Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for OCKHI-17
in India, Maldives, Sri Lanka

Global Telecommunication Service

GTS (Global Telecommunication Service) is the official Warning and Alerting channel by the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) adopted by several Warning Organizations. As soon as a new GTS message regarding Tropical Cyclones(WT) or Tsunami(WE) the messages are processed and possibly assigned to the specific event. When a new GTS message is present an new tab in the specific event report page is present.The presence of a GTS message is shown in the homepage with a dedicated icon.

Click on the messages list to visualize on the right the detailed text.




Original Message :

WTIO51 PGTW 050900 RRA
WARNING ATCG MIL 03B NIO 171205073245
2017120506 03B OCKHI 023 01 030 09 SATL 060
T000 182N 0706E 045 R034 090 NE QD 100 SE QD 070 SW QD 080 NW QD
T012 202N 0715E 040 R034 090 NE QD 100 SE QD 060 SW QD 060 NW QD
AMP 000HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
012HR EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI) WARNING NR 023
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI) WARNING NR 023
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
050600Z --- NEAR 18.2N 70.6E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 030 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 18.2N 70.6E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
051800Z --- 20.2N 71.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
050900Z POSITION NEAR 18.7N 70.8E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 444 NM SOUTH-


Original Message :

WTIO51 PGTW 050900
WARNING ATCG MIL 03B NIO 171205073245
2017120506 03B OCKHI 023 01 030 09 SATL 060
T000 182N 0706E 045 R034 090 NE QD 100 SE QD 070 SW QD 080 NW QD
T012 202N 0715E 040 R034 090 NE QD 100 SE QD 060 SW QD 060 NW QD
AMP 000HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
012HR EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI) WARNING NR 023
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI) WARNING NR 023
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
050600Z --- NEAR 18.2N 70.6E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 030 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 18.2N 70.6E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
051800Z --- 20.2N 71.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
050900Z POSITION NEAR 18.7N 70.8E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 444 NM SOUTH-
SOUTHEAST OF KARACHI, PAKISTAN, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD
AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON
WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR
SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 050600Z
IS 16 FEET.
//
0317112900 60N 815E 25
0317112906 62N 805E 30
0317112912 64N 796E 30
0317112918 66N 788E 35
0317113000 72N 778E 40
0317113006 78N 766E 50
0317113012 82N 758E 55
0317113012 82N 758E 55
0317113018 84N 749E 60
0317113018 84N 749E 60
0317120100 87N 741E 60
0317120100 87N 741E 60
0317120106 88N 733E 70
0317120106 88N 733E 70
0317120106 88N 733E 70
0317120112 89N 726E 70
0317120112 89N 726E 70
0317120112 89N 726E 70
0317120118 92N 720E 80
0317120118 92N 720E 80
0317120118 92N 720E 80
0317120200 94N 715E 85
0317120200 94N 715E 85
0317120200 94N 715E 85
0317120206 99N 710E 85
0317120206 99N 710E 85
0317120206 99N 710E 85
0317120212 106N 704E 95
0317120212 106N 704E 95
0317120212 106N 704E 95
0317120218 113N 698E 100
0317120218 113N 698E 100
0317120218 113N 698E 100
0317120300 117N 693E 95
0317120300 117N 693E 95
0317120300 117N 693E 95
0317120306 120N 688E 80
0317120306 120N 688E 80
0317120306 120N 688E 80
0317120312 128N 687E 75
0317120312 128N 687E 75
0317120312 128N 687E 75
0317120318 136N 686E 75
0317120318 136N 686E 75
0317120318 136N 686E 75
0317120400 142N 686E 70
0317120400 142N 686E 70
0317120400 142N 686E 70
0317120406 148N 687E 70
0317120406 148N 687E 70
0317120406 148N 687E 70
0317120412 156N 691E 65
0317120412 156N 691E 65
0317120412 156N 691E 65
0317120418 166N 696E 60
0317120418 166N 696E 60
0317120500 174N 701E 55
0317120500 174N 701E 55
0317120506 182N 706E 45


Original Message :

WTIO31 PGTW 050900 RRA
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FINAL WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI) WARNING NR 023
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
050600Z --- NEAR 18.2N 70.6E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 030 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 18.2N 70.6E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
051800Z --- 20.2N 71.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
050900Z POSITION NEAR 18.7N 70.8E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 03B (OCKHI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 444 NM
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF KARACHI, PAKISTAN, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD
AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL
SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A RAPIDLY-DECAYING, FULLY-EXPOSED, BROAD
LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH LIMITED DEEP CONVECTION


Original Message :

WTIO31 PGTW 050900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FINAL WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI) WARNING NR 023
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
050600Z --- NEAR 18.2N 70.6E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 030 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 18.2N 70.6E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
051800Z --- 20.2N 71.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
050900Z POSITION NEAR 18.7N 70.8E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 03B (OCKHI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 444 NM
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF KARACHI, PAKISTAN, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD
AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL
SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A RAPIDLY-DECAYING, FULLY-EXPOSED, BROAD
LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH LIMITED DEEP CONVECTION
SHEARED WELL NORTHEAST OF THE LLCC DUE TO STRONG (40-50 KNOTS)
SOUTHERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. TC 03B IS EMBEDDED WITHIN A DEEP
MIDLATITUDE SHORTWAVE TROUGH AND IS RAPIDLY UNDERGOING EXTRA-
TROPICAL TRANSITION (ETT). A 050424Z ASCAT IMAGE SHOWS A WARM
FRONTAL PATTERN NEAR MUMBAI WITH A REGION OF SOUTHERLY GALE-FORCE
WINDS TO THE SOUTH, ALONG THE WEST COAST OF INDIA. THE 05/00Z MUMBAI
SOUNDING REVEALS A FRONTAL INVERSION WITH WARM-AIR ADVECTION AND
SOUTHERLY FLOW. ADDITIONALLY, A RECENT AMSU CROSS-SECTION INDICATES
A BROADENING WARM TEMPERATURE ANOMALY, SUPPORTING THE EXTRA-TROPICAL
ASSESSMENT. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS DIFFICULT TO GAUGE BUT IS BASED
ON THE ASCAT DATA AND A PGTW DVORAK FINAL-T ESTIMATE OF T3.5. TC 03B
WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK POLEWARD WITHIN THE STRONG SOUTHERLY
MIDLATITUDE FLOW AND IS EXPECTED TO COMPLETE ETT WITHIN THE NEXT 12
HOURS. DYNAMIC MODEL GUIDANCE REMAINS IN GOOD AGREEMENT, THEREFORE,
THERE IS HIGH CONFIDENCE IN THE JTWC FORECAST TRACK. THIS IS THE
FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL
HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF
REGENERATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 050600Z IS 16
FEET.//


Original Message :

WTIO51 PGTW 050300 RRA
WARNING ATCG MIL 03B NIO 171205022727
2017120500 03B OCKHI 022 01 035 11 SATL 060
T000 174N 0704E 060 R050 065 NE QD 070 SE QD 035 SW QD 035 NW QD R034
120 NE QD 130 SE QD 085 SW QD 090 NW QD
T012 195N 0716E 050 R050 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R034
090 NE QD 090 SE QD 060 SW QD 065 NW QD
T024 217N 0724E 035 R034 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 025 SW QD 025 NW QD
T036 232N 0728E 030
AMP
024HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
036HR EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI) WARNING NR 022
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI) WARNING NR 022
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
050000Z --- NEAR 17.4N 70.4E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 035 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 17.4N 70.4E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
051200Z --- 19.5N 71.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY


Original Message :

WTIO51 PGTW 050300
WARNING ATCG MIL 03B NIO 171205022727
2017120500 03B OCKHI 022 01 035 11 SATL 060
T000 174N 0704E 060 R050 065 NE QD 070 SE QD 035 SW QD 035 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 130 SE QD 085 SW QD 090 NW QD
T012 195N 0716E 050 R050 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R034 090 NE QD 090 SE QD 060 SW QD 065 NW QD
T024 217N 0724E 035 R034 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 025 SW QD 025 NW QD
T036 232N 0728E 030
AMP
024HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
036HR EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI) WARNING NR 022
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI) WARNING NR 022
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
050000Z --- NEAR 17.4N 70.4E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 035 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 17.4N 70.4E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
051200Z --- 19.5N 71.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
060000Z --- 21.7N 72.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
061200Z --- 23.2N 72.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
---
REMARKS:
050300Z POSITION NEAR 17.9N 70.7E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 483 NM SOUTH-
SOUTHEAST OF KARACHI, PAKISTAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 11
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 050000Z IS 18 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 050900Z, 051500Z, 052100Z AND 060300Z.
//
0317112900 60N 815E 25
0317112906 62N 805E 30
0317112912 64N 796E 30
0317112918 66N 788E 35
0317113000 72N 778E 40
0317113006 78N 766E 50
0317113012 82N 758E 55
0317113012 82N 758E 55
0317113018 84N 749E 60
0317113018 84N 749E 60
0317120100 87N 741E 60
0317120100 87N 741E 60
0317120106 88N 733E 70
0317120106 88N 733E 70
0317120106 88N 733E 70
0317120112 89N 726E 70
0317120112 89N 726E 70
0317120112 89N 726E 70
0317120118 92N 720E 80
0317120118 92N 720E 80
0317120118 92N 720E 80
0317120200 94N 715E 85
0317120200 94N 715E 85
0317120200 94N 715E 85
0317120206 99N 710E 85
0317120206 99N 710E 85
0317120206 99N 710E 85
0317120212 106N 704E 95
0317120212 106N 704E 95
0317120212 106N 704E 95
0317120218 113N 698E 100
0317120218 113N 698E 100
0317120218 113N 698E 100
0317120300 117N 693E 95
0317120300 117N 693E 95
0317120300 117N 693E 95
0317120306 120N 688E 80
0317120306 120N 688E 80
0317120306 120N 688E 80
0317120312 128N 687E 75
0317120312 128N 687E 75
0317120312 128N 687E 75
0317120318 136N 686E 75
0317120318 136N 686E 75
0317120318 136N 686E 75
0317120400 142N 686E 70
0317120400 142N 686E 70
0317120400 142N 686E 70
0317120406 148N 687E 70
0317120406 148N 687E 70
0317120406 148N 687E 70
0317120412 156N 691E 65
0317120412 156N 691E 65
0317120412 156N 691E 65
0317120418 165N 697E 60
0317120418 165N 697E 60
0317120500 174N 704E 60
0317120500 174N 704E 60


Original Message :

WTIO31 PGTW 050300 RRA
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI) WARNING NR 022//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI) WARNING NR 022
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTH IO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
050000Z --- NEAR 17.4N 70.4E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 035 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 17.4N 70.4E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
051200Z --- 19.5N 71.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT


Original Message :

WTIO31 PGTW 050300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI) WARNING NR 022//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI) WARNING NR 022
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTH IO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
050000Z --- NEAR 17.4N 70.4E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 035 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 17.4N 70.4E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
051200Z --- 19.5N 71.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
060000Z --- 21.7N 72.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
061200Z --- 23.2N 72.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
---
REMARKS:
050300Z POSITION NEAR 17.9N 70.7E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 483 NM SOUTH-
SOUTHEAST OF KARACHI, PAKISTAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 11
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE
IMAGERY DEPICTS RAPIDLY DISSIPATING CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE
LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION (LLCC) OF TC 03B. THE INITIAL POSITION IS BASED
ON A 042233Z SSMI 37GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE. STRONG WIND SHEAR (30 TO 60
KNOTS) HAS DECOUPLED THE LLCC AND THE UPPER LEVEL MICROWAVE EYE SEEN
IN A 042233Z SSMI 85GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS
ASSESSED AT 60 KNOTS WHICH IS BASED ON A 041356Z SATCON ESTIMATE OF
62 KNOTS. THIS IS HEDGED BELOW A DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF T4.5
FROM KNES. A DEEP-LAYERED SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE EAST, CENTERED
OVER THE BAY OF BENGAL, IS STEERING TC 03B NORTHEASTWARD. THIS TRACK
WILL CONTINUE FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. TC 03B IS NOW
INTERACTING WITH A TROUGH MOVING FROM WEST TO EAST. THIS TROUGH WILL
CONTINUE TO PRODUCE A NORTHEASTERLY TRACK FOR TC 03B. UPPER LEVEL
ANALYSIS SHOWS STRONG POLEWARD OUTFLOW AND WEAK EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW.
TC 03B IS EXPERIENCING STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (30 TO 60 KNOTS)
WHICH WILL ALLOW FOR CONTINUED WEAKENING OF THE SYSTEM. TC 03B IS
EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO 35 KNOTS BY TAU 24, WITH THE REMNANT LOW MAKING
LANDFALL IN THE GULF OF KHAMBHAT AROUND TAU 30. NUMERICAL MODEL
GUIDANCE SHOWS GOOD AGREEMENT AS THE SYSTEM WEAKENS WITH SOME MINOR
SPREADING IN THE MODEL TRACKS AFTER TAU 24. OVERALL, THERE IS HIGH
CONFIDENCE IN THE JTWC TRACK. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT
050000Z IS 18 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 050900Z, 051500Z, 052100Z AND
060300Z.//


Original Message :

WTIO51 PGTW 042100 RRA
WARNING ATCG MIL 03B NIO 171204200540
2017120418 03B OCKHI 021 01 030 10 SATL 040
T000 165N 0696E 060 R050 065 NE QD 065 SE QD 040 SW QD 050 NW QD R034
130 NE QD 125 SE QD 085 SW QD 105 NW QD
T012 180N 0705E 050 R050 020 NE QD 005 SE QD 010 SW QD 025 NW QD R034
095 NE QD 085 SE QD 080 SW QD 095 NW QD
T024 197N 0714E 040 R034 075 NE QD 070 SE QD 045 SW QD 080 NW QD
T036 223N 0720E 025
AMP
024HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
036HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI) WARNING NR 021
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI) WARNING NR 021
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTH IO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
041800Z --- NEAR 16.5N 69.6E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 030 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 16.5N 69.6E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
050600Z --- 18.0N 70.5E


Original Message :

WTIO51 PGTW 042100
WARNING ATCG MIL 03B NIO 171204200540
2017120418 03B OCKHI 021 01 030 10 SATL 040
T000 165N 0696E 060 R050 065 NE QD 065 SE QD 040 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 125 SE QD 085 SW QD 105 NW QD
T012 180N 0705E 050 R050 020 NE QD 005 SE QD 010 SW QD 025 NW QD R034 095 NE QD 085 SE QD 080 SW QD 095 NW QD
T024 197N 0714E 040 R034 075 NE QD 070 SE QD 045 SW QD 080 NW QD
T036 223N 0720E 025
AMP
024HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
036HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI) WARNING NR 021
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI) WARNING NR 021
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTH IO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
041800Z --- NEAR 16.5N 69.6E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 030 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 16.5N 69.6E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
050600Z --- 18.0N 70.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
005 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
051800Z --- 19.7N 71.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
060600Z --- 22.3N 72.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
042100Z POSITION NEAR 16.9N 69.8E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 519 NM SOUTH-
SOUTHEAST OF KARACHI, PAKISTAN, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD
AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 041800Z IS 18 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 050300Z, 050900Z, 051500Z AND 052100Z.
//
0317112900 60N 815E 25
0317112906 62N 805E 30
0317112912 64N 796E 30
0317112918 66N 788E 35
0317113000 72N 778E 40
0317113006 78N 766E 50
0317113012 82N 758E 55
0317113012 82N 758E 55
0317113018 84N 749E 60
0317113018 84N 749E 60
0317120100 87N 741E 60
0317120100 87N 741E 60
0317120106 88N 733E 70
0317120106 88N 733E 70
0317120106 88N 733E 70
0317120112 89N 726E 70
0317120112 89N 726E 70
0317120112 89N 726E 70
0317120118 92N 720E 80
0317120118 92N 720E 80
0317120118 92N 720E 80
0317120200 94N 715E 85
0317120200 94N 715E 85
0317120200 94N 715E 85
0317120206 99N 710E 85
0317120206 99N 710E 85
0317120206 99N 710E 85
0317120212 106N 704E 95
0317120212 106N 704E 95
0317120212 106N 704E 95
0317120218 113N 698E 100
0317120218 113N 698E 100
0317120218 113N 698E 100
0317120300 117N 693E 95
0317120300 117N 693E 95
0317120300 117N 693E 95
0317120306 120N 688E 80
0317120306 120N 688E 80
0317120306 120N 688E 80
0317120312 128N 687E 75
0317120312 128N 687E 75
0317120312 128N 687E 75
0317120318 136N 686E 75
0317120318 136N 686E 75
0317120318 136N 686E 75
0317120400 142N 686E 70
0317120400 142N 686E 70
0317120400 142N 686E 70
0317120406 148N 687E 70
0317120406 148N 687E 70
0317120406 148N 687E 70
0317120412 156N 691E 65
0317120412 156N 691E 65
0317120412 156N 691E 65
0317120418 165N 696E 60
0317120418 165N 696E 60


Original Message :

WTIO31 PGTW 042100 RRA
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI) WARNING NR 021//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI) WARNING NR 021
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTH IO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
041800Z --- NEAR 16.5N 69.6E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 030 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 16.5N 69.6E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
050600Z --- 18.0N 70.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
005 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT


Original Message :

WTIO31 PGTW 042100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI) WARNING NR 021//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI) WARNING NR 021
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTH IO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
041800Z --- NEAR 16.5N 69.6E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 030 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 16.5N 69.6E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
050600Z --- 18.0N 70.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
005 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
051800Z --- 19.7N 71.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
060600Z --- 22.3N 72.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
042100Z POSITION NEAR 16.9N 69.8E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 519 NM SOUTH-
SOUTHEAST OF KARACHI, PAKISTAN, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD
AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED
SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS FLARING CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW
LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) OF TC O3B. THERE IS HIGH CONFIDENCE
IN THE INITIAL POSITION WHICH IS BASED ON A 041637Z AMSU 89GHZ
MICROWAVE IMAGE. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS ASSESSED AT 60 KNOTS WHICH
IS BASED ON A 041356Z SATCON ESTIMATE OF 62 KNOTS. THIS IS HEDGED
SLIGHTLY BELOW CURRENT DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF T4.0 (65 KNOTS)
FROM BOTH KNES AND PGTW. A DEEP-LAYERED SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE
EAST, CENTERED OVER THE BAY OF BENGAL, IS STEERING TC 03B
NORTHEASTWARD. THIS TRACK WILL CONTINUE FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE
FORECAST PERIOD. THE APPROACHING TROUGH FROM THE WEST WILL ALSO HELP
TO ERODE THE RIDGE TO THE EAST AND STEER TC 03B NORTHEASTWARD. UPPER
LEVEL ANALYSIS SHOWS STRONG POLEWARD OUTFLOW AND WEAK EQUATORWARD
OUTFLOW. TC 03B IS EXPERIENCING STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (30 TO
50 KNOTS) WHICH WILL ALLOW FOR CONTINUED WEAKENING OF THE SYSTEM. TC
03B IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO BELOW 35 KNOTS JUST BEFORE TAU 30, WITH
THE REMNANT LOW MAKING LANDFALL JUST WEST OF THE GULF OF KHAMBHAT
AROUND TAU 30. NUMERICAL MODEL GUIDANCE SHOWS GOOD AGREEMENT AS THE
SYSTEM WEAKENS WITH SOME MINOR SPREADING IN THE MODEL FIELDS AFTER
TAU 24. OVERALL, THERE IS HIGH CONFIDENCE IN THE JTWC TRACK. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 041800Z IS 18 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
050300Z, 050900Z, 051500Z AND 052100Z.//


Original Message :

WTIO51 PGTW 041500 RRA
WARNING ATCG MIL 03B NIO 171204133309
2017120412 03B OCKHI 020 01 020 06 SATL 025
T000 154N 0689E 065 R064 035 NE QD 035 SE QD 020 SW QD 025 NW QD R050
065 NE QD 070 SE QD 040 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 125 NE QD 130 SE QD
085 SW QD 105 NW QD
T012 168N 0698E 055 R050 020 NE QD 005 SE QD 010 SW QD 025 NW QD R034
120 NE QD 115 SE QD 070 SW QD 080 NW QD
T024 187N 0709E 045 R034 065 NE QD 075 SE QD 045 SW QD 045 NW QD
T036 209N 0716E 035 R034 055 NE QD 060 SE QD 035 SW QD 025 NW QD
T048 225N 0719E 025
AMP
036HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
048HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI) WARNING NR 020
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI) WARNING NR 020
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
041200Z --- NEAR 15.4N 68.9E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 020 DEGREES AT 06 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT


Original Message :

WTIO51 PGTW 041500
WARNING ATCG MIL 03B NIO 171204133309
2017120412 03B OCKHI 020 01 020 06 SATL 025
T000 154N 0689E 065 R064 035 NE QD 035 SE QD 020 SW QD 025 NW QD R050 065 NE QD 070 SE QD 040 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 125 NE QD 130 SE QD 085 SW QD 105 NW QD
T012 168N 0698E 055 R050 020 NE QD 005 SE QD 010 SW QD 025 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 115 SE QD 070 SW QD 080 NW QD
T024 187N 0709E 045 R034 065 NE QD 075 SE QD 045 SW QD 045 NW QD
T036 209N 0716E 035 R034 055 NE QD 060 SE QD 035 SW QD 025 NW QD
T048 225N 0719E 025
AMP
036HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
048HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI) WARNING NR 020
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI) WARNING NR 020
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
041200Z --- NEAR 15.4N 68.9E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 020 DEGREES AT 06 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 15.4N 68.9E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
050000Z --- 16.8N 69.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
005 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
051200Z --- 18.7N 70.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
060000Z --- 20.9N 71.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
061200Z --- 22.5N 71.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
041500Z POSITION NEAR 15.7N 69.1E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1367 NM NORTH
OF DIEGO GARCIA, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER
THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 041200Z IS 20 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 042100Z, 050300Z, 050900Z AND 051500Z.
//
0317112900 60N 815E 25
0317112906 62N 805E 30
0317112912 64N 796E 30
0317112918 66N 788E 35
0317113000 72N 778E 40
0317113006 78N 766E 50
0317113012 82N 758E 55
0317113012 82N 758E 55
0317113018 84N 749E 60
0317113018 84N 749E 60
0317120100 87N 741E 60
0317120100 87N 741E 60
0317120106 88N 733E 70
0317120106 88N 733E 70
0317120106 88N 733E 70
0317120112 89N 726E 70
0317120112 89N 726E 70
0317120112 89N 726E 70
0317120118 92N 720E 80
0317120118 92N 720E 80
0317120118 92N 720E 80
0317120200 94N 715E 85
0317120200 94N 715E 85
0317120200 94N 715E 85
0317120206 99N 710E 85
0317120206 99N 710E 85
0317120206 99N 710E 85
0317120212 106N 704E 95
0317120212 106N 704E 95
0317120212 106N 704E 95
0317120218 113N 698E 100
0317120218 113N 698E 100
0317120218 113N 698E 100
0317120300 117N 693E 95
0317120300 117N 693E 95
0317120300 117N 693E 95
0317120306 120N 688E 80
0317120306 120N 688E 80
0317120306 120N 688E 80
0317120312 128N 687E 75
0317120312 128N 687E 75
0317120312 128N 687E 75
0317120318 136N 686E 75
0317120318 136N 686E 75
0317120318 136N 686E 75
0317120400 142N 686E 70
0317120400 142N 686E 70
0317120400 142N 686E 70
0317120406 148N 687E 70
0317120406 148N 687E 70
0317120406 148N 687E 70
0317120412 154N 689E 65
0317120412 154N 689E 65
0317120412 154N 689E 65


Original Message :

WTIO31 PGTW 041500 RRA
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI) WARNING NR 020//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI) WARNING NR 020
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTH IO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
041200Z --- NEAR 15.4N 68.9E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 020 DEGREES AT 06 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 15.4N 68.9E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
050000Z --- 16.8N 69.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
005 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT


Original Message :

WTIO31 PGTW 041500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI) WARNING NR 020//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI) WARNING NR 020
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTH IO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
041200Z --- NEAR 15.4N 68.9E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 020 DEGREES AT 06 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 15.4N 68.9E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
050000Z --- 16.8N 69.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
005 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
051200Z --- 18.7N 70.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
060000Z --- 20.9N 71.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
061200Z --- 22.5N 71.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
041500Z POSITION NEAR 15.7N 69.1E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1367 NM NORTH
OF DIEGO GARCIA, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER
THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS
FLARING CENTRAL CONVECTION BEING SHEARED TO THE NORTHEAST INTO THE
LEADING EDGE OF AN APPROACHING TROUGH FROM THE WEST. THERE IS HIGH
CONFIDENCE IN THE INITIAL POSITION WHICH IS BASED ON BOTH 37 AND 91
GHZ SSMIS IMAGES FROM 041122Z, SHOWING THE MICROWAVE EYE FEATURE
STRUGGLING TO KEEP TOGETHER WITH DEEP CONVECTION PRIMARILY CONFINED
TO THE WESTERN SEMICIRCLE AND DISPLACED NORTHEASTWARD. THE INITIAL
INTENSITY IS ASSESSED AT 65 KNOTS WHICH IS ON CURRENT INTENSITY
DVORAK ESTIMATES OF T4.0 (65 KNOTS) FROM DEMS AND PGTW, COMBINED
WITH A 041052Z SATCON ESTIMATE OF 67 KNOTS. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS
SHOWS THE POINT SOURCE ALOFT STARTING TO BREAK DOWN AS THE ADVANCING
TROUGH INTERACTS WITH THE SYSTEM, AND VERTICAL WIND SHEAR HAS BEEN
STEADILY INCREASING OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS AS A RESULT. A DEEP-
LAYERED SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE EAST IS STEERING TC 03B ON A COURSE
NORTHWESTWARD AND THIS TRACK WILL CONTINUE FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE
FORECAST PERIOD. INTERACTION WITH THE APPROACHING TROUGH WILL
CONTINUE TO INCREASE WIND SHEAR OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS, AND IN
COMBINATION WITH DRY AIR ENTRAINMENT, WILL SEVERELY WEAKEN TC
03B WHILE OVER OPEN WATER. TC 03B IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE BELOW
TROPICAL CYCLONE STRENGTH JUST AFTER TAU 36, WITH THE REMNANT LOW
MAKING LANDFALL NEAR THE GULF OF KHAMBHAT AROUND TAU 48. DYNAMIC
MODEL GUIDANCE SHOWS GOOD AGREEMENT AS THE SYSTEM WEAKENS WITH ONLY
MINOR VARIATIONS IN THE EXACT LANDFALL LOCATION. OVERALL THERE IS
HIGH CONFIDENCE IN THE FORECAST TRACK. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE
HEIGHT AT 041200Z IS 20 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 042100Z, 050300Z,
050900Z AND 051500Z.//


Original Message :

WTIO51 PGTW 040900 RRA
WARNING ATCG MIL 03B NIO 171204074714
2017120406 03B OCKHI 019 01 010 06 SATL 025
T000 148N 0687E 070 R064 035 NE QD 035 SE QD 030 SW QD 025 NW QD R050
050 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW QD 045 NW QD R034 105 NE QD 095 SE QD
095 SW QD 120 NW QD
T012 162N 0695E 060 R050 045 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 040 NW QD R034
115 NE QD 115 SE QD 085 SW QD 095 NW QD
T024 177N 0705E 050 R050 025 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R034
070 NE QD 080 SE QD 065 SW QD 060 NW QD
T036 197N 0714E 035 R034 060 NE QD 070 SE QD 035 SW QD 030 NW QD
T048 216N 0720E 025
AMP
036HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
048HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI) WARNING NR 019
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI) WARNING NR 019
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
040600Z --- NEAR 14.8N 68.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 010 DEGREES AT 06 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT


Original Message :

WTIO51 PGTW 040900
WARNING ATCG MIL 03B NIO 171204074714
2017120406 03B OCKHI 019 01 010 06 SATL 025
T000 148N 0687E 070 R064 035 NE QD 035 SE QD 030 SW QD 025 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW QD 045 NW QD R034 105 NE QD 095 SE QD 095 SW QD 120 NW QD
T012 162N 0695E 060 R050 045 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 115 NE QD 115 SE QD 085 SW QD 095 NW QD
T024 177N 0705E 050 R050 025 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 070 NE QD 080 SE QD 065 SW QD 060 NW QD
T036 197N 0714E 035 R034 060 NE QD 070 SE QD 035 SW QD 030 NW QD
T048 216N 0720E 025
AMP
036HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
048HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI) WARNING NR 019
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI) WARNING NR 019
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
040600Z --- NEAR 14.8N 68.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 010 DEGREES AT 06 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 14.8N 68.7E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
041800Z --- 16.2N 69.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
050600Z --- 17.7N 70.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
051800Z --- 19.7N 71.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
060600Z --- 21.6N 72.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
040900Z POSITION NEAR 15.2N 68.9E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1333 NM NORTH
OF DIEGO GARCIA, HAS TRACKED AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX
HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 040600Z IS 24 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 041500Z, 042100Z, 050300Z AND 050900Z.
//
0317112900 60N 815E 25
0317112906 62N 805E 30
0317112912 64N 796E 30
0317112918 66N 788E 35
0317113000 72N 778E 40
0317113006 78N 766E 50
0317113012 82N 758E 55
0317113012 82N 758E 55
0317113018 84N 749E 60
0317113018 84N 749E 60
0317120100 87N 741E 60
0317120100 87N 741E 60
0317120106 88N 733E 70
0317120106 88N 733E 70
0317120106 88N 733E 70
0317120112 89N 726E 70
0317120112 89N 726E 70
0317120112 89N 726E 70
0317120118 92N 720E 80
0317120118 92N 720E 80
0317120118 92N 720E 80
0317120200 94N 715E 85
0317120200 94N 715E 85
0317120200 94N 715E 85
0317120206 99N 710E 85
0317120206 99N 710E 85
0317120206 99N 710E 85
0317120212 106N 704E 95
0317120212 106N 704E 95
0317120212 106N 704E 95
0317120218 113N 698E 100
0317120218 113N 698E 100
0317120218 113N 698E 100
0317120300 117N 693E 95
0317120300 117N 693E 95
0317120300 117N 693E 95
0317120306 120N 688E 80
0317120306 120N 688E 80
0317120306 120N 688E 80
0317120312 128N 687E 75
0317120312 128N 687E 75
0317120312 128N 687E 75
0317120318 136N 686E 75
0317120318 136N 686E 75
0317120318 136N 686E 75
0317120400 142N 686E 70
0317120400 142N 686E 70
0317120400 142N 686E 70
0317120406 148N 687E 70
0317120406 148N 687E 70
0317120406 148N 687E 70


Original Message :

WTIO31 PGTW 040900 RRA
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI) WARNING NR 019//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI) WARNING NR 019
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTH IO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
040600Z --- NEAR 14.8N 68.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 010 DEGREES AT 06 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 14.8N 68.7E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
041800Z --- 16.2N 69.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT


Original Message :

WTIO31 PGTW 040900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI) WARNING NR 019//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI) WARNING NR 019
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTH IO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
040600Z --- NEAR 14.8N 68.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 010 DEGREES AT 06 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 14.8N 68.7E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
041800Z --- 16.2N 69.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
050600Z --- 17.7N 70.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
051800Z --- 19.7N 71.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
060600Z --- 21.6N 72.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
040900Z POSITION NEAR 15.2N 68.9E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1333 NM NORTH
OF DIEGO GARCIA, HAS TRACKED AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX
HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS FLARING
CENTRAL CONVECTION WITH A WELL DEFINED WESTERN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY AND
A STRONG POLEWARD OUTFLOW CHANNEL. THERE IS HIGH CONFIDENCE IN THE
INITIAL POSITION WHICH IS BASED ON A 040446Z METOP-B ASCAT IMAGE,
AND THE CORRESPONDING AMSU IMAGE, SHOWING THE CIRCULATION CENTER
WITH A MICROWAVE EYE FEATURE PARTIALLY ERODED ON THE EASTERN
SEMICIRCLE. WIND RADII DATA HAS ALSO BEEN ADJUSTED BASED ON THE
ASCAT IMAGE. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS ASSESSED AT 70 KNOTS WHICH IS
ON THE LOWER END OF MULTI-AGENCY DVORAK ESTIMATES RANGING FROM T4.0
TO T5.0 (65 TO 90 KNOTS). UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS SHOWS THE SYSTEM
MAINTAINING A POINT SOURCE ALOFT, BUT RESTRICTED OUTFLOW ON THE
WESTERN EDGE DUE TO A DEEPENING TROUGH ADVANCING RAPIDLY FROM THE
WEST. VERTICAL WIND SHEAR HAS BEEN STEADILY INCREASING OVER THE LAST
SIX HOURS AS THE TROUGH GETS CLOSER. A DEEP-LAYERED SUBTROPICAL
RIDGE TO THE EAST IS STEERING TC 03B ON A COURSE NORTH-NORTHWEST,
AND IS FORECAST TO SHIFT NORTHWESTWARD IN THE NEXT FEW HOURS.
INTERACTION WITH THE APPROACHING TROUGH WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE
WIND SHEAR OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS, AND IN COMBINATION WITH DRY AIR
ENTRAINMENT, WILL SEVERELY WEAKEN TC 03B WHILE OVER OPEN WATER.
TC 03B IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE BELOW TROPICAL CYCLONE STRENGTH JUST
AFTER TAU 36, WITH THE REMNANT LOW MAKING LANDFALL NEAR THE GULF OF
KHAMBHAT AROUND TAU 48. DYNAMIC MODEL GUIDANCE SHOWS GOOD AGREEMENT
AS THE SYSTEM WEAKENS WITH ONLY MINOR VARIATIONS IN THE EXACT
LANDFALL LOCATION. OVERALL THERE IS HIGH CONFIDENCE IN THE FORECAST
TRACK. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 040600Z IS 24 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 041500Z, 042100Z, 050300Z AND 050900Z.//


Original Message :

WTIO51 PGTW 040300 RRA
WARNING ATCG MIL 03B NIO 171204023047
2017120400 03B OCKHI 018 01 010 06 SATL 030
T000 142N 0687E 070 R064 045 NE QD 045 SE QD 020 SW QD 035 NW QD R050
085 NE QD 085 SE QD 045 SW QD 070 NW QD R034 155 NE QD 135 SE QD
090 SW QD 135 NW QD
T012 158N 0693E 060 R050 055 NE QD 045 SE QD 035 SW QD 050 NW QD R034
105 NE QD 100 SE QD 075 SW QD 100 NW QD
T024 173N 0703E 050 R050 065 NE QD 030 SE QD 025 SW QD 035 NW QD R034
085 NE QD 075 SE QD 060 SW QD 080 NW QD
T036 190N 0712E 040 R034 040 NE QD 060 SE QD 035 SW QD 035 NW QD
T048 208N 0720E 025
T072 235N 0727E 015
AMP
036HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
048HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
072HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI) WARNING NR 018
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI) WARNING NR 018
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
040000Z --- NEAR 14.2N 68.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 010 DEGREES AT 06 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT


Original Message :

WTIO51 PGTW 040300
WARNING ATCG MIL 03B NIO 171204023047
2017120400 03B OCKHI 018 01 010 06 SATL 030
T000 142N 0687E 070 R064 045 NE QD 045 SE QD 020 SW QD 035 NW QD R050 085 NE QD 085 SE QD 045 SW QD 070 NW QD R034 155 NE QD 135 SE QD 090 SW QD 135 NW QD
T012 158N 0693E 060 R050 055 NE QD 045 SE QD 035 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 105 NE QD 100 SE QD 075 SW QD 100 NW QD
T024 173N 0703E 050 R050 065 NE QD 030 SE QD 025 SW QD 035 NW QD R034 085 NE QD 075 SE QD 060 SW QD 080 NW QD
T036 190N 0712E 040 R034 040 NE QD 060 SE QD 035 SW QD 035 NW QD
T048 208N 0720E 025
T072 235N 0727E 015
AMP
036HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
048HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
072HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI) WARNING NR 018
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI) WARNING NR 018
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
040000Z --- NEAR 14.2N 68.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 010 DEGREES AT 06 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 14.2N 68.7E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
041200Z --- 15.8N 69.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
050000Z --- 17.3N 70.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
051200Z --- 19.0N 71.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
060000Z --- 20.8N 72.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
070000Z --- 23.5N 72.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 015 KT, GUSTS 025 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
040300Z POSITION NEAR 14.6N 68.9E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 643 NM SOUTH
OF KARACHI, PAKISTAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX
HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 040000Z IS 24 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 040900Z, 041500Z, 042100Z AND 050300Z.
//
0317112900 60N 815E 25
0317112906 62N 805E 30
0317112912 64N 796E 30
0317112918 66N 788E 35
0317113000 72N 778E 40
0317113006 78N 766E 50
0317113012 82N 758E 55
0317113012 82N 758E 55
0317113018 84N 749E 60
0317113018 84N 749E 60
0317120100 87N 741E 60
0317120100 87N 741E 60
0317120106 88N 733E 70
0317120106 88N 733E 70
0317120106 88N 733E 70
0317120112 89N 726E 70
0317120112 89N 726E 70
0317120112 89N 726E 70
0317120118 92N 720E 80
0317120118 92N 720E 80
0317120118 92N 720E 80
0317120200 94N 715E 85
0317120200 94N 715E 85
0317120200 94N 715E 85
0317120206 99N 710E 85
0317120206 99N 710E 85
0317120206 99N 710E 85
0317120212 106N 704E 95
0317120212 106N 704E 95
0317120212 106N 704E 95
0317120218 113N 698E 100
0317120218 113N 698E 100
0317120218 113N 698E 100
0317120300 117N 693E 95
0317120300 117N 693E 95
0317120300 117N 693E 95
0317120306 120N 688E 80
0317120306 120N 688E 80
0317120306 120N 688E 80
0317120312 128N 687E 75
0317120312 128N 687E 75
0317120312 128N 687E 75
0317120318 136N 686E 75
0317120318 136N 686E 75
0317120318 136N 686E 75
0317120400 142N 687E 70
0317120400 142N 687E 70
0317120400 142N 687E 70


Original Message :

WTIO31 PGTW 040300 RRA
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI) WARNING NR 018
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
040000Z --- NEAR 14.2N 68.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 010 DEGREES AT 06 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 14.2N 68.7E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
041200Z --- 15.8N 69.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT


Original Message :

WTIO31 PGTW 040300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI) WARNING NR 018
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
040000Z --- NEAR 14.2N 68.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 010 DEGREES AT 06 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 14.2N 68.7E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
041200Z --- 15.8N 69.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
050000Z --- 17.3N 70.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
051200Z --- 19.0N 71.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
060000Z --- 20.8N 72.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
070000Z --- 23.5N 72.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 015 KT, GUSTS 025 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
040300Z POSITION NEAR 14.6N 68.9E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 643 NM SOUTH
OF KARACHI, PAKISTAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE
PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED (IR) SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES
OCKHI IS MAINTAINING TIGHTLY CURVED BANDING WRAPPING INTO A LOW
LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER, WITH ROBUST POLEWARD OUTFLOW. A 040120Z
F18 91GHZ PASS REVEALS A WELL DEFINED MICROWAVE EYE, WITH DEEPEST
CONVECTION IN THE WESTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. THE INITIAL POSITION IS BASED
ON THE PGTW FIX AND THE AFOREMENTIONED MICROWAVE EYE WITH HIGH
CONFIDENCE. THE INITIAL INTENSITY WAS DECREASED SLIGHTLY TO 70 KNOTS
BASED ON THE PGTW AND KNES DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES, AND
TAKING INTO ACCOUNT DATA-T VALUES WHICH HAVE FALLEN TO T4.0. UPPER-
LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES STRONG POLEWARD OUTFLOW IS OFFSETTING
INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS) VALUES, CURRENTLY ESTIMATED TO
BE 25-30 KNOTS. ADDITIONALLY, THE TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER LOOP
INDICATES DRIER AIR IS BEING ENTRAINED INTO OCKHI. TC 03B IS
BEGINNING TO ROUND THE WESTERN BOUNDARY OF A DEEP-LAYERED
SUBTROPICAL RIDGE ANCHORED OVER THE BAY OF BENGAL, WITH THE 04/00Z
POSITION INDICATING MOTION HAS VEERED TO THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OF THE
PRIOR POSIT. NUMERICAL MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN GENERALLY GOOD
AGREEMENT, INDICATING OCKHI WILL TRACK NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE
NORTHWESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE STEERING RIDGE AND MAKE LANDFALL NEAR
THE GULF OF KHAMBHAT AFTER TAU 48. INCREASING VWS, DRY AIR
ENTRAINMENT, AND COOLER WATERS WILL SIGNIFICANTLY WEAKEN TC 03B OVER
THE NEXT 48 HOURS, WITH GUIDANCE NOW INDICATING OCKHI WILL DISSIPATE
OVER WATER PRIOR TO LANDFALL. THE FORECAST WAS MAINTAINED FOR ONE
ADDITIONAL POSIT TO INDICATE THE APPROXIMATE LANDFALL POSITION OF
THE REMNANT LOW. BASED ON LOW MODEL SPREAD, THERE IS HIGH CONFIDENCE
IN THE JTWC FORECAST TRACK. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT
040000Z IS 24 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 040900Z, 041500Z, 042100Z AND
050300Z.//


Original Message :

WTIO51 PGTW 032100 RRA
WARNING ATCG MIL 03B NIO 171203201039
2017120318 03B OCKHI 017 01 355 08 SATL 030
T000 136N 0686E 075 R064 035 NE QD 030 SE QD 025 SW QD 030 NW QD R050
060 NE QD 055 SE QD 060 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 100 SE QD
110 SW QD 110 NW QD
T012 151N 0690E 070 R064 020 NE QD 010 SE QD 025 SW QD 025 NW QD R050
055 NE QD 040 SE QD 035 SW QD 045 NW QD R034 145 NE QD 135 SE QD
090 SW QD 115 NW QD
T024 167N 0699E 060 R050 045 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 025 NW QD R034
120 NE QD 115 SE QD 080 SW QD 090 NW QD
T036 184N 0710E 045 R034 060 NE QD 080 SE QD 050 SW QD 050 NW QD
T048 201N 0719E 035 R034 050 NE QD 050 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD
T072 228N 0729E 020
AMP
048HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
072HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI) WARNING NR 017
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI) WARNING NR 017
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
031800Z --- NEAR 13.6N 68.6E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 355 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT


Original Message :

WTIO51 PGTW 032100
WARNING ATCG MIL 03B NIO 171203201039
2017120318 03B OCKHI 017 01 355 08 SATL 030
T000 136N 0686E 075 R064 035 NE QD 030 SE QD 025 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 055 SE QD 060 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 100 SE QD 110 SW QD 110 NW QD
T012 151N 0690E 070 R064 020 NE QD 010 SE QD 025 SW QD 025 NW QD R050 055 NE QD 040 SE QD 035 SW QD 045 NW QD R034 145 NE QD 135 SE QD 090 SW QD 115 NW QD
T024 167N 0699E 060 R050 045 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 025 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 115 SE QD 080 SW QD 090 NW QD
T036 184N 0710E 045 R034 060 NE QD 080 SE QD 050 SW QD 050 NW QD
T048 201N 0719E 035 R034 050 NE QD 050 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD
T072 228N 0729E 020
AMP
048HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
072HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI) WARNING NR 017
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI) WARNING NR 017
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
031800Z --- NEAR 13.6N 68.6E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 355 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 13.6N 68.6E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
040600Z --- 15.1N 69.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
041800Z --- 16.7N 69.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
050600Z --- 18.4N 71.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
051800Z --- 20.1N 71.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
061800Z --- 22.8N 72.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
032100Z POSITION NEAR 14.0N 68.7E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 678 NM SOUTH
OF KARACHI, PAKISTAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE
PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 031800Z IS 25 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 040300Z, 040900Z, 041500Z AND 042100Z.
//
0317112900 60N 815E 25
0317112906 62N 805E 30
0317112912 64N 796E 30
0317112918 66N 788E 35
0317113000 72N 778E 40
0317113006 78N 766E 50
0317113012 82N 758E 55
0317113012 82N 758E 55
0317113018 84N 749E 60
0317113018 84N 749E 60
0317120100 87N 741E 60
0317120100 87N 741E 60
0317120106 88N 733E 70
0317120106 88N 733E 70
0317120106 88N 733E 70
0317120112 89N 726E 70
0317120112 89N 726E 70
0317120112 89N 726E 70
0317120118 92N 720E 80
0317120118 92N 720E 80
0317120118 92N 720E 80
0317120200 94N 715E 85
0317120200 94N 715E 85
0317120200 94N 715E 85
0317120206 99N 710E 85
0317120206 99N 710E 85
0317120206 99N 710E 85
0317120212 106N 704E 95
0317120212 106N 704E 95
0317120212 106N 704E 95
0317120218 113N 698E 100
0317120218 113N 698E 100
0317120218 113N 698E 100
0317120300 117N 693E 95
0317120300 117N 693E 95
0317120300 117N 693E 95
0317120306 120N 688E 80
0317120306 120N 688E 80
0317120306 120N 688E 80
0317120312 128N 687E 75
0317120312 128N 687E 75
0317120312 128N 687E 75
0317120318 136N 686E 75
0317120318 136N 686E 75
0317120318 136N 686E 75


Original Message :

WTIO31 PGTW 032100 RRA
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI) WARNING NR 017
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
031800Z --- NEAR 13.6N 68.6E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 355 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 13.6N 68.6E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
040600Z --- 15.1N 69.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT


Original Message :

WTIO31 PGTW 032100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI) WARNING NR 017
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
031800Z --- NEAR 13.6N 68.6E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 355 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 13.6N 68.6E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
040600Z --- 15.1N 69.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
041800Z --- 16.7N 69.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
050600Z --- 18.4N 71.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
051800Z --- 20.1N 71.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
061800Z --- 22.8N 72.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
032100Z POSITION NEAR 14.0N 68.7E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 678 NM SOUTH
OF KARACHI, PAKISTAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE
PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED (IR) SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES
OCKHI IS MAINTAINING TIGHTLY CURVED BANDING WRAPPING INTO A LOW
LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER, WITH ROBUST POLEWARD OUTFLOW. THE INITIAL
POSITION IS BASED ON THE IR IMAGERY, AND SUPPORTED BY A 031657Z AMSU
89 GHZ MICROWAVE EYE. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS ASSESSED AT 75 KNOTS,
BASED ON THE PGTW DVORAK ESTIMATE OF T4.5, AND SUPPORTED BY BOTH
CIMSS SATCON AND CIRA MULTI-PLATFORM WIND ANALYSIS ESTIMATES.
ADDITIONALLY, A 031658Z ASCAT PASS PROVIDED INPUT TO THE ANALYZED
WIND RADII ESTIMATES. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS SHOWS A POINT SOURCE OVER
THE SYSTEM CENTER WITH A STRONG POLEWARD OUTFLOW CHANNEL, ENHANCED
BY A DEEPENING TROUGH APPROACHING FROM THE WEST. HOWEVER, VERTICAL
WIND SHEAR (VWS) VALUES HAVE REACHED AN UNFAVORABLY HIGH 25-30 KNOTS
AHEAD OF THE TROUGH, WITH VALUES INCREASING TO THE NORTH.
ADDITIONALLY, THE TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER ANALYSIS INDICATES DRIER
AIR IS BEGINNING TO SURROUND THE SYSTEM. TC 03B IS TRACKING
NORTHWARD ALONG THE WESTERN BOUNDARY OF A DEEP-LAYERED SUBTROPICAL
RIDGE ANCHORED OVER THE BAY OF BENGAL. 03B IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN A
TURN TO THE NORTHEAST OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS IT PROGRESSES
AROUND THE WESTWARD MOST EDGE OF THE RIDGE. INCREASING VWS, DRY AIR
ENTRAINMENT, AND COOLER WATERS WILL SIGNIFICANTLY WEAKEN TC 03B OVER
THE NEXT 48 HOURS. DUE TO THE POOR ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS, TC 03B
SHOULD BE NEARLY DISSIPATED BEFORE MAKING LANDFALL OVER THE WEST
COAST OF INDIA. MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT, LENDING HIGH
CONFIDENCE TO THE JTWC FORECAST TRACK. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE
HEIGHT AT 031800Z IS 25 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 040300Z, 040900Z,
041500Z AND 042100Z.//


Original Message :

WTIO51 PGTW 031500 RRA
WARNING ATCG MIL 03B NIO 171203135014
2017120312 03B OCKHI 016 01 355 08 SATL 025
T000 128N 0687E 075 R064 040 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 040 NW QD R050
055 NE QD 050 SE QD 070 SW QD 070 NW QD R034 150 NE QD 110 SE QD
130 SW QD 150 NW QD
T012 142N 0687E 075 R064 030 NE QD 020 SE QD 025 SW QD 025 NW QD R050
045 NE QD 040 SE QD 045 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 120 SE QD
095 SW QD 115 NW QD
T024 157N 0694E 065 R064 030 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R050
050 NE QD 035 SE QD 040 SW QD 045 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 105 SE QD
085 SW QD 105 NW QD
T036 173N 0706E 050 R050 050 NE QD 015 SE QD 010 SW QD 010 NW QD R034
115 NE QD 110 SE QD 065 SW QD 080 NW QD
T048 191N 0715E 040 R034 060 NE QD 065 SE QD 040 SW QD 030 NW QD
T072 226N 0732E 030
AMP
048HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
072HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI) WARNING NR 016
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI) WARNING NR 016
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
031200Z --- NEAR 12.8N 68.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 355 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT


Original Message :

WTIO51 PGTW 031500
WARNING ATCG MIL 03B NIO 171203135014
2017120312 03B OCKHI 016 01 355 08 SATL 025
T000 128N 0687E 075 R064 040 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 055 NE QD 050 SE QD 070 SW QD 070 NW QD R034 150 NE QD 110 SE QD 130 SW QD 150 NW QD
T012 142N 0687E 075 R064 030 NE QD 020 SE QD 025 SW QD 025 NW QD R050 045 NE QD 040 SE QD 045 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 120 SE QD 095 SW QD 115 NW QD
T024 157N 0694E 065 R064 030 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 035 SE QD 040 SW QD 045 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 105 SE QD 085 SW QD 105 NW QD
T036 173N 0706E 050 R050 050 NE QD 015 SE QD 010 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 115 NE QD 110 SE QD 065 SW QD 080 NW QD
T048 191N 0715E 040 R034 060 NE QD 065 SE QD 040 SW QD 030 NW QD
T072 226N 0732E 030
AMP
048HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
072HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI) WARNING NR 016
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI) WARNING NR 016
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
031200Z --- NEAR 12.8N 68.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 355 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 12.8N 68.7E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
040000Z --- 14.2N 68.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
041200Z --- 15.7N 69.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
050000Z --- 17.3N 70.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
051200Z --- 19.1N 71.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
061200Z --- 22.6N 73.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
031500Z POSITION NEAR 13.1N 68.7E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1215 NM NORTH
OF DIEGO GARCIA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST
SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 031200Z IS 25 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 032100Z, 040300Z, 040900Z AND 041500Z.
//
0317112900 60N 815E 25
0317112906 62N 805E 30
0317112912 64N 796E 30
0317112918 66N 788E 35
0317113000 72N 778E 40
0317113006 78N 766E 50
0317113012 82N 758E 55
0317113012 82N 758E 55
0317113018 84N 749E 60
0317113018 84N 749E 60
0317120100 87N 741E 60
0317120100 87N 741E 60
0317120106 88N 733E 70
0317120106 88N 733E 70
0317120106 88N 733E 70
0317120112 89N 726E 70
0317120112 89N 726E 70
0317120112 89N 726E 70
0317120118 92N 720E 80
0317120118 92N 720E 80
0317120118 92N 720E 80
0317120200 94N 715E 85
0317120200 94N 715E 85
0317120200 94N 715E 85
0317120206 99N 710E 85
0317120206 99N 710E 85
0317120206 99N 710E 85
0317120212 106N 704E 95
0317120212 106N 704E 95
0317120212 106N 704E 95
0317120218 113N 698E 100
0317120218 113N 698E 100
0317120218 113N 698E 100
0317120300 117N 693E 95
0317120300 117N 693E 95
0317120300 117N 693E 95
0317120306 120N 688E 80
0317120306 120N 688E 80
0317120306 120N 688E 80
0317120312 128N 687E 75
0317120312 128N 687E 75
0317120312 128N 687E 75


Original Message :

WTIO31 PGTW 031500 RRA
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI) WARNING NR 016//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI) WARNING NR 016
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTH IO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
031200Z --- NEAR 12.8N 68.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 355 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 12.8N 68.7E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
040000Z --- 14.2N 68.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT


Original Message :

WTIO31 PGTW 031500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI) WARNING NR 016//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI) WARNING NR 016
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTH IO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
031200Z --- NEAR 12.8N 68.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 355 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 12.8N 68.7E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
040000Z --- 14.2N 68.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
041200Z --- 15.7N 69.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
050000Z --- 17.3N 70.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
051200Z --- 19.1N 71.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
061200Z --- 22.6N 73.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
031500Z POSITION NEAR 13.1N 68.7E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1215 NM NORTH
OF DIEGO GARCIA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST
SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS DEEP
CENTRAL CONVECTION EMANATING FROM THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER.
THERE IS HIGH CONFIDENCE IN THE INITIAL POSITION WHICH IS BASED ON
RECENT SATELLITE FIXES AND A 031134Z 91GHZ SSMIS IMAGE SHOWING A
MICROWAVE EYE FEATURE WITH A CORE OF DEEP CONVECTION. MICROWAVE
IMAGERY, AS WELL AS THE CIMSS TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER LOOP ALSO
SHOWS A SIGNIFICANT PLUME OF COOL DRY AIR NOW FULLY SURROUNDING THE
SYSTEM. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS ASSESSED AT 75 KNOTS WHICH IS BASED
ON CURRENT INTENSITY DVORAK ESTIMATES FROM PGTW AND KNES REPORTING
T4.5 (77 KNOTS) AND A 031102Z SATCON ESTIMATE OF 69KTS. UPPER-LEVEL
ANALYSIS SHOWS A POINT SOURCE OVER THE SYSTEM CENTER WITH A STRONG
POLEWARD OUTFLOW CHANNEL FEEDING INTO A DEEPENING TROUGH APPROACHING
FROM THE WEST. HOWEVER, THE WESTERLY FLOW IS STARTING TO IMPINGE
UPON THE WESTWARD OUTFLOW. TC 03B IS TRACKING NORTHWARD ALONG THE
WESTERN BOUNDARY OF A DEEP-LAYERED SUBTROPICAL RIDGE ANCHORED OVER
THE BAY OF BENGAL. THE CURRENT STEERING RIDGE WILL GUIDE TC 03B
NORTHWARD THEN NORTHEASTWARD OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS IT PROGRESSES
AROUND THE WESTWARD MOST EDGE OF THE RIDGE. THE APPROACHING TROUGH
WILL SOON INCREASE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, THIS COMBINED WITH COOLER
WATERS AND DRY AIR ENTRAINMENT WILL SIGNIFICANTLY WEAKEN TC 03B OVER
THE NEXT 48 HOURS. DUE TO THE POOR ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS TC 03B
SHOULD BE NEARLY DISSIPATED BEFORE MAKING LANDFALL OVER THE WEST
COAST OF INDIA. DYNAMIC MODEL GUIDANCE SHOWS RELATIVELY GOOD
AGREEMENT AS THE SYSTEM MAKES THE TURN NORTHEASTWARD AND DISSIPATES,
THUS LENDING HIGH CONFIDENCE TO THE FORECAST TRACK. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 031200Z IS 25 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
032100Z, 040300Z, 040900Z AND 041500Z.//


Original Message :

WTIO51 PGTW 030900 RRA
WARNING ATCG MIL 03B NIO 171203082103
2017120306 03B OCKHI 015 01 300 06 SATL 025
T000 120N 0688E 080 R064 040 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 035 NW QD R050
080 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 120 SE QD
110 SW QD 120 NW QD
T012 135N 0685E 085 R064 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 035 SW QD 030 NW QD R050
055 NE QD 045 SE QD 045 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 135 NE QD 135 SE QD
095 SW QD 105 NW QD
T024 149N 0690E 075 R064 025 NE QD 020 SE QD 030 SW QD 035 NW QD R050
045 NE QD 035 SE QD 035 SW QD 045 NW QD R034 125 NE QD 120 SE QD
085 SW QD 100 NW QD
T036 165N 0700E 055 R050 025 NE QD 010 SE QD 010 SW QD 020 NW QD R034
115 NE QD 115 SE QD 080 SW QD 085 NW QD
T048 183N 0712E 035 R034 060 NE QD 070 SE QD 055 SW QD 045 NW QD
T072 216N 0729E 025
AMP
048HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
072HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI) WARNING NR 015
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI) WARNING NR 015
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
030600Z --- NEAR 12.0N 68.8E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 06 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT


Original Message :

WTIO51 PGTW 030900
WARNING ATCG MIL 03B NIO 171203082103
2017120306 03B OCKHI 015 01 300 06 SATL 025
T000 120N 0688E 080 R064 040 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 035 NW QD R050 080 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 120 SE QD 110 SW QD 120 NW QD
T012 135N 0685E 085 R064 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 035 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 055 NE QD 045 SE QD 045 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 135 NE QD 135 SE QD 095 SW QD 105 NW QD
T024 149N 0690E 075 R064 025 NE QD 020 SE QD 030 SW QD 035 NW QD R050 045 NE QD 035 SE QD 035 SW QD 045 NW QD R034 125 NE QD 120 SE QD 085 SW QD 100 NW QD
T036 165N 0700E 055 R050 025 NE QD 010 SE QD 010 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 115 NE QD 115 SE QD 080 SW QD 085 NW QD
T048 183N 0712E 035 R034 060 NE QD 070 SE QD 055 SW QD 045 NW QD
T072 216N 0729E 025
AMP
048HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
072HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI) WARNING NR 015
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI) WARNING NR 015
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
030600Z --- NEAR 12.0N 68.8E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 06 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 12.0N 68.8E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
031800Z --- 13.5N 68.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
040600Z --- 14.9N 69.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
041800Z --- 16.5N 70.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
050600Z --- 18.3N 71.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
060600Z --- 21.6N 72.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
030900Z POSITION NEAR 12.4N 68.7E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 765 NM
SOUTHEAST OF MASIRAH ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 06
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 030600Z IS 25 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 031500Z, 032100Z, 040300Z AND 040900Z.
//
0317112900 60N 815E 25
0317112906 62N 805E 30
0317112912 64N 796E 30
0317112918 66N 788E 35
0317113000 72N 778E 40
0317113006 78N 766E 50
0317113012 82N 758E 55
0317113012 82N 758E 55
0317113018 84N 749E 60
0317113018 84N 749E 60
0317120100 87N 741E 60
0317120100 87N 741E 60
0317120106 88N 733E 70
0317120106 88N 733E 70
0317120106 88N 733E 70
0317120112 89N 726E 70
0317120112 89N 726E 70
0317120112 89N 726E 70
0317120118 92N 720E 80
0317120118 92N 720E 80
0317120118 92N 720E 80
0317120200 94N 715E 85
0317120200 94N 715E 85
0317120200 94N 715E 85
0317120206 99N 710E 85
0317120206 99N 710E 85
0317120206 99N 710E 85
0317120212 106N 704E 95
0317120212 106N 704E 95
0317120212 106N 704E 95
0317120218 113N 698E 100
0317120218 113N 698E 100
0317120218 113N 698E 100
0317120300 117N 693E 95
0317120300 117N 693E 95
0317120300 117N 693E 95
0317120306 120N 688E 80
0317120306 120N 688E 80
0317120306 120N 688E 80


Original Message :

WTIO31 PGTW 030900 RRA
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI) WARNING NR 015//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI) WARNING NR 015
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTH IO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
030600Z --- NEAR 12.0N 68.8E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 06 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 12.0N 68.8E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
031800Z --- 13.5N 68.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT


Original Message :

WTIO31 PGTW 030900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI) WARNING NR 015//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI) WARNING NR 015
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTH IO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
030600Z --- NEAR 12.0N 68.8E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 06 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 12.0N 68.8E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
031800Z --- 13.5N 68.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
040600Z --- 14.9N 69.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
041800Z --- 16.5N 70.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
050600Z --- 18.3N 71.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
060600Z --- 21.6N 72.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
030900Z POSITION NEAR 12.4N 68.7E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 765 NM
SOUTHEAST OF MASIRAH ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 06
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE
IMAGERY DEPICTS DENSE OVERCAST OBSCURING THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION
CENTER. THERE IS HIGH CONFIDENCE IN THE INITIAL POSITION WHICH
IS BASED ON RECENT SATELLITE FIXES AND A 030506Z 89GHZ AMSU IMAGE
SHOWING A MICROWAVE EYE FEATURE SLIGHTLY DEGRADED ON THE EAST AND
WESTERN EDGES. THE MICROWAVE IMAGE ALSO SHOWS A SIGNIFICANT PLUME OF
COOL DRY AIR NEARLY ENVELOPING THE SYSTEM. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS
ASSESSED AT 80 KNOTS WHICH IS BASED ON CURRENT INTENSITY DVORAK
ESTIMATES RANGING FROM T 4.5 TO 5.0 (77 TO 90 KNOTS) FROM KNES AND
PGTW RESPECTIVELY. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS SHOWS A POINT SOURCE OVER
THE SYSTEM CENTER WITH A STRONG POLEWARD OUTFLOW CHANNEL FEEDING
INTO A DEEPENING TROUGH APPROACHING FROM THE WEST. TC 03B IS
TRACKING NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE WESTERN BOUNDARY OF A DEEP-LAYERED
SUBTROPICAL RIDGE ANCHORED OVER THE BAY OF BENGAL. THE CURRENT
STEERING RIDGE WILL GUIDE TC 03B NORTHWARD THEN NORTHEASTWARD
OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS IT PROGRESSES AROUND THE WESTWARD MOST
EDGE OF THE RIDGE. THE APPROACHING TROUGH WILL ENHANCE OUTFLOW OVER
THE NEXT 12 HOURS LEADING TO SLIGHT INTENSIFICATION WHICH WILL BE
FOLLOWED BY A PRONOUNCED WEAKENING TREND AS THE APPROACHING TROUGH
INCREASES VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, AND THE SURROUNDING COOLER DRY AIR
GETS ENTRAINED INTO THE SYSTEM. DUE TO THE POOR ENVIRONMENTAL
CONDITIONS TC 03B SHOULD BE NEARLY DISSIPATED BEFORE MAKING LANDFALL
OVER THE WEST COAST OF INDIA. DYNAMIC MODEL GUIDANCE SHOWS
RELATIVELY GOOD AGREEMENT AS THE SYSTEM MAKES THE TURN NORTHEASTWARD
AND DISSIPATES, THUS LENDING HIGH CONFIDENCE TO THE FORECAST TRACK.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 030600Z IS 25 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS
AT 031500Z, 032100Z, 040300Z AND 040900Z.//


Original Message :

WTIO51 PGTW 030300 RRA
WARNING ATCG MIL 03B NIO 171203014431
2017120300 03B OCKHI 014 01 310 06 SATL 030
T000 117N 0693E 095 R064 040 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 035 NW QD R050
080 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 120 SE QD
110 SW QD 120 NW QD
T012 131N 0687E 095 R064 035 NE QD 035 SE QD 035 SW QD 040 NW QD R050
065 NE QD 055 SE QD 055 SW QD 065 NW QD R034 150 NE QD 145 SE QD
110 SW QD 120 NW QD
T024 146N 0688E 085 R064 035 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 035 NW QD R050
060 NE QD 055 SE QD 045 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 145 NE QD 145 SE QD
105 SW QD 120 NW QD
T036 161N 0696E 070 R064 030 NE QD 025 SE QD 020 SW QD 030 NW QD R050
055 NE QD 050 SE QD 030 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 135 SE QD
095 SW QD 095 NW QD
T048 180N 0709E 055 R050 040 NE QD 035 SE QD 020 SW QD 030 NW QD R034
095 NE QD 100 SE QD 060 SW QD 060 NW QD
T072 216N 0730E 035
T096 247N 0747E 020
AMP
072HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
096HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI) WARNING NR 014
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI) WARNING NR 014
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
030000Z --- NEAR 11.7N 69.3E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 06 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT


Original Message :

WTIO51 PGTW 030300
WARNING ATCG MIL 03B NIO 171203014431
2017120300 03B OCKHI 014 01 310 06 SATL 030
T000 117N 0693E 095 R064 040 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 035 NW QD R050 080 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 120 SE QD 110 SW QD 120 NW QD
T012 131N 0687E 095 R064 035 NE QD 035 SE QD 035 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 065 NE QD 055 SE QD 055 SW QD 065 NW QD R034 150 NE QD 145 SE QD 110 SW QD 120 NW QD
T024 146N 0688E 085 R064 035 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 035 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 055 SE QD 045 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 145 NE QD 145 SE QD 105 SW QD 120 NW QD
T036 161N 0696E 070 R064 030 NE QD 025 SE QD 020 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 055 NE QD 050 SE QD 030 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 135 SE QD 095 SW QD 095 NW QD
T048 180N 0709E 055 R050 040 NE QD 035 SE QD 020 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 095 NE QD 100 SE QD 060 SW QD 060 NW QD
T072 216N 0730E 035
T096 247N 0747E 020
AMP
072HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
096HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI) WARNING NR 014
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI) WARNING NR 014
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
030000Z --- NEAR 11.7N 69.3E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 06 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 11.7N 69.3E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
031200Z --- 13.1N 68.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
145 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
040000Z --- 14.6N 68.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
145 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
041200Z --- 16.1N 69.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
050000Z --- 18.0N 70.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
060000Z --- 21.6N 73.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
070000Z --- 24.7N 74.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
030300Z POSITION NEAR 12.1N 69.1E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 797 NM SOUTH
OF KARACHI, PAKISTAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER
THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 030000Z IS 28 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 030900Z, 031500Z, 032100Z AND 040300Z.
//
0317112900 60N 815E 25
0317112906 62N 805E 30
0317112912 64N 796E 30
0317112918 66N 788E 35
0317113000 72N 778E 40
0317113006 78N 766E 50
0317113012 82N 758E 55
0317113012 82N 758E 55
0317113018 84N 749E 60
0317113018 84N 749E 60
0317120100 87N 741E 60
0317120100 87N 741E 60
0317120106 88N 733E 70
0317120106 88N 733E 70
0317120106 88N 733E 70
0317120112 89N 726E 70
0317120112 89N 726E 70
0317120112 89N 726E 70
0317120118 92N 720E 80
0317120118 92N 720E 80
0317120118 92N 720E 80
0317120200 94N 715E 85
0317120200 94N 715E 85
0317120200 94N 715E 85
0317120206 99N 710E 85
0317120206 99N 710E 85
0317120206 99N 710E 85
0317120212 106N 704E 95
0317120212 106N 704E 95
0317120212 106N 704E 95
0317120218 113N 698E 100
0317120218 113N 698E 100
0317120218 113N 698E 100
0317120300 117N 693E 95
0317120300 117N 693E 95
0317120300 117N 693E 95


Original Message :

WTIO31 PGTW 030300 RRA
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI) WARNING NR 014
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
030000Z --- NEAR 11.7N 69.3E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 06 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 11.7N 69.3E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
031200Z --- 13.1N 68.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT


Original Message :

WTIO31 PGTW 030300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI) WARNING NR 014
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
030000Z --- NEAR 11.7N 69.3E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 06 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 11.7N 69.3E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
031200Z --- 13.1N 68.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
145 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
040000Z --- 14.6N 68.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
145 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
041200Z --- 16.1N 69.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
050000Z --- 18.0N 70.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
060000Z --- 21.6N 73.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
070000Z --- 24.7N 74.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
030300Z POSITION NEAR 12.1N 69.1E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 797 NM SOUTH
OF KARACHI, PAKISTAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER
THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS
CONVECTIVE BANDING WRAPPING FROM THE NORTHWEST QUADRANT INTO AN
EXPANSIVE AREA OF DENSE OVERCAST THAT IS OBSCURING THE LOW LEVEL
CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). THE INITIAL POSITION IS PLACED WITH HIGH
CONFIDENCE BASED ON A THE PGTW SATELLITE FIX AND EXTRAPOLATION FROM
A 022020Z 89GHZ AMSU IMAGE SHOWING DEEP CONVECTION PREDOMINANTLY IN
THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLES. THE INITIAL INTENSITY OF 95 KNOTS IS
HEDGED SLIGHTLY ABOVE MULTI-AGENCY DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY
ESTIMATES RANGING FROM T4.5 TO T5.0 (77 TO 90 KNOTS). ENVIRONMENTAL
ANALYSIS REVEALS THAT THE SYSTEM IS CURRENTLY IN AN AREA OF MODERATE
TO HIGH (20-25 KNOTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS) AND IS TRACKING
THROUGH WARM (28- 29 CELSIUS) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. UPPER-LEVEL
ANALYSIS OF THE SYSTEM SHOWS A STRONG POLEWARD OUTFLOW CHANNEL THAT
IS BEING ENHANCED BY MID-LATITUDE WESTERLIES. TC 03B HAS CONTINUED
TO TRACK NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN EXTENT OF A
SUBTROPICAL RIDGE (STR) CURRENTLY LOCATED OVER THE BAY OF BENGAL.
THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO SHIFT ITS TRACK INITIALLY TO THE NORTH
OVER THE NEXT TWELVE HOURS AND THEN BACK TO THE NORTHEAST BY TAU 24
AS IT ROUNDS THE AXIS OF THE STEERING STR. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN
TRACK TO THE NORTHEAST, MAKING LANDFALL SHORTLY BEFORE TAU 72, NORTH
OF MUMBAI IN THE GULF OF KHAMBHAT. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE
BECOMING MARGINALLY UNFAVORABLE AS VWS FROM AN APPROACHING TROUGH
BEGINS TO INCREASE AND HAS BEGUN TO WEAKEN TC OCKHI. INCREASING VWS
COMBINED WITH DECREASING ALONG TRACK SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES AND
DRY AIR ENTRAINMENT WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN THE SYSTEM FOR THE
DURATION OF THE FORECAST. AFTER LANDFALL, INTERACTION WITH THE
RUGGED TERRAIN WILL FULLY DISSIPATE THE SYSTEM BY TAU 96. DYNAMIC
MODEL GUIDANCE REMAINS IN TIGHT AGREEMENT THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST
PERIOD LENDING OVERALL HIGH CONFIDENCE IN THE JTWC TRACK FORECAST.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 030000Z IS 28 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 030900Z, 031500Z, 032100Z AND 040300Z.//


Original Message :

WTIO51 PGTW 022100 RRA
WARNING ATCG MIL 03B NIO 171202195430
2017120218 03B OCKHI 013 01 320 09 SATL 030
T000 113N 0698E 100 R064 035 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 025 NW QD R050
070 NE QD 055 SE QD 040 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 135 NE QD 110 SE QD
095 SW QD 100 NW QD
T012 127N 0689E 105 R064 035 NE QD 040 SE QD 035 SW QD 040 NW QD R050
070 NE QD 055 SE QD 055 SW QD 065 NW QD R034 155 NE QD 150 SE QD
110 SW QD 125 NW QD
T024 142N 0686E 100 R064 035 NE QD 035 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R050
060 NE QD 055 SE QD 055 SW QD 065 NW QD R034 155 NE QD 155 SE QD
105 SW QD 130 NW QD
T036 155N 0692E 090 R064 035 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 035 NW QD R050
055 NE QD 055 SE QD 045 SW QD 055 NW QD R034 145 NE QD 150 SE QD
100 SW QD 115 NW QD
T048 169N 0700E 075 R064 030 NE QD 035 SE QD 020 SW QD 015 NW QD R050
035 NE QD 040 SE QD 020 SW QD 025 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 115 SE QD
085 SW QD 090 NW QD
T072 204N 0722E 045 R034 100 NE QD 095 SE QD 065 SW QD 070 NW QD
T096 239N 0741E 030
AMP
072HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
096HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI) WARNING NR 013
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI) WARNING NR 013
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
021800Z --- NEAR 11.3N 69.8E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 320 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT


Original Message :

WTIO51 PGTW 022100
WARNING ATCG MIL 03B NIO 171202195430
2017120218 03B OCKHI 013 01 320 09 SATL 030
T000 113N 0698E 100 R064 035 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 025 NW QD R050 070 NE QD 055 SE QD 040 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 135 NE QD 110 SE QD 095 SW QD 100 NW QD
T012 127N 0689E 105 R064 035 NE QD 040 SE QD 035 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 070 NE QD 055 SE QD 055 SW QD 065 NW QD R034 155 NE QD 150 SE QD 110 SW QD 125 NW QD
T024 142N 0686E 100 R064 035 NE QD 035 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 055 SE QD 055 SW QD 065 NW QD R034 155 NE QD 155 SE QD 105 SW QD 130 NW QD
T036 155N 0692E 090 R064 035 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 035 NW QD R050 055 NE QD 055 SE QD 045 SW QD 055 NW QD R034 145 NE QD 150 SE QD 100 SW QD 115 NW QD
T048 169N 0700E 075 R064 030 NE QD 035 SE QD 020 SW QD 015 NW QD R050 035 NE QD 040 SE QD 020 SW QD 025 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 115 SE QD 085 SW QD 090 NW QD
T072 204N 0722E 045 R034 100 NE QD 095 SE QD 065 SW QD 070 NW QD
T096 239N 0741E 030
AMP
072HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
096HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI) WARNING NR 013
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI) WARNING NR 013
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
021800Z --- NEAR 11.3N 69.8E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 320 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 11.3N 69.8E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
030600Z --- 12.7N 68.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
031800Z --- 14.2N 68.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
155 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
040600Z --- 15.5N 69.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
041800Z --- 16.9N 70.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
051800Z --- 20.4N 72.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
061800Z --- 23.9N 74.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
022100Z POSITION NEAR 11.6N 69.6E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 826 NM SOUTH-
SOUTHEAST OF KARACHI, PAKISTAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 09
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 021800Z IS 28 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 030300Z, 030900Z, 031500Z AND 032100Z.
//
0317112900 60N 815E 25
0317112906 62N 805E 30
0317112912 64N 796E 30
0317112918 66N 788E 35
0317113000 72N 778E 40
0317113006 78N 766E 50
0317113012 82N 758E 55
0317113012 82N 758E 55
0317113018 84N 749E 60
0317113018 84N 749E 60
0317120100 87N 741E 60
0317120100 87N 741E 60
0317120106 88N 733E 70
0317120106 88N 733E 70
0317120106 88N 733E 70
0317120112 89N 726E 70
0317120112 89N 726E 70
0317120112 89N 726E 70
0317120118 92N 720E 80
0317120118 92N 720E 80
0317120118 92N 720E 80
0317120200 94N 715E 85
0317120200 94N 715E 85
0317120200 94N 715E 85
0317120206 99N 710E 85
0317120206 99N 710E 85
0317120206 99N 710E 85
0317120212 106N 704E 95
0317120212 106N 704E 95
0317120212 106N 704E 95
0317120218 113N 698E 100
0317120218 113N 698E 100
0317120218 113N 698E 100


Original Message :

WTIO31 PGTW 022100 RRA
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI) WARNING NR 013
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
021800Z --- NEAR 11.3N 69.8E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 320 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 11.3N 69.8E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
030600Z --- 12.7N 68.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT


Original Message :

WTIO31 PGTW 022100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI) WARNING NR 013
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
021800Z --- NEAR 11.3N 69.8E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 320 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 11.3N 69.8E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
030600Z --- 12.7N 68.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
031800Z --- 14.2N 68.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
155 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
040600Z --- 15.5N 69.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
041800Z --- 16.9N 70.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
051800Z --- 20.4N 72.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
061800Z --- 23.9N 74.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
022100Z POSITION NEAR 11.6N 69.6E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 826 NM SOUTH-
SOUTHEAST OF KARACHI, PAKISTAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 09
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY
DEPICTS EXTENSIVE CONVECTIVE BANDING ALONG THE WESTERN EDGE WRAPPING
INTO A BROAD AREA OF DENSE OVERCAST THAT IS OBSCURING THE LOW LEVEL
CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). THE INITIAL POSITION IS PLACED WITH HIGH
CONFIDENCE BASED ON A 021632Z 89GHZ AMSU IMAGE SHOWING DEEP
CONVECTION WRAPPING INTO THE LLCC FROM THE WESTERN AND SOUTHERN SEMI-
CIRCLES. THE INITIAL INTENSITY OF 100 KNOTS IS BASED ON MULTI-AGENCY
DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES RANGING FROM T4.5 TO T5.5 (77 TO
102 KNOTS) AND A SATCON ESTIMATE OF 98 KNOTS. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS
SHOWS THAT THE SYSTEM IS IN AN AREA OF LOW TO MODERATE (15-20 KNOTS)
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS) AND IS TRACKING THROUGH WARM (29 CELSISU)
SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS REVEALS THE SYSTEM
HAS A STRONG POLEWARD OUTFLOW CHANNEL THAT IS TAPPING INTO MID-
LATITUDE WESTERLIES. TC 03B IS CURRENTLY TRACKING NORTHWESTWARD
ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN BOUNDARY OF A SUBTROPICAL RIDGE (STR) LOCATED
OVER THE BAY OF BENGAL. THE STR WILL REMAIN THE PRIMARY STEERING
FEATURE FOR THE DURATION OF THE FORECAST. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO
TRACK TO THE NORTH-NORTHWEST THROUGH TAU 24, AFTER WHICH THE SYSTEM
WILL ROUND THE STR AXIS AND TRACK TO THE NORTH EAST TOWARDS CENTRAL
INDIA. FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST FOR THE NEXT
12 TO 24 HOURS HOURS ALLOWING TC 03B TO REACH A PEAK INTENSITY OF
105 KNOTS BY TAU 12. AFTER TAU 12, THE SYSTEM WILL BEGIN A WEAKENING
TREND AS A TROUGH MOVES INTO THE REGION INDUCING VWS AND TC 03B
TRACKS INTO COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. ADDITIONALLY, DRY
CONTINENTAL AIR WILL BE ENTRAINED INTO THE SYSTEM CAUSING FURTHER
WEAKENING. TC 03B IS FORECAST TO MAKE LANDFALL NORTH OF MUMBAI NEAR
THE GULF OF KHAMBHAT. INTERACTION WITH TERRAIN WILL DISSIPATE THE
SYSTEM BY TAU 96. DYNAMIC MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT
THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD LENDING HIGH CONFIDENCE IN THE JTWC
TRACK FORECAST. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 021800Z IS 28
FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 030300Z, 030900Z, 031500Z AND 032100Z.//


Original Message :

WTIO51 PGTW 021500 RRA
WARNING ATCG MIL 03B NIO 171202142159
2017120212 03B OCKHI 012 01 320 09 SATL 035
T000 106N 0704E 095 R064 035 NE QD 025 SE QD 025 SW QD 030 NW QD R050
070 NE QD 050 SE QD 045 SW QD 055 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 100 SE QD
095 SW QD 110 NW QD
T012 120N 0691E 100 R064 025 NE QD 025 SE QD 025 SW QD 025 NW QD R050
055 NE QD 050 SE QD 050 SW QD 055 NW QD R034 145 NE QD 115 SE QD
095 SW QD 115 NW QD
T024 132N 0684E 100 R064 025 NE QD 025 SE QD 030 SW QD 025 NW QD R050
050 NE QD 045 SE QD 050 SW QD 055 NW QD R034 145 NE QD 115 SE QD
095 SW QD 120 NW QD
T036 148N 0686E 090 R064 035 NE QD 035 SE QD 035 SW QD 030 NW QD R050
050 NE QD 045 SE QD 040 SW QD 055 NW QD R034 135 NE QD 125 SE QD
095 SW QD 115 NW QD
T048 162N 0695E 075 R064 025 NE QD 020 SE QD 015 SW QD 020 NW QD R050
045 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 035 NW QD R034 125 NE QD 115 SE QD
090 SW QD 105 NW QD
T072 193N 0717E 050 R050 060 NE QD 020 SE QD 015 SW QD 030 NW QD R034
065 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW QD 075 NW QD
T096 219N 0731E 030
AMP
072HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
096HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI) WARNING NR 012
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI) WARNING NR 012
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
021200Z --- NEAR 10.6N 70.4E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 320 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 035 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE


Original Message :

WTIO51 PGTW 021500
WARNING ATCG MIL 03B NIO 171202142159
2017120212 03B OCKHI 012 01 320 09 SATL 035
T000 106N 0704E 095 R064 035 NE QD 025 SE QD 025 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 070 NE QD 050 SE QD 045 SW QD 055 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 100 SE QD 095 SW QD 110 NW QD
T012 120N 0691E 100 R064 025 NE QD 025 SE QD 025 SW QD 025 NW QD R050 055 NE QD 050 SE QD 050 SW QD 055 NW QD R034 145 NE QD 115 SE QD 095 SW QD 115 NW QD
T024 132N 0684E 100 R064 025 NE QD 025 SE QD 030 SW QD 025 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 045 SE QD 050 SW QD 055 NW QD R034 145 NE QD 115 SE QD 095 SW QD 120 NW QD
T036 148N 0686E 090 R064 035 NE QD 035 SE QD 035 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 045 SE QD 040 SW QD 055 NW QD R034 135 NE QD 125 SE QD 095 SW QD 115 NW QD
T048 162N 0695E 075 R064 025 NE QD 020 SE QD 015 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 045 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 035 NW QD R034 125 NE QD 115 SE QD 090 SW QD 105 NW QD
T072 193N 0717E 050 R050 060 NE QD 020 SE QD 015 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 065 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW QD 075 NW QD
T096 219N 0731E 030
AMP
072HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
096HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI) WARNING NR 012
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI) WARNING NR 012
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
021200Z --- NEAR 10.6N 70.4E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 320 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 035 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 10.6N 70.4E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
030000Z --- 12.0N 69.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
031200Z --- 13.2N 68.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
040000Z --- 14.8N 68.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
041200Z --- 16.2N 69.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
051200Z --- 19.3N 71.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
061200Z --- 21.9N 73.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
021500Z POSITION NEAR 10.9N 70.1E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1069 NM NORTH
OF DIEGO GARCIA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE
PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 021200Z IS 27 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 022100Z, 030300Z, 030900Z AND 031500Z.
//
0317112900 60N 815E 25
0317112906 62N 805E 30
0317112912 64N 796E 30
0317112918 66N 788E 35
0317113000 72N 778E 40
0317113006 78N 766E 50
0317113012 82N 758E 55
0317113012 82N 758E 55
0317113018 84N 749E 60
0317113018 84N 749E 60
0317120100 87N 741E 60
0317120100 87N 741E 60
0317120106 88N 733E 70
0317120106 88N 733E 70
0317120106 88N 733E 70
0317120112 89N 726E 70
0317120112 89N 726E 70
0317120112 89N 726E 70
0317120118 92N 720E 80
0317120118 92N 720E 80
0317120118 92N 720E 80
0317120200 94N 715E 85
0317120200 94N 715E 85
0317120200 94N 715E 85
0317120206 99N 710E 85
0317120206 99N 710E 85
0317120206 99N 710E 85
0317120212 106N 704E 95
0317120212 106N 704E 95
0317120212 106N 704E 95


Original Message :

WTIO31 PGTW 021500 RRA
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI) WARNING NR 012//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI) WARNING NR 012
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTH IO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
021200Z --- NEAR 10.6N 70.4E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 320 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 035 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 10.6N 70.4E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
030000Z --- 12.0N 69.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT


Original Message :

WTIO31 PGTW 021500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI) WARNING NR 012//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI) WARNING NR 012
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTH IO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
021200Z --- NEAR 10.6N 70.4E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 320 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 035 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 10.6N 70.4E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
030000Z --- 12.0N 69.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
031200Z --- 13.2N 68.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
040000Z --- 14.8N 68.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
041200Z --- 16.2N 69.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
051200Z --- 19.3N 71.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
061200Z --- 21.9N 73.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
021500Z POSITION NEAR 10.9N 70.1E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1069 NM NORTH
OF DIEGO GARCIA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE
PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A
BROAD AREA OF DENSE OVERCAST OBSCURING THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION
CENTER AND FILLING IN THE PREVIOUS EYE FEATURE. THERE IS HIGH
CONFIDENCE IN THE INITIAL POSITION BASED ON A 021115Z 89GHZ AMSU
IMAGE SHOWING RING OF CONVECTION SOMEWHAT WEAKER ON THE NORTHERN
EDGE. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS ASSESSED AT 95 KNOTS WHICH IS BASED
ON MULTI-AGENCY DVORAK ESTIMATES RANGING FROM T4.5 TO T5.5 (77 TO
102 KNOTS) AND A 021113Z SATCON ESTIMATE OF 103 KNOTS. UPPER-LEVEL
ANALYSIS SHOWS A WEAK ANTICYCLONE DEVELOPING OVER THE SYSTEM CENTER
WITH IMPROVING VERTICAL SHEAR. SSTS IN THE REGION ARE ALSO VERY
FAVORABLE NEAR 29 TO 30 CELSIUS. CURRENTLY TC 03B IS TRACKING
NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN BOUNDARY OF A SUBTROPICAL RIDGE
ANCHORED OVER THE BAY OF BENGAL. THIS RIDGE WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE
FORECAST PERIOD KEEPING THE SYSTEM ON A NORTHWESTWARD TRACK FOLLOWED
BY A TURN TO THE NORTHEAST AROUND TAU 24 TO 36 AS IT ROUNDS THE
RIDGE AXIS. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR THE
NEXT 36 HOURS AND TC 03B WILL REACH A PEAK INTENSITY OF 100 KNOTS BY
TAU 12. SHORTLY AFTER TAU 48 A WEAKENING TREND WILL BEGIN AS SSTS IN
THE REGION BEGIN TO DECREASE AND A TROUGH MOVES INTO THE REGION
INDUCING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. COOLER AND DRYER CONTINENTAL AIR WILL
ALSO BEGIN FEEDING INTO THE SYSTEM AROUND THIS TIME AS 03B CONTINUES
TO TRACK POLEWARD AND WEAKENS FURTHER. TC 03B IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN
SIGNIFICANTLY BEFORE MAKING LANDFALL OVER THE WEST COAST OF INDIA
JUST BEFORE TAU 96. DYNAMIC MODEL GUIDANCE SHOWS RELATIVELY GOOD
GROUPING AND CONSISTENCY THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD, AND WITH THE
FORECAST TRACK NEAR THE MULTI-MODEL CONSENSUS WITH HIGH CONFIDENCE.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 021200Z IS 27 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 022100Z, 030300Z, 030900Z AND 031500Z.//


Original Message :

WTIO51 PGTW 020900 RRA
WARNING ATCG MIL 03B NIO 171202081523
2017120206 03B OCKHI 011 01 315 07 SATL 020
T000 099N 0710E 085 R064 035 NE QD 025 SE QD 025 SW QD 030 NW QD R050
070 NE QD 050 SE QD 045 SW QD 055 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 100 SE QD
095 SW QD 110 NW QD
T012 112N 0699E 090 R064 025 NE QD 030 SE QD 025 SW QD 025 NW QD R050
050 NE QD 055 SE QD 055 SW QD 055 NW QD R034 145 NE QD 125 SE QD
100 SW QD 115 NW QD
T024 124N 0688E 090 R064 025 NE QD 030 SE QD 025 SW QD 020 NW QD R050
050 NE QD 050 SE QD 050 SW QD 055 NW QD R034 150 NE QD 135 SE QD
095 SW QD 120 NW QD
T036 137N 0686E 090 R064 025 NE QD 025 SE QD 025 SW QD 025 NW QD R050
060 NE QD 055 SE QD 045 SW QD 055 NW QD R034 145 NE QD 130 SE QD
100 SW QD 120 NW QD
T048 150N 0691E 085 R064 030 NE QD 025 SE QD 025 SW QD 030 NW QD R050
065 NE QD 045 SE QD 040 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 135 NE QD 130 SE QD
095 SW QD 115 NW QD
T072 183N 0707E 050 R050 060 NE QD 020 SE QD 015 SW QD 030 NW QD R034
100 NE QD 095 SE QD 060 SW QD 065 NW QD
T096 211N 0723E 030
T120 234N 0737E 015
AMP
096HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
120HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI) WARNING NR 011
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI) WARNING NR 011
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
020600Z --- NEAR 9.9N 71.0E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 07 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE


Original Message :

WTIO51 PGTW 020900
WARNING ATCG MIL 03B NIO 171202081523
2017120206 03B OCKHI 011 01 315 07 SATL 020
T000 099N 0710E 085 R064 035 NE QD 025 SE QD 025 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 070 NE QD 050 SE QD 045 SW QD 055 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 100 SE QD 095 SW QD 110 NW QD
T012 112N 0699E 090 R064 025 NE QD 030 SE QD 025 SW QD 025 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 055 SE QD 055 SW QD 055 NW QD R034 145 NE QD 125 SE QD 100 SW QD 115 NW QD
T024 124N 0688E 090 R064 025 NE QD 030 SE QD 025 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 050 SE QD 050 SW QD 055 NW QD R034 150 NE QD 135 SE QD 095 SW QD 120 NW QD
T036 137N 0686E 090 R064 025 NE QD 025 SE QD 025 SW QD 025 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 055 SE QD 045 SW QD 055 NW QD R034 145 NE QD 130 SE QD 100 SW QD 120 NW QD
T048 150N 0691E 085 R064 030 NE QD 025 SE QD 025 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 065 NE QD 045 SE QD 040 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 135 NE QD 130 SE QD 095 SW QD 115 NW QD
T072 183N 0707E 050 R050 060 NE QD 020 SE QD 015 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 095 SE QD 060 SW QD 065 NW QD
T096 211N 0723E 030
T120 234N 0737E 015
AMP
096HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
120HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI) WARNING NR 011
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI) WARNING NR 011
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
020600Z --- NEAR 9.9N 71.0E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 07 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 9.9N 71.0E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
021800Z --- 11.2N 69.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
030600Z --- 12.4N 68.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
031800Z --- 13.7N 68.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
040600Z --- 15.0N 69.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
050600Z --- 18.3N 70.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
060600Z --- 21.1N 72.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
070600Z --- 23.4N 73.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 015 KT, GUSTS 025 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
020900Z POSITION NEAR 10.2N 70.7E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1024 NM NORTH
OF DIEGO GARCIA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE
PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 020600Z IS 22 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 021500Z, 022100Z, 030300Z AND 030900Z.
//
0317112900 60N 815E 25
0317112906 62N 805E 30
0317112912 64N 796E 30
0317112918 66N 788E 35
0317113000 72N 778E 40
0317113006 78N 766E 50
0317113012 82N 758E 55
0317113012 82N 758E 55
0317113018 84N 749E 60
0317113018 84N 749E 60
0317120100 87N 741E 60
0317120100 87N 741E 60
0317120106 88N 733E 70
0317120106 88N 733E 70
0317120106 88N 733E 70
0317120112 89N 726E 70
0317120112 89N 726E 70
0317120112 89N 726E 70
0317120118 92N 720E 80
0317120118 92N 720E 80
0317120118 92N 720E 80
0317120200 94N 715E 85
0317120200 94N 715E 85
0317120200 94N 715E 85
0317120206 99N 710E 85
0317120206 99N 710E 85
0317120206 99N 710E 85


Original Message :

WTIO31 PGTW 020900 RRA
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI) WARNING NR 011//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI) WARNING NR 011
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTH IO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
020600Z --- NEAR 9.9N 71.0E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 07 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 9.9N 71.0E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
021800Z --- 11.2N 69.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT


Original Message :

WTIO31 PGTW 020900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI) WARNING NR 011//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI) WARNING NR 011
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTH IO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
020600Z --- NEAR 9.9N 71.0E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 07 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 9.9N 71.0E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
021800Z --- 11.2N 69.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
030600Z --- 12.4N 68.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
031800Z --- 13.7N 68.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
040600Z --- 15.0N 69.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
050600Z --- 18.3N 70.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
060600Z --- 21.1N 72.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
070600Z --- 23.4N 73.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 015 KT, GUSTS 025 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
020900Z POSITION NEAR 10.2N 70.7E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1024 NM NORTH
OF DIEGO GARCIA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE
PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A
STRONG CONVECTIVE BANDING FEATURES WRAPPING INTO A 15NM RAGGED EYE
FEATURE. THERE IS HIGH CONFIDENCE IN THE INITIAL POSITION BASED ON
THE SYSTEM EYE AND A PARTIAL 020626Z 89GHZ GMI IMAGE SHOWING A RING
OF CONVECTION SOMEWHAT WEAKER ON THE NORTHERN EDGE. THE INITIAL
INTENSITY IS ASSESSED AT 85 KNOTS WHICH IS BASED ON MULTI-AGENCY
DVORAK ESTIMATES OF T4.5 (77 KNOTS) AND A 020301Z SATCON ESTIMATE OF
86 KNOTS. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS SHOWS A WEAK ANTICYCLONE OVER THE
SYSTEM CENTER WITH IMPROVING VERTICAL SHEAR. SSTS IN THE REGION ARE
ALSO VERY FAVORABLE NEAR 29 TO 30 CELSIUS. CURRENTLY TC 03B IS
TRACKING NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN BOUNDARY OF A
SUBTROPICAL RIDGE ANCHORED OVER THE BAY OF BENGAL. THIS RIDGE WILL
PERSIST THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD KEEPING THE SYSTEM ON A
NORTHWESTWARD TRACK FOLLOWED BY A TURN TO THE NORTHEAST AROUND TAU
24 TO 36 AS IT ROUNDS THE RIDGE AXIS. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS WILL
REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR THE NEXT 48 HOURS AND TC 03B WILL REACH A PEAK
INTENSITY OF 90 KNOTS BY TAU 12. SHORTLY AFTER TAU 48 A WEAKENING
TREND WILL BEGIN AS SSTS IN THE REGION BEGIN TO DECREASE AND A
TROUGH MOVES INTO THE REGION INDUCING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. COOLER
AND DRYER CONTINENTAL AIR WILL ALSO BEGIN FEEDING INTO THE SYSTEM
AROUND THIS TIME AS 03B TRACKS FURTHER POLEWARD AND WEAKENS FURTHER.
TC 03B IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN SIGNIFICANTLY BEFORE MAKING LANDFALL
OVER THE WEST COAST OF INDIA JUST AFTER TAU 96. DYNAMIC MODEL
GUIDANCE SHOWS RELATIVELY GOOD GROUPING AND CONSISTENCY THROUGH THE
FORECAST PERIOD, AND WITH THE FORECAST TRACK NEAR THE MULTI-MODEL
CONSENSUS WITH HIGH CONFIDENCE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT
020600Z IS 22 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 021500Z, 022100Z, 030300Z AND
030900Z.//


Original Message :

WTIO51 PGTW 020300 RRA
WARNING ATCG MIL 03B NIO 171202013018
2017120200 03B OCKHI 010 01 290 05 SATL 060
T000 094N 0715E 085 R064 035 NE QD 025 SE QD 025 SW QD 030 NW QD R050
070 NE QD 050 SE QD 045 SW QD 055 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 100 SE QD
095 SW QD 110 NW QD
T012 102N 0705E 090 R064 020 NE QD 025 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R050
060 NE QD 055 SE QD 050 SW QD 055 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 135 SE QD
105 SW QD 120 NW QD
T024 113N 0695E 095 R064 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R050
060 NE QD 050 SE QD 050 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 155 NE QD 140 SE QD
100 SW QD 120 NW QD
T036 129N 0690E 095 R064 035 NE QD 035 SE QD 035 SW QD 035 NW QD R050
060 NE QD 050 SE QD 050 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 150 NE QD 140 SE QD
100 SW QD 120 NW QD
T048 144N 0692E 090 R064 035 NE QD 030 SE QD 035 SW QD 035 NW QD R050
055 NE QD 045 SE QD 045 SW QD 065 NW QD R034 145 NE QD 135 SE QD
095 SW QD 125 NW QD
T072 177N 0707E 055 R050 030 NE QD 020 SE QD 025 SW QD 025 NW QD R034
100 NE QD 090 SE QD 070 SW QD 085 NW QD
T096 198N 0715E 035 R034 060 NE QD 055 SE QD 035 SW QD 045 NW QD
T120 218N 0716E 020
AMP
096HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
120HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI) WARNING NR 010
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI) WARNING NR 010
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
020000Z --- NEAR 9.4N 71.5E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 05 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM


Original Message :

WTIO51 PGTW 020300
WARNING ATCG MIL 03B NIO 171202013018
2017120200 03B OCKHI 010 01 290 05 SATL 060
T000 094N 0715E 085 R064 035 NE QD 025 SE QD 025 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 070 NE QD 050 SE QD 045 SW QD 055 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 100 SE QD 095 SW QD 110 NW QD
T012 102N 0705E 090 R064 020 NE QD 025 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 055 SE QD 050 SW QD 055 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 135 SE QD 105 SW QD 120 NW QD
T024 113N 0695E 095 R064 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 050 SE QD 050 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 155 NE QD 140 SE QD 100 SW QD 120 NW QD
T036 129N 0690E 095 R064 035 NE QD 035 SE QD 035 SW QD 035 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 050 SE QD 050 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 150 NE QD 140 SE QD 100 SW QD 120 NW QD
T048 144N 0692E 090 R064 035 NE QD 030 SE QD 035 SW QD 035 NW QD R050 055 NE QD 045 SE QD 045 SW QD 065 NW QD R034 145 NE QD 135 SE QD 095 SW QD 125 NW QD
T072 177N 0707E 055 R050 030 NE QD 020 SE QD 025 SW QD 025 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 090 SE QD 070 SW QD 085 NW QD
T096 198N 0715E 035 R034 060 NE QD 055 SE QD 035 SW QD 045 NW QD
T120 218N 0716E 020
AMP
096HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
120HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI) WARNING NR 010
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI) WARNING NR 010
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
020000Z --- NEAR 9.4N 71.5E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 05 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 9.4N 71.5E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
021200Z --- 10.2N 70.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
030000Z --- 11.3N 69.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
031200Z --- 12.9N 69.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
040000Z --- 14.4N 69.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
050000Z --- 17.7N 70.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
060000Z --- 19.8N 71.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
070000Z --- 21.8N 71.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
020300Z POSITION NEAR 9.6N 71.2E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 959 NM SOUTH-
SOUTHEAST OF KARACHI, PAKISTAN, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT
05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 020000Z IS 25 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 020900Z, 021500Z, 022100Z AND 030300Z.//
0317112900 60N 815E 25
0317112906 62N 805E 30
0317112912 64N 796E 30
0317112918 66N 788E 35
0317113000 72N 778E 40
0317113006 78N 766E 50
0317113012 82N 758E 55
0317113012 82N 758E 55
0317113018 84N 749E 60
0317113018 84N 749E 60
0317120100 87N 741E 60
0317120100 87N 741E 60
0317120106 88N 733E 70
0317120106 88N 733E 70
0317120106 88N 733E 70
0317120112 89N 726E 70
0317120112 89N 726E 70
0317120112 89N 726E 70
0317120118 92N 720E 80
0317120118 92N 720E 80
0317120118 92N 720E 80
0317120200 94N 715E 85
0317120200 94N 715E 85
0317120200 94N 715E 85


Original Message :

WTIO31 PGTW 020300 RRA
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI) WARNING NR 010//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI) WARNING NR 010
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
020000Z --- NEAR 9.4N 71.5E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 05 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 9.4N 71.5E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
021200Z --- 10.2N 70.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT


Original Message :

WTIO31 PGTW 020300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI) WARNING NR 010//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI) WARNING NR 010
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
020000Z --- NEAR 9.4N 71.5E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 05 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 9.4N 71.5E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
021200Z --- 10.2N 70.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
030000Z --- 11.3N 69.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
031200Z --- 12.9N 69.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
040000Z --- 14.4N 69.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
050000Z --- 17.7N 70.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
060000Z --- 19.8N 71.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
070000Z --- 21.8N 71.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
020300Z POSITION NEAR 9.6N 71.2E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 959 NM SOUTH-
SOUTHEAST OF KARACHI, PAKISTAN, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 05
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY
SHOWS A STEADILY INTENSIFYING SYSTEM, WITH A 21NM EYE DEVELOPING
OVER THE PAST COUPLE OF HOURS. THE INITIAL POSITION IS PLACED WITH
HIGH CONFIDENCE BASED ON THE EYE FEATURE IN BOTH THE INFRARED
IMAGERY AS WELL AS A 012257Z SSMSI 91GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE DEPICTING
THE RELATIVELY LARGE EYE. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS ASSESSED AT 85
KNOTS, BASED ON DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF T4.5 (77
KNOTS) FROM PGTW HEDGED SLIGHTLY HIGHER BASED ON AUTOMATED DVORAK
TECHNIQUE (ADT) ESTIMATES OF T5.3 (97 KNOTS) AND SATELLITE CONSENSUS
ESTIMATES OF 90 KNOTS. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS CONTINUES TO SHOW THAT
TC 03B LIES IN AN OVERALL FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT. VERTICAL WIND SHEAR
IS STILL MODERATE TO HIGH (20 TO 25 KNOTS), BUT THE SHEAR VECTOR
REMAINS IN PHASE WITH THE STORM MOTION, LEADING TO LOW RELATIVE
SHEAR VALUES. UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW REMAINS ROBUST, AS THE SYSTEM LIES
UNDER A DIVERGENT PATTERN, PROVIDING OUTFLOW TO THE SOUTHWEST, WEST,
AND NORTH. THE SYSTEM IS TRACKING OVER A BAND OF HIGH SEA SURFACE
TEMPERATURES (30-31 DEGREES CELSIUS), ALLOWING THE SYSTEM TO
CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY. TC 03B WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK NORTHWESTWARD
AND INTENSIFY THROUGH TAU 36, AS IT ROUNDS THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF
THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE LOCATED OVER THE BAY OF BENGAL. BY TAU 48, TC
03B WILL ROUND THE RIDGE AXIS AND BEGIN TO TRANSIT TO THE NORTHEAST
AHEAD OF A DEEP-LAYER TROUGH APPROACHING FROM THE NORTHWEST. THE
SYSTEM WILL REACH A PEAK INTENSITY OF 95 KNOTS BY TAU 24. AFTER TAU
48, THE SYSTEM WILL BEGIN A RAPID WEAKENING TREND, AS UPPER LEVEL
MASS CONVERGENCE FROM THE SOUTHWEST SMOTHERS THE OUTFLOW AND DRY AIR
BEGINS TO ENTRAIN INTO THE SYSTEM FROM THE WEST. THE SYSTEM IS
FORECAST TO MAKE LANDFALL OVER WESTERN INDIA AS A VERY WEAK TROPICAL
CYCLONE BEFORE FULLY DISSIPATING. MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT
THROUGH TAU 72, BUT BEGIN TO DIVERGE SIGNIFICANTLY THEREAFTER, WITH
THE EUROPEAN MODELS INDICATING COMPLETE DISSIPATION BY TAU 96 WITH
THE REMNANTS TRACKING WESTWARD UNDER INFLUENCE OF THE LOW LEVEL
FLOW. THE US MODELS SHOW THE SYSTEM MAKING LANDFALL AS A WEAK
TROPICAL CYCLONE BEFORE DISSIPATING OVER LAND. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST
IN LINE WITH THE MULTI-MODEL CONSENSUS, BUT MOVED FURTHER LEFT IN
LIGHT OF THE POTENTIAL DISSIPATION SCENARIO. OVERALL THERE IS STILL
HIGH CONFIDENCE IN THE FORECAST TRACK, WITH DECREASING CONFIDENCE IN
THE EXTENDED TAUS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 020000Z IS 25
FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 020900Z, 021500Z, 022100Z AND 030300Z.//


Original Message :

WTIO51 PGTW 012100 RRA
WARNING ATCG MIL 03B NIO 171201193922
2017120118 03B OCKHI 009 01 295 07 SATL 060
T000 092N 0720E 080 R064 025 NE QD 025 SE QD 025 SW QD 000 NW QD R050
040 NE QD 055 SE QD 045 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 105 SE QD
100 SW QD 085 NW QD
T012 100N 0710E 085 R064 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 025 NW QD R050
055 NE QD 060 SE QD 060 SW QD 055 NW QD R034 150 NE QD 125 SE QD
110 SW QD 125 NW QD
T024 111N 0698E 090 R064 025 NE QD 030 SE QD 035 SW QD 030 NW QD R050
055 NE QD 060 SE QD 055 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 165 NE QD 125 SE QD
110 SW QD 135 NW QD
T036 126N 0690E 090 R064 025 NE QD 030 SE QD 035 SW QD 030 NW QD R050
055 NE QD 055 SE QD 055 SW QD 070 NW QD R034 160 NE QD 145 SE QD
110 SW QD 135 NW QD
T048 142N 0688E 080 R064 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R050
055 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW QD 075 NW QD R034 155 NE QD 155 SE QD
110 SW QD 135 NW QD
T072 173N 0705E 055 R050 025 NE QD 020 SE QD 030 SW QD 040 NW QD R034
120 NE QD 145 SE QD 085 SW QD 110 NW QD
T096 206N 0719E 035 R034 065 NE QD 045 SE QD 050 SW QD 065 NW QD
T120 239N 0728E 020
AMP
096HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
120HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI) WARNING NR 009
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI) WARNING NR 009
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
011800Z --- NEAR 9.2N 72.0E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 07 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM


Original Message :

WTIO31 PGTW 012100 RRA
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI) WARNING NR 009
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
011800Z --- NEAR 9.2N 72.0E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 07 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 9.2N 72.0E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
020600Z --- 10.0N 71.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT


Original Message :

WTIO51 PGTW 012100
WARNING ATCG MIL 03B NIO 171201193922
2017120118 03B OCKHI 009 01 295 07 SATL 060
T000 092N 0720E 080 R064 025 NE QD 025 SE QD 025 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 055 SE QD 045 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 105 SE QD 100 SW QD 085 NW QD
T012 100N 0710E 085 R064 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 025 NW QD R050 055 NE QD 060 SE QD 060 SW QD 055 NW QD R034 150 NE QD 125 SE QD 110 SW QD 125 NW QD
T024 111N 0698E 090 R064 025 NE QD 030 SE QD 035 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 055 NE QD 060 SE QD 055 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 165 NE QD 125 SE QD 110 SW QD 135 NW QD
T036 126N 0690E 090 R064 025 NE QD 030 SE QD 035 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 055 NE QD 055 SE QD 055 SW QD 070 NW QD R034 160 NE QD 145 SE QD 110 SW QD 135 NW QD
T048 142N 0688E 080 R064 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 055 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW QD 075 NW QD R034 155 NE QD 155 SE QD 110 SW QD 135 NW QD
T072 173N 0705E 055 R050 025 NE QD 020 SE QD 030 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 145 SE QD 085 SW QD 110 NW QD
T096 206N 0719E 035 R034 065 NE QD 045 SE QD 050 SW QD 065 NW QD
T120 239N 0728E 020
AMP
096HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
120HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI) WARNING NR 009
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI) WARNING NR 009
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
011800Z --- NEAR 9.2N 72.0E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 07 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 9.2N 72.0E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
020600Z --- 10.0N 71.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
021800Z --- 11.1N 69.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
030600Z --- 12.6N 69.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
145 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
031800Z --- 14.2N 68.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
155 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
041800Z --- 17.3N 70.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
145 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
051800Z --- 20.6N 71.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
061800Z --- 23.9N 72.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
012100Z POSITION NEAR 9.4N 71.7E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 979 NM SOUTH-
SOUTHEAST OF KARACHI, PAKISTAN, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT
07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 011800Z IS 22 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 020300Z, 020900Z, 021500Z AND 022100Z.
//
0317112900 60N 815E 25
0317112906 62N 805E 30
0317112912 64N 796E 30
0317112918 66N 788E 35
0317113000 72N 778E 40
0317113006 78N 766E 50
0317113012 82N 758E 55
0317113012 82N 758E 55
0317113018 84N 749E 60
0317113018 84N 749E 60
0317120100 87N 741E 60
0317120100 87N 741E 60
0317120106 88N 733E 70
0317120106 88N 733E 70
0317120106 88N 733E 70
0317120112 89N 726E 70
0317120112 89N 726E 70
0317120112 89N 726E 70
0317120118 92N 720E 80
0317120118 92N 720E 80
0317120118 92N 720E 80


Original Message :

WTIO31 PGTW 012100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI) WARNING NR 009
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
011800Z --- NEAR 9.2N 72.0E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 07 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 9.2N 72.0E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
020600Z --- 10.0N 71.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
021800Z --- 11.1N 69.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
030600Z --- 12.6N 69.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
145 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
031800Z --- 14.2N 68.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
155 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
041800Z --- 17.3N 70.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
145 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
051800Z --- 20.6N 71.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
061800Z --- 23.9N 72.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
012100Z POSITION NEAR 9.4N 71.7E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 979 NM SOUTH-
SOUTHEAST OF KARACHI, PAKISTAN, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 07
KNOTS OVER THE PASTSIX HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE
IMAGERY SHOWS THAT THE DEEP CONVECTIVE SIGNATURE HAS BEEN MAINTAINED
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS, WITH CORE CONVECTION MOSTLY CONFINED TO THE
SOUTH AND EASTERN SECTORS OF THE CIRCULATION. THE CONVECTIVE
ACTIVITY IS FLARING, WITH HINTS AT EYE DEVELOPMENT, FOLLOWED BY A
WEAKENING OF THE CONVECTION. THE INITIAL POSITION IS PLACED WITH
HIGH CONFIDENCE BASED ON A 011653Z AMSU-B 89GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE,
DEPICTING A DISTINCT, SYMMETRIC MICROWAVE EYE FEATURE. THE INITIAL
INTENSITY IS ASSESSED AT 80 KNOTS, BASED ON DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY
ESTIMATES OF T4.5 (77 KNOTS) FROM KNES AND PGTW, HEDGED SLIGHTLY
HIGHER BASED ON AUTOMATED DVORAK TECHNIQUE (ADT) ESTIMATES OF T5.0
(90 KNOTS) AND SATELLITE CONSENSUS ESTIMATES OF 90 KNOTS. UPPER
LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT THE SYSTEM LIES IN AN UNFAVORABLE
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS) ENVIRONMENT, WITH 20 TO 25 KNOTS OF SHEAR.
HOWEVER, THE SHEAR VECTOR IS ALIGNED WITH THE STORM MOTION VECTOR,
SO THE RELATIVE SHEAR IS FAVORABLE. OUTFLOW IS STRONG TOWARDS THE
WEST AND POLEWARD, OFFSETTING THE HIGHER SHEAR VALUES. THE SYSTEM IS
ALSO TRACKING OVER A BAND OF HIGHER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (30-31
DEGREES CELSIUS), ALLOWING THE SYSTEM TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY. TC
03B WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK NORTHWESTWARD AND INTENSIFY THROUGH TAU
36, AS IT ROUNDS THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE
LOCATED OVER THE BAY OF BENGAL. BY TAU 48, TC 03B WILL ROUND THE
RIDGE AXIS AND BEGIN TO TRANSIT TO THE NORTHEAST AHEAD OF A DEEP-
LAYER TROUGH APPROACHING FROM THE NORTHWEST. THE SYSTEM WILL REACH A
PEAK INTENSITY OF 90 KNOTS BY TAU 24 AND BEGIN TO SLOWLY WEAKEN
AFTER TAU 48 AS IT BEGINS TO TRACK OVER SLIGHT COOLER WATERS AND VWS
INCREASES AHEAD OF APPROACHING TROUGH. TC 03B IS FORECAST TO MAKE
LANDFALL ALONG THE WESTERN INDIAN COAST AROUND TAU 96 AS A
DISSIPATING TROPICAL STORM. NUMERICAL MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN GOOD
AGREEMENT THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD, LEADING TO HIGH CONFIDENCE
IN THE JTWC FORECAST TRACK. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT
011800Z IS 22 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 020300Z, 020900Z, 021500Z AND
022100Z.//


Original Message :

WTIO51 PGTW 011500 RRA
WARNING ATCG MIL 03B NIO 171201135158
2017120112 03B OCKHI 008 01 280 07 SATL 040
T000 089N 0726E 070 R064 010 NE QD 010 SE QD 010 SW QD 010 NW QD R050
030 NE QD 020 SE QD 025 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 090 SE QD
075 SW QD 110 NW QD
T012 098N 0713E 080 R064 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 025 NW QD R050
045 NE QD 045 SE QD 045 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 115 SE QD
085 SW QD 115 NW QD
T024 109N 0699E 085 R064 035 NE QD 030 SE QD 035 SW QD 030 NW QD R050
050 NE QD 050 SE QD 050 SW QD 055 NW QD R034 155 NE QD 130 SE QD
095 SW QD 120 NW QD
T036 124N 0691E 085 R064 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 025 NW QD R050
055 NE QD 045 SE QD 045 SW QD 055 NW QD R034 150 NE QD 135 SE QD
095 SW QD 125 NW QD
T048 141N 0688E 080 R064 025 NE QD 025 SE QD 025 SW QD 025 NW QD R050
060 NE QD 045 SE QD 045 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 135 SE QD
095 SW QD 125 NW QD
T072 167N 0696E 055 R050 040 NE QD 020 SE QD 025 SW QD 035 NW QD R034
125 NE QD 120 SE QD 075 SW QD 110 NW QD
T096 196N 0714E 035 R034 070 NE QD 045 SE QD 035 SW QD 060 NW QD
T120 226N 0723E 020
AMP
096HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
120HR EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI) WARNING NR 008
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI) WARNING NR 007
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
010600Z --- NEAR 8.8N 73.5E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 07 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:


Original Message :

WTIO51 PGTW 011500
WARNING ATCG MIL 03B NIO 171201135158
2017120112 03B OCKHI 008 01 280 07 SATL 040
T000 089N 0726E 070 R064 010 NE QD 010 SE QD 010 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 030 NE QD 020 SE QD 025 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 090 SE QD 075 SW QD 110 NW QD
T012 098N 0713E 080 R064 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 025 NW QD R050 045 NE QD 045 SE QD 045 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 115 SE QD 085 SW QD 115 NW QD
T024 109N 0699E 085 R064 035 NE QD 030 SE QD 035 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 050 SE QD 050 SW QD 055 NW QD R034 155 NE QD 130 SE QD 095 SW QD 120 NW QD
T036 124N 0691E 085 R064 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 025 NW QD R050 055 NE QD 045 SE QD 045 SW QD 055 NW QD R034 150 NE QD 135 SE QD 095 SW QD 125 NW QD
T048 141N 0688E 080 R064 025 NE QD 025 SE QD 025 SW QD 025 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 045 SE QD 045 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 135 SE QD 095 SW QD 125 NW QD
T072 167N 0696E 055 R050 040 NE QD 020 SE QD 025 SW QD 035 NW QD R034 125 NE QD 120 SE QD 075 SW QD 110 NW QD
T096 196N 0714E 035 R034 070 NE QD 045 SE QD 035 SW QD 060 NW QD
T120 226N 0723E 020
AMP
096HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
120HR EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI) WARNING NR 008
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI) WARNING NR 007
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
010600Z --- NEAR 8.8N 73.5E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 07 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 8.8N 73.5E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
011800Z --- 9.7N 72.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
020600Z --- 10.5N 70.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
021800Z --- 11.8N 69.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
030600Z --- 13.2N 69.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
040600Z --- 16.0N 69.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
050600Z --- 18.9N 71.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
060600Z --- 21.8N 72.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
---
REMARKS:
010900Z POSITION NEAR 9.0N 73.1E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 956 NM NORTH
OF DIEGO GARCIA, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST
SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 010600Z IS 21 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 011500Z, 012100Z, 020300Z AND 020900Z.
//
0317112900 60N 815E 25
0317112906 62N 805E 30
0317112912 64N 796E 30
0317112918 66N 788E 35
0317113000 72N 778E 40
0317113006 78N 766E 50
0317113012 82N 758E 55
0317113012 82N 758E 55
0317113018 85N 747E 60
0317113018 85N 747E 60
0317120100 87N 742E 60
0317120100 87N 742E 60
0317120106 88N 735E 70
0317120106 88N 735E 70
0317120106 88N 735E 70


Original Message :

WTIO31 PGTW 011500 RRA
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI) WARNING NR 008
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
011200Z --- NEAR 8.9N 72.6E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 07 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 8.9N 72.6E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
020000Z --- 9.8N 71.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT


Original Message :

WTIO31 PGTW 011500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI) WARNING NR 008
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
011200Z --- NEAR 8.9N 72.6E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 07 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 8.9N 72.6E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
020000Z --- 9.8N 71.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
021200Z --- 10.9N 69.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
030000Z --- 12.4N 69.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
031200Z --- 14.1N 68.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
041200Z --- 16.7N 69.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
051200Z --- 19.6N 71.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
061200Z --- 22.6N 72.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
---
REMARKS:
011500Z POSITION NEAR 9.1N 72.3E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 960 NM NORTH
OF DIEGO GARCIA, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST
SIX HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT THE
CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH TC 03B HAS DECREASED AROUND THE LOW LEVEL
CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). THE MAJORITY OF THE CONVECTION IS ON THE
EASTERN SEMICIRCLE OF THE SYSTEM. THE INITIAL POSITION IS PLACED WITH
HIGH CONFIDENCE BASED ON A 010842Z AMSR2 MICROWAVE IMAGE, WHICH SHOWS
A MICROWAVE EYE. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS 70 KNOTS, BASED ON DVORAK
ESTIMATES OF T4.0 (65 KNOTS) FROM KNES AND PGTW. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS
SHOWS UNFAVORABLE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (20 TO 25 KNOTS). HOWEVER,
POLEWARD OUTFLOW IS STRONG AND EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW IS MODERATE. SEA
SURFACE TEMPERATURES ARE FAVORABLE (29-30 DEGREES CELSIUS). TC 03B
WILL TRACK NORTHWESTWARD AND INTENSIFY AS IT ROUNDS THE WESTERN
PERIPHERY OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE LOCATED OVER THE BAY OF BENGAL. TC
03B WILL REACH A PEAK INTENSITY OF 85 KNOTS BY TAU 24. BY TAU 48 TC
03B WILL BEGIN TO INTERACT WITH A TROUGH AND BEGIN TO TRACK
NORTHEASTWARD. TC 03B WILL BEGIN EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION AS IT
TRACKS NORTHEASTWARD AND WILL BECOME EXTRATROPICAL AS IT MAKES
LANDFALL OVER NORTHWEST INDIA. NUMERICAL MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN GOOD
AGREEMENT LENDING TO HIGH CONFIDENCE IN THE JTWC FORECAST TRACK.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 011200Z IS 21 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS
AT 012100Z, 020300Z, 020900Z AND 021500Z.//


Original Message :

WTIO51 PGTW 010900 RRA
WARNING ATCG MIL 03B NIO 171201085031
2017120106 03B OCKHI 007 01 280 07 SATL 040
T000 088N 0735E 070 R064 010 NE QD 010 SE QD 015 SW QD 010 NW QD R050
020 NE QD 030 SE QD 050 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 065 NE QD 080 SE QD
090 SW QD 060 NW QD
T012 097N 0721E 080 R064 020 NE QD 025 SE QD 025 SW QD 025 NW QD R050
050 NE QD 055 SE QD 060 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 095 NE QD 105 SE QD
095 SW QD 095 NW QD
T024 105N 0708E 085 R064 025 NE QD 035 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R050
050 NE QD 060 SE QD 065 SW QD 055 NW QD R034 115 NE QD 115 SE QD
105 SW QD 105 NW QD
T036 118N 0696E 085 R064 025 NE QD 035 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R050
055 NE QD 055 SE QD 055 SW QD 055 NW QD R034 135 NE QD 125 SE QD
100 SW QD 115 NW QD
T048 132N 0690E 090 R064 035 NE QD 035 SE QD 035 SW QD 030 NW QD R050
055 NE QD 050 SE QD 050 SW QD 055 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 135 SE QD
100 SW QD 115 NW QD
T072 160N 0694E 090 R064 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 035 NW QD R050
055 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 055 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 130 SE QD
095 SW QD 110 NW QD
T096 189N 0710E 060 R050 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 050 SW QD 025 NW QD R034
065 NE QD 075 SE QD 060 SW QD 060 NW QD
T120 218N 0727E 035
AMP
120HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI) WARNING NR 007
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI) WARNING NR 007
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
010600Z --- NEAR 8.8N 73.5E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 07 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM


Original Message :

WTIO31 PGTW 010900 RRA
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI) WARNING NR 007
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
010600Z --- NEAR 8.8N 73.5E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 07 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 8.8N 73.5E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
011800Z --- 9.7N 72.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT


Original Message :

WTIO51 PGTW 010900
WARNING ATCG MIL 03B NIO 171201085031
2017120106 03B OCKHI 007 01 280 07 SATL 040
T000 088N 0735E 070 R064 010 NE QD 010 SE QD 015 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 020 NE QD 030 SE QD 050 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 065 NE QD 080 SE QD 090 SW QD 060 NW QD
T012 097N 0721E 080 R064 020 NE QD 025 SE QD 025 SW QD 025 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 055 SE QD 060 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 095 NE QD 105 SE QD 095 SW QD 095 NW QD
T024 105N 0708E 085 R064 025 NE QD 035 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 060 SE QD 065 SW QD 055 NW QD R034 115 NE QD 115 SE QD 105 SW QD 105 NW QD
T036 118N 0696E 085 R064 025 NE QD 035 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 055 NE QD 055 SE QD 055 SW QD 055 NW QD R034 135 NE QD 125 SE QD 100 SW QD 115 NW QD
T048 132N 0690E 090 R064 035 NE QD 035 SE QD 035 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 055 NE QD 050 SE QD 050 SW QD 055 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 135 SE QD 100 SW QD 115 NW QD
T072 160N 0694E 090 R064 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 035 NW QD R050 055 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 055 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 130 SE QD 095 SW QD 110 NW QD
T096 189N 0710E 060 R050 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 050 SW QD 025 NW QD R034 065 NE QD 075 SE QD 060 SW QD 060 NW QD
T120 218N 0727E 035
AMP
120HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI) WARNING NR 007
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI) WARNING NR 007
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
010600Z --- NEAR 8.8N 73.5E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 07 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 8.8N 73.5E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
011800Z --- 9.7N 72.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
020600Z --- 10.5N 70.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
021800Z --- 11.8N 69.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
030600Z --- 13.2N 69.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
040600Z --- 16.0N 69.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
050600Z --- 18.9N 71.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
060600Z --- 21.8N 72.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
---
REMARKS:
010900Z POSITION NEAR 9.0N 73.1E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 956 NM NORTH
OF DIEGO GARCIA, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST
SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 010600Z IS 21 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 011500Z, 012100Z, 020300Z AND 020900Z.
//
0317112900 60N 815E 25
0317112906 62N 805E 30
0317112912 64N 796E 30
0317112918 66N 788E 35
0317113000 72N 778E 40
0317113006 78N 766E 50
0317113012 82N 758E 55
0317113012 82N 758E 55
0317113018 85N 747E 60
0317113018 85N 747E 60
0317120100 87N 742E 60
0317120100 87N 742E 60
0317120106 88N 735E 70
0317120106 88N 735E 70
0317120106 88N 735E 70


Original Message :

WTIO31 PGTW 010900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI) WARNING NR 007
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
010600Z --- NEAR 8.8N 73.5E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 07 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 8.8N 73.5E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
011800Z --- 9.7N 72.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
020600Z --- 10.5N 70.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
021800Z --- 11.8N 69.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
030600Z --- 13.2N 69.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
040600Z --- 16.0N 69.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
050600Z --- 18.9N 71.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
060600Z --- 21.8N 72.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
---
REMARKS:
010900Z POSITION NEAR 9.0N 73.1E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 956 NM NORTH
OF DIEGO GARCIA, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST
SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT TC 03B
HAS DEEP CONVECTION AROUND A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). THE
INITIAL POSITION IS PLACED WITH HIGH CONFIDENCE BASED ON A 010408Z
AMSU 89GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE, WHICH SHOWS STRONG CONVECTION IN THE
SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OF THE SYSTEM. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS 70 KNOTS,
BASED ON ESTIMATES OF T4.5 (77 KNOTS) FROM KNES AND T4.0 (65 KNOTS)
FROM PGTW. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS SHOWS UNFAVORABLE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR
(20 TO 25 KNOTS). HOWEVER, POLEWARD OUTFLOW IS STRONG AND
EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW IS MODERATE. SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES ARE
FAVORABLE (29-30 DEGREES CELSIUS). TC 03B WILL TRACK NORTHWESTWARD
AND INTENSIFY AS IT ROUNDS THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE SUBTROPICAL
RIDGE LOCATED OVER THE BAY OF BENGAL. TC 03B WILL REACH A PEAK
INTENSITY OF 90 KNOTS BY TAU 48. BY TAU 72 TC 03B WILL BEGIN TO
INTERACT WITH A TROUGH AND BEGIN TO TRACK NORTHEASTWARD. TC 03B WILL
BEGIN EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION AS IT TRACKS NORTHEASTWARD AND MAKES
LANDFALL OVER NORTHWEST INDIA. NUMERICAL MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN GOOD
AGREEMENT LENDING TO HIGH CONFIDENCE IN THE JTWC FORECAST TRACK.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 010600Z IS 21 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS
AT 011500Z, 012100Z, 020300Z AND 020900Z.//


Original Message :

WTIO51 PGTW 010300 RRA
WARNING ATCG MIL 03B NIO 171201015739
2017120100 03B OCKHI 006 01 290 05 SATL 060
T000 087N 0742E 060 R050 060 NE QD 040 SE QD 035 SW QD 050 NW QD R034
120 NE QD 090 SE QD 080 SW QD 105 NW QD
T012 094N 0727E 070 R064 025 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 030 NW QD R050
055 NE QD 050 SE QD 050 SW QD 055 NW QD R034 135 NE QD 130 SE QD
100 SW QD 115 NW QD
T024 103N 0713E 080 R064 030 NE QD 035 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R050
050 NE QD 050 SE QD 045 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 135 NE QD 110 SE QD
095 SW QD 120 NW QD
T036 112N 0702E 085 R064 025 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 020 NW QD R050
055 NE QD 050 SE QD 045 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 135 NE QD 115 SE QD
095 SW QD 120 NW QD
T048 123N 0692E 090 R064 020 NE QD 025 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R050
055 NE QD 045 SE QD 045 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 130 SE QD
095 SW QD 125 NW QD
T072 149N 0690E 090 R064 035 NE QD 025 SE QD 025 SW QD 035 NW QD R050
050 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 135 NE QD 120 SE QD
090 SW QD 125 NW QD
T096 177N 0702E 070 R064 020 NE QD 015 SE QD 015 SW QD 015 NW QD R050
035 NE QD 025 SE QD 025 SW QD 025 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 085 SE QD
060 SW QD 105 NW QD
T120 215N 0725E 045 R034 100 NE QD 085 SE QD 050 SW QD 070 NW QD
AMP
096HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
120HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI) WARNING NR 006
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI) WARNING NR 006
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
010000Z --- NEAR 8.7N 74.2E


Original Message :

WTIO51 PGTW 010300
WARNING ATCG MIL 03B NIO 171201015739
2017120100 03B OCKHI 006 01 290 05 SATL 060
T000 087N 0742E 060 R050 060 NE QD 040 SE QD 035 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 090 SE QD 080 SW QD 105 NW QD
T012 094N 0727E 070 R064 025 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 055 NE QD 050 SE QD 050 SW QD 055 NW QD R034 135 NE QD 130 SE QD 100 SW QD 115 NW QD
T024 103N 0713E 080 R064 030 NE QD 035 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 050 SE QD 045 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 135 NE QD 110 SE QD 095 SW QD 120 NW QD
T036 112N 0702E 085 R064 025 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 055 NE QD 050 SE QD 045 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 135 NE QD 115 SE QD 095 SW QD 120 NW QD
T048 123N 0692E 090 R064 020 NE QD 025 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 055 NE QD 045 SE QD 045 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 130 SE QD 095 SW QD 125 NW QD
T072 149N 0690E 090 R064 035 NE QD 025 SE QD 025 SW QD 035 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 135 NE QD 120 SE QD 090 SW QD 125 NW QD
T096 177N 0702E 070 R064 020 NE QD 015 SE QD 015 SW QD 015 NW QD R050 035 NE QD 025 SE QD 025 SW QD 025 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 085 SE QD 060 SW QD 105 NW QD
T120 215N 0725E 045 R034 100 NE QD 085 SE QD 050 SW QD 070 NW QD
AMP
096HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
120HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI) WARNING NR 006
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI) WARNING NR 006
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
010000Z --- NEAR 8.7N 74.2E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 05 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 8.7N 74.2E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
011200Z --- 9.4N 72.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
020000Z --- 10.3N 71.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
021200Z --- 11.2N 70.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
030000Z --- 12.3N 69.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
040000Z --- 14.9N 69.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
050000Z --- 17.7N 70.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
060000Z --- 21.5N 72.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
010300Z POSITION NEAR 8.9N 73.8E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 953 NM NORTH
OF DIEGO GARCIA, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER
THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 010000Z IS 19 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 010900Z, 011500Z, 012100Z AND 020300Z.
//
0317112900 60N 815E 25
0317112906 62N 805E 30
0317112912 64N 796E 30
0317112918 66N 788E 35
0317113000 72N 778E 40
0317113006 78N 766E 50
0317113012 82N 758E 55
0317113012 82N 758E 55
0317113018 85N 747E 60
0317113018 85N 747E 60
0317120100 87N 742E 60
0317120100 87N 742E 60


Original Message :

WTIO31 PGTW 010300 RRA
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI) WARNING NR 006
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
010000Z --- NEAR 8.7N 74.2E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 05 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 8.7N 74.2E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
011200Z --- 9.4N 72.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT


Original Message :

WTIO31 PGTW 010300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI) WARNING NR 006
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
010000Z --- NEAR 8.7N 74.2E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 05 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 8.7N 74.2E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
011200Z --- 9.4N 72.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
020000Z --- 10.3N 71.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
021200Z --- 11.2N 70.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
030000Z --- 12.3N 69.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
040000Z --- 14.9N 69.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
050000Z --- 17.7N 70.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
060000Z --- 21.5N 72.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
010300Z POSITION NEAR 8.9N 73.8E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 953 NM NORTH
OF DIEGO GARCIA, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER
THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY
INDICATES THAT TC 03B HAS NOT INTENSIFIED SIGNIFICANTLY SINCE THE
PREVIOUS WARNING, WITH THE DEEP CONVECTION MAINTAINING APPROXIMATELY
THE SAME STRUCTURE. THE INITIAL POSITION IS PLACED WITH HIGH
CONFIDENCE USING THE 302310Z SSMIS 37GHZ AND 91GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGES,
BOTH OF WHICH SHOW A WELL-DEFINED MICROWAVE EYE. THE INITIAL
INTENSITY REMAINS AT 60 KNOTS, WITH THE SAME SPLIT OF DVORAK
ESTIMATES OF T4.5 (KNES) AND T3.5 (PGTW). THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY
FOR TC 03B REMAINS THE SAME, WITH A STEADY TRACK TOWARD THE
NORTHWEST FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST AFTER TAU 72 WHEN
A DEEP-LAYER MID-LATITUDE TROUGH AMPLIFIES OVER THE ARABIAN SEA.
STEADY INTENSIFICATION IS FORECAST FOR THE NEXT 2 DAYS WITH WARM SEA
SURFACE TEMPERATURES OF AROUND 30 DEGREES C, WITH TC 03B REACHING A
PEAK INTENSITY OF 90 KNOTS FROM TAU 48 TO 72. STEADY WEAKENING AND
EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION IS FORECAST TO OCCUR THEREAFTER. DYNAMIC
MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT, SO THERE IS HIGH OVERALL
CONFIDENCE IN THE JTWC FORECAST TRACK. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE
HEIGHT AT 010000Z IS 19 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 010900Z, 011500Z,
012100Z AND 020300Z.//


Original Message :

WTIO51 PGTW 302100 RRA
WARNING ATCG MIL 03B NIO 171130201527
2017113018 03B OCKHI 005 01 285 11 SATL 060
T000 085N 0747E 060 R050 060 NE QD 040 SE QD 035 SW QD 050 NW QD R034
090 NE QD 070 SE QD 060 SW QD 085 NW QD
T012 093N 0730E 065 R064 010 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 010 NW QD R050
045 NE QD 045 SE QD 040 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 085 NE QD 120 SE QD
070 SW QD 080 NW QD
T024 102N 0713E 075 R064 015 NE QD 025 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R050
065 NE QD 050 SE QD 050 SW QD 065 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 140 SE QD
100 SW QD 115 NW QD
T036 110N 0700E 085 R064 025 NE QD 025 SE QD 020 SW QD 025 NW QD R050
070 NE QD 050 SE QD 050 SW QD 065 NW QD R034 145 NE QD 125 SE QD
095 SW QD 115 NW QD
T048 121N 0689E 090 R064 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R050
065 NE QD 050 SE QD 045 SW QD 055 NW QD R034 145 NE QD 120 SE QD
095 SW QD 115 NW QD
T072 146N 0680E 090 R064 035 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 035 NW QD R050
070 NE QD 055 SE QD 055 SW QD 065 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 115 SE QD
085 SW QD 125 NW QD
T096 173N 0690E 070 R064 020 NE QD 010 SE QD 010 SW QD 020 NW QD R050
025 NE QD 015 SE QD 015 SW QD 025 NW QD R034 105 NE QD 070 SE QD
045 SW QD 090 NW QD
T120 210N 0713E 045 R034 040 NE QD 070 SE QD 050 SW QD 070 NW QD
AMP
096HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
120HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI) WARNING NR 005
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI) WARNING NR 005
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
301800Z --- NEAR 8.5N 74.7E


Original Message :

WTIO51 PGTW 302100
WARNING ATCG MIL 03B NIO 171130201527
2017113018 03B OCKHI 005 01 285 11 SATL 060
T000 085N 0747E 060 R050 060 NE QD 040 SE QD 035 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 090 NE QD 070 SE QD 060 SW QD 085 NW QD
T012 093N 0730E 065 R064 010 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 045 NE QD 045 SE QD 040 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 085 NE QD 120 SE QD 070 SW QD 080 NW QD
T024 102N 0713E 075 R064 015 NE QD 025 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 065 NE QD 050 SE QD 050 SW QD 065 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 140 SE QD 100 SW QD 115 NW QD
T036 110N 0700E 085 R064 025 NE QD 025 SE QD 020 SW QD 025 NW QD R050 070 NE QD 050 SE QD 050 SW QD 065 NW QD R034 145 NE QD 125 SE QD 095 SW QD 115 NW QD
T048 121N 0689E 090 R064 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 065 NE QD 050 SE QD 045 SW QD 055 NW QD R034 145 NE QD 120 SE QD 095 SW QD 115 NW QD
T072 146N 0680E 090 R064 035 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 035 NW QD R050 070 NE QD 055 SE QD 055 SW QD 065 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 115 SE QD 085 SW QD 125 NW QD
T096 173N 0690E 070 R064 020 NE QD 010 SE QD 010 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 025 NE QD 015 SE QD 015 SW QD 025 NW QD R034 105 NE QD 070 SE QD 045 SW QD 090 NW QD
T120 210N 0713E 045 R034 040 NE QD 070 SE QD 050 SW QD 070 NW QD
AMP
096HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
120HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI) WARNING NR 005
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI) WARNING NR 005
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
301800Z --- NEAR 8.5N 74.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 8.5N 74.7E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
010600Z --- 9.3N 73.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
011800Z --- 10.2N 71.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
020600Z --- 11.0N 70.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
021800Z --- 12.1N 68.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
031800Z --- 14.6N 68.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
041800Z --- 17.3N 69.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
051800Z --- 21.0N 71.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
302100Z POSITION NEAR 8.7N 74.3E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 945 NM NORTH
OF DIEGO GARCIA, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER
THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 301800Z IS 20 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 010300Z, 010900Z, 011500Z AND 012100Z.
//
0317112900 60N 815E 25
0317112906 62N 805E 30
0317112912 64N 796E 30
0317112918 66N 788E 35
0317113000 72N 778E 40
0317113006 78N 766E 50
0317113012 82N 758E 55
0317113012 82N 758E 55
0317113018 85N 747E 60
0317113018 85N 747E 60


Original Message :

WTIO31 PGTW 302100 RRA
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI) WARNING NR 005//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI) WARNING NR 005
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
301800Z --- NEAR 8.5N 74.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 8.5N 74.7E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
010600Z --- 9.3N 73.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT


Original Message :

WTIO31 PGTW 302100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI) WARNING NR 005//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI) WARNING NR 005
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
301800Z --- NEAR 8.5N 74.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 8.5N 74.7E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
010600Z --- 9.3N 73.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
011800Z --- 10.2N 71.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
020600Z --- 11.0N 70.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
021800Z --- 12.1N 68.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
031800Z --- 14.6N 68.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
041800Z --- 17.3N 69.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
051800Z --- 21.0N 71.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
302100Z POSITION NEAR 8.7N 74.3E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 945 NM NORTH
OF DIEGO GARCIA, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER
THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY
DEPICTS A STEADILY INTENSIFYING TROPICAL CYCLONE WITH DEEP
CONVECTION BECOMING MORE SYMMETRIC AS IT WRAPS AROUND THE LOW-LEVEL
CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). THE INITIAL POSITION IS PLACED WITH GOOD
CONFIDENCE, WITH A MICROWAVE EYE IN A 301617Z 89GHZ AMSU IMAGE. TC
03B IS ABOUT TO TRACK OVER INCREASINGLY WARM WATER UP TO 30 DEGREES
CELSIUS SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE, WITH DECREASING VERTICAL WIND
SHEAR, SO THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE INTENSIFYING TO A PEAK
INTENSITY OF 90 KNOTS IN 48 TO 72 HOURS. THEREAFTER, WEAKENING IS
ANTICIPATED AS A DEEP-LAYER TROUGH AMPLIFIES OVER THE NORTHERN
ARABIAN SEA AND TC 03B TURNS TOWARD THE NORTHEAST AND ACCELERATES,
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL IN THE PROCESS. WITH THE EXCEPTION OF HWRF,
WHICH HAS A KNOWN ERROR IN THE CURRENT RUN, DYNAMIC MODEL GUIDANCE
IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT, SO THERE IS HIGH OVERALL CONFIDENCE IN THE
JTWC FORECAST TRACK. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 301800Z IS
20 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 010300Z, 010900Z, 011500Z AND 012100Z.//


Original Message :

WTIO51 PGTW 301500 RRA
WARNING ATCG MIL 03B NIO 171130135433
2017113012 03B OCKHI 004 01 300 12 SATL 040
T000 084N 0756E 055 R050 040 NE QD 025 SE QD 050 SW QD 025 NW QD R034
090 NE QD 065 SE QD 100 SW QD 065 NW QD
T012 091N 0740E 065 R064 025 NE QD 025 SE QD 010 SW QD 005 NW QD R050
045 NE QD 040 SE QD 055 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 085 NE QD 105 SE QD
115 SW QD 075 NW QD
T024 098N 0725E 075 R064 020 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R050
055 NE QD 045 SE QD 060 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 135 SE QD
110 SW QD 105 NW QD
T036 106N 0710E 085 R064 015 NE QD 025 SE QD 025 SW QD 020 NW QD R050
065 NE QD 050 SE QD 060 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 115 SE QD
105 SW QD 110 NW QD
T048 117N 0695E 090 R064 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R050
065 NE QD 045 SE QD 060 SW QD 055 NW QD R034 135 NE QD 110 SE QD
105 SW QD 110 NW QD
T072 143N 0678E 090 R064 035 NE QD 040 SE QD 035 SW QD 030 NW QD R050
070 NE QD 035 SE QD 055 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 125 NE QD 105 SE QD
105 SW QD 115 NW QD
T096 174N 0688E 070 R064 025 NE QD 025 SE QD 045 SW QD 025 NW QD R050
035 NE QD 030 SE QD 050 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 110 NE QD 075 SE QD
075 SW QD 095 NW QD
T120 204N 0709E 045 R034 045 NE QD 055 SE QD 085 SW QD 055 NW QD
AMP
096HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
120HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI) WARNING NR 004
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI) WARNING NR 004
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
301200Z --- NEAR 8.4N 75.6E


Original Message :

WTIO51 PGTW 301500
WARNING ATCG MIL 03B NIO 171130135433
2017113012 03B OCKHI 004 01 300 12 SATL 040
T000 084N 0756E 055 R050 040 NE QD 025 SE QD 050 SW QD 025 NW QD R034 090 NE QD 065 SE QD 100 SW QD 065 NW QD
T012 091N 0740E 065 R064 025 NE QD 025 SE QD 010 SW QD 005 NW QD R050 045 NE QD 040 SE QD 055 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 085 NE QD 105 SE QD 115 SW QD 075 NW QD
T024 098N 0725E 075 R064 020 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 055 NE QD 045 SE QD 060 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 135 SE QD 110 SW QD 105 NW QD
T036 106N 0710E 085 R064 015 NE QD 025 SE QD 025 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 065 NE QD 050 SE QD 060 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 115 SE QD 105 SW QD 110 NW QD
T048 117N 0695E 090 R064 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 065 NE QD 045 SE QD 060 SW QD 055 NW QD R034 135 NE QD 110 SE QD 105 SW QD 110 NW QD
T072 143N 0678E 090 R064 035 NE QD 040 SE QD 035 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 070 NE QD 035 SE QD 055 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 125 NE QD 105 SE QD 105 SW QD 115 NW QD
T096 174N 0688E 070 R064 025 NE QD 025 SE QD 045 SW QD 025 NW QD R050 035 NE QD 030 SE QD 050 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 110 NE QD 075 SE QD 075 SW QD 095 NW QD
T120 204N 0709E 045 R034 045 NE QD 055 SE QD 085 SW QD 055 NW QD
AMP
096HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
120HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI) WARNING NR 004
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI) WARNING NR 004
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
301200Z --- NEAR 8.4N 75.6E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 12 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 8.4N 75.6E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
010000Z --- 9.1N 74.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
005 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
011200Z --- 9.8N 72.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
020000Z --- 10.6N 71.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
021200Z --- 11.7N 69.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
031200Z --- 14.3N 67.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
041200Z --- 17.4N 68.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
051200Z --- 20.4N 70.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
301500Z POSITION NEAR 8.6N 75.2E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 100 NM SOUTH-
SOUTHWEST OF COCHIN, INDIA, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 12
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 301200Z IS 14 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 302100Z, 010300Z, 010900Z AND 011500Z.//
0317112900 60N 815E 25
0317112906 62N 805E 30
0317112912 64N 796E 30
0317112918 66N 788E 35
0317113000 72N 778E 40
0317113006 78N 766E 50
0317113012 84N 756E 55
0317113012 84N 756E 55


Original Message :

WTIO31 PGTW 301500 RRA
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI) WARNING NR 004
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
301200Z --- NEAR 8.4N 75.6E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 12 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 8.4N 75.6E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
010000Z --- 9.1N 74.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
005 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT


Original Message :

WTIO31 PGTW 301500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (OCKHI) WARNING NR 004
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
301200Z --- NEAR 8.4N 75.6E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 12 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 8.4N 75.6E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
010000Z --- 9.1N 74.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
005 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
011200Z --- 9.8N 72.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
020000Z --- 10.6N 71.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
021200Z --- 11.7N 69.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
031200Z --- 14.3N 67.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
041200Z --- 17.4N 68.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
051200Z --- 20.4N 70.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
301500Z POSITION NEAR 8.6N 75.2E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 03B (OCKHI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 100 NM
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF COCHIN, INDIA, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT
12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. PEAK INTENSITY HAS BEEN INCREASED
TO 90 KNOTS WITH THE PEAK INTENSITY EXPECTED TO OCCUR LATER IN THE
FORECAST PERIOD (TAU 48 TO TAU 72). ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED
SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A RAPIDLY CONSOLIDATING LOW-LEVEL
CIRCULATION CENTER WITH TIGHTLY CURVED BANDING WRAPPING INTO THE
CENTER. A 301319Z SSMIS 37GHZ COLOR IMAGE DEPICTS A THICK CYAN RING
SURROUNDING A WELL-DEFINED MICROWAVE EYE FEATURE, WHICH SUPPORTS THE
INITIAL POSITION WITH GOOD CONFIDENCE AND ALSO SIGNALS AN IMMINENT
RAPID INTENSIFICATION PHASE. TC 03B IS FORECAST TO TRACK POLEWARD
ALONG THE SOUTHWEST PERIPHERY OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE (STR) THROUGH
TAU 72. AFTER TAU 72, TC OCKHI WILL RE-CURVE NORTHEASTWARD AS IT
INTERACTS WITH A DEEP MIDLATITUDE SHORTWAVE TROUGH AND BEGINS EXTRA-
TROPICAL TRANSITION. TC 03B IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY THROUGH TAU 48
BUT WILL MAINTAIN FAVORABLE, ENHANCED POLEWARD OUTFLOW THROUGH TAU
72. AFTER TAU 72, INCREASING VWS AND INTERACTION WITH THE BAROCLINIC
ZONE WILL SERVE TO WEAKEN THE SYSTEM AS IT APPROACHES NORTHWEST
INDIA. WITH THE EXCEPTION OF HWRF, DYNAMIC MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN GOOD
AGREEMENT, THEREFORE, THERE IS HIGH OVERALL CONFIDENCE IN THE JTWC
FORECAST TRACK. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 301200Z IS 14
FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 302100Z, 010300Z, 010900Z AND 011500Z.//


Original Message :

WTIO51 PGTW 292100 RRA
WARNING ATCG MIL 03B NIO 171129203520
2017112918 03B THREE 001 01 285 08 SATL 060
T000 066N 0788E 035 R034 025 NE QD 070 SE QD 080 SW QD 060 NW QD
T012 073N 0771E 045 R034 065 NE QD 125 SE QD 105 SW QD 085 NW QD
T024 081N 0754E 055 R050 025 NE QD 030 SE QD 035 SW QD 025 NW QD R034
055 NE QD 125 SE QD 115 SW QD 080 NW QD
T036 088N 0739E 065 R064 020 NE QD 025 SE QD 015 SW QD 020 NW QD R050
035 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 070 NE QD 115 SE QD
100 SW QD 080 NW QD
T048 096N 0724E 075 R064 030 NE QD 025 SE QD 020 SW QD 025 NW QD R050
040 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 035 NW QD R034 085 NE QD 120 SE QD
095 SW QD 090 NW QD
T072 115N 0694E 085 R064 040 NE QD 025 SE QD 025 SW QD 030 NW QD R050
055 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 105 NE QD 130 SE QD
095 SW QD 100 NW QD
T096 139N 0676E 090 R064 045 NE QD 035 SE QD 025 SW QD 040 NW QD R050
060 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 035 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 115 SE QD
090 SW QD 100 NW QD
T120 168N 0679E 080 R064 045 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 020 NW QD R050
060 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 110 SE QD
100 SW QD 075 NW QD
AMP
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (THREE) WARNING NR 001
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (THREE) WARNING NR 001
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
291800Z --- NEAR 6.6N 78.8E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:


Original Message :

WTIO51 PGTW 292100
WARNING ATCG MIL 03B NIO 171129203520
2017112918 03B THREE 001 01 285 08 SATL 060
T000 066N 0788E 035 R034 025 NE QD 070 SE QD 080 SW QD 060 NW QD
T012 073N 0771E 045 R034 065 NE QD 125 SE QD 105 SW QD 085 NW QD
T024 081N 0754E 055 R050 025 NE QD 030 SE QD 035 SW QD 025 NW QD R034 055 NE QD 125 SE QD 115 SW QD 080 NW QD
T036 088N 0739E 065 R064 020 NE QD 025 SE QD 015 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 035 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 070 NE QD 115 SE QD 100 SW QD 080 NW QD
T048 096N 0724E 075 R064 030 NE QD 025 SE QD 020 SW QD 025 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 035 NW QD R034 085 NE QD 120 SE QD 095 SW QD 090 NW QD
T072 115N 0694E 085 R064 040 NE QD 025 SE QD 025 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 055 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 105 NE QD 130 SE QD 095 SW QD 100 NW QD
T096 139N 0676E 090 R064 045 NE QD 035 SE QD 025 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 035 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 115 SE QD 090 SW QD 100 NW QD
T120 168N 0679E 080 R064 045 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 110 SE QD 100 SW QD 075 NW QD
AMP
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (THREE) WARNING NR 001
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (THREE) WARNING NR 001
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
291800Z --- NEAR 6.6N 78.8E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 6.6N 78.8E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
300600Z --- 7.3N 77.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
301800Z --- 8.1N 75.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
010600Z --- 8.8N 73.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
011800Z --- 9.6N 72.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
021800Z --- 11.5N 69.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
031800Z --- 13.9N 67.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
041800Z --- 16.8N 67.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
292100Z POSITION NEAR 6.8N 78.4E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (THREE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 904 NM NORTH-
NORTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 291800Z IS 10 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 300300Z, 300900Z, 301500Z AND 302100Z.
//
0317112806 58N 832E 20
0317112812 59N 829E 20
0317112818 60N 823E 25
0317112900 60N 815E 25
0317112906 62N 805E 30
0317112912 64N 796E 30
0317112918 66N 788E 35


Original Message :

WTIO31 PGTW 292100 RRA
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (THREE) WARNING NR 001
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
291800Z --- NEAR 6.6N 78.8E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 6.6N 78.8E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
300600Z --- 7.3N 77.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
301800Z --- 8.1N 75.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT


Original Message :

WTIO31 PGTW 292100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (THREE) WARNING NR 001
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
291800Z --- NEAR 6.6N 78.8E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 6.6N 78.8E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
300600Z --- 7.3N 77.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
301800Z --- 8.1N 75.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
010600Z --- 8.8N 73.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
011800Z --- 9.6N 72.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
021800Z --- 11.5N 69.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
031800Z --- 13.9N 67.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
041800Z --- 16.8N 67.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
292100Z POSITION NEAR 6.8N 78.4E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (THREE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 904 NM NORTH-
NORTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED (EIR)
SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS GRADUALLY INTENSIFYING CONVECTION
WRAPPING INTO A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) MOVING WEST-
NORTHWESTWARD AWAY FROM SRI LANKA. A SECONDARY CONVECTIVE MAXIMUM
IS LOCATED TO THE WEST OF THE LLCC, PROVIDING A ASYMMETRIC
STRUCTURE TO THE TROPICAL STORM. THE INITIAL POSITION IS DETERMINED
WITH HIGH CONFIDENCE VIA EIR IMAGERY AND FORWARD EXTRAPOLATION OF
THE LLCC EVIDENT IN THE 291639Z METOP-A ASCAT PASS. THE INITIAL
INTENSITY IS SET AT 35 KNOTS ACCORDING TO AGENCY DVORAKS OF T2.5
(PGTW AND KNES) AND THE AFOREMENTIONED ASCAT PASS, SHOWING 35 KNOT
WINDS PRIMARY OVER THE SOUTHERN SEMICIRCLE. TS 03B IS FORECAST TO
CONTINUE TRACKING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST AROUND THE SOUTHERN
PERIPHERY OF A SUBTROPICAL RIDGE WITH A ZONALLY-ORIENTED AXIS OVER
THE NORTHERN INDIAN OCEAN. THIS RIDGE IS CURRENTLY INDUCING
MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (15 TO 20 KNOTS) OVER TS 03B. GRADUAL
INTENSIFICATION IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS, FOLLOWED BY THE
POSSIBILITY OF RAPID INTENSIFICATION THEREAFTER AS THE CYCLONE
TRACKS ACROSS A BAND OF EXTREMELY WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES OF
30 DEGREES C. IN THE EXTENDED RANGE BEYOND TAU 72, TS 03B IS
EXPECTED TO RECURVE TOWARD THE NORTH AND NORTHEAST AHEAD OF A DEEP-
LAYER TROUGH THAT IS FORECAST TO AMPLIFY OVER IRAN. THE INTENSITY
OF TS 03B SHOULD PEAK AROUND TAU 96, FOLLOWED BY WEAKENING AS
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR INCREASES WITH THE TROUGH INTERACTION. DYNAMIC
MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN TIGHT AGREEMENT LENDING HIGH CONFIDENCE IN THE
JTWC OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT
291800Z IS 10 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 300300Z, 300900Z, 301500Z AND
302100Z.//