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Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for DOKSURI-17
in Viet Nam, Laos, Thailandfrom 11 Sep 2017 18:00 UTC to 13 Sep 2017 12:00 UTC
Storm surge for tropical cyclone DOKSURI-17
Beta
alertimage

Orange alert for storm surge impact in Vietnam

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down.

This report is for advisory number 8 of tropical cyclone DOKSURI-17 issued at 13 Sep 2017 12:00:00 (GDACS Event ID 1000400).

Summary

Current impact estimate:

  • Population affected by cyclone-strength winds (>120km/h): 1.8 million
  • Saffir-Simpson Category: Category 2
  • Maximum sustained wind speed: 167 km/h
  • The maximum Storm surge height is  1.8m in Trung Thinh, Vietnam. This height is estimated for 15 Sep 2017 09:00:00.

Evolution

Previous calculations: see calculation for advisory number 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13

Show forecast grid

Storm surge

View animation and affected locations in an interactive map: open

Storm surge maximum height
Storm surge maximum height (Source: JRC)
Storm surge animation
Storm surge animation (Source: JRC)

Affected locations

Date Name Country Storm surge height (m)
15 Sep 2017 09:00:00 Trung Thinh Vietnam  1.8m
15 Sep 2017 10:00:00 Hoi Thong Vietnam  1.7m
15 Sep 2017 08:00:00 Trung Nghia Vietnam  1.7m
15 Sep 2017 10:00:00 Hoa Cam Vietnam  1.7m
15 Sep 2017 10:00:00 Tap Phuc Vietnam  1.7m
15 Sep 2017 09:00:00 Thien Linh Vietnam  1.6m
15 Sep 2017 10:00:00 Cau Lo Vietnam  1.6m
15 Sep 2017 08:00:00 Ha Tinh Vietnam  1.6m
15 Sep 2017 08:00:00 Trung Tiet Vietnam  1.6m
15 Sep 2017 08:00:00 Cau Thuong Vietnam  1.6m
15 Sep 2017 08:00:00 Hau Con Vietnam  1.6m
15 Sep 2017 08:00:00 Con Soi Vietnam  1.6m
15 Sep 2017 09:00:00 Thuan Thien Vietnam  1.6m
15 Sep 2017 08:00:00 Ky Anh Vietnam  1.6m
Locations affected by Storm surge (15 of 344)
Calculation based on advisory number 8 of 13 Sep 2017 12:00:00.
(Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

See full locations list (RSS)

More information

The atmospheric forcing included in the storm surge model are the pressure drop and the wind-water friction. The effects of the short waves induced by the wind (wave setup) and the precipitations are not yet implemented in the model. The model has been validated mainly in areas of shallow water (Caribbean, Bay of Bengal). Results in other basins may be inaccurate.

For a full list of available products related to this event, please refer to the GDACS Resources page.