Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for FERDINAND-20
Off-shore
26 Feb 2020 06 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone FERDINAND-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 176 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (26 Feb 07:30 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 176 km/h 0.2 m 369 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 194 km/h 0.2 m 737 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 26 Feb 2020 06:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 23 Feb 2020 18:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 24 Feb 2020 00:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 24 Feb 2020 06:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 24 Feb 2020 12:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 24 Feb 2020 18:00 130 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 25 Feb 2020 00:00 140 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 25 Feb 2020 06:00 180 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 25 Feb 2020 12:00 191 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 25 Feb 2020 18:00 194 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 26 Feb 2020 00:00 176 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 26 Feb 2020 06:00 187 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall

737 mm

No people can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)





Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 26 Feb 2020 06:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 23 Feb 2020 18:00 135 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 24 Feb 2020 00:00 143 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 24 Feb 2020 06:00 173 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 24 Feb 2020 12:00 123 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 24 Feb 2020 18:00 209 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 25 Feb 2020 00:00 269 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 25 Feb 2020 06:00 267 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 25 Feb 2020 12:00 442 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 25 Feb 2020 18:00 405 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 26 Feb 2020 00:00 449 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 26 Feb 2020 06:00 658 - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Waingapu, Indonesia. This height is estimated for 26 Feb 2020 07:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 26 Feb 2020 06:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
26 Feb 2020 07:30 Waingapu Indonesia  0.2
26 Feb 2020 07:30 Matawai Indonesia  0.2
26 Feb 2020 07:30 Pajeti Indonesia  0.2
26 Feb 2020 07:30 Lakohembi Indonesia  0.2
26 Feb 2020 06:15 Dampier Australia  0.2
26 Feb 2020 06:15 Karratha Australia  0.2
26 Feb 2020 06:15 Mardie Australia  0.1
26 Feb 2020 12:00 Pardoo Australia  0.1
26 Feb 2020 09:00 Blimbing Indonesia  0.1
26 Feb 2020 09:00 Dadapan Indonesia  0.1
26 Feb 2020 09:00 Banyuwangi Indonesia  0.1
26 Feb 2020 09:00 Banjuwangi Indonesia  0.1
26 Feb 2020 09:00 Soega Indonesia  0.1
26 Feb 2020 09:00 Gilimanuk Indonesia  0.1
26 Feb 2020 09:00 Penginoeman Indonesia  0.1
26 Feb 2020 09:00 Belimbingsari Indonesia  0.1
26 Feb 2020 09:00 Tjandikesuma Indonesia  0.1
26 Feb 2020 09:00 Banjoebiroe Indonesia  0.1
26 Feb 2020 10:30 East Lewis I Australia  0.1
26 Feb 2020 07:30 Lapatawang Indonesia  0.1
26 Feb 2020 07:45 Maoedoeloeng Indonesia  0.1
26 Feb 2020 11:45 Muntjar Indonesia  0.1
26 Feb 2020 12:00 Condon Australia  0.1
26 Feb 2020 12:00 Port Hedland Australia  0.1
26 Feb 2020 07:15 Pringgabaja Indonesia  0.1
26 Feb 2020 07:15 Lombok Indonesia  0.1
26 Feb 2020 07:30 Paraing Liang Indonesia  0.1
26 Feb 2020 07:30 Laboean Mapin Indonesia  0.1
26 Feb 2020 07:30 Kencong Indonesia  0.1
26 Feb 2020 07:30 Lodjedjer Indonesia  0.1
26 Feb 2020 06:30 Adipala Indonesia  0.1
26 Feb 2020 06:30 Binangoen Indonesia  0.1
26 Feb 2020 07:45 Lapaoe Indonesia  0.1
26 Feb 2020 07:45 Ramoet Indonesia  0.1
26 Feb 2020 08:00 Denpasar Indonesia  0.1
26 Feb 2020 08:00 Sukawati Indonesia  0.1
26 Feb 2020 08:00 Labih Indonesia  0.1
26 Feb 2020 08:00 Bandjarangkan Indonesia  0.1
26 Feb 2020 08:00 Lungkung Indonesia  0.1
26 Feb 2020 08:00 Lembongan Indonesia  0.1
26 Feb 2020 08:00 Tojapakeh Indonesia  0.1
26 Feb 2020 06:30 Chilachap Indonesia  0.1
26 Feb 2020 11:00 Bundera Bundera Australia  0.1
26 Feb 2020 08:00 Kadesa Indonesia  0.1