Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for HIKAA-19
in Oman, Saudi Arabia

Impact

Tropical Cyclone HIKAA-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries Oman
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 112 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (23 Sep 23:30 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Oman)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 112 km/h 0.3 m 70 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 140 km/h 1.1 m 141 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

140 km/h

Up to 30 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 23 Sep 2019 18:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormOman32,253 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 22 Sep 2019 18:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 23 Sep 2019 00:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 23 Sep 2019 06:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 23 Sep 2019 12:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 23 Sep 2019 18:00 112 -
- - - - - Oman
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 23 Sep 2019 18:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
50-100 mmOman3,353 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 22 Sep 2019 18:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 23 Sep 2019 00:00 223 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 23 Sep 2019 06:00 78 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 23 Sep 2019 12:00 77 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 23 Sep 2019 18:00 228 -
- - - - - Oman




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in New Kandla, India. This height is estimated for 23 Sep 2019 23:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 23 Sep 2019 18:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
23 Sep 2019 23:30 New Kandla India  0.3
23 Sep 2019 23:30 Navlakhi India  0.3
23 Sep 2019 22:00 Akri India  0.2
23 Sep 2019 20:45 Aramda India  0.2
23 Sep 2019 23:00 Tuna India  0.2
23 Sep 2019 19:30 Suthri India  0.2
23 Sep 2019 22:30 Jambura India  0.2
23 Sep 2019 19:45 Gadechi India  0.2
23 Sep 2019 19:45 Okha India  0.2
23 Sep 2019 18:45 Al Ashkharah Oman  0.1
23 Sep 2019 18:45 Al Jumaylah Oman  0.1
23 Sep 2019 19:15 Jhol Pakistan  0.1
23 Sep 2019 20:00 Mandvi India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 18:30 Harag Jid Somalia  0.1
23 Sep 2019 20:00 Bhadia India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 19:45 Bu Lifiyat United Arab Emirates  0.1
23 Sep 2019 18:15 Goth Lashkari Pakistan  0.1
23 Sep 2019 18:15 Bambu Khan Pakistan  0.1
23 Sep 2019 20:15 Navinal India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 23:30 Pahel Iran  0.1
23 Sep 2019 23:30 Bandar-e Laft Iran  0.1
23 Sep 2019 23:30 Laft Iran  0.1
23 Sep 2019 23:30 Payi Pusht Iran  0.1
23 Sep 2019 19:45 Arzeni Iran  0.1
23 Sep 2019 22:00 Sika India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 21:15 Chudeswar India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 21:15 Salaya India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 21:15 Jhankhar India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 23:30 Dawwah Oman  0.1
23 Sep 2019 23:30 Dafiyat Oman  0.1
23 Sep 2019 23:30 Dhuwwah Oman  0.1
23 Sep 2019 23:30 Shiinzi Oman  0.1
23 Sep 2019 20:30 Nalasopara India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 20:30 Agashi India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 20:30 Dongri India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 20:30 Vasai India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 20:30 Mira Bhayandar India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 20:30 Navghar India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 23:30 Bandar-e Dargaham Iran  0.1
23 Sep 2019 23:30 Dogerdan Iran  0.1
23 Sep 2019 18:00 Dawanij Oman  0.1
23 Sep 2019 18:00 Al Liwa Oman  0.1
23 Sep 2019 18:00 Suhar Oman  0.1
23 Sep 2019 19:30 Khargun Iran  0.1
23 Sep 2019 21:30 Jazirah United Arab Emirates  0.1
23 Sep 2019 21:30 Tarif United Arab Emirates  0.1
23 Sep 2019 18:30 Goth Haji Muhammad Pakistan  0.1
23 Sep 2019 18:30 Isa Pakistan  0.1
23 Sep 2019 19:00 Ra's ar Ru'ays Oman  0.1
23 Sep 2019 21:45 Mundra India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 19:15 Al Khaluf Oman  0.1
23 Sep 2019 19:15 Filim Oman  0.1
23 Sep 2019 22:45 Sur Masirah Oman  0.1
23 Sep 2019 22:45 'Urf Oman  0.1
23 Sep 2019 22:45 Mursays Oman  0.1
23 Sep 2019 22:45 Hiql Oman  0.1
23 Sep 2019 22:45 Maghilah Oman  0.1
23 Sep 2019 19:00 Dwarka India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 21:30 Al Marfa United Arab Emirates  0.1
23 Sep 2019 18:00 Ras Muari Pakistan  0.1
23 Sep 2019 18:00 Naka Kharari Pakistan  0.1
23 Sep 2019 18:00 Gadani Pakistan  0.1
23 Sep 2019 18:30 Keti Pakistan  0.1
23 Sep 2019 21:30 Qeshm Iran  0.1
23 Sep 2019 21:30 Bandar Abbas Iran  0.1
23 Sep 2019 18:15 Sonmiani Pakistan  0.1
23 Sep 2019 19:30 Hormoz Iran  0.1
23 Sep 2019 18:00 Kambhat India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 18:00 Kavi India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 18:00 Sarod India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 19:30 Sharkh Oman  0.1
23 Sep 2019 18:15 Porbandar India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 18:15 Adodar India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 18:00 Limah Oman  0.1
23 Sep 2019 18:00 Ratia India  0.1