Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for CRISTINA-20
in Mexico,
07 Jul 2020 06 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone CRISTINA-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Mexico
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 115 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (07 Jul 08:45 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 115 km/h 0.4 m 134 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 115 km/h 0.4 m 436 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

115 km/h

Up to Few people can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 07 Jul 2020 06:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormMexico195 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 06 Jul 2020 18:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 07 Jul 2020 00:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 07 Jul 2020 06:00 155 -
- - - - - Mexico
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 07 Jul 2020 06:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmMexico110,956 
50-100 mmMexico17,800,505 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 06 Jul 2020 18:00 208 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 07 Jul 2020 00:00 131 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 07 Jul 2020 06:00 379 110 thousand
- - - - Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.4m in Puerto Venustiano Carranza, Mexico. This height is estimated for 07 Jul 2020 08:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 07 Jul 2020 06:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
07 Jul 2020 08:45 Puerto Venustiano Carranza Mexico  0.4
07 Jul 2020 07:45 Desembarcadero de Miller Mexico  0.3
07 Jul 2020 07:45 Cedros Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 08:30 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 08:30 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 08:30 Cuantla Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 08:30 Cuamecate Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 08:00 Maudlowe United States  0.2
07 Jul 2020 08:00 Tivoli United States  0.2
07 Jul 2020 08:00 Spanish Village United States  0.2
07 Jul 2020 08:00 Austwell United States  0.2
07 Jul 2020 08:00 Green Lake United States  0.2
07 Jul 2020 08:00 North Seadrift United States  0.2
07 Jul 2020 08:00 Long Mott United States  0.2
07 Jul 2020 08:00 Seadrift United States  0.2
07 Jul 2020 08:15 Isla Natividad Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 08:45 La Playa Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 08:15 Novillero Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 08:45 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 08:30 La Florida Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 08:30 San Carlos Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 11:15 Bahia Kino Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 08:15 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 08:30 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 08:00 Alamo Beach United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 08:00 Point Comfort United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 08:00 Magnolia Beach United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 08:00 Indianola United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 08:00 Olivia United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 08:00 Weedhaven United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 08:00 Port Alto United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 08:00 Port O'Connor United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 08:00 Carancahua United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 08:00 El Campo Club Community United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 08:30 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 08:15 El Nuevo Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 07:30 Camp Hulen United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 09:00 Buenaventura Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 10:30 Agua de las Flores Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 10:00 Corpus Christi United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 10:00 North Beach United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 10:00 Gardendale United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 10:00 Doyle United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 10:00 Orange Grove United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 10:00 Portland United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 10:00 Gregory United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 08:00 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 09:45 La Gloria Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 09:45 Chaparral Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 08:30 San Juanico Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 08:30 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 08:15 El Guatamota Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 11:00 El Barril Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 08:00 Estero la Bocana Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 08:15 Queretaro Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 08:15 Bahia de Tortugas Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 07:45 Playa Oceano Pacifico Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 07:30 Palacios United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 07:30 Collegeport United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 08:00 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 10:45 Tecomate Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 07:30 Citrus Grove United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 08:00 Puerto Magdalena Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 08:00 Adolfo Lopez Mateos Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 07:45 Bahia Asuncion Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 08:00 La Puerta Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 11:15 San Rafael Mexico  0.1