Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for DAMIEN-20
in Australia
08 Feb 2020 06 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone DAMIEN-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Australia
Exposed population 30 thousand in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 155 km/h
Maximum storm surge 2.5 m (08 Feb 06:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Low (Australia)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 155 km/h 2.5 m 162 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 155 km/h 2.6 m 385 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

155 km/h

Up to 30 thousand in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 08 Feb 2020 06:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
CAT. 1Australia27,151 
Tropical StormAustralia7,062 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 06 Feb 2020 00:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 06 Feb 2020 06:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 06 Feb 2020 12:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 06 Feb 2020 18:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 07 Feb 2020 00:00 112 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 07 Feb 2020 06:00 119 -
- - - - - Australia
GREEN 7 07 Feb 2020 12:00 119 -
- - - - - Australia
GREEN 8 07 Feb 2020 18:00 148 -
- - - - - Australia
GREEN 9 08 Feb 2020 00:00 140 20 thousand
- - - - Australia
GREEN 10 08 Feb 2020 06:00 155 30 thousand
- - - - Australia
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 08 Feb 2020 06:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmIndonesia, Timor-Leste, Australia27,901
+
Indonesia14,544 
Timor-Leste686 
Australia12,671 
50-100 mmIndonesia, Timor-Leste, Australia3,674,839
+
Indonesia2,823,557 
Timor-Leste831,992 
Australia19,290 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 06 Feb 2020 00:00 69 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 06 Feb 2020 06:00 195 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 06 Feb 2020 12:00 149 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 06 Feb 2020 18:00 100 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 07 Feb 2020 00:00 121 -
- - - - - Indonesia
Blue 6 07 Feb 2020 06:00 95 -
- - - - - Indonesia
Blue 7 07 Feb 2020 12:00 129 -
- - - - - Indonesia
Blue 8 07 Feb 2020 18:00 160 Few people
- - - - Indonesia, Australia
Blue 9 08 Feb 2020 00:00 125 Few people
- - - - Australia
Blue 10 08 Feb 2020 06:00 226 30 thousand
- - - - Indonesia, Timor-Leste, Australia




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

2.5 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  2.5m in Dampier, Australia. This height is estimated for 08 Feb 2020 06:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 08 Feb 2020 06:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
08 Feb 2020 06:00 Dampier Australia  2.5
08 Feb 2020 06:00 Karratha Australia  2.5
08 Feb 2020 06:00 Wickham Australia  1.5
08 Feb 2020 06:00 Point Samson Australia  1.5
08 Feb 2020 06:00 Cossack Australia  1.5
08 Feb 2020 06:00 East Lewis I Australia  1.5
08 Feb 2020 06:00 Ah Chong I Australia  0.5
08 Feb 2020 06:00 Port Hedland Australia  0.5
08 Feb 2020 10:30 Pardoo Australia  0.2
08 Feb 2020 06:00 Condon Australia  0.2
08 Feb 2020 09:45 Thangoo Australia  0.2
08 Feb 2020 08:15 Albany Australia  0.1
08 Feb 2020 08:15 Emu Point Australia  0.1
08 Feb 2020 07:30 Denmark Australia  0.1
08 Feb 2020 07:30 Youngs Australia  0.1
08 Feb 2020 08:30 Oakdale Australia  0.1
08 Feb 2020 08:30 Minarup Australia  0.1
08 Feb 2020 06:00 Glenroy Australia  0.1
08 Feb 2020 07:15 Parryville Australia  0.1
08 Feb 2020 07:00 Exmouth Australia  0.1
08 Feb 2020 08:30 Hopetoun Australia  0.1
08 Feb 2020 08:30 Jerdacuttup Australia  0.1