Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for 05-20232024-24
Off-shore
03 Feb 2024 00 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone 05-20232024-24 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 137 km/h
Maximum storm surge 1.6 m (02 Feb 06:30 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 137 km/h 1.6 m 509 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 137 km/h 1.6 m 509 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 03 Feb 2024 00:00 UTC (Overall situation)

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 30 Jan 2024 18:00 137 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 31 Jan 2024 00:00 119 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 31 Jan 2024 06:00 119 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 31 Jan 2024 12:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 31 Jan 2024 18:00 104 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 01 Feb 2024 00:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 01 Feb 2024 06:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 01 Feb 2024 12:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 01 Feb 2024 18:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 02 Feb 2024 00:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 02 Feb 2024 06:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 02 Feb 2024 12:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 02 Feb 2024 18:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 03 Feb 2024 00:00 86 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall

509 mm

Up to 1 million can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 03 Feb 2024 00:00 UTC (Overall situation)
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmIndonesia, Madagascar1,008,606
+
Indonesia45,188 
Madagascar963,418 
50-100 mmMauritius, Madagascar1,161,566
+
Mauritius264 
Madagascar1,161,301 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 30 Jan 2024 18:00 193 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 31 Jan 2024 00:00 212 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 31 Jan 2024 06:00 95 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 31 Jan 2024 12:00 43 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 31 Jan 2024 18:00 60 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 01 Feb 2024 00:00 108 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 01 Feb 2024 06:00 52 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 01 Feb 2024 12:00 42 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 01 Feb 2024 18:00 148 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 02 Feb 2024 00:00 75 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 02 Feb 2024 06:00 64 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 02 Feb 2024 12:00 172 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 02 Feb 2024 18:00 70 -
- - - - - Indonesia
Blue 14 03 Feb 2024 00:00 236 590 thousand
- - - - Madagascar




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

1.6 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  1.6m in Voloina, Madagascar. This height is estimated for 02 Feb 2024 06:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 03 Feb 2024 00:00 UTC (Overall situation)
LevelCountryPopulation 
1.0 - 2.0 mMadagascar17,051 
0.5 - 1.0 mSeychelles, Madagascar24,535
+
Seychelles12,560 
Madagascar11,975 
0.25 - 0.5 mMadagascar, Reunion84,652
+
Madagascar77,614 
Reunion7,038 

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 03 Feb 2024 00:00 UTC (Overall situation)
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
02 Feb 2024 06:30 Voloina Madagascar  1.6
02 Feb 2024 06:30 Manambia Madagascar  1.6
02 Feb 2024 06:30 Anantoraka Madagascar  1.6
02 Feb 2024 06:30 Maroantsetra Madagascar  1.6
02 Feb 2024 06:30 Andranofotsy Madagascar  1.6
01 Feb 2024 08:30 Mahalevona Madagascar  1.6
01 Feb 2024 08:15 Ambanizana Madagascar  1.6
01 Feb 2024 08:15 Benjana Madagascar  1.6
02 Feb 2024 06:30 Rantabe Madagascar  1.5
02 Feb 2024 06:30 Maintimbato Madagascar  1.4
02 Feb 2024 06:30 Tampolo Madagascar  1.4
02 Feb 2024 06:30 Fananehana Madagascar  1.3
02 Feb 2024 06:30 Antalavia Madagascar  1.3
02 Feb 2024 06:30 Anoromby Madagascar  1.1
31 Jan 2024 03:15 Port Couvreux French Southern and Antarctic Lands  1.0
02 Feb 2024 06:45 Rantranavona Madagascar  1.0
02 Feb 2024 06:45 Fampotabe Madagascar  1.0
01 Feb 2024 08:15 Manambolosy Madagascar  0.9
01 Feb 2024 08:15 Fahambahy Madagascar  0.9
01 Feb 2024 08:15 Tampolo Madagascar  0.9
01 Feb 2024 08:15 Andilamboahangy Madagascar  0.9
01 Feb 2024 08:15 Mananara Madagascar  0.9
01 Feb 2024 08:15 Ambatofitarafana Madagascar  0.9
01 Feb 2024 08:15 Seranambe Madagascar  0.9
03 Feb 2024 22:00 Port Douzieme French Southern and Antarctic Lands  0.7
02 Feb 2024 06:45 Ambatoharana Madagascar  0.7
01 Feb 2024 18:15 Ampasimbe Madagascar  0.5
01 Feb 2024 18:15 Manakalana Madagascar  0.5
01 Feb 2024 18:15 Soanierana Ivongo Madagascar  0.5
01 Feb 2024 18:15 Andrangazaha Madagascar  0.5
05 Feb 2024 07:00 Victoria Seychelles  0.5
05 Feb 2024 07:00 Anse Boileau Seychelles  0.5
05 Feb 2024 00:45 Port-aux-Francais French Southern and Antarctic Lands  0.5
02 Feb 2024 06:45 Vinanivao Madagascar  0.5
05 Feb 2024 07:15 Anse Volbert Village Seychelles  0.5
05 Feb 2024 07:15 La Reunion Seychelles  0.5
02 Feb 2024 18:15 Ivontaka Madagascar  0.5
01 Feb 2024 07:45 Ambodimanga Madagascar  0.5
01 Feb 2024 07:45 Antanambe Madagascar  0.5
01 Feb 2024 18:15 Vohilava Madagascar  0.5
02 Feb 2024 05:00 Lokia Madagascar  0.5
02 Feb 2024 05:00 Andringahely Madagascar  0.5
02 Feb 2024 05:00 Ampisikanana Madagascar  0.5
31 Jan 2024 13:45 Port Jeanne d'Arc French Southern and Antarctic Lands  0.5
02 Feb 2024 04:45 Ampasina Madagascar  0.5
02 Feb 2024 04:45 Antakobola Madagascar  0.5
02 Feb 2024 04:45 Analanampotsy Madagascar  0.5
02 Feb 2024 18:15 Fandrarazana Madagascar  0.4
02 Feb 2024 18:15 Manompana Madagascar  0.4
02 Feb 2024 18:15 Antanetilava Madagascar  0.4
02 Feb 2024 18:15 Vatobe Madagascar  0.4
02 Feb 2024 18:15 Manambato Madagascar  0.4
02 Feb 2024 05:00 Ambatoharanana Madagascar  0.4
03 Feb 2024 06:15 Mahavanona Madagascar  0.4
03 Feb 2024 06:15 Fenerive Madagascar  0.4
02 Feb 2024 18:30 Lonkintsy Madagascar  0.4
02 Feb 2024 18:30 Lokintsy Madagascar  0.4
02 Feb 2024 18:30 Lohatrozona Madagascar  0.4
02 Feb 2024 18:30 Tanambe Madagascar  0.4
01 Feb 2024 18:30 Ambodifototra Madagascar  0.4
03 Feb 2024 16:30 Ambodiatafa Madagascar  0.4
01 Feb 2024 07:15 Antsikafoka Madagascar  0.4
01 Feb 2024 07:15 Mahambo Madagascar  0.4
01 Feb 2024 06:45 Ampaha Madagascar  0.4
01 Feb 2024 06:45 Andrapengy Madagascar  0.4
01 Feb 2024 06:45 Ambinany Madagascar  0.4
01 Feb 2024 06:45 Antalaha Madagascar  0.4
31 Jan 2024 19:00 Tampina Madagascar  0.4
04 Feb 2024 19:15 Ambinanililabe Madagascar  0.4
04 Feb 2024 19:15 Antseranana Madagascar  0.4
04 Feb 2024 19:15 Anjiabe Madagascar  0.4
04 Feb 2024 19:15 Andasoa Madagascar  0.4
04 Feb 2024 19:15 Amoronjia-Orangea Madagascar  0.4
04 Feb 2024 19:15 Ampasindava Madagascar  0.4
04 Feb 2024 19:15 Ampondrahazo Madagascar  0.4
02 Feb 2024 05:00 Irodo Madagascar  0.4
02 Feb 2024 05:00 Ampondrabe Madagascar  0.4
02 Feb 2024 18:30 Anaovandrano Madagascar  0.4
02 Feb 2024 04:45 Antsisikala Madagascar  0.4
02 Feb 2024 04:45 Antsahalalina Madagascar  0.4
02 Feb 2024 04:45 Andranovondronina Madagascar  0.4
02 Feb 2024 04:45 Betsimiranja Madagascar  0.4
04 Feb 2024 07:00 Ambaritsatrana Madagascar  0.4
02 Feb 2024 04:15 Maniroka Madagascar  0.4
02 Feb 2024 04:15 Antanjokatafana Madagascar  0.4
02 Feb 2024 04:15 Ratsianarana Madagascar  0.4
02 Feb 2024 04:15 Ambodivato Madagascar  0.4
04 Feb 2024 07:00 Ambatonjanahary Madagascar  0.3
02 Feb 2024 05:00 Antsirabato Madagascar  0.3
02 Feb 2024 05:00 Anjahamarina Madagascar  0.3
05 Feb 2024 18:45 Ambalabe Madagascar  0.3
05 Feb 2024 18:45 Ambohitralanana Madagascar  0.3
02 Feb 2024 04:45 Ambolobozokely Madagascar  0.3
02 Feb 2024 05:00 Lotsohina Madagascar  0.3
02 Feb 2024 18:30 Marofinaritra Madagascar  0.3
02 Feb 2024 18:30 Ankarefo Madagascar  0.3
01 Feb 2024 07:15 Anjanozana Madagascar  0.3
01 Feb 2024 07:15 Ampanavoana Madagascar  0.3
03 Feb 2024 20:00 Andrafiamadinika Madagascar  0.3
04 Feb 2024 18:00 Namahoaka Madagascar  0.3
04 Feb 2024 18:00 Mahatsara Madagascar  0.3
02 Feb 2024 04:45 Ambodipont-Sahana Madagascar  0.3
03 Feb 2024 17:45 Foulpointe Madagascar  0.3
03 Feb 2024 18:15 Ambinanysahavary Madagascar  0.3
03 Feb 2024 18:15 Taratasy Madagascar  0.3
02 Feb 2024 04:45 Tanambao Madagascar  0.3
02 Feb 2024 04:45 Antongompatatra Madagascar  0.3
02 Feb 2024 04:45 Bemanevika Madagascar  0.3
02 Feb 2024 04:45 Ampana Kanana Madagascar  0.3
02 Feb 2024 05:00 Farahalana Madagascar  0.3
02 Feb 2024 05:00 Amborimalana Madagascar  0.3
02 Feb 2024 05:00 Antohamaro Madagascar  0.3
02 Feb 2024 04:45 Ampondra Madagascar  0.3
02 Feb 2024 04:45 Antsahotompy Madagascar  0.3
02 Feb 2024 04:45 Amboanio Madagascar  0.3
02 Feb 2024 04:45 Ambondrombe Madagascar  0.3
02 Feb 2024 05:00 Antanambao Madagascar  0.3
02 Feb 2024 05:00 Vohemar Madagascar  0.3
02 Feb 2024 05:00 Sambava Madagascar  0.3
02 Feb 2024 18:30 Mahatsara Madagascar  0.3
05 Feb 2024 18:15 Ambanjsondriry Madagascar  0.3
05 Feb 2024 18:15 Masondrono Madagascar  0.3
03 Feb 2024 18:00 Ambodimanga Madagascar  0.3
03 Feb 2024 18:00 Vohitsara Madagascar  0.3
03 Feb 2024 17:30 La Possession Reunion  0.3
03 Feb 2024 17:30 Saint-Denis Reunion  0.3
03 Feb 2024 17:30 Saint-Marie Reunion  0.3
03 Feb 2024 17:30 Sainte-Suzanne Reunion  0.3
05 Feb 2024 19:15 Ambodihariha Madagascar  0.3
05 Feb 2024 19:15 Antetezambaro Madagascar  0.3
03 Feb 2024 17:45 Tamatave Madagascar  0.3
04 Feb 2024 14:15 West Island Cocos (Keeling) Islands  0.3
03 Feb 2024 17:15 Trou aux Biches Mauritius  0.2
03 Feb 2024 17:15 Saint-Antoine Mauritius  0.2
02 Feb 2024 19:00 Saint-Paul Reunion  0.2
02 Feb 2024 19:00 Saint-Leu Reunion  0.2
02 Feb 2024 19:00 Trois Bassins Reunion  0.2
02 Feb 2024 19:00 Le Port Reunion  0.2
31 Jan 2024 03:30 La Ferme Mauritius  0.2
31 Jan 2024 03:30 Port Mathurin Mauritius  0.2
03 Feb 2024 18:00 Riviere du Rempart Mauritius  0.2
02 Feb 2024 05:45 Grande Reviere Sud Est Mauritius  0.2
03 Feb 2024 18:00 Saint-Philippe Reunion  0.2
03 Feb 2024 18:00 Sainte-Rose Reunion  0.2
03 Feb 2024 18:00 Cascades Reunion  0.2
03 Feb 2024 17:45 Riche-en-Eau Mauritius  0.2
03 Feb 2024 17:45 Maheboug Mauritius  0.2
03 Feb 2024 18:00 Les Avirons Reunion  0.2
03 Feb 2024 18:00 Etang Sale Reunion  0.2
03 Feb 2024 18:00 Saint-Louis Reunion  0.2
03 Feb 2024 17:45 Port Louis Mauritius  0.2
03 Feb 2024 18:00 Saint-Pierre Reunion  0.2
03 Feb 2024 17:45 Choisy Mauritius  0.2
03 Feb 2024 17:45 Black River Mauritius  0.2
03 Feb 2024 17:45 Chemin Grenier Mauritius  0.2
03 Feb 2024 17:45 Saint-Andre Reunion  0.2
02 Feb 2024 19:30 Bras-Panon Reunion  0.2
03 Feb 2024 17:45 Saint-Benoit Reunion  0.2
03 Feb 2024 18:00 Petite Ile Reunion  0.2
03 Feb 2024 18:00 Saint-Joseph Reunion  0.2
03 Feb 2024 17:45 Souillac Mauritius  0.2
04 Feb 2024 19:30 La Roche Godon French Southern and Antarctic Lands  0.2
03 Feb 2024 15:00 Point Marianne British Indian Ocean Territory  0.2
03 Feb 2024 15:00 East Point Plantation British Indian Ocean Territory  0.2