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 02 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
010600Z --- 12.5N 84.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
020600Z --- 13.6N 84.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
270900Z POSITION NEAR 5.4N 89.6E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 01B (ONE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 600 NM EAST
OF COLOMBO, SRI LANKA, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS
(KTS) OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE
IMAGERY REVEALS SPIRAL BANDING WITH POCKETS OF DEEP CONVECTION NEAR
THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. THERE IS FAIR CONFIDENCE IN THE
INITIAL POSITION WHICH WAS BASED ON EXTRAPOLATION FROM THE CENTER IN
A 270302Z MHS 89 GHZ IMAGE. THE CENTER IN THAT IMAGE WAS IDENTIFIED
BY FOLLOWING SPIRAL RAIN BANDS. THE INITIAL INTENSITY OF 45 KTS IS
CONSISTENT WITH PGTW AND KNES DVORAK ESTIMATES OF T3.0 (45 KTS). LOW-
TO-MODERATE (10-20 KT) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, GOOD RADIAL OUTFLOW, AND
VERY WARM (30-31 CELSIUS) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE ALL SUPPORT
INTENSIFICATION. TC 01B IS TRACKING ALONG THE SOUTHWEST PERIPHERY OF
A SUBTROPICAL RIDGE (STR). AROUND TAU 72, A MID-LATITUDE TROUGH WILL
CAUSE A BREAK IN THE STR, ALLOWING TC 01B TO RECURVE TOWARD THE
NORTHEAST. THE ENVIRONMENT IS EXPECTED TO SUPPORT INTENSIFICATION
UNTIL ROUNDING THE STR AXIS AND ENCOUNTERING HIGH VWS. ALTHOUGH THE
PEAK INTENSITY IS STILL EXPECTED TO OCCUR SHORTLY AFTER ROUNDING THE
STR AXIS, THE INTENSITY GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF
RAPID INTENSIFICATION IN THE NEXT 24-36 HOURS. AS A RESULT, THE RATE
OF INTENSIFICATION AND PEAK INTENSITY HAVE BEEN ADJUSTED UPWARD
DESPITE THE MESOSCALE MODELS NOT CALLING FOR SIGNIFICANT
INTENSIFICATION UNTIL AFTER TAU 48. THE TRACK GUIDANCE GENERALLY
FOLLOWS THE JTWC TRACK FORECAST (THE SPREAD IS ONLY 180 NM BY TAU
120). NAVGEM IS A BIT OF AN OUTLIER, PRIMARILY BECAUSE IT
ACCELERATES MORE QUICKLY THAN THE OTHER MEMBERS AFTER ROUNDING THE
STR AXIS. THERE IS FAIR CONFIDENCE IN THE JTWC TRACK FORECAST BASED
ON GOOD AGREEMENT IN THE TRACK GUIDANCE AND FAIR CONFIDENCE IN THE
INITIAL POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 270600Z IS 14
FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 271500Z, 272100Z, 280300Z AND 280900Z.//
NNNN

>

2019-04-27 03:24

WTIO31 PGTW 270300 COR
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (ONE) WARNING NR 001A CORRECTED//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/260851ZAPR2019//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (ONE) WARNING NR 001A CORRECTED
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
270000Z --- NEAR 4.5N 87.9E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 4.5N 87.9E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
271200Z --- 6.0N 87.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
280000Z --- 7.4N 86.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
281200Z --- 8.5N 85.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
290000Z --- 9.6N 84.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
300000Z --- 11.6N 82.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
010000Z --- 12.5N 81.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 02 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
020000Z --- 13.3N 81.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
270300Z POSITION NEAR 4.9N 87.7E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 01B (ONE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 503 NM EAST-
SOUTHEAST OF COLOMBO, SRI LANKA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 11
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT
270000Z IS 10 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 270900Z, 271500Z, 272100Z AND
280300Z.
2. THIS CANCELS AND SUPERCEDES REF A (WTIO21 PGTW 260900)
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: ADDED FIRST WARNING TEXT TO CANCEL
AND SUPERCEDE TCFA REFERENCE.//
NNNN

>

2019-04-27 02:20

WTIO31 PGTW 270300 RRA
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (ONE) WARNING NR 001//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (ONE) WARNING NR 001
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
270000Z --- NEAR 4.5N 87.9E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 4.5N 87.9E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
271200Z --- 6.0N 87.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
280000Z --- 7.4N 86.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

>

2019-04-27 02:15

WTIO31 PGTW 270300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (ONE) WARNING NR 001//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (ONE) WARNING NR 001
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
270000Z --- NEAR 4.5N 87.9E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 4.5N 87.9E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
271200Z --- 6.0N 87.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
280000Z --- 7.4N 86.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
281200Z --- 8.5N 85.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
290000Z --- 9.6N 84.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
300000Z --- 11.6N 82.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
010000Z --- 12.5N 81.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 02 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
020000Z --- 13.3N 81.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
270300Z POSITION NEAR 4.9N 87.7E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 01B (ONE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 503 NM EAST-
SOUTHEAST OF COLOMBO, SRI LANKA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 11
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE
IMAGERY SHOWS A CONSOLIDATING SYSTEM WITH FRAGMENTED BUT FORMATIVE
RAIN BANDS FEEDING INTO A DEEPENING CENTRAL CONVECTION THAT IS
OBSCURING THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION. THE INITIAL POSITION IS PLACED
WITH LOW CONFIDENCE BASED ON THE ABOVE ANIMATION, AIDED BY CURRENT
STORM MOTION. THE INITIAL INTENSITY OF 35 KNOTS IS BASED ON THE
DVORAK ESTIMATES OF T2.5/35KTS FROM PGTW AND KNES. THE SYSTEM IS IN A
VERY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, EXCELLENT
POLEWARD AND WESTWARD OUTFLOW, AND WARM (31C) SEA SURFACE
TEMPERATURES. THE CYCLONE IS TRACKING ALONG THE SOUTHWEST PERIPHERY
OF A SUBTROPICAL RIDGE (STR) TO THE NORTHEAST AND WILL BE ITS PRIMARY
STEERING MECHANISM THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST. BY TAU 96, IT WILL BEGIN
TO ROUND THE STR AXIS AND TURN MORE NORTHWARD. THE FAVORABLE
ENVIRONMENT WILL PREVAIL FOR THE NEXT FIVE DAYS AND PROMOTE A STEADY,
POSSIBLY RAPID, INTENSIFICATION TO A PEAK OF 105 KNOTS BY TAU 96. THE
AVAILABLE NUMERICAL MODELS SPREAD OUT TO OVER 200 NM AT TAU 72 BUT
ARE IN OVERALL GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE TRACK. HOWEVER, GIVEN THE
FORMATIVE NATURE OF THE CYCLONE, THERE IS LOW CONFIDENCE IN THE JTWC
TRACK FORECAST. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 270000Z IS 10
FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 270900Z, 271500Z, 272100Z AND 280300Z.//
NNNN

>