Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for NAT-24
Off-shore
08 Feb 2024 12 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone NAT-24 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries French Polynesia, Kiribati
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 101 km/h
Maximum storm surge
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 101 km/h n.a. 485 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 101 km/h n.a. 485 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

101 km/h

Up to 3 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 08 Feb 2024 12:00 UTC (Overall situation)
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormFrench Polynesia, Kiribati2,632
+
French Polynesia2,605 
Kiribati26 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 05 Feb 2024 12:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 05 Feb 2024 18:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 06 Feb 2024 00:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 06 Feb 2024 06:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 06 Feb 2024 12:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 06 Feb 2024 18:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 07 Feb 2024 00:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 07 Feb 2024 06:00 72 -
- - - - - French Polynesia
GREEN 9 07 Feb 2024 12:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 07 Feb 2024 18:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 08 Feb 2024 00:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 08 Feb 2024 06:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 08 Feb 2024 12:00 94 -
- - - - - French Polynesia, Kiribati
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 08 Feb 2024 12:00 UTC (Overall situation)
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmFrench Polynesia124 
50-100 mmFrench Polynesia2,513 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 05 Feb 2024 12:00 206 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 05 Feb 2024 18:00 285 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 06 Feb 2024 00:00 255 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 06 Feb 2024 06:00 136 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 06 Feb 2024 12:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 06 Feb 2024 18:00 136 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 07 Feb 2024 00:00 272 150 thousand
- - - French Polynesia
Blue 8 07 Feb 2024 06:00 149 -
- - - - - French Polynesia
Blue 9 07 Feb 2024 12:00 172 -
- - - - - French Polynesia
Blue 10 07 Feb 2024 18:00 133 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 08 Feb 2024 00:00 136 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 08 Feb 2024 06:00 93 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 08 Feb 2024 12:00 440 Few people
- - - - French Polynesia




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

No locations affected by storm surge > 10 cm

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 08 Feb 2024 12:00 UTC (Overall situation)
    

No content available