Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for YAGI-18
in China, Japan

Global Telecommunication Service

GTS (Global Telecommunication Service) is the official Warning and Alerting channel by the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) adopted by several Warning Organizations. As soon as a new GTS message regarding Tropical Cyclones(WT) or Tsunami(WE) the messages are processed and possibly assigned to the specific event. When a new GTS message is present an new tab in the specific event report page is present.The presence of a GTS message is shown in the homepage with a dedicated icon.

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Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 130600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TD DOWNGRADED FROM TS 1814 YAGI (1814)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 130600UTC 32N 118E
MOVE NW 20KT
PRES 996HPA =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 130300
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 1814 YAGI (1814)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 130300UTC 31.6N 118.6E GOOD
MOVE NW 21KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 270NM EAST 150NM WEST
FORECAST
24HF 140300UTC 34.9N 115.0E 50NM 70. TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 130000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.24 FOR TS 1814 YAGI (1814)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TS YAGI IS LOCATED ON LAND AT 30.7N, 119.2E. INFORMATION ON THE
CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON SURFACE OBSERVATIONS. POSITIONAL
ACCURACY IS GOOD. THE SYSTEM IS IN AN UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR
DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF LAND. THIS HAS CAUSED THE
SYSTEM TO WEAKEN OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON CURRENT
INTENSITY IS BASED ON SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS CB
CLUSTERS GATHERING AROUND THE CSC. DMSP-F18/SSMIS 89 GHZ MICROWAVE
IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS ACTIVE CONVECTIVE CLOUD CLUSTERS
AROUND THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT24. THE JMA TRACK FORECAST IS
BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. JMA
TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR BECAUSE ALL NUMERICAL MODELS ARE
IN CLOSE AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN UNTIL FT24 DUE TO ITS CONTINUED PRESENCE
OVER LAND. THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN TO TD INTENSITY BY FT12. THE JMA
INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON GUIDANCE DATA.
=


Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 130000
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 20
NAME 1814 YAGI
ANALYSIS
POSITION 130000UTC 30.7N 119.7E
MOVEMENT NW 24KT
PRES/VMAX 996HPA 35KT
FORECAST
24HR
POSITION 140000UTC 35.1N 115.3E WITHIN 0NM
PRES/VMAX 998HPA 29KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 130000
WARNING 130000.
WARNING VALID 140000.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
GALE WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 1814 YAGI (1814) 994 HPA
AT 30.7N 119.2E CENTRAL CHINA MOVING NORTHWEST 20 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 270 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 150 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 131200UTC AT 32.5N 116.4E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
996 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 140000UTC AT 34.4N 114.9E WITH 60 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
998 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 130000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 1814 YAGI (1814)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 130000UTC 30.7N 119.2E GOOD
MOVE NW 20KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 270NM EAST 150NM WEST
FORECAST
24HF 140000UTC 34.4N 114.9E 60NM 70. TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 122246

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 122100 UTC, TROPICAL STORM YAGI (1814) WITH CENTRAL
PRESSURE 990 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL
MILES OF THREE ZERO POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (30.1 N) ONE
TWO ZERO POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (120.1 E) AND IS FORECAST
TO MOVE NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 16 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 40 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 240 NAUTICAL MILES.

NO FURTHER WARNINGS ON THIS TROPICAL STORM WILL BE ISSUED
BY THE HONG KONG OBSERVATORY UNLESS IT RE-ENTERS THE HONG
KONG AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 132100 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 122100
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 1814 YAGI (1814)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 122100UTC 29.9N 120.1E GOOD
MOVE NW 19KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
30KT 270NM EAST 150NM WEST
FORECAST
24HF 132100UTC 34.1N 115.2E 60NM 70. TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 121946

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 121800 UTC, TROPICAL STORM YAGI (1814) WITH CENTRAL
PRESSURE 988 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL
MILES OF TWO EIGHT POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (28.9 N) ONE
TWO ZERO POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (120.9 E) AND IS FORECAST
TO MOVE NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 16 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 45 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 270 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 131800 UTC
THREE THREE POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (33.5 N)
ONE ONE FIVE POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (115.4 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 25 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 141800 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.


Original Message :

WTPN52 PGTW 122100
WARNING ATCG MIL 18W NWP 180812190644
2018081218 18W YAGI 025 03 310 22 SATL 020
T000 289N 1206E 040 R034 075 NE QD 085 SE QD 065 SW QD 060 NW QD
T012 313N 1178E 020
T024 331N 1156E 015
AMP 000HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
012HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
024HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
1. TROPICAL STORM 18W (YAGI) WARNING NR 025
03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
121800Z --- NEAR 28.9N 120.6E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 22 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 28.9N 120.6E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
130600Z --- 31.3N 117.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
131800Z --- 33.1N 115.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 015 KT, GUSTS 025 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
122100Z POSITION NEAR 29.5N 119.9E.
TROPICAL STORM 18W (YAGI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 145 NM SOUTH-
SOUTHWEST OF SHANGHAI, CHINA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 22
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS
SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM
WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. REFER TO
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
1818080506 174N1333E 20
1818080512 176N1336E 20
1818080518 179N1339E 20
1818080600 184N1339E 20
1818080606 186N1337E 20
1818080612 187N1335E 20
1818080618 188N1331E 25
1818080700 188N1329E 25
1818080706 188N1327E 25
1818080712 189N1325E 30
1818080718 191N1324E 30
1818080800 193N1326E 35
1818080806 195N1334E 35
1818080812 199N1340E 35
1818080818 205N1341E 35
1818080900 209N1337E 35
1818080906 209N1335E 35
1818080912 212N1335E 40
1818080918 222N1331E 40
1818081000 228N1322E 35
1818081006 227N1320E 35
1818081012 232N1319E 35
1818081018 243N1308E 35
1818081100 249N1294E 35
1818081106 251N1282E 35
1818081112 250N1269E 40
1818081118 252N1254E 35
1818081200 257N1245E 35
1818081206 266N1237E 40
1818081212 275N1225E 45
1818081218 289N1206E 40
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 121800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.23 FOR TS 1814 YAGI (1814)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TS YAGI IS LOCATED ON LAND AT 29.1N, 120.7E. INFORMATION ON THE
CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS. POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS GOOD. THE SYSTEM IS IN A
NEUTRAL ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF HIGH
SSTS, WEAK VWS, DRY AIR AND LAND. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO
MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON
CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND
SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS CB
CLUSTERS GATHERING AROUND THE CSC. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS DRY
AIR AROUND THE SYSTEM. GPM/GMI 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE
SYSTEM HAS A BAND WITH CURVATURE INDICATING THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT24. THE JMA TRACK FORECAST IS
BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. JMA
TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR BECAUSE ALL NUMERICAL MODELS ARE
IN CLOSE AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN UNTIL FT24 DUE TO ITS CONTINUED PRESENCE
OVER LAND. THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN TO TD INTENSITY BY FT12. THE JMA
INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA
INCLUDING GSM.
=


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 121800
WARNING 121800.
WARNING VALID 131800.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
GALE WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 1814 YAGI (1814) 990 HPA
AT 29.1N 120.7E CENTRAL CHINA MOVING NORTHWEST 19 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 270 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 150 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 130600UTC AT 31.8N 117.6E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
996 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 131800UTC AT 33.9N 115.2E WITH 60 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
998 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 121800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 1814 YAGI (1814)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 121800UTC 29.1N 120.7E GOOD
MOVE NW 19KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
30KT 270NM EAST 150NM WEST
FORECAST
24HF 131800UTC 33.9N 115.2E 60NM 70. TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 VHHH 121646

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 121500 UTC, TROPICAL STORM YAGI (1814) WITH CENTRAL
PRESSURE 988 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL
MILES OF TWO EIGHT POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (28.3 N) ONE
TWO ONE POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (121.3 E) AND IS FORECAST
TO MOVE NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 18 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 45 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 270 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 131500 UTC
THREE THREE POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (33.6 N)
ONE ONE SIX POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (116.1 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 25 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 141500 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 121500
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 1814 YAGI (1814)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 121500UTC 28.4N 121.7E GOOD
MOVE NW 16KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
30KT 270NM EAST 150NM WEST
FORECAST
24HF 131500UTC 33.6N 116.4E 60NM 70. TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 VHHH 121346

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 121200 UTC, THE TROPICAL STORM YAGI (1814) WITH CENTRAL
PRESSURE 988 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL
MILES OF TWO SEVEN POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (27.8 N) ONE
TWO TWO POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (122.1 E) AND IS FORECAST TO
MOVE NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 18 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 45 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 300 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 131200 UTC
THREE THREE POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (33.1 N)
ONE ONE SIX POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (116.7 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 25 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 141200 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.


Original Message :

WTPN52 PGTW 121500
WARNING ATCG MIL 18W NWP 180812122100
2018081212 18W YAGI 024 02 310 14 SATL 045
T000 275N 1225E 045 R034 100 NE QD 105 SE QD 090 SW QD 125 NW QD
T012 299N 1199E 035
T024 324N 1171E 020
AMP
012HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
024HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
1. TROPICAL STORM 18W (YAGI) WARNING NR 024
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
121200Z --- NEAR 27.5N 122.5E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 14 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 27.5N 122.5E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
130000Z --- 29.9N 119.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 17 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
131200Z --- 32.4N 117.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
121500Z POSITION NEAR 28.1N 121.9E.
TROPICAL STORM 18W (YAGI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 154 NM NORTH-
NORTHEAST OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 14
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT
AT 121200Z IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 122100Z, 130300Z AND
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
1818080506 174N1333E 20
1818080512 176N1336E 20
1818080518 179N1339E 20
1818080600 184N1339E 20
1818080606 186N1337E 20
1818080612 187N1335E 20
1818080618 188N1331E 25
1818080700 188N1329E 25
1818080706 188N1327E 25
1818080712 189N1325E 30
1818080718 191N1324E 30
1818080800 193N1326E 35
1818080806 195N1334E 35
1818080812 199N1340E 35
1818080818 205N1341E 35
1818080900 209N1337E 35
1818080906 209N1335E 35
1818080912 212N1335E 40
1818080918 222N1331E 40
1818081000 228N1322E 35
1818081006 227N1320E 35
1818081012 232N1319E 35
1818081018 243N1308E 35
1818081100 249N1294E 35
1818081106 251N1282E 35
1818081112 250N1269E 40
1818081118 252N1254E 35
1818081200 257N1245E 35
1818081206 266N1237E 40
1818081212 275N1225E 45
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPN32 PGTW 121500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 18W (YAGI) WARNING NR 024
03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
121200Z --- NEAR 27.5N 122.5E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 14 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 27.5N 122.5E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
130000Z --- 29.9N 119.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 17 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
131200Z --- 32.4N 117.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
121500Z POSITION NEAR 28.1N 121.9E.
TROPICAL STORM 18W (YAGI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 154 NM NORTH-
NORTHEAST OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 14
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT
AT 121200Z IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 122100Z, 130300Z AND
130900Z. REFER TO TYPHOON 19W (LEEPI) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W (TWENTY)
WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 121200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.22 FOR TS 1814 YAGI (1814)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TS YAGI IS LOCATED AT 27.7N, 122.4E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS GOOD. THE SYSTEM IS IN A NEUTRAL
ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF HIGH SSTS, HIGH
TCHP, WEAK VWS AND DRY AIR. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO MAINTAIN
ITS INTENSITY OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON CURRENT
INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS CB
CLUSTERS GATHERING AROUND THE CSC. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS DRY
AIR AROUND THE SYSTEM. DMSP-F18/SSMIS 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY
SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS A BAND WITH CURVATURE INDICATING THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT24. THE SYSTEM WILL HIT THE
CHINESE MAINLAND BY FT06. THE JMA TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM
PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. JMA TRACK FORECAST
CONFIDENCE IS FAIR BECAUSE ALL NUMERICAL MODELS ARE IN CLOSE
AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN UNTIL FT12 DUE TO ITS LANDFALL. THE SYSTEM
WILL THEN WEAKEN UNTIL FT24 DUE TO ITS CONTINUED PRESENCE OVER
LAND. THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN TO TD INTENSITY BY FT24. THE JMA
INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA
INCLUDING GSM.
=


Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 121200
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 18
NAME 1814 YAGI
ANALYSIS
POSITION 121200UTC 27.8N 122.4E
MOVEMENT NW 19KT
PRES/VMAX 992HPA 39KT
FORECAST
24HR
POSITION 131200UTC 32.9N 117.8E WITHIN 60NM
PRES/VMAX 996HPA 33KT
36HR
POSITION 140000UTC 35.0N 116.7E WITHIN 0NM
PRES/VMAX 1000HPA 25KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 121200
WARNING 121200.
WARNING VALID 131200.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
GALE WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 1814 YAGI (1814) 990 HPA
AT 27.7N 122.4E EAST CHINA SEA MOVING NORTHWEST 14 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 270 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 150 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 130000UTC AT 30.8N 119.6E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
994 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 131200UTC AT 33.1N 117.0E WITH 60 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
998 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 121200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 1814 YAGI (1814)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 121200UTC 27.7N 122.4E GOOD
MOVE NW 14KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
30KT 270NM EAST 150NM WEST
FORECAST
24HF 131200UTC 33.1N 117.0E 60NM 70. TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 VHHH 121046

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 120900 UTC, THE TROPICAL STORM YAGI (1814) WITH CENTRAL
PRESSURE 990 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL
MILES OF TWO SEVEN POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (27.5 N) ONE
TWO TWO POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (122.9 E) AND IS FORECAST
TO MOVE NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 18 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 40 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 300 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 130900 UTC
THREE TWO POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (32.6 N)
ONE ONE SEVEN POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (117.1 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 25 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 140900 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 120900
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 1814 YAGI (1814)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 120900UTC 27.2N 123.1E GOOD
MOVE NW 13KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
30KT 270NM EAST 150NM WEST
FORECAST
24HF 130900UTC 32.8N 117.5E 60NM 70. TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 VHHH 120746

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 120600 UTC, THE TROPICAL STORM YAGI (1814) WITH CENTRAL
PRESSURE 990 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL
MILES OF TWO SIX POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (26.6 N) ONE TWO
THREE POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (123.9 E) AND IS FORECAST TO
MOVE NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 18 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 40 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 300 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 130600 UTC
THREE ONE POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (31.9 N)
ONE ONE SEVEN POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (117.9 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 25 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 140600 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.


Original Message :

WTPN52 PGTW 120900
WARNING ATCG MIL 18W NWP 180812070112
2018081206 18W YAGI 023 02 320 12 SATL 045
T000 266N 1237E 035 R034 125 NE QD 085 SE QD 085 SW QD 125 NW QD
T012 289N 1211E 030
T024 314N 1184E 020
AMP
012HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
024HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
1. TROPICAL STORM 18W (YAGI) WARNING NR 023
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
120600Z --- NEAR 26.6N 123.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 320 DEGREES AT 12 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 26.6N 123.7E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
121800Z --- 28.9N 121.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 17 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
130600Z --- 31.4N 118.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
120900Z POSITION NEAR 27.2N 123.1E.
TROPICAL STORM 18W (YAGI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 149 NM NORTHEAST
OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE
PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 120600Z IS 12
FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 121500Z, 122100Z AND 130300Z. REFER TO
UPDATES.//
1818080506 174N1333E 20
1818080512 176N1336E 20
1818080518 179N1339E 20
1818080600 184N1339E 20
1818080606 186N1337E 20
1818080612 187N1335E 20
1818080618 188N1331E 25
1818080700 188N1329E 25
1818080706 188N1327E 25
1818080712 189N1325E 30
1818080718 191N1324E 30
1818080800 193N1326E 35
1818080806 195N1334E 35
1818080812 199N1340E 35
1818080818 205N1341E 35
1818080900 209N1337E 35
1818080906 209N1335E 35
1818080912 212N1335E 40
1818080918 222N1331E 40
1818081000 228N1322E 35
1818081006 227N1320E 35
1818081012 232N1319E 35
1818081018 243N1308E 35
1818081100 249N1294E 35
1818081106 251N1282E 35
1818081112 250N1269E 40
1818081118 252N1254E 35
1818081200 257N1245E 35
1818081206 266N1237E 35
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPN32 PGTW 120900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 18W (YAGI) WARNING NR 023
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
120600Z --- NEAR 26.6N 123.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 320 DEGREES AT 12 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 26.6N 123.7E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
121800Z --- 28.9N 121.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 17 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
130600Z --- 31.4N 118.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
120900Z POSITION NEAR 27.2N 123.1E.
TROPICAL STORM 18W (YAGI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 149 NM NORTHEAST
OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE
PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 120600Z IS 12
FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 121500Z, 122100Z AND 130300Z. REFER TO
TROPICAL STORM 19W (LEEPI) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY
UPDATES.//
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 120600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.21 FOR TS 1814 YAGI (1814)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TS YAGI IS LOCATED AT 26.6N, 123.9E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS GOOD. THE SYSTEM IS IN A NEUTRAL
ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF HIGH SSTS, HIGH
TCHP, WEAK VWS, GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW AND DRY AIR. THIS HAS
CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY OVER THE LAST SIX
HOURS. INFORMATION ON CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK
INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS CB
CLUSTERS GATHERING AROUND THE CSC AND FORMING A CURVED BAND. WATER
VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR AROUND THE SYSTEM. METOP-A/MHS 85 GHZ
MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS A BAND WITH CURVATURE
INDICATING THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL GRADUALLY ACCELERATE AND MOVE NORTHWESTWARD ALONG
THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT24. THE
SYSTEM WILL HIT THE CHINESE MAINLAND BY FT24. THE JMA TRACK
FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS. JMA TRACK FORECAST
CONFIDENCE IS FAIR BECAUSE ALL NUMERICAL MODELS ARE IN CLOSE
AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY UNTIL FT12 DUE TO THE
INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, WEAK VWS AND
DRY AIR. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN WEAKEN UNTIL FT24 DUE TO ITS
LANDFALL. THE JMA INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS.
=


Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 120600
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 17
NAME 1814 YAGI
ANALYSIS
POSITION 120600UTC 26.3N 123.7E
MOVEMENT WNW 13KT
PRES/VMAX 992HPA 39KT
FORECAST
24HR
POSITION 130600UTC 31.7N 118.6E WITHIN 60NM
PRES/VMAX 996HPA 35KT
48HR
POSITION 140600UTC 35.8N 116.4E WITHIN 0NM
PRES/VMAX 1000HPA 25KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 120600
WARNING 120600.
WARNING VALID 130600.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
GALE WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 1814 YAGI (1814) 990 HPA
AT 26.6N 123.9E EAST CHINA SEA MOVING NORTHWEST 10 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 270 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 150 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 121800UTC AT 29.0N 121.3E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 130600UTC AT 31.9N 118.2E WITH 60 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
998 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 120600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 1814 YAGI (1814)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 120600UTC 26.6N 123.9E GOOD
MOVE NW 10KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
30KT 270NM EAST 150NM WEST
FORECAST
24HF 130600UTC 31.9N 118.2E 60NM 70. TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 VHHH 120446

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 120300 UTC, TROPICAL STORM YAGI (1814) WITH CENTRAL
PRESSURE 990 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL
MILES OF TWO FIVE POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (25.9 N) ONE TWO
FOUR POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (124.2 E) AND IS FORECAST TO
MOVE NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 18 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 40 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 300 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 130300 UTC
THREE ONE POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (31.2 N)
ONE ONE EIGHT POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (118.3 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 25 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 140300 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 120300
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 1814 YAGI (1814)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 120300UTC 25.9N 124.3E GOOD
MOVE WNW 10KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
30KT 270NM EAST 150NM WEST
FORECAST
24HF 130300UTC 30.8N 118.9E 60NM 70.
MOVE NW 20KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
45HF 140000UTC 34.4N 115.5E 110NM 70. TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 VHHH 120146

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

TROPICAL STORM YAGI (1814) HAS ENTERED THE AREA OF
RESPONSIBILITY OF THE HONG KONG OBSERVATORY.

AT 120000 UTC, TROPICAL STORM YAGI (1814) WITH CENTRAL
PRESSURE 990 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL
MILES OF TWO FIVE POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (25.4 N) ONE TWO
FOUR POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (124.5 E) AND IS FORECAST TO
MOVE NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 16 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 40 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 240 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 130000 UTC
THREE ZERO POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (30.9 N)
ONE ONE NINE POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (119.0 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 140000 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.


Original Message :

WTPN52 PGTW 120300
WARNING ATCG MIL 18W NWP 180812013234
2018081200 18W YAGI 022 02 295 10 SATL RADR 015
T000 256N 1244E 035 R034 130 NE QD 090 SE QD 075 SW QD 140 NW QD
T012 275N 1221E 035 R034 130 NE QD 085 SE QD 080 SW QD 110 NW QD
T024 298N 1192E 025
T036 317N 1167E 020
AMP
024HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
036HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
1. TROPICAL STORM 18W (YAGI) WARNING NR 022
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
120000Z --- NEAR 25.6N 124.4E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 015 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND RADAR
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 25.6N 124.4E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
121200Z --- 27.5N 122.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 17 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
130000Z --- 29.8N 119.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
131200Z --- 31.7N 116.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
120300Z POSITION NEAR 26.1N 123.8E.
TROPICAL STORM 18W (YAGI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 160 NM EAST OF
TAIPEI, TAIWAN, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER
THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 120000Z IS
12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 120900Z, 121500Z, 122100Z AND 130300Z.
SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
1818080506 174N1333E 20
1818080512 176N1336E 20
1818080518 179N1339E 20
1818080600 184N1339E 20
1818080606 186N1337E 20
1818080612 187N1335E 20
1818080618 188N1331E 25
1818080700 188N1329E 25
1818080706 188N1327E 25
1818080712 189N1325E 30
1818080718 191N1324E 30
1818080800 193N1326E 35
1818080806 195N1334E 35
1818080812 199N1340E 35
1818080818 205N1341E 35
1818080900 209N1337E 35
1818080906 209N1335E 35
1818080912 212N1335E 40
1818080918 222N1331E 40
1818081000 228N1322E 35
1818081006 227N1320E 35
1818081012 232N1319E 35
1818081018 243N1308E 35
1818081100 249N1294E 35
1818081106 251N1282E 35
1818081112 250N1269E 40
1818081118 252N1254E 35
1818081200 256N1244E 35
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPN32 PGTW 120300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 18W (YAGI) WARNING NR 022
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
120000Z --- NEAR 25.6N 124.4E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 015 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND RADAR
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 25.6N 124.4E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
121200Z --- 27.5N 122.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 17 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
130000Z --- 29.8N 119.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
131200Z --- 31.7N 116.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
120300Z POSITION NEAR 26.1N 123.8E.
TROPICAL STORM 18W (YAGI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 160 NM EAST OF
TAIPEI, TAIWAN, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER
THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 120000Z IS
12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 120900Z, 121500Z, 122100Z AND 130300Z.
REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 19W (LEEPI) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR
SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 120000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.20 FOR TS 1814 YAGI (1814)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TS YAGI IS LOCATED AT 25.5N, 124.5E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON RADAR IMAGERY AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS GOOD. THE SYSTEM IS IN A FAVORABLE
ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF HIGH SSTS, HIGH
TCHP AND WEAK VWS. INFORMATION ON CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON
DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS CB
CLUSTERS GATHERING AROUND THE CSC. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS DRY
AIR AROUND THE SYSTEM. DMSP-F17/SSMIS 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY
SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS A BAND WITH CURVATURE INDICATING THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL GRADUALLY ACCELERATE AND MOVE NORTHWESTWARD ALONG
THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT24. THE
SYSTEM WILL THEN GRADUALLY DECELERATE AND MOVE NORTHWESTWARD ALONG
THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT48. THE JMA
TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS. JMA TRACK FORECAST
CONFIDENCE IS FAIR UNTIL FT24 BUT LOW THEREAFTER DUE TO
SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AMONG NUMERICAL MODEL OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP UNTIL FT12 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, WEAK VWS AND GOOD UPPER
LEVEL OUTFLOW. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN WEAKEN UNTIL FT24 DUE TO ITS
LANDFALL. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN GRADUALLY WEAKEN UNTIL FT48 DUE TO
ITS CONTINUED PRESENCE OVER LAND. THE JMA INTENSITY FORECAST IS
BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS.
=


Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 120000
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 16
NAME 1814 YAGI
ANALYSIS
POSITION 120000UTC 25.5N 124.9E
MOVEMENT WNW 6KT
PRES/VMAX 990HPA 41KT
FORECAST
24HR
POSITION 130000UTC 30.4N 120.5E WITHIN 60NM
PRES/VMAX 992HPA 39KT
48HR
POSITION 140000UTC 34.8N 117.9E WITHIN 90NM
PRES/VMAX 998HPA 35KT
60HR
POSITION 141200UTC 36.5N 117.3E WITHIN 0NM
PRES/VMAX 1000HPA 29KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 120000
WARNING 120000.
WARNING VALID 130000.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
GALE WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 1814 YAGI (1814) 990 HPA
AT 25.5N 124.5E EAST CHINA SEA MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 10 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 270 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 150 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 121200UTC AT 27.4N 122.2E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 130000UTC AT 30.5N 119.3E WITH 60 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
994 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 140000UTC AT 34.4N 115.5E WITH 110 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
996 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 120000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 1814 YAGI (1814)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 120000UTC 25.5N 124.5E GOOD
MOVE WNW 10KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
30KT 270NM EAST 150NM WEST
FORECAST
24HF 130000UTC 30.5N 119.3E 60NM 70.
MOVE NW 20KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
48HF 140000UTC 34.4N 115.5E 110NM 70. TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 112100
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 1814 YAGI (1814)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 112100UTC 25.2N 125.0E GOOD
MOVE W 11KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
30KT 270NM EAST 150NM WEST
FORECAST
24HF 122100UTC 30.1N 119.4E 60NM 70.
MOVE NW 21KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
45HF 131800UTC 34.1N 116.4E 110NM 70. TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPN52 PGTW 112100
WARNING ATCG MIL 18W NWP 180811193008
2018081118 18W YAGI 021 02 280 14 SATL 025
T000 252N 1254E 035 R034 090 NE QD 065 SE QD 110 SW QD 090 NW QD
T012 269N 1230E 040 R034 130 NE QD 085 SE QD 080 SW QD 110 NW QD
T024 292N 1202E 030
T036 313N 1177E 020
AMP
024HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
036HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
1. TROPICAL STORM 18W (YAGI) WARNING NR 021
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
111800Z --- NEAR 25.2N 125.4E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 14 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 25.2N 125.4E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
120600Z --- 26.9N 123.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 17 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
121800Z --- 29.2N 120.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
130600Z --- 31.3N 117.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
112100Z POSITION NEAR 25.6N 124.8E.
TROPICAL STORM 18W (YAGI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 151 NM WEST-
SOUTHWEST OF KADENA AB, OKINAWA, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT
14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT
AT 111800Z IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 120300Z, 120900Z, 121500Z
AND 122100Z. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 19W (NINETEEN) WARNINGS
1818080506 174N1333E 20
1818080512 176N1336E 20
1818080518 179N1339E 20
1818080600 184N1339E 20
1818080606 186N1337E 20
1818080612 187N1335E 20
1818080618 188N1331E 25
1818080700 188N1329E 25
1818080706 188N1327E 25
1818080712 189N1325E 30
1818080718 191N1324E 30
1818080800 193N1326E 35
1818080806 195N1334E 35
1818080812 199N1340E 35
1818080818 205N1341E 35
1818080900 209N1337E 35
1818080906 209N1335E 35
1818080912 212N1335E 40
1818080918 222N1331E 40
1818081000 228N1322E 35
1818081006 227N1320E 35
1818081012 232N1319E 35
1818081018 243N1308E 35
1818081100 249N1294E 35
1818081106 251N1282E 35
1818081112 250N1269E 40
1818081118 252N1254E 35
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPN32 PGTW 112100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 18W (YAGI) WARNING NR 021
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
111800Z --- NEAR 25.2N 125.4E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 14 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 25.2N 125.4E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
120600Z --- 26.9N 123.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 17 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
121800Z --- 29.2N 120.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
130600Z --- 31.3N 117.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
112100Z POSITION NEAR 25.6N 124.8E.
TROPICAL STORM 18W (YAGI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 151 NM WEST-
SOUTHWEST OF KADENA AB, OKINAWA, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT
14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT
AT 111800Z IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 120300Z, 120900Z, 121500Z
AND 122100Z. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 19W (NINETEEN) WARNINGS
(WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 111800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.19 FOR TS 1814 YAGI (1814)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TS YAGI IS LOCATED AT 25.2N, 125.5E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND RADAR IMAGERY. POSITIONAL
ACCURACY IS GOOD. THE SYSTEM IS IN A NEUTRAL ENVIRONMENT FOR
DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF HIGH SSTS AND HIGH TCHP. THIS
HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY OVER THE LAST SIX
HOURS. INFORMATION ON CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK
INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD DUE TO WEAK STEERING FLOW. ANIMATED
MSI SHOWS CB CLUSTERS GATHERING AROUND THE CSC. WATER VAPOR
IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR AROUND THE SYSTEM. GCOM-W/AMSR2 89 GHZ
MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS A BAND WITH CURVATURE
INDICATING THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTHWESTWARD DUE TO WEAK STEERING FLOW UNTIL
FT48. THE SYSTEM WILL HIT THE CHINESE MAINLAND BY FT24. THE JMA
TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER
NWP MODELS. JMA TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR BECAUSE ALL
NUMERICAL MODELS ARE IN CLOSE AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP UNTIL FT12 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS AND HIGH TCHP. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN
WEAKEN UNTIL FT48 DUE TO ITS LANDFALL. THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN TO
TD INTENSITY BY FT48. THE JMA INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON
GUIDANCE DATA.
=


Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 111800
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 15
NAME 1814 YAGI
ANALYSIS
POSITION 111800UTC 25.3N 125.6E
MOVEMENT W 12KT
PRES/VMAX 990HPA 41KT
FORECAST
24HR
POSITION 121800UTC 29.4N 122.1E WITHIN 60NM
PRES/VMAX 992HPA 41KT
48HR
POSITION 131800UTC 33.9N 119.1E WITHIN 90NM
PRES/VMAX 998HPA 35KT
72HR
POSITION 141800UTC 37.0N 117.5E WITHIN 0NM
PRES/VMAX 1002HPA 27KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 111800
WARNING 111800.
WARNING VALID 121800.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
GALE WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 1814 YAGI (1814) 990 HPA
AT 25.2N 125.5E EAST CHINA SEA MOVING WEST 12 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 270 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 150 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 120600UTC AT 26.6N 123.5E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 121800UTC AT 29.7N 120.2E WITH 60 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 131800UTC AT 34.1N 116.4E WITH 110 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
996 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 111800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 1814 YAGI (1814)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 111800UTC 25.2N 125.5E GOOD
MOVE W 12KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
30KT 270NM EAST 150NM WEST
FORECAST
24HF 121800UTC 29.7N 120.2E 60NM 70.
MOVE NW 21KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
48HF 131800UTC 34.1N 116.4E 110NM 70. TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 111500
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 1814 YAGI (1814)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 111500UTC 25.1N 126.3E GOOD
MOVE W 12KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
30KT 270NM EAST 150NM WEST
FORECAST
24HF 121500UTC 29.3N 121.2E 60NM 70.
MOVE NW 18KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
45HF 131200UTC 33.2N 117.2E 110NM 70. TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPN52 PGTW 111500
WARNING ATCG MIL 18W NWP 180811132259
2018081112 18W YAGI 020 02 265 12 SATL RADR 045
T000 250N 1269E 040 R034 090 NE QD 070 SE QD 070 SW QD 090 NW QD
T012 262N 1244E 045 R034 110 NE QD 080 SE QD 060 SW QD 085 NW QD
T024 282N 1218E 040 R034 120 NE QD 080 SE QD 045 SW QD 090 NW QD
T036 303N 1194E 030
T048 325N 1169E 020
AMP
036HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
048HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
1. TROPICAL STORM 18W (YAGI) WARNING NR 020
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
111200Z --- NEAR 25.0N 126.9E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 265 DEGREES AT 12 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND RADAR
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 25.0N 126.9E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
120000Z --- 26.2N 124.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
121200Z --- 28.2N 121.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
130000Z --- 30.3N 119.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
131200Z --- 32.5N 116.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
111500Z POSITION NEAR 25.3N 126.3E.
TROPICAL STORM 18W (YAGI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 102 NM SOUTH-
SOUTHWEST OF KADENA AB, OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT
111200Z IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 112100Z, 120300Z, 120900Z
AND 121500Z. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 19W (NINETEEN) WARNINGS
1818080506 174N1333E 20
1818080512 176N1336E 20
1818080518 179N1339E 20
1818080600 184N1339E 20
1818080606 186N1337E 20
1818080612 187N1335E 20
1818080618 188N1331E 25
1818080700 188N1329E 25
1818080706 188N1327E 25
1818080712 189N1325E 30
1818080718 191N1324E 30
1818080800 193N1326E 35
1818080806 195N1334E 35
1818080812 199N1340E 35
1818080818 205N1341E 35
1818080900 209N1337E 35
1818080906 209N1335E 35
1818080912 212N1335E 40
1818080918 222N1331E 40
1818081000 228N1322E 35
1818081006 227N1320E 35
1818081012 232N1319E 35
1818081018 243N1308E 35
1818081100 249N1294E 35
1818081106 251N1282E 35
1818081112 250N1269E 40
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPN32 PGTW 111500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 18W (YAGI) WARNING NR 020
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
111200Z --- NEAR 25.0N 126.9E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 265 DEGREES AT 12 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND RADAR
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 25.0N 126.9E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
120000Z --- 26.2N 124.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
121200Z --- 28.2N 121.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
130000Z --- 30.3N 119.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
131200Z --- 32.5N 116.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
111500Z POSITION NEAR 25.3N 126.3E.
TROPICAL STORM 18W (YAGI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 102 NM SOUTH-
SOUTHWEST OF KADENA AB, OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT
111200Z IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 112100Z, 120300Z, 120900Z
AND 121500Z. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 19W (NINETEEN) WARNINGS
(WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 111200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.18 FOR TS 1814 YAGI (1814)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TS YAGI IS LOCATED AT 25.0N, 126.8E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND RADAR IMAGERY. POSITIONAL
ACCURACY IS GOOD. THE SYSTEM IS IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR
DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF HIGH SSTS AND HIGH TCHP. THIS
HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO DEVELOP OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS.
INFORMATION ON CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY
ANALYSES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD DUE TO WEAK STEERING FLOW. ANIMATED
MSI SHOWS CB CLUSTERS HAVE GATHERED AROUND THE CSC. WATER VAPOR
IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR AROUND THE SYSTEM. GCOM-W/AMSR2 89 GHZ
MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS A BAND WITH CURVATURE
INDICATING THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD DUE TO WEAK STEERING FLOW
UNTIL FT12. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE NORTHWESTWARD DUE TO WEAK
STEERING FLOW UNTIL FT48. THE SYSTEM WILL HIT THE CHINESE MAINLAND
BY FT48. THE JMA TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND
REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. JMA TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS
FAIR BECAUSE ALL NUMERICAL MODELS ARE IN CLOSE AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP UNTIL FT24 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS AND HIGH TCHP. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN
WEAKEN RAPIDLY UNTIL FT48 DUE TO ITS LANDFALL. THE SYSTEM WILL
WEAKEN TO TD INTENSITY BY FT48. THE JMA INTENSITY FORECAST IS
BASED ON GUIDANCE DATA.
=


Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 111200
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 14
NAME 1814 YAGI
ANALYSIS
POSITION 111200UTC 25.2N 126.9E
MOVEMENT W 10KT
PRES/VMAX 992HPA 41KT
FORECAST
24HR
POSITION 121200UTC 29.9N 122.0E WITHIN 60NM
PRES/VMAX 990HPA 43KT
48HR
POSITION 131200UTC 33.7N 119.2E WITHIN 90NM
PRES/VMAX 996HPA 37KT
72HR
POSITION 141200UTC 36.6N 117.7E WITHIN 135NM
PRES/VMAX 998HPA 35KT
84HR
POSITION 150000UTC 37.6N 117.3E WITHIN 0NM
PRES/VMAX 1002HPA 27KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 111200
WARNING 111200.
WARNING VALID 121200.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
GALE WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 1814 YAGI (1814) 990 HPA
AT 25.0N 126.8E SEA SOUTH OF OKINAWA MOVING WEST 11 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 270 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 150 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 120000UTC AT 26.3N 124.3E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 121200UTC AT 28.7N 121.9E WITH 60 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 131200UTC AT 33.2N 117.2E WITH 110 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
996 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 111200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 1814 YAGI (1814)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 111200UTC 25.0N 126.8E GOOD
MOVE W 11KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
30KT 270NM EAST 150NM WEST
FORECAST
24HF 121200UTC 28.7N 121.9E 60NM 70.
MOVE NW 16KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
48HF 131200UTC 33.2N 117.2E 110NM 70. TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 110900
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 1814 YAGI (1814)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 110900UTC 25.0N 127.8E FAIR
MOVE W 10KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 210NM EAST 150NM WEST
FORECAST
24HF 120900UTC 28.1N 122.6E 60NM 70.
MOVE NW 16KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
45HF 130600UTC 32.6N 118.1E 110NM 70.
MOVE NW 16KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
69HF 140600UTC 36.6N 118.8E 200NM 70. TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPN52 PGTW 110900
WARNING ATCG MIL 18W NWP 180811065714
2018081106 18W YAGI 019 02 280 11 SATL RADR SYNP 045
T000 251N 1282E 035 R034 090 NE QD 070 SE QD 070 SW QD 090 NW QD
T012 264N 1256E 035 R034 075 NE QD 040 SE QD 015 SW QD 075 NW QD
T024 282N 1230E 040 R034 100 NE QD 070 SE QD 015 SW QD 040 NW QD
T036 302N 1206E 030
T048 323N 1186E 020
AMP
036HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
048HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
1. TROPICAL STORM 18W (YAGI) WARNING NR 019
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
110600Z --- NEAR 25.1N 128.2E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 25.1N 128.2E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
111800Z --- 26.4N 125.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
120600Z --- 28.2N 123.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
121800Z --- 30.2N 120.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
130600Z --- 32.3N 118.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
110900Z POSITION NEAR 25.4N 127.6E.
TROPICAL STORM 18W (YAGI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 87 NM SOUTH-
SOUTHEAST OF KADENA AB, OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 11
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT
AT 110600Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 111500Z, 112100Z,
120300Z AND 120900Z. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 19W
1818080506 174N1333E 20
1818080512 176N1336E 20
1818080518 179N1339E 20
1818080600 184N1339E 20
1818080606 186N1337E 20
1818080612 187N1335E 20
1818080618 188N1331E 25
1818080700 188N1329E 25
1818080706 188N1327E 25
1818080712 189N1325E 30
1818080718 191N1324E 30
1818080800 193N1326E 35
1818080806 195N1334E 35
1818080812 199N1340E 35
1818080818 205N1341E 35
1818080900 209N1337E 35
1818080906 209N1335E 35
1818080912 212N1335E 40
1818080918 222N1331E 40
1818081000 228N1322E 35
1818081006 227N1320E 35
1818081012 232N1319E 35
1818081018 243N1308E 35
1818081100 249N1294E 35
1818081106 251N1282E 35
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPN32 PGTW 110900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 18W (YAGI) WARNING NR 019
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
110600Z --- NEAR 25.1N 128.2E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 25.1N 128.2E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
111800Z --- 26.4N 125.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
120600Z --- 28.2N 123.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
121800Z --- 30.2N 120.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
130600Z --- 32.3N 118.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
110900Z POSITION NEAR 25.4N 127.6E.
TROPICAL STORM 18W (YAGI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 87 NM SOUTH-
SOUTHEAST OF KADENA AB, OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 110600Z
IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 111500Z, 112100Z, 120300Z AND 120900Z.
REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 19W (NINETEEN) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN


Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 110600
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 13
NAME 1814 YAGI
ANALYSIS
POSITION 110600UTC 25.1N 128.0E
MOVEMENT W 15KT
PRES/VMAX 994HPA 37KT
FORECAST
24HR
POSITION 120600UTC 29.3N 122.8E WITHIN 60NM
PRES/VMAX 990HPA 41KT
48HR
POSITION 130600UTC 32.9N 119.7E WITHIN 90NM
PRES/VMAX 996HPA 39KT
72HR
POSITION 140600UTC 35.8N 118.0E WITHIN 135NM
PRES/VMAX 998HPA 35KT
96HR
POSITION 150600UTC 38.6N 117.1E WITHIN 0NM
PRES/VMAX 1002HPA 25KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 110600
WARNING 110600.
WARNING VALID 120600.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
GALE WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 1814 YAGI (1814) 992 HPA
AT 25.0N 128.0E SEA SOUTH OF OKINAWA MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 14 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 210 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 150 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 111800UTC AT 25.8N 125.4E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 120600UTC AT 27.7N 122.8E WITH 60 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 130600UTC AT 32.6N 118.1E WITH 110 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
994 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 140600UTC AT 36.6N 118.8E WITH 200 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
998 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 110600 RRA
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.17 FOR TS 1814 YAGI (1814)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TS YAGI IS LOCATED AT 25.0N, 128.0E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. THE SYSTEM IS IN A NEUTRAL
ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF HIGH SSTS, WEAK
VWS AND DRY AIR. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO MAINTAIN ITS
INTENSITY OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON CURRENT
INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS CB
CLUSTERS GATHERING AROUND THE CSC. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS DRY
AIR AROUND THE SYSTEM. GCOM-W/AMSR2 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS
THE SYSTEM HAS ACTIVE CONVECTIVE CLOUD CLUSTERS AROUND THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT12. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE
NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH
UNTIL FT48. THE SYSTEM WILL HIT THE CHINESE MAINLAND BY FT36. THE
JMA TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO
OTHER NWP MODELS. JMA TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR UNTIL FT48
BUT LOW THEREAFTER DUE TO SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AMONG NUMERICAL
MODEL OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP UNTIL FT24 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP AND WEAK VWS. THE SYSTEM
WILL THEN WEAKEN UNTIL FT48 DUE TO ITS LANDFALL. THE SYSTEM WILL


Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 110600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.17 FOR TS 1814 YAGI (1814)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TS YAGI IS LOCATED AT 25.0N, 128.0E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. THE SYSTEM IS IN A NEUTRAL
ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF HIGH SSTS, WEAK
VWS AND DRY AIR. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO MAINTAIN ITS
INTENSITY OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON CURRENT
INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS CB
CLUSTERS GATHERING AROUND THE CSC. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS DRY
AIR AROUND THE SYSTEM. GCOM-W/AMSR2 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS
THE SYSTEM HAS ACTIVE CONVECTIVE CLOUD CLUSTERS AROUND THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT12. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE
NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH
UNTIL FT48. THE SYSTEM WILL HIT THE CHINESE MAINLAND BY FT36. THE
JMA TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO
OTHER NWP MODELS. JMA TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR UNTIL FT48
BUT LOW THEREAFTER DUE TO SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AMONG NUMERICAL
MODEL OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP UNTIL FT24 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP AND WEAK VWS. THE SYSTEM
WILL THEN WEAKEN UNTIL FT48 DUE TO ITS LANDFALL. THE SYSTEM WILL
THEN WEAKEN UNTIL FT72 DUE TO ITS CONTINUED PRESENCE OVER LAND.
THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN TO TD INTENSITY BY FT72. THE JMA INTENSITY
FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 110600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 1814 YAGI (1814)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 110600UTC 25.0N 128.0E FAIR
MOVE WNW 14KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 210NM EAST 150NM WEST
FORECAST
24HF 120600UTC 27.7N 122.8E 60NM 70.
MOVE NW 15KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
48HF 130600UTC 32.6N 118.1E 110NM 70.
MOVE NW 16KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
72HF 140600UTC 36.6N 118.8E 200NM 70. TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 110300
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 1814 YAGI (1814)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 110300UTC 25.0N 128.9E FAIR
MOVE WNW 14KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 210NM EAST 150NM WEST
FORECAST
24HF 120300UTC 27.7N 123.7E 60NM 70.
MOVE NW 16KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
45HF 130000UTC 31.7N 119.4E 110NM 70.
MOVE NW 15KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
69HF 140000UTC 35.5N 117.6E 200NM 70. TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPN52 PGTW 110300
WARNING ATCG MIL 18W NWP 180811013855
2018081100 18W YAGI 018 02 300 15 SATL 020
T000 250N 1294E 035 R034 120 NE QD 095 SE QD 070 SW QD 080 NW QD
T012 261N 1271E 035 R034 095 NE QD 090 SE QD 095 SW QD 085 NW QD
T024 277N 1243E 040 R034 120 NE QD 125 SE QD 100 SW QD 090 NW QD
T036 296N 1216E 035 R034 100 NE QD 090 SE QD 080 SW QD 075 NW QD
T048 318N 1194E 025
T072 348N 1176E 020
AMP
048HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
072HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
1. TROPICAL STORM 18W (YAGI) WARNING NR 018
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
110000Z --- NEAR 25.0N 129.4E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 15 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 25.0N 129.4E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
111200Z --- 26.1N 127.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
120000Z --- 27.7N 124.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
121200Z --- 29.6N 121.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
130000Z --- 31.8N 119.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
140000Z --- 34.8N 117.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
110300Z POSITION NEAR 25.3N 128.8E.
TROPICAL STORM 18W (YAGI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 125 NM SOUTHEAST
OF KADENA AB, OKINAWA, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 15
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT
110000Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 110900Z, 111500Z, 112100Z AND
PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
1818080506 174N1333E 20
1818080512 176N1336E 20
1818080518 179N1339E 20
1818080600 184N1339E 20
1818080606 186N1337E 20
1818080612 187N1335E 20
1818080618 188N1331E 25
1818080700 188N1329E 25
1818080706 188N1327E 25
1818080712 189N1325E 30
1818080718 191N1324E 30
1818080800 193N1326E 35
1818080806 195N1334E 35
1818080812 199N1340E 35
1818080818 205N1341E 35
1818080900 209N1337E 35
1818080906 209N1335E 35
1818080912 212N1335E 40
1818080918 222N1331E 40
1818081000 228N1322E 35
1818081006 227N1320E 35
1818081012 232N1319E 35
1818081018 243N1308E 35
1818081100 250N1294E 35
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPN32 PGTW 110300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 18W (YAGI) WARNING NR 018
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
110000Z --- NEAR 25.0N 129.4E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 15 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 25.0N 129.4E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
111200Z --- 26.1N 127.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
120000Z --- 27.7N 124.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
121200Z --- 29.6N 121.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
130000Z --- 31.8N 119.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
140000Z --- 34.8N 117.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
110300Z POSITION NEAR 25.3N 128.8E.
TROPICAL STORM 18W (YAGI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 125 NM SOUTHEAST
OF KADENA AB, OKINAWA, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 15
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT
110000Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 110900Z, 111500Z, 112100Z AND
120300Z. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 19W (NINETEEN) WARNINGS (WTPN32
PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 110000 RRA
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.16 FOR TS 1814 YAGI (1814)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TS YAGI IS LOCATED AT 25.0N, 129.6E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. THE SYSTEM IS IN A NEUTRAL
ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF HIGH SSTS, WEAK
VWS AND DRY AIR. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO MAINTAIN ITS
INTENSITY OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON CURRENT
INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS CB
CLUSTERS HAVE GATHERED AROUND THE CSC. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS
DRY AIR AROUND THE SYSTEM.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE WESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL
SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT12. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE
NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH
UNTIL FT48. THE SYSTEM WILL HIT THE CHINESE MAINLAND BY FT48. THE
SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT72. THE JMA TRACK FORECAST IS
BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. JMA
TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR BECAUSE ALL NUMERICAL MODELS ARE
IN CLOSE AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP UNTIL FT24 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS AND WEAK VWS. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN
WEAKEN UNTIL FT48 DUE TO ITS LANDFALL. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN WEAKEN
UNTIL FT72 DUE TO ITS CONTINUED PRESENCE OVER LAND. THE SYSTEM


Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 110000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.16 FOR TS 1814 YAGI (1814)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TS YAGI IS LOCATED AT 25.0N, 129.6E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. THE SYSTEM IS IN A NEUTRAL
ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF HIGH SSTS, WEAK
VWS AND DRY AIR. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO MAINTAIN ITS
INTENSITY OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON CURRENT
INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS CB
CLUSTERS HAVE GATHERED AROUND THE CSC. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS
DRY AIR AROUND THE SYSTEM.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE WESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL
SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT12. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE
NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH
UNTIL FT48. THE SYSTEM WILL HIT THE CHINESE MAINLAND BY FT48. THE
SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT72. THE JMA TRACK FORECAST IS
BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. JMA
TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR BECAUSE ALL NUMERICAL MODELS ARE
IN CLOSE AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP UNTIL FT24 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS AND WEAK VWS. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN
WEAKEN UNTIL FT48 DUE TO ITS LANDFALL. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN WEAKEN
UNTIL FT72 DUE TO ITS CONTINUED PRESENCE OVER LAND. THE SYSTEM
WILL WEAKEN TO TD INTENSITY BY FT72. THE JMA INTENSITY FORECAST IS
BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=


Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 110000
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 12
NAME 1814 YAGI
ANALYSIS
POSITION 110000UTC 25.1N 129.6E
MOVEMENT WNW 16KT
PRES/VMAX 994HPA 37KT
FORECAST
24HR
POSITION 120000UTC 28.5N 125.7E WITHIN 60NM
PRES/VMAX 992HPA 39KT
48HR
POSITION 130000UTC 32.7N 122.0E WITHIN 90NM
PRES/VMAX 990HPA 41KT
72HR
POSITION 140000UTC 37.7N 121.3E WITHIN 135NM
PRES/VMAX 990HPA 41KT
96HR
POSITION 150000UTC 41.6N 126.4E WITHIN 180NM
PRES/VMAX 994HPA 39KT
120HR
POSITION 160000UTC 43.9N 132.4E WITHIN 245NM
PRES/VMAX 996HPA 35KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 110000
WARNING 110000.
WARNING VALID 120000.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
GALE WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 1814 YAGI (1814) 994 HPA
AT 25.0N 129.6E SEA SOUTH OF OKINAWA MOVING NORTHWEST 14 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 210 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 150 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 111200UTC AT 25.5N 127.1E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 120000UTC AT 27.3N 124.4E WITH 60 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 130000UTC AT 31.7N 119.4E WITH 110 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 140000UTC AT 35.5N 117.6E WITH 200 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
998 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 110000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 1814 YAGI (1814)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 110000UTC 25.0N 129.6E FAIR
MOVE NW 14KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 210NM EAST 150NM WEST
FORECAST
24HF 120000UTC 27.3N 124.4E 60NM 70.
MOVE NW 15KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
48HF 130000UTC 31.7N 119.4E 110NM 70.
MOVE NW 15KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
72HF 140000UTC 35.5N 117.6E 200NM 70. TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 110000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 1814 YAGI (1814)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 110000UTC 25.0N 129.6E FAIR
MOVE NW 14KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 210NM EAST 150NM WEST
FORECAST
24HF 120000UTC 27.3N 124.4E 60NM 70.
MOVE NW 15KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
48HF 130000UTC 31.7N 119.4E 110NM 70.
MOVE NW 15KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
72HF 140000UTC 35.5N 117.6E 200NM 70. TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 102100
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 1814 YAGI (1814)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 102100UTC 24.8N 130.3E FAIR
MOVE NW 14KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 210NM SOUTHEAST 150NM NORTHWEST
FORECAST
24HF 112100UTC 26.5N 125.4E 60NM 70.
MOVE WNW 12KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
45HF 121800UTC 30.4N 121.5E 110NM 70.
MOVE NW 15KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
69HF 131800UTC 35.1N 118.5E 200NM 70.
MOVE NNW 13KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT =


Original Message :

WTPN52 PGTW 102100
WARNING ATCG MIL 18W NWP 180810194646
2018081018 18W YAGI 017 01 320 15 SATL 015
T000 243N 1308E 035 R034 095 NE QD 100 SE QD 055 SW QD 080 NW QD
T012 254N 1287E 035 R034 095 NE QD 090 SE QD 095 SW QD 085 NW QD
T024 266N 1262E 040 R034 120 NE QD 125 SE QD 100 SW QD 090 NW QD
T036 284N 1236E 040 R034 100 NE QD 090 SE QD 080 SW QD 075 NW QD
T048 301N 1213E 030
T072 339N 1187E 020
AMP
048HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
072HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
1. TROPICAL STORM 18W (YAGI) WARNING NR 017
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
101800Z --- NEAR 24.3N 130.8E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 320 DEGREES AT 15 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 015 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 24.3N 130.8E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
110600Z --- 25.4N 128.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
111800Z --- 26.6N 126.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
120600Z --- 28.4N 123.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
121800Z --- 30.1N 121.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
131800Z --- 33.9N 118.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
102100Z POSITION NEAR 24.6N 130.3E.
TROPICAL STORM 18W (YAGI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 209 NM SOUTHEAST
OF KADENA AB, OKINAWA, JAPAN,HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 101800Z
IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 110300Z, 110900Z, 111500Z AND 112100Z.//
1818080506 174N1333E 20
1818080512 176N1336E 20
1818080518 179N1339E 20
1818080600 184N1339E 20
1818080606 186N1337E 20
1818080612 187N1335E 20
1818080618 188N1331E 25
1818080700 188N1329E 25
1818080706 188N1327E 25
1818080712 189N1325E 30
1818080718 191N1324E 30
1818080800 193N1326E 35
1818080806 195N1334E 35
1818080812 199N1340E 35
1818080818 205N1341E 35
1818080900 209N1337E 35
1818080906 209N1335E 35
1818080912 212N1335E 40
1818080918 222N1331E 40
1818081000 228N1322E 35
1818081006 227N1320E 35
1818081012 232N1319E 35
1818081018 243N1308E 35
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPN32 PGTW 102100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 18W (YAGI) WARNING NR 017
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
101800Z --- NEAR 24.3N 130.8E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 320 DEGREES AT 15 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 015 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 24.3N 130.8E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
110600Z --- 25.4N 128.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
111800Z --- 26.6N 126.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
120600Z --- 28.4N 123.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
121800Z --- 30.1N 121.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
131800Z --- 33.9N 118.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
102100Z POSITION NEAR 24.6N 130.3E.
TROPICAL STORM 18W (YAGI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 209 NM SOUTHEAST
OF KADENA AB, OKINAWA, JAPAN,HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 101800Z
IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 110300Z, 110900Z, 111500Z AND 112100Z.//
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 101800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.15 FOR TS 1814 YAGI (1814)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TS YAGI IS LOCATED AT 24.2N, 130.9E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. THE SYSTEM IS IN A FAVORABLE
ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF HIGH SSTS AND
WEAK VWS. HOWEVER, THE LIMITED FIRMNESS OF ITS STRUCTURE HAS
CAUSED IT TO MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS.
INFORMATION ON CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY
ANALYSES.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD DUE TO WEAK STEERING FLOW.
ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE SEPARATION OF ACTIVE CONVECTIVE CLOUD
CLUSTERS FROM THE CSC, INDICATING INTERFERENCE FROM
INTENSIFICATION. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR AROUND THE
SYSTEM.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT24. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE
NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH
UNTIL FT48. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG
THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT72. THE
SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE NORTHEASTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A
MID-LATITUDE TROUGH UNTIL FT120. THE JMA TRACK FORECAST IS BASED
ON GSM PREDICTIONS. JMA TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR UNTIL
FT24 BUT LOW THEREAFTER DUE TO SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AMONG
NUMERICAL MODEL OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL GRADUALLY DEVELOP UNTIL FT48 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE
OF INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS AND WEAK VWS. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN
WEAKEN UNTIL FT72 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF LAND. THE JMA INTENSITY
FORECAST IS BASED ON GUIDANCE DATA.
=


Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 101800
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 11
NAME 1814 YAGI
ANALYSIS
POSITION 101800UTC 24.2N 131.0E
MOVEMENT NW 12KT
PRES/VMAX 994HPA 37KT
FORECAST
24HR
POSITION 111800UTC 27.5N 127.2E WITHIN 60NM
PRES/VMAX 992HPA 39KT
48HR
POSITION 121800UTC 31.9N 123.2E WITHIN 90NM
PRES/VMAX 990HPA 41KT
72HR
POSITION 131800UTC 36.7N 121.2E WITHIN 135NM
PRES/VMAX 990HPA 41KT
96HR
POSITION 141800UTC 40.8N 125.1E WITHIN 180NM
PRES/VMAX 992HPA 39KT
120HR
POSITION 151800UTC 43.7N 131.9E WITHIN 245NM
PRES/VMAX 994HPA 35KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 101800
WARNING 101800.
WARNING VALID 111800.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
GALE WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 1814 YAGI (1814) 992 HPA
AT 24.2N 130.9E SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHWEST 10 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 210 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 150
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 110600UTC AT 25.1N 129.1E WITH 30 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
992 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 111800UTC AT 26.4N 125.9E WITH 60 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 121800UTC AT 30.4N 121.5E WITH 110 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 131800UTC AT 35.1N 118.5E WITH 200 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
994 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 101800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 1814 YAGI (1814)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 101800UTC 24.2N 130.9E FAIR
MOVE NW 10KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 210NM SOUTHEAST 150NM NORTHWEST
FORECAST
24HF 111800UTC 26.4N 125.9E 60NM 70.
MOVE WNW 15KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
48HF 121800UTC 30.4N 121.5E 110NM 70.
MOVE NW 15KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
72HF 131800UTC 35.1N 118.5E 200NM 70.
MOVE NNW 13KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
96HF 141800UTC 38.0N 122.8E 300NM 70.
MOVE NE 13KT
120HF 151800UTC 40.1N 131.1E 425NM 70.
MOVE ENE 17KT =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 101800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 1814 YAGI (1814)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 101800UTC 24.2N 130.9E FAIR
MOVE NW 10KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 210NM SOUTHEAST 150NM NORTHWEST
FORECAST
24HF 111800UTC 26.4N 125.9E 60NM 70.
MOVE WNW 15KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
48HF 121800UTC 30.4N 121.5E 110NM 70.
MOVE NW 15KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
72HF 131800UTC 35.1N 118.5E 200NM 70.
MOVE NNW 13KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 101500
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 1814 YAGI (1814)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 101500UTC 23.5N 131.6E FAIR
MOVE NNW 07KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 210NM SOUTHEAST 150NM NORTHWEST
FORECAST
24HF 111500UTC 25.9N 126.8E 60NM 70.
MOVE WNW 15KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
45HF 121200UTC 30.0N 122.3E 110NM 70.
MOVE NW 16KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
69HF 131200UTC 34.7N 119.0E 200NM 70.
MOVE NNW 14KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT =


Original Message :

WTPN52 PGTW 101500
WARNING ATCG MIL 18W NWP 180810142006
2018081012 18W YAGI 016 01 350 05 SATL 030
T000 232N 1319E 035 R034 090 NE QD 105 SE QD 090 SW QD 080 NW QD
T012 244N 1303E 035 R034 095 NE QD 090 SE QD 095 SW QD 085 NW QD
T024 257N 1278E 040 R034 120 NE QD 125 SE QD 100 SW QD 090 NW QD
T036 272N 1255E 040 R034 100 NE QD 090 SE QD 080 SW QD 075 NW QD
T048 294N 1231E 045 R034 110 NE QD 095 SE QD 070 SW QD 080 NW QD
T072 340N 1211E 045 R034 130 NE QD 120 SE QD 075 SW QD 070 NW QD
T096 376N 1240E 040 R034 130 NE QD 090 SE QD 070 SW QD 075 NW QD
T120 393N 1297E 040 R034 140 NE QD 075 SE QD 080 SW QD 085 NW QD
AMP
096HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
120HR EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 18W (YAGI) WARNING NR 016
1. TROPICAL STORM 18W (YAGI) WARNING NR 016
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
101200Z --- NEAR 23.2N 131.9E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 350 DEGREES AT 05 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 23.2N 131.9E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
110000Z --- 24.4N 130.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
111200Z --- 25.7N 127.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
120000Z --- 27.2N 125.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
121200Z --- 29.4N 123.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
131200Z --- 34.0N 121.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
141200Z --- 37.6N 124.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
151200Z --- 39.3N 129.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
101500Z POSITION NEAR 23.5N 131.5E.
TROPICAL STORM (TS) 18W (YAGI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 298 NM
SOUTHEAST OF KADENA AB, OKINAWA, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED
NORTHWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 101200Z IS 16 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS
AT 102100Z, 110300Z, 110900Z AND 111500Z.//
1818080506 174N1333E 20
1818080512 176N1336E 20
1818080518 179N1339E 20
1818080600 184N1339E 20
1818080606 186N1337E 20
1818080612 187N1335E 20
1818080618 188N1331E 25
1818080700 188N1329E 25
1818080706 188N1327E 25
1818080712 189N1325E 30
1818080718 191N1324E 30
1818080800 193N1326E 35
1818080806 195N1334E 35
1818080812 199N1340E 35
1818080818 205N1341E 35
1818080900 209N1337E 35
1818080906 209N1335E 35
1818080912 212N1335E 40
1818080918 222N1331E 40
1818081000 228N1322E 35
1818081006 227N1320E 35
1818081012 232N1319E 35
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPN32 PGTW 101500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 18W (YAGI) WARNING NR 016
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
101200Z --- NEAR 23.2N 131.9E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 350 DEGREES AT 05 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 23.2N 131.9E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
110000Z --- 24.4N 130.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
111200Z --- 25.7N 127.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
120000Z --- 27.2N 125.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
121200Z --- 29.4N 123.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
131200Z --- 34.0N 121.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
141200Z --- 37.6N 124.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
151200Z --- 39.3N 129.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
101500Z POSITION NEAR 23.5N 131.5E.
TROPICAL STORM (TS) 18W (YAGI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 298 NM
SOUTHEAST OF KADENA AB, OKINAWA, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED
NORTHWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 101200Z IS 16 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS
AT 102100Z, 110300Z, 110900Z AND 111500Z.//
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 101200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.14 FOR TS 1814 YAGI (1814)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TS YAGI IS LOCATED AT 23.3N, 132.0E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI. POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR.
THE SYSTEM IS IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE
INFLUENCE OF HIGH SSTS AND WEAK VWS. HOWEVER, THE LIMITED FIRMNESS
OF ITS STRUCTURE HAS CAUSED IT TO MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY OVER THE
LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON
DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHWARD DUE TO WEAK STEERING FLOW. ANIMATED
MSI SHOWS CB CLUSTERS ARE SCATTERED AROUND THE CSC. WATER VAPOR
IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR IN THE DIRECTION OF THE MOVEMENT.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT24. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE
NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH
UNTIL FT48. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG
THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT72. THE
SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE EAST-NORTHEASTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A
MID-LATITUDE TROUGH UNTIL FT120. THE JMA TRACK FORECAST IS BASED
ON GSM PREDICTIONS. JMA TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR UNTIL
FT24 BUT LOW THEREAFTER DUE TO SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AMONG
NUMERICAL MODEL OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL GRADUALLY DEVELOP UNTIL FT48 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE
OF INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, WEAK VWS AND HIGH TCHP. THE SYSTEM
WILL THEN WEAKEN UNTIL FT72 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION
WITH LAND AND REDUCED TCHP. THE JMA INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON
GUIDANCE DATA.
=


Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 101200
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 10
NAME 1814 YAGI
ANALYSIS
POSITION 101200UTC 23.3N 131.9E
MOVEMENT NNW 5KT
PRES/VMAX 994HPA 37KT
FORECAST
24HR
POSITION 111200UTC 27.3N 128.3E WITHIN 60NM
PRES/VMAX 992HPA 39KT
48HR
POSITION 121200UTC 31.0N 124.3E WITHIN 90NM
PRES/VMAX 990HPA 41KT
72HR
POSITION 131200UTC 35.5N 121.4E WITHIN 135NM
PRES/VMAX 990HPA 41KT
96HR
POSITION 141200UTC 39.8N 123.5E WITHIN 180NM
PRES/VMAX 990HPA 41KT
120HR
POSITION 151200UTC 43.3N 130.7E WITHIN 245NM
PRES/VMAX 994HPA 35KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 101200
WARNING 101200.
WARNING VALID 111200.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
GALE WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 1814 YAGI (1814) 994 HPA
AT 23.3N 132.0E SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN MOVING NORTH 06 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 210 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 120
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 110000UTC AT 24.4N 130.0E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
994 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 111200UTC AT 25.7N 127.4E WITH 60 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 121200UTC AT 30.0N 122.3E WITH 110 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 131200UTC AT 34.7N 119.0E WITH 200 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 101200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 1814 YAGI (1814)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 101200UTC 23.3N 132.0E FAIR
MOVE N 06KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 210NM SOUTHEAST 120NM NORTHWEST
FORECAST
24HF 111200UTC 25.7N 127.4E 60NM 70.
MOVE WNW 13KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
48HF 121200UTC 30.0N 122.3E 110NM 70.
MOVE NW 16KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
72HF 131200UTC 34.7N 119.0E 200NM 70.
MOVE NNW 14KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
96HF 141200UTC 37.7N 122.3E 300NM 70.
MOVE NE 10KT
120HF 151200UTC 39.7N 130.4E 425NM 70.
MOVE ENE 17KT =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 101200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 1814 YAGI (1814)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 101200UTC 23.3N 132.0E FAIR
MOVE N 06KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 210NM SOUTHEAST 120NM NORTHWEST
FORECAST
24HF 111200UTC 25.7N 127.4E 60NM 70.
MOVE WNW 13KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
48HF 121200UTC 30.0N 122.3E 110NM 70.
MOVE NW 16KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
72HF 131200UTC 34.7N 119.0E 200NM 70.
MOVE NNW 14KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 100900
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 1814 YAGI (1814)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 100900UTC 22.9N 132.0E FAIR
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 210NM SOUTHEAST 120NM NORTHWEST
FORECAST
24HF 110900UTC 25.6N 128.0E 60NM 70.
MOVE WNW 12KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
45HF 120600UTC 28.9N 123.6E 110NM 70.
MOVE NW 14KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
69HF 130600UTC 34.3N 120.1E 200NM 70.
MOVE NNW 15KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT =


Original Message :

WTPN52 PGTW 100900
WARNING ATCG MIL 18W NWP 180810083112
2018081006 18W YAGI 015 02 240 02 SATL 030
T000 227N 1320E 035 R034 095 NE QD 100 SE QD 090 SW QD 055 NW QD
T012 236N 1310E 035 R034 095 NE QD 090 SE QD 095 SW QD 085 NW QD
T024 253N 1287E 040 R034 120 NE QD 125 SE QD 100 SW QD 090 NW QD
T036 269N 1263E 040 R034 100 NE QD 090 SE QD 080 SW QD 075 NW QD
T048 287N 1242E 045 R034 110 NE QD 095 SE QD 070 SW QD 080 NW QD
T072 335N 1215E 045 R034 130 NE QD 120 SE QD 075 SW QD 070 NW QD
T096 379N 1249E 040 R034 130 NE QD 090 SE QD 070 SW QD 075 NW QD
T120 409N 1322E 040 R034 140 NE QD 075 SE QD 080 SW QD 085 NW QD
AMP
096HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
120HR EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 18W (YAGI) WARNING NR 015
1. TROPICAL STORM 18W (YAGI) WARNING NR 015
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
100600Z --- NEAR 22.7N 132.0E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 240 DEGREES AT 02 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 22.7N 132.0E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
101800Z --- 23.6N 131.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
110600Z --- 25.3N 128.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
111800Z --- 26.9N 126.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
120600Z --- 28.7N 124.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
130600Z --- 33.5N 121.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
140600Z --- 37.9N 124.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 16 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
150600Z --- 40.9N 132.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
100900Z POSITION NEAR 22.9N 131.7E.
TROPICAL STORM (TS) 18W (YAGI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 323 NM SOUTHEAST
OF KADENA AB, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 02 KNOTS OVER THE
PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 100600Z IS 16
FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 101500Z, 102100Z, 110300Z AND 110900Z.
FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THAT SYSTEM.//
1818080506 174N1333E 20
1818080512 176N1336E 20
1818080518 179N1339E 20
1818080600 184N1339E 20
1818080606 186N1337E 20
1818080612 187N1335E 20
1818080618 188N1331E 25
1818080700 188N1329E 25
1818080706 188N1327E 25
1818080712 189N1325E 30
1818080718 191N1324E 30
1818080800 193N1326E 35
1818080806 195N1334E 35
1818080812 199N1340E 35
1818080818 205N1341E 35
1818080900 209N1337E 35
1818080906 209N1335E 35
1818080912 212N1335E 40
1818080918 222N1331E 40
1818081000 228N1322E 35
1818081006 227N1320E 35
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPN32 PGTW 100900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 18W (YAGI) WARNING NR 015
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
100600Z --- NEAR 22.7N 132.0E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 240 DEGREES AT 02 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 22.7N 132.0E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
101800Z --- 23.6N 131.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
110600Z --- 25.3N 128.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
111800Z --- 26.9N 126.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
120600Z --- 28.7N 124.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
130600Z --- 33.5N 121.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
140600Z --- 37.9N 124.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 16 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
150600Z --- 40.9N 132.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
100900Z POSITION NEAR 22.9N 131.7E.
TROPICAL STORM (TS) 18W (YAGI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 323 NM
SOUTHEAST OF KADENA AB, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 02 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 100600Z
IS 16 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 101500Z, 102100Z, 110300Z AND 110900Z.
REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 17W (SHANSHAN) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW)
FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THAT SYSTEM.//
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 100600 RRA
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.13 FOR TS 1814 YAGI (1814)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TS YAGI IS LOCATED AT 22.7N, 131.9E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND THE EYE IN MICROWAVE
IMAGERY. POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. THE SYSTEM IS IN A NEUTRAL
ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF HIGH SSTS. THIS
HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY OVER THE LAST SIX
HOURS. INFORMATION ON CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK
INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS ALMOST STATIONARY ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN PERIPHERY
OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS CB CLUSTERS
HAVE GATHERED AROUND THE CSC. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR
AROUND THE SYSTEM. GCOM-W/AMSR2 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE
SYSTEM HAS A BAND WITH CURVATURE INDICATING THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT48. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE
NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL
SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT72. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE
NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF MID-LATITUDE PREVAILING
WESTERLIES UNTIL FT96. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE
EAST-NORTHEASTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF MID-LATITUDE PREVAILING
WESTERLIES UNTIL FT120. THE JMA TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM
PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. JMA TRACK FORECAST
CONFIDENCE IS FAIR BECAUSE ALL NUMERICAL MODELS ARE IN CLOSE
AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL GRADUALLY DEVELOP UNTIL FT48 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE


Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 100600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.13 FOR TS 1814 YAGI (1814)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TS YAGI IS LOCATED AT 22.7N, 131.9E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND THE EYE IN MICROWAVE
IMAGERY. POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. THE SYSTEM IS IN A NEUTRAL
ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF HIGH SSTS. THIS
HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY OVER THE LAST SIX
HOURS. INFORMATION ON CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK
INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS ALMOST STATIONARY ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN PERIPHERY
OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS CB CLUSTERS
HAVE GATHERED AROUND THE CSC. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR
AROUND THE SYSTEM. GCOM-W/AMSR2 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE
SYSTEM HAS A BAND WITH CURVATURE INDICATING THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT48. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE
NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL
SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT72. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE
NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF MID-LATITUDE PREVAILING
WESTERLIES UNTIL FT96. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE
EAST-NORTHEASTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF MID-LATITUDE PREVAILING
WESTERLIES UNTIL FT120. THE JMA TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM
PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. JMA TRACK FORECAST
CONFIDENCE IS FAIR BECAUSE ALL NUMERICAL MODELS ARE IN CLOSE
AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL GRADUALLY DEVELOP UNTIL FT48 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE
OF INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP AND WEAK VWS. THE SYSTEM
WILL THEN GRADUALLY WEAKEN UNTIL FT72 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH LOWER SSTS, REDUCED TCHP AND INCREASED VWS. THE
JMA INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON GUIDANCE DATA.
=


Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 100600
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 9
NAME 1814 YAGI
ANALYSIS
POSITION 100600UTC 22.8N 132.0E
MOVEMENT W 3KT
PRES/VMAX 994HPA 37KT
FORECAST
24HR
POSITION 110600UTC 26.8N 129.0E WITHIN 60NM
PRES/VMAX 992HPA 39KT
48HR
POSITION 120600UTC 30.2N 125.1E WITHIN 90NM
PRES/VMAX 990HPA 41KT
72HR
POSITION 130600UTC 34.4N 121.8E WITHIN 135NM
PRES/VMAX 990HPA 41KT
96HR
POSITION 140600UTC 38.7N 121.9E WITHIN 180NM
PRES/VMAX 990HPA 41KT
120HR
POSITION 150600UTC 42.7N 129.4E WITHIN 245NM
PRES/VMAX 994HPA 35KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 100600
WARNING 100600.
WARNING VALID 110600.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
GALE WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 1814 YAGI (1814) 992 HPA
AT 22.7N 131.9E SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN ALMOST STATIONARY.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 210 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 120
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 101800UTC AT 24.2N 130.3E WITH 30 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
992 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 110600UTC AT 25.5N 128.4E WITH 60 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 120600UTC AT 28.9N 123.6E WITH 110 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 130600UTC AT 34.3N 120.1E WITH 200 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 100600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 1814 YAGI (1814)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 100600UTC 22.7N 131.9E FAIR
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 210NM SOUTHEAST 120NM NORTHWEST
FORECAST
24HF 110600UTC 25.5N 128.4E 60NM 70.
MOVE NW 11KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
48HF 120600UTC 28.9N 123.6E 110NM 70.
MOVE NW 14KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
72HF 130600UTC 34.3N 120.1E 200NM 70.
MOVE NNW 15KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
96HF 140600UTC 38.6N 123.6E 300NM 70.
MOVE NNE 13KT
120HF 150600UTC 40.9N 132.1E 425NM 70.
MOVE ENE 17KT =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 100600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 1814 YAGI (1814)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 100600UTC 22.7N 131.9E FAIR
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 210NM SOUTHEAST 120NM NORTHWEST
FORECAST
24HF 110600UTC 25.5N 128.4E 60NM 70.
MOVE NW 11KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
48HF 120600UTC 28.9N 123.6E 110NM 70.
MOVE NW 14KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
72HF 130600UTC 34.3N 120.1E 200NM 70.
MOVE NNW 15KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 100300
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 1814 YAGI (1814)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 100300UTC 22.8N 131.9E FAIR
MOVE NW 10KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 210NM SOUTH 140NM NORTH
FORECAST
24HF 110300UTC 25.6N 128.7E 60NM 70.
MOVE NW 11KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
45HF 120000UTC 28.5N 125.2E 110NM 70.
MOVE NW 12KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
69HF 130000UTC 32.8N 121.3E 200NM 70.
MOVE NW 14KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT =


Original Message :

WTPN32 PGTW 100300
WARNING ATCG MIL 18W NWP 180810015256
2018081000 18W YAGI 014 02 305 10 SATL 030
T000 228N 1322E 040 R034 075 NE QD 070 SE QD 095 SW QD 055 NW QD
T012 244N 1312E 040 R034 095 NE QD 090 SE QD 095 SW QD 085 NW QD
T024 259N 1294E 040 R034 120 NE QD 125 SE QD 100 SW QD 090 NW QD
T036 272N 1271E 040 R034 100 NE QD 090 SE QD 080 SW QD 075 NW QD
T048 291N 1247E 045 R034 110 NE QD 095 SE QD 070 SW QD 080 NW QD
T072 336N 1219E 050 R050 050 NE QD 040 SE QD 020 SW QD 025 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 120 SE QD 075 SW QD 070 NW QD
T096 383N 1243E 050 R050 045 NE QD 040 SE QD 025 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 090 SE QD 070 SW QD 075 NW QD
T120 423N 1324E 040 R034 140 NE QD 075 SE QD 080 SW QD 085 NW QD
AMP
096HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
120HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 18W (YAGI) WARNING NR 014
1. TROPICAL STORM 18W (YAGI) WARNING NR 014
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
100000Z --- NEAR 22.8N 132.2E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 22.8N 132.2E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
101200Z --- 24.4N 131.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
110000Z --- 25.9N 129.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
111200Z --- 27.2N 127.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
120000Z --- 29.1N 124.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
130000Z --- 33.6N 121.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
140000Z --- 38.3N 124.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 18 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
150000Z --- 42.3N 132.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
100300Z POSITION NEAR 23.2N 131.9E.
TROPICAL STORM 18W (YAGI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 327 NM SOUTHEAST
OF KADENA AB, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST
SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 100000Z IS 16 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 100900Z, 101500Z, 102100Z AND 110300Z.
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
1818080506 174N1333E 20
1818080512 176N1336E 20
1818080518 179N1339E 20
1818080600 184N1339E 20
1818080606 186N1337E 20
1818080612 187N1335E 20
1818080618 188N1331E 25
1818080700 188N1329E 25
1818080706 188N1327E 25
1818080712 189N1325E 30
1818080718 191N1324E 30
1818080800 193N1326E 35
1818080806 195N1334E 35
1818080812 199N1340E 35
1818080818 205N1341E 35
1818080900 209N1337E 35
1818080906 209N1335E 35
1818080912 212N1335E 40
1818080918 222N1331E 40
1818081000 228N1322E 40
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 100000 RRA
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.12 FOR TS 1814 YAGI (1814)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TS YAGI IS LOCATED AT 22.8N, 132.3E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. THE SYSTEM IS IN A NEUTRAL
ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF HIGH SSTS AND
WEAK VWS. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY
OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED
ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE WESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE
SEPARATION OF ACTIVE CONVECTIVE CLOUD CLUSTERS FROM THE CSC,
INDICATING INTERFERENCE FROM INTENSIFICATION. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY
SHOWS DRY AIR AROUND THE SYSTEM. DMSP-F17/SSMIS 89 GHZ MICROWAVE
IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS A BAND WITH CURVATURE INDICATING THE
CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT72. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE
NORTHWARD DUE TO WEAK STEERING FLOW UNTIL FT96. THE SYSTEM WILL
THEN MOVE EAST-NORTHEASTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF MID-LATITUDE
PREVAILING WESTERLIES UNTIL FT120. THE JMA TRACK FORECAST IS BASED
ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. JMA TRACK
FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR BECAUSE ALL NUMERICAL MODELS ARE IN
CLOSE AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL GRADUALLY DEVELOP UNTIL FT48 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE
OF INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP AND WEAK VWS. THE SYSTEM


Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 100000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.12 FOR TS 1814 YAGI (1814)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TS YAGI IS LOCATED AT 22.8N, 132.3E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. THE SYSTEM IS IN A NEUTRAL
ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF HIGH SSTS AND
WEAK VWS. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY
OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED
ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE WESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE
SEPARATION OF ACTIVE CONVECTIVE CLOUD CLUSTERS FROM THE CSC,
INDICATING INTERFERENCE FROM INTENSIFICATION. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY
SHOWS DRY AIR AROUND THE SYSTEM. DMSP-F17/SSMIS 89 GHZ MICROWAVE
IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS A BAND WITH CURVATURE INDICATING THE
CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT72. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE
NORTHWARD DUE TO WEAK STEERING FLOW UNTIL FT96. THE SYSTEM WILL
THEN MOVE EAST-NORTHEASTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF MID-LATITUDE
PREVAILING WESTERLIES UNTIL FT120. THE JMA TRACK FORECAST IS BASED
ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. JMA TRACK
FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR BECAUSE ALL NUMERICAL MODELS ARE IN
CLOSE AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL GRADUALLY DEVELOP UNTIL FT48 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE
OF INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP AND WEAK VWS. THE SYSTEM
WILL THEN MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY UNTIL FT72 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE
OF HIGH SSTS. THE JMA INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON GUIDANCE
DATA.
=


Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 100000
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 8
NAME 1814 YAGI
ANALYSIS
POSITION 100000UTC 22.8N 132.3E
MOVEMENT NW 9KT
PRES/VMAX 994HPA 37KT
FORECAST
24HR
POSITION 110000UTC 26.0N 129.9E WITHIN 60NM
PRES/VMAX 994HPA 37KT
48HR
POSITION 120000UTC 29.3N 126.0E WITHIN 90NM
PRES/VMAX 992HPA 39KT
72HR
POSITION 130000UTC 33.3N 122.5E WITHIN 135NM
PRES/VMAX 990HPA 41KT
96HR
POSITION 140000UTC 37.8N 121.8E WITHIN 180NM
PRES/VMAX 990HPA 41KT
120HR
POSITION 150000UTC 42.4N 128.9E WITHIN 245NM
PRES/VMAX 994HPA 35KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 100000
WARNING 100000.
WARNING VALID 110000.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
GALE WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 1814 YAGI (1814) 992 HPA
AT 22.8N 132.3E SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHNORTHWEST 11 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 210 MILES SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 140 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 101200UTC AT 24.3N 131.3E WITH 30 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
992 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 110000UTC AT 25.8N 129.5E WITH 60 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
992 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 120000UTC AT 28.5N 125.2E WITH 110 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 130000UTC AT 32.8N 121.3E WITH 200 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 100000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 1814 YAGI (1814)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 100000UTC 22.8N 132.3E FAIR
MOVE NNW 11KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 210NM SOUTH 140NM NORTH
FORECAST
24HF 110000UTC 25.8N 129.5E 60NM 70.
MOVE NW 11KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
48HF 120000UTC 28.5N 125.2E 110NM 70.
MOVE NW 12KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
72HF 130000UTC 32.8N 121.3E 200NM 70.
MOVE NW 14KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
96HF 140000UTC 37.7N 122.5E 300NM 70.
MOVE N 12KT
120HF 150000UTC 41.8N 132.3E 425NM 70.
MOVE ENE 21KT =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 100000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 1814 YAGI (1814)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 100000UTC 22.8N 132.3E FAIR
MOVE NNW 11KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 210NM SOUTH 140NM NORTH
FORECAST
24HF 110000UTC 25.8N 129.5E 60NM 70.
MOVE NW 11KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
48HF 120000UTC 28.5N 125.2E 110NM 70.
MOVE NW 12KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
72HF 130000UTC 32.8N 121.3E 200NM 70.
MOVE NW 14KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 092100
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 1814 YAGI (1814)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 092100UTC 22.6N 132.6E FAIR
MOVE NNW 09KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 210NM SOUTH 140NM NORTH
FORECAST
24HF 102100UTC 25.8N 130.2E 50NM 70.
MOVE NNW 10KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
45HF 111800UTC 27.3N 126.9E 95NM 70.
MOVE WNW 10KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
69HF 121800UTC 31.6N 122.7E 140NM 70.
MOVE NW 14KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT =


Original Message :

WTPN32 PGTW 092100
WARNING ATCG MIL 18W NWP 180809194421
2018080918 18W YAGI 013 02 340 11 SATL 060
T000 222N 1331E 040 R034 060 NE QD 070 SE QD 110 SW QD 065 NW QD
T012 240N 1325E 040 R034 075 NE QD 090 SE QD 085 SW QD 075 NW QD
T024 255N 1311E 040 R034 095 NE QD 105 SE QD 115 SW QD 085 NW QD
T036 271N 1289E 040 R034 100 NE QD 100 SE QD 090 SW QD 090 NW QD
T048 287N 1262E 040 R034 100 NE QD 095 SE QD 075 SW QD 090 NW QD
T072 328N 1230E 045 R034 100 NE QD 095 SE QD 075 SW QD 075 NW QD
T096 372N 1233E 050 R050 000 NE QD 065 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R034 105 NE QD 140 SE QD 110 SW QD 085 NW QD
T120 415N 1327E 040 R034 075 NE QD 095 SE QD 115 SW QD 080 NW QD
AMP
096HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
120HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 18W (YAGI) WARNING NR 013
1. TROPICAL STORM 18W (YAGI) WARNING NR 013
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
091800Z --- NEAR 22.2N 133.1E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 340 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 22.2N 133.1E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
100600Z --- 24.0N 132.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
101800Z --- 25.5N 131.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
110600Z --- 27.1N 128.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
111800Z --- 28.7N 126.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
121800Z --- 32.8N 123.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
131800Z --- 37.2N 123.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 21 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
141800Z --- 41.5N 132.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
092100Z POSITION NEAR 22.6N 132.9E.
TROPICAL STORM 18W (YAGI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 388 NM SOUTHEAST
OF KADENA AB, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER
THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 091800Z IS 16 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 100300Z, 100900Z, 101500Z AND 102100Z.
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
1818080506 174N1333E 20
1818080512 176N1336E 20
1818080518 179N1339E 20
1818080600 184N1339E 20
1818080606 186N1337E 20
1818080612 187N1335E 20
1818080618 188N1331E 25
1818080700 188N1329E 25
1818080706 188N1327E 25
1818080712 189N1325E 30
1818080718 191N1324E 30
1818080800 193N1326E 35
1818080806 195N1334E 35
1818080812 199N1340E 35
1818080818 205N1341E 35
1818080900 209N1337E 35
1818080906 209N1335E 35
1818080912 212N1335E 40
1818080918 222N1331E 40
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 091800 RRA
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.11 FOR TS 1814 YAGI (1814)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TS YAGI IS LOCATED AT 22.2N, 133.0E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. THE SYSTEM IS IN A FAVORABLE
ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF HIGH SSTS AND
GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO DEVELOP
OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. HOWEVER, THE INFLUENCE OF DRY AIR IS
UNFAVORABLE FOR SYSTEM DEVELOPMENT. INFORMATION ON CURRENT
INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE WINDS
DATA ESTIMATED FROM SATELLITE SCATTEROMETERS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SLOWLY NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD DUE TO WEAK
STEERING FLOW. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE SEPARATION OF ACTIVE
CONVECTIVE CLOUD CLUSTERS FROM THE CSC, INDICATING INTERFERENCE
FROM INTENSIFICATION. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR IN THE
DIRECTION OF THE MOVEMENT.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD DUE TO WEAK STEERING FLOW
UNTIL FT24. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT48. THE SYSTEM
WILL THEN MOVE NORTHWESTWARD UNTIL FT72. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE
NORTHWARD UNTIL FT96. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE NORTHEASTWARD
UNTIL FT120. THE JMA TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS,
AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. JMA TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE
IS FAIR UNTIL FT48 BUT LOW THEREAFTER DUE TO SIGNIFICANT
DIFFERENCES AMONG NUMERICAL MODEL OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY UNTIL FT24 DUE TO THE


Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 091800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.11 FOR TS 1814 YAGI (1814)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TS YAGI IS LOCATED AT 22.2N, 133.0E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. THE SYSTEM IS IN A FAVORABLE
ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF HIGH SSTS AND
GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO DEVELOP
OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. HOWEVER, THE INFLUENCE OF DRY AIR IS
UNFAVORABLE FOR SYSTEM DEVELOPMENT. INFORMATION ON CURRENT
INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE WINDS
DATA ESTIMATED FROM SATELLITE SCATTEROMETERS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SLOWLY NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD DUE TO WEAK
STEERING FLOW. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE SEPARATION OF ACTIVE
CONVECTIVE CLOUD CLUSTERS FROM THE CSC, INDICATING INTERFERENCE
FROM INTENSIFICATION. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR IN THE
DIRECTION OF THE MOVEMENT.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD DUE TO WEAK STEERING FLOW
UNTIL FT24. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT48. THE SYSTEM
WILL THEN MOVE NORTHWESTWARD UNTIL FT72. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE
NORTHWARD UNTIL FT96. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE NORTHEASTWARD
UNTIL FT120. THE JMA TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS,
AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. JMA TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE
IS FAIR UNTIL FT48 BUT LOW THEREAFTER DUE TO SIGNIFICANT
DIFFERENCES AMONG NUMERICAL MODEL OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY UNTIL FT24 DUE TO THE
INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, GOOD UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW,
STRONG VWS AND DRY AIR. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN DEVELOP UNTIL FT48
DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP AND
WEAK VWS. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY UNTIL FT72
DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, REDUCED TCHP
AND WEAK VWS. THE JMA INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM
PREDICTIONS.
=


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 091800
WARNING 091800.
WARNING VALID 101800.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
GALE WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 1814 YAGI (1814) 992 HPA
AT 22.2N 133.0E SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHNORTHWEST SLOWLY.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 210 MILES SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 140 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 101800UTC AT 25.3N 130.9E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
992 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 111800UTC AT 27.3N 126.9E WITH 95 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 121800UTC AT 31.6N 122.7E WITH 140 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 091800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 1814 YAGI (1814)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 091800UTC 22.2N 133.0E FAIR
MOVE NNW SLOWLY
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 210NM SOUTH 140NM NORTH
FORECAST
24HF 101800UTC 25.3N 130.9E 50NM 70.
MOVE NNW 09KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
48HF 111800UTC 27.3N 126.9E 95NM 70.
MOVE WNW 10KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
72HF 121800UTC 31.6N 122.7E 140NM 70.
MOVE NW 14KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
96HF 131800UTC 35.6N 121.7E 300NM 70.
MOVE N 16KT
120HF 141800UTC 40.8N 131.9E 425NM 70.
MOVE NE 12KT =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 091800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 1814 YAGI (1814)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 091800UTC 22.2N 133.0E FAIR
MOVE NNW SLOWLY
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 210NM SOUTH 140NM NORTH
FORECAST
24HF 101800UTC 25.3N 130.9E 50NM 70.
MOVE NNW 09KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
48HF 111800UTC 27.3N 126.9E 95NM 70.
MOVE WNW 10KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
72HF 121800UTC 31.6N 122.7E 140NM 70.
MOVE NW 14KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 091500
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 1814 YAGI (1814)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 091500UTC 21.8N 133.4E FAIR
MOVE N SLOWLY
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 210NM SOUTH 140NM NORTH
FORECAST
24HF 101500UTC 24.8N 131.7E 50NM 70.
MOVE NNW 08KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
45HF 111200UTC 27.1N 128.3E 110NM 70.
MOVE NW 12KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
69HF 121200UTC 31.0N 124.4E 140NM 70.
MOVE NW 13KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT =


Original Message :

WTPN52 PGTW 091500
WARNING ATCG MIL 18W NWP 180809133358
2018080912 18W YAGI 012 02 030 04 SATL 060
T000 211N 1335E 040 R034 060 NE QD 075 SE QD 110 SW QD 065 NW QD
T012 224N 1332E 040 R034 070 NE QD 100 SE QD 115 SW QD 090 NW QD
T024 240N 1323E 040 R034 050 NE QD 075 SE QD 100 SW QD 065 NW QD
T036 255N 1307E 040 R034 085 NE QD 115 SE QD 085 SW QD 065 NW QD
T048 270N 1284E 040 R034 055 NE QD 015 SE QD 040 SW QD 045 NW QD
T072 312N 1249E 045 R034 105 NE QD 090 SE QD 055 SW QD 085 NW QD
T096 359N 1247E 045 R034 110 NE QD 100 SE QD 050 SW QD 060 NW QD
T120 404N 1304E 050 R050 085 NE QD 080 SE QD 055 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 125 SE QD 120 SW QD 135 NW QD
AMP
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 18W (YAGI) WARNING NR 012
1. TROPICAL STORM 18W (YAGI) WARNING NR 012
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
091200Z --- NEAR 21.1N 133.5E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 030 DEGREES AT 04 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 21.1N 133.5E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
100000Z --- 22.4N 133.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
101200Z --- 24.0N 132.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
110000Z --- 25.5N 130.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
111200Z --- 27.0N 128.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
121200Z --- 31.2N 124.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
131200Z --- 35.9N 124.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 16 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
141200Z --- 40.4N 130.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
091500Z POSITION NEAR 21.4N 133.4E.
TROPICAL STORM 18W (YAGI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 450 NM SOUTHEAST
OF KADENA AB, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER
THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 091200Z IS 15 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 092100Z, 100300Z, 100900Z AND 101500Z.
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
1818080506 174N1333E 20
1818080512 176N1336E 20
1818080518 179N1339E 20
1818080600 184N1339E 20
1818080606 186N1337E 20
1818080612 187N1335E 20
1818080618 188N1331E 25
1818080700 188N1329E 25
1818080706 188N1327E 25
1818080712 189N1325E 30
1818080718 191N1324E 30
1818080800 193N1326E 35
1818080806 195N1334E 35
1818080812 199N1340E 35
1818080818 205N1341E 35
1818080900 210N1337E 35
1818080906 208N1333E 35
1818080912 211N1335E 40
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPN32 PGTW 091500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 18W (YAGI) WARNING NR 012
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
091200Z --- NEAR 21.1N 133.5E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 030 DEGREES AT 04 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 21.1N 133.5E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
100000Z --- 22.4N 133.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
101200Z --- 24.0N 132.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
110000Z --- 25.5N 130.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
111200Z --- 27.0N 128.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
121200Z --- 31.2N 124.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
131200Z --- 35.9N 124.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 16 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
141200Z --- 40.4N 130.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
091500Z POSITION NEAR 21.4N 133.4E.
TROPICAL STORM 18W (YAGI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 450 NM SOUTHEAST
OF KADENA AB, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER
THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 091200Z IS 15
FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 092100Z, 100300Z, 100900Z AND 101500Z.
REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 17W (SHANSHAN) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW)
FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THAT SYSTEM.
//
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 091200 RRA
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.10 FOR TS 1814 YAGI (1814)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TS YAGI IS LOCATED AT 20.9N, 133.4E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI. POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR.
THE SYSTEM IS IN A NEUTRAL ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE
INFLUENCE OF HIGH SSTS, GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW, STRONG VWS AND
DRY AIR. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY OVER
THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON
DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS ALMOST STATIONARY DUE TO WEAK STEERING FLOW.
ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE SEPARATION OF ACTIVE CONVECTIVE CLOUD
CLUSTERS FROM THE CSC, INDICATING INTERFERENCE FROM
INTENSIFICATION. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR IN THE
DIRECTION OF THE MOVEMENT.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD DUE TO WEAK STEERING FLOW
UNTIL FT24. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE
NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH
UNTIL FT72. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE NORTHWARD ALONG THE
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT96. THE SYSTEM
WILL THEN MOVE NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL
SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT120. THE JMA TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON
GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. JMA TRACK
FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR UNTIL FT72 BUT LOW THEREAFTER DUE TO
SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AMONG NUMERICAL MODEL OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY UNTIL FT48 DUE TO THE
INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, GOOD UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW,


Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 091200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.10 FOR TS 1814 YAGI (1814)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TS YAGI IS LOCATED AT 20.9N, 133.4E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI. POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR.
THE SYSTEM IS IN A NEUTRAL ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE
INFLUENCE OF HIGH SSTS, GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW, STRONG VWS AND
DRY AIR. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY OVER
THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON
DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS ALMOST STATIONARY DUE TO WEAK STEERING FLOW.
ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE SEPARATION OF ACTIVE CONVECTIVE CLOUD
CLUSTERS FROM THE CSC, INDICATING INTERFERENCE FROM
INTENSIFICATION. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR IN THE
DIRECTION OF THE MOVEMENT.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD DUE TO WEAK STEERING FLOW
UNTIL FT24. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE
NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH
UNTIL FT72. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE NORTHWARD ALONG THE
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT96. THE SYSTEM
WILL THEN MOVE NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL
SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT120. THE JMA TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON
GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. JMA TRACK
FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR UNTIL FT72 BUT LOW THEREAFTER DUE TO
SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AMONG NUMERICAL MODEL OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY UNTIL FT48 DUE TO THE
INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, GOOD UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW,
STRONG VWS AND DRY AIR. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN DEVELOP UNTIL FT72
DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP AND
WEAK VWS. THE JMA INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS.
=


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 091200
WARNING 091200.
WARNING VALID 101200.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
GALE WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 1814 YAGI (1814) 994 HPA
AT 20.9N 133.4E SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN ALMOST STATIONARY.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 300 MILES SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 120 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 101200UTC AT 23.9N 132.1E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
994 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 111200UTC AT 27.1N 128.3E WITH 110 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
994 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 121200UTC AT 31.0N 124.4E WITH 140 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 091200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 1814 YAGI (1814)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 091200UTC 20.9N 133.4E FAIR
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 300NM SOUTH 120NM NORTH
FORECAST
24HF 101200UTC 23.9N 132.1E 50NM 70.
MOVE NNW 08KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
48HF 111200UTC 27.1N 128.3E 110NM 70.
MOVE NW 12KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
72HF 121200UTC 31.0N 124.4E 140NM 70.
MOVE NW 13KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
96HF 131200UTC 37.4N 124.7E 300NM 70.
MOVE N 16KT
120HF 141200UTC 40.2N 129.4E 425NM 70.
MOVE NE 12KT =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 091200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 1814 YAGI (1814)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 091200UTC 20.9N 133.4E FAIR
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 300NM SOUTH 120NM NORTH
FORECAST
24HF 101200UTC 23.9N 132.1E 50NM 70.
MOVE NNW 08KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
48HF 111200UTC 27.1N 128.3E 110NM 70.
MOVE NW 12KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
72HF 121200UTC 31.0N 124.4E 140NM 70.
MOVE NW 13KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 090900
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 1814 YAGI (1814)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 090900UTC 20.8N 133.2E FAIR
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 270NM SOUTH 120NM NORTH
FORECAST
24HF 100900UTC 23.5N 132.0E 50NM 70.
MOVE NNW 07KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
45HF 110600UTC 27.0N 129.8E 110NM 70.
MOVE NNW 11KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
69HF 120600UTC 30.5N 125.3E 140NM 70.
MOVE NW 13KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT =


Original Message :

WTPN52 PGTW 090900
WARNING ATCG MIL 18W NWP 180809075804
2018080906 18W YAGI 011 02 235 07 SATL 060
T000 206N 1331E 035 R034 060 NE QD 100 SE QD 155 SW QD 060 NW QD
T012 218N 1328E 040 R034 080 NE QD 110 SE QD 120 SW QD 070 NW QD
T024 232N 1323E 040 R034 070 NE QD 095 SE QD 080 SW QD 055 NW QD
T036 248N 1312E 040 R034 080 NE QD 100 SE QD 055 SW QD 075 NW QD
T048 263N 1295E 040 R034 095 NE QD 090 SE QD 095 SW QD 115 NW QD
T072 298N 1252E 045 R034 125 NE QD 090 SE QD 050 SW QD 090 NW QD
T096 346N 1241E 045 R034 095 NE QD 125 SE QD 060 SW QD 060 NW QD
T120 397N 1286E 045 R034 105 NE QD 130 SE QD 100 SW QD 075 NW QD
AMP
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 18W (YAGI) WARNING NR 011
1. TROPICAL STORM 18W (YAGI) WARNING NR 011
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
090600Z --- NEAR 20.6N 133.1E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 235 DEGREES AT 07 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
155 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 20.6N 133.1E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
091800Z --- 21.8N 132.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
100600Z --- 23.2N 132.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
101800Z --- 24.8N 131.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
110600Z --- 26.3N 129.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
120600Z --- 29.8N 125.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
130600Z --- 34.6N 124.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 16 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
140600Z --- 39.7N 128.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
090900Z POSITION NEAR 20.9N 133.0E.
TROPICAL STORM 18W (YAGI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 458 NM SOUTHEAST
OF KADENA AB, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST
SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 090600Z IS 14 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 091500Z, 092100Z, 100300Z AND 100900Z.
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
1818080506 174N1333E 20
1818080512 176N1336E 20
1818080518 179N1339E 20
1818080600 184N1339E 20
1818080606 186N1337E 20
1818080612 187N1335E 20
1818080618 188N1331E 25
1818080700 188N1329E 25
1818080706 188N1327E 25
1818080712 189N1325E 30
1818080718 191N1324E 30
1818080800 193N1326E 35
1818080806 195N1334E 35
1818080812 199N1340E 35
1818080818 205N1341E 35
1818080900 210N1337E 35
1818080906 206N1331E 35
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPN32 PGTW 090900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 18W (YAGI) WARNING NR 011
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
090600Z --- NEAR 20.6N 133.1E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 235 DEGREES AT 07 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
155 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 20.6N 133.1E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
091800Z --- 21.8N 132.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
100600Z --- 23.2N 132.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
101800Z --- 24.8N 131.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
110600Z --- 26.3N 129.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
120600Z --- 29.8N 125.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
130600Z --- 34.6N 124.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 16 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
140600Z --- 39.7N 128.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
090900Z POSITION NEAR 20.9N 133.0E.
TROPICAL STORM 18W (YAGI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 458 NM SOUTHEAST
OF KADENA AB, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST
SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 090600Z IS 14 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 091500Z, 092100Z, 100300Z AND 100900Z.
REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 17W (SHANSHAN) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 090600 CCA
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO. 9 FOR TS 1814 YAGI (1814)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TS YAGI IS LOCATED AT 21.0N, 133.3E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI. POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR.
THE SYSTEM IS IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE
INFLUENCE OF HIGH SSTS AND GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW. HOWEVER, THE
LIMITED FIRMNESS OF ITS STRUCTURE HAS CAUSED IT TO MAINTAIN ITS
INTENSITY OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON CURRENT
INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SLOWLY NORTHWESTWARD DUE TO WEAK STEERING
FLOW. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE SEPARATION OF ACTIVE CONVECTIVE CLOUD
CLUSTERS FROM THE CSC, INDICATING INTERFERENCE FROM
INTENSIFICATION. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR IN THE
DIRECTION OF THE MOVEMENT.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTHWARD DUE TO WEAK STEERING FLOW UNTIL
FT24. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT96. THE SYSTEM
WILL THEN MOVE NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL
SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT120. THE JMA TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON
GSM PREDICTIONS. JMA TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR UNTIL FT24
BUT LOW THEREAFTER DUE TO SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AMONG NUMERICAL
MODEL OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY UNTIL FT48 DUE TO THE
INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, INCREASED VWS AND DRY
AIR. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN DEVELOP UNTIL FT72 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE
OF INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS AND WEAK VWS. THE JMA INTENSITY
FORECAST IS BASED ON GUIDANCE DATA.
=


Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 090600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO. 9 FOR TS 1814 YAGI (1814)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TS YAGI IS LOCATED AT 21.0N, 133.3E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI. POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR.
THE SYSTEM IS IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE
INFLUENCE OF HIGH SSTS AND GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW. HOWEVER, THE
LIMITED FIRMNESS OF ITS STRUCTURE HAS CAUSED IT TO MAINTAIN ITS
INTENSITY OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON CURRENT
INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SLOWLY NORTHWESTWARD DUE TO WEAK STEERING
FLOW. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE SEPARATION OF ACTIVE CONVECTIVE CLOUD
CLUSTERS FROM THE CSC, INDICATING INTERFERENCE FROM
INTENSIFICATION. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR IN THE
DIRECTION OF THE MOVEMENT.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTHWARD DUE TO WEAK STEERING FLOW UNTIL
FT24. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT72. THE SYSTEM
WILL THEN MOVE NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL
SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT120. THE JMA TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON
GSM PREDICTIONS. JMA TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR UNTIL FT24
BUT LOW THEREAFTER DUE TO SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AMONG NUMERICAL
MODEL OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY UNTIL FT48 DUE TO THE
INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, INCREASED VWS AND DRY
AIR. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN DEVELOP UNTIL FT72 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE
OF INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS AND WEAK VWS. THE JMA INTENSITY
FORECAST IS BASED ON GUIDANCE DATA.
=


Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 090600
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 5
NAME 1814 YAGI
ANALYSIS
POSITION 090600UTC 20.8N 133.2E
MOVEMENT W 5KT
PRES/VMAX 994HPA 35KT
FORECAST
24HR
POSITION 100600UTC 23.7N 132.4E WITHIN 60NM
PRES/VMAX 994HPA 35KT
48HR
POSITION 110600UTC 26.9N 129.6E WITHIN 90NM
PRES/VMAX 994HPA 35KT
72HR
POSITION 120600UTC 30.0N 125.7E WITHIN 135NM
PRES/VMAX 992HPA 39KT
96HR
POSITION 130600UTC 34.2N 121.9E WITHIN 180NM
PRES/VMAX 990HPA 39KT
120HR
POSITION 140600UTC 38.2N 122.4E WITHIN 245NM
PRES/VMAX 992HPA 37KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 090600
WARNING 090600.
WARNING VALID 100600.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
GALE WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 1814 YAGI (1814) 994 HPA
AT 21.0N 133.3E SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHWEST SLOWLY.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 270 MILES SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 120 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 100600UTC AT 23.5N 132.4E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
994 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 110600UTC AT 27.0N 129.8E WITH 110 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
994 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 120600UTC AT 30.5N 125.3E WITH 140 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 090600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 1814 YAGI (1814)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 090600UTC 21.0N 133.3E FAIR
MOVE NW SLOWLY
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 270NM SOUTH 120NM NORTH
FORECAST
24HF 100600UTC 23.5N 132.4E 50NM 70.
MOVE NNW 07KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
48HF 110600UTC 27.0N 129.8E 110NM 70.
MOVE NNW 11KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
72HF 120600UTC 30.5N 125.3E 140NM 70.
MOVE NW 13KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
96HF 130600UTC 35.1N 123.0E 200NM 70.
MOVE NNW 12KT
120HF 140600UTC 39.7N 129.8E 350NM 70.
MOVE NE 18KT =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 090600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 1814 YAGI (1814)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 090600UTC 21.0N 133.3E FAIR
MOVE NW SLOWLY
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 270NM SOUTH 120NM NORTH
FORECAST
24HF 100600UTC 23.5N 132.4E 50NM 70.
MOVE NNW 07KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
48HF 110600UTC 27.0N 129.8E 110NM 70.
MOVE NNW 11KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
72HF 120600UTC 30.5N 125.3E 140NM 70.
MOVE NW 13KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT =


Original Message :

WTPN52 PGTW 081500
WARNING ATCG MIL 18W NWP 180808142516
2018080812 18W YAGI 008 02 050 06 SATL 060
T000 199N 1339E 035 R034 030 NE QD 080 SE QD 145 SW QD 030 NW QD
T012 209N 1342E 035 R034 065 NE QD 115 SE QD 140 SW QD 070 NW QD
T024 220N 1343E 035 R034 070 NE QD 125 SE QD 135 SW QD 085 NW QD
T036 232N 1339E 035 R034 045 NE QD 105 SE QD 105 SW QD 040 NW QD
T048 244N 1329E 035 R034 060 NE QD 095 SE QD 085 SW QD 030 NW QD
T072 268N 1298E 040 R034 095 NE QD 085 SE QD 045 SW QD 050 NW QD
T096 295N 1260E 045 R034 115 NE QD 100 SE QD 065 SW QD 080 NW QD
T120 323N 1222E 040 R034 140 NE QD 115 SE QD 070 SW QD 065 NW QD
AMP
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
1. TROPICAL STORM 18W (YAGI) WARNING NR 008
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
081200Z --- NEAR 19.9N 133.9E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 050 DEGREES AT 06 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
145 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 19.9N 133.9E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
090000Z --- 20.9N 134.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
091200Z --- 22.0N 134.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
135 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
100000Z --- 23.2N 133.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
101200Z --- 24.4N 132.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
111200Z --- 26.8N 129.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
121200Z --- 29.5N 126.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
131200Z --- 32.3N 122.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
081500Z POSITION NEAR 20.2N 134.0E.
TROPICAL STORM 18W (YAGI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 519 NM SOUTHEAST
OF KADENA AB, OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER
THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 081200Z
IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 082100Z, 090300Z, 090900Z AND
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
1818080506 174N1333E 20
1818080512 176N1336E 20
1818080518 179N1339E 20
1818080600 184N1339E 20
1818080606 186N1337E 20
1818080612 187N1335E 20
1818080618 188N1331E 25
1818080700 188N1329E 25
1818080706 188N1327E 25
1818080712 189N1325E 30
1818080718 191N1324E 30
1818080800 193N1326E 35
1818080806 195N1334E 35
1818080812 199N1339E 35
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPN52 PGTW 080900
WARNING ATCG MIL 18W NWP 180808083811
2018080806 18W YAGI 007 02 075 09 SATL 030
T000 195N 1334E 035 R034 000 NE QD 135 SE QD 125 SW QD 030 NW QD
T012 203N 1338E 040 R034 060 NE QD 130 SE QD 170 SW QD 055 NW QD
T024 214N 1341E 040 R034 040 NE QD 125 SE QD 155 SW QD 055 NW QD
T036 225N 1340E 035 R034 050 NE QD 115 SE QD 150 SW QD 050 NW QD
T048 239N 1333E 035 R034 080 NE QD 145 SE QD 165 SW QD 060 NW QD
T072 262N 1305E 035 R034 090 NE QD 110 SE QD 115 SW QD 065 NW QD
T096 288N 1266E 035 R034 110 NE QD 095 SE QD 050 SW QD 070 NW QD
T120 316N 1228E 035 R034 125 NE QD 115 SE QD 080 SW QD 090 NW QD
AMP
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 18W (YAGI) WARNING NR 007
1. TROPICAL STORM 18W (YAGI) WARNING NR 007
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
080600Z --- NEAR 19.5N 133.4E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 075 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 19.5N 133.4E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
081800Z --- 20.3N 133.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
090600Z --- 21.4N 134.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
155 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
091800Z --- 22.5N 134.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
100600Z --- 23.9N 133.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
145 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
165 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
110600Z --- 26.2N 130.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
120600Z --- 28.8N 126.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
130600Z --- 31.6N 122.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
080900Z POSITION NEAR 19.7N 133.5E.
TROPICAL STORM (TS) 18W (YAGI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 521 NM
SOUTHEAST OF KADENA AB, HAS TRACKED EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 09
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE
HEIGHT AT 080600Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 081500Z,
082100Z, 090300Z AND 090900Z. REFER TO TYPHOON 17W
1818080500 171N1335E 15
1818080506 174N1333E 20
1818080512 176N1336E 20
1818080518 179N1339E 20
1818080600 184N1339E 20
1818080606 186N1337E 20
1818080612 187N1335E 20
1818080618 188N1331E 25
1818080700 188N1329E 25
1818080706 188N1327E 25
1818080712 189N1325E 30
1818080718 191N1324E 30
1818080800 193N1325E 35
1818080806 195N1334E 35
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPN32 PGTW 090300
WARNING ATCG MIL 18W NWP 180809020534
2018080900 18W YAGI 010 02 325 06 SATL 040
T000 210N 1337E 035 R034 050 NE QD 100 SE QD 155 SW QD 050 NW QD
T012 222N 1334E 035 R034 045 NE QD 110 SE QD 120 SW QD 050 NW QD
T024 235N 1329E 035 R034 055 NE QD 090 SE QD 100 SW QD 045 NW QD
T036 248N 1321E 035 R034 045 NE QD 060 SE QD 090 SW QD 050 NW QD
T048 262N 1307E 035 R034 045 NE QD 080 SE QD 085 SW QD 055 NW QD
T072 291N 1270E 040 R034 090 NE QD 085 SE QD 070 SW QD 055 NW QD
T096 333N 1245E 045 R034 085 NE QD 100 SE QD 075 SW QD 060 NW QD
T120 387N 1267E 045 R034 070 NE QD 090 SE QD 100 SW QD 035 NW QD
AMP
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 18W (YAGI) WARNING NR 010
1. TROPICAL STORM 18W (YAGI) WARNING NR 010
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
090000Z --- NEAR 21.0N 133.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 325 DEGREES AT 06 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
155 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 21.0N 133.7E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
091200Z --- 22.2N 133.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
100000Z --- 23.5N 132.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
101200Z --- 24.8N 132.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
110000Z --- 26.2N 130.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
120000Z --- 29.1N 127.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
130000Z --- 33.3N 124.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
140000Z --- 38.7N 126.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
090300Z POSITION NEAR 21.3N 133.6E.
TROPICAL STORM 18W (YAGI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 462 NM SOUTHEAST
OF KADENA AB, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST
SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 090000Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 090900Z, 091500Z, 092100Z AND 100300Z.
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
1818080506 174N1333E 20
1818080512 176N1336E 20
1818080518 179N1339E 20
1818080600 184N1339E 20
1818080606 186N1337E 20
1818080612 187N1335E 20
1818080618 188N1331E 25
1818080700 188N1329E 25
1818080706 188N1327E 25
1818080712 189N1325E 30
1818080718 191N1324E 30
1818080800 193N1326E 35
1818080806 195N1334E 35
1818080812 199N1340E 35
1818080818 205N1341E 35
1818080900 210N1337E 35
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPN32 PGTW 082100
WARNING ATCG MIL 18W NWP 180808201422
2018080818 18W YAGI 009 02 020 08 SATL 045
T000 206N 1343E 035 R034 045 NE QD 085 SE QD 150 SW QD 045 NW QD
T012 217N 1344E 035 R034 055 NE QD 095 SE QD 135 SW QD 060 NW QD
T024 228N 1341E 035 R034 065 NE QD 095 SE QD 105 SW QD 055 NW QD
T036 240N 1336E 035 R034 055 NE QD 090 SE QD 070 SW QD 040 NW QD
T048 252N 1324E 035 R034 030 NE QD 075 SE QD 100 SW QD 050 NW QD
T072 281N 1287E 040 R034 085 NE QD 065 SE QD 040 SW QD 070 NW QD
T096 309N 1254E 040 R034 100 NE QD 070 SE QD 075 SW QD 070 NW QD
T120 350N 1236E 045 R034 070 NE QD 100 SE QD 105 SW QD 045 NW QD
AMP
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 18W (YAGI) WARNING NR 009
1. TROPICAL STORM 18W (YAGI) WARNING NR 009
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
081800Z --- NEAR 20.6N 134.3E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 020 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 20.6N 134.3E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
090600Z --- 21.7N 134.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
135 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
091800Z --- 22.8N 134.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
100600Z --- 24.0N 133.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
101800Z --- 25.2N 132.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
111800Z --- 28.1N 128.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
121800Z --- 30.9N 125.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
131800Z --- 35.0N 123.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
082100Z POSITION NEAR 20.9N 134.3E.
TROPICAL STORM 18W (YAGI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 462 NM WEST-
SOUTHWEST OF IWO TO, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 08 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 081800Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 090300Z, 090900Z, 091500Z AND 092100Z.
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
1818080506 174N1333E 20
1818080512 176N1336E 20
1818080518 179N1339E 20
1818080600 184N1339E 20
1818080606 186N1337E 20
1818080612 187N1335E 20
1818080618 188N1331E 25
1818080700 188N1329E 25
1818080706 188N1327E 25
1818080712 189N1325E 30
1818080718 191N1324E 30
1818080800 193N1326E 35
1818080806 195N1334E 35
1818080812 199N1340E 35
1818080818 206N1343E 35
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPN32 PGTW 081500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 18W (YAGI) WARNING NR 008
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
081200Z --- NEAR 19.9N 133.9E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 050 DEGREES AT 06 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
145 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 19.9N 133.9E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
090000Z --- 20.9N 134.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
091200Z --- 22.0N 134.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
135 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
100000Z --- 23.2N 133.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
101200Z --- 24.4N 132.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
111200Z --- 26.8N 129.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
121200Z --- 29.5N 126.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
131200Z --- 32.3N 122.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
081500Z POSITION NEAR 20.2N 134.0E.
TROPICAL STORM 18W (YAGI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 519 NM SOUTHEAST
OF KADENA AB, OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER
THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 081200Z
IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 082100Z, 090300Z, 090900Z AND
091500Z. REFER TO TYPHOON 17W (SHANSHAN) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPN32 PGTW 080900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 18W (YAGI) WARNING NR 007
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
080600Z --- NEAR 19.5N 133.4E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 075 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 19.5N 133.4E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
081800Z --- 20.3N 133.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
090600Z --- 21.4N 134.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
155 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
091800Z --- 22.5N 134.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
100600Z --- 23.9N 133.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
145 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
165 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
110600Z --- 26.2N 130.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
120600Z --- 28.8N 126.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
130600Z --- 31.6N 122.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
080900Z POSITION NEAR 19.7N 133.5E.
TROPICAL STORM (TS) 18W (YAGI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 521 NM
SOUTHEAST OF KADENA AB, HAS TRACKED EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 09
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE
HEIGHT AT 080600Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 081500Z,
082100Z, 090300Z AND 090900Z. REFER TO TYPHOON 17W
(SHANSHAN) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN


Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 090000
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 4
NAME 1814 YAGI
ANALYSIS
POSITION 090000UTC 20.8N 133.7E
MOVEMENT NW 10KT
PRES/VMAX 994HPA 35KT
FORECAST
24HR
POSITION 100000UTC 23.6N 133.1E WITHIN 60NM
PRES/VMAX 994HPA 35KT
48HR
POSITION 110000UTC 26.3N 130.5E WITHIN 90NM
PRES/VMAX 994HPA 37KT
72HR
POSITION 120000UTC 29.2N 126.7E WITHIN 135NM
PRES/VMAX 992HPA 37KT
96HR
POSITION 130000UTC 33.1N 122.8E WITHIN 180NM
PRES/VMAX 990HPA 39KT
120HR
POSITION 140000UTC 36.5N 121.7E WITHIN 245NM
PRES/VMAX 990HPA 39KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.


Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 081800
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 3
NAME 1814 YAGI
ANALYSIS
POSITION 081800UTC 20.0N 134.3E
MOVEMENT ENE 4KT
PRES/VMAX 994HPA 35KT
FORECAST
24HR
POSITION 091800UTC 22.8N 133.8E WITHIN 60NM
PRES/VMAX 994HPA 35KT
48HR
POSITION 101800UTC 25.4N 131.9E WITHIN 90NM
PRES/VMAX 994HPA 35KT
72HR
POSITION 111800UTC 27.9N 128.2E WITHIN 135NM
PRES/VMAX 996HPA 35KT
96HR
POSITION 121800UTC 30.2N 124.5E WITHIN 180NM
PRES/VMAX 996HPA 35KT
120HR
POSITION 131800UTC 33.3N 121.4E WITHIN 245NM
PRES/VMAX 996HPA 35KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 090000
WARNING 090000.
WARNING VALID 100000.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
GALE WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 1814 YAGI (1814) 994 HPA
AT 21.0N 133.8E SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHNORTHWEST 07 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 270 MILES SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 120 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 100000UTC AT 23.5N 133.2E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
994 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 110000UTC AT 26.6N 130.8E WITH 95 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
994 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 120000UTC AT 29.2N 126.1E WITH 140 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 081800
WARNING 081800.
WARNING VALID 091800.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
GALE WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 1814 YAGI (1814) 994 HPA
AT 20.4N 134.1E SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 06 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 270 MILES SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 120 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 091800UTC AT 22.7N 133.9E WITH 60 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
994 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 101800UTC AT 25.7N 132.0E WITH 95 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
994 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 111800UTC AT 28.6N 127.7E WITH 140 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
994 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 081200
WARNING 081200.
WARNING VALID 091200.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
GALE WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 1814 YAGI (1814) 994 HPA
AT 19.8N 133.7E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 06
KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 270 MILES SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 120 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 091200UTC AT 21.9N 134.2E WITH 60 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
994 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 101200UTC AT 24.7N 132.6E WITH 95 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
994 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 111200UTC AT 26.9N 129.6E WITH 130 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
994 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 080600
WARNING 080600.
WARNING VALID 090600.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
GALE WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 1814 YAGI (1814) UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 994
HPA
AT 19.5N 133.4E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING EASTNORTHEAST SLOWLY.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 270 MILES SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 120 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 090600UTC AT 21.4N 134.3E WITH 60 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
994 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 100600UTC AT 23.8N 133.7E WITH 95 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
994 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 110600UTC AT 26.4N 131.0E WITH 130 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
994 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 090300
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 1814 YAGI (1814)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 090300UTC 21.0N 133.4E FAIR
MOVE NW SLOWLY
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 270NM SOUTH 120NM NORTH
FORECAST
24HF 100300UTC 23.7N 133.2E 60NM 70.
MOVE N 07KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
45HF 110000UTC 26.6N 130.8E 95NM 70.
MOVE NNW 09KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
69HF 120000UTC 29.2N 126.1E 140NM 70.
MOVE WNW 12KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT =


Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 090000 RRA
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO. 8 FOR TS 1814 YAGI (1814)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TS YAGI IS LOCATED AT 21.0N, 133.8E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI. POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR.
THE SYSTEM IS IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE
INFLUENCE OF HIGH SSTS AND GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW. HOWEVER, THE
LIMITED FIRMNESS OF ITS STRUCTURE HAS CAUSED IT TO MAINTAIN ITS
INTENSITY OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON CURRENT
INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD DUE TO WEAK STEERING
FLOW. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE SEPARATION OF ACTIVE CONVECTIVE CLOUD
CLUSTERS FROM THE CSC, INDICATING INTERFERENCE FROM
INTENSIFICATION. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR IN THE
DIRECTION OF THE MOVEMENT. DMSP-F17/SSMIS 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY
SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS ACTIVE CONVECTIVE CLOUD CLUSTERS AROUND THE
CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTHWARD DUE TO WEAK STEERING FLOW UNTIL
FT24. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE NORTHWESTWARD UNTIL FT72. THE
SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT96. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE
NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL
SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT120. THE JMA TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON
GSM PREDICTIONS. JMA TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR UNTIL FT24
BUT LOW THEREAFTER DUE TO SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AMONG NUMERICAL
MODEL OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY UNTIL FT48 DUE TO THE
INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, INCREASED VWS AND DRY


Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 090000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO. 8 FOR TS 1814 YAGI (1814)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TS YAGI IS LOCATED AT 21.0N, 133.8E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI. POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR.
THE SYSTEM IS IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE
INFLUENCE OF HIGH SSTS AND GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW. HOWEVER, THE
LIMITED FIRMNESS OF ITS STRUCTURE HAS CAUSED IT TO MAINTAIN ITS
INTENSITY OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON CURRENT
INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD DUE TO WEAK STEERING
FLOW. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE SEPARATION OF ACTIVE CONVECTIVE CLOUD
CLUSTERS FROM THE CSC, INDICATING INTERFERENCE FROM
INTENSIFICATION. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR IN THE
DIRECTION OF THE MOVEMENT. DMSP-F17/SSMIS 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY
SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS ACTIVE CONVECTIVE CLOUD CLUSTERS AROUND THE
CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTHWARD DUE TO WEAK STEERING FLOW UNTIL
FT24. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE NORTHWESTWARD UNTIL FT72. THE
SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT96. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE
NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL
SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT120. THE JMA TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON
GSM PREDICTIONS. JMA TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR UNTIL FT24
BUT LOW THEREAFTER DUE TO SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AMONG NUMERICAL
MODEL OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY UNTIL FT48 DUE TO THE
INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, INCREASED VWS AND DRY
AIR. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN DEVELOP UNTIL FT72 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE
OF INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS AND HIGH TCHP. THE JMA INTENSITY
FORECAST IS BASED ON GUIDANCE DATA.

=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 090000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 1814 YAGI (1814)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 090000UTC 21.0N 133.8E FAIR
MOVE NNW 07KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 270NM SOUTH 120NM NORTH
FORECAST
24HF 100000UTC 23.5N 133.2E 50NM 70.
MOVE N 06KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
48HF 110000UTC 26.6N 130.8E 95NM 70.
MOVE NNW 09KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
72HF 120000UTC 29.2N 126.1E 140NM 70.
MOVE WNW 12KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
96HF 130000UTC 33.7N 123.3E 200NM 70.
MOVE NNW 13KT
120HF 140000UTC 38.5N 126.9E 350NM 70.
MOVE NNE 14KT =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 090000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 1814 YAGI (1814)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 090000UTC 21.0N 133.8E FAIR
MOVE NNW 07KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 270NM SOUTH 120NM NORTH
FORECAST
24HF 100000UTC 23.5N 133.2E 50NM 70.
MOVE N 06KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
48HF 110000UTC 26.6N 130.8E 95NM 70.
MOVE NNW 09KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
72HF 120000UTC 29.2N 126.1E 140NM 70.
MOVE WNW 12KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 082100
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 1814 YAGI (1814)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 082100UTC 20.8N 133.8E FAIR
MOVE N 07KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 270NM SOUTH 120NM NORTH
FORECAST
24HF 092100UTC 22.9N 133.5E 60NM 70.
MOVE N SLOWLY
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
45HF 101800UTC 25.7N 132.0E 95NM 70.
MOVE NNW 09KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
69HF 111800UTC 28.6N 127.7E 140NM 70.
MOVE NW 12KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT =


Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 081800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO. 7 FOR TS 1814 YAGI (1814)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TS YAGI IS LOCATED AT 20.4N, 134.1E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. THE SYSTEM IS IN A FAVORABLE
ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF HIGH SSTS, HIGH
TCHP AND GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW. HOWEVER, THE LIMITED FIRMNESS
OF ITS STRUCTURE HAS CAUSED IT TO MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY OVER THE
LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON
DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD DUE TO WEAK STEERING FLOW.
ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE SEPARATION OF ACTIVE CONVECTIVE CLOUD
CLUSTERS FROM THE CSC, INDICATING INTERFERENCE FROM
INTENSIFICATION. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR AROUND THE
SYSTEM. GCOM-W/AMSR2 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS
ACTIVE CONVECTIVE CLOUD CLUSTERS AROUND THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTHWARD DUE TO WEAK STEERING FLOW UNTIL
FT12. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE NORTHWESTWARD UNTIL FT72. THE
SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT96. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE
NORTHWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF MID-LATITUDE PREVAILING
WESTERLIES UNTIL FT120. THE JMA TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM
PREDICTIONS. JMA TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR UNTIL FT24 BUT
LOW THEREAFTER DUE TO SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AMONG NUMERICAL
MODEL OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY UNTIL FT72 DUE TO THE
INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, INCREASED VWS AND DRY
AIR. THE JMA INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS.
=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 081800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 1814 YAGI (1814)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 081800UTC 20.4N 134.1E FAIR
MOVE NE 06KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 270NM SOUTH 120NM NORTH
FORECAST
24HF 091800UTC 22.7N 133.9E 60NM 70.
MOVE N 06KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
48HF 101800UTC 25.7N 132.0E 95NM 70.
MOVE NNW 09KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
72HF 111800UTC 28.6N 127.7E 140NM 70.
MOVE NW 12KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
96HF 121800UTC 32.6N 124.0E 200NM 70.
MOVE NW 13KT
120HF 131800UTC 36.9N 125.4E 350NM 70.
MOVE N 11KT =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 081800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 1814 YAGI (1814)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 081800UTC 20.4N 134.1E FAIR
MOVE NE 06KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 270NM SOUTH 120NM NORTH
FORECAST
24HF 091800UTC 22.7N 133.9E 60NM 70.
MOVE N 06KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
48HF 101800UTC 25.7N 132.0E 95NM 70.
MOVE NNW 09KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
72HF 111800UTC 28.6N 127.7E 140NM 70.
MOVE NW 12KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 081500
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 1814 YAGI (1814)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 081500UTC 20.2N 134.2E FAIR
MOVE ENE 07KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 270NM SOUTH 120NM NORTH
FORECAST
24HF 091500UTC 22.5N 134.3E 60NM 70.
MOVE N 06KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
45HF 101200UTC 24.7N 132.6E 95NM 70.
MOVE NNW 08KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
69HF 111200UTC 26.9N 129.6E 130NM 70.
MOVE NW 09KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT =


Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 081200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO. 6 FOR TS 1814 YAGI (1814)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TS YAGI IS LOCATED AT 19.8N, 133.7E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. THE SYSTEM IS IN A NEUTRAL
ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF HIGH SSTS,
HIGH TCHP AND DRY AIR. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO MAINTAIN
ITS INTENSITY OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON CURRENT
INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD DUE TO WEAK STEERING FLOW.
ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE SEPARATION OF ACTIVE CONVECTIVE CLOUD
CLUSTERS FROM THE CSC, INDICATING INTERFERENCE FROM
INTENSIFICATION. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR AROUND THE
SYSTEM. DMSP-F18/SSMIS 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM
HAS ACTIVE CONVECTIVE CLOUD CLUSTERS AROUND THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTHWARD DUE TO WEAK STEERING FLOW UNTIL
FT24. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE NORTHWESTWARD UNTIL FT72. THE
SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT120. THE JMA TRACK FORECAST IS
BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS. JMA TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR
UNTIL FT24 BUT LOW THEREAFTER DUE TO SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AMONG
NUMERICAL MODEL OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY UNTIL FT72 DUE TO THE
INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS AND DRY AIR. THE JMA
INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS.
=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 081200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 1814 YAGI (1814)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 081200UTC 19.8N 133.7E FAIR
MOVE ENE 06KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 270NM SOUTH 120NM NORTH
FORECAST
24HF 091200UTC 21.9N 134.2E 60NM 70.
MOVE N SLOWLY
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
48HF 101200UTC 24.7N 132.6E 95NM 70.
MOVE NNW 08KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
72HF 111200UTC 26.9N 129.6E 130NM 70.
MOVE NW 09KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
96HF 121200UTC 29.8N 124.8E 200NM 70.
MOVE NW 13KT
120HF 131200UTC 32.9N 121.4E 290NM 70.
MOVE NW 11KT =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 081200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 1814 YAGI (1814)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 081200UTC 19.8N 133.7E FAIR
MOVE ENE 06KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 270NM SOUTH 120NM NORTH
FORECAST
24HF 091200UTC 21.9N 134.2E 60NM 70.
MOVE N SLOWLY
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
48HF 101200UTC 24.7N 132.6E 95NM 70.
MOVE NNW 08KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
72HF 111200UTC 26.9N 129.6E 130NM 70.
MOVE NW 09KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 080900
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 1814 YAGI (1814)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 080900UTC 19.5N 133.7E FAIR
MOVE ENE 06KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 270NM SOUTH 120NM NORTH
FORECAST
24HF 090900UTC 21.5N 134.4E 60NM 70.
MOVE NNE SLOWLY
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
45HF 100600UTC 23.8N 133.7E 95NM 70.
MOVE N 06KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
69HF 110600UTC 26.4N 131.0E 130NM 70.
MOVE NW 09KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT =


Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 080600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO. 5 FOR TS 1814 YAGI (1814)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
THE SYSTEM WAS UPGRADED TO TS (YAGI) STATUS THREE HOURS AGO. TS
YAGI IS LOCATED AT 19.5N, 133.4E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. THE SYSTEM IS IN A FAVORABLE
ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF HIGH SSTS, HIGH
TCHP AND GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO
DEVELOP OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. HOWEVER, THE INFLUENCE OF DRY AIR
IS UNFAVORABLE FOR SYSTEM DEVELOPMENT. INFORMATION ON CURRENT
INTENSITY IS BASED ON SURFACE WINDS DATA ESTIMATED FROM SATELLITE
SCATTEROMETERS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SLOWLY EAST-NORTHEASTWARD DUE TO WEAK
STEERING FLOW. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE SEPARATION OF ACTIVE
CONVECTIVE CLOUD CLUSTERS FROM THE CSC, INDICATING INTERFERENCE
FROM INTENSIFICATION. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR IN THE
DIRECTION OF THE MOVEMENT.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD DUE TO WEAK STEERING FLOW
UNTIL FT24. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE NORTHWARD UNTIL FT48. THE
SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT120. THE JMA TRACK FORECAST IS
BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. JMA
TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR UNTIL FT24 BUT LOW THEREAFTER
DUE TO SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AMONG NUMERICAL MODEL OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY UNTIL FT72 DUE TO THE
INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP AND DRY AIR.
THE JMA INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON GUIDANCE DATA.
=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 080600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 1814 YAGI (1814)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 080600UTC 19.5N 133.4E FAIR
MOVE ENE SLOWLY
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 270NM SOUTH 120NM NORTH
FORECAST
24HF 090600UTC 21.4N 134.3E 60NM 70.
MOVE NNE SLOWLY
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
48HF 100600UTC 23.8N 133.7E 95NM 70.
MOVE N 06KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
72HF 110600UTC 26.4N 131.0E 130NM 70.
MOVE NW 09KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
96HF 120600UTC 29.1N 126.7E 200NM 70.
MOVE NW 12KT
120HF 130600UTC 32.4N 123.6E 290NM 70.
MOVE NW 11KT =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 080600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 1814 YAGI (1814)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 080600UTC 19.5N 133.4E FAIR
MOVE ENE SLOWLY
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 270NM SOUTH 120NM NORTH
FORECAST
24HF 090600UTC 21.4N 134.3E 60NM 70.
MOVE NNE SLOWLY
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
48HF 100600UTC 23.8N 133.7E 95NM 70.
MOVE N 06KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
72HF 110600UTC 26.4N 131.0E 130NM 70.
MOVE NW 09KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 080300
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 1814 YAGI (1814) UPGRADED FROM TD
ANALYSIS
PSTN 080300UTC 19.4N 132.9E POOR
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 270NM SOUTH 120NM NORTH
FORECAST
24HF 090300UTC 21.1N 134.0E 60NM 70.
MOVE NNE SLOWLY
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT =


Original Message :

WTPN52 PGTW 080300
WARNING ATCG MIL 18W NWP 180808014306
2018080800 18W EIGHTEEN 006 02 025 02 SATL 025
T000 193N 1325E 030
T012 200N 1332E 035 R034 015 NE QD 135 SE QD 175 SW QD 070 NW QD
T024 209N 1338E 035 R034 020 NE QD 130 SE QD 160 SW QD 065 NW QD
T036 220N 1340E 030
T048 234N 1335E 025
T072 262N 1312E 025
T096 290N 1271E 030
T120 319N 1237E 035 R034 095 NE QD 115 SE QD 095 SW QD 070 NW QD
AMP
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 18W (EIGHTEEN) WARNING NR 006
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
080000Z --- NEAR 19.3N 132.5E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 025 DEGREES AT 02 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 19.3N 132.5E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
081200Z --- 20.0N 133.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
175 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
090000Z --- 20.9N 133.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
091200Z --- 22.0N 134.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
100000Z --- 23.4N 133.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
110000Z --- 26.2N 131.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
120000Z --- 29.0N 127.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
130000Z --- 31.9N 123.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
080300Z POSITION NEAR 19.5N 132.7E.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 18W (EIGHTEEN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 504 NM
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF KADENA AB, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT
02 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT
AT 080000Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 080900Z, 081500Z, 082100Z
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
1818080500 171N1335E 15
1818080506 174N1333E 20
1818080512 176N1336E 20
1818080518 179N1339E 20
1818080600 184N1339E 20
1818080606 186N1337E 20
1818080612 187N1335E 20
1818080618 188N1331E 25
1818080700 188N1329E 25
1818080706 188N1327E 25
1818080712 189N1325E 30
1818080718 191N1324E 30
1818080800 193N1325E 30
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPN52 PGTW 072100
WARNING ATCG MIL 18W NWP 180807194528
2018080718 18W EIGHTEEN 005 02 335 02 SATL 020
T000 191N 1324E 030
T012 196N 1328E 030
T024 204N 1336E 030
T036 214N 1341E 030
T048 226N 1341E 025
T072 252N 1325E 025
T096 277N 1294E 035 R034 055 NE QD 085 SE QD 055 SW QD 020 NW QD
T120 303N 1246E 045 R034 065 NE QD 095 SE QD 070 SW QD 060 NW QD
AMP
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 18W (EIGHTEEN) WARNING NR 005
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
071800Z --- NEAR 19.1N 132.4E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 335 DEGREES AT 02 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 19.1N 132.4E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
080600Z --- 19.6N 132.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
081800Z --- 20.4N 133.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
090600Z --- 21.4N 134.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
091800Z --- 22.6N 134.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
101800Z --- 25.2N 132.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
111800Z --- 27.7N 129.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
121800Z --- 30.3N 124.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
072100Z POSITION NEAR 19.2N 132.5E.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 18W (EIGHTEEN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 512 NM
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF KADENA AB, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD
AT 02 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT
AT 071800Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 080300Z, 080900Z, 081500Z
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
1818080500 171N1335E 15
1818080506 174N1333E 20
1818080512 176N1336E 20
1818080518 179N1339E 20
1818080600 184N1339E 20
1818080606 186N1337E 20
1818080612 187N1335E 20
1818080618 188N1331E 25
1818080700 188N1329E 25
1818080706 188N1327E 25
1818080712 189N1325E 30
1818080718 191N1324E 30
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPN52 PGTW 071500
WARNING ATCG MIL 18W NWP 180807140450
2018080712 18W EIGHTEEN 004 02 045 03 SATL 060
T000 194N 1328E 030
T012 197N 1331E 030
T024 203N 1337E 030
T036 213N 1342E 030
T048 224N 1344E 035 R034 020 NE QD 095 SE QD 120 SW QD 020 NW QD
T072 250N 1336E 035 R034 035 NE QD 085 SE QD 075 SW QD 050 NW QD
T096 276N 1308E 040 R034 055 NE QD 085 SE QD 055 SW QD 020 NW QD
T120 295N 1266E 050 R050 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 065 NE QD 095 SE QD 070 SW QD 060 NW QD
AMP
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 18W (EIGHTEEN) WARNING NR 004
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
071200Z --- NEAR 19.4N 132.8E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 045 DEGREES AT 03 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 19.4N 132.8E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
080000Z --- 19.7N 133.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
081200Z --- 20.3N 133.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
090000Z --- 21.3N 134.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
091200Z --- 22.4N 134.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
101200Z --- 25.0N 133.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
111200Z --- 27.6N 130.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
121200Z --- 29.5N 126.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
071500Z POSITION NEAR 19.5N 132.9E.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 18W (EIGHTEEN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 508 NM
SOUTHEAST OF KADENA AB, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 03
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT
AT 071200Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 072100Z, 080300Z,
080900Z AND 081500Z. REFER TO TYPHOON 17W (SHANSHAN) WARNINGS
1818080500 171N1335E 15
1818080506 174N1333E 20
1818080512 176N1336E 20
1818080518 179N1339E 20
1818080600 184N1339E 20
1818080606 186N1337E 20
1818080612 187N1335E 20
1818080618 188N1331E 25
1818080700 190N1327E 25
1818080706 192N1326E 25
1818080712 194N1328E 30
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPN32 PGTW 080300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 18W (EIGHTEEN) WARNING NR 006
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
080000Z --- NEAR 19.3N 132.5E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 025 DEGREES AT 02 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 19.3N 132.5E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
081200Z --- 20.0N 133.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
175 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
090000Z --- 20.9N 133.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
091200Z --- 22.0N 134.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
100000Z --- 23.4N 133.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
110000Z --- 26.2N 131.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
120000Z --- 29.0N 127.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
130000Z --- 31.9N 123.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
080300Z POSITION NEAR 19.5N 132.7E.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 18W (EIGHTEEN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 504 NM
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF KADENA AB, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT
02 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT
AT 080000Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 080900Z, 081500Z, 082100Z
AND 090300Z. REFER TO TYPHOON 17W (SHANSHAN) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPN32 PGTW 072100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 18W (EIGHTEEN) WARNING NR 005
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
071800Z --- NEAR 19.1N 132.4E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 335 DEGREES AT 02 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 19.1N 132.4E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
080600Z --- 19.6N 132.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
081800Z --- 20.4N 133.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
090600Z --- 21.4N 134.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
091800Z --- 22.6N 134.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
101800Z --- 25.2N 132.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
111800Z --- 27.7N 129.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
121800Z --- 30.3N 124.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
072100Z POSITION NEAR 19.2N 132.5E.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 18W (EIGHTEEN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 512 NM
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF KADENA AB, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD
AT 02 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT
AT 071800Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 080300Z, 080900Z, 081500Z
AND 082100Z. REFER TO TYPHOON 17W (SHANSHAN) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPN32 PGTW 071500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 18W (EIGHTEEN) WARNING NR 004
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
071200Z --- NEAR 19.4N 132.8E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 045 DEGREES AT 03 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 19.4N 132.8E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
080000Z --- 19.7N 133.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
081200Z --- 20.3N 133.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
090000Z --- 21.3N 134.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
091200Z --- 22.4N 134.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
101200Z --- 25.0N 133.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
111200Z --- 27.6N 130.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
121200Z --- 29.5N 126.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
071500Z POSITION NEAR 19.5N 132.9E.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 18W (EIGHTEEN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 508 NM
SOUTHEAST OF KADENA AB, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 03
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT
AT 071200Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 072100Z, 080300Z,
080900Z AND 081500Z. REFER TO TYPHOON 17W (SHANSHAN) WARNINGS
(WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPN52 PGTW 070900
WARNING ATCG MIL 18W NWP 180807075746
2018080706 18W EIGHTEEN 003 02 315 03 SATL 060
T000 192N 1325E 025
T012 194N 1324E 030
T024 198N 1330E 030
T036 206N 1337E 030
T048 217N 1342E 030
T072 242N 1339E 035 R034 095 NE QD 120 SE QD 080 SW QD 020 NW QD
T096 271N 1316E 040 R034 080 NE QD 095 SE QD 060 SW QD 085 NW QD
T120 289N 1273E 055 R050 050 NE QD 045 SE QD 045 SW QD 035 NW QD R034 105 NE QD 105 SE QD 090 SW QD 070 NW QD
AMP
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 18W (EIGHTEEN) WARNING NR 003
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
070600Z --- NEAR 19.2N 132.5E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 03 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 19.2N 132.5E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
071800Z --- 19.4N 132.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
080600Z --- 19.8N 133.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
081800Z --- 20.6N 133.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
090600Z --- 21.7N 134.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
100600Z --- 24.2N 133.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
110600Z --- 27.1N 131.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
120600Z --- 28.9N 127.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
070900Z POSITION NEAR 19.2N 132.5E.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 18W (EIGHTEEN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 509 NM
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF KADENA AB, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT
03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT
AT 070600Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 071500Z, 072100Z, 080300Z
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
1818080500 171N1335E 15
1818080506 174N1333E 20
1818080512 176N1336E 20
1818080518 179N1339E 20
1818080600 184N1339E 20
1818080606 186N1337E 20
1818080612 187N1335E 20
1818080618 188N1331E 25
1818080700 190N1327E 25
1818080706 192N1325E 25
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPN32 PGTW 070900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 18W (EIGHTEEN) WARNING NR 003
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
070600Z --- NEAR 19.2N 132.5E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 03 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 19.2N 132.5E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
071800Z --- 19.4N 132.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
080600Z --- 19.8N 133.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
081800Z --- 20.6N 133.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
090600Z --- 21.7N 134.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
100600Z --- 24.2N 133.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
110600Z --- 27.1N 131.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
120600Z --- 28.9N 127.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
070900Z POSITION NEAR 19.2N 132.5E.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 18W (EIGHTEEN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 509 NM
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF KADENA AB, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT
03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT
AT 070600Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 071500Z, 072100Z, 080300Z
AND 080900Z. REFER TO TYPHOON 17W (SHANSHAN) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPN32 PGTW 070300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 18W (EIGHTEEN) WARNING NR 002
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
070000Z --- NEAR 19.1N 133.2E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 335 DEGREES AT 02 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 19.1N 133.2E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
071200Z --- 19.4N 133.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 02 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
080000Z --- 19.7N 133.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
081200Z --- 20.5N 134.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
090000Z --- 21.8N 134.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
100000Z --- 24.7N 134.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
110000Z --- 28.3N 133.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
120000Z --- 31.1N 130.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
070300Z POSITION NEAR 19.2N 133.2E.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 18W (EIGHTEEN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 535 NM
SOUTHEAST OF KADENA AB, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 02
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT
070000Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 070900Z, 071500Z, 072100Z AND
080300Z. REFER TO TYPHOON 17W (SHANSHAN) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPN52 PGTW 070300
WARNING ATCG MIL 18W NWP 180807014450
2018080700 18W EIGHTEEN 002 02 335 02 SATL 040
T000 191N 1332E 025
T012 194N 1332E 030
T024 197N 1334E 030
T036 205N 1343E 035 R034 085 NE QD 135 SE QD 150 SW QD 120 NW QD
T048 218N 1347E 035 R034 135 NE QD 110 SE QD 150 SW QD 090 NW QD
T072 247N 1345E 030
T096 283N 1332E 035 R034 090 NE QD 095 SE QD 065 SW QD 070 NW QD
T120 311N 1309E 045 R034 130 NE QD 140 SE QD 110 SW QD 065 NW QD
AMP
SUBJ: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 18W (EIGHTEEN) WARNING NR 002
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 18W (EIGHTEEN) WARNING NR 002
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
070000Z --- NEAR 19.1N 133.2E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 335 DEGREES AT 02 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 19.1N 133.2E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
071200Z --- 19.4N 133.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 02 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
080000Z --- 19.7N 133.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
081200Z --- 20.5N 134.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
090000Z --- 21.8N 134.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
100000Z --- 24.7N 134.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
110000Z --- 28.3N 133.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
120000Z --- 31.1N 130.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
070300Z POSITION NEAR 19.2N 133.2E.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 18W (EIGHTEEN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 535 NM
SOUTHEAST OF KADENA AB, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 02
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 070000Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 070900Z, 071500Z, 072100Z AND 080300Z.
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
1818080500 171N1335E 15
1818080506 174N1333E 20
1818080512 176N1336E 20
1818080518 179N1339E 20
1818080600 184N1339E 20
1818080606 186N1337E 20
1818080612 187N1335E 20
1818080618 189N1333E 25
1818080700 191N1332E 25
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPN32 PGTW 062100
WARNING ATCG MIL 18W NWP 180806195543
2018080618 18W EIGHTEEN 001 02 315 01 SATL 030
T000 188N 1334E 025
T012 191N 1335E 030
T024 194N 1339E 030
T036 199N 1346E 035 R034 070 NE QD 105 SE QD 160 SW QD 040 NW QD
T048 210N 1356E 035 R034 150 NE QD 145 SE QD 180 SW QD 065 NW QD
T072 242N 1357E 035 R034 175 NE QD 145 SE QD 165 SW QD 060 NW QD
T096 279N 1347E 040 R034 135 NE QD 180 SE QD 170 SW QD 105 NW QD
T120 308N 1336E 040 R034 155 NE QD 140 SE QD 165 SW QD 130 NW QD
AMP
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 18W (EIGHTEEN) WARNING NR 001
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
061800Z --- NEAR 18.8N 133.4E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 01 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 18.8N 133.4E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
070600Z --- 19.1N 133.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 02 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
071800Z --- 19.4N 133.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
080600Z --- 19.9N 134.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
081800Z --- 21.0N 135.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
145 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 000 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
091800Z --- 24.2N 135.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 175 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
145 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
165 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
101800Z --- 27.9N 134.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
111800Z --- 30.8N 133.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
165 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
062100Z POSITION NEAR 18.9N 133.4E.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 18W (EIGHTEEN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 556 NM
SOUTHEAST OF KADENA AB, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 01 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 061800Z
IS 10 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 070300Z, 070900Z, 071500Z AND 072100Z.
UPDATES.//
1818080500 171N1335E 15
1818080506 174N1333E 20
1818080512 176N1336E 20
1818080518 179N1339E 20
1818080600 184N1339E 20
1818080606 186N1337E 20
1818080612 187N1335E 20
1818080618 188N1334E 25
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 062100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 18W (EIGHTEEN) WARNING NR 001
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
061800Z --- NEAR 18.8N 133.4E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 01 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 18.8N 133.4E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
070600Z --- 19.1N 133.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 02 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
071800Z --- 19.4N 133.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
080600Z --- 19.9N 134.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
081800Z --- 21.0N 135.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
145 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 000 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
091800Z --- 24.2N 135.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 175 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
145 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
165 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
101800Z --- 27.9N 134.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
111800Z --- 30.8N 133.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
165 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
062100Z POSITION NEAR 18.9N 133.4E.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 18W (EIGHTEEN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 556 NM
SOUTHEAST OF KADENA AB, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 01 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 061800Z
IS 10 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 070300Z, 070900Z, 071500Z AND 072100Z.
REFER TO TYPHOON 17W (SHANSHAN) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-
HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN