Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for FERDINAND-20
Off-shore
29 Feb 2020 12 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone FERDINAND-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 72 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (29 Feb 16:45 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 72 km/h 0.2 m 288 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 194 km/h 0.2 m 737 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

194 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 29 Feb 2020 12:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 23 Feb 2020 18:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 24 Feb 2020 00:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 24 Feb 2020 06:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 24 Feb 2020 12:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 24 Feb 2020 18:00 130 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 25 Feb 2020 00:00 140 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 25 Feb 2020 06:00 180 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 25 Feb 2020 12:00 191 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 25 Feb 2020 18:00 194 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 26 Feb 2020 00:00 176 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 26 Feb 2020 06:00 176 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 26 Feb 2020 12:00 180 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 26 Feb 2020 18:00 158 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 27 Feb 2020 00:00 144 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 27 Feb 2020 06:00 122 - - - - - - -
GREEN 16 27 Feb 2020 12:00 104 - - - - - - -
GREEN 17 27 Feb 2020 18:00 112 - - - - - - -
GREEN 18 28 Feb 2020 00:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 19 28 Feb 2020 06:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 20 28 Feb 2020 12:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 21 28 Feb 2020 18:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 22 29 Feb 2020 00:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 23 29 Feb 2020 06:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 24 29 Feb 2020 12:00 72 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 29 Feb 2020 12:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 23 Feb 2020 18:00 135 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 24 Feb 2020 00:00 143 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 24 Feb 2020 06:00 173 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 24 Feb 2020 12:00 123 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 24 Feb 2020 18:00 209 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 25 Feb 2020 00:00 269 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 25 Feb 2020 06:00 267 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 25 Feb 2020 12:00 442 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 25 Feb 2020 18:00 405 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 26 Feb 2020 00:00 449 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 26 Feb 2020 06:00 369 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 26 Feb 2020 12:00 270 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 26 Feb 2020 18:00 126 - - - - - - -
Blue 14 27 Feb 2020 00:00 128 - - - - - - -
Blue 15 27 Feb 2020 06:00 137 - - - - - - -
Blue 16 27 Feb 2020 12:00 154 - - - - - - -
Blue 17 27 Feb 2020 18:00 186 - - - - - - -
Blue 18 28 Feb 2020 00:00 145 - - - - - - -
Blue 19 28 Feb 2020 06:00 136 - - - - - - -
Blue 20 28 Feb 2020 12:00 243 - - - - - - -
Blue 21 28 Feb 2020 18:00 237 - - - - - - -
Blue 22 29 Feb 2020 00:00 92 - - - - - - -
Blue 23 29 Feb 2020 06:00 243 - - - - - - -
Blue 24 29 Feb 2020 12:00 406 - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Pardoo, Australia. This height is estimated for 29 Feb 2020 16:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 29 Feb 2020 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
29 Feb 2020 16:45 Pardoo Australia  0.2
03 Mar 2020 11:30 Dampier Australia  0.2
03 Mar 2020 11:30 Karratha Australia  0.2
29 Feb 2020 13:45 Petanahan Indonesia  0.2
29 Feb 2020 19:45 Memboro Indonesia  0.2
29 Feb 2020 19:45 Lena Indonesia  0.2
29 Feb 2020 19:30 Waingapu Indonesia  0.2
29 Feb 2020 19:30 Matawai Indonesia  0.2
29 Feb 2020 19:30 Pajeti Indonesia  0.2
29 Feb 2020 19:30 Kadesa Indonesia  0.2
29 Feb 2020 19:30 Lapaoe Indonesia  0.2
29 Feb 2020 20:30 Blimbing Indonesia  0.1
29 Feb 2020 20:30 Dadapan Indonesia  0.1
29 Feb 2020 20:30 Banyuwangi Indonesia  0.1
29 Feb 2020 20:30 Banjuwangi Indonesia  0.1
29 Feb 2020 20:30 Soega Indonesia  0.1
29 Feb 2020 20:30 Gilimanuk Indonesia  0.1
29 Feb 2020 20:30 Penginoeman Indonesia  0.1
29 Feb 2020 20:30 Belimbingsari Indonesia  0.1
29 Feb 2020 20:30 Tjandikesuma Indonesia  0.1
29 Feb 2020 20:30 Banjoebiroe Indonesia  0.1
29 Feb 2020 17:00 Condon Australia  0.1
29 Feb 2020 19:30 Maoedoeloeng Indonesia  0.1
29 Feb 2020 13:45 Sindangsari Indonesia  0.1
29 Feb 2020 13:45 Cijulang Indonesia  0.1
29 Feb 2020 13:45 Cikalong Indonesia  0.1
29 Feb 2020 13:45 Pangadaran Indonesia  0.1
29 Feb 2020 20:00 Muntjar Indonesia  0.1
29 Feb 2020 20:00 Cupel Indonesia  0.1
29 Feb 2020 20:00 Banjuwedang Indonesia  0.1
29 Feb 2020 20:00 Prancak Indonesia  0.1
29 Feb 2020 20:00 Negara Indonesia  0.1
29 Feb 2020 19:15 Lakohembi Indonesia  0.1
29 Feb 2020 19:15 Lapatawang Indonesia  0.1
29 Feb 2020 19:45 Ramoet Indonesia  0.1
29 Feb 2020 19:45 Kampoeng Mborong Indonesia  0.1
29 Feb 2020 19:45 Lenteng Indonesia  0.1
29 Feb 2020 19:45 Rinca Indonesia  0.1
29 Feb 2020 19:45 Lo'o Indonesia  0.1
29 Feb 2020 19:45 Nangalele Indonesia  0.1
29 Feb 2020 19:45 Tanahdamar Indonesia  0.1
29 Feb 2020 19:30 Paraing Liang Indonesia  0.1
29 Feb 2020 19:45 Sessok Indonesia  0.1
01 Mar 2020 01:30 Chilachap Indonesia  0.1
01 Mar 2020 01:30 Adipala Indonesia  0.1
02 Mar 2020 20:00 Port Hedland Australia  0.1
29 Feb 2020 20:00 Katewela Indonesia  0.1
29 Feb 2020 20:00 Karendi Indonesia  0.1
01 Mar 2020 07:30 Brassan Indonesia  0.1
29 Feb 2020 19:45 Lalindi Indonesia  0.1
29 Feb 2020 19:45 Manoekangga Indonesia  0.1
29 Feb 2020 16:00 Bundera Bundera Australia  0.1
29 Feb 2020 19:15 Waikasaha Indonesia  0.1
29 Feb 2020 19:15 Kodi Indonesia  0.1
29 Feb 2020 19:15 Soema Indonesia  0.1
29 Feb 2020 19:15 Genggalo Indonesia  0.1
29 Feb 2020 20:00 Grajagan Indonesia  0.1
29 Feb 2020 20:00 Gradjagan Indonesia  0.1
29 Feb 2020 17:45 Binangoen Indonesia  0.1
29 Feb 2020 17:45 Ajah Indonesia  0.1
29 Feb 2020 21:45 East Lewis I Australia  0.1
29 Feb 2020 15:00 Pringgabaja Indonesia  0.1
29 Feb 2020 15:00 Lombok Indonesia  0.1
29 Feb 2020 19:30 Komodo Indonesia  0.1
01 Mar 2020 01:45 Kencong Indonesia  0.1
01 Mar 2020 01:45 Lodjedjer Indonesia  0.1
29 Feb 2020 19:45 Bangkulua Indonesia  0.1
29 Feb 2020 19:45 Huu Indonesia  0.1
29 Feb 2020 19:45 Madawa Indonesia  0.1
29 Feb 2020 19:45 Polo Indonesia  0.1
02 Mar 2020 06:45 Mardie Australia  0.1
29 Feb 2020 19:45 Madala Indonesia  0.1
29 Feb 2020 19:45 Bondobela Indonesia  0.1
29 Feb 2020 19:45 Waigalli Indonesia  0.1
29 Feb 2020 19:45 Praigaga Indonesia  0.1
29 Feb 2020 19:30 Kahale Indonesia  0.1
29 Feb 2020 19:30 Oeboeoleta Indonesia  0.1
29 Feb 2020 22:30 Point Samson Australia  0.1
29 Feb 2020 22:30 Cossack Australia  0.1
29 Feb 2020 20:00 Doro Kempo Indonesia  0.1
01 Mar 2020 19:45 Pulukan Indonesia  0.1
01 Mar 2020 19:45 Badjera Indonesia  0.1
01 Mar 2020 19:45 Krambitan Indonesia  0.1
29 Feb 2020 19:45 Lebah Indonesia  0.1
29 Feb 2020 13:00 Sunut Indonesia  0.1
29 Feb 2020 13:00 Djareweh Indonesia  0.1
03 Mar 2020 04:45 Wickham Australia  0.1