Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for HECTOR-18
Off-shore
alertimage

Green alert for storm surge impact based on GFS source

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down.

This report is for advisory number 40 of tropical cyclone HECTOR-18 issued at 10 Aug 2018 6:00:00 (GDACS Event ID 1000477). However, the calculation for advisory number is not completed. Therefore, the latest available calculation is shown. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation.

Summary

Population affected by cyclone-strength winds (>120km/h):No people affected
Saffir-Simpson Category: Category 2
Maximum sustained wind speed: 168 Km/h
Maximum Storm surge height is:  0.3m in Kitoboynyy, Russia.

Storm surge

View animation and affected locations in an interactive map: open

Storm surge maximum height
Storm surge maximum height (Source: JRC)
Max windspeed
Max windspeed (Source: GFS)

Evolution

Legend
people affected <=10000
people affected >10000 and <100000
people affected >100000


Calculation Alert color Date (UTC) Wind speed Population affected
winds(>120km/h)
TS CAT. 1 CAT. 2 CAT. 3 CAT. 4 CAT. 5 Countries
1
GREEN
20180805.00 74 km/h (46 mph) No people
Mexico
2
GREEN
20180805.06 77 km/h (48 mph) No people
Mexico
3
GREEN
20180805.12 138 km/h (86 mph) Few people affected
Mexico
4
GREEN
20180805.18 150 km/h (93 mph) Few people affected
Mexico
5
GREEN
20180806.00 152 km/h (94 mph) Few people affected
Mexico, United States
6
GREEN
20180806.06 183 km/h (113 mph) Few people affected
Mexico, United States
7
GREEN
20180806.12 150 km/h (93 mph) Few people affected
Mexico, United States
8
GREEN
20180806.18 138 km/h (86 mph) Few people affected
Mexico
9
GREEN
20180807.00 160 km/h (99 mph) Few people affected
Mexico, United States
10
GREEN
20180807.06 104 km/h (64 mph) No people
Mexico
11
GREEN
20180807.12 93 km/h (57 mph) No people
Mexico
12
GREEN
20180807.18 147 km/h (91 mph) Few people affected
Mexico
13
GREEN
20180808.00 140 km/h (87 mph) Few people affected
United States, Mexico
14
GREEN
20180808.06 161 km/h (100 mph) No people affected
15
GREEN
20180808.12 157 km/h (97 mph) No people affected
16
GREEN
20180808.18 144 km/h (89 mph) No people affected
17
GREEN
20180809.00 159 km/h (98 mph) No people affected
18
GREEN
20180809.06 150 km/h (93 mph) No people affected
19
GREEN
20180809.12 162 km/h (101 mph) No people affected
20
GREEN
20180809.18 155 km/h (96 mph) No people affected
21
GREEN
20180810.00 152 km/h (94 mph) No people affected
22
GREEN
20180810.06 167 km/h (103 mph) No people affected
23
GREEN
20180810.12 174 km/h (108 mph) No people affected
24
GREEN
20180810.18 190 km/h (118 mph) No people affected
25
GREEN
20180811.00 170 km/h (105 mph) No people affected
26
GREEN
20180811.06 152 km/h (94 mph) No people affected
27
GREEN
20180811.12 162 km/h (100 mph) No people affected
28
GREEN
20180811.18 168 km/h (104 mph) No people affected

Affected locations

Date Name Country Alert Storm surge height (m)
03 Aug 2018 21:45:00 Kitoboynyy Russia  0.3m
03 Aug 2018 21:45:00 Kostochko Russia  0.3m
03 Aug 2018 22:00:00 Kastrikum Russia  0.3m
03 Aug 2018 22:00:00 Ryabinovka Russia  0.3m
03 Aug 2018 22:00:00 Aleutka Russia  0.3m
03 Aug 2018 22:00:00 Kompaneysk Russia  0.3m
07 Aug 2018 08:30:00 Palikir Micronesia  0.3m
07 Aug 2018 08:30:00 Kolonia Micronesia  0.3m
07 Aug 2018 08:30:00 Metalanim Micronesia  0.3m
10 Aug 2018 15:00:00 Wotje Marshall Islands  0.2m
05 Aug 2018 03:15:00 Kuma Kiribati  0.2m
01 Aug 2018 02:00:00 Ronkiti Micronesia  0.2m
05 Aug 2018 03:45:00 Kaven Marshall Islands  0.2m
03 Aug 2018 09:00:00 Lot Micronesia  0.2m
Locations affected by Storm surge (15 of 14)
Calculation based on advisory number of 11 Aug 2018 18:00.
(Simulation using minute resolution)

See full locations list (RSS)

More information

The atmospheric forcing included in the storm surge model are the pressure drop and the wind-water friction. The effects of the short waves induced by the wind (wave setup) and the precipitations are not yet implemented in the model.

  • Interactive map: open

For a full list of available products related to this event, please refer to the GDACS Resources page.