Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for HIKAA-19
in Oman, Saudi Arabia

Impact

Tropical Cyclone HIKAA-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Afghanistan, Oman
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 130 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.8 m (24 Sep 15:30 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Oman)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 130 km/h 0.8 m 131 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 61 km/h 0.6 m 190 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 24 Sep 2019 06:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormAfghanistan, Oman35,330
+
Afghanistan354 
Oman34,976 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 22 Sep 2019 18:00 94 -
- - - - - Afghanistan, Iran
GREEN 2 23 Sep 2019 00:00 86 -
- - - - - Afghanistan, Iran
GREEN 3 23 Sep 2019 06:00 133 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 23 Sep 2019 12:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 23 Sep 2019 18:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 24 Sep 2019 00:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 24 Sep 2019 06:00 130 -
- - - - - Afghanistan, Oman
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h

Rainfall

190 mm

Up to 80 thousand can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 24 Sep 2019 06:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmIndia18,321 
100-250 mmSouth Sudan, Maldives65,154
+
South Sudan10,879 
Maldives54,275 
50-100 mmIndia, Oman, Ethiopia, South Sudan, Maldives33,422,823
+
India14,010,169 
Oman2,872 
Ethiopia18,808,330 
South Sudan541,890 
Maldives59,562 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 22 Sep 2019 18:00 48 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 23 Sep 2019 00:00 126 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 23 Sep 2019 06:00 91 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 23 Sep 2019 12:00 98 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 23 Sep 2019 18:00 68 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 24 Sep 2019 00:00 148 Few people
- - - - Maldives
Blue 7 24 Sep 2019 06:00 335 80 thousand
- - - India, Oman, Ethiopia, South Sudan, Maldives




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.8 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.8m in Al Khaluf, Oman. This height is estimated for 24 Sep 2019 15:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 24 Sep 2019 06:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
24 Sep 2019 15:30 Al Khaluf Oman  0.8
24 Sep 2019 15:30 Filim Oman  0.8
24 Sep 2019 15:00 As Sirab Oman  0.5
24 Sep 2019 16:00 New Kandla India  0.3
24 Sep 2019 16:00 Navlakhi India  0.3
24 Sep 2019 08:15 Dafiyat Oman  0.3
24 Sep 2019 08:15 Dhuwwah Oman  0.3
26 Sep 2019 13:45 Al Jahra Kuwait  0.3
25 Sep 2019 12:45 Bandar-e Khomeyni Iran  0.3
24 Sep 2019 15:00 Nafun Oman  0.3
24 Sep 2019 13:45 Al Kalban Oman  0.3
25 Sep 2019 11:00 Nahr-e Azraq Iran  0.3
25 Sep 2019 11:00 Kut al Hau Basluu Iraq  0.3
25 Sep 2019 11:00 Al Qushlah Iraq  0.3
25 Sep 2019 11:00 Nahr-e Abu Fulus Iran  0.3
25 Sep 2019 11:45 Shumaymah Kuwait  0.3
27 Sep 2019 06:00 Kavi India  0.2
27 Sep 2019 06:00 Tankari India  0.2
25 Sep 2019 12:15 Chatleh Iran  0.2
25 Sep 2019 12:15 Ad Dasma' Kuwait  0.2
25 Sep 2019 12:15 Al Kuwayt Kuwait  0.2
24 Sep 2019 08:00 Ghalat Oman  0.2
24 Sep 2019 07:45 Dawwah Oman  0.2
24 Sep 2019 07:45 Shiinzi Oman  0.2
25 Sep 2019 11:15 Al Funaytis Kuwait  0.2
25 Sep 2019 11:15 Az Zawr Kuwait  0.2
25 Sep 2019 12:00 Bu Taheri Iran  0.2
25 Sep 2019 12:00 Emamzadeh Shah Abdolah Iran  0.2
25 Sep 2019 11:45 Bandar-e Deylam Iran  0.2
25 Sep 2019 11:00 Al Funnayhil Kuwait  0.2
25 Sep 2019 10:45 Mina Abd Allah Kuwait  0.2
25 Sep 2019 10:45 Bushehr Iran  0.2
25 Sep 2019 10:45 Jezireh-ye Abbasak Iran  0.2
24 Sep 2019 13:00 Bu Lifiyat United Arab Emirates  0.2
25 Sep 2019 08:15 Lilitin Iran  0.2
25 Sep 2019 10:45 Heleylah Iran  0.2
25 Sep 2019 10:45 Rustami Iran  0.2
25 Sep 2019 11:00 Al Ad'ami Kuwait  0.2
25 Sep 2019 11:00 Mina Said Kuwait  0.2
25 Sep 2019 13:30 Al Khawwari Saudi Arabia  0.2
25 Sep 2019 13:30 Manifah Saudi Arabia  0.2
25 Sep 2019 08:30 Hesar Iran  0.2
25 Sep 2019 11:00 Manfadh al Khafji Saudi Arabia  0.2
25 Sep 2019 11:45 Al Mish ab Saudi Arabia  0.2
25 Sep 2019 11:15 Ras all Khafji Saudi Arabia  0.2
25 Sep 2019 08:30 Bang Iran  0.2
25 Sep 2019 08:30 Khalifeh Iran  0.2
25 Sep 2019 10:00 Ras-e Halieh Iran  0.2
25 Sep 2019 10:00 Delvar Iran  0.2
25 Sep 2019 10:00 Madumari Iran  0.2
25 Sep 2019 10:00 Bashi Iran  0.2
24 Sep 2019 15:45 Tuna India  0.2
25 Sep 2019 14:15 Al Qatif Saudi Arabia  0.2
25 Sep 2019 14:15 Ank Saudi Arabia  0.2
25 Sep 2019 14:15 Sayhat Saudi Arabia  0.2
25 Sep 2019 14:15 Tarut Saudi Arabia  0.2
25 Sep 2019 14:15 Al 'Adamah Saudi Arabia  0.2
25 Sep 2019 14:15 Ad Dammam Saudi Arabia  0.2
25 Sep 2019 14:15 Ar Rakah Saudi Arabia  0.2
24 Sep 2019 14:30 Jazirah United Arab Emirates  0.2
24 Sep 2019 14:30 Tarif United Arab Emirates  0.2
25 Sep 2019 08:45 Ganaveh Iran  0.2
24 Sep 2019 13:30 Abu Dhabi United Arab Emirates  0.2
24 Sep 2019 16:30 Pahel Iran  0.2
24 Sep 2019 16:30 Bandar-e Laft Iran  0.2
24 Sep 2019 16:30 Laft Iran  0.2
24 Sep 2019 16:30 Payi Pusht Iran  0.2
25 Sep 2019 09:30 Bandar-e Rig Iran  0.2
25 Sep 2019 09:30 Jalireh Iran  0.2
25 Sep 2019 23:45 Umm Said Qatar  0.2
24 Sep 2019 14:45 Al Marfa United Arab Emirates  0.2
25 Sep 2019 09:30 Jazireh Khark Iran  0.2
25 Sep 2019 09:30 Ramleh Iran  0.2
24 Sep 2019 16:15 Bandar-e Dargaham Iran  0.2
24 Sep 2019 16:15 Dogerdan Iran  0.2
25 Sep 2019 13:15 Al Fanatir Saudi Arabia  0.2
25 Sep 2019 13:15 Al Jubayl Industrial City Saudi Arabia  0.2
24 Sep 2019 14:45 Duqm Oman  0.2
27 Sep 2019 06:00 Asarsa India  0.2
27 Sep 2019 06:00 Dahej India  0.2
27 Sep 2019 06:00 Harinagar India  0.2
27 Sep 2019 06:00 Muler India  0.2
24 Sep 2019 08:30 Sur Masirah Oman  0.2
24 Sep 2019 08:30 'Urf Oman  0.2
24 Sep 2019 08:30 Mursays Oman  0.2
24 Sep 2019 08:30 Hiql Oman  0.2
24 Sep 2019 08:30 Maghilah Oman  0.2
25 Sep 2019 14:15 Najmah Saudi Arabia  0.2
24 Sep 2019 15:15 Jambura India  0.2
26 Sep 2019 00:30 Al Wakrah Qatar  0.2
26 Sep 2019 00:30 Ad Dawhah Qatar  0.2
24 Sep 2019 08:15 Sharkh Oman  0.2
24 Sep 2019 13:45 Salwa Saudi Arabia  0.2
24 Sep 2019 13:45 As Salwa Saudi Arabia  0.2
25 Sep 2019 19:30 Ra's Munaysif Saudi Arabia  0.2
25 Sep 2019 23:30 Al Khawr Qatar  0.2
25 Sep 2019 23:30 Dakhira Qatar  0.2
25 Sep 2019 19:15 Al Aziziyah Saudi Arabia  0.2
26 Sep 2019 15:00 Harag Jid Somalia  0.2
27 Sep 2019 06:00 Ghogha India  0.2
25 Sep 2019 13:15 Al Jubayl Saudi Arabia  0.2
25 Sep 2019 13:15 Ghizlan Saudi Arabia  0.2
25 Sep 2019 10:15 Rustami Iran  0.2
25 Sep 2019 10:15 Buol Kheyr Iran  0.2
24 Sep 2019 14:00 Umm Bab Qatar  0.2
26 Sep 2019 15:00 Alela Eritrea  0.2
26 Sep 2019 15:00 Aseb Eritrea  0.2
26 Sep 2019 15:00 Aylu Eritrea  0.2
24 Sep 2019 14:00 Qasasil Qatar  0.2
25 Sep 2019 10:15 Bonju Iran  0.2
26 Sep 2019 02:30 Zahr United Arab Emirates  0.2
26 Sep 2019 02:30 Dasah United Arab Emirates  0.2
25 Sep 2019 01:30 Al Manamah Bahrain  0.2
25 Sep 2019 01:30 Al Juffayr Bahrain  0.2
25 Sep 2019 01:30 Al Muharraq Bahrain  0.2
25 Sep 2019 01:30 Sitrah Bahrain  0.2
25 Sep 2019 01:30 Al Busaytin Bahrain  0.2
25 Sep 2019 01:30 'Arad Bahrain  0.2
25 Sep 2019 01:30 Qalali Bahrain  0.2
25 Sep 2019 01:30 Al Hidd Bahrain  0.2
25 Sep 2019 10:30 Hadakan Iran  0.2
25 Sep 2019 14:00 Salmbad Bahrain  0.2
25 Sep 2019 14:00 Al Seef Bahrain  0.2
25 Sep 2019 14:00 Jidd Hafs Bahrain  0.2
26 Sep 2019 16:30 Djibouti Djibouti  0.1
26 Sep 2019 16:30 Loyado Djibouti  0.1
24 Sep 2019 13:00 Aramda India  0.1
24 Sep 2019 14:15 Dukhan Qatar  0.1
26 Sep 2019 16:30 Takhushih Somalia  0.1
26 Sep 2019 16:30 Saylac Somalia  0.1
24 Sep 2019 15:00 Sika India  0.1
25 Sep 2019 10:30 Bariku Iran  0.1
26 Sep 2019 16:15 Tadjoura Djibouti  0.1
24 Sep 2019 17:00 Al Budayyi Bahrain  0.1
24 Sep 2019 17:00 Ad Diraz Bahrain  0.1
24 Sep 2019 17:00 Al Qurayyah Bahrain  0.1
24 Sep 2019 17:00 Badi Jamrah Bahrain  0.1
24 Sep 2019 17:00 Barbar Bahrain  0.1
24 Sep 2019 17:00 Az Zallaq Bahrain  0.1
24 Sep 2019 17:00 Hamad Town Bahrain  0.1
24 Sep 2019 17:00 Karranah Bahrain  0.1
27 Sep 2019 03:15 Bhagva India  0.1
27 Sep 2019 03:15 Olpad India  0.1
25 Sep 2019 11:00 Kabgan Iran  0.1
24 Sep 2019 17:00 Ar Rumaythah Bahrain  0.1
24 Sep 2019 15:00 Mundra India  0.1
25 Sep 2019 22:30 Ar Ruways United Arab Emirates  0.1
24 Sep 2019 17:15 Al Uqayr Saudi Arabia  0.1
25 Sep 2019 03:15 Mal Konzeh Iran  0.1
25 Sep 2019 03:15 Botkhaneh Iran  0.1
25 Sep 2019 03:15 Bibi Khatun Iran  0.1
26 Sep 2019 16:15 Obock Djibouti  0.1
26 Sep 2019 16:15 Fagal Djibouti  0.1
26 Sep 2019 16:15 Khor Angar Djibouti  0.1
25 Sep 2019 01:30 Abu az Zuluf Qatar  0.1
25 Sep 2019 01:30 Madinat ash Shamal Qatar  0.1
25 Sep 2019 01:30 Dorud Iran  0.1
25 Sep 2019 02:30 Qa Eh Dir Iran  0.1
25 Sep 2019 02:30 Banak Iran  0.1
25 Sep 2019 02:30 Kangan Iran  0.1
24 Sep 2019 15:15 Akri India  0.1
24 Sep 2019 14:00 Chudeswar India  0.1
24 Sep 2019 14:00 Salaya India  0.1
24 Sep 2019 14:00 Jhankhar India  0.1
25 Sep 2019 02:00 Al Ghariyah Qatar  0.1
25 Sep 2019 02:00 'Ayn Sinan Qatar  0.1
25 Sep 2019 02:30 Tonbak Iran  0.1
24 Sep 2019 08:30 Kambhat India  0.1
24 Sep 2019 08:30 Sarod India  0.1
24 Sep 2019 06:00 Qeshm Iran  0.1
24 Sep 2019 06:00 Bandar Abbas Iran  0.1
25 Sep 2019 02:30 Akhtar Iran  0.1
25 Sep 2019 02:30 Ad Dur Bahrain  0.1
25 Sep 2019 02:30 Jaww Bahrain  0.1
27 Sep 2019 02:15 Damka India  0.1
27 Sep 2019 02:15 Surat India  0.1
27 Sep 2019 02:15 Jalalpur India  0.1
25 Sep 2019 06:30 Dagabta Eritrea  0.1
25 Sep 2019 02:15 Bandar-e Tahari Iran  0.1
24 Sep 2019 18:00 Bandar-e Guran Iran  0.1
24 Sep 2019 18:00 Salagh Iran  0.1
24 Sep 2019 18:00 Tabl Iran  0.1
25 Sep 2019 02:15 Poozeh Iran  0.1
25 Sep 2019 02:00 Asaluyeh Iran  0.1
25 Sep 2019 02:00 Nay Band Iran  0.1
26 Sep 2019 15:30 Anteral Somalia  0.1
24 Sep 2019 08:00 Rasa Eritrea  0.1
26 Sep 2019 15:45 Biyafoge Somalia  0.1
26 Sep 2019 15:45 Sheikh Ali Idris Somalia  0.1
26 Sep 2019 15:45 Bullaxaar Somalia  0.1
24 Sep 2019 12:30 Arzeni Iran  0.1
24 Sep 2019 14:15 Navinal India  0.1
25 Sep 2019 01:30 Gheverzeh Iran  0.1
24 Sep 2019 13:30 Hormoz Iran  0.1
26 Sep 2019 15:45 Geeri Somalia  0.1
26 Sep 2019 16:30 Mayyun Yemen  0.1
26 Sep 2019 16:30 Murad Yemen  0.1
25 Sep 2019 01:45 Zeyarat Iran  0.1
26 Sep 2019 01:30 Hendarabi Iran  0.1
26 Sep 2019 16:30 Al Hajaf Yemen  0.1
26 Sep 2019 01:45 Dehriz Iran  0.1
26 Sep 2019 15:30 Ankhor Somalia  0.1
26 Sep 2019 15:30 Dagah Gudud Somalia  0.1
26 Sep 2019 16:15 Muhammad 'Ali Bin Fatha Sumana Yemen  0.1
26 Sep 2019 01:45 Bandar-e Magam Iran  0.1
26 Sep 2019 16:15 Al Bahiyah Yemen  0.1
26 Sep 2019 16:00 Berbera Somalia  0.1
26 Sep 2019 16:00 Batalaale Somalia  0.1
24 Sep 2019 15:30 Hundegal Somalia  0.1
24 Sep 2019 13:00 Khargun Iran  0.1
25 Sep 2019 01:45 Bandar-e Bostaneh Iran  0.1
24 Sep 2019 22:00 Nalasopara India  0.1
24 Sep 2019 22:00 Agashi India  0.1
24 Sep 2019 22:00 Dongri India  0.1
24 Sep 2019 22:00 Vasai India  0.1
24 Sep 2019 22:00 Mira Bhayandar India  0.1
24 Sep 2019 22:00 Navghar India  0.1
26 Sep 2019 01:00 Bagh Iran  0.1
26 Sep 2019 01:00 Safain Iran  0.1
24 Sep 2019 13:30 Bhadia India  0.1
24 Sep 2019 13:00 Mandvi India  0.1
26 Sep 2019 00:30 Masheh Iran  0.1
26 Sep 2019 16:45 Rehayto Eritrea  0.1
24 Sep 2019 08:00 Badeda Eritrea  0.1
24 Sep 2019 08:00 Diwalu Eritrea  0.1
26 Sep 2019 16:15 Qa'wa Yemen  0.1
26 Sep 2019 01:15 Bandar-e Chiru Iran  0.1
25 Sep 2019 10:45 Khamir Iran  0.1
24 Sep 2019 08:00 Mersa Fatma Eritrea  0.1
26 Sep 2019 16:00 Madinat ash Shab Yemen  0.1
26 Sep 2019 00:15 Chahu Shomali Iran  0.1
26 Sep 2019 15:45 Carmaale Somalia  0.1
26 Sep 2019 15:45 Hadeytacawl Somalia  0.1
26 Sep 2019 15:45 Sabawanaag Somalia  0.1
26 Sep 2019 15:45 Lughaye Somalia  0.1
24 Sep 2019 18:45 Nocra Eritrea  0.1
24 Sep 2019 18:45 Jimhil Eritrea  0.1
24 Sep 2019 18:45 Cumbeiba Eritrea  0.1
24 Sep 2019 18:45 Sahelia Eritrea  0.1
26 Sep 2019 16:00 'Imran Yemen  0.1
26 Sep 2019 15:15 Bandar Jedid Somalia  0.1
24 Sep 2019 18:45 Port Smyth Eritrea  0.1
24 Sep 2019 18:45 Debealuwa Eritrea  0.1
26 Sep 2019 00:15 Basaidu Iran  0.1
26 Sep 2019 00:15 Dustku Iran  0.1
24 Sep 2019 12:30 Gadechi India  0.1
24 Sep 2019 12:30 Okha India  0.1
24 Sep 2019 07:30 Al Ashkharah Oman  0.1
26 Sep 2019 14:45 Beylu Eritrea  0.1
26 Sep 2019 15:30 Seyara Somalia  0.1
26 Sep 2019 05:00 Umm al Qaywayn United Arab Emirates  0.1
26 Sep 2019 15:30 Mulaax Beyle Somalia  0.1
26 Sep 2019 00:00 Tasuneh Iran  0.1
24 Sep 2019 18:45 Delemme Eritrea  0.1
27 Sep 2019 02:45 Kotada India  0.1
26 Sep 2019 00:00 Bandar Suflin Iran  0.1
24 Sep 2019 19:00 Croto Eritrea  0.1
26 Sep 2019 00:15 Band-e Hasineh Iran  0.1
26 Sep 2019 16:00 Al Mansuri Yemen  0.1
26 Sep 2019 16:00 Khormaksar Yemen  0.1
26 Sep 2019 16:00 Kraytar Yemen  0.1
26 Sep 2019 16:00 'Adan Yemen  0.1
26 Sep 2019 15:30 Ari Adeso Somalia  0.1
24 Sep 2019 18:45 Emberemi Eritrea  0.1
24 Sep 2019 18:45 Mitsiwa Eritrea  0.1
24 Sep 2019 18:45 Hargigo Eritrea  0.1
24 Sep 2019 18:45 Nauret Eritrea  0.1
26 Sep 2019 04:45 Jazirat Al Hamra United Arab Emirates  0.1
24 Sep 2019 14:00 Caluula Somalia  0.1
24 Sep 2019 14:00 Boho Somalia  0.1
24 Sep 2019 14:00 Wareegsimo Somalia  0.1
26 Sep 2019 05:15 Ash Shariqah United Arab Emirates  0.1
26 Sep 2019 05:15 Ajman United Arab Emirates  0.1
26 Sep 2019 16:30 Dhubab Yemen  0.1
24 Sep 2019 18:45 Habrenta Eritrea  0.1
25 Sep 2019 23:30 Jimeirah United Arab Emirates  0.1
26 Sep 2019 00:15 Bandar-e Moghuyen Iran  0.1
24 Sep 2019 13:30 Larak Kuhi Iran  0.1
26 Sep 2019 16:15 Ghadir Yemen  0.1
26 Sep 2019 15:45 Maallah Yemen  0.1
26 Sep 2019 04:30 Ras Al Khaymah United Arab Emirates  0.1
26 Sep 2019 04:30 Ar Rams United Arab Emirates  0.1
24 Sep 2019 15:00 Shuwayr Oman  0.1
26 Sep 2019 15:15 Hais Somalia  0.1
24 Sep 2019 12:30 Suthri India  0.1
25 Sep 2019 23:15 Dubai United Arab Emirates  0.1