Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for ILEANA-18
in Mexico
alertimage

Green alert for storm surge impact based on ECMWF source

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down.

This report is for advisory number 12 of tropical cyclone ILEANA-18 issued at 7 Aug 2018 12:00:00 (GDACS Event ID 1000479). However, the calculation for advisory number is not completed. Therefore, the latest available calculation is shown. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation.

Summary

Population affected by cyclone-strength winds (>120km/h):No People
Saffir-Simpson Category: Tropical storm
Maximum sustained wind speed: 105 Km/h
Maximum Storm surge height is:  0.4m in El Golfo de Santa Clara, Mexico.

Storm surge

View animation and affected locations in an interactive map: open

Storm surge maximum height
Storm surge maximum height (Source: JRC)
Max windspeed
Max windspeed (Source: ECMWF)

Evolution

Legend
people affected <=10000
people affected >10000 and <100000
people affected >100000


Calculation Alert color Date (UTC) Wind speed Population affected
winds(>120km/h)
TS CAT. 1 CAT. 2 CAT. 3 CAT. 4 CAT. 5 Countries
1
GREEN
20180804.00 0 km/h (0 mph) No people
2
GREEN
20180804.12 0 km/h (0 mph) No people
3
GREEN
20180805.00 0 km/h (0 mph) No people
4
GREEN
20180805.12 78 km/h (49 mph) No people
Mexico
5
GREEN
20180806.00 100 km/h (62 mph) No people
Mexico
6
GREEN
20180806.12 90 km/h (56 mph) No people
Mexico
7
GREEN
20180807.00 89 km/h (55 mph) No people
Mexico
8
GREEN
20180807.12 105 km/h (65 mph) No people
Mexico

Affected locations

Date Name Country Alert Storm surge height (m)
07 Aug 2018 02:00:00 El Golfo de Santa Clara Mexico  0.4m
07 Aug 2018 01:45:00 El Tornillal Mexico  0.4m
07 Aug 2018 02:15:00 San Felipe Mexico  0.3m
07 Aug 2018 01:15:00 La Choya Mexico  0.3m
07 Aug 2018 03:00:00 Puerto Penasco Mexico  0.3m
07 Aug 2018 14:15:00 Puerto Aguadulce Panama  0.2m
07 Aug 2018 14:15:00 El Salado Panama  0.2m
07 Aug 2018 14:15:00 Boca de Parita Panama  0.2m
07 Aug 2018 14:15:00 Boca Nueva Panama  0.2m
07 Aug 2018 14:00:00 Bayano Panama  0.2m
07 Aug 2018 14:00:00 Anonal Panama  0.2m
07 Aug 2018 14:00:00 El Jobo Panama  0.2m
07 Aug 2018 14:00:00 Guarare Panama  0.2m
07 Aug 2018 14:00:00 La Candeleria Panama  0.2m
Locations affected by Storm surge (15 of 986)
Calculation based on advisory number of 07 Aug 2018 12:00.
(Simulation using minute resolution)

See full locations list (RSS)

More information

The atmospheric forcing included in the storm surge model are the pressure drop and the wind-water friction. The effects of the short waves induced by the wind (wave setup) and the precipitations are not yet implemented in the model.

  • Interactive map: open

For a full list of available products related to this event, please refer to the GDACS Resources page.