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Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for TALIM-17
in Japanfrom 08 Sep 2017 18:00 UTC to 13 Sep 2017 12:00 UTC
Storm surge for tropical cyclone TALIM-17
Beta
alertimage

Orange alert for storm surge impact in China

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down.

This report is for advisory number 20 of tropical cyclone TALIM-17 issued at 13 Sep 2017 12:00:00 (GDACS Event ID 1000398).

Summary

Current impact estimate:

  • Population affected by cyclone-strength winds (>120km/h): No people affected
  • Saffir-Simpson Category: Category 4
  • Maximum sustained wind speed: 222 km/h
  • The maximum Storm surge height is  1.7m in Shimomatsu, Japan. This height is estimated for 17 Sep 2017 09:00:00.

Evolution

Previous calculations: see calculation for advisory number 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24

Show forecast grid

Storm surge

View animation and affected locations in an interactive map: open

Storm surge maximum height
Storm surge maximum height (Source: JRC)
Storm surge animation
Storm surge animation (Source: JRC)

Affected locations

Date Name Country Storm surge height (m)
17 Sep 2017 09:00:00 Shimomatsu Japan  1.7m
17 Sep 2017 07:00:00 Befu Japan  1.7m
17 Sep 2017 07:00:00 Futami Japan  1.7m
17 Sep 2017 08:00:00 Izumicho Japan  1.7m
17 Sep 2017 07:00:00 Eigashima Japan  1.6m
17 Sep 2017 12:00:00 Sakai Japan  1.5m
17 Sep 2017 07:00:00 Okubo Japan  1.5m
17 Sep 2017 07:00:00 Oshio Japan  1.5m
17 Sep 2017 07:00:00 Tsuchiyamaeki Japan  1.5m
17 Sep 2017 07:00:00 Arai Japan  1.5m
17 Sep 2017 07:00:00 Himeji Japan  1.4m
17 Sep 2017 07:00:00 Yaka Japan  1.4m
17 Sep 2017 12:00:00 Matsukage Japan  1.4m
17 Sep 2017 08:00:00 Kobe Japan  1.4m
Locations affected by Storm surge (15 of 1703)
Calculation based on advisory number 20 of 13 Sep 2017 12:00:00.
(Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

See full locations list (RSS)

More information

The atmospheric forcing included in the storm surge model are the pressure drop and the wind-water friction. The effects of the short waves induced by the wind (wave setup) and the precipitations are not yet implemented in the model. The model has been validated mainly in areas of shallow water (Caribbean, Bay of Bengal). Results in other basins may be inaccurate.

For a full list of available products related to this event, please refer to the GDACS Resources page.